Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet - February 2022 - Ministry ...

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Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet — February 2022

This monthly fact sheet summarises the latest labour market informa on. It focuses on the most recent monthly changes and com-
plements MBIE’s quarterly Labour Market Sta s cs Snapshot1 . For more informa on on sectors and regions, see MBIE’s COVID-19
economic data2 . The Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet will be updated next on 18 March 2022.

Overview
Headline quarterly sta s cs
Data up to December 2021 quarter
       Measures                                                                Dec-20         Mar-21           Jun-21      Sep-21        Dec-21
       Employment                                                           2,730,000      2,748,000        2,776,000   2,828,000     2,831,000
       — Paid Employee or Employer                                          2,376,800      2,368,200        2,398,500   2,438,300     2,462,500
       — Self-employed                                                        343,400        354,300          342,600     352,000       353,900
       Employment Rate                                                          66.8%          67.1%            67.7%       68.8%         68.8%
       Par cipa on Rate                                                         70.2%          70.4%            70.5%       71.2%         71.1%
       Underu lisa on                                                         354,000        362,000          312,000     278,000       277,000
       — Unemployment                                                         141,000        133,000          114,000      98,000        93,000
       — Underemployment                                                      117,000        122,000          107,000      97,000       102,000
       — Poten al Labour Force                                                 95,000        106,000           91,000      83,000        82,000
       Underu lisa on Rate                                                      11.9%          12.1%            10.5%        9.2%          9.2%
       Unemployment Rate                                                         4.9%           4.6%             4.0%        3.3%          3.2%
       Not in the Labour Force                                              1,217,000      1,212,000        1,209,000   1,184,000     1,190,000
       Youth Not in Employment, Educa on or Training (NEET)                    81,000         79,000           79,000      79,000        70,000
       NEET Rate                                                                12.4%          12.2%            12.3%       12.2%         10.8%
       Average Weekly Hours Paid (per FTE)                                      38.27          38.41            39.04       38.88         39.01

All measures are from the Household Labour Force Survey except for average hours worked, which is from the Quarterly Employment
Survey. Labour Market Sta s cs, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021 quarter, next release on 04/05/2022)

The recent story
Posi ve growth was recorded in jobs adver sed online in the month of January 2022, reflec ng a con nuing demand for labour. The
highest growth rates by industry were recorded in Health care, Business services and Manufacturing. This growth in jobs adver sed
online follows on from the ght labour market observed in the September and December quarters 2021.
In the December quarter 2021, the unemployment rate (3.2 per cent) was the lowest recorded since the data series started in 1986.
The underu lisa on rate remained steady at 9.2 per cent, as 5,000 fewer people unemployed were offset by 5,000 more people under-
employed. The highest increase in employment over the year was for people aged 15 to 24 years (up by 27,800 people). Māori youth
Not in Educa on, Employment or Training (NEET) decreased to 70,000 people, down by 9,000 from last quarter.
In December 2021, there were large increases in filled jobs in the Professional, scien fic and technical services, Construc on, Adminis-
tra ve and support services, Public administra on and safety, Health care and social assistance, Rental, hiring and real estate services,
Wholesale trade, and Retail trade industries, with levels of filled jobs similar to those seen pre-COVID. However, for the Accommoda on
and food services, Agriculture, forestry and fishing, Arts and recrea on, Educa on and training and Transport, postal and warehousing
industries, filled jobs have not recovered to levels of pre-COVID.
There were 363,636 people on all main benefits as at 4 February 2022, with 105,069 receiving the Jobseeker support benefit. In the
week ending 4 February 2022 there were 2,181 new recipients and 2,526 cancella ons of Jobseeker Support.
A er the implementa on of COVID-19 Protec on Framework, the Wage Subsidy Scheme was discon nued. However, support is avail-
able for those unable to work due to being tested for COVID-19 or needing to isolate. Since 2 December 2021, a total of 5,463 appli-
ca ons under the new Leave Support Scheme (LSS) and 11,580 applica ons under the Short-term Absence Payment (STAP) have been
approved.
The growing difficul es in finding skilled and unskilled workers are a ributed partly to border restric ons3 . It is unclear how the gradual
opening of New Zealand’s border during 2022 will affect this. The impacts of the COVID-19 Protec on Framework and con nuing supply
chain disrup ons have added to infla on pressures and uncertainty to the labour market.
  1 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/business-and-employment/employment-and-skills/labour-market-reports-data-and-analysis/labour-market-statistics-snapshot/
  2 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/business-and-employment/economic-development/covid-19-data-resources/covid-19-economic-data/
  3 https://nzier.org.nz/publications/qsbo/quarterly-survey-of-business-opinion-january-2022-members-only

