Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet - February 2022 - Ministry ...
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Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet — February 2022 This monthly fact sheet summarises the latest labour market informa on. It focuses on the most recent monthly changes and com- plements MBIE’s quarterly Labour Market Sta s cs Snapshot1 . For more informa on on sectors and regions, see MBIE’s COVID-19 economic data2 . The Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet will be updated next on 18 March 2022. Overview Headline quarterly sta s cs Data up to December 2021 quarter Measures Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Employment 2,730,000 2,748,000 2,776,000 2,828,000 2,831,000 — Paid Employee or Employer 2,376,800 2,368,200 2,398,500 2,438,300 2,462,500 — Self-employed 343,400 354,300 342,600 352,000 353,900 Employment Rate 66.8% 67.1% 67.7% 68.8% 68.8% Par cipa on Rate 70.2% 70.4% 70.5% 71.2% 71.1% Underu lisa on 354,000 362,000 312,000 278,000 277,000 — Unemployment 141,000 133,000 114,000 98,000 93,000 — Underemployment 117,000 122,000 107,000 97,000 102,000 — Poten al Labour Force 95,000 106,000 91,000 83,000 82,000 Underu lisa on Rate 11.9% 12.1% 10.5% 9.2% 9.2% Unemployment Rate 4.9% 4.6% 4.0% 3.3% 3.2% Not in the Labour Force 1,217,000 1,212,000 1,209,000 1,184,000 1,190,000 Youth Not in Employment, Educa on or Training (NEET) 81,000 79,000 79,000 79,000 70,000 NEET Rate 12.4% 12.2% 12.3% 12.2% 10.8% Average Weekly Hours Paid (per FTE) 38.27 38.41 39.04 38.88 39.01 All measures are from the Household Labour Force Survey except for average hours worked, which is from the Quarterly Employment Survey. Labour Market Sta s cs, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021 quarter, next release on 04/05/2022) The recent story Posi ve growth was recorded in jobs adver sed online in the month of January 2022, reflec ng a con nuing demand for labour. The highest growth rates by industry were recorded in Health care, Business services and Manufacturing. This growth in jobs adver sed online follows on from the ght labour market observed in the September and December quarters 2021. In the December quarter 2021, the unemployment rate (3.2 per cent) was the lowest recorded since the data series started in 1986. The underu lisa on rate remained steady at 9.2 per cent, as 5,000 fewer people unemployed were offset by 5,000 more people under- employed. The highest increase in employment over the year was for people aged 15 to 24 years (up by 27,800 people). Māori youth Not in Educa on, Employment or Training (NEET) decreased to 70,000 people, down by 9,000 from last quarter. In December 2021, there were large increases in filled jobs in the Professional, scien fic and technical services, Construc on, Adminis- tra ve and support services, Public administra on and safety, Health care and social assistance, Rental, hiring and real estate services, Wholesale trade, and Retail trade industries, with levels of filled jobs similar to those seen pre-COVID. However, for the Accommoda on and food services, Agriculture, forestry and fishing, Arts and recrea on, Educa on and training and Transport, postal and warehousing industries, filled jobs have not recovered to levels of pre-COVID. There were 363,636 people on all main benefits as at 4 February 2022, with 105,069 receiving the Jobseeker support benefit. In the week ending 4 February 2022 there were 2,181 new recipients and 2,526 cancella ons of Jobseeker Support. A er the implementa on of COVID-19 Protec on Framework, the Wage Subsidy Scheme was discon nued. However, support is avail- able for those unable to work due to being tested for COVID-19 or needing to isolate. Since 2 December 2021, a total of 5,463 appli- ca ons under the new Leave Support Scheme (LSS) and 11,580 applica ons under the Short-term Absence Payment (STAP) have been approved. The growing difficul es in finding skilled and unskilled workers are a ributed partly to border restric ons3 . It is unclear how the gradual opening of New Zealand’s border during 2022 will affect this. The impacts of the COVID-19 Protec on Framework and con nuing supply chain disrup ons have added to infla on pressures and uncertainty to the labour market. 1 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/business-and-employment/employment-and-skills/labour-market-reports-data-and-analysis/labour-market-statistics-snapshot/ 2 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/business-and-employment/economic-development/covid-19-data-resources/covid-19-economic-data/ 3 https://nzier.org.nz/publications/qsbo/quarterly-survey-of-business-opinion-january-2022-members-only V1.0.0 (83496cb) 1 Generated on 2022-02-18
