The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...

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The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Implementing Partners

    The imported and craft beer
               market in China

1
           A project financed by the European Union
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Today’s speaker

     Contact                                     Bio

                            •   Director of Eibens Consulting
                            •   Living and working in China since 2005
                            •   Strong focus on food and beverage
                                import and distribution processes and
                                trade barriers
Pablo Recio Gracia          •   Previously worked for public agencies
                                including ICEX (Spanish Institute for
                                Foreign Trade) and Extenda (Trade
   pablo.recio@eibens.com       Promotion Agency of Andalusia) as
                                well as private companies
                            •   Bachelor in Business from the
   Pablo Recio Gracia           University and Granada and Masters in
                                Quality Management and Business
   www.eibens.com               Internationalisation

                                                                         2
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Agenda

•   The alcoholic drinks market   •   Retail channels

•   Market segmentation           •   Case studies

•   Regulatory environment        •   Opportunities and next steps

•   Market size

•   Geographical distribution

•   Main players

•   Consumer
                                                               3
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
The Alcoholic Drinks Market
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
The alcoholic drinks market

                                                 bl litres
                                           250
Trends                                                                     Other - World

                                                             Wine Spirit
                                                                           Spirits - World
•   The volume of the Chinese beer
    market is stagnating                   200
                                                                           Wine - World

•   China’s consumption per capita is
    comparable to the world’s average      150
                                                                           BEER – Other – 76.1

•   This average and China’s enormous

                                                             Beer
    population makes it the largest beer   100
    market in the world                                                    BEER - Germany – 8.4
                                                                           BEER - Russia – 8.6
                                                                           BEER - Brazil – 12.0

•   It is twice the size of the US beer
                                           50
                                                                           BEER - USA – 24.1
    market in volume

                                                                           BEER- China – 45.7

                                            0
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Alcoholic drinks market overview

                                    Breakdown Alcohol Market China by Volume
                    70000
                    60000
                    50000
   Million liters

                    40000
                    30000
                    20000
                    10000
                        0
                             2010    2011       2012       2013       2014             2015      2016          2017
                                    Cider, Perry and Rice Wine     Wine      Spirits      Beer          Source: Statista, 2018

                                    Breakdown Alcohol Market China by Revenue
                300,000
                250,000
                200,000
Million USD

                150,000
                100,000
                    50,000
                        0
                             2010     2011      2012        2013      2014             2015      2016          2017
                                      Cider, Perry and Rice Wine   Wine      Spirits     Beer           Source: Statista, 2018
                                                                                                                                 6
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Market Segmentation
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Market segmentation

Instead of the commonly used Standard, Premium
and Super-Premium segmentation for beer markets,
we have used a different one that represents in a more
accurate way the Chinese market.

We have divided the market into 3 segments:
 • Mass-consumed Chinese beer
 • Leisure beer
 • Craft beer and foreign brands on tap

                                                         8
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Some example graphics

    1      Mass-consumed Chinese beer

    2                Leisure beer

    3   Craft beer and foreign brands on tap

1               2                   3

                                               9
The imported and craft beer market in China - A project financed by the European Union - Flanders Investment ...
Market segmentation

                    Mass-consumed Chinese beer
•   Chinese brands domestically brewed.
•   Low-priced – Beginning at circa 1.0 Euro per liter* both in
    foodservice and retail.
•   600 ml returnable bottles the most common format in foodservice. 330
    ml and 500 ml cans in retail.
•   Consumed by people across all income levels, everywhere in China
•   Homogeneous pale lagers with low
    alcohol percentage (around 3%)
•   Largest brands: Snow, Tsingtao,
    Yanjing and Harbin
•   Mature market, decreasing 3%
    annually for the last 3 years
•   Consumed along with meals
                                                  *EU SME Centre research
                                                                            10
Market segmentation

                                 Leisure beer
•   Foreign brands, domestically and internationally brewed
•   High-price – Price on average 12.6 Euro per litre* in bars
•   Served in 330 ml bottles, or 500 ml if produced abroad (e.g.
    Franziskaner)
•   Consumed by urban and high-income consumers
•   Consumed mostly in T1 and T2 cities
•   All sorts of beer types
•   Many brands competing in this segment
•   Growing market. Largest part of the import total
    that grew 38% in 2017 corresponds to this segment.
•   Stand-alone consumption or with finger food, at home and bars

                                                    *EU SME Centre research
                                                                              11
Market segmentation

                      Craft and foreign beer on tap
•   Domestically and internationally brewed
•   Very high-prices – 13.8 Euro average per litre in bars*
•   Typically served in 400-500 ml glass
•   Consumed by urban, young, high-income consumers
•   Mostly T1, then T2
•   Many different beer types, though Ales prevail
•   There are few options yet, more widely available beers are acquired
    and distributed by AB InBev
•   Market is growing exponentially
•   Consumed either with Western-style meals or stand-alone.