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Filled Jobs
Data up to December 2021
Stats NZ’s Monthly Employment Indicators (MEIs) count of filled jobs uses employer payroll filing of tax data. These sta s cs are a
useful indicator to supplement the official Labour Market Sta s cs, although they do not count the self-employed, do not necessarily
represent full- me or permanent jobs, and recent results can be subject to fluctua ons due to different employers’ payroll schedules.

                        Annual percentage change in the number of filled jobs

                   4%                                                                                                                                               3.9%
 Annual change

                   2%

                   0%

                  −2%

                  −4%
                                2002             2004      2006                 2008   2010          2012        2014   2016       2018              2020
                                                                                              Year

Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022)

                        Monthly percentage change in the number of filled jobs, seasonally adjusted
                                                                                                                                                                    0.2%

                   1%
 Monthly change

                   0%

                  −1%

                                         2018                                  2019                    2020                    2021
                                                                                              Year

Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022)

                                                                               Filled jobs by age group
                  65 and over                                   4.2%                                                            115,289

                     60 to 64                                           5.3%                                                           158,662

                     55 to 59                     1.4%                                                                                          199,132

                     50 to 54                               3.9%                                                                                   223,636
 Age Group

                     45 to 49             0.1%                                                                                                     224,207

                     40 to 44                                    4.4%                                                                              223,456

                     35 to 39                                           5.2%                                                                          242,822

                     30 to 34                                           5.3%                                                                                   275,330

                     25 to 29    −0.1%                                                                                                                        271,234

                     20 to 24                            3.3%                                                                                             243,338

                     15 to 19                                                                                 14.1%                   150,576

                                                                   Annual change                                          Number of filled jobs
Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022)

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Filled jobs by industry
 Professional, scientific & technical services                                                                             8.5%                                                        187,990

                                   Construction                                                                            8.3%                                                             200,420

            Administrative & support services                                                                       6.8%                                               104,085

                Public administration & safety                                                                  5.9%                                                              154,712

              Health care & social assistance                                                                 5.7%                                                                                    261,881

         Rental, hiring & real estate services                                                               5.3%                                     37,356

                                     Retail trade                                                        4.9%                                                                                    228,631

                                 Other services                                                          4.8%                                                   79,812

               Financial & insurance services                                                            4.7%                                                 68,320

      Electricity, gas, water & waste services                                                         4.6%                                      21,769

                               Wholesale trade                                                        4.2%                                                               116,996

                                          Mining                                                      4.1%                                   5,684

             Accommodation & food services                                                        3.5%                                                                           152,121

    Information media & telecommunications                                                       3%                                                  31,307

                                 Manufacturing                                              2%                                                                                                    240,007

             Transport, postal & warehousing                                          1.3%                                                                       90,529

                           Education & training               −1.7%                                                                                                                         201,804

                    Arts & recreation services         −3.1%                                                                                          39,777

                 Agriculture, forestry & fishing    −3.9%                                                                                                               111,893

                                                                            Annual change                                                                Number of filled jobs
Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022)

                                                                       Filled jobs by region
             West Coast                                                                                      7.3%            18,259

               Northland                                                             5.3%                                           74,891

                 Waikato                                                      4.7%                                                               225,002

                Auckland                                               4.2%                                                                                                                           785,927

