Project Herald March 2021 - AIM: DUKE - Duke Royalty
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Disclaimer These presentation slides and the accompanying verbal presentation (the “Presentation or in part, for any purposes whatsoever. In particular, they should not be distributed to or Materials”), are confidential and have been prepared by Duke Royalty Limited (the “Company”). otherwise made available to persons with addresses in Canada, Australia, Japan, the Republic of They do not constitute or form part of any offer for sale or subscription or any solicitation for Ireland, the Republic of South Africa or the United States, its territories or possessions or in any any offer to buy or subscribe for any securities of the Company nor should they or any part of other country outside the United Kingdom where such distribution or availability may lead to a them form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter breach of any law or regulatory requirements. 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Presentation team The management and investment committee have 70+ years of combined direct royalty experience Neil Johnson Charlie Cannon-Brookes Peter Madouros Executive Director and CEO Executive Director Chief Investment Officer Early player of UK listings for London-based Executive Director Extensive experience investing in Canadian and UK dual-listed public and private markets at Extensive onshore and offshore companies between 2000 and leading private equity and credit fund management experience 2010. Led the first Canadian AIM fund managers, including Pollen since 1998 Nomad and UKLA sponsor Street Capital and Moore Capital Management A total of £3 billion was raised for dual-listed companies 3
Investor highlights We provide minimally-dilutive capital with no re-financing risk for private, owner-managed companies with strong cashflows Established portfolio ~6% 10 Royalty Partners and £115+ million annualised dividend yield1 paid in cash deployed since inception quarterly Established market presence High operational leverage first mover in UK and Europe and embedded long-term growth Covid-19 resilience Growing market post-Covid, providing opportunities in demonstrated by cash flow preservation alternative financing to SME’s 1 Duke share price as of 18 March 2021, and annualizing Q4 declared dividend 4
How are corporate royalties different? A long-term participating loan with similar characteristics to traditional royalties • Duke provides a lump sum of capital to a company with a term of 25-40 years • Initial yield is 12.0-14.0% of capital, adjusted once per year with a collar of +/-6% in currency terms (0.7-0.8% of initial capital) • Duke’s total obligation can be serviced out of current cash flow, without need for exit event • No bullet repayment at end of term • Company can Buyback royalty: after ~3 years, initial principal plus ~20% redemption premium. However, buyback granted at any time upon change of control (not a poison pill) Illustrative Company Example 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Duke payment to company £10.00 Company revenue (% change) £20.00 £23.00 +15% £21.16 -8% £22.22 +5% £24.44 +10% £28.11 EBITDA £3.00 £3.45 £3.17 £3.33 £3.67 £4.50 Duke distribution (% change) - £1.35 +6% £1.43 -6% £1.35 +5% £1.41 +6% £1.50 Cash flow - post Duke distribution £3.00 £2.10 £1.74 £1.99 £2.25 £3.00 % of economic interest retained 100% 61% 55% 60% 61% 67% by owners/management 5
An established alternative financing solution Royalties appeal to owners who have a need for capital but want to retain control. Royalties compete more against debt than equity, but have characteristics of both Debt Royalty Private Equity Term 3-7 years 25-40 years Permanent dilution Refinancing risk Significant None Pressure to exit Control Passive Passive Loss of control Covenants Significant Covenant-light Covenant-light Security Typically senior Typically senior None FCF impact (years 1-5) Significant Light Light 6
Benefits for investors Royalty company shareholders benefit from attractive returns and increasing valuation as they diversify their investment portfolios Security for downside protection Compounding opportunity High level of Senior secured Annuity-like operational revenue streams through participation in growth by annual gearing Inter-creditor agreements adjustments Events of default Payment remedies Board rights Diversification Yield of risk Commitment Seize security compression through addition of to growing as portfolio grows revenue streams and quarterly dividends Information rights liquidity of shares Restructure/call 7