Filled Jobs Data up to December 2021 Stats NZ’s Monthly Employment Indicators (MEIs) count of filled jobs uses employer payroll filing of tax data. These sta s cs are a useful indicator to supplement the official Labour Market Sta s cs, although they do not count the self-employed, do not necessarily represent full- me or permanent jobs, and recent results can be subject to fluctua ons due to different employers’ payroll schedules. Annual percentage change in the number of filled jobs 4% 3.9% Annual change 2% 0% −2% −4% 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Year Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022) Monthly percentage change in the number of filled jobs, seasonally adjusted 0.2% 1% Monthly change 0% −1% 2018 2019 2020 2021 Year Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022) Filled jobs by age group 65 and over 4.2% 115,289 60 to 64 5.3% 158,662 55 to 59 1.4% 199,132 50 to 54 3.9% 223,636 Age Group 45 to 49 0.1% 224,207 40 to 44 4.4% 223,456 35 to 39 5.2% 242,822 30 to 34 5.3% 275,330 25 to 29 −0.1% 271,234 20 to 24 3.3% 243,338 15 to 19 14.1% 150,576 Annual change Number of filled jobs Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022) V1.0.0 (83496cb) 2 Generated on 2022-02-18
Filled jobs by industry Professional, scientific & technical services 8.5% 187,990 Construction 8.3% 200,420 Administrative & support services 6.8% 104,085 Public administration & safety 5.9% 154,712 Health care & social assistance 5.7% 261,881 Rental, hiring & real estate services 5.3% 37,356 Retail trade 4.9% 228,631 Other services 4.8% 79,812 Financial & insurance services 4.7% 68,320 Electricity, gas, water & waste services 4.6% 21,769 Wholesale trade 4.2% 116,996 Mining 4.1% 5,684 Accommodation & food services 3.5% 152,121 Information media & telecommunications 3% 31,307 Manufacturing 2% 240,007 Transport, postal & warehousing 1.3% 90,529 Education & training −1.7% 201,804 Arts & recreation services −3.1% 39,777 Agriculture, forestry & fishing −3.9% 111,893 Annual change Number of filled jobs Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022) Filled jobs by region West Coast 7.3% 18,259 Northland 5.3% 74,891 Waikato 4.7% 225,002 Auckland 4.2% 785,927 Bay of Plenty 3.9% 144,060 Canterbury 3.8% 303,797 Manawatū-Whanganui 3.8% 114,466 Taranaki 3.6% 55,435 Hawke's Bay 3.4% 83,104 Wellington 3.3% 261,308 Tasman 3.1% 25,482 Otago 2.9% 114,578 Marlborough 2.9% 27,453 Nelson 2.8% 21,308 Gisborne 2.7% 23,562 Southland 1.6% 49,739 Annual change Number of filled jobs Source: Monthly Employment Indicators - Filled Job Series, Stats NZ (Data to December 2021, next release on 28/02/2022) V1.0.0 (83496cb) 3 Generated on 2022-02-18
Benefit Recipients Data up to 4 February 2022 Benefits are primarily a measure of how many people are receiving income support rather than a measure of unemployment, but since 2008 the number of Jobseeker Support recipients has mostly tracked in line with the number of unemployed individuals. Measuring all working-age main benefits covers addi onal circumstances in which someone could need extra income and is a be er proxy for the underu lisa on rate, which is a more useful measure of “slack” in the labour market than the unemployment rate alone. Number of main benefit recipients 400,000 Number of people 363,636 Year 300,000 2019 200,000 2020 2021 100,000 2022 0 January February March April May June July August September October November December Month Source: Working-age main benefits, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday) Weekly new recipients and cancellations of Jobseeker Support Number of people 7,500 Legend 5,000 a Cancellations 2,526 a New recipients 2,500 2,181 0 Jan−20 Mar−20 May−20 Jul−20 Sep−20 Nov−20 Jan−21 Mar−21 May−21 Jul−21 Sep−21 Nov−21 Jan−22 Mar−22 Month Source: Working-age main benefits, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday) Jobseeker benefit recipients by region Northland 10.2% -1pp 11,202 Gisborne 8.9% -1.5pp 2,604 Bay of Plenty 8.1% -1pp 15,957 West Coast 7.8% -0.6pp 1,470 Waikato 6.9% -0.9pp 20,592 Manawatū-Whanganui 6.8% -0.9pp 10,101 Hawke's Bay 6.5% -0.9pp 6,765 Taranaki 6.2% -1.1pp 4,497 Auckland 5.7% -0.7pp 62,202 Nelson 5.5% -0.6pp 1,800 Wellington 5.1% -0.9pp 17,751 Canterbury 4.7% -0.8pp 18,924 Tasman 4.4% -0.5pp 1,473 Southland 4.4% -0.5pp 2,703 Marlborough 4.2% -0.6pp 1,242 Otago 3.7% -0.5pp 5,829 Percentage of the population Annual percentage point change Number of recipients (aged 18 to 64) Source: Working-age main benefits, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday) V1.0.0 (83496cb) 4 Generated on 2022-02-18
