Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment - Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited
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Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 1
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited DOCUMENT TRACKING Project Name Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment Project Number 15054 Project Manager Robert Humphries Prepared by Robert Humphries Reviewed by Dr Steven Ward, EMM Consulting Approved by Robert Humphries Status Final Version Number Ver 4 Last saved on 3 March 2020 This report should be cited as ‘Eco Logical Australia 2020. Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment. Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited.’ ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This document has been prepared by Eco Logical Australia Pty Ltd with support from Mark Anderson and Taylor Paynter of Lendlease Communities Disclaimer This document may only be used for the purpose for which it was commissioned and in accordance with the contract between Eco Logical Australia Pty Ltd and Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited. The scope of services was defined in consultation with Lendlease, by time and budgetary constraints imposed by the client, and the availability of reports and other data on the subject area. Changes to available information, legislation and schedules are made on an ongoing basis and readers should obtain up to date information. Eco Logical Australia Pty Ltd accepts no liability or responsibility whatsoever for or in respect of any use of or reliance upon this report and its supporting material by any third party. Information provided is not intended to be a substitute for site specific assessment or legal advice in relation to any matter. Unauthorised use of this report in any form is prohibited. Template 2.8.1 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD i
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Contents 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 1 2. Methodology .............................................................................................................................. 8 3. Results .......................................................................................................................................17 4. Discussion ..................................................................................................................................23 5. References ................................................................................................................................24 Appendix A : Arborsafe Tree Assessment Report ............................................................................25 Appendix B : Dr Steven Ward’s review of draft carrying capacity report ..........................................25 List of Figures Figure 1: Mt Gilead Stage 1 and Stage 2 study area boundaries ............................................................... 3 Figure 2: Mapped vegetation types and condition in approved Mt Gilead Stage 1 .................................. 4 Figure 3: Mapped vegetation types and condition in proposed Mt Gilead Stage 2 .................................. 5 Figure 4: Impacted, retained and conserved Koala habitat Mt Gilead Stages 1 and 2 .............................. 6 Figure 5: Registered and proposed Biobank sites Mt Gilead Stages 1 and 2 ............................................. 7 Figure 6: Koala carrying capacity – current land management and loss of trees .................................... 19 Figure 7: Relative contribution of roadkill, tree loss and development to Koala numbers over 25 years .................................................................................................................................................................. 20 Figure 8: Increase in Koala carrying capacity with management of on-site and off-site offset areas ..... 21 Figure 9: Change in total Koala carrying capacity following development and land management......... 22 List of Tables Table 1: Area and condition of Koala habitat – Mt Gilead Stage 1 (MDP Lands)..................................... 11 Table 2: Area and condition of Koala habitat – Mt Gilead Stage 2 (Balance Lands) ................................ 12 Table 3: Allocation of Koala densities to different condition vegetation in impact areas ....................... 14 Table 4: Allocation of Koala densities to different condition vegetation in offset and open space areas and changes in density over 25 years resulting from restoration and management .............................. 14 Table 5: Predicted Koala carrying capacity before and after development/conservation management Years 1-25 ................................................................................................................................................. 18 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD ii
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Abbreviations Abbreviation Description APZ Asset Protection Zone AW Alluvial Woodland BCAA Biodiversity Certification Assessment Area CCC Campbelltown City Council CKPoM Comprehensive Koala Plan of Management CPW Cumberland Plain Woodland DNG Derived Native Grassland DNS Derived Native Shrubland DPI&E NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (formerly NSW Department of Planning and Office of Environment and Heritage) ELA Eco Logical Australia Pty Ltd GIS Geographic Information System GMGA Greater Macarthur Growth Area GMDR Grey Myrtle Dry Rainforest LGA Local Government Area Lendlease Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Ltd NSW New South Wales PCT Plant Community Type RFEF River-flat Eucalypt Forest SCKHCS South Campbelltown Koala Habitat Connectivity Study SHW Shale Hills Woodland (a component of CPW) SPW Shale Plains Woodland (a component of CPW) SPT Scattered Paddock Trees SSTF Shale Sandstone Transition Forest © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD iii