Our Royalty partners Duke has proven experience investing across range of sectors, geographies and transaction types October 2017 February 2019 April 2018 November 2020 August 2018 March 2018 Carmen, Verdi & Rigoletto BUSINESS SERVICES LEISURE INDUSTRIALS RIVER BOAT VESSELS HEALTHCARE INDUSTRIALS Fair value: Fair value: Fair value: Fair value: Fair value: Fair value: £12,093,000 £12,051,000 £10,903,000 £10,360,000 £9,425,000 £8,985,000 Acquisition Capital MBI Acquisition Capital & Acquisition of Assets Growth Capital Shareholder Debt Refinancing Buyout September 2018 June 2018 February 2021 August 2018 Step BIL Investments BUSINESS SERVICES EDUCATION & MEDIA INDUSTRIALS BUSINESS SERVICES EXIT EXIT Fair value: Fair value: Fair value: Fair value IRR: 27% IRR: 22% £8,501,000 £6,308,000 £6,197,000 £5,873,000 MBO / MBI Growth Capital MBO MBO Acquisition Capital & Acquisition Debt Refinancing Capital 1 Fair value refers to the unaudited pro-forma fair value, which reflects the fair value at 31-Mar-20 adjusted for the cost of follow-on investments made in FY21 8
Duke’s financials – cashflow business FY2020 FY2019 FY2021 Trading Outlook Cashflow highlights £000 £000 Cash revenue 1 10,245 5,354 • Quarterly cash revenue trending upwards Core operating expenses 2 (2,273) (1,392) • Total cash revenue for FY2021 expected to be £11.0 million, an increase year-on-year Other cash (expenses) / receipts 3 (1,189) 148 despite Covid downturn Net cash inflow from operating activities 6,783 4,110 • Cash revenue forgone has been captured as Interest costs (1,425) (172) equity or deferred Free cash flow 5,358 3,930 • Using proceeds from proposed equity raise Other highlights and full draw down on RCF to £55m, we expect a significant increase to pro forma Operating cashflow per share (p) 3.17 2.52 cash revenue Dividend per share (p) 2.95 2.80 Dividend yield 4 11.6% 6.4% 1 Cash revenue is cash distributions from royalty partners and net cash gains from sale of Free cashflow (FCF) per share (p) 2.51 2.41 investments 2 Core operating expenses excludes variable STIP payments 3 Includes other operating income, royalty participation payments, tax and variable STIP FCF yield 4 9.9% 5.5% payments 4 Based on share price of 25.40p @ 31.03.20 and 43.5p @ 31.03.19 9
Project Herald
Transaction summary • Proposed equity placing to raise up to £20m • Net proceeds to provide royalty financing in two new royalty partners under signed, exclusive heads of terms and one near term follow-on into current partner • Further pipeline funded by revolving line of credit which post-placing is an LTV of ~35% when fully drawn at £55 million Proposed amount Annual adjustment Deal (in GBP) Initial cash yield collar (+/-) Term New: IT Managed Services £11.0 million 13.5% 6% 30 years New: Engineering & Construction £7.5 million 13.2% 6% 30 years Follow-on: New Acquisition £3.8 million 13.5% 6% 30 years Total / Weighted Average £22.3 million 13.4% 6% 30 years Placing proceeds will increase market cap to £110m+ and provide sufficient liquidity to execute near-term deal opportunities 11
Pipeline of opportunities The role of alternative financing has been on the rise since 2010 and we believe Covid-19 will increase the size of the alternative financing industry Secular tailwinds Robust pipeline • Higher capital costs for banks is creating growing demand for private • Record number of opportunities reviewed in Q1 2021 up 3x from credit instruments Q1 2019 • We are the long-term alternative capital solution • Live opportunities under consideration include 21 deals representing £153m • 45% of UK SME’s took new capital in 2020 and we stand to benefit as borrowers seek to reduce refinancing risk1 • Focus on our successful situations, and an adherence to our investment criteria Aggregate private debt (in US$ bn)2 Pipeline by deal type Pipeline by geography $900 MBO Buy & Build UK Ireland > $800 $800 Growth M&A Germany Canada Buyout Denmark Netherlands $700 $600 $550 14% 5% 5% 24% 10% $500 $400 $320 19% 9% $300 62% $200 9% 24% $100 19% $0 2010 2015 2019 1 Source: According to British Business Bank 2 Source: Association for Financial Markets in Europe, PWC (Private debt worldwide, all sectors) 12
New Royalty partner: IT Managed Solutions Company overview • UK buy & build platform for IT managed service businesses with six operating businesses already acquired • Recurring revenue generated via growing managed services offering and the reselling of hardware and software • Cost synergies from centralization of overheads • Products cross-sold to grow top-line organically • Duke facility supporting management’s proven acquisition and onboarding program • Targeted acquisition multiples are accretive to Duke’s coverage ratio (even prior to synergies being realized) Annual adjustment Investment (based on revenue) Why Duke £11m +/-6% • Founders maintain larger equity shareholding • Duke’s Royalty product needs no re-financing Term Initial obligation (incl. principal) • Duke offers a long-term partner that has appetite to provide further acquisition capital in the future 30 years 13.5% 13