Wage Subsidy Wage Subsidy data up to 9 December 2021 and LSS and STAP data up to 4 February 2022 A number of COVID-19 wage subsidies have been available since March 2020 to help employers and self-employed people who would otherwise have had to lay off staff or reduce their hours due to COVID-194 . The COVID-19 Wage Subsidy and Leave Payment Scheme, available from 27 March 2020 to 9 June 2020, supported a larger number of jobs (1,787,216 jobs) compared with subsequent available subsidies. The original Wage Subsidy Scheme was followed by the Wage Subsidy Extension Scheme introduced on 10 June 2020, which supported 588,379 jobs, and a Resurgence Wage Subsidy payment was available for the last two weeks in August 2020 when Auckland was placed at Alert Level 3 and the rest of the country moved back into Alert Level 2 (suppor ng 296,169 jobs). When Auckland once again moved to Alert Level 3 and the rest of the country moved to Alert Level 2 on 28 February 2021, the COVID-19 Wage Subsidy March 2021 payment was introduced. This subsidy supported a total of 170,151 jobs. More recently, the Wage Subsidy August 2021 was introduced, consis ng of eight wage subsidies related to the August Alert Level changes. The subsidies were open from 20 August 2021 to 9 December 2021 and supported an increased number of jobs (1,313, 613 jobs), reflec ng the extended lockdown period par cularly in Auckland. The Wage Subsidy Scheme was discon nued a er COVID-19 Protec on Framework came into effect in early December 2021. However, workers who cannot work from home and need to miss work while wai ng for a COVID-19 test result, and those advised to self-isolate due to COVID-19 (and who can’t work from home), are eligible for support via the Short-term Absence Payment (STAP) and Leave Support Scheme (LSS). The latest Income Support and Wage Subsidy weekly data shows that 2,112 applica ons were approved for the STAP and 1,041 applica ons were approved for the LSS to 4 February 2022, showing a marked increase in approvals over the past month as we see more cases of COVID-19 emerging in the community. The STAP which covers those wai ng for a COVID-19 test result has more applica ons compared to LSS which is for those who are advised to self-isolate. The STAP is now at a similar level to when it was introduced in February 2021. Number of jobs supported by wage subsidy schemes 1,787,216 1,500,000 Jobs supported 1,313,613 1,000,000 588,379 500,000 296,169 170,151 0 20 0 0 1 1 9/ 21 3/ ce 1/ 21 /2 /2 /2 /2 1/ n / 9/ l 06 09 09 03 12 −0 20 −0 io −0 en −2 20 −0 na 20 ns 20 rg 20 gi 21 t 21 h 8/ us 6/ te 8/ u 3/ Ori 3/ rc /0 Res /0 Ex /0 ug /0 Ma 20 A /0 27 10 21 04 Source: Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly Update, MSD (Data to 09/12/2021, released every Friday) Weekly New LSS and STAP Applications Approved 2,000 2,112 Applications 1,500 Legend 1,041 a LSS 1,000 a STAP 500 0 Jan−20 Mar−20 May−20 Jul−20 Sep−20 Nov−20 Jan−21 Mar−21 May−21 Jul−21 Sep−21 Nov−21 Jan−22 Mar−22 Month Source: Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly Update, MSD (Data to 04/02/2022, released every Friday) 4 https://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/newsroom/2020/covid-19/covid-19-wage-subsidy-employer-search.html V1.0.0 (83496cb) 5 Generated on 2022-02-18