           Bay of Plenty                                             3.9%                                                                  144,060

              Canterbury                                            3.8%                                                                                  303,797

 Manawatū-Whanganui                                                 3.8%                                                               114,466

                Taranaki                                       3.6%                                                               55,435

            Hawke's Bay                                       3.4%                                                                  83,104

              Wellington                                     3.3%                                                                                     261,308

                 Tasman                                 3.1%                                                                 25,482

                   Otago                               2.9%                                                                            114,578

            Marlborough                                2.9%                                                                   27,453

                  Nelson                              2.8%                                                                   21,308

                Gisborne                             2.7%                                                                    23,562

               Southland                    1.6%                                                                                  49,739

                                                    Annual change                                                                                Number of filled jobs
Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022)

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Benefit Recipients
Data up to 4 February 2022
Benefits are primarily a measure of how many people are receiving income support rather than a measure of unemployment, but since
2008 the number of Jobseeker Support recipients has mostly tracked in line with the number of unemployed individuals. Measuring
all working-age main benefits covers addi onal circumstances in which someone could need extra income and is a be er proxy for the
underu lisa on rate, which is a more useful measure of “slack” in the labour market than the unemployment rate alone.

                                 Number of main benefit recipients
                    400,000
 Number of people

                                              363,636                                                                                                                                                Year
                    300,000                                                                                                                                                                                 2019

                    200,000                                                                                                                                                                                 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                            2021
                    100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                            2022
                             0
                                 January   February March          April            May            June      July           August              September October    November December
                                                                                                          Month

Source: Working-age main benefits, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday)

                             Weekly new recipients and cancellations of Jobseeker Support
 Number of people

                    7,500
                                                                                                                                                                                    Legend
                    5,000                                                                                                                                                                a        Cancellations
                                                                                                                                                                       2,526             a        New recipients
                    2,500
                                                                                                                                                                       2,181

                       0
                             Jan−20 Mar−20 May−20 Jul−20            Sep−20 Nov−20 Jan−21 Mar−21 May−21 Jul−21                                        Sep−21 Nov−21 Jan−22 Mar−22
                                                                                              Month
Source: Working-age main benefits, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday)

                                                                           Jobseeker benefit recipients by region
                                 Northland                                                 10.2%                               -1pp                                             11,202

                                  Gisborne                                          8.9%                     -1.5pp                                                     2,604

                            Bay of Plenty                                         8.1%                                         -1pp                                                 15,957

                             West Coast                                       7.8%                                                             -0.6pp                  1,470

                                   Waikato                                 6.9%                                                    -0.9pp                                                 20,592

 Manawatū-Whanganui                                                        6.8%                                                    -0.9pp                                       10,101

                            Hawke's Bay                               6.5%                                                         -0.9pp                                  6,765

                                  Taranaki                           6.2%                                                 -1.1pp                                         4,497

                                  Auckland                         5.7%                                                                     -0.7pp                                                                 62,202

                                    Nelson                         5.5%                                                                        -0.6pp                   1,800

                                 Wellington                    5.1%                                                                -0.9pp                                            17,751

                              Canterbury                     4.7%                                                                     -0.8pp                                             18,924

                                   Tasman                   4.4%                                                                                     -0.5pp            1,473

                                 Southland                  4.4%                                                                                     -0.5pp             2,703

                            Marlborough                     4.2%                                                                               -0.6pp                  1,242

                                     Otago              3.7%                                                                                         -0.5pp               5,829

                                              Percentage of the population                                Annual percentage point change                                        Number of recipients
                                                    (aged 18 to 64)
Source: Working-age main benefits, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday)

