Social & Economic Policies of Putin's Fourth Term and Implications for Korea - Think Asia

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Social & Economic Policies of Putin's Fourth Term and Implications for Korea - Think Asia
July 5, 2018         Vol. 8 No. 19        ISSN -2233-9140

Social & Economic Policies of Putin’s
Fourth Term and Implications for Korea
PARK Joungho Director of New Northern Policy Department (jounghopark@kiep.go.kr)
MIN Jiyoung Senior Researcher, Russia and Eurasia Team, New Northern Policy Department (jymin@kiep.go.kr)
KIM Chorong, Researcher, Russia and Eurasia Team, New Northern Policy Department (crkim@kiep.go.kr)

I. Introduction                                                  It is necessary for the Korean government to
                                                                 consider the overall social and economic poli-
On    March 18, 2018 Vladimir Putin was re-
                                                                 cies of Russia when preparing future coopera-
elected to a fourth term as president of the                     tion plans with Russia. This is particularly true
Russian Federation. On May 7, 2018 his                           for the regional development sector, as it in-
fourth term officially started. Mr. Putin has                    cludes the railway, port and Arctic route with-
managed to establish a solid base for govern-                    in the “9-bridges” cooperation plan proposed
ment administration during his fourth term,                      by President Moon Jae-In during his visit to
and has effectively dealt with criticism regard-                 the 2017 International Economic Forum held
ing his long-term rule. However, several criti-                  in Vladivostok, thus raising hopes for coopera-
cal issues remain unresolved, mostly related to                  tion in housing and infrastructure construction
the post-Putin political order, domestic policy,                 projects.
macroeconomic stability, and other issues.

During his fourth term, Mr. Putin is likely to                   II. Major Social Policies
focus on domestic social and economic issues.
His plans for the next six years are stated in                   1. Health & Medicine
the “List of Instructions for the Implementa-
tion of the President’s Message to Federal As-                   As for the Health & Medicine sector, the Rus-
sembly” dated March 16, 2018 and Presiden-                       sian government adopted the State Program on
tial Decree No. 204 "On national goals and                       Healthcare Development up to 2025 on De-
strategic tasks of the development of the Rus-                   cember 2017. This program covers, among
sian Federation for the period until 2024" of                    others, death rate issues, problems related to
May 7, 2018. These two documents cover the                       providing medical service in remote areas, and
areas of medicine, education, environment,                       R&D issues. The government in cooperation
social welfare, regional development, trans-                     with the Ministry of Healthcare plans to spend
portation, advanced technology, R&D, and                         around 34 trillion rubles over 2018‒2025. Ma-
other related economic issues.                                   jor goals of this program include reducing the
July 5, 2018

death rate, improving medical service accessi-            government adopted the State Program on Na-
bility, introducing new medical technologies,             tional Education Development up to 2025 on
and reducing incidence of cardiovascular dis-             December 2017. This Program is aimed at im-
eases and malignant tumor.                                proving the quality of education, improving
                                                          the accessibility of education, and developing
    Table 1. State Program of Russia on                   online education platforms. The government
   “Healthcare development up to 2025”                    and Ministry of Education plan to spend
                  -   Reducing death rate                 around 31 trillion rubles during the period of
                  -   Improving medical service           2018 to 2025. This State Program covers all
                      accessibility
   Major Goals
                  -   Developing new technologies         level of education, from kindergarten to uni-
                  -   Reducing cardiovascular and         versity degree and extra-curricular education,
                      malignant tumor
                  -   Improvement of disease
                                                          including culture and art courses. The Russian
                      prevention and medical              government aims to have 100 million online
                      service
                  -   Expansion of rehabilitation
                                                          students enrolled by 2025 and 10 Russian uni-
                      and nursing facility                versities ranked in the world top-100 level.
                  -   Promotion of international
                      cooperation in healthcare and
  Sub-programs
                      medicine                            Table 2. State Program of Russia on “National
                  -   Implementation ICT                      Education Development up to 2025”
                      technology to healthcare
                      system                                                     -   Improving the quality of
                  -   Improvement national                                           education
                      compulsory medical                                         -   Improving access to
                      insurance system                        Major Goals
                                                                                     education
                  -   Promoting public awareness                                 -   Developing Internet
                      about self-healthcare via                                      Education
                      continuous education
                                                                                 -   Implementation of
                  -   Opening primary medical                                        professional educational
                      institutions in 33 federal                                     programs
                      districts by 2022
                                                                                 -   Development of preschool
                  -   Developing human resources                                     and general education
  Primary Tasks       in healthcare and medicine
                                                                                 -   Development of extra-
                  -   Promotion of Russian medical           Sub-programs
                                                                                     curricular education for
                      technology and medical                                         children
                      tourism of Russia
                                                                                 -   Improving the management of
                  -   Tightening medical                                             the education system
                      regulations
                                                                                 -   Promotion of the Russian
                  -   Improving medical service via                                  language
                      digitalization
                                                                                 -   Developing and distributing of
                                                                                     innovation technologies to
Recently   as the importance of cancer treat-                                        secondary vocational and
                                                                                     higher education
ment is growing, the Ministry of Healthcare of                                   -   Developing modern
                                                                                     mechanisms and
Russia is developing the Cancer Treatment                                            technologies of general
R&D Strategy up to 2030. This strategy is ex-                                        education
                                                                                 -   Implementing measures on
pected to encompass the modernization of                     Primary Tasks
                                                                                     development of the scientific,
cancer centers, early stage cancer diagnosis,                                        educational and creative
                                                                                     environment in educational
and the development of new cancer treatment                                          organizations
technologies.                                                                    -   Creating the system of extra-
                                                                                     curricular education for
2. Education & Culture                                                               children
                                                                                 -   Providing an infrastructure for
                                                                                     training human resources
In the Education & Culture sector, the Russian
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                                       Social & Economic Policies of Putin’s Fourth Term and Implications for Korea
July 5, 2018

