Logistics & Warehousing Market in India Outlook Update- Q2 2020 June 2020 - Eninrac

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Quarterly Market Observatory

Logistics & Warehousing Market
in India Outlook Update
– Q2 2020
June 2020
The Eighty – 20
                                                                                                                 of Industry:
                                                                                                                            What Matters?

Leading                                                               Impact of Covid-19 pandemic on the supply chain
                                                                                    disruptions in India
Edge
                                                                                    Logistics - transportation
Supply shock due to shut down of manufacturing
facilities disrupted the logistics and warehousing
segment in India; revival on cards in near future
                                                                 Overall container         The capping of               Railways incur ₹450
As the imposition of the lockdowns and the spread of Covid-      volume slowed             airfares by the              crore loss, around 7
19 disrupted the manufacturing facilities worldwide, the         down to 3.5 per cent      government may               million cancelled tickets
supply shock triggered the ripple effect on logistics and        in Feb-April as           further hurt carriers        due to COVID-19
warehousing segment across the globe. Moreover, India too        against 11 per cent       who are estimated to
has not escape the wrath of the virus and affected the           growth in the             be incurring daily           More than 50% of the
logistics segment. Notably, overall container volume slowed      corresponding             losses of ₹70-90             50 lakh trucks are
down to 3.5 per cent in Feb-April as against 11 per cent         period of FY19            crore                        already off the road due
growth in the corresponding period of FY19. In addition,                                                                to the unavailability of
Railways incur INR 450 crore loss as movement of                                                                        drivers.
                                                               Level of           High          Medium
passengers has been suspended. Also, the freight corridors     Impact
impacted due to shutting down of manufacturing industries.
Furthermore, the largest hit sector is aerospace sector as                                         Source: eninrac consulting & Channel checks

Indian aviation industry could face INR 24,000 crore revenue
loss. On the other hand, the warehousing segment is likely                Supply Chain has been disrupted all around the world due to
expected to grow quicker than other segments as investment                pandemic Covid-19. India too has not escape the wrath of the virus
deals of almost USD 600 million are underway in the                       and supply chain disruptions have kicked-in during Q1 2020 and has
                                                                          started moving towards the normal track in Q2 2020.
warehousing space owing to greater attention to local
sourcing in order to reduce the imports majorly from China.
Numbers to Focus                                       Key Features                                            Deployment
Upon – Q1 2020                                         Expected                                                Trends - Projects

   China supplies 70% of active                                                                                01 Land acquisition to take off
   pharmaceutical ingredients (API)                                                                            for warehousing project at
   requirement for the India                                                                                   Jewar Airport
                                                      As Covid-19 Disrupts
   The severe disruptions in China were               Global Supply Chains, Will                               The Zurich Airport International AG, on
   having a ripple effect on global trade flows.      Companies Turn to India?                                 November 29, was selected as the
   This has led to reduction of inventory                                                                      concessionaire for developing the
   buffers and left no room for adequate                                                                       greenfield Jewar airport in the NCR
                                                      China is falling in attractiveness,                      region. Early stage activities such as
   buffers or safeguards. The vulnerabilities of
                                                      what is filling its place? Given                         land acquisition may take off first,
   this system has been brutally exposed by
   Covid-19. This includes pharmaceuticals            amount of dependence on China,                           particularly for the purpose of
   (China supplies almost 70 per cent of              the only alternative country that can                    warehousing and supply chain
   active pharmaceutical ingredients (API)            have the scale, the skills and the
   requirement for the industry                       space to service American demand                          02 Decline in Coal imports
                                                      effectively is India.                                     as supply chain disrupted
    Warehousing Demand In                                                                                       due to economic slowdown
    8 Major Cities Drops 29%     Traction of Organised warehousing (in %) in the Indian market
    In Jan-Mar, New Supply                                                                                      The ongoing slowdown in coal imports
    Down 14%                 The 3PL and e-                                                                     is most likely attributable to the
                                                                   12%                                          economic slowdown in recent months
                                      commerce                                                 3 PL
                                                                                                                which has brought down the overall
    Warehousing space leasing                                 8%                               E-Commerce
                                      players are the                         40%              Manufacturing    demand. Power demand and
    fell 29 per cent to 5.9 million
    sq ft and new supply              biggest               20%
                                                                                               FMCG             consequently thermal power
                                                                                               Others           generation has witnesses a decline in
    declined 14 per cent to 9         adopters of                     20%                                       the last three to four months which
    million sq ft in the first
    quarter of this calendar year
                                      organised                                                                 along with the slowdown in other
                                      warehousing                                                               consuming industries is resulting in the
    across eight major cities in
                                                                                                                fall in coal demand supply gap.
    the country amid
    coronavirus outbreak                                   Source: eninrac consulting, Channel Checks
Warehousing Demand Shaken, but Recoveries Could be Quick
                                                                        AbsorptionShare
                                                                                   Share
                                                                                                                Quarterly Update
                                                                       Absorption
                          Absorption Share
                                                                                                                – Q2 CY 2020
         Sectors         Pre         Post               Sectors          Pre         Post
                        Corona      Corona                              Corona      Corona
                                                                                                                  Supply Chain has been disrupted
                                                         Ecomm- Non      14%                                       all around the world due to
          Retail           7%                            Essential                                                 pandemic Covid-19. India too has
                                                                                                      Level of     not escape the wrath of the virus.
          FMCG                                                                                         Share       Warehousing Demand Shaken,
                           8%                            3PL-FMCG        12%
                                                                                                                   but Recoveries Could be Quick.
                                                                                                       Decrease
                                                                                                                   3PL, e-commerce & FMCG for
          Manufacturing    20%                           Pharma/Agri      5%                             Stable    essential goods / services &
                                                                                                                   Pharma likely to recover the
                                                                                                        Increase   quickest.
          Ecomm-
          Essential
                           6%                            3PL-Auto        12%
                                                                                                   Source: eninrac reearch & Channel checks

