RHB ASIAN HIGH YIELD FUND UPDATE - 1 April 2020
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Page 1 of 5 RHB ASIAN HIGH YIELD FUND UPDATE – 1 April 2020 Fidelity Funds Asian High Yield Fund (“Target Fund”) Portfolio Update: Source: Fidelity International, 23 March 2020 Note: The opinions expressed are as of date and are subject to change at any time due to changes in market or economic conditions. There is no guarantee that a positive investment outcome will be achieved. This is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any investments or to adopt any investment strategy. Market Views The global macroeconomic and market backdrop has deteriorated meaningfully in recent weeks. Hopes of the coronavirus staying relatively contained have been replaced by fear of significant disruptions to the global economy into the second half of the year. We acknowledge the challenges in measuring the impact of the outbreak, and of the oil shock. On one hand, while the reaction to the COVID-19 epidemic will likely prompt further demand and supply shocks in the months ahead, the world economy will recover, and could do so relatively quickly given accommodative rates and policies across the globe, and concerted efforts to combat the virus. The slum of oil prices will have direct impact to oil and related industries/ credits and indirectly impact towards risks sentiment. The direct impact on the Target Fund is low since the Target Fund has minimal exposure to energy sector. Within Asia economies, India and Indonesia are relatively more sensitive to oil price and likely to see more volatilities in the near term. Looking ahead, the spread of coronavirus across the globe will lead to lower business activities and productivity resulted in dented demand of oil, combined with supply to be increased from key oil production countries could result to continue weaknesses on oil prices. Oil related companies with highly leverage balance, weak cash flow generation abilities and immediate funding requirements are likely to be tested under the difficult business environment. However, we are likely to still be in the correction process. We also note that most asset allocators were likely long risk in some way going into February, and the unwinding or hedging of exposure to leveraged products caught up in the sell-off is still playing out. These moves can be significant, relatively unobservable and will take time to unravel. Asian High Yield markets registered modest gains in February. High coupon income supported performance, outweighing the negative impact from credit spread widening. Risk appetite was hit as China’s and regional economic growth faced headwinds amid the outbreak, as evidenced by the manufacturing PMI falling to a record low at 35.7. The PBoC responded with a cut in one- and five-year loan prime rate by ten and five basis points, respectively. Additionally, local supply side easing policies of administrative nature were introduced to support the liquidity position of property developers. We expect more stimulus to come, with China that may be “first in - first out” of the virus scare. We remain overweight the asset class, with coupon income that provides a welcome cushion to total returns in what remains a very volatile and uncertain market backdrop. The virus outbreak is going to have a short-term negative impact on China’s and regional economic growth. However, the impact is likely to remain transitory as business activities in China are gradually returning back to normal. China has the willingness and ability to response via stimuli in monetary and fiscal terms. It is likely that the authorities will launch more easing measures from time to time in order to maintain social and economic stability, and this should benefit / stabilize fixed income markets in general. That said, policy responses are likely to remain balanced with an objective to keep overall risks under control.
Page 2 of 5 RHB ASIAN HIGH YIELD FUND UPDATE – 1 April 2020 Portfolio Positioning There is no major changes in the fund positioning in view of the latest market developments. We remain cautiously constructive on Asian High Yield market for 2020. Income continues to be the key drivers for total return for Asian High Yield strategies, where CHY fund will provide higher income opportunities with a strong focus in China. The Target Fund continues to focus on liquidity in order to aim to meet potential redemption as well as capture investment opportunities in the market. Valuations are very attractive on the back of recent market movements whilst volatilities is likely to remain elevated for near term. Asian High Yield continues to offer attractive additional spreads pick up under the low interest rate environment when compared to historical levels as well as against US and European High Yield. Within Asian High Yield, single B an BB range credits offer spreads pickup over BBBs as well. Liquidity management remains our key focus for the Fund. Cash and equivalents are around 4-6% for the Fund. We’ve been working closely with our specialised traders to ensure sufficient liquidity being generated from our cash bonds holdings. Asian High Yield asset class default rates. Going forward, default rates is likely to be around 2-3% range in 2020. We reiterate that default rates is a lagging indicator, as companies or credits would go through period of stress before default. As of end February 2020, duration for the Target Fund is around 3 years, and running yield north of 8%. The Target Fund is more tilted to BB- for average portfolio rating, and annualised volatility around 5-6%. Overweight on property, around 40- 45%, followed by consumption around 9%. Underweight on energy names. Across different sectors, property has been relatively more resilient and the Target Fund’s overweight position in property names contributed to relative return.
