Shaping the Global Future Together - Atlantic Council
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On the cover: Demonstrators wave their smartphones during a rally in Hong Kong, China, June 26, 2019. REUTERS/THOMAS PETER Contents INTRODUCTION The Atlantic Council was built for this historic moment .................................................. 4 AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T OUR PROGRAMS The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security .... 12 Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller Foundation Resilience Center ............................................................. 16 The Digital Forensic Research Lab ............................ 20 Global Business & Economics Program ................... 22 Global Energy Center .................................................... 24 Millennium Leadership Program ................................ 26 Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center ....................... 28 Africa Center .................................................................... 30 Eurasia Center ................................................................. 32 The Future Europe Initiative ........................................ 34 Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East Programs ........... 36 South Asia Center .......................................................... 38 Atlantic Council IN TURKEY ......................................... 40 CONVENING The Atlantic Council Global Citizen Awards and Distinguished Leadership Awards ..................... 44 The Atlantic Council Global Energy Forum ............. 46 NATO Engages ................................................................ 47 International Advisory Board ....................................... 48 Board of Directors .......................................................... 49 2019 Honor Roll ............................................................... 50 Financial summary .......................................................... 52 About us ............................................................................ 54 Ceremony marking the thirtieth anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall at Bernauer Strasse in Berlin, Germany, November 9, 2019. 2 Twelve years of growth ................................................. 56 REUTERS/FABRIZIO BENSCH
INTRODUCTION We together seek to understand and manage the impact of these times JOHN F.W. ROG ERS on our community of values CHAIRMAN FREDERICK KEMPE and common interests. PRESIDENT & CEO The Atlantic Council was AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T I N T R O D U C T I O N INTRODUCTION built for this historic AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T moment It might seem counter-intuitive to look backward in this Atlantic Council Annual Report for 2019 when the world is hurtling forward at warp speed. Yet it is only by understanding the ingredients involved in our past year’s performance (see pages 54–55)— preceded by a dozen years of growth and innovation (see pages 52–53)— that one can understand why the Atlantic Council has so successfully negotiated the historic disruptions of 2020. The pages that follow, the Atlantic Council’s Annual Report for 2019, capture what may have been the most successful year in the Atlantic Council’s six-decade existence. That’s certainly G-7 Working Session on the Global Economy, true by any financial measure, and that Foreign Policy, and Security Affairs in Biarritz. 4 is also underscored in this report’s review ANDREW HARNIK/POOL VIA REUTERS 5
of the substantive work of our thirteen The words that follow, “the global following the first and second world wars. The leaders of that day failed to seize programs and centers. future,” embrace our worldwide outlook As was the case during those periods, their historic opportunity for a host of It is that sound foundation that and forward-focus. how we navigate the period ahead will reasons, including US isolationism and has allowed the Atlantic Council to so Yet no word among the five is have generational consequences. political polarization, European disunity effectively navigate the triple shock of more powerful to us than “together.” I’ve recently reread two books of and seething animosities, and a failure 2020: the worst pandemic in a century, It expresses our intentionally collabo- history that provide some perspective— by all to foresee the consequences of the sharpest economic downturn since rative way of working alongside partners worst-case and best-case—on what’s at their actions. the Great Depression, and the most and allies. stake as we confront this defining moment. The second book, Dean Acheson’s significant anti-racism upheavals in We act with the conviction that One is Margaret MacMillan’s Paris 1919, Present at the Creation, is the memoir more than fifty years. none of our most significant international which the late Richard Holbrooke in the of President Harry S. Truman’s secretary The demand for our published challenges can be addressed in national book’s forward called “a study of flawed of state (and one of the Atlantic Council’s work and convening platform has never or institutional silos. Common cause has decisions with terrible consequences, founders). Chastened by the post-World been greater from our partners all seldom been so vital. many of which haunt us to this day.” War I experience and galvanized by the around the world, as we together seek We entered this period with a funda- President Woodrow Wilson Soviet Communist threat, the United to understand and manage the impact mental belief that the stakes we faced pronounced that the victory in World States and its allies rose to the challenge of these times on our community of as an Atlantic Council global community War I would “make the world safe for after World War II. values and common interests. were of historic dimensions. Even before democracy.” The writer H.G. Wells called Acheson called the task of creating After fewer than four months of COVID-19, we confronted an inflection it “the war to end wars.” Instead, that a new world after the wars in Europe AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T I N T R O D U C T I O N INTRODUCTION working remotely, our website had more point in history as significant as those aspirational world unraveled into one of and Asia ended in 1945 “as just a bit than double the number of page views nationalism and fascism, protectionism less formidable than that described in daily than it had in the previous year. and global depression, and then World the first chapter of Genesis. That was Through mid-June, we had staged more War II and the Holocaust. to create a world out of chaos, ours, to than 275 virtual events, some two-thirds create half a world, a free half, out of the of which were public, with more than How we navigate the period same material without blowing the whole AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T 600,000 individuals tuned in across all ahead will have generational “Visions in Motion” art installation at Brandenburg Gate in Berlin, Germany. to pieces in the process. The