Precious Metals Report 2021 - Everything you need to know about gold, platinum and palladium! - Swiss Resource Capital AG
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Table of Contents Imprint Disclaimer 02 Editor Swiss Resource Capital AG Table of Contents | Imprint 07 Poststr. 1 9100 Herisau, Schweiz Preface09 Tel : +41 71 354 8501 Fax : +41 71 560 4271 info@resource-capital.ch The corona year 2020 has left its mark on the precious metals – for www.resource-capital.ch investors definitely rosy! ................................................................................ 10 Editorial staff Expert interview with Christian Brenner, Managing Director philoro Jochen Staiger EDELMETALLE GmbH Germany – Precious metals remain indispensable Tim Rödel for storing value................................................................................................ 21 Layout/Design Interview with Prof. Dr. Torsten Dennin Frauke Deutsch Founder and CEO of Lynkeus Capital LLC������������������������������������������������������ 23 All rights reserved. Reprinting The Gold Standard material by copying in electronic form is not permitted. Company profiles Editorial Deadline: 04/30/2021 of Gold Research Caledonia Mining���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 28 Cover: shutterstock.com Condor Gold����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 32 page 13: pixabay page 16: shutterstock.com Eskay Mining���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 36 page 19: shutterstock.com page 20: Sibanye-Stillwater First Mining Gold���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 40 All pictures and graphics have been Mawson Gold��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 44 provided by the companies, unless otherwise stated. Novo Resources����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 48 Back OceanaGold����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 53 1: Osisko Mining 2: Sibanye-Stillwater Sibanye-Stillwater�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 58 3: © Elionora Henzler 4: ©corlaffra/shutterstock.com Velocity Minerals���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 64 Free download: www.ingoldwetrust.report Charts: 05/11/2021 by JS Charts by amCharts 6 7
Preface The whole world of commodities in one App: Dear Readers, Commodity-TV Now in our sixth year of publication, it is with great pleasure that we present our special re- port on precious metals, which follows our the necessary basic knowledge by means of our general part, so that you can make your own decisions. successful battery metal and uranium reports. Precious metals have become indispensable Swiss Resource Capital AG has set itself the for one‘s own (crisis) provision and wealth task of providing up-to-date and compre- preservation. Not to be forgotten is the un- hensive information on a wide range of raw conditional benefit of precious metals as a materials and mining companies to raw ma- store of value and money substitute as well terial investors, interested parties and those Jochen Staiger is founder and CEO as a hedge for bad times. Especially in to- who would like to become such. On our of Swiss Resource Capital AG, day‘s corona virus craze, gold is essential to website www.resource-capital.ch you will located in Herisau, Switzerland. As park cash wisely. The central banks‘ money find more than 30 companies and a lot of in- chief-editor and founder of the first printing orgies are unstoppable and with formation and articles about raw materials. two resource IP-TV-channels Christine Lagarde succeeding Mario Draghi, Commodity-TV and its German things have gotten worse rather than better. counterpart Rohstoff-TV, he reports The U.S. Federal Reserve has already lowe- We would like to give you the necessary insights about companies, experts, fund red interest rates to zero and the money and inform you comprehensively through our managers and various themes floodgates have been fully opened in the special reports. In addition, our two commodity around the international mining wake of Corona. Whether there will be a fi- IP-TV channels www.Commodity-TV.net & business and the correspondent nancial collapse is, as always, questionable www.Rohstoff-TV.net are always available to metals. and debatable. However, the financial system you free of charge. For on the go, we recom- has never been as fragile as it is today. mend our new Commodity TV App for iPhone and Android, which provides you with re- A major problem in the future will be the acce- al-time charts, quotes and also the latest vi- lerating default rates of many over-indebted deos. zombie companies. The banks, which are un- der pressure anyway, will not be happy about My team and I hope you enjoy reading the this. Please remember that in case of emer- Special Report on Precious Metals and hope gency only 