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited 1. Introduction Mt Gilead is a 881.5 ha rural property near the southern boundary of the Campbelltown Local Government area that has been used extensively for grazing and cropping since the mid 19 th century (Figure 1). The property currently comprises predominantly cleared paddocks with scattered/isolated paddock trees and improved grazing pastures, some larger copses of highly modified remnant woodland which has been under-scrubbed and/or grazed, and relatively intact vegetation within drainage lines. The remaining vegetation comprises Cumberland Plain Woodland (CPW) and Shale Sandstone Transition Forest (SSTF) with the dominant tree species being Forest Red Gum (Eucalyptus tereticornis), Grey Box (E. moluccana), Spotted Gum (Corymbia maculata) Grey Gum (E. punctata), White-stringybark (E. globoidea) and Broad and Narrow-leaved ironbark (E. crebra and E. fibrosa) (Figures 2 and 3). Koalas have been recorded on the property at low densities and it has been assumed that all treed vegetation zones are habitat for the Koala (Figure 4), including scattered paddock trees (SPTs) and patches of sparse, grazed woodland with low proportions of preferred Koala browse species (i.e. areas dominated by high density of ironbark species and Spotted Gum which are not preferred browse species in the region). There are several Koala roadkill records along Appin Road on the eastern boundary of the property where Koalas are likely using habitat resources on both the eastern and western sides of Appin Road. In 2018, local media (Liverpool City Champion, Macarthur Advertiser and St George Leader) and representatives of environmental and wildlife carer groups (Sharyn Cullis – Gorges River Alliance and Ricardo Lonza – wildlife carer) stated that there were 27 Koala road kills along Appin Road between 2012 and 2019 (an average of three to four per year). Crowther (2018) reported three road kills in 20016, six in 2017 and eight between St Helens Park and the Beulah Biobank sites (south of Mt Gilead) in the six months to 28 June 2018. The wildlife carers also stated that this was just the number of road kills that had been reported to them and it was therefore likely a minimum figure. Indeed, the Atlas of NW Wildlife and DPI&E (2019) show a concentration of Koala roadkill between Noorumba Reserve and Beulah. Consulting arborists, ArborSafe, undertook an assessment of 1,104 of the remnant paddock trees in 2017 (Arborsafe 2017 – Appendix A) and found a significant number of the trees to be senescent (reflecting the history of land use on the property i.e. clearing for grazing and cropping with little to no tree regeneration in operational parts of the property). Nearly 20% of these trees were assessed as having a life expectancy of 0-10 years. Without a change in land management, the loss of trees is expected to continue at an average of 2% per year. In June 2019, the NSW Government conferred biocertification over an area of approximately 165 ha at Gilead (Mt Gilead Stage 1) which included impacts to 10.79 ha of Koala habitat and required the permanent protection of 22.49 ha of Koala habitat on-site in three Biobank sites adjacent to Noorumba Reserve and Woodhouse Creek (ELA 2018) (Figure 4). A further 42.4 ha of Koala habitat has also been secured at Noorumba Reserve and West Appin by the retirement of 301 Koala species credits. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 1
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited In August 2019, Campbelltown City Council (Council) submitted an application for biocertification over a further 332.17 ha (Mt Gilead Stage 2), which includes impacts to an additional 72.22 ha of potential Koala habitat and the protection and restoration of a further 201.81 ha of habitat on-site in five biobank sites and 70-80 ha off-site (Figure 1, 4 and 5 and Table 1 and Table 2) (ELA 2019). The Stage 2 proposal also includes provisions for wildlife exclusion fencing and a fauna underpass along Appin Rd (subject to RMS approval) to reduce the current rate of Koala roadkill and improve connectivity and gene flow between the eastern and western parts of the local koala population. This report provides an assessment of the Koala carrying capacity of the Mt Gilead property prior to the commencement of any development/habitat clearing and an estimate of the carrying capacity at the conclusion of development (in approximately 25 years’ time or 2044). The assessment takes into consideration the expected on-going deterioration of Koala habitat on the property without development (i.e. as a rural property without active conservation management), the predicted loss of senescing trees as determined by the arborists assessment and the loss of Koalas through vehicle strike on Appin Road. The report also predicts the increase in Koala carrying capacity as a result of the restoration and in perpetuity management of Koala habitat in the proposed offset and open space areas which are expected to lead to an improvement in habitat quality over time and reduction of threats by the implementation of a Koala Management Plan and a long term monitoring program. Dr Steven Ward, a recognised Koala expert with considerable knowledge of the Campbelltown Koala population was independently commissioned to review the assumptions and estimated Koala carrying capacity data in an earlier version of this report. Dr Ward made a number of comments about further justifying the predicted carrying capacity in different ages of regrowth and providing references, where possible to substantiate the estimates. Dr Ward also questioned