Q2 2018 Investor Presentation - Dunkin' Brands Investor Relations
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Forward Looking Statements • Certain information contained in this presentation, particularly information regarding future economic performance, finances, and expectations and objectives of management constitutes forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and are generally contain words such as “believes,” “expects,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “approximately,” “intends,” “plans,” “estimates” or “anticipates” or similar expressions. Our forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied by the forward-looking statement. • Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and assumptions and currently available data and are neither predictions nor guarantees of future events or performance. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. We do not undertake to update or revise any forward-looking statements after they are made, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. For discussion of some of the important factors that could cause these variations, please consult the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K. Nothing in this presentation should be regarded as a representation by any person that these targets will be achieved and the Company undertakes no duty to update its targets. • Regulation G This presentation contains certain non-GAAP measures which are provided to assist in an understanding of the Dunkin’ Brands Group, Inc. business and its performance. These measure should always be considered in conjunction with the appropriate GAAP measure. Reconciliations of non-GAAP amounts to the relevant GAAP amount are available on www.investor.dunkinbrands.com.
ASSET-LIGHT 70 YEARS OF BRAND SIGNIFICANT U.S. & 100% FRANCHISED HERITAGE GLOBAL GROWTH BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY Dunkin’ Brands is unique in the QSR space
Dunkin’ is a Brand that can Win 12 consecutive Over 5 billion cups of years of being 9,000+ Dunkin’ coffee consumed in 2017* named #1 Coffee chain by U.S. Stores consumers $8.5B #1 seller of donuts #1 seller of bagels #2 seller of muffins #1 seller of hot flavored coffee #2 seller of iced espresso** Systemwide #1 seller of iced brewed coffee** Sales in 2017 Broad DD product accessibility: 5-year growth in Ready-to-drink bottled iced coffee, breakfast sandwich K-cups, and bagged coffee in servings grocery and retail *Total cups coffee in U.S. restaurants and CPG channels **Source: NPD/CREST for LTM May 2018
Broad Accessibility Unparalleled Broad Unparalleled Restaurant Convenience Accessibility Convenience Excellence Menu Menu Brand Brand Innovation Innovation Evolution Evolution AMERICA’S MOST LOVED BEVERAGE-LED, ON-THE-GO BRAND 8
MENU STRATEGY • Grow and protect the core • Expand product innovation • Beverage-led • Flavor news • Food pairings • Premium pours • Create second daypart • Drive traffic with value 10
Unparalleled Convenience: Mobile and Digital Innovation
INDUSTRY LEADING DIGITAL & MOBILE INNOVATION • ~9 million DD Perks Members • On-the-Go Mobile Ordering represents ~3% of transactions • Strong retrial rate of 80% • Navigating balance between loyalty member recruitment and meaningful engagement • Integrating mobile ordering with Google Assistant and GM Marketplace delivering unparalleled convenience, broad accessibility to guests
Broad Accessibility: Restaurant Growth & Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG)
DD U.S. NET DEVELOPMENT 1,000 net new restaurants by end of 2020 90%+ outside northeast markets Growth to accelerate ~50 NextGen concept Greater than 275 net with NextGen design restaurants open by new restaurants in 2018 release YE 2018* 14 *Between new builds and remodels
2016 NEW MARKET UNIT ECONOMICS • Traditional restaurants in top developing markets • Includes markets such as FL, CA, GA, & TN AVERAGE BEVERAGE AVERAGE UNIT MIX: VOLUMES ~40% $850K – 950K AVERAGE INITIAL CASH-ON-CASH CAPEX RETURNS As of April 2018 Standalone, traditional Dunkin Donuts Restaurants only $450K – 550K 20% - 25% *Not disclosing specific markets for competitive reasons; these are the expected returns 1 Number is rounded; represents the average initial capex for cohort 2 Number is rounded; represents the average unit volume for cohort 3 Number is rounded; represents the average cash-on-cash return for cohort
Leveraging CPG to Build Brand in New Markets • $860M in retail sales in 2017 • $710M CPG SKUs Grab and Our • $150M Dunkin’ RTD Coffee Go Brands/ • Dunkin’ Donuts Iced Coffee Your Home named #3 best-selling new brand in 2017 by IRI, within food and beverage category • 6 out of every 10 cups of Dunkin’ Brewed coffee consumed in the U.S. came On-the-Go from a Dunkin’ CPG product • Opportunity for new product innovation across brands
Restaurant Excellence: Menu Simplification
MENU SIMPLIFICATION: Making Room for Future Innovation • Rolled out nationally in Q1 2018 • Eliminated 10% of required menu items • Slow-moving, complex, off-strategy items • Improved menu consistency across the country • Key benefits: Guest and crew satisfaction, speed of service, accuracy, labor efficiency, franchisee profitability 18
Brand Evolution: Next Generation Restaurant
Dunkin’ Donuts NextGen Restaurant Corona, CA 20
Dunkin’ Donuts NextGen Restaurant Quincy, MA 21
Baskin-Robbins U.S.
Modernizing to attract younger guests Key initiatives include: • New premium products (e.g. Sundae Shakes, Cookie Cakes) • Enhancing convenience with new ways to order: • Digital in-store ordering • New e-Commerce website • Home delivery • Testing conceptual next generation store design 23
International
Focusing on strategic markets and long-term growth opportunities • Stabilizing Dunkin’ Donuts International by positioning it as coffee-focused while maintaining strong donut and bakery equity • Opened ~60 newly-designed restaurants across 8 international markets • Baskin-Robbins International is focused on ice cream gallon consumption across the business: through stores, delivery, and consumer packaged goods • Delivery continues to be opportunity with tests underway across a number of key markets Baskin-Robbins is the #1 quick-service brand in the Middle East Baskin-Robbins 25 UK
Financial Targets
Our Financial Targets 2018 Long-Term (Through 2020) DUNKIN’ DONUTS U.S. DUNKIN’ DONUTS U.S. • ~1% comp store sales growth • Low-single digit comp store sales growth • >275 net new unit development • 1,000 net new unit development BASKIN-ROBBINS U.S. BASKIN-ROBBINS U.S. • Low-single digit comp store sales growth • Low-single digit comp store sales growth • 0-10 net unit development • 0-10 net unit development Low-to-mid single digit % revenue growth Low-to-mid single digit % revenue growth Mid-single digit % operating and adjusted Mid-to-high single digit % operating and adjusted operating income growth* operating income growth Low-single digit reduction to 2017 G&A expense* G&A 2%-3% annual growth 25% effective tax rate ~28% effective tax rate $2.48- $2.56 GAAP Diluted EPS* $2.68 - $2.72 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS* *Guidance reflects update as of July 26, 2018
The “Perks” of Investing in Reliable and diversified Dunkin’ Brands financial results Asset-light, 100% franchised model Strong free cash flow conversion
You can also read