Snapshot: Impacts of COVID-19 on St. Tammany - May 2021
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Snapshot: Impacts of COVID-19 on St. Tammany St. Tammany Corporation’s Economic Research Publication 16 charts and graphs that show how St. Tammany’s community and economy have been changed by COVID-19 throughout 2020 May 2021 and into 2021 1
COVID-19 in St. Tammany Cases St. Tammany Total Probable & Confirmed COVID-19 Cases 30,000 As of May 20, 2021: • 21,359 confirmed positive cases 25,000 • 25,846 total probable + confirmed cases 20,000 • 374,648 tests administered • 2.3% confirmed positive test rate (one-week rate) 15,000 10,000 Daily New Cases with Seven-Day Moving Average 5,000 800 800 700 700 0 4/11 4/25 5/23 6/20 7/18 8/15 8/29 9/12 9/26 11/7 12/5 1/16 1/30 2/13 2/27 3/13 3/27 4/10 4/24 5/22 10/10 10/24 11/21 12/19 5/9 6/6 7/4 8/1 1/2 5/8 Seven-Day Moving Average 600 600 Daily New Cases 500 500 • 8,150 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents 400 400 • There have been fewer than 100 new cases each day since early 300 300 March and fewer than 50 new cases/day for about a month. 200 200 • Note: Due to a two-month statewide backlog that was reported 100 100 in mid-November, total cases were drastically higher from 0 0 November 17th onward. Additionally, total cases going forward 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 include both probable cases and confirmed cases. Daily Case Increase 7-day average Source: Louisiana Department of Health; St. Tammany Corporation Analysis
COVID-19 in St. Tammany Vaccinations As of May 20, 2021: • 96,224 first doses of the COVID-19 vaccine have been administered. • 86,856 second doses have been administered. • 38.2% of the population has received at least one dose of the two-part vaccine. • 34.5% of the population has received both doses. • St. Tammany has the 4th highest full vaccination rate in the state. • The map to the right shows the full vaccination rate for each of Louisiana’s nine health regions. Source: Louisiana Department of Health; St. Tammany Corporation Analysis
COVID-19 in St. Tammany Mortality As of May 20, 2021: St. Tammany Total COVID-19 Deaths • 525 deaths 600 5/20, 525 • 2.5% mortality rate (deaths as a proportion of 500 confirmed cases) 400 • The longest period with no additional COVID-19 deaths was 11 days, from 4/24 to 5/4. 300 St. Tammany Daily Increase in COVID-19 Deaths 200 14 100 12 0 10 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 8 6 Demographic Breakdown Race Deaths Cases Population (2018) Cases per 1,000 4 Black 64 3,782 32,238 117.3 2 White 457 19,493 215,496 90.5 Other 4 1,697 10,377 163.5 0 Unknown 0 734 N/A N/A 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 Source: Louisiana Department of Health; St. Tammany Corporation Analysis
Unemployment Number of initial claims for unemployment during St. Tammany Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance the week ending 5/8/2021: 7,000 Highest Point 4/4, 5,952 259 6,000 Number of initial claims for unemployment during 5,000 the same week in 2020 (week ending 5/9/2020): 4,000 1,904 3,000 Average weekly number of initial claims, March- December 2020: 2,000 1,254 1,000 5/8, 259 Average weekly number of initial claims in 2021: - 3/21 4/21 5/21 6/21 7/21 8/21 9/21 10/21 11/21 12/21 1/21 2/21 3/21 4/21 5/21 332 2020 2021 Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission 5
Unemployment St. Tammany Unemployment Rate 16.0% 15.1% • In its most recent jobs report, LWC reported that St. Tammany’s unemployment rate was 4.4% in 14.0% March 2021, lower than: 12.3% • the national rate (6.0%), 12.0% • the Louisiana rate (7.3%), 9.0% 10.0% • and the Greater New Orleans rate (8.0%). 8.2% 8.0% 6.7% • The same report showed that from February to 5.1% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 6.0% 5.2% March, 1,121 people rejoined the labor force. 4.7% 4.8% 4.4% 4.0% • March’s unemployment rate is the lowest in over a year. 2.0% 0.0% Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission 6
Job Postings Year-over-Year Comparison 8,500 • Compared to 2019, job postings across 8,000 all industries in St. Tammany were 7,500 significantly lower from April to September 2020. 7,000 6,500 • April 2021 continued the trend of 6,000 higher job postings than all previous years and all previous months, with 5,500 nearly 7,900 unique job postings. 5,000 4,500 • Jobs in highest demand continue to be 4,000 registered nurses, truck drivers, and retail salespeople. 2019 2020 2021 Source: EMSI 7
Changes in Consumer Spending • As of May 9, 2021, total consumer spending in St. Tammany had increased to 30.8% higher than January St. Tammany Parish 2020 levels. • On the same day in 2020, consumer spending was down 17.9%, demonstrating a nearly 50 percentage point improvement. Source: Opportunity Insights Economic Tracker 8