                                                     *EU SME Centre research
                                                                               12
Market segmentation
 Craft                      Craft
 ~0.1%                      ~0.4%
 Leisure                   Leisure
  ~10%

  Mass
                            ~35%

                            Mass

 ~ 90%

                            ~65%

Volume                     Value
                                     13
Market size
The beer market trends in
                                                                              China

                                       Beer production and import volume in China
                 52000                                                                                                                                             10%

                                              8%                8%
                                                                                        184                                                                        8%
                 50000                                                                                        338
                                                                                       49830
                          5%                                    64                                          49360                                                  6%
                                                                             111         4%
                 48000                                      48350                                                                 538
                                                                            47790                                                                                  4%
Million liters

                                                                                                                                47160
                 46000                                                                                                                                 646         2%
                                              47
                                  0%
                                                                                                                                                                   0%
                                             44900                                                                                                   45060
                 44000

                                                                             -1%                            -1%                                                    -2%

                 42000            41
                          28                                                                                                      -4%                 -4%
                                                                                                                                                                   -4%
                         41570   41620

                 40000                                                                                                                                             -6%
                         2008    2009        2010               2011        2012        2013                2014                 2015                2016

                                          Domestic Production          Import volume      Growth YOY Production
                                                                                       Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2016. China Customs, 2018

                                                                                                                                                                    15
Imported beer

                                       Beer import China volume and value
800                                                                                                                                                    90%
                                     84%
                                                                                                                                             750.4     80%
700                                                                                                                           716.2
                                     76%
                                                                                                             665.7                                     70%
                                                                                              646.4
600    67%                                                            59%
       61%                                                                       575.1                                                                 60%
500                                                               538.3

                                                                                                                                                       50%
400
                                                   407              41%                                                                                40%
300                                337.8
                                                                                                                                                       30%

200                  231.5                                                                               20%
                                                                                                                                                       20%
      183.7                                                                                    16%                                      13%
100                                                                                                                                                    10%
                                                                                                                                        11%

  0                                                                                                                                                    0%
              2013                          2014                          2015                        2016                            2017

                        Volume (x1000 hl)            Value (millions USD)           Growth Volume YOY                Growth Value YOY

                                                                                                                               Source: China-customs, 2018
Imported beer by country

                                                                               TOTAL 2203

                                    Imported Beer by country in Value (million USD) in 2017
                  0.0                       50.0                      100.0               150.0             200.0                     250.0

     Germany                                                                                                209.5

       Mexico                                                          110.7

       Belgium                                      69.7

   Netherlands                                     65.9

      Portugal                                  63.4

         Spain                           51.7

   Korea, Rep.                           49.8

        France                    40.7

United Kingdom             25.8
                                                          More than 70% of total import comes from Europe
        Russia      12.8

  United States     9.2

        Others                    41.2

                                                                                                             Source: China Customs, 2018
Beer imports. Average CIF
       prices per country
  TOTAL 2203

                Source: China Customs, 2018
Craft beer share

                          Craft share of total beer market
35                                                                                                0.07%

30                                                                                                0.06%

25                                                                                                0.05%

20                                                                                                0.04%

15                                                                                                0.03%

10                                                                                                0.02%

5                                                                                                 0.01%

0                                                                                                 0.00%
     2007   2008   2009     2010        2011       2012          2013     2014        2015
                               Volume          Craft share (%)

                                                                        Source:Rabobank Canadean, 2016

                                                                                                          19
Number of Microbreweries in China

Craft is still small                      Microbreweries and Brewpubs

•   Number of registerd Microbreweries
    and Brewpubs is circa 80 in 2017                      Registered Microbreweries and Brewpubs in
                                                                            China
                                                     90

•   These breweries combined have a                  80

    beer count of circa 750                          70
                                                     60

                                         Breweries
                                                     50
           Jing-A Brewing Co.                        40
                                                     30
                                                     20
           Arrow Factory Brewing                     10
                                                     0
                                                          2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
           Great Leap Brewing Co.
                                                                     Registerd Microbreweries

           Boxing Cat Brewery                                           Source: Numbers retrieved from Ratebeer, 2018
Geographical distribution
Geographical distribution

Geographical distribution of beer production in 2017 by quantity

                                              Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2016
Geographical distribution

Geographical distribution of imports in 2017 by quantity

                                      Source: China Customs, 2017 data, retrieved in 2018
Geographical distribution

Geographical distribution of breweries by beer count

                                           Source: Ratebeer, 2018
Main players
Main players

     Source: Euromonitor, 2015
Main brands

Franziskaner   Corona   Hoegaarden   Oranjeboom            Tagus           Estrella damm              Cass         Brewdog            Kronenbourg            Baltika                KBC

 Erdinger                 Leffe      La Trappe           Superbock                                                 Lost coast                                                     Brooklyn

Wurenbacher              Chimay                                                                                                                                                     Rogue

 Oettinger              La Chouffe

                                                  Heineken              Tiger              Paulaner          Budweiser          Goose Island        Stella Artois           Asahi

                         Liefmans

                                                  Kronenbourg         Carlsberg
                          Vedett

                          Duvel

                                                                     Available on Tap
                                                                                                                     Duvel Moortgat                                    AB-Inbev