                                                                                  -   Protection of Lake Baikal
In his presidential address to the Federal As-                                    -   Creating an effective system
sembly, Mr. Putin mentioned plans to create                                           of state regulation and
                                                                                      management of
additional museum complexes, implement                                                environmental protection
professional bachelor’s degree programs, and                                      -   Stimulating business to
                                                                                      cooperate in ecological
to simplify the Russian citizenship acquisition                                       modernization
procedure for professionals, but there has been                                   -   Creating conditions for the
                                                                                      development and
no further discussion regarding these agendas.                                        implementation of
Further specific measures regarding the im-                 Expected Results
                                                                                      environmentally efficient
                                                                                      innovative technologies
plementation of these tasks are expected to be                                    -   Developing the market of
published in October 2018 in the form of a                                            Eco-friendly goods and
                                                                                      services
new State Program on Culture Development.                                         -   Creation of environmentally
                                                                                      safe and comfortable
3. Environment                                                                        environment in urban areas
                                                                                  -   Reducing regional differences
                                                                                      in protection of rare and
As    for the Environment sector, the govern-                                         endangered species of the
ment adopted the State Program on Protecting                                          flora and fauna of Russia

Environment on December 2014. This Pro-
gram covers the period of 2012‒2020 and the                In addition, 69% of all Russian thermal power
state budget for this Program amounts to 270               plants were built during the period of
billion rubles over eight years. In addition, the          1964‒1988. The serious pollution resulting
Russian government announced 2017 as the                   from these plants and the need to procure a
Year of Environment. At the ECOTEX-2017                    secure energy supply has prompted the Rus-
forum held in Moscow in December 2017,                     sian Ministry of Energy to engage in a mod-
various talks were held in regard to joint re-             ernization program since 2014. This program
search with business partners on ways to de-               will is expected to cost around 95 billion ru-
crease industrial waste, protecting endangered             bles.
species with international organizations, creat-           4. Population & Welfare
ing 24 specially protected regions throughout
Russia, etc. These issues were announced the               In the Population & Welfare sector, the gov-
core results of the Year of Environment.                   ernment adopted the State Program on Social
                                                           Support to Citizens up to 2020 on December
Table 3. State Program of Russia on “Protect-              2014. The initial budget of this Program was
        ing Environment up to 2020”
                                                           13 trillion rubles for the period of 2013‒2020.
                   -   Increasing the level of
   Major Goals         environmental safety
                   -   Preserving environment                Table 4. State Program of Russia on “Social
                   -   Regulation of environmental                 Support to Citizens up to 2020”
                       quality
                   -   Prevention of biological                                   -   Increasing the accessibility of
                       diversity of Russia                                            social service for citizens
                   -   Managing hydro                                             -   Creating conditions for the
                       meteorological and                      Major Goals            growth of welfare of citizens,
  Sub-programs                                                                        who are the beneficiaries of
                       environmental monitoring
                   -   Organization of scientific                                     social support measures,
                       research in the Arctic and                                     state social guarantees
                       Antarctic                                                  -   Improvement of social
                   -   Elimination of accumulated                                     support for certain categories
                                                              Sub-programs
                       environmental damage                                           of citizens
                                                                                  -   Modernization and

