HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO

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HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
Review of

HOSPITALITY
        SECTOR
         Georgia, 2017
              27 March 2018
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
INTRODUCTION
                                                              Key macroeconomic indicators in Georgia

                                                              Indicators                           2017                               Comment

Georgia is a popular tourist destination                      GDP at current prices (mln. USD)     15,165       Increase by 5% compared to 2016
based on her unique natural and resort
conditions, especially resorts along the
                                                              GDP per capita (USD)                              Increase by 6% compared to 2016
Black Sea coast such as Batumi and in                                                              4,079
the mountains like Bakuriani and Gudauri.
The tourism market has continued to
present a growing industry in Georgia and                     Foreign Direct Investments           1,863
                                                                                                                Increase by 16% compared to 2016
                                                              (FDI) (million USD)
is expected to follow a similar trend. With
the ambition of becoming a tourism hub
and due to the government's extensive                         FDI per capita (USD)                 501          Increase by 16% compared to 2016
incentives together with the country's
strong tourism potential, Georgia has
achieved the following performance                            Index of Economic freedom
indicators in hospitality sector.                             (The Heritage Foundation              16
                                                                                                                123rd place in the world in 1996
                                                              ranking for 2017 year)

                                                              Ease of doing business
                                                              (World Bank ranking for 2017 year)     9          112th place in the world in 2006

International tourism arrivals                Inflows from international tourism
                                              created USD2.2 bln in three quarters                         The number of accommodation
more than doubled in 2017
                                              of 2017, increased by 29% compared                           units has reached up to 1,958
compared to 2010 amounting
                                              to same period in 2016 (1,7 bln) that                        with the total number of rooms
to 7,554,936 visitors in 2017.
                                              made the tourism sector one of the                           amounting 27,288 and the
Compared to 2016, international
                                              key pillars in Georgian economy                              number of beds amounting
tourism arrivals showed an increase
                                              (reaching up to 7% of GDP in three                           66,078 units.
of 18.8%.
                                              quarters of 2017).

                                                                                                                                                   2
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
The Government is actively working on development of tourism infrastructure as well as the diversification of existing services and
  the promotion of new initiatives. Moreover, the following events will further boost Georgia's tourism sector:

The state recently announced the budget for   The new arrivals terminal at the International       A recent article from National Geographic
tourism development in Georgia to amount      Tbilisi airport, opened in 2017, increased the       ranked Georgia 3rd out of 21 as a top
to GEL52,115 thousand, which will be          terminal capacity to 3.5 million passengers          destination to visit, which will potentially
dedicated to campaigns in other countries,    annually, leading to an increased number of          increase the number of incoming tourists
for events, activities and infrastructural    charter flights resulting in a significant rise of   from 2018.
development, for advertisements and           the number of tourists. Consequently, this fact
commercials and for international fairs and   will lead to an increased demand and
exhibitions.                                  occupancy rates.

The tourism boom in Georgia is at its high level in recent years and service supply grows based on demand too, but still there are
opportunities of development and investment in this sector. As a result, international brand operators already presented in the
market are expanding and also new players are preparing to enter. International upscale hotel chains, such as Radisson, Hilton,
Rixos, Biltmore, Sheraton, Mercure, Best Western, etc. have entered the Georgian market, many of them still increasing supply by
adding new hotels to reinforce their position on market and to diversify on various segments. Also, building of several new
international hotel brands (Intercontinental, Hyatt Regency, Pullman Hotels & Resort, etc.) are work in progress.

Georgian accommodation sector is diversified through different segments of consumers by supplying different types of hotels
which offer various levels of services, capable of satisfying demands of visitors as with low budget as well as the visitors that
desire all-inclusive, full-service accommodation.

                                                                                                                                                  3
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
TYPES OF VISITS

                2017            2016
                                               2015         2014
                                                                          2013
   24 HOURS      46%
   AND MORE                       43%
                                                39%
                                                              40%                     According to the data presented, total number of visitors
                                                                              38%
    TRANSIT      22%              21%            24%
                                                                                      grew in recent years. The share of visits for 24 hours and more
                                                              20%
                                                                              22%
                                                                                      has increased from 2013 until 2017 when the number of
   SAME-DAY      32%
       VISIT                      36%            38%          39%             40%     arrivals for 24 hours and more peaked up to 3,479 thousand
                                                                                      (46% of total visits). The trend indicates that the demand for
      TOTAL    7,554,936      6,360,503      5,901,094     5,515,559     5,392,303
                                                                                      longer stay accommodation units is increasing.
                                                                       Source: GNTA

HOTEL STAY DURATION, 2017

               Upscale       Mid-scale     Low-budget                                        Chart shows that hotel visitors choose
                hotels        hotels         hotels                                          low-budget hotels for longer stays more often
                                                                                             than mid-scale or upscale hotels, that is quite
                  10%           12%            17%           Long Stay                       logical - upscale hotels are too expensive for
                                                            (8 days+)                        longer stays and in order to save money,
                  27%           27%            26%
                                                            Medium Stay
                                                                                             tourists visit low-budget hotels. While in opposite
                                                            (4-7 days)                       visiting Georgia up to 3 days, visitors prefer to
                                                                                             stay at upscale hotels rather than at mid-scale or
                 63%            62%            55%          Short Stay
                                                             (up to 3 days)                  low-budget hotels.