100.000 Euro are secured per ins- to be able to provide you with a lot of new titution and even this I question meanwhile if information, impressions and ideas. Only tho- this is affordable! With gold, but also with pla- se who inform themselves in a versatile way tinum and palladium, you can weather many and take their investment matters into their a storm to be able to provide yourself and own hands will be able to win in these difficult your family with the most necessary food and times and preserve their assets. Precious me- Tim Rödel is Manager Newsletter, to preserve your assets. But let‘s not assume tals have endured for thousands of years and Threads & Special Reports at SRC the worst, however, physical precious metals will continue to do so. AG. He has been active in the reassure me of the possible coming uphea- commodities sector for more than vals. We look positively into the future and Yours, Jochen Staiger 15 years and accompanied take gold as a store of value and inflation pro- several chief-editor positions, e.g. at • CEO and expert interviews tection. Mining companies are still (too) chea- P.S.: If you miss the precious metal silver in Rohstoff-Spiegel, Rohstoff-Woche, Free download here: ply valued in addition to quite a few good di- this precious metal report, we can reassure Rohstoffraketen, the publications • Site-Visit-Videos vidend standard stocks. Especially producers you. From now on, we will dedicate a separa- Wahrer Wohlstand and First Mover. with dividends are now first choice as well as te silver report to it. He owns an enormous commodity • Reports from trade shows and conferences around the world prospective precious metal producers have expertise and a wide-spread an enormous leverage on the respective me- network within the whole resource • Up-to-date mining information tal price. In this precious metal report, we will sector. • Commodity TV, Rohstoff-TV and Dukascopy TV created by introduce you to some interesting companies that are suitable for speculation on rising pre- • Real-time charts and much more! cious metal prices. We also want to give you 9 Swiss Resource Capital AG | Poststrasse 1 | 9100 Herisau | Schweiz | www.resource-capital.ch | info@resource-capital.ch
The corona year 2020 has left its mark on the preci- ous metals – for investors definitely rosy! Gold: Postponed is not canceled – sult, the price per ounce fell to below US$600. Gold: Platinum/Palladium: Rising supply Since the third quarter of 2020, however, the- Number 1 store of value for thousands of years deficits will remain for the time re have been signs of a renaissance. Howe- being despite rising prices ver, the major demand driver will not be fuel cells or hydrogen, which are still some years Precious metals investors are still in pole po- away, but initially the substitution of palladi- Gold is a chemical element with the element placer deposits. Up to 20% of the gold mined sition, precious metals have so far come th- um, which is now more than twice as expen- symbol Au and the atomic number 79. Due to annually is extracted as a by-product, mainly rough the Covid 19 crisis the best of all asset sive, by platinum. The supply deficit, which its moderate melting temperature, it is very from copper, nickel or other precious metal classes. It sounds like a cliché, but gold and has already existed since 2019, even wide- easy to work mechanically and does not cor- mines. silver (covered in a separate report) are again ned again in 2020 and is likely to lead to a rode. It is extremely rare, and its yellow luster in demand as „safe havens“, as massive in- further speculative increase in the price of is also durable, which is why it is considered flows into ETFs and sold-out bullion traders impressively prove. platinum. imperishable and is therefore largely proces- sed into jewelry or used in coin or bar form to Supply situation For both platinum and palladium, a drastic store value. Gold is also considered easily al- In August 2020, the gold price reached a new drop in supply is to be expected in the co- loyable, which makes it very attractive as a According to the World Gold Council, a total all-time high of more than US$2,060, which ming years, as the important South African material. of 3,400.8 tons of gold was mined in 2020 was mainly the result of (impending) fiscal mines in particular will not be able to maintain and 1,297.4 tons was recovered from recy- and geopolitical upheavals and a certain their production to the usual extent. Even ri- cling. Thus, the total gold supply (including [Xe] 4f145d106s1 79 Au desire for security, which will keep the price of sing prices are unlikely to contribute to an im- recycling and hedging) fell by about 187 tons the yellow metal at a high level and will cer- provement. to 4,633.1 tons compared to 2019. tainly drive it even higher. In the vast majority The main gold