Page 3 of 5 RHB ASIAN HIGH YIELD FUND UPDATE – 1 April 2020 Why Consider RHB Asian High Yield Fund? 1. High Yield Markets Outperform Return and volatility profiles favor HY bonds over equities Source: Fidelity International, Bloomberg. ICE BofAML Bond Indices: Q490 (Blended Index ACCY with 20% sector Level 4 Cap and 3% issuer cap) for Asian High Yield, ACYC for China High Yield. Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index for China A-Shares. MSCI AC Asia ex Equity Index for Asian ex Japan Equities as of February 2020. Fidelity Funds - China High Yield Fund A-ACC-USD and Asian High Yield Fund A-ACC-USD (Gross Returns). Past performance is not an indicative of future performance. 2. Attractive Valuations for Asian High Yield Source: Fidelity International, ICE BofA Merrill Lynch bond indices, option adjusted spreads, as at 17 March 2020. 3. Target Fund – Expertise in Asian High Yield. One of Largest and Longest running Asian High Yield Fund Fidelity has been managing High Yield bonds since 2000. Fidelity started managing Asian High Yield bonds in 2007. We are a pioneer in “frontier” high yield markets such as Asia and Europe.
Page 4 of 5 RHB ASIAN HIGH YIELD FUND UPDATE – 1 April 2020 4. Target Fund – Well Diversified with strong focus on Income, which is a Key Contributor to Total Return Source: Fidelity International, as of February 2020. Performance returns are computed gross of fees and on a NAV-NAV basis with dividends reinvested in USD terms of the A-ACC-USD share class. The A-ACC-USD share class was launched on 2 April 2007. The Fund’s reference benchmark is the ICE BofAML Q490– Blended Index: ACCY, 20% Lvl4 Cap 3% Constrained. Returns for periods exceeding 1 year are on an annualised basis. Past performance is not an indicative of future performance. 5. Target Fund – Prudent Risk Management Less concentration, more diversification Market-weighted Easy to compute Significant concentration / less diversity Captive to capital intensive sectors Issuer and sector constrained Improved issuer and sector risk management Less concentration / more diversity Protected against rating agency methodologies Better prepared for future growth Source: Fidelity International. ICE BofAML Bond Indices: ACHY - Asian Dollar High Yield Corporate Index; ACCY - ACHY, 3% issuer cap; Q490 for Fidelity’s customised approach - Blended Index: ACCY, 20% sector Level 4 Cap, 3% issuer cap, as of February 2020.
Page 5 of 5 RHB ASIAN HIGH YIELD FUND UPDATE – 1 April 2020 DISCLAIMER This update has been prepared by RHB Asset Management Sdn Bhd (“RHBAM”) and is solely for your information only. It may not be copied, published, circulated, reproduced or distributed in whole or part to any person without the prior written consent of RHBAM. In preparing this update, RHBAM has relied upon and assumed the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources or which was otherwise reviewed by RHBAM. Accordingly, whilst we have taken all reasonable care to ensure that the information contained in this update is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness and make no representation or warranty (whether expressed or implied) and accept no responsibility or liability for its accuracy or completeness. You should not act on the information contained in this update without first independently verifying its contents. Any opinion, management forecast or estimate contained in this update is based on information available as the date of this update and are subject to change without notice. It does not constitute an offer or solicitation to deal in units of any RHBAM fund and does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this. Investors may wish to seek advice from a financial adviser/unit trust consultant before purchasing units of any funds. In the event that the investor chooses not to seek advice from a financial adviser/unit trust consultant, he should consider whether the fund in question is suitable for him. Past performance of the fund or the manager, and any economic and market trends or forecast, are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the fund or the manager. The value of units in the fund, and the income accruing to the units, if any, from the fund, may fall as well as rise. A Product Highlights Sheet (“PHS”) highlighting the key features and risks of the RHB Asian High Yield Fund is available and investors have the right to request for a PHS. Investors are advised to obtain, read and understand the PHS and the contents of the Information Memorandum dated 5 April 2019 and its supplementary(ies) (if any) (“the Information Memorandum”) before investing. The Information Memorandum has been registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia who takes no responsibility for its contents. Amongst others, investors should consider the fees and charges involved. Investors should also note that the price of units and distributions payable, if any, may go down as well as up. Where a distribution is declared, investors are advised that following the issue of additional units/distribution, the NAV per unit will be reduced from cum-distribution NAV to ex-distribution NAV. Any issue of units to which the Information Memorandum relates will only be made on receipt of a form of application referred to in the Information Memorandum. For more details, please call 1-800-88-3175 for a copy of the PHS and the Information Memorandum or collect one from any of our branches or authorised distributors. Subscription of units of the Fund is only open to sophisticated investors. The Manager wishes to highlight the specific risks for the Fund are management risk, currency risk, country risk and pricing and valuation risk and the specific risks of the target fund are bonds, debt instruments & fixed income (including high yielding securities), lower rated/ unrated securities, qualified foreign institutional investors (“QFII”) risks, emerging and frontier markets risk, currency risk, distribution out of capital risk, securitised or structured debt instruments, derivatives related risks, risks in relation to specific derivative instruments. These risks and other general risks are elaborated in the Information Memorandum.
You can also read