wonder of the many digital platforms we employ. consequences. REUTERS/FABRIZIO BENSCH it is how much was done.” That exponential growth in our global Our challenge now is no less formidable. reach through digital innovation will make Rather than creating a world out of us even more effective and relevant when post-war chaos, as Acheson put it, the we return to our offices later this year. task now is to reinvent the world for the Above all, we are benefiting from 21st century while heading off the myriad three strengths that were in place before threats of disarray that are emerging all the coronavirus struck: a compelling around us. The mission is to find novel mission and purpose, a committed ways to preserve and improve upon the global community of stakeholders best of what we have achieved together and donors, and a diverse, dynamic, in the past seventy-five years, knowing and results-oriented team. that the consequences of failure could Let’s take them in order. be even more horrific than World War II given the war-fighting technologies of SHAPING THE GLOBAL our times. FUTURE TOGETHER Though the decades since that war First, the short version of our mission have been punctuated with setbacks, statement, “shaping the global future the overall trajectory was one of demo- together,” is only five words long, cratic gain and the expansion and but those words express a world protection of individual rights, prosperity, of meaning. and rules-based institutions. “Shaping” speaks to the results-ori- The United States and the Soviet ented nature of how we operate. We Union, though both nuclear-armed, aspire not just to admire and analyze avoided major-power war. The Berlin challenges, but to inspire, seek, and Wall’s fall and Soviet collapse ended 6 implement solutions wherever possible. that era peacefully. 7
The Atlantic Council’s most recent In 2020, for the sixth year running, strategic review—involving both staff and the Atlantic Council was recognized board members—laid out six major chal- with a four-star Charity Navigator The mission is to lenges that are at the center of our work rating, recognizing our commitment find novel ways for this new epoch. to industry best practices regarding both They include: our financial health and our accountability to preserve and • Managing a new era of major-power and transparency. improve upon the competition. It is support from this committed best of what we • Strengthening open market community that has empowered the have achieved democracies. innovations that have shaped the Atlantic • Redefining and reinvigorating the Council over the past dozen years (see together. US role in the world. pages 56–57). • Reinvigorating our rules-based The decisions of board members and global order. International Advisory Board members • Harnessing emerging technologies to name centers and fellows have helped for good. unlock the value of the Atlantic Council. • Advancing global resilience through Most prominent and enduring among climate-change mitigation and adap- these members have been Adrienne AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T I N T R O D U C T I O N INTRODUCTION tation, and by addressing migratory Arsht, Boyden Gray, Bahaa Hariri, and NATO Secretary General Jens and public-health challenges. Brent Scowcroft. Stoltenberg shakes hands with US President Donald Trump The Atlantic Council has also at the NATO leaders summit. If the United States rises to this enjoyed four significant chapters of REUTERS/YVES HERMAN moment, alongside its partners and board leadership in the past dozen years, allies, we can navigate this period serving to reorient the institution and then operating rhythm onto the foresight and The steps we took included the AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T successfully, build upon the progress remake it as a global leader in its field analytical capabilities of our expert staff introduction and design of a fully paid of the past seven decades, and enter while consistently refreshing the board. and board. The approach recognizes that internship program so that it will be far one of humanity’s most enlightened These leaders have included while policy makers must often make more diverse, inclusive, and competitive. and prosperous times. Ambassador Henry Catto (1999– their most significant decisions in the The program will serve as a career accel- Conversely, history has taught us 2007), General (ret.) James L Jones heat of events, those decisions turn out erator for the next generation of interna- what a heavy price we will pay should (2007–2009; 2017– 2018), Senator best when they are informed by strategic tional policy leaders. we fail in our efforts. (later Secretary of Defense) Chuck Hagel purpose and consistency. Among many other measures, we (2009–2013), Gen (ret.) Brent Scowcroft The Atlantic Council recruits also added anti-bias training to our THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL (long the organization’s driving force, its staff with the intentional aim of respectful-workplace workshops COMMUNITY (1998–1999; 2013–4), and Jon M. forging a diverse, dynamic team of and launched a Diversity, Equity, Second, the Atlantic Council has Huntsman, Jr. collegial, collaborative, optimistic, and Inclusion Council to ensure our benefited from a committed community results-oriented, nonpartisan, and entre- efforts and policies are best-in-class. of supporters and partners. THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL’S preneurial individuals. They are armed Our substantive programming will also That community includes loyal RESULTS-ORIENTED CULTURE with deep content-area expertise. be expanded to look at the crucial and generous donors (see honor role Third, and perhaps most crucially, The legendary management consultant domestic underpinnings of effective on pages 50–51), an engaged Board the Atlantic Council over the last Peter Drucker famously wrote that “culture US foreign policy. of Directors and International Advisory decade has transformed its culture eats strategy for breakfast.” We would We like to quote the anthropologist Board (pages 48–49), and a worldwide into that of a faster-paced, innovative, extend that to all other meals of the day. Margaret Mead when people ask whether group of stakeholders—inside and and results-oriented organization. Developing the right strategy achieves little the Atlantic Council is setting the bar too outside of government—who contribute Its teams have become part of the daily without the right culture to deliver on it. high for itself. to our work and benefit from it. policy mix, responding to world-shaping The work of building and sustaining “Never doubt that a small group We have found that our most events at the speed with which they our culture is continuous, as we learned of thoughtful, committed citizens can significant partners see themselves as unfold even while engaging in the again this year when we took additional change the world,” she said. “Indeed, investors in our mission. They embrace deeper strategic thinking and work measures to make the Atlantic Council it’s the only thing that ever has.” our adherence to intellectual indepen- required by our times. even more diverse after the tragic killing No organization of our kind has dence and transparency regarding To nurture that culture, the Atlantic of George Floyd on May 25, 2020, ever achieved great results by aiming 8 our donors. Council has welded a more dynamic and the events that followed. too low. ● 9