the justification for the average Koala density in intact woodland/remnants to increase above the current maximum density used in proposed offset areas and suggesting separating the annual loss of Koalas from road mortality from carrying capacity (as road mortality does not affect habitat quality or carrying capacity, but local Koala numbers). These suggestions have been incorporated into this final report with reference to a number of studies in New South Wales and Queensland that have demonstrated the use of young (4-7 year old) plantations on rural land by Koalas and further qualifications that the density estimates used in each age class of regrowth are a conservative estimate of expected use to illustrate likely changes in carrying capacity under prosed management scenarios rather than a definitive statement of actual future densities or number of Koalas. Dr Wards review is provided as Appendix B. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 2
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Figure 1: Mt Gilead Stage 1 and Stage 2 study area boundaries © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 3
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Figure 2: Mapped vegetation types and condition in approved Mt Gilead Stage 1 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 4
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Figure 3: Mapped vegetation types and condition in proposed Mt Gilead Stage 2 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 5
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Figure 4: Impacted, retained and conserved Koala habitat Mt Gilead Stages 1 and 2 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 6
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Figure 5: Registered and proposed Biobank sites Mt Gilead Stages 1 and 2 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 7
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited 2. Methodology Eco Logical Australia has mapped all of the vegetation, including scattered paddock trees (SPTs) in cropped/grazed paddocks within the Mt Gilead property into five Plant Community Types (PCTs) being Cumberland Plain Woodland (CPW) Shale Hills and Shale Plains sub-communities (SHW & SPW), Shale Sandstone Transition Forest (SSTF), River-flat Eucalypt Forest (RFEF), and Grey Myrtle Dry Rainforest (GMDR) (refer to Figures 2 and 3). A total of 29.64 ha of native vegetation was mapped in Stage 1 and 265.81 ha in Stage 2 across the Mt Gilead property. This vegetation was split into 19 vegetation condition zones and the area calculated by GIS (Table 1 and Table 2) and (ELA 2018, 2019). These 19 vegetation condition zones were then further classified into six current Koala habitat quality condition categories based on the condition of the vegetation and presence/proportion of preferred Koala browse species present):- 1. Intact, good condition remnant woodland/forest -largely restricted to the Nepean River corridor and other patches of vegetation fenced out from grazing pressures (High quality Koala habitat) 2. Moderate-Good modified vegetation – vegetation where canopy has been thinned, the shrub layer removed and ground cover modified by grazing and/or pasture improvement – little eucalypt regeneration (Moderate to high quality Koala habitat) 3. Scattered Paddock Trees (SPT) – Remnant individual or small copses of senescing trees in cleared paddocks – very little or no regeneration due to on-going grazing and land management activities Moderate to high quality Koala habitat (Low to Moderate quality Koala habitat -depending on tree species in patch) 4. Derived Native Shrubland (DNS) – areas with shrub and ground layer but all trees removed (Not used by Koalas) 5. Derived Native Grassland (DNG) – areas of native ground cover with all shrub, mid-story and canopy removed (Not used by Koalas) 6. Cleared – exotic pasture/cropped areas (Not used by Koalas) In October 2019 the Department of Planning, Industry & Environment (DPI&E) prepared a report on the Campbelltown-Wollondilly Koala population as part of its submission on the Greater Macarthur Growth Area (GMGA) exhibition. The report provides an estimate of Koala numbers and densities calculated from spotlighting surveys at 0.052 Koalas/ha for ‘core habitat1’. DPI&E 2019 states that densities are lower in non-core habitat. This is similar to the figure used in the Campbelltown Comprehensive Koala Plan of Management (CKPoM) prepared by Biolink (2018) of 0.056 Koalas/ha based on an average female home range of 36 ha (after Ward 2002) with 50% of suitable habitat occupied (i.e. 1 koala per 18 ha = 0.056 Koalas/ha) but lower than the density derived by Close and Ward (Ward pers. comm) of 0.1 Koalas/ha. 1 Core Koala habitat is defined by DPI&E as large patches (> 100ha) of ‘High Quality Koala habitat’ that contains known Koala feed tree species and records of Koalas. High quality habitat includes CPW and SSTF. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 8
