KSA CONSTRUCTION OVERVIEW - Organised by - Created by - Intersec Saudi Arabia
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Overview of KSA’s Economic Outlook According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Saudi Arabia (KSA) has announced a bold reform program under its Vision 2030. Growth is expected to be robust over the medium-term as structural reforms are implemented (refer Figure 1). Risks are anticipated to arise from uncertainties regarding future oil prices and the impact on ongoing economic reforms. Moreover, KSA is expected to bring in additional revenues through new taxes and fees, including Value Added Tax (VAT), extra fees on expats working in the kingdom and potential additional costs imposed on foreign businesses. KSA Budget Outlook KSA’s 2018 budget is deemed the largest ever and the government is expected to spend US$ 261 Bn.. The budget provides a roadmap for the ongoing economic transformation directing at the direction of oil prices and energy equities. Analysts predict that the prime feature of the budget were the key focus on structural reforms accompanying rising spending patterns. In 2018, the government forecasts a deficit of US$ 52 Bn., which is equivalent to 7.3%. KSA’s public budget at a glance from 2015 to 2018 With KSA’s 2018 budget, the government is recommitting to investments in the future. The kingdom’s construction market is expected to show significant growth and offer lucrative potential due to its Vision 2030, NTP 2020, and ongoing reforms to diversify away from oil.
Figure 1 represents KSA’s *macroeconomic indicators Real GDP Growth Rate, 2015 – 2022 Inflation Rate, 2015 – 2022 (all figures in %) (all figures in %) 4.5 6 4.1 4 5 5 3.5 4 3.5 3 3 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.8 2 2 2 2 2 2 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.1 1 1 0 .5 0.1 -0.2 0 -1 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Current Account Balance % of GDP, 2015 – 2022 Population, 2015 – 2022 (all figures in %) (all figures in %) 4 40 35.046 35.747 1.616 33.025 33.685 34.359 2 1.302 32.377 1.219 31.743 0.637 1.155 31.016 0.397 30 0 -2 20 -4 -8.67 -6 10 -8 -4.26 -10 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 *Note: All figures are in annual percentage change; F: Forecasts. In January 2018, the IMF has recently raised its economic growth forecasts for KSA as oil prices rise. The government expects GDP to grow 1.6% in 2018 and 2.2 % in 2019. 1 SAR= USD 0.26652 Exchange rate taken. Source: IMF, October 2017.
Figure 2 represents KSA’s public budget at a glance from 2015 to 2018 Real GDP Growth Rate, 2015 –2020 Public Expenditure, 2015 – 2018 Value in US$ Billion Value in US$ Billion 240 280 220 208.68516 185.49792 270 200 259.857 260.65656 180 260 162.04416 160 250 246.79752 138.32388 140 240 120 100 230 221.2116 80 220 60 210 40 200 10 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 Budge Deficit, 2015 –2018 Budget Allocations, 2018 - 20 A 21% Military -40 B 20% Education -51.9714 C 15% Health Social Development -60 -61.2996 D 11% Economic Resources and Public Programs -80 -82.88772 E 10% Security and Regional Administration -97.81284 F 9% General Items -100 G 6% Infrastructure and Transport -120 H 5% Municipality Services -140 I 3% Public Administration 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: Albilad Capital’s report on Saudi Arabia Economy, December 2017.
Classification of KSA Construction Market The construction market in this report comprises of the building, infrastructure and energy markets. Figure 3 represents the classification of KSA construction market Building sector: Infrastructure sector: Energy sector: Residential, commercial, mixed Roads, bridges, railways, Oil & gas and power use, airports, sports facilities, ports, wastewater and & water hotels & recreational facilities, sewarage healthcare, education facilities and industrial projects Overview of KSA Construction KSA Contractor Awards by Sector, 2015 – 2018 Value in US$ Billion Contractor Awards 35,000 30,000 KSA’s contractor awards across the building, infrastructure and energy sectors are forecast to increase from US$ 34,151 Mn. in 2017 to US$ 40,068 Mn. in 2018. All companies that are 25,000 working on contracts with government departments in KSA will need to modify their bills to include the 5% VAT. 20,000 The building construction sector is expected to register the highest contractor awards 15,000 followed by the energy and infrastructure sectors in 2018 (refer Figure 4). Increase in population growth, urbanisation, and tourism are expected to drive growth in the building 10,000 sector especially in the residential and leisure markets. According to Oxford Business Group, 5,00 the government is stepping up investment in KSA’s transport infrastructure, fast-tracking key projects and creating new opportunities for service providers. Transport infrastructure 2015 2016 2017 2018 gains prominence in the Vision 2030 and National Transformation Programme (NTP) as Buildings 23,582 29,827 14,701 18,022 vital to economic growth. In 2018, the government has allocated 6% of its budget towards Infrastructure 5,515 3,249 4,595 5,786 transport and infrastructure. Energy 20,902 17,869 14,855 16,260 Figure 4 represents KSA’s building, infrastructure and energy construction contractor awards from 2015 to 2018 in US$ Mn. Source: Ventures ONSITE Projects Intelligence Database: www.venturesonsite.com
Landmark Project Announcements in 2017 • The US$ 500 Bn. NEOM city is 26,500 square kilometers (km) (10,230 square mile) zone and will focus on industries KSA Boost for the Private Sector including energy and water, biotechnology, food, advanced manufacturing and entertainment. KSA government, the PIF and local and international investors are expected to invest over half a trillion dollars into it in the coming years. Phase 1 KSA is to inject US$ 19.2 Bn. into the private sector of the of the project is expected to be completed by 2025. economy in a bid to stimulate activity in the non-oil sector, which has been hit by the slowdown in government spending as a result • KSA has officially declared that public movie theaters will of oil revenue weakness. Housing and small business are major return to the kingdom for the first time in more than 30 beneficiaries of the stimulus package. Among the measures years in March 2018. Opening cinemas is anticipated to act announced in a decree by King Salman are a US$ 6 Bn. initiative as a catalyst for economic growth and diversification. By on subsidised loans to provide housing, a US$ 4 Bn. injection into developing the broader cultural sector, it will create new new building technologies, and a proposal valued at US$ 3 Bn. employment and training opportunities, as well as enrich to support the funding of big infrastructure initiatives. Other big KSA’s entertainment options. By 2030, there are projected to items include a US$ 0.4 Bn. initiative to support companies in be over 300 cinemas with more than 2,000 screens. financial distress, and a US$ 1.86 Bn. plan to refund government • KSA will allow women to drive effective from June 2018, fees to small and medium enterprises. ending a longstanding policy of the oppression of women in the highly conservative kingdom.