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                                        Social & Economic Policies of Putin’s Fourth Term and Implications for Korea
July 5, 2018

                       development of social                Concept of the Regional Development Strate-
                       services for citizens
                   -   Provision of state support to        gy of the Russian Federation for the period up
                       families with children
                                                            to 2025. This document is currently under re-
                   -   Improvement of effectiveness
                       of state support for socially-       view by the Federation of the Federal Assem-
                       oriented non-profit
                       organizations
                                                            bly of Russia.
                   -   "The older generation"
                   -   Fulfilling state obligations on      Housing and mortgage issues are administrat-
                       social support to certain
                       categories of citizens               ed under the Priority Project of the Ministry of
                   -   Increase in the proportion of        Transportation and Ministry of Construction
                       social service institutions
                       based on other forms of              on Mortgage and Leasing launched in October
                       ownership                            2016. This Priority Project aims at improving
                   -   Increasing by 2018 the
                       average salary of social             the living conditions of Russian citizens and
                       workers to 100 percent of the        stimulating demands for housing.
                       average monthly income
Expected Results
                   -   Federal fertility rate growth
                   -   Increasing proportion of                Table 5. Priority Project of Ministry of Con-
                       orphans and children left
                       without parental care,                struction, Ministry of Transportation of Russia
                       transferred to families;                        on “Mortgage and Leasing”
                   -   Increasing the volume of
                       social services provided by                                 -   Improving housing conditions
                       socially-oriented non-profit                                    of Russian citizens
                                                                Major Goals
                       organizations                                               -   Stimulating demand for new
                   -   Improving the material and                                      hosing
                       social status of the elderly                                -   Construction of high-quality,
                                                                                       comfortable and affordable
                                                                                       housing,
Apart   from the State Program, the govern-                                        -   Improvement of mortgage
                                                               Sub-programs            loans for citizens and
ment has implemented a subsidy system since                                            reducing financial risks
2007, through which it aims to alleviate the                                       -   Implementation of pilot
                                                                                       projects for construction of
population problem. Childcare allowance is                                             specialized rental housing,
paid out of the Federal Pension Fund, from                                         -   Using more than 13,500
                                                                                       hectares of federal land in
government budget, when Russians give birth                                            cities with population of over
to or adopt a second child, and can only be                                            250,000 for housing
                                                                                   -   Supplying of 21.2 million
used for the purpose of housing improvement,                                           ㎡ of housing
child education, insurance, and treatment of                                       -   Issuing mortgage securities
                                                                                       more than 40% of total of
disabled children. The Russian government                    Expected Results          securities issued over 2017-
also enacted the Low-Rate Mortgage Loan Act                                            2020
                                                                                   -   Providing mortgage and
on January 1, 2018 in response to how 92% of                                           leasing online
the childcare allowance was used mainly for                                        -   A large-scale rental housing
                                                                                       and apartment building
housing needs.                                                                         project might be implemented
                                                                                       by mutual funds, of 65 billion
                                                                                       rubles till 2020
II. Major Economic Policies
1. Regional Development & Infrastruc-
                                                            Another    Priority Project related to regional
ture                                                        development and Infrastructure is the Safe and
                                                            Good Quality Roads project, which falls under
To deal with Regional Development concerns,                 the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Transporta-
the Russian government has prepared the                     tion. This Priority Project started in 2017 and

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                                         Social & Economic Policies of Putin’s Fourth Term and Implications for Korea
July 5, 2018