New Royalty partner: Engineering and Construction Company overview • Canadian buy & build platform for engineering, procurement and construction (“EPC”) solutions in commercial and industrial settings • Three acquisition targets as part of the initial Group, the business units being in business since 1986, 1997 and 2003 and have completed projects in North and South America, Europe and Middle East • Upon closing, the Group will have expertise in designing, engineering, and manufacturing of specialized construction projects, enclosures, and automation solutions for a variety of industries • Experienced management team expects to realize economies of scale and cross-selling to grow EBITDA as well as through strategic acquisitions • Group revenues 2020 c.£20 million and all business units profitable Why Duke Annual adjustment Investment (based on revenue) • Actual and targeted acquisition multiples of less than 4.0x are accretive to Duke’s coverage ratio without loss of management’s equity control £7.5m +/-6% • At Duke’s discretion, agreed a facility of up to £11.5m to support additional acquisitions Initial obligation Term • Desire to have one capital provider and no refinancing risk (incl. principal) 30 years 13.2% 14
Follow-on investment to existing partner BIL: existing (resourcing) platform Bolt-on opportunity BIL to date New opportunity • BIL is a buy & build resourcing platform which has deployed a total of £9.4m to date • 3.8m of new capital from Duke to • This includes bring the total investment exposure to £13.2m • Permanent recruitment-focused Brightwater in September 2018, and • PharmEng Ltd in January 2020, providing the group with a strong profile of Temporary • Target company is a well- Resourcing income, which has performed resiliently during the pandemic established business focused on the information technology sector, • The two businesses operate predominantly in the Finance, Engineering servicing a number of large clients and Healthcare sectors in the UK and Ireland with long standing relationships • Both revenue and profitability Annual adjustment Initial obligation Investment Term have grown in the last 12 months to (based on revenue) (incl. principal) March 2021, showcasing the quality £9.4m +/-6% 30 years 13.5% of earnings and management’s ability to expand revenue with key customers and win further contracts as the business develops • The company is being acquired at a multiple that is forecasted to be accretive to Duke’s key credit metrics Brightwater wins Large Agency of the Year 2019 15
Increasing portfolio diversification Pre-transaction Illustrative full deployment Lynx Lynx Miriad 6% 5% 9% UGG 6% 14% Miriad 5% UGG Duke Switzerland 5% 9% InterHealth 7% Duke Switzerland InterHealth Trimite 6% 13% BIL Trimite 8% 10% 2% Step BIL ~£95m 5% £150m+ Fabrikat Step BHP deployed Fabrikat deployed1 7% New deal - IT BHP 7% New deal - E&C 11% 12% 7% Follow-on deal 4% 4% Debt funded deal (i) 10% 11% 7% 4% 6% Debt funded deal (ii) Debt funded deal (iii) Debt funded deal (iv) Through full deployment of debt and equity, Duke will seek to increase its portfolio diversification with no investment representing more than 10% of total capital deployed 1 Includes investment based off proposed £20m equity raise and utilisation of leverage under Honeycomb credit facility including assumed accordion upsize 16
Duke’s investors: top global funds Strong base of blue-chip institutional investors with significant management ownership 9.81% 9.18% 7.95% 6.64% ownership ownership ownership ownership Directors, Management, Insiders 5.09% 4.29% 3.69% ~5.00% ownership ownership ownership ownership High level of liquidity with Duke in the top quartile of AIM traded stocks by value 1 Data as at 15 March 2021 17
Summary • Use of proceeds are for two new deals already under exclusive Letters of Intent and one follow-on deal • Total cash revenue for FY2021 expected to see an increase year-on-year despite Covid downturn • Further potential for growth as trading environment normalises, buyouts materialize and positive annual adjustment resets • Non-dilutive capital of £55 million revolving credit facility to execute growing pipeline of opportunities • Pro forma £150+ million of invested capital will result in expected increase in Cash Flow per Share 18
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An experienced team, including Royalty pioneers Management and investment committee have direct royalty experience of 70+ years Neil Johnson – Executive Director and CEO Jim Webster – Chairman of Investment Committee • Pioneered UK listings for Canadian and UK dual- • Pioneered world’s first drug royalty public listed companies between 2000 and 2010 company on TSX (from 1993-2002), and has • £3 billion raised for dual-listed companies and led 25 years of royalty expertise Nigel Birrell the first Canadian AIM Nomad and UKLAsponsor • Previous royalty companies have a total of Non-Exec Chairman £4 billion under management • Group CEO of Lottoland Limited • Former director of two FTSE 250 companies, including HIT Charlie Cannon-Brookes – Executive Director Steven Russo – VP, Investments Entertainment • London-based Executive Director • Six years of experience in mezzanine debt and • Co-owner of FCA-regulated Arlington Group select equity growth capital transactions at Asset Management