Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
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Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020 1
The Corona crisis is massively changing the buying behaviour of consumers. For most industries, the tried and tested sales channels are breaking. E-commerce is booming. 22
Just as in stationary trade, goods for daily use are also in great demand Google Search on the Internet. Face mask Toilet paper Disinfectant Groceries Corona 33 Source: Google Trends
TOP search terms on Amazon change during the lockdown • Toilet paper, disinfectants and mouthguards are still top keywords • However, there is increasing demand for activity items (puzzles, painting by numbers, PSA, Nintendo) and personal hygiene products (hair clippers) • There is also an increased demand for home office equipment and digital communication (headphones, webcam, headset 44 Quelle: ARA Premium / Brand Analytics
Due to rapid growth, demand cannot be fully met due limited capacity. • Rewe, Netto and Real show traffic increases of 20-25% in their shops, the Dutch startup Picnic even speaks of a 50% increase. • The beverage supplier, Flaschenpost is struggling with increased order volume, as is the drugstore dm, which currently has a delivery time of 9-12 days. • Picnic also delivers to "systemically relevant" people on Sundays. 66
Major marketplaces are also reacting. Amazon prioritised goods for daily use in its warehouses. In this way, the industry giant is trying to remain systemically relevant in order to prevent a legal lockdown in logistics centres. This endangers product visibility in search results not only for the short term but also the medium term. eBay, on the other hand, receives additional impetus for its "Local Heroes" program and waives sales commissions up to and including June 30th for local merchants who want to enter online trading. 77
And some retailers are even reducing their advertising. Amazon is decreasing Google Search. Grocery retailers limit communicating their online offers. 88 Source: similarweb.com
Some industries win, others lose. Demand has increased due to panic buying, PANIC BUYING which has led to an unexpected shortage of supply Unexpected shifts in demand between DEMAND sectors and channels Short and long-term changes in COMMUNICAITON communication channels 99
Even before the crisis, Forecast Current Future consumption • March 2020: • Retail closures cause • Consumer behaviour in Germany 226,000 retail estimated losses of will develop towards was trending in companies. around €1.15 billion per day. online trade in the long-term. favour of • Forecast until 2030: e-commerce. Decline of • Result: insolvencies • Emergence of market companies by and business closures. concentrations: 64,000, only large retailers decline of sales • Except for grocery can cushion extreme outlets by up to retail: higher demand fluctuations in 80,000. and multiplied consumption. turnover due to hoarding purchases. • The winners are so- called, “generalists”: • Closures of stationary In Germany, these are shops inevitably result Amazon and Otto. in online purchasing. • Amazon continues to develop as a market leader. 10 Source: IFH Köln „Handelsszenario 2030“, Handelsverband Deutschland HDE 03/2020, Statista und Amazon Sept. 2019
Demand is shifting in favor of “generalists”. 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Amazon holds a 52 % 9.278,1 share of total online sales. 3.200 Amazon‘s customers 1.440,9 place an average of 41 orders per year. 878,5 809,1 757,3 601,1 554,7 524,5 488,5 E-commerce-sales in million Euro 11 Source: Statista and Amazon, status September 2019
Familiar shopping channels and convenience are primary success factors in online shopping • FMCG brands with their own webshop do not necessarily contribute to the increase in traffic, even during the crisis. Consumers are loyal to online channels in retail. • 84% of consumers are willing to leave their favourite brand as soon as another provider offers them services according to their individual preferences.* • 49% of all product searches begin on Amazon. 12 Source: B2X Care Solutions GmbH, München: What the Future Holds for Customer Care in the Global Consumer Electronics Industry Business: E-Commerce 2020: Sieben Trends im deutschen Onlinehandel
E-commerce strategies for brands during the crisis. Germany and Europe are 1. Acute phase 2. Recovery phase 3. New normal currently still in the first phase, the Remain capable of Stabilization of the Reduce acute outbreak. action business dependency • Online dependence of • Return of traditional • Increased dependence consumers purchasing channels on platforms like 2 Amazon • The demand in some • Changes in the categories is increasing competitive • Loss of control (Essentials), while some environment 1 3 are decreasing (Luxury) • Predatory competition • A focus on strong • Decline in sales due to brands lower stock Ensure availability of goods Carry out Develop e-commerce and logistics, e.g. dropship, market/competition strategy, strengthen brand own warehousing, service analyses and repositioning building and online visibility providers 13
