Public transport and MaaS - Key note speech Hamburg, March 14, 2018 - MAAS-Alliance
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Why? Status symbols change; tuned car (1); iPhone 7+ (2) 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 5
The whole eco system is changing already now; Visual: Uber taxi stand in Chicago 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 8
Public Transport is about to experience significant changes – PT companies need to find good answers to the right questions Key questions for public transport of tomorrow A B C D E Will I have How can I How can I Have I How can I Questions a right to keep the win the done all leverage exist in an customer race my home- my assets autonomous world when getting from interface and avoid being pushed into against the car ? work on commercially to become (more) A to B can be the role of ? conventional levers ? independent ? offered almost for free ? a mere carrier financially 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 9
Cars are more and more losing their status and start to be consider- ed as a public transport mean Development of car positioning Car centricity Intermodal Integration Increasing consideration of cars as public transport and willingness of passengers to switch transport modes, requires an integrated view on transport means Integrating diffe- rent transport modes to allow passengers access to inter- modal transport services > Status symbol > Demand for efficiency > Individuality > Demand for convenience 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 10
Until recently, public transport differentiated clearly from car – Position is threatened by shared mobility and will even deteriorate Convenience and costs for 5 km travel in developed countries Convenience/privacy Taxi costs: Example Munich, incl. base fee + per km; 14 min driving time (finanztip.de) H Robo Cab Car Sharing: Example Munich – Taxi Car2Go; 14 min UBER Taxi Car driving time new Car new: Private car, new, 4 Car years usage, 60,000 M used km total, Smart fortwo Coupe 1.0 Car sharing (ADAC 5/2015) Car used: Estimated 60% of Public new transp. SDV-Taxi: Only 2 instead of 4 Bike cars used per km2, L 80% higher mileage over usage period EUR Public transport: MVV, Preisrechner 12 10 5 2.5 Source: Roland Berger 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 11
For Public Transport companies, MaaS can help answer the most relevant questions going forward Relevant questions for Public Transport What advantages does Which individual transport Public Transport have and modes should be included how can I retain existing in the new mobility and attract new offering? customers? Who can be relevant partners for implementing How can I win the race What additional revenue & operating new transport modes? against the car in a profitable way? potential can be created? How can new transport How can future modes complement and technologies be anticipated not cannibalize the existing to be included in today's offering? offering? 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 12
How mobility will develop is primarily dependent on the technological progress as well as the customer acceptance Key influencing factors and trends impacting the advancement in mobility in next 15 yrs. Progress in micro- Automated driving Technological electronics (SoC, (Level 4 City) progress concerning MEMS, …) Digitalization of Sharing vs. owning automated driving (cars, operations & sales busses, trains) and Environmental regulations GDP development consumer attitude PT-Electrification towards the car as primary means of Impact City regulations Connecti- Urbanization individual transport are vity/IoT Car is not a status symbol Smart products/ anymore the key parameters for devices New materials the future development (lightweight, nano, compounds, ..) Safety regulations of mobility Distribution of disposable income Automated driving (Level 1-3) Uncertainty Economy/society Regulation Consumer Technology Most relevant trends for MaaS 1) Lower impact for suppliers Source: Expert interviews; Roland Berger 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 13
Four scenarios can be derived to describe the mobility of the future, not all of them with a strong PT share – "Anarchy" must be avoided Mobility scenarios in Germany, 2030 Mobility scenarios 2030 Driving together "Maximum capacity" "Hyper-efficiency" Intelligent stand- TRANSPORTATION Status Highly connected, alone solutions SYSTEM quo integrated system "Anarchy" "Connected individuality" BEHAVIOR MOBILITY Driving alone 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 14
New technologies and new business models disrupt the mobility – Other transportation segments have experienced similar situations Key elements of mobility disruption Mobility disruption Similar examples Examples Key dimensions Autonomous Shuttles Level 5 1 Autonomous e-Vehicles Standardization of Driving New service offering RoboCabs technologies 2 Online focused operation models Shared Mobility New business models 3 Digital platforms and Ride-Hailing Mobility on partnerships Demand Ride-Pooling Source: Roland Berger 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 15
The global trade and intermodal logistics skyrocketed after introduction of a standard intermodal shipping container Example – Standardization INTRODUCTION OF INTERMODAL SHIPPING CONTAINER KEY LEARNINGS FOR PUBLIC TRANSPORT AND MAAS > Addressed need for scalable and simple global logistics > All players along the whole ISO late value chain profited from it 1960's > Central agency responsible Today for the elaboration and >60% of implementation of the Main reason global standards for new global shipments production footprint 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 16
The low cost carriers have unlocked new market potential and are growing much faster and more profitable than traditional competitors Example – Online focused operating model THE RISE OF LOW COST AIRLINES KEY LEARNINGS FOR PUBLIC TRANSPORT AND MAAS > Think unconventionally on commercial and operational side > Don't underestimate new entrants with attractive New cost offerings to protect own paradigm business Demand > Account for incentivized creation, demand and not only for LCC CAGR1) where not modal share shift 7.1% vs expected > Scrutinize the operational other carriers CAGR1) 3.5% model to be more efficient 1) 2007-2016 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 17
Dynamic packaging has allowed to new tour operators and incum- bents to create wider and more transparent offering at lower cost Example – Digital platform and partnerships GREATER CHOICE FOR CUSTOMERS THROUGH DYNAMIC PACKAGING KEY LEARNINGS FOR PUBLIC TRANSPORT AND MAAS > Use new digital capabilities to platforms that offer the customer the right product at the optimal price Pure > Strive for simplicity and online transparency to attract sales customers of tomorrow Dynami- > Set the correct legal cally framework to protect the Higher sourced customers customization inventory > Be creative in pricing and flexibility 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 18