mining regions are currently of currencies, gold was trading at absolute China, Russia, Australia, the USA and Cana- all-time highs in 2020, which will continue in What are precious metals? da, which together account for almost half of Melting Point 1337 K the face of rampant money printing orgies by Boiling Point 3243 K the total annual output. They are followed by central banks around the world. In 2021, the From a purely chemical point of view, preci- Peru, Ghana, South Africa, Mexico and Brazil, fear of inflation, which is already becoming ous metals are metals which are corrosion-re- GOLD which, however, is only just ahead of Uzbe- apparent, will drive more people into gold, sistant, i.e. which are permanently chemically kistan in eleventh place. In Europe, only Swe- which has been considered the number one stable in a natural environment under the in- den and Finland can report significant gold store of value for thousands of years, and is fluence of air and water. The group of preci- Main properties: Appearance, production. likely to push the price up again. In addition, ous metals primarily includes gold and silver, corrosion resistance, good work there is an investment backlog, primarily from as well as the so-called platinum metals plati- ability, good contact. the jewelry industry, which is likely to be me- num, palladium, ruthenium, rhodium, osmium Gold production increases only rely postponed from the catastrophic year and iridium. Mercury is also a precious metal. Not only in the form of jewelry or coins, but marginally – Gold peak reached?! 2020 into the future and will additionally fuel In addition, there are a number of so-called also in medical applications, gold scores abo- demand. semi-precious metals, including copper. A ve all with its corrosion resistance. In dental Since the turn of the millennium, gold produc- third group is formed by the so-called short- prosthetics, for example, additional precious tion has increased every year up to 2018, but Palladium, which was driven to new record lived (radioactive) transition metals, such as metals such as platinum are added to achieve has recently been weakening more and more. highs of over US$2,800 per ounce in recent Darmstadtium or Roentgenium, which, howe- the necessary hardness. In industry, gold is While around 2,862 tons of the yellow metal months mainly for speculative reasons, also ver, play virtually no role in practice. used primarily in the construction of circuits were extracted from the earth worldwide in suffered only a brief dip and appears to be as a gold-plating additive for wires, printed 2011, the figure was 3,336 tons in 2015. Sin- continuing its record chase. Demand from the circuit boards, switching contacts and ce then, production rose only marginally to automotive sector (use in gasoline catalytic connectors. 3,554 tons in 2018. In 2019, production then converters) plays a major role here. But also fell for the first time to 3,531.8 tons, which the steadily declining production, as the exis- could only be offset by an increased recycling ting supply deficit recently confirmed impres- Occurrence and extraction rate. Finally, in 2020, the slump to only 3,400.8 sively. tons, mainly due to plant closures caused by Gold occurs very rarely in nature, but it is the Covid 19 pandemic. Until a few months ago, the situation for plati- pure. On average, there are only 4 grams of Nevertheless, it can be assumed that the gold num was the opposite. The increasing discre- gold per 1,000 tons of rock in the earth‘s peak, i.e., the annual gold production has re- diting of the diesel engine as a „dirty engine“ crust. It is found in primary raw material de- ached its peak in 2019. led to a drop in demand for platinum, which is posits as gold-bearing rock (gold ore) as well used in diesel catalytic converters. As a re- as in secondary deposits, among others in 10 11
Added to this is the current Corona crisis, which has brought many mining activities worldwide to a standstill and severely impac- ted gold production – at least in 2020. Demand situation Demand from jewelry sector slumped, investment sector Goldprice US$/oz stronger than in a long time (Surce: JS by amChart) In 2020, global demand for gold was only around 3,759.6 tons, almost 627 tons or than in 2017, and in 2019 central bank until 2021. On the investment side, global Gold-supply (blue) and -demand (grey) 14.3% less than in 2019. The jewelry sector purchases increased slightly to 668.5 tons. gold ETFs did show a net outflow of around (Source: own representation) accounted for a large share of the decline in Thus, a large amount of supply was taken off 178 tonnes in the first quarter of 2021, but The reasons for a decline in gold demand, consuming 1,411.6 tons, a drop of the market by central banks alone, once this was almost entirely in the US and UK. production are manifold