                           Source: GNTA and BDO analysis                                                                                                4
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
ARRIVALS FROM NEIGHBOURING VS
 NON-NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES

The same trend is indicated through the statistics of
arrivals from neighbour vs non-neighbour countries.
The chart below shows that the share of visits from
neighbour countries in total visits has decreased from
88% to 80%, while the share of visits from non-
neighbour countries has increased up to 20% from
12%, amounting 1,511 thousand visitors in 2017.
As probability of longer stays is higher for visitors
from non-neighbour countries, this increase may be
considered as a prerequisite to higher demand on low-
budget hotels.

Average length of stay of international visitors
     Number of days (24 hours)
         2016         2015          2014         2013
          6.5          5.1          5.6          4.8
                                             Source: GNTA

      Georgia has an increasingly diverse tourism offer,
      which has driven the average length of stay of
      visitors from 4.8 nights in 2013 to 6.5 nights in 2016.                2017        2016
                                                                                                     2015       2014
                                                                                                                           2013

                                                                Neighbour     80%         84%         88%        88%        88%

                                                                     Non-     20%         16%         12%        12%
                                                                neighbour                                                   12%

                                                                            7,554,936   6,360,503   5,901,094 5,515,559 5,392,303
                                                                                                                       Source: GNTA
                                                                                                                                      5
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
ARRIVALS BY BORDER TYPE

            LAND                         AIR                   RAILWAY                         SEA
                                                                                                                     TOTAL

             5,880,354                 1,565,264                  73,385                       35,933
2017                                                                                                              7,554,936
                78%                        21%                        1%                        0.5%

             5,182,780                 1,066,597                  60,389                       50,737
2016                                                                                                              6,360,503
                81%                        17%                        1%                         1%

             5,034,368                 764,588                    62,664                       39,474
2015                                                                                                              5,901,094
                85%                        13%                        1%                         1%

             4,757,264                 643,088                    71,515                       43,692
2014                                                                                                              5,515,559
                86%                        12%                        1%                         1%

            4,699,361                 585,727                    62,976                       44,239
2013                                                                                                              5,392,303
                87%                        11%                        1%                         1%

                                                                                                                         Source: GNTA

       Increase of the share of arrivals through air borders may be linked to the increased proportion of visits for longer stays.
                                                                                                                                        6
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
NET EXPORT OF TOURSIM (MLN. GEL)                                                      INCOME PER VISITOR (USD)

   2017                                                          2017
    (3Q)              2016                                        (3Q)         2016
                                      2015
                                                2014                                       2015
                                                        2013                                          2014        2013

   1,832              1,780            1,606    1,488   1,426     373           341         328        324        325

Source: National Statistics office of Georgia                                                                 Source: GNTA

                                                                Income from tourism is connected to not only the
    The chart shows increase in net export of tourism
                                                                number of tourists that enter the country, but also how
    in resent years. This indicator grew from 1,426 mln
                                                                much each of them spends. The chart shows increase of
    to 1,832 mln from 2013 to 2017 (3Q), which can be
                                                                income per visitor in the past years. This indicator grew
    seen as a result of growing number of international
                                                                from USD325 to USD373 from the year 2013 to
    tourists in indicated years.
                                                                2017 (3Q).

                                                                                                                             7
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
Role of each sector in economy can be seen
Average Monthly Wage and                        by how many people the sector employs
                                                and how much is an individual paid. The charts

Employment in hospitality sector in Georgia     show number of employees in hospitality sector
                                                and average monthly wage for the years through
                                                2013-2017.

           2017      2016      2015      2014                Source: National Statistics office of Georgia

  1,077              816               763                               647

  13,506            14,072            11,731                           9,155                                 8
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
3,614

                                                   18,029                    5,360
             BED CAPACITY
              BY REGION,                                          12,126
                                                                  12,126
                 2017
                                          4,564             485            5,227

                                                    4,952
                                                                   9,820

                                                                                     The number of accommodation units
                                Racha-Lechkhumi,
                                 Lower Svaneti                                       registered in the database of GNTA is
                                                            554                      1,960, with a total of 66,154
                                    1,423                                            beds.
                                                                                     Tbilisi has the largest numbers of
                                                                                     beds - 18,029 (27%),
                                                                                     followed by the Adjara region with
                                                                                     12,126 beds (18%).
Source: GNTA and BDO analysis                                                                                                9
HOSPITALITY SECTOR Review of Georgia, 2017 - BDO
AVERAGE OCCUPANCY RATE IN TBILISI

      Upscale hotels                    Mid-scale hotels        Low-budget
                                                                  hotels*

    2017            2016                2017       2016      2017         2016

     68%                70%             64%          70%      67%          60%

 Source: BDO analysis

  The growth in demand was matched by hotel supplied in Tbilisi in the end
  of 2016 and throughout 2017, which is evidenced by the fact that occupan-
  cy rates in mid-scale hotels have seen a little decrease in 2017 (for example:
  Ibis Styles Tbilisi Center, IOTA Hotel Tbilisi, Ameri Plaza and Gallery Palace
  opened in this period supplied total 641 beds).
  Low-budget hotels in Tbilisi have slightly higher occupancy rates compared
  to mid-scale hotels and nearly the same as upscale hotels. Generally, high
  demand and low supplied of hotel rooms result in higher occupancy rates.

