Populism and Democracy in the 21st Century - Hans-Jürgen Puhle SCRIPTS Working Paper No. 2 - Contestation of the Liberal Script
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Hans-Jürgen Puhle Populism and Democracy in the 21st Century SCRIPTS Working Paper No. 2 Contestations of the Liberal Script
CLUSTER OF EXCELLENCE “CONTESTATIONS OF SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER SERIES THE LIBERAL SCRIPT ‒ SCRIPTS” SCRIPTS analyzes the contemporary controversies about The SCRIPTS Working Paper Series serves to disseminate liberal order from a historical, global, and comparative the research results of work in progress prior to perspective. It connects the academic expertise in the so- publication to encourage the exchange of ideas, enrich cial sciences and area studies, collaborates with research the discussion and generate further feedback. All SCRIPTS institutions in all world regions, and maintains cooper- Working Papers are available on the SCRIPTS website at ative ties with major political, cultural and social insti- www.scripts-berlin.eu and can be ordered in print via tutions. Operating since 2019 and funded by the German email to office@scripts-berlin.eu. Research Foundation (DFG), the SCRIPTS Cluster of Excel- lence unites eight major Berlin-based research institu- Series-Editing and Production: Dr. Anke Draude, tions: Freie Universität Berlin, the Humboldt-Universität Dr. Gregor Walter-Drop, Cordula Hamschmidt, zu Berlin, the Berlin Social Science Center (WZB), as well Laura Lindvall and Viktoria Raufer as the Hertie School of Governance (Hertie School), the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), the Berlin Please cite this issues as: Puhle, Hans-Jürgen 2020: branch of the German Institute of Global and Area Studies Populism and Democracy in the 21st Century, SCRIPTS (GIGA), the Center for Eastern European and Internation- Working Paper No. 2, Berlin: Cluster of Excellence 2055 al Studies (ZOiS), and the Leibniz-Zentrum Moderner Ori- “Contestations of the Liberal Script - SCRIPTS”. ent (ZMO). Cluster of Excellence “Contestations of the Liberal Script – SCRIPTS” Freie Universität Berlin Edwin-Redslob-Straße 29 14195 Berlin Germany +49 30 838 58502 office@scripts-berlin.eu www.scripts-berlin.eu Twitter: @scriptsberlin Facebook: @scriptsberlin
TABLE OF CONTENTS Author 2 Abstract 3 1 Introduction 3 2 Varieties of Populisms and Democracy through the 20th Century 6 2.1 Some Definitions 6 2.2 Two Key Differentiations 7 2.3 Against an Inflationary Use of the Term 8 2.4 The “Classical” Cases 9 2.5 Continuities and New Movements 10 3 Toward more “Populist Democracy” in the 21st Century 13 3.1 The “Threshold 21“: a New “Strukturwandel der Öffentlichkeit” 14 3.2 Some Impacts and Problems of “Populist Democracy” 16 3.3 Populisms and Democracy 20 References 23
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 AUTHOR Hans-Jürgen Puhle has been a Visiting Senior Fel- low at SCRIPTS. He is professor (em.) of Politi- cal Science at Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, Dr. phil. Freie Universität Berlin (1965), Ha- bilitation Universität Münster (1973). He has also taught history and political science at the univer- sities of Münster and Bielefeld, and at many Eu- ropean, North and Latin American universities. Publications in the fields of European, North and Latin American social and political history, com- parative politics, trajectories of modernization, political parties and movements, state functions in welfare capitalism, nationalism and populism, regime transformation, democratic (de-)consoli- dation, and quality of democracy. puhle@soz.uni-frankfurt.de 2
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 Populism and Democracy in the 21st Century Hans-Jürgen Puhle ABSTRACT Research on populism(s) has to cope with the new con- at the LSE two years earlier.2 Together with some stellations of political agency, communication and in- early reflections by Edward Shils (1956), the work termediation that have been triggered by the recent of Torcuato di Tella on the Latin American cases fundamental change of the public sphere. Under the impact of various crises, accelerated globalization and since 1965 (1965, 1997), and the new approaches new information technology, this structural change has by Margaret Canovan of the 80s (1981, 1999), this brought about a comprehensive mediatization of pol- book has influenced the debates on populism for itics and a further push toward “populist democracy” many decades, particularly in its differentiations (as a structure). After a summary of the insights into of the functions and modes of the concept and in the mechanisms of populism comparative studies have its analysis of national characteristics, and even- generated, and an overview of the varieties of popu- tually continental commonalities. Many authors lisms through the 20th century, the second part of the paper will explore the impacts of the new “Struktur- who started working on populisms at the time, wandel der Öffentlichkeit” for the quality of democra- empirically and theoretically (myself since the cies in the 21st century. The paper argues that “popu- 1970s, with a first comparative approach in 1983; lism” is not always an external (authoritarian) threat Puhle 1975, 1986), have, at the beginning, more or to liberal democracy, but can also be generated from less followed its lines, approaches, and catego- within the liberal script, if and when the partial re- ries, although they soon became more interest- gimes of “embedded democracy” get out of balance ed in the particular changes, alliances and mixes and the “populist” elements overwhelm the procedur- al and institutional checks. of the various movements and aspirations over time. Usually historical and empirical studies had to be complemented and theoretical interpreta- 1 INTRODUCTION1 tions revised and rewritten every ten years or so, due to the rise of new movements, new problems, Fifty years ago, in 1969, a book came out that has or new fronts of contestation. The most compre- made it to a “classic” since: “POPULISM. Its mean- hensive, sophisticated and convincing synthesis ings and national characteristics”, a collective of this established line of comparative interpre- volume edited by Ghita Ionescu and Ernest Gell- tation of old and new populisms has been a sem- ner that contained papers of a conference held inal book that came out in 2001, the reception of which, however, has remained somewhat con- tained because it exists only in French: Les pop- ulismes dans le monde. Une histoire sociologique XIXe-XXe siècle, by Guy Hermet (2001). 1 My thanks go to the Cluster of Excellence SCRIPTS which gave me the opportunity to finish this paper. For critical observations and debate (of the whole or parts of it) I am particularly grateful to Jessica Gienow-Hecht and to Paul Beck, Tanja Börzel, Marianne Braig, Aurel Croissant, Peter Katzenstein, Jürgen Kocka, Wolfgang 2 For a summary of the debate (and additional comments by Merkel, Karin Priester, Kenneth M. Roberts and the (anonymous) Isaiah Berlin), see: To Define Populism, Government and Opposi- reviewer of SCRIPTS. tion 3(2), 1968: 137-179. 3