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Based on the DPI&E density estimate, we have allocated indicative densities to each of the different vegetation condition categories ranging from 0.00 Koalas/ha for cleared land, derived native grassland or shrubland) to 0.05 Koalas/ha for intact high quality habitat in accordance with Table 3 and the images of these condition categories in Plates 1-10. These indicative densities have then been used to determine the Koala carrying capacity for the Mt Gilead property at year 0 (2019), prior to any development or clearing of habitat, i.e. in its current state and land management practices, including the on-going loss of SPTs at the rate of 2% per year (due to senescence of existing trees as determined by ArborSafe 2017) and the on-going loss of Koalas crossing Appin Rd (a conservative estimate of 3 road deaths/year has been used), by multiplying the area of koala habitat in the various condition categories in Tables 1 and 2 by the relevant density in Tables 3 & 4, resulting in Table 5. Table 5 shows the predicted Koala numbers (area x density) in land proposed for development, open space or protected conservation areas in 3 year increments from Year 0 to Year 25 (likely 2019-2044) . The loss of Koalas in development areas follows the staged development (clearing of Koala habitat) over 25 years. The increase in koala numbers follows the legal protection of proposed conservation areas as registered Biobank sites (which includes the regeneration/restoration of 44.35 ha of pasture and derived grassland to woodland) and selective landscape tree planting across 61.88 ha of open space areas. The Biobank sites and open space areas will be actively managed for conservation, in perpetuity to improve the condition of Koala habitat and hence predicted carrying capacity, compared to the existing situation where there is no active conservation management or improvements in habitat quality. The improvement in habitat quality is shown progressively in three year increments. Studies of Koala use of four to seven and six to 15 year old farm land tree plantings on the Liverpool Plains in NSW by Kavanagh & Stanton (2012) and Rhind et al. (2014) respectively, and 27-29 year old mine site rehabilitation on North Stradbroke Island, Queensland by Woodward et al. (2008), have found that koalas made ‘widespread’ use of trees planted in agricultural landscapes in all age classes studied including use of four to seven year old plantings for feeding and shelter, which contrasts with earlier studies by Smith (1992), that suggested koalas would not use plantings until they are older than 10 years of age. These studies all concluded that the strongest predictor of the use of planted habitat was proximity to known koala records (i.e. area of occupied habitat) as is the case at Mt Gilead where supplementary plantings of preferred browse species is adjacent to remnant patches of intact habitat to widen existing corridors. The predicted increase in koala density follows the general progression shown below for each 3 year interval of active conservation management from Year 1 to Year 19, where there is an predicted/assumed 0.01 Koala/ha increase in carrying capacity per three year interval from 0.0 Koala/ha in zero aged regrowth to 0.05 Koala/ha in 20 year old plantings, and a final higher Koala density of 0.06 animals/ha after 25 years, maintained by the in perpetuity protection and active conservation management of offset areas. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 9
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited This increase in carrying capacity is based on the restoration/regeneration of pasture and derived native grasslands (as required by the Biobank site management plans), once offset areas are fenced and grazing/cattle are removed at year 0, to the regeneration of eucalypts from soil stored seed and/or supplementary plantings of preferred browse species to regenerated woodland after 16 years adjacent to remnant patches of habitat, which will widen existing corridors. Areas of existing modified and intact woodland will be improved by weed / feral animal control and access control increasing to 0.06 Koala/ha after seven years for higher quality remnants and 13 years for weedy remnants. Retained trees in passive open space areas, such as adjacent to Woodhouse Creek, will be supplemented by landscape plantings of preferred Koala browse species with the carrying capacity increasing from the current 0.03 Koalas/ha, as for impacted scattered paddock trees, to 0.04/ha after 7 years with additional plantings. Similarly the off-site offset areas, whilst they are already in a similar condition to the remnant patches of intact high quality habitat on Mt Gilead, they are not currently actively managed for conservation. The carrying capacity of the off-site offsets associated with Stage 1 (21.27 ha of Koala habitat within Noorumba Reserve and 21.13 ha at Appin West) have been calculated at 0.05 Koalas/ha from year 1 at the commencement of active management, increasing to 0.06 Koalas/ha after 7 years of active management. An additional 70 ha of Koala habitat will be secured in an off-site offset for the proposed Stage 2 development. This has been factored into carrying capacity projections from Year 7. Cleared Tree Planting Young Sapplings’ Young Regen Paddock 4 years old Regeneration 0.0 Koala/ha 8-10 years old 0.0 Koala/ha 0.005 Koala/ha 4-7 years old 0.02 Koala/ha 0.01 Koala/ha Advanced Restored Restored High quality Regeneration Woodland Woodland habitat > 11 years old > 16 years old >19 years old >25 years old 0.03 Koala/ha 0.04 Koala/ha 0.05 Koala/ha 0.06 Koala/ha Plates 1-10 provides examples of vegetation in different condition states and the Koala density allocated to these classes. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 10