 *Does not include family-type hotels                                              10
ADR (USD excl. VAT) IN TBILISI, 2017

                               $184
                                                             Upscale hotels

                                  $106
                                                            Mid-scale hotels

                                      $59
                                                             Low-budget
                                                               hotels*
        Source: BDO analysis

RevPAR (USD excl. VAT) 2017

                                      $126
 Upscale hotels

                                 $68
Mid-scale hotels

                               $39

 Low-budget
   hotels*                                   Source: BDO analysis

*Does not include family-type hotels                                           11
FUTURE SUPPLY

The supply for future planned hotels in Georgia reflects a substantial rise in market confidence. Recent announcements of the
budget for tourism development, as well as the fact that Georgia was listed as a top tourism destination in the National Geographic
will further fuel the increasing demand of tourists and consequently, increase the supply of future hotels.
In total, there are 35 known hotels across the upscale and midscale sector in stages of planning or construction in Georgia for 2018
and 2019, which is estimated to provide over 5,500 additional rooms. The upscale sector will see the highest volume of development
with 23 new hotels planned and over 4,000 rooms, while 12 additional hotels will be provided in the midscale sector with
a total of 1,574 rooms.

                                                                                                                                  12
Future Supply

                                                                                         Openning   Number of     Bed
Hotel                                                        Region            Type
                                                                                           year       rooms     capacity
Babylon Tower                                                 Adjara          Upscale      2018        168        336
Le Meridien                                                   Adjara          Upscale      2018        110        230
Pulmann Hotels & Resort                                       Adjara          Upscale      2018        310         -
Metro Sky Tower                                               Adjara          Upscale      2018        150        250
Twin Tower                                                    Adjara          Upscale      2018        350         -
Marriott Autograph Collection-Hotel & Spa Resort              Guria           Upscale      2018        220        440
Radisson BLU Tsinandali                                      Kakheti          Upscale      2018        111        200
Holiday INN                                                  Kakheti          Upscale      2018         85        160
Rooms Hotel                                             Samtskhe-Javakheti    Upscale      2018        100        200
Rixos Tbilisi                                                 Tbilis i        Upscale      2018        143        300
Pullman Hotels & Resort                                       Tbilisi         Upscale      2018        234        400
Radisson BLU Telegraph                                        Tbilisi         Upscale      2018        189        350
Marriott Autograph Collection-Panorama Freedom Square         Tbilisi         Upscale      2018        220        440
Marriott Autograph Collection-Panorama Sololaki               Tbilisi         Upscale      2018        187        400
Tabori Ridge Recreation & Golf Resort                         Tbilisi         Upscale      2018        100        200
Ramada Resorts                                                Adjara         Mid-scale     2018        115        200
Best Western Plus                                        Mtskheta-Mtianeti   Mid-scale     2018         60        240
Hilton Garden Inn                                             Tbilisi        Mid-scale     2018        165        330
Radisson Park Inn                                             Tbilisi        Mid-scale     2018        200        400
Moxy by Marriott                                              Tbilisi        Mid-scale     2018        130        260
Ramada Encore                                                 Tbilisi        Mid-scale     2018        152        250
Golden Tulip                                                  Tbilisi        Mid-scale     2018         80        160
Holiday Inn Express                                           Tbilisi        Mid-scale     2018        121        240
Stamba                                                        Tbilisi        Mid-scale     2018        205        400
Courtyard by Marriott                                         Adjara          Upscale      2019        150        300
Courtyard by Marriott                                         Adjara          Upscale      2019          -         -
Swissotel                                                     Adjara          Upscale      2019        186        360
Interstate Hotels and Resorts                                 Adjara          Upscale      2019        220         -
Wellness Resort & Spa on Mtsvane Kontskh                      Adjara          Upscale      2019        280         -
Hilton Tbilisi                                                Adjara          Upscale      2019        200        350
Radisson Blu Gudauri                                          Adjara          Upscale      2019        105        240
Hyatt Regency                                                 Tbilisi         Upscale      2019        170        340
Ramada                                                        Adjara         Mid-scale     2019        125        190
Ramada Encore                                                 Adjara         Midscale      2019        120        240
Golden Tulip                                                  Adjara         Mid-scale     2019        101        200

Source: GNTA

                                                                                                                           13
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