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 Besides that, there have been the usual subcul- to interpret populism, in a recourse to “politics tures: An unending richesse of case studies and of identity”, as resistance (or even a riot) of the country studies, most of them on the “classical” “Lebenswelt” against the “systems”, i.e. an insur- regions of populism: the United States (“populist gent move with an ambiguous outcome (Priester heritage”), Latin America and Europe, a bit less 2019). It appears as if, in the 21st century, popu- on the rest of the world. In Latin America, par- lismology, at least partly, is moving from social ticularly the long trajectories of populist move- and movement analysis to something like “ideel- ments and regimes, democratic and authoritari- le Gesamtkulturkritik”. an, and the various class alliances behind them have been emphasized. In Europe, the debate has The production of handbooks on populism has ex- often been reduced to the phenomena of “Recht- ploded, particularly in English, Spanish and Ger- spopulismus”, a rather broad term with many man (e.g., Rovira Kaltwasser et al. 2017; Heinisch overlaps with traditional ultra-nationalism, right- et al. 2017; De la Torre 2019); the same applies wing extremism (“Rechtsextremismus”), or pre- or to the number of “ introductions” (e.g., Taggart post-fascism which might also be analyzed other- 2000; Müller 2016a, 2016b; Mudde/Rovira Kalt- wise. We also have a broad variety of descriptive wasser 2017). On the other hand, the last two de- literature referring to populist styles and modes cades have also seen an impressive proliferation of politics, to populist interactions, campaign of comparative and, at times, “theoretical” stud- techniques, populist use of the media, or many ies of populism, the quality of which often de- other phenomena in the light of advancing pop- pends on scope, regional specialization and re- ulism, triggering inventive varieties of adjectives. search priorities, on definitions (very much so), and on how they approach the relationship of More recently we can also observe an interest- populism with society and the state, with capi- ing process of restructuring the debate on pop- talism, and, above all, with democracy.3 With re- ulism in kind of a polarized way, leaving behind gard to the latter, we can today distinguish be- the analysis of movements and their ideologies tween various factions of authors: (1) There are (which has characterized most of the 20th cen- those who always knew what it is all about, most tury), and then either heading toward studies of prominently Ernesto Laclau and Chantal Mouffe, fragmented and decontextualized, but prolifer- theoretical “maximalists” (Urbinati), who, since ating patterns, molds (“Versatzstücke”), models the 1970s, have gone through many stages, and and hybrids that are traveling around in a glo- also some (other) neo-Gramscians (e.g., Laclau balized world, or toward a “bigger”, more reified 1981, 2005; Mouffe 2005, 2018, and the critique by and essentialized notion that conceives of “pop- Priester 2014). Then there are the notorious two ulism” as the meta-adversary of “liberalism” (and factions of (2) “threat” or (3) “corrective”, with re- of everything illiberal as “populist”), and sees it gard to populism’s impact on democracy (cf. e.g., as a tendentially totalitarian (Jan-Werner Müller), Rovira Kaltwasser 2011; Mudde/Rovira Kaltwass- or always authoritarian (Pippa Norris) syndrome. er 2012; Decker 2006). A fourth group which ap- Other authors have located populism more on pears to be particularly productive, is in between, the democratic side, contesting only the “liber- focusing more on trying to explain the trajecto- al” elements of democracy (in the sense of civ- ries of populist movements and their impact on il rights, rule of law, controls and accountability), but not the participatory ones, and even shar- 3 For “An Overview of the Concept and the State of the Art”, see, ing some of the aspirations of the liberals, like e.g., the introduction by the editors in: Rovira Kaltwasser/Taggart/ those for more autonomy. Karin Priester has tried Ochoa Espejo/Ostiguy (eds.) 2017: 1-24. 4
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 democracies in terms of socio-political analysis, of populism, particularly definitions, basic types history of society, and political theory. Here the and functions, the “classics”, and further conti- work by Urbinati (2014, 2019), Priester (2012), Jörke nuities or mixes (including the good old “nation- (2017), Roberts (2007, 2014a, 2014b, 2015), Knight al characteristics”). The abundant literature we (1998), Weyland (2001, 2013), and a few others have on all this usually suggests that the histo- might be mentioned, with a narrower approach ry of democracy is full of populist episodes, that also De la Torre (2015) or Mudde/Rovira Kaltwas- in democracies there always is a certain populist ser (2012). potential (which might at times even serve as a “corrective” of representative politics), and that (5) In certain areas the “communication” people there are populist temptations which should (of have taken over. And recently there have (6) al- course) be prevented from interfering too much so been efforts to nail down the seven or eight with the institutional safeguards of what we have “essentials” of populism, in order to be able to called “embedded democracy” providing freedom generate questions for surveys and to construct of choice, control, accountability, due process of variables for more numbers crunching. I have law, and minority rights (cf. Merkel/Puhle et al. eventually participated in such endeavors and, 2003). If the latter cannot be achieved, or the ac- after some reflection and substantial cuts of the tors are malevolent or do not care, democracy, list, come up with the following “essentials”: as we understand it, tends to be threatened, re- duced to a “defective” quality, or even be trans- • protest against the status quo, in the name of formed into outright authoritarianism. Varieties the “people” of populisms figure among the most common • “people” conceived as homogeneous (also un- contestations of the liberal script, not only from derdogs) outside, but also from within. Building on Manin’s • “Freund/Feind” schemes, dichotomic view of “audience democracy” (Manin 1997), Nadia Urbi- society, conspiracy theories, moralistic indig- nati (2019) has recently interpreted populist re- nation, polarization and politics of fear gimes as a “disfigured” new form of representa- • antipluralistic, antiliberal positions tive government. • against elites, institutions, and experts • against intermediaries (parliaments, parties, In the second part we will have to address the courts of law, media) greater complexity of the present situation, and • fiction of direct, unmediated relationship and look into the enhanced populist qualities of de- communication between leaders and followers mocracy itself, and the rise of what might be • (mostly) exclusionary nationalism. called “populist democracy”, as a consequence of a decisive “Strukturwandel der Öffentlichkeit” What we still need, however, in my view is more of (cf. Puhle 2017). So the first part will offer more of a picture of the whole: the relationship between a structured summary of what we know and the populisms and democracy in the light of the pres- problems that have been identified, whereas the ent challenges at the beginning of the 21st cen- second part will be more about what we want to tury, and particularly in the light of a new fun- know better, and about what we still have more damental “Strukturwandel der Öffentlichkeit” we questions than answers, more open ends and have been and are still experiencing in the last ideas for further research than secured findings. decades. In order to discuss this adequately, we The paper reflects research in progress. first will have to account for a number of the more important general insights into the mechanisms 5