Job Vacancies Data up to January 2022 The number of jobs adver sed online on major job boards can be used as a proxy for job vacancies, a key indicator of both labour demand and economic change. However, because of different hiring prac ces and changes in the rate of worker churn within industries, the rela onship between online job adver sements and labour demand is complex. All Vacancies Index (AVI) − online job advertising AVI (May−07 = 100) 200 150 100 50 0 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 Year Source: Jobs Online, MBIE (Data to January 2022, next release 15/03/2022) Annual change in online job advertising by occupation, latest three months November 2021 December 2021 January 2022 Clerical & administration 46.8% 53.2% 47.5% Sales 37.5% 52.2% 43.4% Professionals 51.4% 32% 36.3% Labourers 32% 38.7% 34.9% Community & personal services 37.4% 55.1% 34.5% Trades & technicians 23.8% 28.3% 30.5% Machinery drivers 37% 40.8% 29.5% Managers 18.3% 15.8% 21.5% Annual change Source: Jobs Online, MBIE (Data to January 2022, next release 15/03/2022) Annual change in online job advertising by region, latest three months November 2021 December 2021 January 2022 Canterbury 53.5% 39.6% 48.4% South Island − Other 40.2% 40.9% 39.8% North Island − Other 40.7% 45.8% 39.3% Auckland 34.7% 29.6% 32.6% Wellington 28.9% 30.5% 29.7% Annual change Source: Jobs Online, MBIE (Data to January 2022, next release 15/03/2022) V1.0.0 (83496cb) 6 Generated on 2022-02-18
Data sources Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) | Stats Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly NZ Update | Ministry of Social Development The HLFS is a na onwide, quarterly survey of households run by Stats NZ. It is the (MSD) official measure of employment and unemployment in New Zealand. Data from the HLFS is used as an indicator of the overall health of the economy, par cularly The Income Support and Wage Subsidy Weekly Update provides an overview of the unemployment rate. HLFS data is also used to compare labour force variables income support, including COVID-19 Income Relief Payment data. MSD’s COVID- across demographic characteris cs. 19 repor ng is available at: https://www.msd.govt.nz/about-msd-and-our-work/ publications-resources/statistics/covid-19/index.html Monthly Employment Indicator (MEI) | Stats Jobs Online | Ministry of Business, Innova- NZ on and Employment (MBIE) The MEI series from Stats NZ provides an early indica on of changes in the labour market. These indicators use a combina on of data from two different Inland Rev- Jobs Online is a regular data series published quarterly by MBIE that mea- enue sources: the Employer Monthly Schedule (EMS) and payday filing. This data sures changes in online job adver sements from four internet job boards — is used to produce the filled jobs and gross earnings indicator series, published four Seek, Trade Me Jobs, Educa on Gaze e and Kiwi Health Jobs. A monthly to five weeks a er the end of the reference month. series is available at https://www.mbie.govt.nz/business-and-employment/ employment-and-skills/labour-market-reports-data-and-analysis/jobs-online/ #jobs-online-monthly-data-release Monthly Benefits Update | Ministry of Social Development (MSD) Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) | Stats The Monthly Benefits Update from MSD provides an overview of benefit and sup- NZ plementary assistance data. The report presents monthly benefit receipt numbers, and the accompanying data file provides addi onal informa on and breakdowns. The QES is a quarterly survey run by Stats NZ. It measures employment, earnings and hours paid of economically significant businesses in New Zealand. The pur- pose of the Quarterly Employment Survey is to provide a short-term indicator of employment and earnings. In addi on, the data is used for compiling the business services industry component of the quarterly na onal accounts (on the produc on side). Results from the survey provide a valuable guide to the labour market and general economic condi ons within New Zealand. Previous edi ons The Monthly Labour Market Fact Sheet brings together the latest available administra ve and survey data. The July 2020 edi on5 included findings from the Ministry of Health’s COVID-19 Health and Wellbeing Survey, the Ministry of Social Development’s Wage Subsidy Survey and Auckland Tourism, Events and Economic Development’s (ATEED) COVID-19 Business Survey. The August 2020 edi on6 included findings from Victoria University’s Life in Lockdown survey. Contact us For further informa on on the data contained in this fact sheet, please email us: LabourMarketInsights@mbie.govt.nz. 5 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/dmsdocument/11556-monthly-labour-market-fact-sheet-july-2020 6 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/dmsdocument/11637-monthly-labour-market-fact-sheet-august-2020 V1.0.0 (83496cb) 7 Generated on 2022-02-18
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