THE FIX How Nations survive and Thrive in a World in Decline - Jonathan Tepperman
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THE FIX
How Nations survive and Thrive
in a World in Decline
- Jonathan Tepperman• A testament to the power of people to get things done. • Underlying cause of troubles faced by nations. Failure of Politicians to lead and to solve 10 big problems - Half political, half economic.
What are the ten big problems / The Terrible Ten
1. Inequlaity 6. The Resource curse
2. Immigration 7. Energy
3. Islamic Extremism 8. The Middle – Income
4. Civil war trap
5. Corruption 9. Gridlock – I
10. Gridlock – IIProfits to the People
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits & Out come
year Politician demerits
Brazil Move from Luiz Inacio Bolsa An army of Reduction of
1980s dictatorship Lula da salva Familia lazy people poverty by
1990s to democracy (Family will be 15% in 3 years
grant) created By 2014 from
9% to 3%.LET THE RIGHT ONES IN
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
Canada Anti Pierrie Elliot Changed 1/4th About
1947-68 immigration Trudeau immigration Canadians 2,50,000
P.M. from policy are against immigrants
1968-1984 2/3rds in the last
Next P.M. approved two decades
Justin
Trudeau will be
3,37,000 by
2018.KILL THEM WITH KINDNESS
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
Indonesia Islamic Suharto (30 Dictator Protection 2014 –
1998 Extremists
years rule) of minorities Indonesia
Democratic is ranked
Abdurrahaman rule SBY taking 31 in
wahid the sharias Global
Tolerance into his Terrorism
Megawati Sukar cabinet Index.
noputtri Anti
Corruption Govt. jailed
Susilo Bambang policy about 900
yudhoyono Terrorists
(SBY) since 2002
Merit not
Jokowi from religion the
2014 core
principleLearn to Live with it
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
Rwanda Genocide Kagame Economic Many Today
1994 Hutu reconstruction people Rwanda is
majority did not prosperous
Tutsi To make it a accept stable &
minority race blind nation Gacaca secure.
civil war Gacaca – a
precolonial 9% growth
Human
dispute in economy
rights gp
resolution since 2010
condemn
machinism ed it. one of the
least corrupt
But countries in
Gacaca Africa.
worked
when 90%
Rwanda accepted
needed the benefits
it. of Gacaca.ASSUME THE WORST
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
Singapore Vice & inequity Harry Lee CPIB Corrupt Lee World
1959 corruption to P.M.(1959- Practices adopted beating
the core 1990)(35 Investigation some brutal economy
Years Old) Bureau. means, with 6th place
Now Lee’s in percapita
oldest son is Minority purchasing
the PM opposition power in 50
( ref to Modi years.
P.116.) Moving
towards Singapore
democracy in gave anti –
recent years corruption
training to
Corruption more than
fighting 80,000
measures are officials from
harsh. 170 states.Diamonds aren’t forever
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
Botswan Became Seretse Allowing whites to Leaders Excellent
a independent Khama stay set an economic
50 years in 1966 (means the Non-racial example growth
ago clay that country
One of the binds 1979 Iran Best
poorest together) ethnic harmony war governed
nations on 1966 - centralization of reduced the countries
the planet. 1980 power income on is Africa.
diamonds
Kgosi the local
chief’s powers were Poverty
reduced unemploym
collaboration ent
Transparency
accountability
Enormous savings
amountsThis Land is My land
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
The USA Oil crisis George Shale The US has
1980s-2013 Mitchell revolution become one
Nick extracting oil of the
Steinsber and gas from world’s
ger shale largest
Ray natural gas
walker producers
By 2020
The US will
be the No.1
Oil producer.Manufacture your Miracle
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
South Korea Economic Park NationalisationMilitary 9% growth
1961 to 45 crisis chung of banks rule rate per year
years hee, a Investment on Many Competent,
General infrastructure south honest and
Control of the Koreans efficient
wealth class hate him bureaucracy
(Chaebol) 55%
rated him
Roh-tae- Democratizatio as their
woo n best
president.
KDJ Economic . Growith of
liberation GDP from
FDI 53% to 82%
(2002 – 2012)GIVE TO GET
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
Mexico Political Penrique Pact It was The
gridlock Pena Nieto bitterly impossible
Failure and attacked in happened
Paralysis 2012 when it
was unveiled
But it
worked
amazingly
wellDIY DEFENSE
Country Problem Leader Reforms Merits / Out come
year demerits
New York Devastation Michael Reinventi- Few A mayor’s
City Threat of Bloomberg on of the drawbacks decision to
9/11, 2001 Islamist (Mayor) NYPD Bloomberg’s defended
Terrorism Ray Kelly ideas cannot be New York
(A visionary followed by city proved
cop) other successful
politiciansCONCLUSION • Why and how few countries flourish in the time of turmoil ? • Can others follow them ? • What lesson we can learn from them ?
Leadership and Problem solving are not easy but not impossible
Five possible solutions
1. Promiscuous Thinking
2. Embrace Extremity
3. Please all the people – Some of the Time
4. Govern with Guardrails
5. Make Revolution through EvolutionTHANK YOU
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