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 2 VARIETIES OF POPULISMS AND Bonaparte” (1852). They are also anti-liberal, and DEMOCRACY THROUGH THE 20TH CENTURY mostly anti-urban, anti-intellectual, and at least rhetorically against “Big Capital” (though usually After some caveats with regard to definitions and not outright anti-capitalistic). differentiations, and a warning against an infla- tionary use of the term “populism”, I will pres- Populist movements basically are movements of ent a short summary of the “classical” cases fol- an underdog culture: They see politics in mor- lowed by some observations on continuities and alistic and dichotomic terms, in “Freund/Feind” new movements. categories, and they cultivate all kinds of con- spiracy theories. They polarize, and their most 2.1 SOME DEFINITIONS favored political strategy is the politics of fear, and politics instrumentalizing fear. They have an The first point that should be made is that there explicit “Feindbild” (image of the enemy): it’s the is no such thing as populism as such. What we are honest many against the corrupt few, the small dealing with are varieties of populisms. They do, good guys against the big bad guys. The bad guys however, show a number of significant common- are the great national and international corpo- alities. As a first approximation, we can, I think, rations and organizations and their agents. The define populisms (the plural is essential) as so- good guys are “the people”, i.e. the moral ma- cial mobilizations and movements of protest and jority (no matter their numbers), of those who resistance against the status quo in the name of were once called the “common men” or the “for- the “people”, “the people’s will”, or the “common gotten men”. “The people” at the same time is men”, and not of specific classes or groups, with an entity that is considered to be homogeneous, a corresponding ideology featuring a number or and excludes many “others”, like “corrupt” elites, characteristic elements: Populists fight against interests, foreigners, migrants, people of differ- the elites, the institutions, and the mechanisms ent culture, etc. Populists often are xenopho- of organized politics; they see themselves as a bic, and care about their “ identities”. And when grassroots movement voicing the sentiments of they speak of the “rule of the people” they usu- “just” indignation against what they consider to ally mean the rule of the populists. They oper- be the conspiracies of a corrupt “establishment” ate through (permanent) mass mobilization and or “oligarchy” and its foreign allies, and an illegit- mass control, often, but not necessarily, by char- imate usurpation of power that should belong to ismatic leaders. They can be on the right or on the people. One of their most important ideolog- the left. Given their close affinity to nationalism ical features is the fiction of an immediate rela- (by their invocation of “the people”) they mostly tionship between the people and its leaders with are on the right, but we will also have to account direct communication in two ways that does not for the exceptions (cf. Puhle 2015a; Priester 2012; need any intermediaries. Hence, populists an- Canovan 1999). tagonize and try (if they can) to circumvent and weaken all kinds of “corps intermédiaires” with Finally, populists’ relationships with the state and functions of control or accountability, particular- with democracy can be characterized as highly ly parliaments and courts of justice, but also po- ambivalent: They usually favor a weak state as litical parties, interest groups, and independent long as they fight it, and a strong state once they media. This antiparliamentary and antipluralist have conquered it. And populist movements or concept of populist politics has first been iden- regimes can be either democratic or undemo- tified by Karl Marx in “The 18th Brumaire of Louis cratic, or, in the case of regimes, tend to what 6
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 we have called “defective democracies” (Merkel/ more developed world), and on the other, pop- Puhle et al. 2003), or what others might call “dis- ulisms as political projects (mostly in the devel- figured” (Urbinati) or “illiberal democracies”. We oping world). The first we could particularly find have seen cases in which populist energies have in the U.S. and in Europe where they have usual- strengthened and reinvigorated existing demo- ly articulated reactive anti-modernist protests of cratic systems. But there also have been many those who perceived of themselves, since the last others in which the mechanisms of direct accla- third of the 19th century, as the losers of modern- mation and the reduction of the controlling po- ization and of the progress of organized capital- tential of the “corps intermédiaires” inherent to ism. Their politics have been more exclusionary, populist politics have weakened or damaged the and they have mostly stayed in the opposition. countervailing institutions and the balance of an The populists of the second variant, whose pol- “embedded democracy”, and opened the path to- itics have been more inclusionary, through most ward more manipulation from above, “guided” of the 20th century, have formed important revo- democracy, Bonapartism, or worse forms of au- lutionary or reformist multi-class anti-imperialist tocracy (cf. Merkel 2004; Puhle 2005). For a dem- or national-liberation movements in many coun- ocratic politician, embarking on populist politics tries of the decolonizing world and in Latin Amer- always will be like walking a tightrope. ica, Turkey and China, and eventually established “populist” regimes geared toward more autono- 2.2 TWO KEY DIFFERENTIATIONS my, development and modernization which have characterized a significant period in the histo- Second, I think we have to introduce two key ry of the respective countries (in a way: a period differentiations: A first differentiation between of transition). Only recently new mixes of these “populisms” (as “–isms”) and “populist” as an ad- two types have occurred more often; I shall come jective, reserving the “isms” for movements and back to this. regimes (in case) that are characterized by spe- cific programs, objectives and aspirations, by the In both cases three important constellations substance matter of their politics and policies, could be observed: and the respective ideologies, whereas the ad- jective “populist” would refer to the usual ele- (1) Populist movements have almost always been ments, styles, instruments, techniques, a partic- reactions to crises of the old system or regime, ular rhetoric and mode of communication that of the elites or of