Our Programs T H E M A T I C P R O G R A M S The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security • Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller Foundation Resilience Center • The Digital Forensic Research Lab • Global Business & Economics Program • Global Energy Center • Millennium Leadership Program R E G I O N A L P R O G R A M S Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center • Africa Center • Eurasia Center • The Future Europe Initiative • Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East Programs • South Asia Center • Atlantic Council IN TURKEY Soldiers hold NATO and Enhanced Forward Presence (eFP) battle group country flags in Rukla military base, Lithuania, February 4, 2019. REUTERS/INTS KALNINS
TH E M ATI C PRO G R A M S The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security develops sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world. The center honors General Brent Scowcroft’s legacy of service and embodies his ethos of The Scowcroft Center nonpartisan commitment to the cause of security, support for US leadership in cooperation with allies and partners, for Strategy and Security and dedication to the mentorship of the next generation of leaders. AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S The Scowcroft Center currently priority issue areas in 2019: the return A military vehicle carrying a WZ-8 supersonic reconnaissance drone houses four major practice areas: the of great-power competition; revitalizing travels past Tiananmen Square during Foresight, Strategy, and Risks Initiative; the rules-based international system, and military parade in Beijing, China the Transatlantic Security Initiative; the harnessing rapid technological change. October 1, 2019. REUTERS/JASON LEE Asia Security Initiative; and the Cyber In the area of great power competition, Statecraft Initiative. In 2020, it will add the center’s Strategy Consortium zeroed three new programs: the Global Strategy in on China while Scowcroft Center Initiative, the New American Engagement experts contributed directly to a number Initiative, and Forward Defense. of US national strategy efforts behind In 2019, the Scowcroft Center distin- the scenes. The Strategy Consortium guished itself as a go-to forum for serious is unique in that it regularly includes strategy work and solidified its role as senior government officials responsible one of the most impactful nonpartisan for strategy and directly informs their centers working on national security. strategy development efforts. In early Due in large part to the Scowcroft 2019, the center published a Strategic Center’s work, the Atlantic Council was Insights Memo (SIM) on the China 5G ranked the eighth top think tank in the threat to Europe that was briefed to world for defense and national security senior US and European officials and by the University of Pennsylvania’s Go helped to put the issue on the map to Think Tank Index. globally. Additionally, the Scowcroft The center notched important accom- Center’s report, Permanent Deterrence, plishments in its three most important had a significant impact on the US military presence in Poland. The center’s annual “NATO Engages” event was once again a huge success and was temporarily the number one trending item on Twitter. Due in large part to the To revitalize the rules-based system, Scowcroft Center’s work, the Scowcroft Center published two the Atlantic Council was major Atlantic Council Strategy Papers. Global Risks 2035 analyzed the major ranked the eighth top think trends shaping the future of global tank in the world for defense politics and Present at the Re-Creation 12 and national security. provided a comprehensive strategy for 13
the United States and its allies to revi- To that end, the Scowcroft Center will talize, adapt, and defend a rules-based formally launch a new Forward Defense international system. Both strategy practice area which will be a full-scope papers were briefed to senior policy US and global defense policy effort planners in the United States and Europe. covering defense foresight, defense A Scowcroft Center event on alliance strategy and policy, novel operational burden-sharing in Berlin helped to shape concepts, emerging defense technology, German policy and the Strategic Insights and the defense industry. Memo, “How to Break the Korea-Japan To ramp up its strategy work, the Impasse,” informed US government Scowcroft Center will also establish policy for managing relationships with two new strategy efforts. The Global its key Asian allies. Strategy Initiative will focus on core The Scowcroft Center helped the United Scowcroft Center strategy efforts. The States and its allies harness technological New American Engagement Initiative change. It played an instrumental role in will advance creative and unorthodox incubating and launching the new Atlantic approaches to US grand strategy. Council Geotech Center and published These new efforts are designed to an Atlantic Council Strategy Paper that help steer US decision makers toward AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S articulated a national security strategy creative solutions for the United States for artificial intelligence. The center also to navigate one of the most disruptive briefed its work on new technology and and transformative moments in history. cybersecurity to both the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence and Programmatic lines of effort the Cyber Solarium Commission. Against a fundamentally changed global landscape, the Foresight, Strategy, and Core strategy for 2020 Risks Initiative advances the Atlantic In 2020, the Scowcroft Center will Council’s mission to support renewed, continue to target its priority issue areas constructive, and resourceful US lead- with a special focus on great-power ership. Its competencies in long-range in order to develop a community of like- Dr. Choo-suk Suh, Vice Minister, ROK Ministry competition with China, revitalizing assessments, strategy development, and minded nations that are committed to of Defense speaks with the 2018–2019 Atlantic Council-Korea Foundation Journalist Fellowship the rules-based system, and leveraging global trends will prove especially useful adapting, defending, and revitalizing the delegation trip to Seoul. emerging technology with defense during a time when world dynamics are rules-based international system. A key and national security applications. increasingly complex and unpredictable. piece of this mission rests on providing The Transatlantic Security Initiative cutting-edge analysis and actionable brings together senior officials and policy recommendations for the United experts from Europe and North America States and its allies and partners as to share insights, strengthen cooperation, they seek coordinated