almost a third compared to 2019 (2,122.7 again acting on the demand side rather than China, Canada, Japan and India, on the other tons). This huge drop in demand from the je- the supply side. In 2020, by contrast, central hand, recorded further inflows. By compari- Several factors contribute to this: welry industry was partially offset by the in- bank gold purchases fell to only 272.9 tons, son, in 2020, a net total of over 877 tons flo- vestment sector. The latter increased gold which was probably also due to certain dis- wed into global gold ETFs. Seasonally, the First, more and more deposits are reaching demand by a whopping 504 tons to 1,773.2 tortions in government budgets triggered by inflow increases most in the months April to the end of their life. Those that have not yet tons compared to 2019. Inflation fears and the Corona pandemic. August, which should also be the case for been fully exploited have to be expanded at exuberant debt orgies of many central banks 2021. ever greater expense in order to access worldwide are certainly to be named here as further gold-bearing material. Some mines al- the main reasons for the flight of many inves- ready reach depths of 4,000 meters and tors into physical gold. Despite Corona-rela- Summary: more. ted production losses, demand from the tech- While supply is expected to in- nology sector was also strong, falling from crease only marginally, demand is The gold content continues to decline stea- 326 to 302 tons from 2019 to 2020, but in heading for a record high dily. Currently, gold deposits are still being percentage terms far less than the jewelry exploited at an average of just over 1 gram of sector. This showed that gold is increasingly For 2020, there is a supply surplus of a full gold per ton of rock (g/t). However, there are finding its way into the electromobility sector 873.5 tons due to Corona. In 2021, things will already indications that this mark will fall to in particular. A circumstance which, in view of be exciting on both the demand and the sup- below 0.9 g/t in a few years for deposits that an incipient electric (mobility) revolution, is li- ply side. A lack of supply in the form of have not yet been developed. kely to lead to continued strong growth in de- high-grade new discoveries and increasingly mand from the technology sector in the future. cost-intensive, as it is more difficult to mine, A third point is the (lack of) discovery of new are likely to lead to only a marginal increase in deposits. While more than one billion ounces supply, if any at all. Assuming that the invest- of gold were discovered in the 1990s, from Central banks no longer quite so Goldjewelry from India (Source: pixabay) ment sector picks up in terms of demand in 2000 to 2014, only slightly more than 600 mil- active the second half of the year, record demand lion ounces were discovered. Since then, new Conclusion: can be expected from the jewelry sector in discoveries have once again plummeted. This Central banks are back on the buying side af- The jewelry sector has pent-up particular, especially from India and China. is mainly due to the fact that gold producers ter decades of selling gold since 2010. Thus, demand in 2021, while the invest- The Asian nations in particular seem to have have concentrated primarily on reducing mi- especially in 2018 and 2019, many central ment sector is likely to remain at a realized that gold will continue to be the num- ning prices in recent years because of the banks have increased their gold reserves. high level of demand ber one store of value in a future medium to continuing slump in gold prices. Particular sa- First and foremost, Russia, but also Turkey, high inflationary phase. vings were made in exploration, which led to India, Poland, Egypt, Brazil and Kazakhstan For 2021, there are indications of record de- the fact that hardly any larger deposits were bought gold heavily in 2018 and 2019. Thus, mand from the jewelry sector, as the decline discovered in recent years. central banks increased their gold reserves in demand triggered by the Corona pande- by 656.6 tons in 2018. This was 73% more mic is likely to have been largely postponed 12 13