the established political par- could be the vehicle of any kind of politics, from ties, within a phase of reorientation and reallo- the far right to the far left. In Germany, e.g., poli- cation. Usually it has been the coincidence of ticians like Schumacher, Strauß, Kohl, Seehofer or unresponsiveness of, disappointment and disaf- Schulz have mobilized in a populist way and used fection with, and loss of trust in the old elites and populist rhetoric, but they have not been “popu- institutions which can no longer “deliver” in the lists” in a programmatic sense, but rather Chris- traditional way, of particular perceptions of vital tian Democrats and Social Democrats. threats and insecurity (cf. the summary in Eichen- green 2018), and a minimal supply of leadership With regard to populisms as “-isms” we have “en contra” (often from dissenters from the old to make a second distinction between two re- system) that has triggered populist mobilizations al types which have dominated the 20th centu- and surges. ry: On the one hand, we have had (varieties of ) populisms as protest movements (mostly in the 7
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 (2) Populisms seem to be recurrent phenomena: with more precision by the notions indicating They have their particular (much debated) “mo- their respective “ ideological families”, like fas- ments” (Goodwyn 1978), i.e. critical junctures in cists, communists, anarchists, Islamists, etc., not which the factors just mentioned come together. to speak of the “classical” liberals, socialists and (“Temporality” has become a key issue for a num- Christians, or Eugen Weber’s “New Right”, the ber of workshops on populism recently.) Popu- “Völkische” in Germany, or the various kinds of lisms also may emerge in “waves”. Some authors pre- and post-fascists (Weber 1966), ultra-na- even have identified populist “cycles”, during tionalists and minority nationalists, and also the which the movements could change, be fragment- vast majority of single-issue movements (like ed or restructured, form “hybrids”, and the late- environmentalists or the rebellious winegrowers comers would “learn” from the forerunners, over of the French Midi). Here the concept of popu- time and across boundaries and oceans. In Eu- lism as a “thin ideology” (Freeden 1998) can help rope, the United States and Latin America, since much. Perhaps we might reserve the term “pop- the last decades of the 19th century, we can iden- ulism(s)”, as a residual category, for those move- tify at least six waves of consecutive populist mo- ments which fit the relevant criteria and cannot bilizations, each of them lasting for about 20 to be characterized more precisely otherwise. 30 years. Saying this does not preclude, however, the ex- (3) At the beginning of the 21st century it appears istence of different degrees of proximity, “family that we could not only find varieties of differ- resemblance”, and quite a number of “special re- ent populisms, but that we also are increasing- lationships” populist movements and aspirations ly facing many overlaps and hybrids, mixes of may have with certain other “-isms” that might continuities and new elements within the vari- appear “closer” to populism than others, like na- ous movements, and also a certain trend toward tionalism, communitarianism, or projects of na- more adaptation, imitation, even some contained tional liberation, even some libertarian concepts. global convergencies, so that it may be necessary A particular electoral affinity could be found with to look more often into the particular lines of the fascism, especially at its initial stages when the longue durée. notorious “military desperados” (and other un- derdogs, bohemians or dissenters) often went 2.3 AGAINST AN INFLATIONARY USE OF THE through populist modes before becoming full- TERM fledged fascists. Functionally, also Islamism may be a candidate for further research here. Third, I recommend a certain amount of termi- nological parsimony in the use of the term “pop- The other extreme, opposite to the inflation- ulism”. Even in social science research the term ary use of the term “populism”, currently seems (as opposed to its principal use as a political to be its narrowing: its confinement either to “Kampfbegriff”) has lately been used in an infla- “right-wing populism” only (often indiscriminate- tionary way, and too many things (from Mussoli- ly mixed up with right-wing extremism), partic- ni to Mao) have been labeled as “populisms”, a ularly in Europe (cf. for many, Koppetsch 2019, practice that in the end makes the use of the term despite its problems), or to “authoritarian pop- as an analytical tool for better distinction futile ulism” (often mixed up with all kinds of authori- and reduces its explanatory potential. I propose tarianism), almost globally, and in an increasing that we do not label as populisms all the move- number of recent research contexts, from Norris ments and regimes which could be characterized and Inglehart (2019) to the contestations of the 8
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 liberal script (Börzel/Zürn 2020). This substan- most successful political movements of the U.S., tial narrowing of the term might eventually make and have contributed much to make American some sense in the process of organizing sequen- politics more democratic. By 1921, most of their tial steps of research (and also in the light of im- programmatic demands, and by 1933, almost all mediate political impacts), but scholars should of them had been passed into law: besides some remain aware of the fact that “authoritarian pop- bread and butter issues (like railway regulation, ulism” is not the whole thing, and that populisms trust control, mail savings accounts, environmen- do not have to be necessarily authoritarian. tal protection and the repeal of the gold stan- dard), these were particularly the progressive in- 2.4 THE “CLASSICAL” CASES come tax, female suffrage, popular election of the senators, primaries, and in many states also ini- We find the first movements labeled “populist” in tiative, referendum and recall (Puhle 1975: 142- the last decades of the 19th century in the Unit- 154; Hofstadter 1955). -- And the Russian narod- ed States and in Russia. The U.S. Populists and niki, who mobilized against the czarist system, the Russian narodniki have been the archetypes against Western imperialism and against capi- of the movements of the two lines I have men- talism, despite their intellectual elitism, romanti- tioned: populisms as protest in the more devel- cized backwardness and their failure in attracting oped world, and populisms as political projects the peasants, have become an inspiring model for in the developing world. Both were reactions to many of the anti-imperialist, populist and nation- comprehensive processes of economic and social al-liberation movements of the developing world. change, in the U.S. to advanced industrialization Even Lenin, who did not like them (but helped and corporate capitalism, in Russia to the imperi- much to put them on the map of social science alist activities of the more developed West Euro- research), had respect for them (von Beyme 2002: pean countries and their Russian allies in an un- 836-906; Walicki 1969). derdeveloped and