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Wage Subsidy
Wage Subsidy data up to 9 December 2021 and LSS and STAP data up to 4 February 2022
A number of COVID-19 wage subsidies have been available since March 2020 to help employers and self-employed people who would
otherwise have had to lay off staff or reduce their hours due to COVID-194 .
The COVID-19 Wage Subsidy and Leave Payment Scheme, available from 27 March 2020 to 9 June 2020, supported a larger number of
jobs (1,787,216 jobs) compared with subsequent available subsidies.
The original Wage Subsidy Scheme was followed by the Wage Subsidy Extension Scheme introduced on 10 June 2020, which supported
588,379 jobs, and a Resurgence Wage Subsidy payment was available for the last two weeks in August 2020 when Auckland was placed
at Alert Level 3 and the rest of the country moved back into Alert Level 2 (suppor ng 296,169 jobs).
When Auckland once again moved to Alert Level 3 and the rest of the country moved to Alert Level 2 on 28 February 2021, the COVID-19
Wage Subsidy March 2021 payment was introduced. This subsidy supported a total of 170,151 jobs.
More recently, the Wage Subsidy August 2021 was introduced, consis ng of eight wage subsidies related to the August Alert Level
changes. The subsidies were open from 20 August 2021 to 9 December 2021 and supported an increased number of jobs (1,313, 613
jobs), reflec ng the extended lockdown period par cularly in Auckland.
The Wage Subsidy Scheme was discon nued a er COVID-19 Protec on Framework came into effect in early December 2021. However,
workers who cannot work from home and need to miss work while wai ng for a COVID-19 test result, and those advised to self-isolate
due to COVID-19 (and who can’t work from home), are eligible for support via the Short-term Absence Payment (STAP) and Leave
Support Scheme (LSS). The latest Income Support and Wage Subsidy weekly data shows that 2,112 applica ons were approved for
the STAP and 1,041 applica ons were approved for the LSS to 4 February 2022, showing a marked increase in approvals over the past
month as we see more cases of COVID-19 emerging in the community.
The STAP which covers those wai ng for a COVID-19 test result has more applica ons compared to LSS which is for those who are
advised to self-isolate. The STAP is now at a similar level to when it was introduced in February 2021.

                                                             Number of jobs supported by wage subsidy schemes
                                            1,787,216

                  1,500,000
 Jobs supported

                                                                                                                                                                      1,313,613

                  1,000,000

                                                                          588,379

                   500,000
                                                                                                            296,169
                                                                                                                                       170,151

                           0
                                                       20

                                                                                         0

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Source: Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly Update, MSD (Data to 09/12/2021, released every Friday)

                          Weekly New LSS and STAP Applications Approved
                  2,000                                                                                                                                        2,112
 Applications

                  1,500                                                                                                                                                        Legend
                                                                                                                                                               1,041              a       LSS
                  1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                  a       STAP
                   500

                     0
                          Jan−20   Mar−20     May−20        Jul−20   Sep−20     Nov−20       Jan−21   Mar−21      May−21    Jul−21   Sep−21       Nov−21   Jan−22     Mar−22
                                                                                             Month
Source: Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly Update, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday)

         4 https://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/newsroom/2020/covid-19/covid-19-wage-subsidy-employer-search.html

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Job Vacancies
Data up to January 2022
The number of jobs adver sed online on major job boards can be used as a proxy for job vacancies, a key indicator of both labour
demand and economic change. However, because of different hiring prac ces and changes in the rate of worker churn within industries,
the rela onship between online job adver sements and labour demand is complex.

                            All Vacancies Index (AVI) − online job advertising
 AVI (May−07 = 100)

                      200

                      150

                      100

                      50

                        0
                                           2009               2011                       2013                  2015                       2017            2019                      2021
                                                                                                             Year

Source: Jobs Online, MBIE (Data to January 2022, next release 15/03/2022)

                                                          Annual change in online job advertising by occupation, latest three months
                                                                  November 2021                                     December 2021                                January 2022

                            Clerical & administration                                         46.8%                                              53.2%                                    47.5%

                                                  Sales                               37.5%                                                      52.2%                               43.4%

                                       Professionals                                             51.4%                           32%                                          36.3%

                                           Labourers                            32%                                                    38.7%                                 34.9%

 Community & personal services                                                        37.4%                                                       55.1%                      34.5%