responses to and develop innovative approaches to the rise of China in a new era of great the key challenges facing NATO and the power competition. At the same time, transatlantic community, including how to ASI continues to address broader issues manage the rise of China. Through high- shaping the region’s strategic envi- profile public convenings, off-the-record ronment, including traditional security strategy sessions, war-gaming, digital issues as well as emerging challenges engagement, and content-rich publi- in non-traditional areas. cations, the initiative directly advances The focus of the Cyber Statecraft In 2020, the Scowcroft the council’s core mission of informing Initiative (CSI) is to examine the nexus Center will formally launch the transatlantic security debate. of geopolitics and national security in a new full scope US and The Asia Security Initiative’s (ASI) cyberspace, forge sustainable interna- central mission is to enhance cooper- tional collaboration on cybersecurity global defense policy NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg ation between the United States and and safety, and build the next generation program and two new 14 speaks at the NATO Engages event in London. its allies and partners in the Indo-Pacific of cybersecurity professionals. ● strategy programs. 15
TH E M ATI C PRO G R A M S The Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller Foundation Resilience Center will reach one billion people with resilience solutions to climate change, migration, and human security challenges by 2030. We focus our efforts on people and communities Adrienne Arsht- to help them better prepare for, navigate, and recover from shocks and stresses. We will help build a more resilient world. Rockefeller Foundation Resilience Center AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S The Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller The center’s metric for resilience is Foundation Resilience Center will “additionality.” When the center makes reach one billion people with resilience people more resilient, it has provided solutions to climate change, migration, a new and durable knowledge set, and human security challenges by 2030. skill, or layer of protection (either seen The center will help build a more resilient or unseen) over a person or group world by focusing its efforts on people of people, that person or group are and communities to help them better considered resilient. prepare for, navigate, and recover from In May, the Resilience Center, led shocks and stresses. by Kathy Baughman McLeod, announced its first community partner as Miami-Dade Description of center work for 2019 County, with which the center will partner The Resilience Center will reach this on resilience solutions for at least three goal by deploying a range of evidence- million residents of the county, with based and innovative approaches, the potential to be scaled throughout including policy frameworks, scalable South Florida. community interventions, finance and In July, the Resilience Center estab- risk tools, and technology and commu- lished relationships with five additional nications, including the performing arts. cities: Athens, Chennai, Melbourne, Leveraging the council’s intellectual Mexico City, and Paris. Building on strength, global reach, and nearly sixty the resilience strategies these cities years of measurable global public policy developed through 100 Resilient Cities, impact, the Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller a program of the Rockefeller Foundation, Foundation Resilience Center will trans- the center identified extreme heat as form ideas into action. a key challenge and began building partnerships to craft interventions cities could implement to reduce their vulnerability to this climate and public “When the Center makes health threat. The Resilience Center continued its a person more resilient, focus on extreme urban heat later in it has provided a new and the year by co-hosting a convening with 16 Residents gather to fill empty containers with water from a municipal tanker in Chennai, India, June 25, 2019. REUTERS/P. RAVIKUMAR durable knowledge set.” the Rockefeller Foundation at its Bellagio 17
Center centered on this deadly global at ETH Zurich, the Resilience protection, and policy interventions volunteers helping migrants in Colombia hazard. Extreme heat is creating an Center will expand and adapt the for disaster risk reduction. and elsewhere in the Americas. unprecedented public health emergency existing “Economics of Climate As a centerpiece of its strategy to The center will launch the Climate and profound economic disruptions. Adaptation” (ECA) methodology that tackle migration challenges, the Resilience & Migration Dialogue Series, which In response, more than thirty leading will allow governments and institutions Center will partner with the International will promote a positive narrative experts from city government, climate to more rapidly identify cost-effective Federation for Red Cross and Red Crescent around migration, refugees, and other finance, disaster preparedness, risk and climate adaptation measures, and as Societies (IFRC) to scale and add capacity displaced populations as valuable insurance, health, and science gathered a first of its kind, will consider gender, and tools to Humanitarian Service Points contributors to society. These discus- to design a finance and risk facility for biodiversity, and social vulnerabil- (HSP)—safe, neutral centers that provide sions will feature top experts via virtual protecting people and communities from ities. Once developed, the center and a welcoming environment for vulnerable and in-person events and podcasts, extreme heat. The aim of the facility is its partners will begin applying the migrants and displaced communities. HSPs sharing new research and firsthand to prepare cities for extreme heat events, Rapid Economics of Climate Adaptation will facilitate access to essential services accounts of migrant experiences. as well as cool and increase livability for (RECA) tool to assess projects such as (such as aid, food, water, shelter, and It will also explore cutting-edge initia- future high temperatures. infrastructure investments for coastal psycho-social support). In tandem, mobile tives to combat xenophobia and improve At the Atlantic Council’s annual Global relief hubs connected to the HSPs will perceptions around migration and build Citizen Awards dinner held in New York allow for continuity of services as migrants greater social inclusion for refugee and City, Adrienne Arsht, Atlantic Council move through their journeys. With an host communities. executive vice chair, announced Anna initial concentration on the Venezuelan To build the increasingly necessary 2019 was the second-hottest AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S Deavere-Smith as the Council’s first-ever crisis, the Resilience Center will work skills to become more resilient in the face “Artist-in-Residence”, sitting within the year on record. with local Red Cross and community of climate change and extreme events, Resilience Center. An actress, playwright, the center