dependent country. And both showed the face of Janus so typical for populists: Among the “classics” of the protest populisms of on the one hand, they were retrograde, backward the first type we also find a number of North and looking, xenophobic, at times fundamentalist, Central European peasant movements, tax resist- and, on the other, they have triggered a signifi- ers and xenophobic protest organizations of the cant amount of progressive energies. lower middle classes of the interwar period and down to the 1960s, also in Western Europe. One The American Populists could build on some of of the most prominent and colorful among them the legacies of the founding fathers, and partic- has been the short-lived Poujadist movement of ularly of Jacksonian politics of the 1830s. From small artisans and shopkeepers (UDCA) in France the 1870s on, they articulated the protests of the of the 1950s which made it to 12% of the vote Mid-Western and Southern farmers and “common in the elections of 1956 (Gollwitzer 1977; Borne men” against organized capitalism, banks, trusts, 1992; Souillac 2007). Among their 56 MPs of that railway companies, middlemen, and the politi- year was Jean Marie Le Pen who later founded cal “machines” in the big cities. In the end, they the Front National. Similar continuities between lost the national elections, but could conquer a older movements and the more recent ones of a number of states (cf. Postel 2007; Pollack 1990; later wave (from the 1970s on), we can also find and the “classic”: Hicks 1967). As many Progres- in Scandinavia, Austria, Belgium and the Neth- sives in both parties picked up their points, the erlands. Populists, in the long run, have been among the 9
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 The “classics” of the second type, the anti-impe- • democratic populist movements of different rialist and national-liberation populisms of what kinds: has been called the “Third World”, had their great • first wave: APRA (Peru), Acción Democrática time between the 1930s and the 1970s. They usu- (Venezuela), Partido Liberación Nacional ally organized broad multi-class movements, (Costa Rica), Partido Revolucionario: PRD mobilized against the “oligarchy” and foreign (DomRep), Unidad Popular (Chile), colonialist or imperialist powers, and had an in- • second wave: Christian Democrats (Chile, terventionist and developmental agenda. In ma- Venezuela [COPEI], El Salvador, Guatema- ny cases they have established regimes of some la), Acción Popular (Peru). duration, some more democratic, some more au- thoritarian, and left a mark on their country’s his- 2.5 CONTINUITIES AND NEW MOVEMENTS tory, mostly on the side of progress and devel- opment. Here we can distinguish various types: We can still find these two types today: xeno- phobic protest populisms in the U.S. and in Eu- • Kemalists in Turkey, KMT in China, Congress Par- rope, and populisms with developmental projects ty in India, Sukarno’s movement in Indonesia, in most of the rest of the world, despite all the • the secular and often socialist Arab nationalists changes of contexts and constellations that have (Nasser, FLN, Baath parties, etc.), taken place (authoritarian regimes, economic cri- • the classical African movements of decoloni- ses and change of paradigms, the end of the Cold zation in the 1950s, led by Nkrumah, Kenyatta, War, rise of new powers, globalization, digitaliza- Nyerere; the ANC in South Africa, etc. (cf. Hermet tion, migrations, terrorism, etc.). They have es- 2001; Hermet. et al. 2001; Mény/Surel 2002; and tablished clear lines of continuities, on the one the pioneers in: Ionescu/Gellner 1969). hand (the changes of the “Feindbilder” are min- • The best studied region for a long time has been imal), and mixed with new elements, on the oth- Latin America, due to the work of Alistair Hen- er, producing also discontinuities and varieties of nessy, Torcuato di Tella, Ernesto Laclau and oth- “hybrid” phenomena which seem to dominate the ers.4 Here, the populists have marked a longer “Gestalt” of present-day populisms. (For present phase of transition, usually after revolutions or cases in Africa and Asia I cannot go into here, cf. previous substantial reform politics like those Resnick 2013; Plagemann/Ufen 2017.) implemented in some countries by the “Radi- cals” (i.e. leftist Liberals) since the 1920s. We can In Latin America, e.g., various layers of populisms distinguish between three to four types: from different periods, seem to coexist: On the one hand, we find movements with a longer tra- • postrevolutionary stabilizers (PRI in Mexico, dition, like the (Neo-)Peronists/ the Kirchners in MNR in Bolivia; Cuba 1, Nicaragua 1, Argentina, the parties of Concertación in Chile, both before becoming outright Marxist-Le- the PRI in Mexico, or APRA in Peru. On the oth- ninist), er hand, there are new movements, though not • authoritarian regimes (Vargas in Brazil, without links to the past, like the PT/Lula/Dil- Perón in Argentina), ma in Brazil (a mix), the MAS/Evo Morales in Bo- livia, Correa in Ecuador, the erratic Chavismo in Venezuela (cf. Hawkins 2011; Merolla/Zechmeister 2011), and also (quite differently) the Zapatistas 4 Ionescu/Gellner (1969: 28-61); Di Tella (1965, 1997); Laclau (1981, 2005); also: Knight (1998); Weyland (2001); Coniff (1999); for the in Chiapas (Huffschmid 2004; Le Bot 1997). Some context: Collier/Collier (1991). authors have made rather clear-cut distinctions 10
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 between the “classics”, some “neoliberal” cases Also, in Europe we find a wide variety of pop- (after re-democratization), which eventually have ulisms old and new, and eventually also mixes been labeled as “neo”-populists, and more rad- between them. If we do not count the import- ical leftist variants recently, but I think that the ed “third-world” populism of the Greek PASOK of “types” are not so clear, that there also are con- Andreas Papandreou (Mouzelis 1985; Sotiropou- tinuities, and that the mixtures prevail.5 One in- los 1996; Puhle 2001), and the various national- teresting mix out of old and new elements can be ist or personalist “civic forums” and movements studied in MORENA of López Obrador (AMLO) who of the type “rassemblement” in many of the Cen- since December 2018 governs Mexico. And in ad- tral and Eastern European countries during the dition, quite a new category is represented by the respective phases of democratization since the movement and regime of Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil 1970s and 90s, we might distinguish between two (since 2019) which follows much more the lines or three types of new movements of protest and of Donald Trump and certain right-wing European resistance. The most numerous at present seem protest traditions than the established patterns to be those, whom the Germans call “Rechtspop- of Latin American populisms. I shall come back ulisten”, i.e. populists of the Right, right-wing ex- to this. tremists, mobilized xenophobic ultranationalists. But, by far not all right-wing extremists, ultrana- Among the protest populisms of the more de- tionalists or reactionaries are populists, and not veloped world, the respective movements in the all populists are on the Right, though there has United States, throughout