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Table 1: Area and condition of Koala habitat – Mt Gilead Stage 1 (MDP Lands) Veg Zone Vegetation Community Vegetation Current Koala Impacts Conservation Retained Rural Total Condition Habitat Quality (Urban / (Biobank sites) Land/Open Space) Roads) 1 Forest Red Gum - Rough-barked Apple grassy woodland on Low (weedy) Moderate-High 0.44 0 0.44 alluvial flats of the Cumberland Plain 2 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on flats of the Moderate to good High 2.29 0 2.29 Cumberland Plain 3 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on flats of the Sparse trees Moderate 0.15 2.34 0 2.49 Cumberland Plain (Grazed) 4 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on flats of the Low (SPTs) Moderate 2.28 0 1.53 3.81 Cumberland Plain 5 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Moderate to good High 0.19 1.81 0.04 2.04 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 6 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Moderate to good High 0.42 0.0 0.02 0.44 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 7 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Moderate (thinned) Moderate 0.76 0.0 0.02 0.78 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 8 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Moderate to good High 0.47 1.54 -0.02 1.99 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 9 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Moderate to good High 1.54 0.37 0.40 1.95 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 10 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Sparse trees Moderate 0.23 7.81 0.04 8.08 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain (grazed) 11 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Low (SPTs) Moderate 4.75 0.0 0.58 5.33 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 999 Dams Nil 0.20 -0.02 999 Cleared pasture Cleared Nil 154.76 5.7 18.79 179.25 165.55 22.5 20.84 208.89 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 11
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Table 2: Area and condition of Koala habitat – Mt Gilead Stage 2 (Balance Lands) Veg Vegetation Community Vegetation Condition Current Koala Direct Partial Conservation Open Total Zone Habitat Quality Impacts Impacts (Biobank Space / Area (Urban / (APZs / Sites) Rural Roads) Detention Lands Basins) 1 Forest Red Gum - Rough-barked Apple grassy woodland Weedy Moderate-High 2.73 0.53 18.94 3.67 25.87 on alluvial flats of the Cumberland Plain 2 Forest Red Gum - Rough-barked Apple grassy woodland Scattered trees Moderate-High 0.53 0.00 0.06 0.59 on alluvial flats of the Cumberland Plain 3 Forest Red Gum - Rough-barked Apple grassy woodland Quarry Regeneration None 2.17 0.00 0.22 2.39 on alluvial flats of the Cumberland Plain 4 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on flats of Pasture Improved / Grazed High 8.41 1.16 16.81 2.08 28.46 the Cumberland Plain 5 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on flats of Scattered trees Moderate 4.10 0.09 0 0.32 4.51 the Cumberland Plain 6 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on flats of DNG None 0.00 0.09 2.65 0.37 3.11 the Cumberland Plain 7 Cleared - to be restore to CVPW (SPW) Cleared pasture (regeneration) None 0.00 0.00 12.32 0 12.32 8 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on shale of Good High 0.06 0.00 2.39 2.45 the southern Cumberland Plain 9 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on shale of Weedy High 0.10 0.00 2.09 0.38 2.57 the southern Cumberland Plain 10 Grey Box - Forest Red Gum grassy woodland on shale of DNG None 1.58 0.00 2.13 3.71 the southern Cumberland Plain 11 Cleared - to be restore to CPW SHW Cleared pasture (regeneration) None 0.00 0.00 5.45 5.45 12 Grey Myrtle dry rainforest Good Moderate-High 0.27 0.28 6.4 0.21 7.16 13 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Good High 2.87 4.13 94.22 3.27 104.49 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 12
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Veg Vegetation Community Vegetation Condition Current Koala Direct Partial Conservation Open Total Zone Habitat Quality Impacts Impacts (Biobank Space / Area (Urban / (APZs / Sites) Rural Roads) Detention Lands Basins) 14 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Thinned/Shrubby High 0.00 0.00 6.61 6.61 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 15 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Pasture Improved / Grazed Low - Moderate 30.61 10.43 13.63 5.42 60.09 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain, Sydney Basin Bioregion 16 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey Scattered trees Low - Moderate 5.58 0.34 0.37 0.61 6.9 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 17 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey DNS None 0.17 0.66 5.07 0.33 6.23 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain, Sydney Basin Bioregion 18 Narrow-leaved Ironbark - Broad-leaved Ironbark - Grey DNG None 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.67 Gum open forest of the edges of the Cumberland Plain 19 Cleared - to be restore to SSTF Cleared pasture (regeneration) None 0.00 0.00 10.36 0 10.36 555 Dams / Tracks Dams / Tracks No 0.34 0.09 1.41 4.24 6.08 999 Cleared pasture (regeneration) Cleared pasture (regeneration) No 243.31 11.54 0.01 117.69 372.55 Total 302.83 29.34 201.81 138.59 672.57 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 13
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Table 3: Allocation of Koala densities to different condition vegetation in impact areas Vegetation Condition Current Koala habitat quality Estimated Koala density (Koalas/ha Remnant High Quality CPW/SSTF High quality Koala habitat 0.05 Modified CPW/SSTF patches (Weedy, grazed, under-scrubbed) Moderate to high quality Koala habitat 0.04 Scattered Paddock Trees (SPT) with high proportion of browse species (CPW remnants) Moderate to high quality Koala habitat 0.04 Scattered Paddock Trees (SPT) with high proportion of browse species (Thinned SSTF remnants) Low to moderate to high quality Koala habitat 0.03 Public Open Space/Asset Protection Zones (retained canopy and landscape plantings) Low to moderate to high quality Koala habitat 0.03 Derived Native Grassland (DNG) and Shrubland (DNS) None 0.0 Exotic Pasture (no trees) None 0.0 Table 4: Allocation of Koala densities to different condition vegetation in offset and open space areas and changes in density over 25 years resulting from restoration and management Koala densities Vegetation Condition Year 0 Year 1 Year 4 Year 7 Year 10 Year 13 Year 16 Year 