Difference Capital Financial Inc. • Holds a J.D./MBA Degree from Queen’s University (2011)with expertise in corporate law and governance Matthew Wrigley Non-Exec Director • Former Partner at MJ Hudson and Peter Madouros – Chief Investment Officer Ajay Shivdasani – VP, Investments resident of Guernsey • Extensive experience investing in public and • Four years of private-equity LBO transaction • Former General Counsel of a fund private markets at leading private equity and experience and deal origination at DW management company with > £650m credit fund managers, including Pollen Street Healthcare Partners and four years of global AUM Capital and Moore Capital Management management consulting experience at Oliver • BA from Cornell University, Magna cum Laude, Wyman and MBA from Columbia Business School • Holds an MBA from INSEAD University (2014) Hugo Evans – Finance Director Alex Hibbard – VP, Investments Mark Le Tissier • Extensive experience in senior finance roles within • 3 years at London-based PE firm Terra Firma, Non-Exec Director financial services where he focused on investment opportunities • European Regional Director of • 11 years of UK plc reporting experience and managing portfolio companies Trident Trust, leading global • Chartered Accountant (Grant Thornton) • Chartered Financial Analyst corporate services provider and a resident of Guernsey 20
Duke Royalty’s Covid-19 response Preservation of value Long term approach F21 cash revenue - Q1: £2.0m Q2: £2.4m Q3: £4.2m Forbearance agreements with hardest-hit royalty partners Cash revenue forgone has been captured as equity or deferred But deployed further capital into strong partners enabling growth Future value acquired Return of cash dividends Equity stakes up to 30% in some royalty partners Scrip dividend was paid during the crisis phase of the pandemic Most held at or near nil value currently on Duke’s balance sheet Cash dividend reinstated after two quarters of scrip dividends 21
Duke’s typical investment criteria • c.£5m - £20m Preferred sectors Investment fit within • Western Europe and North America Duke Portfolio • Appropriate Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) standards Industrials Alignment of management goals • 10+ years of operating history with Duke’s objectives • Back management with a track record of delivery Business services Collateral/capital backing Duke’s • Senior security sought on available assets investment • If other debt exists, we seek inter-creditor agreements Healthcare • Competitive sustainable advantage Capacity to pay and grow royalty • Royalty coverage greater than 2.0x payments • Payback period of 6-7 years Technology No start-ups • Approval required by independent investment committee and No oil & gas Overall risk/reward evaluation board of directors No mining No biotech 22
Strong origination and due diligence Origination process Origination through relationships Relationship driven, 675+ investment opportunities since 2016 management and financial strength more important than industry sector Indication of interest submitted 105+ investment opportunities Preliminary evaluation Greenlight approval from Investment Committee In-depth due diligence Approval process In-house + global experts via partnerships Production of due diligence report and 2x approval Independent Investment Committee recommendation Board approval 23
What is Royalty financing? Royalties are deployed in multiple sectors and are part of the growing market in alternative financing Year listed Year listed Year listed Year listed Year listed 1983 2005 & 2020 2018 2020 2020 Exchange Exchange Exchange Exchange Exchange TSX & NYSE TSX & LSE LSE NYSE LSE Sector Sector Sector Sector Sector Mining Mining Songs Pharmaceuticals Songs Market cap.1 Market cap.1 Market cap.1 Market cap.1 Market cap.1 £17.0b £12.9b £1.3b £20.9b £246m Royalties in all forms emerged 40 years ago, but have gained traction in the UK with several IPOs on the London Stock Exchange over the last three years 1 FX conversion rates as of 15.03.2021: (i) GBP:US$ = US$1.3862 (ii) GBP:CAD = C$1.7358 24
Benefits for owner-operators Private business owners receive immediate capital without selling part of their equity stake in the company, allowing them to retain full control of the business No refinancing risk Retain control of timing for owners of any refinancing event A long term approach Unique structure to the business relationship creates alignment to succeed Retain control of the board Retain equity upside and strategic direction as participation is capped 25
Funding solutions Debt or Acquisition equity MBOs capital restructuring Allows experienced Debt refinancing or management teams to Flexible financing model shareholders exiting become majority owners enables cash drawdowns in multiple tranches We support owners We back people who without creating another created equity value to Used for bolt-on future exit event keep strategic control acquisitions 26
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