        Key Investments –                                         Key Trends –                                            Key Signpost – Industrial
        Q2 2020                                                   Logistics & Warehousing Market in                       Warehouse to see sunlight
                                                                  India Q2 2020

 The Government of India’s has decided to promote       The warehousing and logistics asset class could       •   Many warehousing complexes are expected
  domestic manufacturing of critical Key Starting         be among the fastest to recover from the                  to come up across India, more so in the
                                                          coronavirus crisis. Warehousing and logistics             post-covid world. Many e-commerce
  Materials and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients
                                                          industry will grow at 35% in 2021 compared with           categories are expected to boom, as people
  (APIs) in the country. The approved scheme will
                                                                                                                    make a behavioural shift from buying offline
  promote Bulk Drug Parks with financial investment       the earlier industry demand forecast of 25%.
                                                                                                                    to shopping online.
  of ₹3,000 crore in the next five years.
                                                         Online grocery platform bigbasket is looking at       •   Over the next couple of years, industrial
 India could witness deals of nearly $600 million in     hiring 10,000 people for its warehouses and last-         warehousing is expected to see a sunrise
  warehousing if present-day negotiations go to plan.     mile delivery to clear pending orders quickly and         as (as some expect) manufacturing shifts
  Manufacturing, third-party logistics and ecommerce      meet the spike in orders on account of the                out of China. India wants to be prepared—
  companies have signed over 3 Mn sq. Feet of new         nationwide lockdown.                                      developers, particularly. They are building
  warehousing contracts across six locations in the                                                                 warehouses at a frantic pace, often with
                                                                                                                    private equity (PE) booty.
  April, while land acquisition of 3,000 acres for
  construction of new warehouses is currently under
  various stages of closing.
OBSERVATORY
QUARTERLY MARKET                                                                                           Logistics & Warehousing
                              Contents &                                                                   Market in India Outlook
                                                                                                           Update – Q2 2020
                              Coverage – Q2 2020

                    01 This Quarter                              02 Key Features                           03 Leading Edge

                    The section shall showcases the              Key features shall cover the              The current affairs leading business
                    major highlights for logistics and           major strengths and                       impacts on logistics and warehouse
                    warehouse segment in India                   development map that the                  segment with insightful data analytics &
                    including investments, project               industry has shown over the               our exclusive ―Knowledge Grid‖ feeds
                    developments, policy & regulatory            quarter                                   covered in the section. Our analyst's
                    interface etc.                                                                         viewpoints with sharp edged objectives
                                                                                                           shall be central to the section

                                                                 05 The Eighty - 20 of
                   04 Numbers to Learn                                                                     06 Key Signposts
                                                                 Industry – What Matters?

                   The status of transportation segment (rail,   In this section the major factors which   The business factors which shall govern
                   road, air and ports) in India, number of      are acting as the growth catalysts /      the course of coming quarters of business
                   warehousing spaces available in India         barriers in the logistics and             and the industry response to the changes
                   Moreover, the numbers for deals secured       warehousing segment are highlighted       shall be the focus area of this segment
                   by logistics and warehouse companies in       inclusive of policies, regulations etc.
                   India

                                                                 08 Technology &                           09 Industry Activities &
                   07 Deployment Trends                          Price Trends                              Corporate Strategies

                   The pace of deployment of projects at         This section shall cover all the latest   All the industry order track & merger’s and
                   warehousing space levels along with           technology implementation and trends,     acquisition activities shall be tracked.
                   logistics segment growth covering issues      price benchmarks of logistics and         Fresh investments in logistics and
                   like investments, tenders and capacity        warehousing segment in India              warehousing sector as per players profiles
                   additions shall form part of this section                                               shall also be tracked in this section
OBSERVATORY
QUARTERLY MARKET                                                                           Logistics & Warehousing
                             Must                                                          Market in India Outlook
                                                                                           Update – Q2 2020
                             Buy For

                       EPC Players                                                Companies
                       Logistics Service Providers
                       Third Party Logistics Providers                            Mentioned
                       Building Construction Material Providers
                       Pre-Engineered Building Manufacturing Companies
                       Financial Bodies                                     Allcargo Logistics Ltd
                       E-Commerce Service Providers                         Agarwal Packers & Movers Ltd
                       Builders                                             Blue Dart Express Ltd
                       Consultants                                          Container Corporation Of India Ltd
                       Raw Material Suppliers                               DHL Express India Pvt Ltd
                       Real Estate Players                                  FedEx Express TSCS India Pvt Ltd
                       Government Bodies                                    First Flight Couriers Ltd
                                                                             Transport Corporation Of India Ltd
                                                                             Sical Logistics Ltd
                          For                                                Central Warehousing Corporation
                          Queries                                            Future Supply Chains
                                                                             Ekart
                   Research : Write to: connect@eninrac.com                  National Bulk Handling Corporation
                   and alternatively you may reach our                       DTDC
                   consultant at sumit.sethi@eninrac.com                     Khimji Poonja Freight Forwarders
                                                                             AWL India Pvt. Ltd.
                   Sales: Write to sales@eninrac.com and
                   alternatively you may reach our
                                                                             OmTrans Logistics Ltd
                   representative at nivi.bakhru@eninrac.com                 Wheelindia SCM Solutions Pvt. Ltd.
                                                                             Future Supply Chain Solutions
                   Please call at +91 120 – 4147 000 for any                 Mahindra Logistics
                   other queries                                             JUSDA Supply Chain Management
                                                                             TVS Supply Chain Solutions
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