the 20th century, have been some confusion in the literature. We also also shown a great amount of continuity, those find populists of the Left, among the movements of the progressive mainstream as well as those of the critics of globalization and of the G8 sum- of the Right, from Father Coughlin and Huey Long mits (attac, occupy, blockupy, BUKO, Global Trade via George Wallace and Ross Perot down to Don- Watch), the anti-capitalist protesters and “ indig- ald Trump (the latter at least in style). The slogan nados” triggered by the financial and institution- “America First!” has first been coined in the 1910s al crisis of 2008/09, and the increasing number of and 20s. Compared to these traditions, the liber- critics of the European Union and its politics. Al- tarians of the Tea Party movement have looked though they started out as clearcut anti-system quite modern. But it has been them who have protest movements, some of them have made it radicalized and finally destroyed the Republican to influential political heavyweights that have sig- Party in such a way that it became easy for Don- nificantly contributed to change and restructure ald Trump to hijack it.6 Trump, however, is popu- the party systems of their respective countries. list only in style, in some rhetorical points of his The most important among them have been SYR- campaign, and in a ruthless and partial use of the IZA in Greece and PODEMOS in Spain which both mechanisms of “audience democracy”. The sub- made it into government. SYRIZA led the Greek stance of his performance, in contrast, has turned government from 2015 to 2019, PODEMOS joined out to be politics of the rich, by the rich and for a Socialist-led minority government in 2020 the rich. And that is not really populistic. (Pappas 2014; Judis 2016; Rivero 2014; Monede- ro 2014; Mouffe/Errejón 2015). All these move- ments and (in some cases finally) parties have 5 Cf. besides Roberts and Weyland (2001, 2003): Houle/Kenny articulated, in an almost ideal-typical way, pop- (2016); Mudde/Rovira Kaltwasser (2012); De la Torre (2015); De la ulist ideas and aspirations, denouncing the sem- Torre/Arnson (2013); Abromeit et al. (2016); Puhle (2007). 6 Cf. besides the classic Lipset/Raab (1970): Skocpol/Williamson piternal “conspiracies” of the banks, of capitalists (2012); Hochschild (2016); Judis (2016); Hochgeschwender (2017). and the elites, of the established parties and the 11
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 “system”, the European Union, the IFI and other • the Front/Rassemblement National in France, agents of globalization, and asking for more jus- the Vlaams Blok/Belang in Belgium, the Dem- tice, more direct, unmediated participation, and ocratic Center, PVV and the movements of Pim more respect, particularly for the “common peo- Fortuyn and Geert Wilders in the Netherlands, ple”.7 Blocher’s UDC in Switzerland, the FPÖ and its secessions in Austria, and in Great Britain the Anti-EU rhetoric can, however, also come from English Defence League, UKIP, and also many the Right, and we can find even cases where an- of the ultra tories, who have been behind the ti-globalist and anti-capitalist criticism overlaps Brexit, and the more recent Brexit Party; or unites with traditional ultranationalist argu- • in Italy the Leghe; Berlusconi’s Forza Italia ments. The majority of the populist movements seems to be a random case, and Beppe Grillo’s in contemporary Europe are “Rechtspopulisten”.8 and Luigi Di Maio’s Cinque Stelle (M5S) may be They usually combine anti-EU, anti-system, an- populists, but not necessarily populists of the ti-”establishment” and anti-immigration posi- Right (cf. e.g., Camus 1998; Vossen 2011; Alber- tions (cf. Art 2011) with nationalist, xenophobic tazzi/McDonnell 2015; Pelinka 1987). and exclusionary language, manifest impatience • In Spain, the rise of VOX began in 2018, after ma- with party democracy, voice disaffaction and des- ny intelligent articles had been written for years encanto with the functioning of the bureaucrat- on why there was no extremist right-wing pop- ic welfare state, and invoke, besides the ominous ulist movement in that country. “crisis of representation” – a ceterum censeo of • In Hungary, we have FIDESZ of Victor Orbán, if all authoritarians, libertarians and populists – we do not count them as traditional national- (the “classic” here is Carl Schmitt 1923), also the ists; the Polish PiS, like some groups in Ireland, traditional myths of the deprivation of the “good also could be seen as a traditional ultranation- people” and of the elitist conspiracies against alist catholic party: all of them modernized by them. As the driving forces of the supporters and new modes of communication (Pappas 2014; voters of such movements, scholars have basical- Enyedi 2016). ly identified various combinations of status anxi- • In Germany, the usual suspects that are men- ety, relative deprivation, and additional econom- tioned are the “Republicans”, the DVU, the Schill ic or cultural factors (for the contested priorities, Party, and finally the AfD which has made it in- cf. e.g., Gideon/Hall 2017 vs. Manow 2018). In line to parliament with 12,6 % of the vote in 2017 with my criteria, the following movements seem (cf. Wildt 2017). It is, however, not so clear, and to be obvious candidates: depends on definitions, whether (and in which sense) all these ultranationalist and extreme • the “Progress” or “popular” parties in Scandi- right-wing groups might qualify in a meaning- navia, from Mogens Glistrup in Denmark in the ful sense as “populist”. I think some might not. 70s to the DDP, the “Sweden democrats”, or the “True Finns” of today (cf. Taggart 1996); The constellations that led to the rise of such movements have often followed similar patterns and reflected the present political challenges and contestations, particularly the repercussions of 7 Cf. besides the classic Barber (1995): Rodrik (2017, 2011); Moffitt globalization, migrations, problems of European (2016); Knöbl (2016); Jörke/Selk (2017). coordination, and the “crises” and transforma- 8 Cf. Taggart (1995); Ignazi (1996); Mouffe (2005); Mudde (2007); Kriesi/Pappas (2015); Akkerman et al. (2015); Decker et al. (2015); tions of political parties. This has been recently van Kessel (2015). witnessed, in an almost ideal-type mode, by the 12