is partnering with cities and teacher, and author, she will lead a project communities around the world to called Stories of Human Resilience, in deploy Community Resilience Pods. which she will conduct interviews to The first mobile prototype, a trans- capture people’s journeys to becoming formed 40-foot shipping container resilient. She will then perform these donated by MSC (Mediterranean stories through her interpretation. Shipping Company) Foundation, to be deployed in Miami-Dade County Preview of center intentions for 2020 in 2020, was designed in collabo- Given that 2019 was the second-hottest ration with world-renowned architects year on record, the center will carry on and local artists. These mobile assets its initiative to prepare cities for extreme will educate on personal, location-spe- heat. By building on an established cific risks and empower people and evidence base, it will seek to help communities to prepare for and confront cities finance and scale interventions and climate, migration, and public health catalyze resilience policy approaches. crises by sharing tools, guidance, In 2020 the Resilience Center will and actions to be taken at the individual launch an urban horticulture program and community levels. ● with Chennai, India, a resilience solution that could potentially reach up to three million people in the city, most of whom live in slums and settlements. This effort will reduce heat exposure among at-risk populations, promote healthier youth through better nutrition, increase economic independence and pros- perity among women, build greater social cohesion, and enhance overall community resilience. Migrants, mainly from Central America and marching in a caravan, on the outskirts Through a partnership with the of Ciudad Hidalgo, Chiapas, Mexico. 18 Weather and Climate Risks Group REUTERS/ANDRES MARTINEZ CASARES 19
into a suspected Russian-based infor- TH E M ATI C PRO G R A M S mation operation, dubbed “Secondary Infektion 2.0,” which demonstrated an evolution of foreign influence operations. Later in the year, the DFRLab partnered with Facebook to provide independent analysis exposing the first widespread use of profile photos generated through The Digital Forensic artificial intelligence. Research Lab Building a community of #DigitalSherlocks Disinformation does not exist in just one newsroom, on just one platform, or within our neatly defined national borders. It is a collective challenge, and it requires a cooperative, people-based solution. DFRLab has built a community designed AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S to grow, organize, and create standards In 2019, the DFRLab expanded its for #DigitalSherlocks around the world. network of digital forensic analysts In 2019, the DFRLab conducted more Building transparency and working to explain information environ- than sixty trainings in thirty countries, accountability online and ments—both open and closed—around teaching more than 1,500 people how the world. The stark reality remains that to use open-source tools to combat disin- around the world to promote disinformation, the spread of false news formation. These sessions gave trainees free and open societies. with intent to mislead or manipulate, has hands-on experience and actionable a catalytic effect and makes other global skills via table games, simulations, and The Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic challenges more difficult to solve. project-based activities. Research Lab—whose work resides While each case of disinformation at the unique intersection between that DFRLab examined was distinct, one Connecting with leading voices government, media, and technology— insight was universal: the global compe- In an effort to translate research and aims to establish accountability and tition for information has gone viral, and grassroots efforts into actual policy transparency online as a means the outcome of this competition, both at change, the DFRLab brought together to secure democracy and restore home and abroad, remains unclear. The more than 650 leading voices repre- trust in public discourse. same technologies that have democ- senting civil society, tech, media, DFRLab is spread across five continents, ratized access to information have also academia, and governments for two and its work is rooted among three pillars: enabled malicious actors to undermine major events in 2019: the 360/OS Open • To promote objective fact as democratic values and processes. Sir Julian King, European Commissioner for the Source summit in London and StratCom Security Union at 360 Open Source Summit, The a foundation of government Roundhouse, Camden Town, London, June 2019. in Washington, DC. These convenings for and by people, to protect Open-source research and reporting ATLANTIC COUNCIL facilitated collaboration across sectors democratic institutions and norms One of the key cornerstones of the and advanced policy frameworks in the from those who would undermine DFRLab’s work is open-source research. stands at the forefront of this trend, spirit of moving from talk to action. them online, and to identify, Using only sources that are publicly raising—and sometimes setting—industry expose, and explain disinformation accessible, the lab does not assume standards through rigorous innovation. Vision for 2020 when and where it occurs. its own credibility but instead contin- The DFRLab publishes real-time In 2020, the DFRLab will build on • To create a new model of uously proves it, delivering work that analysis on events as they occur, as well its body of research and reporting; expertise adapted for impact is transparent, verified, and replicable. as more in-depth investigations into expand training and capacity building; and real-world results. At a time when global trust in institutions elections, conflict zones, democratic and identify policy solutions with • To forge digital resilience at a time and platforms is receding, this approach protests, violent extremism, global news partners in order to look beyond when humans are more interconnected is crucial. As open-source research stories, and hyper-local events. In June, disinformation and build a more 20 than at any point in history. becomes more widely utilized, DFRLab the DFRLab published an investigation resilient society for the years ahead. ● 21