Platinum: The next upswing has already been initiated Platinum is not so much an investment ob- Occurrence and extraction ject, but above all an important building ma- terial in the automotive industry. The sil- Platinum occurs naturally in the form of ele- ver-gray metal is a chemical element with the ments. Metallic platinum (platinum soap) is element symbol Pt and the atomic number practically no longer mined today. Although a 78. large proportion of the platinum mined is from primary deposits in a few places, its extracti- [Xe] 4f145d96s1 78 on as a by-product in the production of Pt non-ferrous metals (copper and nickel) is be- coming increasingly important. There, the platinum group metals are produced as a by-product of nickel refining. Melting Point 1768° C Boiling Point 3827°C Platinum-supply (blue) PLATINUM Supply situation and -demand (grey) (Source: own representation) South Africa and Russia produce Main features: Forgeable, ductile, almost 80% of all platinum corrosion resistant. There is extensive and significant primary pla- recycling: 2.1 million ounces). In 2020, plati- lytic converter construction. The jewelry indus- It has an extremely high density, but at the tinum mining only in the Bushveld complex in num supply fell to 6.53 million ounces (mi- try demanded 1.58 million ounces. Demand same time it is very malleable and ductile. Its South Africa, as well as in the Stillwater com- ning: 4.88 million ounces, recycling: 1.64 mil- from the rest of the industry reached 2.21 mil- gray-white color has fascinated people since plex in Montana/USA and in Russia. 65.4% of lion ounces). An increase in platinum produc- lion ounces. The investment sector, whose de- time immemorial, probably also because pla- the platinum mined worldwide came from tion to the pre-crisis level in 2019 is currently mand slumped from a net 361,000 ounces in tinum has remarkable corrosion resistance South African mines in 2019. This was follo- not in sight, as platinum extraction in South 2017 to only 67,000 ounces in 2018, experien- and therefore does not tarnish. Due to its high wed by Russia with around 13.5%, and all Africa in particular requires ever deeper and ced a true renaissance in 2019, recording a durability, tarnish resistance and rarity, plati- other countries with a total of around 20%. therefore more expensive exploration, and a real explosion in demand to 1.13 million oun- num is therefore particularly suitable for the Overall, platinum mining is a relatively small collapse in supply must be expected from ces. Despite Corona, this trend was main- production of high-quality jewelry. sector, as, for example, only around 4.89 milli- there in the coming years. tained, so that around 900,000 ounces of pla- on ounces were produced in 2020. tinum still flowed into the investment sector in 2020. Overall, platinum demand fell from 2019 Almost infinite uses to 2020 by around 1.5 million ounces to 6.92 High recycling rate Demand situation million ounces due to Corona. This results in a Platinum finds its way into a whole range of supply deficit of around 390,000 ounces of very different applications. By far the most Although a certain amount of gold is also recy- Platinum has a hybrid function platinum for 2020, despite or precisely becau- common use of platinum is in the automotive cled, recycling accounts for a very high se of Corona, and thus even more than in industry, where it is used in the form of auto percentage of platinum. In 2020, for example, Similar to silver, platinum has a kind of hybrid 2019, when a record supply deficit of 301,000 catalysts. In addition to the classic diesel oxi- about 1.64 million ounces were recovered function. This means that about two-thirds of ounces of platinum was achieved. dation catalysts, platinum is also increasingly from recycling. Recycling thus accounted for total platinum demand comes from industry, finding its way into catalysts in fuel cells or as 25.1% of the total platinum supply for the year. while the rest comes primarily from the jewel- a substitute for the far more expensive palla- ry industry and from investors in the form of Hydrogen storage technologies as dium, which could be an enormous demand bars and coins. future demand drivers driver in the future. The second major area of Supply 2020 slumped application in industry is the chemical sector. In South Africa, research is already being Platinum is also used in alloys, for glass pro- Overall, the global platinum supply in 2020 Main demand: conducted into innovative hydrogen storage duction (crucibles), in the electrical sector in really collapsed due to Covid 19. While automotive industry and jewelry technologies. Power generation with plati- resistors and for medical applications and around 7.8 million ounces of platinum were manufacturing – investment de- num catalysts is the big topic here. Cost-ef- equipment. available in 2013 (of which around 5.8 million mand very high despite Corona fective hydrogen storage systems for fuel cell Another large field of application is the jewelry ounces came from mining and just under 2 vehicles and portable applications are still industry, where platinum is often alloyed with million ounces from recycling), around 8.2 In terms of figures, it is the automotive sector dreams of the future, but China alone plans other metals, mainly gold. The fourth major million ounces of platinum entered the open that demanded the most platinum in 2020. to produce two million hydrogen fuel cell ve- area is the investment sector. market in 2019 (mining: 6.1 million ounces, 2.22 million ounces were used mainly for cata- hicles by 2030. In Germany, the world‘s first 14 15