                               Trades & technicians                     23.8%                                                  28.3%                                      30.5%

                                  Machinery drivers                                37%                                                   40.8%                            29.5%

                                           Managers                18.3%                                            15.8%                                         21.5%

                                                                                                                    Annual change
Source: Jobs Online, MBIE (Data to January 2022, next release 15/03/2022)

                                           Annual change in online job advertising by region, latest three months
                                                          November 2021                                       December 2021                                 January 2022

                              Canterbury                                                53.5%                                    39.6%                                                    48.4%

 South Island − Other                                                    40.2%                                                    40.9%                                           39.8%

   North Island − Other                                                    40.7%                                                       45.8%                                      39.3%

                                Auckland                             34.7%                                             29.6%                                              32.6%

                              Wellington                        28.9%                                                  30.5%                                         29.7%

                                                                                                             Annual change
Source: Jobs Online, MBIE (Data to January 2022, next release 15/03/2022)

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Data sources

Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) | Stats Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly
NZ                                                                                 Update | Ministry of Social Development
The HLFS is a na onwide, quarterly survey of households run by Stats NZ. It is the (MSD)
official measure of employment and unemployment in New Zealand. Data from
the HLFS is used as an indicator of the overall health of the economy, par cularly          The Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly Update provides an overview of
the unemployment rate. HLFS data is also used to compare labour force variables             income support, including COVID-19 Income Relief Payment data. MSD’s COVID-
across demographic characteris cs.                                                          19 repor ng is available at: https://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/
                                                                                            publications-resources/statistics/covid-19/index.html

Monthly Employment Indicator (MEI) | Stats
                                           Jobs Online | Ministry of Business, Innova-
NZ
                                            on and Employment (MBIE)
The MEI series from Stats NZ provides an early indica on of changes in the labour
market. These indicators use a combina on of data from two different Inland Rev-             Jobs Online is a regular data series published quarterly by MBIE that mea-
enue sources: the Employer Monthly Schedule (EMS) and payday filing. This data               sures changes in online job adver sements from four internet job boards —
is used to produce the filled jobs and gross earnings indicator series, published four       Seek, Trade Me Jobs, Educa on Gaze e and Kiwi Health Jobs. A monthly
to five weeks a er the end of the reference month.                                           series is available at https://www.mbie.govt.nz/business-and-employment/
                                                                                            employment-and-skills/labour-market-reports-data-and-analysis/jobs-online/
                                                                                            #jobs-online-monthly-data-release
Monthly Benefits Update | Ministry of Social
Development (MSD)                                                           Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) | Stats
The Monthly Benefits Update from MSD provides an overview of benefit and sup- NZ
plementary assistance data. The report presents monthly benefit receipt numbers,
and the accompanying data file provides addi onal informa on and breakdowns.                 The QES is a quarterly survey run by Stats NZ. It measures employment, earnings
                                                                                            and hours paid of economically significant businesses in New Zealand. The pur-
                                                                                            pose of the Quarterly Employment Survey is to provide a short-term indicator of
                                                                                            employment and earnings. In addi on, the data is used for compiling the business
                                                                                            services industry component of the quarterly na onal accounts (on the produc on
                                                                                            side). Results from the survey provide a valuable guide to the labour market and
                                                                                            general economic condi ons within New Zealand.

Previous edi ons
The Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet brings together the latest available administra ve and survey data. The July 2020 edi on5 included findings from the Ministry of
Health’s COVID-19 Health and Wellbeing Survey, the Ministry of Social Development’s Wage Subsidy Survey and Auckland Tourism, Events and Economic Development’s
(ATEED) COVID-19 Business Survey. The August 2020 edi on6 included findings from Victoria University’s Life in Lockdown survey.

Contact us
For further informa on on the data contained in this fact sheet, please email us: LabourMarketInsights@mbie.govt.nz.

   5 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/dmsdocument/11556-monthly-labour-market-fact-sheet-july-2020
   6 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/dmsdocument/11637-monthly-labour-market-fact-sheet-august-2020

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