of publications, and having a presence at countries’ social infrastructure. The project TH E M ATI C PRO G R A M S trade conferences and corporate summits, will highlight how empowering women allowed GBE to elevate its trade coverage and minorities can be an economic game- in 2019. changer in all types of economies, and the policies needed to realize these gains— Building a gender balanced roster from health care to taxes to streamlined of fellows: In 2019, GBE added a number regulations. Through research and events, of younger, highly qualified female fellows the GeoEconomics Center will develop Global Business & to improve the age and gender balance a blueprint for reform of the Bretton Woods of the program’s roster. institutions and the WTO, with a particular Economics Program focus on grappling with China’s future role Strategy for 2020: History accelerates and its competitor model. after a crisis. This will be the reality of The 2020s will be the decade in the post COVID-19 world. which the concept of money is rede- fined. Therefore, the team will develop The GeoEconomics Center will be content and programming around the a collaborative and innovative part of future of the Euro, the rise of digital the Atlantic Council and, through part- currencies, and the US dollar’s uncertain AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S nerships, will leverage the existing destiny as the world’s reserve currency. The GeoEconomics Center will build top-level Council workstreams on energy, Among other issues, the center will on the work of the Global Business & climate policy, national security, and explore whether the EU monetary union Transforming for a New Era Economics Program (GBE). In 2019, technology. The center will organize will become a fiscal union, inform policy in the Global Economy. GBE expanded its sanctions and around three pillars central to the future on the development of central bank trade portfolio, and added a group of of the global economy and US economic digital currencies (CBDCs), and highlight There is an urgent need to restore confi- senior fellows to deepen the program’s leadership: the future of capitalism, the the impact of massive federal reserve dence in US global economic leadership intellectual capital. future of money, and the way forward on liquidity on the global economy. and the open, rules-based system it has economic statecraft. These pillars are Finally, the GeoEconomics Center championed for seventy-five years. To Expanding the sanctions initiative’s critical to ensure that free markets and will strengthen the Council’s ongoing rejuvenate the post-war economic order, policy input and reach: GBE took its international economic cooperation will work on sanctions while broadening the and rebuild trust in capitalism, the United sanctions work beyond the Beltway remain the best architecture to enable aperture to consider the range of tools, States and its allies must understand and to key markets including New York, human potential. including tariffs, that US policy makers adapt to the changing global economy. London, and Brussels. The Economic Within these pillars, a project on can deploy. The Economic Statecraft Therefore, the program is pivoting to Sanctions Initiative serves as a bridge inclusive growth will examine the Initiative will look at the future of the relaunch as the GeoEconomics Center in between the current US administration, economic fractures which existed transatlantic trading partnership, outline 2020 to establish itself as the go-to place the US Congress, and European allies before COVID-19, including the rise of how US and EU regulatory policies can at the intersection of economics, finance, on questions of sanctions policy. Under wealth, income, and intergenerational better align to unleash both partners’ and foreign policy. Ambassador Dan Fried’s leadership, inequality within advanced economies. full economic potential, and examine the the initiative has built a constructive Our work will assess the consequences increase of illicit financial flows across relationship with both the executive of climate change, low productivity growth, the world and how strategic competitors and legislative branches. excessive inequality, and automation on and adversaries to the United States are developing sophisticated systems to Shaping facts-based trade dialogue: GBE avoid detection. broadened its transatlantic trade focus This is the time for Geoeconomics. and put a greater emphasis on China, the The United States can once again United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement “This is the time for energize the world with creative and (USMCA), Latin America, and the future Geoeconomics. The United collaborative economic leadership. But of the World Trade Organization (WTO). States can once again it will be impossible without adaptation, High-level public and private events with and without a substantive understanding speakers such as EU Trade Commissioner energize the world with of how economics, finance, geopolitics, Chinese Vice Premier Liu He welcomes US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin in Cecilia Malmstrom, a deep bench creative and collaborative and diplomacy interact every day on the 22 Shanghai, China, July 31, 2019. NG HAN GUAN/POOL VIA REUTERS of first-rate experts, a steady stream economic leadership.” world stage. ● 23
TH E M ATI C PRO G R A M S Global Energy Center AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S The Atlantic Council Task Force on US Nuclear Energy Leadership, Promoting energy security co-chaired by Senators Mike Crapo alongside partners to devise (R-ID) and Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), launched its report, US Nuclear Energy pragmatic solutions to the Leadership: Innovation and the Strategic challenges of the energy. Global Challenge. The GEC also wrote two subsequent nuclear policy The Global Energy Center (GEC) promotes issue briefs, one of which was cited in energy security by working alongside a bipartisan letter signed by 20 senators government, industry, civil society, and arguing that support for US nuclear policy makers’ line of sight. The center Smoke is seen following a fire at Aramco facility in the eastern city of Abqaiq, Saudi public stakeholders to devise pragmatic power should be included in the NDAA. also launched the Veterans Advanced Arabia, September 14, 2019. REUTERS/STRINGER solutions to the geopolitical, sustainability, As part of the center’s spotlight on Energy Project (VAEP), anchored by the and economic challenges of the changing the role of oil and gas companies in the inaugural Veterans Advanced Energy transition, while continuing to amplify global energy landscape. energy transition, the center hosted Summit, which convened nearly two its analysis on climate, advanced energy, The GEC has quickly developed into workshops in New York, Abu Dhabi, hundred people to discuss trends in and civil nuclear issues. The center will an important resource for governments, Singapore, and Houston with stake- clean energy and to hear from policy also expand its research on sustainable industry, and civil society to understand holders from the finance, hydrocarbon makers, including Representative Sean aviation fuels; critical minerals; and and navigate the energy transition. The production, and oil and gas trading Casten (D-IL) and former Senator Kelly carbon capture, utilization, and storage center focuses on three core themes: industries, as well as a conference in Ayotte (R-NH). (CCUS); as well as the global impact of energy security, geopolitics, and Washington, DC, in collaboration with Finally, in partnership with the RBC the 2020 US election on energy policy. ● markets; understanding and managing the International Energy Agency. Foundation, the center announced the the energy transition; and climate and GEC’s Climate and Advanced Energy inaugural class of its Women Leaders advanced energy. Program remained a driving force in Energy Fellowship, a one-year 2019 also saw the unveiling of for the center’s work in 2019. Events program for women energy and the GEC’s European energy security in Washington, DC, a congressional climate policy leaders under the age of The GEC has quickly project, which evaluated opportunities staff delegation to South Carolina to thirty-five to receive unique mentorship developed into an important for strengthening transatlantic energy explore the future of clean transport, opportunities and professional devel- resource for governments, security via events in Washington, DC; and reports covering forest restoration opment training. industry, and civil society Brussels; and Berlin, and with a series of financing, blockchain, and interna- In 2020, the GEC will build on its issue briefs on the future of US-European tional grid integration strategies, all expertise in energy security, the oil to understand and navigate 24 Union cooperation. propelled this important program into market, and the geopolitics of the energy the energy transition. 25