19 Year 22 Year 25 Remnant ‘High Quality’ CPW/SSTF 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 Modified CPW/SSTF patches (Weedy, grazed, under scrubbed) 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.050 0.050 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 Public Open Space & Drainage (APZs/Landscape plantings) Stage 1 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.030 Public Open Space & Drainage (APZs/Landscape plantings) Stage 2 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 Retained Land – no management (Modified CPW/SSTF patches) 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 Advanced Regeneration (>11 years old) / Scattered Paddock Trees (SPT) 0.030 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.050 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 Regeneration (8-10 years old) 0.020 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.050 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 Young Regeneration (4-7 years old) – DNS areas 0.010 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.050 0.060 0.060 0.060 Restoration/Regeneration (< 4 years old) – DNG areas 0.005 0.005 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.050 0.060 0.060 Exotic Pasture (no trees) 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.010 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.050 0.060 © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 14
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Plates 1-10: Selection of images of current vegetation condition across the Mt Gilead property and habitat restoration examples at Harrington Park, near Camden Pasture and derived grassland 0.0 Koalas/ha Indicative tree planting at Harrington Park in pasture adjacent 0.000 Koalas/ha (0-1 years old) Young CPW regeneration at Harrington Park 4-years old 0.005 Koalas/ha 11 years old regeneration at Harington park 0.02 Koalas/ha © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 15
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Mature to senescent Scattered Paddock Trees and landscape planting in open space areas - 0.03 Koala/ha) Stands of thinned / under scrubbed Shale Sandstone Transition Forest – 0.03 -0.04 Koalas/ha Left - Intact SSTF to be protected in Nepean River corridor (Nepean Biobank Site) – 0.05 Koalas/ha Right - Intact SSTF east of Appin Road in strategic Koala corridor to be protected (Browns Bush Biobank Site) – 0.05 Koalas/ha © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 16
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited 3. Results Using the areas in Tables 1, 2 and densities in Table 3, it has been estimated that the Mt Gilead property (approved Stage 1 and proposed Stage 2) has a current carrying capacity of 12.78 Koalas for the existing 275.5 ha of potential Koala habitat in varying condition states (as shown in Table 5 and Figure 6). In the absence of any development, it is estimated this carrying capacity would reduce to a potential 10.97 Koalas over 25 years due to the on-going incremental loss of senescent browse trees in the operational parts of the property (Figure 6). There would also be the on-going loss of 3-4 Koalas per year from existing roadkill rates along Appin Road as shown in Figure 7 which whilst not affecting carrying capacity, is affecting the number of koalas in the area and the occupation of this habitat. The loss of potential Koala habitat in the approved Stage 1 development (10.79 ha) and proposed Stage 2 development (55.26 ha direct loss and 16.96 ha for partial impacts in APZs) comprise 23% of this total or habitat for 3.00 Koalas, that would be lost gradually over 25 years as shown in Figure 6. Under the development proposal, where by 222.69 ha of on-site Koala habitat would be permanently protected and actively managed for conservation, and a further 61.96 ha of open space would be enhanced with landscape tree plantings, the carrying capacity of the offset areas would increase by 6.39 koalas over 25 years (9.78 to 16.17 Koalas (as the result of revegetation of 44.355 ha of cleared land to higher quality koala habitat over 25 years and improving the condition of 178.34 ha of existing habitat) (Table 4, Figures 6 and 8). This increase more than doubles the loss of 3.0 koalas over the same 25 years. When improvements to the carrying capacity of an additional 112 ha of off-site koala habitat are added, this increases the carrying capacity off-site by a further 6.76 koalas to 22.93 (Figures 8 and 9). Figure 9 shows the relative contribution that the loss of habitat for 3 koalas over 25 years compares to the loss in habitat from current rural land management practices and the on-going loss of animals through roadkill along Appin Road. The development proposal and commitments made will lead to a long term improvement in the quality and security of habitat and reduce a significant threat (the existing level of road mortality on Appin Road) to the sustainability of the Koala population in the Mt Gilead area. A Koala Management Plan will be prepared and implemented, similar to the Stage 1 Koala Management Plan (ELA 2019b) that will include measures to mitigate the impacts of local traffic, dogs and swimming pool drownings and guide the management of open space areas. Local Government Act by-laws will put controls in place for dogs in open space areas including, where appropriate, the provision of dedicated dogs off lead areas. Further, an adaptive Koala monitoring and research program will be prepared and implemented to assess the use of offset areas by Koala and assess any indirect impacts resulting from the adjacent urban development. The findings of this research program will be used to develop further mitigation measures, as necessary. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 17
