Big Data, Big Deal Using Data for Program Development & Operational Analysis - Paula Nissen - Iowa Department of Education - National Council for ...
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Big Data, Big Deal Using Data for Program Development & Operational Analysis Paula Nissen – Iowa Department of Education
This Session • Understanding data sources • Resources relating to workforce • Connecting state and local goals • Case scenario
Acronyms and Data A word formed from the initial letters of groups of letters of words in a set phrase or series of words, then pronounced as a word - or - a set of initials representing a name or organization with each letter pronounced separately A–bbreviation C–hallenging R–idiculous O–bscure N–ecessary Y–outh (LOL, BFF, TFTI, ROFL) M–ethod
United States Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Fact-finding agency Labor Market Information (LMI) Employment & Training Administration (ETA) Administers Job Training & Worker Dislocation Programs Employment services programs Unemployment Insurance (UI) benefits Delivered through workforce development system grants Job training Employment LMI (state, local, regional)
United States Department of Labor BLS & ETA Data Contain Current Employment Statistics (CES) Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) UI Covered Employment (Old name: ES 202) Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Occupational Projections Industry Projections Wage & Employment Estimates
Other Very Useful Sites O*Net Online My Skills My Future Longitudinal Employer Household Dynamics (LEHD) On The Map (consists of Census & QCEW)
Current Employment Statistics (CES) Establishment Payroll Survey 150,000 employers surveyed monthly Employment by industry NAICS (North American Industry Classification System) SIC (Standard Industry Classification used prior to 1998) Total wages by industry Reported by multiple geography National State Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA)
CES on BLS Click/Enter the link to find any state http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost?sm Example: Manufacturing Sector in Iowa Employment January 2011 was 203,600 Employment January 2021 was 218,400 Increased by 14,800 or 7.3%
Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Occupation Survey (200,000 employers every 6 mo.) Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) Code Employers who pay Unemployment Insurance (UI) taxes Estimated employment & wages State, Region, MSA, & County level Uses Analysis of occupational employment Analysis of occupational wages Development of occupational projections Vocational counseling and planning
Iowa OES Wage Tables/Data Search Occupation by Geography: • Statewide • Metropolitan Area • Workforce Region • Balance of State • Northeast • Northwest • Southeast • Southwest http://www.iowaworkforcedevelopment.gov/iowa-wage-report
OES on BLS Search Occupation Nationally: • Occupational Category • Occupation Specific • Wages • Top Industries • Location Quotient http://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oessrcst.htm
Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Current Population Survey (CPS) 50,000 households nationwide monthly Representing 90,000 individuals Workers 16 and above Unemployment & employment rate Uses Evaluate the unemployment rate Evaluate employment/labor force data by area (migration)
LAUS on BLS Analyzed by the following Areas: • Census regions and divisions • States • Metropolitan Statistical Areas and Metropolitan NECTAS (New England City and Town Areas) • Metropolitan Divisions and NECTA Divisions • Micropolitan Statistical Areas and Micropolitan NECTAs • Combined Metropolitan Statistical Areas and Combined NECTAs • Small Labor Market Areas • Counties and county equivalents • Cities of 25,000 population or more • Cities and towns in New England regardless of population
Iowa LAUS Search by County: • Employed • Labor Force • Employed and Available for Employment • Unemployed • Unemployment Rate (%) http://www.iowaworkforcedevelopment.gov/local-area- unemployment-statistics
Occupational or Industry Projections Occupational or Industry Projections Long Term (2018 – 2028) (usually updated every other year, 2 year lag) Employment by SOC job title or NAICS Code Employment change (numeric, percent, and average openings) Short Term (2020 – 2022 – updated quarterly) Data contents, same as above
Occupational Projections http://www.projectionscentral.com/ Projections Managing Partnership
Industry Projections Each state is unique for industry projections
Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) & Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) State/Federal Partnership with the US Census Bureau Demographic employment information Total Employment Net Job Flows Job Creation New Hires Separations Turnover Rate Average Monthly Earnings Average New Hire Earnings By State, Metro & County and sometimes Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) Region
LEHD/QWI – Participating States https://lehd.ces.census.gov/state_partners/
Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) Explorer https://qwiexplorer.ces.census.gov/static/explore.html#x=0&g=0
QWI – Workforce by Education Level & Gender http://qwiexplorer.ces.census.gov/#x=0&g=0
OnTheMap http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/
OnTheMap http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/
OnTheMap
Work and Home Area Profiles
