Smith and Ricardo model - Jan J. Michalek
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Smith and Ricardo model Jan J. Michalek Absoulte advantage: Smith Figure 2.1 Adam Smith (1723-1790) Scottish philosopher, considered by many to be the founder of modern economic science as we know it. Famous for the 'invisible hand', that is how people pursuing their own self- interest actually benefit society as a whole, and the advantages of increasing "specialization" (the pin factory example). Major publications are The theory of moral sentiments (1759) and An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations (1776). 1
Smith & Ricardo models: assumptions z Perfect competition z One homogenous factor of production: L (labor): mobile at home and immobile internationally z Technology: constant alj: unit labor requirements Î Constant returns to scale (CRS) z No transport costs z No trade barriers between countries; z Two countries (home and foreign) and 2 homogenous goods (C & F: cloth & food) A One Factor Ricardian Model (cont.) Role of labor 1. Labor is the only resource important for production. 2. Labor productivity varies across countries, usually due to differences in technology, but labor productivity in each country is constant across time. 3. The supply of labor in each country is constant. 4. Only two goods are important for production and consumption: cheese and food. 5. Competition allows laborers to be paid a “competitive” wage, a function of their productivity and the price of the good that they can sell, and allows laborers to work in the industry that pays the highest wage. 2
Smith: absolute advantage Absolute advantage: Smith Country has an absolute advantage in production of „c” when: alc savings of 1 hour ===> trade Î game with positive outcome David Ricardo Figure 3.1 David Ricardo (1772-1823) Born in London as the third son of a Jewish family emigrated from Holland he married the daughter of a Quaker and was disinherited by his parents. Ricardo nonetheless accumulated a fortune as a stock-jobber and loan contractor. As Blaug (1986, p. 201) puts it: "Ricardo may or may not be the greatest economist that ever lived, but he was certainly the richest." His fame today rests mainly, of course, on his contributions to the theory of comparative advantage. 3
Ricardo model alc ⋅ Qc + alF ⋅ QF ≤ L full employment condition (home country) a ⋅Q + a ⋅Q ≤ L * lc * c * lF * F * full employment condition (foreign country) L+L*= Lw alc w = Pc (zero profit condition) alF w = PF (zero profit condition) and the same in foreign country: alc*w* = Pc* & alF*w*= PF* Production Possibilities z The production possibility frontier (PPF) of an economy shows the maximum amount of a goods that can be produced for a fixed amount of resources. z If QC represents the quantity of cheese produced and QF represents the quantity of food produced, then the production possibility frontier of the domestic economy has the equation: aLCQC + aLFQF = L Total amount of labor resources Labor required for Total units Labor required for Total units each unit of of cheese each unit of food of food chesse production production production production 4
Equilibrium in autarky QF Q*F L*/a*lF L/alF A* D U0 U*0 0 A L/alc QC 0 D* L*/a*lc Q*C Changes in relative prices z Assumption: aLC/aLF< aLC*/aLF* z i.e. country has a comparative advantage in the production of good „C” (cloth) and foreign in „F” (food) z In the autarky: Pc/PF = aLC/aLF z & P*c/P*F = a*LC/a*LF z before trade liberalization (PC/PF)
Terms of trade: world equilibrium: alC/alF
Equilibrium under free trade Q*F Foreign A*P Terms of trade L*/a*LF A* A*C2 A*C1 U*1 U*0 O* L*/a*LC Q*c Ricardo: numerical example Home country has a comparative advantage in production of cheese when: alc/alF
Ricardo: numerical example: continued -->if: w=1$ per one hour & and in foreign country w* = 1/3$ per one hour (or 1/3 of domestic wage, because home is 3 times more efficient on average) (in fact wages depend on TOT and on equilibrium between RS & RD) Î we would observe the following prices of goods: TOT=1; w= 1, w*=1/3 Country Cloth (C) Food (F) Home PC = alC ⋅ w = 1 PF = alF ⋅ w = 2 Foreign PC* = alC * ⋅ w* = 2 PF* = alF* ⋅ w* = 1 Î Trade is possible: country exports cheaper cloth and imports more expensive food (Foreign imports C and exports F). Î Trade is beneficial for both countries Ricardo: numerical example: continued -->if: w=1$ per one hour & and in foreign country w* = 1/3$ per one hour (or 1/3 of domestic wage, because home is 3 times more efficient on average) (in fact wages depend on TOT and on equilibrium between RS & RD) Î we would observe the following prices of goods: TOT=1; w= 1, w*=1/3 Country Cheese (C) Food (F) Home PC = alC ⋅ w = 1 PC* = alC * ⋅ w* = 2 Foreign PF = alF ⋅ w = 2 PF* = alF* ⋅ w* = 1 Î Trade is possible: country exports cheaper cheese and imports more expensive food (Foreign imports C and exports F). Î Trade is beneficial for both countries 8
Productivity & wages Limitations of the model: Transportation Costs and Non-traded Goods z The Ricardian model predicts that countries should completely specialize in production. z But this rarely happens for primarily 3 reasons: 1. More than one factor of production reduces the tendency of specialization (H-O) 2. Protectionism 3. Transportation costs reduce or prevent trade, which may cause each country to produce the same good or service 9
Common misconceptions about comparative advantage: z 1. Free trade is beneficial if you country is strong enough to stand up to foreign competition; z 2. Foreign competition is unfair and hurts other countries when it is based on low wages z 3. Free trade exploits less productive countries. z While labor standards in some countries are less than exemplary compared to Western standards, they are so with or without trade. z Are high wages and safe labor practices alternatives to trade? Deeper poverty and exploitation (e.g., involuntary prostitution) may result without export production. z Consumers benefit from free trade by having access to cheaply (efficiently) produced goods. z Producers/workers benefit from having higher profits/wages—higher compared to the alternative. Relative productivity and exports Kenya/EU Kenya Kenya category name rel. prod. export% - import% 311/2 Food products 117 77,61 313 Beverages 118 -0,50 321 Textiles 109 -4,95 322/3 Wearing apparel and leather products 78 1,19 324 Footwear 306 -0,20 331 Wood products 66 0,16 332 Furniture 72 -0,30 341/2 Paper and printing products 165 -2,86 351/2 Chemicals 66 -15,67 355 Rubber products 352 -0,78 356 Plastic products 170 -2,84 361/2/9 Non-metallic mineral products 99 -0,11 381 Fabricated metal products 282 -1,99 382/3 Machinery 191 -29,31 384 Transport equipment 51 -8,74 385 Professional and scientific equipment 3647 -4,01 10
Empirical verification of Ricardo model Relative productivity and exports 100 Kenya export (%) - import (%) food 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 chemicals machinery -50 Relative productivity ratio (Kenya/EU); % 11
Model with many goods Comparative Advantage With Many Goods (cont.) z If w/w* = 3, the domestic country will produce apples, bananas, and caviar, while the foreign country will produce dates and enchiladas. z The relative productivities of the domestic country in producing apples, bananas and caviar are higher than the relative wage. 12
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