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Table 5: Predicted Koala carrying capacity before and after development/conservation management Years 1-25 Year Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 4 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 13 Yr 16 Yr 19 Yr 22 Yr 25 No. Koalas in Urban Area - MDP lands 0.457 0.46 0.24 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 No. Koalas in Urban Area - Balance lands 2.545 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.44 2.03 1.38 1.15 1.06 0.39 0.00 Koala's in Urban Area 3.003 3.00 2.78 2.54 2.44 2.03 1.38 1.15 1.06 0.39 0.00 No. Koalas in Open Space/APZs - MDP Lands 0.000 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.34 0.68 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 No. Koalas in Open Space/APZs - Balance Lands 0.842 0.84 0.84 0.84 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 No. Koalas in Retained Land (incl. Homestead) 0.666 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 Koala's in Open Space 1.509 1.51 1.51 1.53 2.13 2.47 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 Carrying Capacity On-site Offsets - x 3 0.724 0.72 0.72 0.75 0.95 1.00 1.17 1.22 1.28 1.28 1.34 Carrying Capacity On-site Offsets - Balance x 5 7.542 7.54 7.62 7.99 9.85 10.24 10.88 11.36 11.69 11.74 12.02 Koala's in on-site offsets 8.266 8.27 8.35 8.74 10.80 11.24 12.05 12.58 12.97 13.02 13.36 Carrying Capacity Off-site Offsets - MDP (Noorumba) 1.064 1.06 1.06 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 Carrying Capacity Off-site Offsets - MDP (West Appin) 1.057 1.06 1.06 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 Carrying Capacity Off-site Offsets - Balance (70 ha) 3.514 3.51 3.51 4.22 4.22 4.22 4.22 4.22 Koalas in off-site offsets 5.634 0.00 2.12 2.12 6.06 6.06 6.76 6.76 6.76 6.76 6.76 Total Carrying Capacity - MDP Lands on-site 1.273 1.18 0.96 0.77 1.29 1.68 2.18 2.24 2.30 2.30 2.35 Total Carrying Capacity - Balance Lands on-site 10.719 11.60 11.68 12.04 14.08 14.06 14.05 14.29 14.54 13.92 13.81 Development Scenario - Total Carrying Capacity (Excl. Off-site offsets) 12.78 12.64 12.81 15.36 15.74 16.24 16.53 16.84 16.22 16.17 Development Scenario - Total Carrying Capacity (On-site & Off-site offsets) 12.78 14.76 14.93 21.42 21.80 23.00 23.29 23.60 22.98 22.93 No Development Scenario 2% Loss of trees in 11.99 11.94 11.79 11.65 11.52 11.40 11.28 11.17 11.07 10.97 urban & open space areas © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 18
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Mt Gilead - On-site Koala Carrying Capacity 25.00 23.00 21.00 19.00 16.17 17.00 15.00 12.78 13.00 11.00 11.99 10.97 9.00 Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 4 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 13 Yr 16 Yr 19 Yr 22 Yr 25 No Development Scenario Development Scenario - Total Carrying Capacity (Excl. Off-site offsets) Figure 6: Koala carrying capacity – current land management and loss of trees © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 19
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Mt Gilead - Impact Assessment (CUM) 10.00 0.00 Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 4 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 13 Yr 16 Yr 19 Yr 22 Yr 25 -10.00 -20.00 -30.00 -40.00 -50.00 -60.00 -70.00 -80.00 Cumulative loss from road kill (3 Koalas/year) Loss from Urban Development Cumulative loss of trees (current land management) Cumulative Change Carrying Capacity (Development) Figure 7: Relative contribution of roadkill, tree loss and development to Koala numbers over 25 years © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 20
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Mt Gilead - Increase in Koala carrying capacity by management of on & off-site offsets over 25 years 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 4 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 13 Yr 16 Yr 19 Yr 22 Yr 25 On-site offsets (223 ha) Off-site offsets (112 ha) Total Offsets Figure 8: Increase in Koala carrying capacity with management of on-site and off-site offset areas © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 21
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited Mt Gilead - Total Koala Carrying Capacity 25.00 22.93 23.00 21.00 19.00 17.00 15.00 12.78 13.00 10.97 11.00 11.99 9.00 Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 4 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 13 Yr 16 Yr 19 Yr 22 Yr 25 No Development Scenario Development Scenario - Total Carrying Capacity (On-site & Off-site offsets) Figure 9: Change in total Koala carrying capacity following development and land management © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 22
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | 4. Discussion Predicted increases to the extent of Koala habitat and the resulting carrying capacity on the Mt Gilead property are achieved by a commitment to commence active conservation management and restoration of proposed offset areas to widen and buffer existing corridors from urban areas from year 1 including:- • restoration of 5.7 ha and 28.13 ha of cleared land in registered and proposed biobank sites in Stage 1 and Stage 2 respectively to higher quality remnant vegetation, • the return of tree canopy to 10.52 ha of derived grassland/shrubland in Stage 2 offset areas; and • the preferential planting of Koala browse species (Forest Red Gum, Grey Box, Grey Gum and White Stringybark) and other species indicative of Cumberland Plain Woodland and Shale Sandstone Transition Forest in 33.8 and 28.08 ha of open space in Stages 1 and 2 respectively Koala habitat will be progressively impacted over 25 years and replaced by restored habitat which will be significantly advanced regrowth prior to all impacts occurring. Of the 55.26 ha of habitat to be lost and 16.96 ha to be modified in Stage 