Home Area Profile Total Primary Jobs Jobs by Worker Race 2018 2018 Count Share Count Share Total Primary Jobs 59,260 100.0% White Alone 56,327 95.1% Black or African American Alone 1,589 2.7% Jobs by Worker Age American Indian or Alaska Native Alone 116 0.2% 2018 Asian Alone 619 1.0% Count Share Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander Alone 117 0.2% Age 29 or younger 14,470 24.4% Two or More Race Groups 492 0.8% Age 30 to 54 29,184 49.2% Age 55 or older 15,606 26.3% Jobs by Worker Ethnicity 2018 Jobs by Earnings Count Share 2018 Not Hispanic or Latino 57,997 97.9% Count Share Hispanic or Latino 1,263 2.1% $1,250 per month or less 12,116 20.4% $1,251 to $3,333 per month 19,411 32.8% Jobs by Worker Educational Attainment More than $3,333 per month 27,733 46.8% 2018 Count Share Jobs by NAICS Industry Sector Less than high school 3,564 6.0% 2018 High school or equivalent, no college 14,428 24.3% Count Share Some college or Associate degree 15,164 25.6% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 416 0.7% Bachelor's degree or advanced degree 11,634 19.6% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 93 0.2% Educational attainment not available (workers aged 29 or younger) 14,470 24.4% Utilities 212 0.4% Construction 2,742 4.6% Jobs by Worker Sex Manufacturing 8,776 14.8% 2018 Wholesale Trade 2,952 5.0% Count Share Retail Trade 6,789 11.5% Male 29,563 49.9% Transportation and Warehousing 2,348 4.0% Female 29,697 50.1% Information 1,153 1.9% Finance and Insurance 4,125 7.0% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 467 0.8% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 2,332 3.9% Management of Companies and Enterprises 900 1.5% Administration & Support, Waste Management and Remediation 2,348 4.0% Educational Services 5,736 9.7% Health Care and Social Assistance 8,893 15.0% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 1,186 2.0% Accommodation and Food Services 4,325 7.3% Other Services (excluding Public Administration) 1,503 2.5% Public Administration 1,964 3.3%
Inflow/Outflow
NEW – Post-secondary Employment Outcomes (PSEO) State/Federal Partnership with the US Census Bureau Institution Degree Level Graduating Cohort Earnings by Cluster 1, 5, and 10 years post grad
Helpful Occupational Information http://online.onetcenter.org/
Related Jobs http://www.onetonline.org/find/quick?s=welder
Summary Report
Wage & Employment Trends http://www.careeronestop.org/
mySkills myFuture http://www.myskillsmyfuture.org/
Listings for Related Jobs
Employer Locator (50 mile radius) Employer search engine By Employer Name By Industry Title By Industry Code Occupation Type in a keyword and click “continue” List of employers Click on each for detail Map the location https://www.careeronestop.org/Toolkit/Jobs/find-businesses.aspx
Occupation Locator Employer search engine By Employer Name By Industry Title By Industry Code Occupation Type in a keyword and click “continue” List of employers Click on each for detail Map the location
Connecting Workforce, Education, and Economic Development How are states bringing it all together?
Educational Attainment Goals • Why did this come about? ₋ What % of jobs will require some postsecondary training (beyond high school) by 2025. ₋ Where are we at as a state in meeting the needs of the employers? ₋ Types of training needed (vary state to state)? ₋ How do we connect… People to Training to Jobs
Measurement of Jobs • Measurement is documented by state • “Ranking of the States” produced by Georgetown’s Center on Education and the Workforce ₋ Includes jobs in all industries ₋ Based on current, past, and projected job growth https://cew.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/OCLMStates_FR_3.pdf
https://cew.georgetown.edu/states-initiative/
Measurement of People • Measurement based on American Community Survey ₋ Includes people 25 to 64 years old ₋ Includes Associate Degree or higher ₋ Trend data is available • Drawback ₋ Does not include all postsecondary training ₋ Diplomas, Certificates, Certification, Licensure
http://strongernation.luminafoundation.org/report/2018/#nation
How can I get a competitive edge? • Develop customized surveys • Provide results specific to the industry or cluster • Include the most requested information • Wages • Experience/skills • Availability of labor • Commuting area you draw from • Training availability • Keep it current!!!
Case Study Scenario Example of NCWE Company Prospect Recruitment Preparation
Case Study Scenario • Company NCWE • Identify Competition • Identify Current Workforce • Identify Demand • What Wages • Identify Training Programs
What do we know about the company workforce needs? • NCWE Company • Trucking Company • Will employ approximately 50 people • Management will be covered • Needs warehouse and truck driver workforce
• What does the workforce look like in my region (Dubuque, IA)? • Demographics • Industry • Projected Job Growth
Highest Growth Jobs in Region $15/hour or higher (median wage) By Number By Percent • Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers • Phlebotomists • Laborers & Freight Stock • Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary • Office Clerks • Nurse Practitioners • Customer Service Reps • Substance Abuse & Behavioral Counselors • Medical Assistants • Bookkeeping, Accounting Clerks • Market Research Analysts • Sales Reps, Wholesale & Manufacturing • Financial Managers • Registered Nurses • Physical Therapists
NAICS code for company Industry Classification • Enter company type in “Keyword Search” to find the code • Click on the code for definition https://www.census.gov/naics/
Industry to Occupation Matrix • What jobs make up this industry? • Search for NAICS Code previously identified What Jobs will Be in demand https://www.bls.gov/emp/tables/industry-occupation-matrix-industry.htm
Occupational Makeup of Industry
Top Industries for Heavy Truck Drivers – Staffing Patterns Staffing Patterns show what occupations are within each industry and the number of employed within each industry. Helps to determine where the majority of openings may be located by business type.
Businesses by Industry Is there competition from current business? Current Competition in Region Click on the business name for contact information. https://www.careeronestop.org/Toolkit/Jobs/find-businesses.aspx
Occupations across industries • What other businesses in my region employ people in these jobs?
Industry Growth/Decline • If other industries are declining that employ people with these skills, there may be additional trained workers available. Industry growth & Decline
Wages & Training Options
Summary • This company will have jobs that are growing in my region • I have some competition in my region from other businesses • I also have some industries that are declining that may have workers • Wages are great for these jobs • There are training institutions in my region • There are grads from the colleges in my region • I have potential workers leaving the region
What would you do? Is EDI company a good fitDiscussion……. for you region?
Questions & Contact Information Paula Nissen, Education Analyst Paula.Nissen2@iowa.gov (515) 418-8273 Iowa Department of Education Community College Division 400 East 14th Street – Grimes Building Des Moines, Iowa 50319
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