KSA’s Major Construction Projects Top projects expected to be awarded to contractors in 2018 Project Name Client KA-Care - Alternative Energy Projects - Nuclear Plants King Abdullah City of Atomic and Renewable Energy (KA-care) Jeddah Light Rail Transit Jeddah Metro Company; Ministry of Transport, Saudi Arabia King Abdullah City of Atomic and Renewable Energy (KA-Care) - King Abdullah City of Atomic and Renewable Energy (KA-care) Alternative Energy Projects - Phase 1 The Avenues Riyadh Shomoul Holding Company Offshore Berri Field Saudi Aramco 400 MW Wind Power in Dumat Al Janda Renewable Energy Project Development Office (REPDO) Ammonia Plant in Ras Al Khair Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) South Obhur Project - Housing Complex Project - BP-04 & PB-06 Al Raidah (Rayadah) Investment Company 300MW Solar Facility at Sakaka Ministry of Electricity & Water, Saudi Arabia King Fahd Causeway Passports Island (Saudi Sector) - Phase 2 King Fahd Causeway Authority
KSA’s Major Construction Projects KSA’s major projects awarded to contractors in 2017 Project Name Industry Client Project Value (US$ Mn.) Expansion of King Khalid International Airport - Buildings General Authority for Civil Aviation (GACA), Saudi Arabia 1,493 Terminal 1 & 2 Expansion of King Khalid International Airport - Buildings General Authority for Civil Aviation (GACA), Saudi Arabia 1,390 Terminal 3 & 4 AMC Long-Term Medical Care Hospital Buildings Anfas Medical Care (AMC) 1,300 Batterjee Medical City in Dammam Buildings Middle East Healthcare Company (MEAHCO) 1,070 Satellite Haradh Gas Compression Plants Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 1,000 (Sa-GCP) - Package 2 South Haradh Gas Compression Plants Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 1,000 (S-GCP) - Package 3 North Haradh Gas Compression Plants Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 1,000 (N-GCP) - Package 1 Hawiyah Gas Plant Expansion Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 1,000 Safaniyah - Phase 6 Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 1,000 Maritime Yard in Ras Al Khair - Lamprell LLC, Dubai, The National Shipping Infrastructure 780 Dredging & Reclamation Company of Saudi Arabia (Bahri), Saudi Aramco New International Airport in Hail Buildings General Authority for Civil Aviation (GACA), Saudi Arabia 500 Freeflow Pipelines of Haradh Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 500
KSA’s Major Construction Projects KSA’s major projects announced in 2017 Project Name Industry Client Project Value (US$ Mn.) Neom Business City Buildings Public Investment Fund (PIF) 500,000 The Red Sea Project Buildings Public Investment Fund (PIF) 8,000 Public Transportation Network in Taif Infrastructure Ministry of Transport, Saudi Arabia 7,199 New Jeddah Downtown Buildings Public Investment Fund (PIF) 4,800 New Energy Industrial City in Abqaiq Industrial Saudi Aramco 4,400 Al Faisaliah Housing and Administrative in Makkah Buildings Makkah Region Development Authority (MRDA) 4,000 Jizan Economic City (JEC) - Pure Terephthalic Acid (PTA) and Industrial Pan-Asia PET Resin (Guangzhou) Co, Saudi Aramco 3,800 Poly Ethylene Terephthalate (PET) Production Plant Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden), Eastern Waad Al Shimal Mining City - Industrial Province, Mosaic Company, Saudi Basic Industries 3,200 New Phosphate Mine and Industrial Complex Corporation (Sabic) Offshore Marjan Oil and Gas Field Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 3,000 Berri Increment Programme Oil & Gas Saudi Aramco 1,500 Redevelopment of East Wing of the Prophet’s Mosque Buildings Public Investment Fund (PIF) 1,200 Batterjee Medical City in Dammam Buildings Middle East Healthcare Company (MEAHCO) 1,070 Source: Ventures ONSITE Projects Intelligence Database: www.venturesonsite.com
Conclusion The large budget indicates that KSA is expecting significant revenue growth About Ventures in the years to come. The Vision 2030, NTP 2020 and private sector investment ONSITE boost, and ongoing reforms are likely Ventures ONSITE, a product by Ventures to be the growth drivers for KSA’s Middle East, has been a market leader in tracking construction market in 2018 and beyond. construction projects across the Middle East and According to Riyadh officials, KSA’s Africa region for more than 15 years. Ventures ONSITE economy is entering a post-oil era in provides accurate and detailed information on completed, which the kingdom’s mega-cities, which current, and future construction projects. are under construction, will provide the country’s future growth. Request a demo today and experience how Ventures ONSITE can help you Win More Construction Contracts!
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