2, approximately 5 ha will be lost in Stage 2.1 (Year 7), 12 ha in Stage 2.2 (Year10), 20 ha in Stage 2.3 (Year 13), 5 ha in Stage 2.4 Year 16), 3 ha in Stage 2.5 (Year 19), 19 ha in Stage 2.6 (Year 22) and 11 ha in Stage 7 (Year 25), i.e. around 40 % of the impacts will not occur until after year 22. Roads are considered one of the major factors leading to decline in koala populations (Rhodes et al 2014). Crowther (2018) in his report to the former OEH regarding the management of koala road kill on Appin Road, states that where there is heavy traffic and rising human population growth, such as in the Campbelltown LGA, mitigation measures for road effects are essential for koala population persistence. Professor Crowther considers that exclusion fencing along Appin Road has the capability to reduce mortality in the local population, increase population persistence and if combined with under or overpasses, facilitate movement and gene flow. Lee et al. (2010) report of low genetic diversity in the Campbelltown Koala population indicating a recent population bottleneck. They highlight the need to identify possible solutions to allow gene flow across population barriers. Whilst not affecting the carrying capacity of protected and/or managed habitat on Mt Gilead, the proposed wildlife exclusion fencing and fauna underpass along Appin Rd (subject to RMS approval) will contribute to reducing the current rate of Koala roadkill that DPI&E and others regard as having a significant impact on the local population. The exclusion fencing and underpass will provide increased security to Koalas making east to west and west to east crossings of Appin Road to other areas of core habitat and improve gene flow between the broader Campbelltown/Wedderburn/Heathcote koala population and those animals to the west of Appin Road and south to Appin and Wilton. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 23
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | 5. References ArborSafe 2017. Mt Gilead Tree Assessment Report – November 2017. Biolink 2016. Comprehensive Koala Plan on Management (Draft). Prepared by Biolink for Campbelltown City Council, 2016. Biolink 2018a. South Campbelltown Koala Habitat Connectivity Study. Final report to Campbelltown City Council, updated April 2018. Biolink 2018b. Comprehensive Koala Plan on Management (Revised Draft). Prepared by Biolink for Campbelltown City Council, September 2018. Crowther, M. 2018. Review of Office of Environment and Heritage (OEH) Project “Temporary fencing on Appin Road – Analysis of costs and benefits for Koalas”. Letter to Senior Team Leader Ecosystems and Threatened Species, Greater Sydney Branch, OEH, dated 28 June 2018. Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) 2019. Conserving Koalas in the Wollondilly and Campbelltown Local Government Areas. Eco Logical Australia 2018. Mt Gilead – Biodiversity Certification Assessment Report and Biocertification Strategy, Report prepared for Mt Gilead Pty Ltd and MR & Mrs Dzwonnik, dated 2 July 2018, Final Report to Minister, July 2018. Eco Logical Australia 2019. Mt Gilead Stage 2– Biodiversity Certification Assessment Report and Biocertification Strategy, Report prepared for Lendlease Communities (Figtree Hill) Pty Limited, dated 18 July 2019. Eco Logical Australia 2019b Mount Gilead Residential Development - Koala Management Plan. Report prepared for Lendlease Communities (Mt Gilead) Pty Limited, dated June 2019. Kavanagh, R. and Stanton, M.A. 2012. Koalas use young Eucalyptus plantations in an agricultural landscape on the Liverpool Plains, New South Wales. Ecolog. Manage. & Restoration 13: 297-305. Lee, K.E., Seddon, J.M., Corley, W., Ellis, W.A.H., Johnston, S.D., de Villiers, D.L., Preece, H.J., and Carrick, F.N. 2010. Genetic variation and structuring in the threatened koala populations of southeast Queensland. Conservation Genetics 11, 2091-2103. Lunney, D. Close, R., Bryant, J.V., Crowther, M.S., Shannon, I., Madden, K. and Ward, S. 2010. The koalas of Campbelltown, south-western Sydney: does their natural history foretell of an unnatural future? Pp339 - 370 in The Natural History of Sydney, edited by Daniel Lunney, Pat Hutchings and Dieter Hochuli. Royal Zoological Society of NSW, Mosman, NSW, Australia. Rhodes, J.R., Lunney, D., Callaghan, J. and McAlpine, C.A. 2014. A few large roads or many smaller ones? How to accommodate growth in vehicle numbers to minimise impacts on wildlife. Plos One 9, e91093.doi: 10.1371/Journal.pone.0091093. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 24
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | Rhind, S.G., Ellis, M.V., Smith, M. and Lunney, D. 2014. Do Kolas Phascolarctos cinereus use trees planted on farms? A case study form north-west New South Wales, Australia. Pacific Conservation Biology 20(3): 302-312. RMS 2018. Appin Road Upgrade, Mt Gilead to Ambervale: Review of Environmental Factors, Roads and Maritime Services, November 2018. Smith, M. 1992. Koalas and land use in the Gunnedah Shire: A report on the Bearcare project. NSW National Parks and Wildlife Service, Hurstville, NSW. Ward, S. J. 2002 Koalas and the community: a study of low density populations in Southern Sydney. Unpublished PhD thesis, University of Western Sydney, Campbelltown, NSW. Woodwood, W., Ellis, W.A., Carrick, F.N., Tanizaki, M., Bowen, D. and Smith ,P. 2008. Koalas on North Stradbroke Island: diet, tree use and reconstructed landscapes. Wildl. Res 35: 606-611. Appendix A : Arborsafe Tree Assessment Report Provided as separate document. Appendix B : Dr Steven Ward’s review of draft carrying capacity report Provided as separate document. © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 25
Mt Gilead Koala Carrying Capacity Assessment | © ECO LOGICAL AUSTRALIA PTY LTD 26
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