TH E M ATI C PRO G R A M S Millennium Leadership Program 2019 Millennium Fellows in Guatape on Fellow Expedition focused on Leading Change in Colombia. Bogotá and Medellín. They also spent successful year of executive education time in rural Colombia, sharing meals programming, the addition of a full-time and stories with grassroots activists and community manager to more fully inte- AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T T H E M AT I C P R O G R A M S former combatants from different sides grate fellows across the council, the landmark deal to change its name; of the conflict, as well as Venezuelan addition of next-generation firepower a Ukrainian member of parliament driving leaders in exile. This extraordinary expe- to our programs and centers, and Enabling innovative ideas, sustainable energy development in rience was the product of exemplary the introduction of a new leadership transformational leadership, her country as the chairperson of this cross-program collaboration within the curriculum that includes individualized committee in Parliament; the senior Atlantic Council between MLP and the executive coaching and practical training and global impact. advisor for international economic Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center. on key frameworks and concepts affairs at the National Security Council Fellows figured prominently both supplemented with distance and In 2019, the Millennium Leadership supporting the US-China trade negotia- across and beyond council work, virtual learning to complement in-person Program (MLP) celebrated its fifth cohort tions; and the chief financial officer and including serving as featured speakers at gatherings. MLP’s fellowship has already of Millennium Fellows. Chosen from deputy treasurer for the state of Illinois our largest events such as the 2019 NATO emerged as one of the most compet- over 1,200 applications and 100 coun- overseeing its $300 billion banking Engages conference in Washington, itive, transformational, and prestigious tries, this year’s class was our strongest operation and $31 billion investment DC; and launching new programs and programs of its kind. These new addi- yet. All thirty-five years old or younger, portfolio. The program also included projects within the council such as the tions, along with partnerships in the exec- these young leaders inspire hope for Fortune 500 executives such as Allianz’ Veterans Advanced Energy Summit in utive search, leadership advisory, and a bright future. chief economist; award-winning entre- Chicago, Illinois. Beyond the council, academic worlds, position the program From the public sector, they included preneurs solving food security, mobility, fellows were engaged in impact projects as an emerging center of excellence on the senior advisor on parliamentary and healthcare challenges in devel- supported by the MLP community, leadership within the council. ● affairs to the prime minister of North oping nations; and groundbreaking such as the Azadi Project—moved by Macedonia instrumental in forging media figures such as the first female their 2018 study tour to the frontlines political consensus for his country’s football commentator in the Arab of the Syrian refugee crisis in Turkey world, among many others across civil and Greece, fellows founded the Azadi society, academia, business, the arts, Project, a non-governmental organization and science. (NGO) that trains young female refugees “The MLP is in my mind the In May, MLP took the class to Colombia and connects them to employment most impactful leadership to explore the country’s historic peace opportunities. Through two workshops program in the world for process, the promise of the “Orange in 2019, they trained women from Niger, international policy makers, Economy,” and the crisis in Venezuela. Palestine, Iran, and Afghanistan, and Under the theme of “Leading Change,” are now entering their second year business leaders and public they met with current Colombian of operations. intellectuals.” President Iván Duque and former pres- MLP also deepened its expertise Dr. Manuel Muñiz, 2016–2017 Millennium 2018 Millennium Fellow Zafar Hashemi from Afghanistan delivers talk at the 2018 NATO ident Alvaro Uribe among many other and capabilities in the domain of lead- Fellow, Secretary of State for Global Spain, 26 Engages Summit in Washington, DC. senior officials and business leaders in ership development with a second Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs 27
the continent took to the streets to With the United States-Mexico- REGIONAL PROGRAMS advocate for change in Colombia, Chile, Canada Agreement’s passage complete, and beyond. In a year of transition, the the center will analyze opportunities Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center to harness the agreement’s potential. doubled down on its mission to work In Central America, the center with partners and allies to provide will advance momentum to help certainty amid uncertainty and to high- secure the livelihoods of those light the opportunities Latin America who face daily violence and remote Adrienne Arsht holds for the United States and the world. With the crisis in Venezuela persisting, economic opportunity. Seizing on economic synergies and Latin America Center the Adrienne Arsht Latin America progress, the center will provide a Center accelerated its efforts to support renewed vision and innovative recom- a peaceful transition to democracy. mendations for strengthening US-Brazil As Juan Guaidó was elected president of trade and investment, in partnership with the National Assembly, the center hosted US and Brazilian policy makers and the him to discuss his plans for the country private sector. and convened policy makers from nine In Venezuela, the center will build on countries for a PeaceGame with Foreign new ways to work toward a democratic AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T R E G I O N A L P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T R E G I O N A L P R O G R A M S Policy magazine to align innovative solu- transition by supporting democratic tions to the