Household Pulse According to a nationwide survey conducted by the Census Bureau from 4/14 – 4/26: • Of adults living in households with children enrolled in public/private school, 25.7% were in households where students received food assistance from school in the last 7 days. • 25.7% of American adults had an appointment with a doctor, nurse, or other health professional by video or by phone in the last 4 weeks. • 25.2% of adults are planning to take overnight trips or trips to places more than 100 miles away in the next 4 weeks. • 26.2% of adults live in households where it has been somewhat or very difficult to pay usual household expenses in the last 7 days. • Of adults living in households not current on rent or mortgage, 30.6% report eviction or foreclosure in the next two months is somewhat or very likely. • 27% of adults live in households where at least one adult teleworked because of the coronavirus pandemic in the last 7 days. • 8.1% of American adults lived in households where there was either sometimes or often not enough to eat in the previous 7 days. • 14.8% of American adults expect someone in their household to experience a loss in employment income in the next 4 weeks. Source: Census Bureau Household Pulse 9
Gas Prices • As of May 20, 2021, the average fuel price in the U.S. is $3.04 per gallon, surpassing $3.00 for the first time since 2014. • In April, national prices averaged $2.877. • Nationally, April’s prices are up 111¢ from the same time in 2020, when they were $1.927. Source: GasBuddy.com 1 0
Gas Prices • As of May 20, 2021, St. Tammany’s average fuel price is $2.702, lower than the state and slightly higher than the New Orleans Metro prices. • In the New Orleans Metro, the average price is $2.553 in May 2021, slightly up from April’s $2.561 but still lower than 95% of other metro areas in the U.S. • The state average fuel price is $2.709, the 2nd lowest average price in the nation. Source: GasBuddy.com 1 1
Gas Prices • The graph to the right shows the average gas prices in the New Orleans metro, state, and nation from late 2019, before we felt the initial effects of the pandemic on our economy, through the following 18 months until now. • Gas prices in the New Orleans metro are consistently lower than the state and nation. Prices steadily rose during the first quarter of the year and have continued to rise through the second quarter as more people feel comfortable increasing their road travel. Source: GasBuddy.com 1 2
Residential Travel Since Stay-at-Home Order Although the stay-at-home order is no longer in effect, people are still encouraged to limit their travel in order to stay safe. 70% The purpose of the community mobility report is to give insight 60% +58% into key questions: • How have travel and mobility in St. Tammany been impacted 50% by the pandemic? 40% • How well has St. Tammany adhered to the stay-at-home 30% order? • Where are people going when they aren’t going to work, 20% +11% going shopping, or doing leisure/entertainment activities? 10% +7% +7% 0 0 Definitions: 0% • Retail & Recreation: places like restaurants, cafes, shopping -10% -2% -4% centers, theme parks, museums, libraries, and movie theaters • Grocery & Pharmacy: places like grocery markets, food -20% -16% -20% warehouses, farmers markets, specialty food shops, drug stores, -30% and pharmacies Retail & Grocery & Parks Workplaces Residential • Parks: places like national parks, public beaches, marinas, dog Recreation Pharmacy parks, plazas, and public gardens St. Tammany Louisiana • Workplaces: places of work • Residential: places of residence • Negative percentages indicate reduction in travel Source: Google | COVID-19 Community Mobility Report 1 3
Key Takeaways • St. Tammany has recorded 25,800 confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases and has surpassed 500 COVID-related deaths over 14 months. However, daily new cases have stayed below 100 for three months, and for 11 consecutive days in April, there were no new COVID-19 deaths in St. Tammany. Relatedly, St. Tammany also continues to have one of the highest vaccination rates in the state. • So far in 2021, the average number of weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance in St. Tammany is about a quarter of the 2020 average. The unemployment rate has remained below 6.0% in St. Tammany for five consecutive months. • While many households across the nation now feel more comfortable traveling and returning to work, school, and doctors’ appointments, many households continue to struggle with finances, employment, housing, and food insecurity resulting from the ongoing economic crisis. • Gas prices in the New Orleans Metro are among the lowest 5% of metro areas in the nation at a time when the national average fuel price has surpassed $3.00 per gallon for the first time since 2014. 1 4
St. Tammany Corporation’s economic research publication @StTammanyCorporation @StTammanyCorp StTammanyCorp.org Prepared by: Elizabeth Lee Research and Policy Analyst & Economic Development Specialist elee@sttammanycorp.org
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