Short-term options for brands. Strong demand Others • Adjust media investment and • Shortening the path-to-purchase targeting, e.g. via search, shopping, • Adjust media investment and Webshop targeting, e.g. via search, shopping, affiliate • Use additional marketplaces if affiliate necessary • Competition analysis • Evaluate supply capacity and • Customized keyword sets exploit opportunities Marketplaces • Increase campaign budgets to • Close campaign monitoring ensure visibility • Plan budgets for recovery phase No E-Commerce No short-term scope for action 14 Quelle: Kantar China, WeChat survey, n=1093, Datenbasis 6.-9.02.2020
Main risk for the expansion of online shopping is logistics. Current developments show the limits of e-commerce and the dependence on functioning logistics processes. Service levels decrease with increasing demand. Parcel delivery companies and infrastructure are overloaded. There are potential solutions, but they cannot be implemented in the short term. Dropship Fulfilment Service Partner Online-to-Offline (O2O) Direct delivery to the Outsourcing logistics to Cooperation between consumer and invoice the external service partners stationary and online retailer shopping Helpful for missing D2C Can also be used for processes Applying interactions marketplace strategies between off- and online Connecting additional shopping marketplaces possible Example: shoes 24 15
Chancen für Unternehmen im E-Commerce Current trends Opportunities for companies Opportunities for companies with e-commerce sales without e-commerce sales • Older people and technology • Guaranteeing flawless fulfillment • Development of a sustainable “laggards” adapt to online e-commerce strategy shopping • Offering additional services • Recognizing a variance of selling • Improving long-term • Switching to online offers potential e-commerce strategy • Advantages of online shopping • Coordination of channel • Winning both, new as well as distribution are unavoidable existing customers • Investment in e-commerce channels • Maintain independence from large platforms 16
We believe that this crisis will not create anything new in the long-term. But it will almost certainly accelerate the developments that have already taken place. 17
The purchasing behaviour permanently changes due to prevention measures. Uncertainty about the new Coronavirus is deconstructing traditional shopping behaviour, as retail researcher, Eva Stüber reviews the results of a study by the Cologne IFH Institute. "Older people in particular are now becoming aware of online shopping, including groceries. That will remain. People are adapting to this and noticed: It works." hellofresh REWE online Flaschenpost.de getnow PicNic Bringmeister mytime.de "The current "We are "Flaschenpost "We are "We are currently "Processing "The increased demand is 60% experiencing a registers practically fully experiencing an time of four to demand may above the level significant significantly booked - increase in six days is result in a longer before the increase in higher sometimes seven demand of currently processing time" crisis" order intensity in demand" days in advance" almost 50 standard" online sh" percent" 18 Source: Desk Research, IFH Studie „Onlinehandel“
In the future, the Increasing traffic and sales leads to tougher competition for survival of brands visibility will depend on a strong e-commerce focus more than Growth Rate ever. Amazon advertising revenues were already rising by +70% annually before the crisis 19 Source: https://www.netzoekonom.de/2018/06/22/600-millionen-euro-umsatz-mit-retail-media-in- deutschland-erwartet/, BMO Capital Markets, E-Marketer 2018, Estimate 2018-2020
It is extremely risky to become absolutely dependent on platforms in your e- commerce strategy. At the same time, brand webshops are becoming less relevant within the consumer journey. 20
Few brands can Webshop vs. Marketplace vs. Hybrid from the sales perspective. afford to work without a marketplace presence. strong Startups Apple „Uniqueness“ of the Product Hybrid Webshop Use of the marketplace to build brand awareness Trade Beck‘s Marks Use of the marketplace in the consultation phase Marketplace Hybrid and focus on conversions weak weak Brand Loyalty strong 21
Management Summary The Corona crisis is massively changing consumer buying behavior. Online trade is booming. Demand is „ The goal must be to shifting stronger than ever before that favour develop our own e- “generalists” in the retail sector. Some brands and commerce strategies retailers are participating more, others less. Logistics is in order to reduce the key success factor. dependencies.“ Amazon and ebay are reacting differently to the crisis. Particularly Amazon, who puts brands and retailers under massive pressure to act in the short- term. This further increases the dependency on large platforms. In the future, the survival of brands will significantly depend on a strong e-commerce focus. 22
Please stay healthy and take good care of yourself. 23
If you need support - no matter what topic - you are always welcome to contact your MediaCom team. 24
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