crisis. actors and countering disinformation, In Colombia, the center launched in partnership with the Digital Forensic phase two of its US-Colombia Task Force, Research Lab. led by Senators Roy Blunt (R-MO) and The center will also deepen its support Ben Cardin (D-MD), the findings of which of the US-Colombia partnership– were presented to President Iván Duque. critical as Venezuelan migration flows Founded by Adrienne Arsht and continue to accelerate–through efforts chaired by HSBC’s Gerardo Mato, to strengthen investment and build the the center also launched the Adrienne infrastructure needed to integrate local Arsht Latin America Center Advisory markets into the broader economy. Council, which includes US and regional Through it all, China remains public and private-sector leaders, a major influence in Latin America. As former presidents, artists, governors, the Asian giant deepens engagement and others to harness opportunities and investment across the region, the for collaboration. center will closely follow how China may Over twelve months, the center shape opportunities and perspectives hosted over seventy-five events, in the hemisphere. ● Demonstrators holding Chilean, Argentinian and Colombian flags take part in a protest as a national strike continues in Bogota, Colombia garnered over 1,400 media hits, December 4, 2019. REUTERS/LUISA GONZALEZ produced ten reports, and provided expertise in briefings and meetings and civil society. The center focuses on with the US Congress, the US adminis- Latin America’s strategic role in a global tration, and regional governments. Shaping understanding context with a priority on pressing polit- of Latin America’s global ical, economic, and social issues that will Preview of 2020 work define the trajectory of the region. In 2020, ahead of key elections in importance. the United States and in the region, Description of 2019 work the Adrienne Arsht Latin America The Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center The year 2019 was one of transformation Centre will look toward solidifying its broadens understanding of regional for Latin America. New governments role in harnessing economic and polit- transformations through high-impact entered into office in Brazil, Argentina, ical opportunities to deepen US-Latin work that shapes the conversation among El Salvador, and Panama. In parallel, American relations and Latin American 28 policy makers, the business community, tens of thousands of citizens across relations with other regions of the world. President of Colombia Iván Duque. 29
REGIONAL PROGRAMS Africa Center Sudanese Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok addresses the Atlantic Council on December 5, 2019. AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T R E G I O N A L P R O G R A M S AT L A N T I C C O U N C I L A N N UA L R E P O R T R E G I O N A L P R O G R A M S Cameron Hudson–provided an inimi- States special envoy for the Great Lakes of Foreign Affairs and International table forum for research and analysis. Region of Africa. Cooperation Kamissa Camara in March. Promoting dynamic Over the summer, the Africa Center The appetite for change was not While 2019 proved to be a mile- geopolitical partnerships hosted two strategy sessions for policy universal, however. The citizens of stone year for intra-continental trade, makers, including one for US Special some of Africa’s foremost powers— with the much-awaited entry into force with African states. Envoy for Sudan Ambassador Donald Nigeria, Senegal, and South Africa— of the African Continental Free Trade E. Booth. The center also provided the voted to return incumbents to office in Area in May, US-Africa trade hit some The Africa Center seeks to promote venue for Sudanese Prime Minister 2019. Democracies across the continent roadblocks. Notably, US Customs and dynamic geopolitical partnerships Abdalla Hamdok’s public address to continued to struggle under the siege Border Protection (CBP) issued several with African states and to redirect US Washington in December, which marked of extremist violence. Most worryingly, withhold release orders on goods and European policy priorities toward the first official visit of a Sudanese head a soaring number of attacks by Islamist produced on the continent on grounds strengthening security and bolstering of government in over thirty years. militants forced more than one million of forced labor. CBP’s investigation economic growth and prosperity on Another important, and imperfect, people to flee their homes across the into reports of child labor in Côte d’Ivo- the continent. transition occurred in the Democratic Sahel. Over one thousand violent inci- ire’s cocoa sector triggered a visit to African communities harnessed Republic of the Congo. Popular outrage dents were reported in 2019 alone, Washington by First Lady Dominique the power of social media and public and international pressure prevented underscoring worrisome cracks in Ouattara, who spoke at the council in protest to mount important, and overdue, authoritarian President Joseph Kabila the capabilities of G5 Sahel countries September. Further engaging with the challenges to authoritarian states in from running for an illicit third term and and donor nations to respond to the West Africa region, the Africa Center 2019. The Republic of the Sudan’s compelled him to surrender power to escalating security crisis. Recognizing hosted Guinean President Alpha Condé popular removal of long-standing ruler Félix Tshisekedi. The center hosted these challenges, the center welcomed for a strategic discussion on US trade and Omar al-Bashir in April was a singular Tshisekedi in April, where he outlined his Mali’s former Prime Minister Soumeylou human rights ahead of much-anticipated and still-fragile achievement. His fall vision for a strategic partnership with the Boubèye Maïga and former Minister elections in 2020. from power has left the country with a United States. Senior Fellow Dr. Pierre Looking ahead, center Director power vacuum that can only be repaired Englebert continued to lead the center’s of Programs and Studies Bronwyn by a long and complex sequence of Congo on the Edge programming Bruton is tracking the run-up to reforms, which will necessitate both through astute analysis of the elections Ethiopia’s upcoming elections and the cooperation of Sudan’s security and cutting-edge research on provincial As Sudan’s civilian-led the pace of Nobel Laureate Prime forces and the active re-engagement of decentralization efforts. While center transitional government Minister Abiy Ahmed’s reforms. In June, Western powers. As Sudan’s civilian-led Director Dr. J. Peter Pham recused she moderated a roundtable with transitional government worked to find himself from the center’s work on the worked to find its footing, Berhanu Nega, the head of the newly its footing, the Africa Center–through Congo, he was very much engaged the Africa Center provided formed political party Ethiopia Citizens 30 its Sudan Initiative led by Senior Fellow in this historic transition as the United an inimitable forum. for Social Justice. ● 31
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