We see Mobility-as-a-Service concepts developing in two waves building on shared intermodal mobility Development of mobility as a service concept Today's Wave 2 "Mobility as Low world (Focus autonomous driving) a Service" (Electric) auto- nomous driving Fully connected Wave 1 vehicles (Focus sharing and integration) Managed Level of mobility passenger Regulatory effort "push" Inter-modal Shared intermodal integration mobility Car sharing & ride hailing 2015 2020+ 2030+ High Source: Roland Berger 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 19
Players of different backgrounds are working on MaaS development worldwide but with different targets Latest developments in the MaaS eco-system Moovel platform for transit Alibaba with high stakes in agencies to enable multimodal mobility companies e.g. car and ticketing and fare validation, e.g. bike sharing or map services; in Portland incl. UberX and Alipay (online payment platform) transit as basis for a MaaS platform Goal: Mobility as second pillar Goal: Diversify and collaborate for Daimler despite only cars to become relevant mobility player Yandex ("Russian Google") has already RTA has created in 2017 it's digital arm "Choice" is a Mobility Marketplace by integrated several modes of transport and that shall service as MaaS platform and NZTA1) (incl. e.g. taxi, bus, ride sharing ) is experimenting with autonomous main mobility gateway for Queenstown, pilot launched in 2017 vehicles to provide comprehensive offer Goal: Double the share of public transport, Goal: Improve transport options for Goal: Utilize it's technological advantage avoid over-investment in road infrastruc- residents and tourists, boost tourist and payment service to offer MaaS ture and profit from innovative mobility industry and solve congestion issue Transport provider Platform provider Regulator 1) Collaboration between the NZTA (New Zealand Transport Authority), Otago Regional Council, Queenstown Lakes District Council, Auckland Transport, supported by Destination Queenstown and Queenstown’s local transport providers 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 20
The MaaS-ecosystem has complex relationships between the different stakeholders – Various pain points still to be removed Roles in MaaS-ecosystem No shared vision on achieving intermodal transport Regulator No definition of Lacking support by national Offering the app standards so far Defining standards and government regulations E.g. public Demand infrastructure & data Platform Supply data sector provider Supply infrastructure & data Demand mobility solutions Supply mobility Demand mobility solutions solutions Critical mass needed Traveler using the to be operationally Streets, Infrastruc- e.g. app to plan, Customer efficient IT/Service- tracks, ture provider book and pay his Wi-Fi… journey provider Providing the Demand transport Supply transport underlying IT- platform and data Use infrastructure Transport Supply transport Supply infrastructure provider Generate and send data Uncertainty regarding sharing Companies actually Lacking agreement and cooperation offering transport data (Data ownership and across operators and authorities privacy) Source: Roland Berger 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 21
The value proposition of the MaaS concept should take into account the goals of various market players but also customer's perspective Goals concerning an intermodal mobility platform (selection) Regulator/Authority Operator > Increase of public transportation > Connection of different transport modes > Decrease of urban traffic > Optimization of transportation supply > Decrase of pollution within the city (portfolio, punctuality, customer experience, etc.) Provider of physical Integrator GOALS @ infrastructure & modes > Customer and data monetization > Optimization of vehicle portfolio – Commissioning management – Advertising > Predictability of maintenance demand – Big Data > Decrease of infrastructure attrition (roads, etc.) Customer > Convenience of planning, booking, and paying by > Existence of one central contact for the whole trip mobile app > Reduction of number of access cards and paying methods > Avoidance of time-consuming searching > Reduction of transaction time > Easy comparability of means of transport 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 22
To optimize the MaaS offering, passengers' 'pain points' throughout the journey would need to be tackled Customer journey along the value chain Illustrative Tickets 8 4 5 6 2 3 9 7 1 1 2 4 5 6 8 Inspiration, Planning, Departure station In transit Arriving station After the journey travel plans booking "We managed to get "Made it to the next "Finally there! Can I "Long time since the "I have a meeting in "Why is it so difficult here just in time – train but now I need grab a quick coffee last train ride. Shall I Marina, what else can to find my location let's proceed quickly to check the time for and withdraw some cancel my next taxi I do in that side of on the planner ?" to the ticket machine" the next feeder bus cash?" ride? town?" and tram to my final 3 "The ticket machine destination but there 7 Way to departure is under maintenance is no free Wi-Fi and does not accept available here on the Way to final 9 station credit card – I have to metro" destination "What is the "There is a delay in wait in queue at the "Why is there so little "Is there a feeder Sharing, contact fastest way feeder buses and ticketing booth so I bus coming by in the "Hey, let's go to to get to the the route is will have to take the space on the train during peak-hour t?" next 5 min that can Marina by boat on the meeting in congested – how next train" take me to my weekend!" Marina?" shall I reach my meeting location?" train in time now?" 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 23
In order to realize the vision of Mobility-as-a-Service, it is important to think integrated and beyond the boundaries of your own company Five key takeaways for the workshops MaaS Alliance Don't think about what is possible today, but anticipate what workshop 1 mobility customers will really need in the future > Principles of data Jointly create a long-term vision of the MaaS offering sharing 2 and then define clear steps and priorities on how to achieve it > Ownership of customer, branding 3 Try to apply the greenfield approach first – And > Sale channels & then evaluate how to close the gaps payment integration > Governance models Think about how you can benefit from ideas that and indicators 4 can be brought in by newcomers to the public transport sector 5 Put simplicity and reduction of friction points in the first place when evaluating ideas and developing initiatives 180314_MaaS Alliance_KeyNote_Dyskin_vFinal.pptx 24
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