will continue up to 2025.                                   cember 2016. The main goals of this Strategy
                                                            are to improve human resource management
 Table 6. Priority Project of Ministry of Trans-            in science and technology, create research-
portation of Russia on “Safe and Good Quality               friendly environments, and promote interna-
                     Roads”                                 tional cooperation.
                   -   Creating normative road
                       condition in urban                   The   Ministry of Education also adopted the
                       agglomerations (in 2018 -
                       50%, in 2025 - 85%);                 State Program on Scientific and Technological
                   -   Reducing the number of               Development of Russia in April 2014. This
   Major Goals         traffic accidents (in 2018 - by
                       50% of the level of 2016, in         State Program covers the period of 2013 to
                       2025 - by 85%);                      2020, and has been allocated a budget of 145
                   -   Optimizing traffic flows
                   -   Increasing the efficiency of         billion rubles. Recently, a new State Program
                       spending road funds                  on Scientific and Technological Development
                   -   Implementation of programs
                       for integrated development of        is being prepared. The new version will cover
                       transport infrastructure of          the period from 2018 to 2025. The aims of the
                       urban agglomerations aimed
                       at eliminating accidents spots       new Program are likely to center on the devel-
                       and doing restoration work           opment of intellectual potential, scientific,
                   -   Adoption of legal acts aimed
                       at improving traffic and             technical and intellectual support to structural
      Step I
                       optimizing traffic flows,            changes in the economy, and the effective or-
     (~2018)
                   -   Management of information
                       resource on road funds usage         ganization of scientific, technical and innova-
                       efficiency                           tive activities.
                   -   Formation of a database of
                       photo and video materials on
                       traffic rule violations              Along with the Strategy and State Program on
                   -   Management of public
                       monitoring of roads.                 Scientific and Technological Development,
                   -   Implementation of programs           the government of Russia adopted another
                       for integrated development of
                       transport infrastructure of          State Program in July 2017 on the Digital
                       urban agglomerations aimed           Economy. This program aims at creating new
                       at improving the system of
                       traffic management and               digital contents, in which the data in digital
                       optimizing traffic flows,            form is the key factor of production in all
      Step II
                       synchronizing the
   (2019-2021)                                              spheres of social and economic activity, thus
                       development of transport
                       infrastructure and all types of      ensuring effective interactions across borders
                       transport
                   -   Introduction in urban                and throughout the business, scientific and
                       agglomerations an digital            educational communities, and between the
                       traffic management systems
                       and transport infrastructure         state and citizens.
                   -   Completion of integrated
     Step III          development of transport
   (2022-2025)         infrastructure of urban              Table 7. State Program of Russia on “National
                       agglomerations.                          Education Development up to 2025”
2. Scientific & Technical Development                                              - Development of intellectual
                                                                                     potential of the nation
                                                                                 -   Improving the quality of life
Scientific & Technical Development is ad-                       Major Goals
                                                                                     and strengthening national
                                                                                     security
dressed by the government’s adoption of the                                      -   Effective organization of
Strategy on Scientific and Technological De-                                         scientific, technical and
                                                                                     innovation activities
velopment of the Russian Federation on De-                     Sub-programs        - Development of young talents

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                                         Social & Economic Policies of Putin’s Fourth Term and Implications for Korea
July 5, 2018

                     and professionals                    seemingly in line with the third term.
                   - Performance of fundamental
                     long-term scientific research
                   - Forming wide range scientific,       Beginning from as early as 2016, the govern-
                     technological and innovative
                     development                          ment has announced the need for new policies
                   - Doing research, development          on healthcare and medicine, housing, educa-
                     and innovation for
                     implementing government              tion, environment, digital economy, and eco-
                     priorities                           nomic growth.
                   - Forming Infrastructure for
                     scientific, technical and
                     innovative activities                The Korean government needs to consider all
                   - Forming an integrated system
                     of sustainable development of        the abovementioned policies currently ongo-
                     scientific, engineering and          ing within Russia. The healthcare, medicine
                     entrepreneurial personnel
                   - Obtaining new fundamental            and education sectors are not included in the
                     results                              “nine bridges” cooperation plan proposed by
                   - Producing of new science-
Expected Results     intensive products(goods,            the Korean government, but they are regarded
                     services)                            as the most promising areas for cooperation
                   - Locating large international
                     scientific projects                  between the two countries. The environment
                   - Reducing costs for                   sector is seen as a particularly promising new
                     organization scientific,
                     technical and innovation             cooperation area between Korea and Russia,
                     activities                           and this cooperation will be expanded through
                                                          projects such as joint research on environmen-
Additional  proposals on the Comprehensive                tal monitoring systems and sharing know-how
Action Plan for the Government of the Rus-                on waste management. The regional develop-
sian Federation for 2017-2025 are still in pro-           ment sector includes the railway, port, and
cess. The prior deadline, May 30, 2017, has               Arctic route of the “Nine Bridges”1 suggested
been extended at the behest of the Government.            by the Korean government. When considering
                                                          the policy direction of Russia, the construction
                                                          of housing and infrastructure will be a particu-
IV. Conclusion
                                                          larly promising area to strengthen cooperation
Coming into the fourth term of Putin's presi-             between the two economies.
dency, it is expected that the previous regional
development policy, which focused on infra-
                                                          In addition, both Korea and Russia emphasize
                                                          the importance of policies to support the
structure construction, and the rest of the so-
                                                          growth of SMEs, meaning it should be possi-
cio-economic policy platform will continue in
                                                          ble to seek new avenues of cooperation be-
a similar direction as his third term.
                                                          tween SMEs in the two countries.
The construction of housing and infrastructure
for regional development is mentioned at the
beginning of the List of Instructions for the
Implementation of the President’s Message to
Federal Assembly, dated March 16, 2018, and
the concepts, strategies and programs related             1 The concept presented by Korean President Moon Jae-
to regional development are being developed               In during the 3rd Eastern Economic Forum, which repre-
                                                          sents 9 bridges (shipbuilding, harbor, Arctic route, gas,
in accordance with this List. Other policies are          railway, energy, agriculture, fishery, job) connecting Ko-
                                                          rea with northern countries.

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                                       Social & Economic Policies of Putin’s Fourth Term and Implications for Korea
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