                                                                                                                     Heineken International                         Carlsberg Group
                                                                     Available in Bottle/Can
Consumer
Chinese consumer - Foreign or
                                              Local brands

•   Consumer trends are fast changing and worth checking in a separate event

•   For beer. The percentage that prefers an imported brand over a domestic
    brand is in line with the share of Leisure and Craft beer

•   Chinese preference for imported beer is concentrated but expanding
                                          Preference local or foreign brands

      Wine               24%                     28%                      22%                          26%

       Beer        8%    7%                35%                                          50%

              0%        10%    20%       30%       40%        50%      60%        70%         80%          90%         100%
                               Prefer Foreign Brands            Somewhat prefer foreign brands
                               Somewhat prefer local brands     Prefer local brands
                                                                                        Source: Mckinsey China 2017 consumer report
Retail Channels
Retail channels

Convenience stores
They typically cater the mass-consumed and leisure
segment. This channel is getting more popular and
complements the changing working environment.
Beers are often more expensive than in other retail
channels and there is a larger proportion of canned
beer.

                              Traditional convenience stores
                              Offering only mass-consumed beer, most
                              commonly in 600 ml returnable bottles. Very low
                              price, circa 1 EUR/litre. This channel is quickly
                              disappearing in T1 cities.
Retail channels

Supermarkets and Hypermarkets
They all have several options in the mass-consumed segment. Variety of
their imported beer portfolio depends on their size, prices are standardised.

           Local Chinese Supermarket                  Wal-Mart Beijing
Retail channels

E-commerce
There are several generalist platforms (JD.com, YHD or Tmall) and some
vertical platforms (jiuxian, ichinabeer.com, among others) offering a huge
selection of beer, both domestic (competing in price) and imported
(competing in price and variety).
Retail channels

Hotels
Chinese hotels tend to have mass-consumed beer since
they are served with meals in a Chinese-style restaurant,
normally they have no bars. Foreign chains are usually
five-star hotels with several restaurants and bars, with a
selection of imported beer as good as any from a bar
downtown.

Restaurants
Traditional Chinese restaurants will only serve mass-
consumed Chinese beer in bottles of 600 ml. Western-
style restaurants and bars have a wider selection, since
they are not as food-centered as Chinese restaurants.
Retail channels

Others (Bars, clubs, KTVs)
They usually have domestic produced beer and some foreign brands, almost
always in bottles. Those located in T1 city will display a wider offer of foreign
brands, while those in smaller cities will limit their selection mostly to domestically
brewed foreign brands (Budweiser, Carlsberg, Heineken…).

Bars with wide selection of beer on tap and
Microbreweries
Growing exponentially in the last few years, especially in T1 but also in T2.
Western-style food is a central part of the offer. There is little perceived difference
between bars with a lot of beers on tap and microbreweries from the consumer’s
point of view.
Case Studies
Case studies – Local Craft

            Pictures
Panda brew came from a tiny room in
Beijing and now owns 8 fermenters, a
terrace and food accompanying the beers.
They are even exporting their beer to the
UK.
Case Studies – import craft

              Pictures
 Brewdog the successful craft beer
 international from the UK. Sold 20.000 hl in
 China in 2017. Looking for opening a craft
 beer brewery in China and see it as their
 most important export market
Case Studies – Import leisure

  Corona is owned by Ab Inbev and brewed in
  Mexico, from there it is shipped all over the
  world. Making Mexico the largest beer exporter
  in the world. The Corona brand is really
  popular in China.
Opportunities and next steps
Opportunities for EU SME’s

       Narrow product offering among local players

       More sophisticated consumer, higher income

Leads to a gap between the needs of a growing consumer
base and the domestic production. This gap is filled by
imports and domestically brewed craft beer, that is limited
to draft consumption due to stringent requirements to
bottle beer in China.

Unlike in mature markets such as Europe or USA, the craft
segment is still in its early stages.

                Opportunity for EU SMEs
                                                              41
Next steps and key takeaways

• Beer market in China is targeted worldwide
                                      Pictures

• Exporters normally do not make enough an effort to understand
  and addapt. Avoid “first doing and then evaluating”

• Getting a first sale is easier than establishing long term
  agreements

• New technologies complicated multi distributor strategy

• Simple but effective marketing can make a big difference

• On the ground support can also be very relevant

• Different options to find partners in China
Events

•   China Food and Drinks Fair 2018 (2019)
    •   March 22-24th
    •   Chengdu
    •   Largest food and beverage event
    •   http://www.cfdf.org/
•   SIAL China 2018
    •   May 17-19th
    •   Shanghai
    •   http://www.sialchina.com/
•   Craft Beer China Conference & Exhibition 2018 (CBCE 2018)
    •   Shanghai
    •   15-18th of May
    •   Most important event for craft beer
    •   http://www.cbcechina.com/en/
•   China brew and beverage 2018
    •   Oct 23-26Th
    •   Shanghai
    •   Focus on Wine, Spirits and Beer
    •   http://www.chinabrew-beverage.com/english/
44

Get Ready for China

   www.eusmecentre.org.cn
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