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 sudden rise of the right-wing party VOX in Spain, of the “Rechtspopulisten”, a move that has its which obtained 11% of the votes in the regional practical relevance when it comes to campaign- elections in Andalucía of December 2018, and 10% ing for the elections to the European parlia- (24 seats) in the general elections of April 2019 ment. All these movements being nationalist to (but only 6.2% in the elections to the European ultra-nationalist, the question remains whether parliament in May). To achieve this, a number of they might be capable of forming an internation- “typical” factors had come together: al organization that really works, beyond some ad-hoc cooperation and networking during the • the long rule of a particular party (or a party campaigns. They have, in fact, a common “Feind- cartel, in other cases), bild”, which is “Europe”, the legislation and insti- • irresponsiveness and corruption of the party tutions of the EU, and the liberal democracies of elites, of the right and of the left, most of the member states behind them. But this • disappointment (desencanto) over political may not be enough. The experience of a century leadership which does not “deliver”, of populisms in Latin America would rather sug- • all this, on the background of the “crisis” of gest scepticism: Here, the common anti-imperial- the catch-all parties (demise of their tradition- ist grounding of all populist movements and the al “milieus”, fragmentation, lack of leadership), common “enemy” in the North, the U.S., imperi- stalled reforms, economic crises, rising con- alism in general, or more recently the IFI and the cerns about jobs or education, and hence en- “Washington consensus” have not sufficed to cre- hanced perceptions of threats and insecurity, ate a reliable amount of solidarity among them. and a new search for “identity”. In the end, their engrained nationalisms have • The two most important triggers for the rise of prevailed and functioned as confining obstacles. VOX have been the problems of immigration (“refugees”), on the one hand, and Catalan sep- aratism, on the other. The latter, particularly, 3 TOWARD MORE “POPULIST DEMOCRACY” has provoked a resurrection, revitalization and IN THE 21ST CENTURY extreme radicalization of the usually feeble and inarticulate xenophobic Spanish nationalism. The patterns and conjunctures of the recent suc- • Supplementary “Feindbilder”, in a way, have al- cess stories of a number of populist movements, so been found in “Europe” (and “Merkel”), in po- however, in my view are only one side of the coin. litical correctness and gender studies (!), and in The other side we have to account for in the sec- the government’s modest policies of “histori- ond part of this paper is a fundamental change cal memory” (of the Civil War and the Franco affecting democratic politics that goes beyond regime) which are considered to be a result of the established juxtaposition of and relationship conspiracies of the extreme left. between populisms and democracy. I am refer- ring here to the structural transformation of the VOX invokes “Spanish values”, and they propagate public sphere and of the conditions and constel- the “reconquista”: The Spanish people shall re- lations of political interaction and communica- conquer its home territory. These constellations tion which we have been witnessing in the last seem to follow the script. decades around the turn of the century, in a way a “Strukturwandel der Öffentlichkeit 2.0” (borrow- One of the most recent phenomena concerning ing from Habermas 1962). Among the outcomes right wing populisms in Europe seem to be the of this transformation, I would count the rise of efforts to form something like an “International” what might be called “populist democracy”, and 13
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 also numerous mechanisms that could signifi- (6) These factors have triggered a sixth (and very cantly contribute to increase the chances and important) process that can be described as the perspectives of populist politics. Here, we still breakthrough of the mechanisms of “populist de- face more questions than answers, and detailed mocracy” on a broad scale (as a structure which research on the implications and repercussion of should not be confounded with populism, popu- what is going on has just begun. list politics, or populist regimes). 3.1 THE “THRESHOLD 21“: A NEW (7) For the European context, we have to add a “STRUKTURWANDEL DER ÖFFENTLICHKEIT” seventh process: intensified European integra- tion and institution building implying more co- The decades around the turn of the century (since ordination and interdependence, combined with about the mid-1980s) have been a period of ba- a perceived lack of democratic legitimation and sic and substantial change in almost all dimen- an underdeveloped institutional imagination of sions of social and political group formation and the relevant political actors regarding the future interaction the implications and consequences of the Union (“la finalité”), and finally the crisis of which have not yet been fully analyzed. This of the Euro, the remedies to cure, and the pro- secular change in a relatively short time span (to tests against them (cf. Krastev 2017; Grimm 2016; which I have assigned the working title: “thresh- Habermas 2011). old 21”) has been triggered, accelerated and in- tensified by constellations of a number of factors I cannot elaborate much here on the details, but that have been caused by at least six (in Europe only comment briefly on a few points: (1) The seven) processes of strategic importance (for “stagflation” crisis has delegitimized the Keynes- more details, see Puhle 2017). These are: ian models of economic governance and the reg- ulatory and interventionist activities of the West- (1) the repercussions of the “stagflation crisis” ern bureaucratic welfare states, and has made since 1973 for political and social organization “neo”-liberal paradigms and ideology hegemonic, and regulation, for some time. The organizational trend of a whole century toward more, and more effective, orga- (2) the further increase in “globalization”, and the nization and centralization was turned around: protests against it, Now it was less government, less centralization, and less regulation that were desirable (“small is (3) the implications of the recent financial, eco- beautiful”). This also applied to the classical as- nomic and institutional crisis since 2008, sociations, and above all to the political parties which, in addition to their eroding milieus, the (4) the availability of the new electronic media increased competition by new social and politi- and IT, particularly the internet and the social cal movements, lower rates of participation and media which have – among other consequences, the particularization of constituencies, now also e.g., for the mechanisms of financialized capital- became less important because they had less to ism - given new momentum to, deliver. The classical catch-all parties of the post- World War Two period (Kirchheimer 1966) have (5) a comprehensive mediatization of politics and moved toward more fragmentation, disorganiza- an intensification and “deepening” of the pro- tion, “loosely coupled anarchy”, and dependency cesses of structural change of the public sphere (cf. Puhle 2002; Mair 2013; von Beyme 2013; Katz/ and of the character of the political. Mair 2002; Offe 2003; Crouch 2004). 14