Palladium: Higher is always possible! Palladium is a chemical element with the ele- jewelry sector; here especially in combinati- ment symbol Pd and atomic number 46. It is on with gold, resulting in so-called white considered by many experts to be a substitu- gold. Palladium is also used as an electrode te for platinum in several applications, mainly material for fuel cells and as a contact mate- in the production of catalysts, as it is very si- rial for relays. milar to platinum in chemical behavior. Platinumprice US$/oz (Source: JS by amChart) Occurrence and extraction [Kr] 4d105s0 46 Pd Metallic palladium and palladium-bearing al- hydrogen fuel cell train has entered service. Summary: loys are mainly found in river sediments as A major platinum company is already inves- 2020 is not a benchmark, but geological placers, but these have been lar- ting in the development of hydrogen com- overall, it continues to move gely exploited. Today, most of it is extracted pression technology together with Shell toward an ever-increasing supply Melting Point 1828 K as a by-product from nickel and copper mi- Technology. These so-called platinum elec- deficit Boiling Point 3233 K nes. tric vehicles, as the name suggests, need PALLADIUM platinum as their basic raw material. Although the past year 2020 cannot be taken as a benchmark due to the effects of the Co- rona pandemic (lower production combined Main properties: Supply situation with lower demand from all sectors, but Low melting point, reactive, especially from the automotive and jewelry absorbent. South Africa and Russia dominate sectors), it can be stated quite clearly that palladium mining the gap between supply and demand is wi- Palladium has the lowest melting point among dening and will thus continue to fuel the pla- the platinum metals and is also the most reac- South Africa and Russia have emerged as tinum price in the medium term (after it has tive. At room temperature, it does not react the clearly dominant palladium producing already increased by around 50% since Oc- with oxygen. It retains its metallic luster in air nations in recent years. In 2020, Russia ac- tober 2020). Platinum demand can already and does not tarnish, which makes it interes- counted for 44.2% of total production, follo- be halfway met only because of the very lar- ting for jewelry and, to a lesser extent, for the wed by South Africa with 31.4%. Most of the ge share of platinum recycling in total supply. investment sector. Its low melting point makes remaining palladium production was shared The recycling rate has recently risen again it easier to process than platinum. Palladium by the USA and Canada. Overall, platinum somewhat and could accelerate again in also has the highest absorption capacity of all mining is a relatively small sector, with only view of the millions of diesel vehicles ready elements for hydrogen. At room temperature, around 6.2 million ounces produced per year. for scrapping. If the fuel cell becomes estab- it can bind up to 3,000 times its own volume. lished in the automotive industry alongside the purely electric car, an increase in demand High recycling rate can be expected from there. This will also be Main applications: the case for platinum producers, who are Exhaust gas catalysts, alloys, Similar to platinum, a large recycling quota now focusing strongly on substituting plati- electrode materials. for palladium also helps to meet most of the num for palladium thanks to the large price demand. In 2020, a total of 3.12 million oun- difference. Corresponding areas of applicati- Finely divided, palladium is an excellent ca- ces of palladium were recycled. This was on are already out of the development stage talyst for accelerating chemical reactions, in 33.6% of the total palladium supply. and are in the mass application phase. Much particular for the addition and elimination of also stands and falls with the investment hydrogen and for cracking hydrocarbons. By sector, which is returning to its old strength, far the most important application for palladi- Supply decreases also due to the currently still too low platinum um is thus in the field of exhaust gas catalys- price. From July 2020 to March 2021 alone, ts for gasoline engines. About 86% of the Palladium supply has shown stable to decli- for example, the global platinum ETFs recor- palladium demanded in 2020 was for cata- ning trends over the past three years, accele- ded an increase of 500,000 ounces to a re- lytic converter construction. Furthermore, rated by Corona-related production cuts, due (Source: corlaffra@shutterstock.com) cord value of 3.8 million ounces. palladium is frequently used for alloys in the to three key factors. 16 17
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