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 (2) Increased globalization and its consequenc- communication categorically by mixing, and pro- es have triggered more social polarization and ducing overlaps of the different logics of tradi- mobilized anti-globalist protest, at a worldwide tional “collective action” (Olson 1965) through scale, and in Europe also as a protest against the organization on the one hand, and the new “con- mechanisms of the EU. This scenario has been nective action” (Bennett/Segerberg 2013) through particularly conducive to mobilization along pop- websites and digital networks, which lack a cen- ulist lines: it has produced many losers of “mod- ter and direction, on the other. ernization” (real and perceived ones), it has provided many scapegoats, from international (5) This process has substantially intensified and corporations and bureaucrats to culturally differ- pushed further into a new quality the long estab- ent immigrants, and it has set an ideal stage for lished secular trend toward a structural change identity politics, for dichotomic (moralistic) views of the public sphere, from what used to be liber- of the world, for antagonistic “antiestablishmen- al “Öffentlichkeit” to what Habermas and others tarianism” (Urbinati) of all kinds, for questions have called “akklamative Öffentlichkeit”, a ma- about inclusion, exclusion and social justice, and nipulated public sphere, geared toward generat- for conspiracy theories. ing acclamation and mass loyalty. (3) All these mechanisms have been intensified (6) One of the most consequential outcomes of by the financial, economic and institutional cri- this transformation may be seen in the broad and sis since 2008, particularly in Europe, where ma- sustained process of what one might call the final ny new (heterogeneous) movements of protest breakthrough of the mechanisms of “populist de- and resistance have been formed, most visible in mocracy”. This concept should not be confound- the groups of “Occupy”, “Blockupy”, and the var- ed with populist politics or populist regimes; its ious new populist organizations on the right and rise has not much to do with populisms. I under- the left in Greece, Spain, Great Britain, the Neth- stand “populist democracy” as a political struc- erlands, and elsewhere. In some countries, they ture that emphasizes and propagates the direct have substantially modified the party systems. and immediate relationship, and the fiction (or In Hungary and some other countries, they have the simulacrum) of a permanent two-ways com- produced severe defects of democracy. munication between the voters and the leader(s), circumventing and marginalizing the “corps inter- (4) The new electronic media, new campaign and médiaires” designed to provide channels of con- networking techniques, and particularly the so- trol and accountability. Elements of this concept cial media have emphasized the direct and imme- have their history; they can already be found in diate approach to, and communication with the parts of the American Constitution (the executive individual citizen, they have contributed to sim- side), in some radical ideas of the French revo- plify (and personalize) political alternatives and lution inspired by Rousseau, or later in Max We- increase organizational fragmentation, short-ter- ber’s design for “plebiszitäre Führerdemokratie” mism and entertainment factors, and have estab- (as a correlate to, and corrective for parliamen- lished a significant new threshold on the road tary democracy; cf. Puhle 2012). Since the end of toward a more comprehensive mediatization of the Second World War, Western democracies have political communication and interaction (for the experienced an increasing proliferation of this context, see Gunther/Montero/Puhle 2007; Gun- model, in two waves: ther et al. 2016; Norris 2000). What is more, they have also changed the structures of political 15
SCRIPTS WORKING PAPER NO. 2 The first wave, until the end of the 20th century, populism(s): the mechanisms of “populist democ- has been characterized by what has been called racy” favoring the proliferation of populist poli- the “presidentialization” of parliamentary de- tics, in terms of movements as well as in terms mocracies (particularly in Europe), processes in of strategies, instruments, styles and rhetoric, which the representative components of a dem- and vice versa: populist pressures and mobiliza- ocratic system (cf. Fraenkel 1964) have been more tions enhancing the channels and structures of and more eroded and outgrown by elements of “populist democracy”. Here also the different tra- leader-centered plebiscitarian, direct democracy jectories and traditions of the various countries (as in “Kanzlerdemokratie”, or “prime ministerial matter. The rise of “populist democracy” has been government”), often combined with technocrat- a challenge for all democracies, and particular- ic elements and explicit invocations of the omi- ly for their elements stemming from the “liber- nous TINA syndrome. This trend toward “populist al script”. It has changed the character and com- democracy”, in a second wave, has been acceler- position of political intermediation, has affected ated, electronically and ideologically refined and political agency as well as the institutions, and substantially intensified by the processes of the influenced the outcomes of many interactions. great transformation of the last decades (includ- ing even new safety valves like the “shitstorms” With regard to intermediation, the obvious ques- and “shamestorms” in the net as new forms of tions are how the new (social) media and cam- “action directe”). paign techniques, and the various mixes of “con- nective” and “collective action”, have affected 3.2 SOME IMPACTS AND PROBLEMS OF and are affecting the character of political inter- “POPULIST DEMOCRACY” mediation, the forms of mobilization, the selec- tion of political elites and the outcomes of con- The advance of “populist democracy” does, how- testation; and whether or not they are changing ever, not mean that it has become the only game the character of “the political”. Here, we still have in town (although it may eventually look like it). more informed guesswork and hypotheses than If we conceive of it as a systemic type which is, answers though in the meantime detailed re- like some others, at least partly opposed to “lib- search has begun on a broader scale. From what eral” or “embedded democracy” with its careful- we know so far, on the whole, change seems to ly balanced partial regimes, we have, more than be significant but contained, and varying in de- anything, to account for the mixes. Real exist- gree from one sector to the next. In our Compar- ing democracies (Philippe Schmitter’s REDs) are ative National Elections Project (CNEP), e.g., that crossbreeds of various elements, usually pertain- has specialized, among other things, in the study ing to more than one systemic type which might of political intermediation since the 1990s and contest (or hamper) one another. We all know the is actually based on more than 50 surveys in 28 typical cases of mechanisms of “populist democ- countries (for more details, see Gunther/Monte- racy” (if the institutions cannot moderate them ro/Puhle 2007; Gunther et al. 2016), we have al- sufficiently), producing situations in which the so found some striking continuities, e.g., in the procedural and institutional checks of a demo- higher impact of face-to-face contact compared cratic system are disregarded, the partial regimes to newspapers, radio and TV; only that face-to- of “embedded democracy” get out of balance, face now also could mean screen-to-screen or and democracy becomes “defective” or worse. display-to-display. Other studies have also shown These processes could be further enhanced by that, while the vehicles of intermediation may the dialectics between “populist democracy” and have changed, functions have not, that in many 16
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