July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary
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July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Tennessee Climate Office * East Tennessee State University Prepared by William Tollefson and Dr. Andrew Joyner With contributions by Climate Data Representatives across the state Monthly Temperature Summary: Mean temperatures for the month were generally close to normal, within 1°F of normal for most areas of the state; the Clarksville airport station exactly matched its 30-year climate normal mean temperature for July. However, those close to average monthly temperatures hide a couple major swings in daily temperatures. The monthly temperature ranged from a low of 37°F at Mt. LeConte (July 4) to a high of 101°F at Woodbury (July 29). Near the beginning of the month, over the 4th of July weekend many locations saw pleasantly cool temperatures with eight stations (all of which have at least 30-year station histories) setting daily record low temperatures and six stations tying daily record low temperatures on the 3rd or 4th. Then the second half of July brought hot and humid conditions to the state, with heat advisories issued for many locations, especially West Tennessee, where at least one county was under a heat advisory from July 24-27 and 29-31. Four weather stations (with at least 30-year station histories) set daily record highs, two others tied daily record highs, and four stations set daily record warm low temperatures July 29-30. 1
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Monthly Precipitation Summary: Precipitation was highly variable and spotty, with slow moving or meandering thunderstorms producing localized heavy rainfall, while nearby areas missed out on rainfall all together. The northern portion of the Tennessee Valley in East Tennessee was the driest region in the state, with the Knoxville Airport reporting only 1.7” of rain for the month, this was the second driest July in the last 30 years for the Knoxville airport, and the 7th driest July in the 151 years of weather data for the Knoxville area. Generally, the southern half of the state recorded above normal precipitation for the month. A bullseye of 300-400% normal monthly rainfall occurred over southern Wayne/Lawrence Counties, partly due to 3- 4” of rain produced by a thunderstorm on July 9. That storm produced flash flooding which led to the swift-water rescue of 22 kayakers on Shoal Creek. That part of the state recorded several heavy rain producing storms, leading to radar estimates of 10-15” of rainfall for the month. While some parts of Davidson county actually recorded slightly below normal rainfall for the month, the weather station at the Nashville airport recorded 8.74” of rain, making it the second wettest July in the city’s 148-year weather record, and the wettest July in the past 30 years. Of the monthly total, 3.13” was recorded on July 31, which set a daily rainfall record for the date (smashing the old record of 2.16” set in 1929). 2
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Station Data and Top Tenn. (warmest/wettest, coldest/driest stations of the month): Station data for airports across the state using WBAN weather stations, compared to 1991-2020 climate normals: Station Name Temperatures (˚F) Precipitation (inches) Averages Extremes Totals Max Min Mean Depart High Date Low Date Obs Depart %Norm Memphis 89.6 73.6 81.6 -1.2 96 7/31 65 7/4 8.08 3.26 168% Jackson 88.4 69.2 78.8 -0.7 95 7/31 56 7/4 6.54 2.17 150% Clarksville 87.6 68.8 78.2 0.0 94 7/28 58 7/3 4.30 0.56 115% Nashville 90.7 71.5 81.1 0.4 97 7/25 61 7/4 8.74 4.58 210% Chattanooga 89.2 71.2 80.2 -0.5 96 7/30 63 7/4 4.71 -0.37 93% Crossville 81.7 64.5 73.1 -0.7 88 7/28 52 7/3 5.62 0.16 103% Knoxville 88.5 68.9 78.7 0.2 97 7/28 59 7/4 1.70 -3.55 32% Bristol 88.0 65.1 76.5 0.9 93 7/28 54 7/3 4.02 -0.98 80% Departures and %Norm Key: Warmer than Normal, Cooler than Normal; Wetter than Normal, Drier than Normal Hottest Stations (highest maximum temperature) Highest Station Station Name Temperature Date Type (F) WOODBURY 1 WNW COOP 101 29 BRENTWOOD COOP 98 28 NASHVILLE INTL AP WBAN 97 25 KNOXVILLE AP WBAN 97 28 SHILOH NMP TENNESSEE RAWS 97 26 FRANKLIN SEWAGE PLANT COOP 97 29 NASHVILLE BERRY FIELD COOP 97 26 WARNER PARK COOP 97 24 CHATTANOOGA AP WBAN 96 30 MEMPHIS INTERNATIONAL AP WBAN 96 31 DYERSBURG III GOLF WBAN 96 30 MEMPHIS WFO WBAN 96 31 CAMDEN TOWER TENNESSEE RAWS 96 25 WAYNESBORO COOP 96 31 LEWISBURG EXP STA COOP 96 26 JACKSON EXP STA COOP 96 26 MILAN EXP STN COOP 96 28 OLD HICKORY DAM COOP 96 29 LEBANON 7 N COOP 96 7 CAMDEN COOP 96 26 MOUSETAIL LANDING STATE PARK COOP 96 31 SHELBY BOTTOMS NATURE CENTER COOP 96 29 th Fourteen stations tied for the 9 hottest temperature (96°F) 3
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Coldest Stations (lowest minimum temperature) Station Lowest Station Name Date Type Temperature (F) MT LECONTE COOP 37 4 NEWFOUND GAP COOP 46 3 ROAN MOUNTAIN 3SW COOP 48 4 CHEROKEE TENNESSEE RAWS 49 4 PULASKI WASTEWATER PLANT COOP 50 10 CLARKSVILLE WWTP COOP 50 4 TAZEWELL COOP 51 3 COALMONT COOP 51 4 CROSSVILLE AREA OFFICE TENNESS RAWS 51 3 CROSSVILLE 7 NW WBAN 51 3 Warmest Stations (highest mean temperatures) Mean Temperature Station Name Station Type (F) MEMPHIS INTERNATIONAL AP WBAN 81.6 NASHVILLE INTL AP WBAN 81.1 NASHVILLE BERRY FIELD COOP 80.9 MEMPHIS WFO WBAN 80.3 CHATTANOOGA AP WBAN 80.2 CAMDEN COOP 80.1 SHILOH NMP TENNESSEE RAWS 80 JACKSON EXP STA COOP 79.9 GERMANTOWN 4SE COOP 79.8 DYERSBURG III GOLF WBAN 79.7 Coolest Stations (lowest mean temperatures) Mean Temperature Station Name Station Type (F) MT LECONTE COOP 58.8 NEWFOUND GAP COOP 65.3 ROAN MOUNTAIN 3SW COOP 68.1 CHEROKEE TENNESSEE RAWS 69.8 TOWNSEND 5S COOP 71.5 GATLINBURG 2 SW COOP 71.8 COALMONT COOP 72.1 CROSSVILLE 7 NW WBAN 72.1 MONTEAGLE WBAN 72.9 CROSSVILLE MEMORIAL AP WBAN 73.1 4
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Wettest Stations (highest precipitation totals): Total Precipitation Station Name Station Type (in) FAIRFIELD GLADE 0.1 NNW CoCoRaHS 12.07 CLEVELAND 1.7 WNW CoCoRaHS 12.03 MEMPHIS 12.0 SE CoCoRaHS 12.02 CROSSVILLE 5.8 SSW CoCoRaHS 11.47 CROSSVILLE 4.7 S CoCoRaHS 11.13 PIKEVILLE 7.5 SW CoCoRaHS 10.27 MOUSETAIL LANDING STATE PARK COOP 10.25 HERMITAGE 3.2 SSW CoCoRaHS 10.23 CROSSVILLE 6.9 S CoCoRaHS 9.8 SOMERVILLE 10N COOP 9.65 Driest Stations (lowest precipitation totals): Total Precipitation Station Name Station Type (in) FRANKLIN 3.6 NW CoCoRaHS 1.38 MAYNARDVILLE 0.6 E CoCoRaHS 1.57 KNOXVILLE AP WBAN 1.7 FRANKLIN SEWAGE PLANT COOP 1.78 FRANKLIN 4.4 W CoCoRaHS 1.85 MORRISTOWN RADIO WCRK COOP 1.85 KNOXVILLE 5.3 SSW CoCoRaHS 1.92 OLD HICKORY DAM COOP 2 LIVINGSTON RADIO WLIV COOP 2.2 CENTERVILLE 9.5 N CoCoRaHS 2.23 The Month in Comparison: Comparing the mean monthly temperature and total precipitation for July 2021 at select automated airport weather stations to the conditions for July in the previous thirty years, it was the wettest July in that time period for Nashville, and second driest for Knoxville. The other airports were closer to average precipitation. Looking at temperatures it was a mixed bag as Memphis, Jackson, and Chattanooga recorded temperatures that were cooler than the average for July over the past thirty years, but Nashville, Knoxville, and Bristol/Tri-Cities recorded temperatures that were warmer than the average for July over the past thirty years. 5
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Drought Monitor: At the end of the month a small area of Moderate Drought (D1) was present in Grainger and Hamblen Counties in northeast Tennessee (covering 0.32% of the state), surrounded by an area of Abnormally Dry conditions (D0) that followed along the Holston River valley from the east side Knoxville up to the Virginia border on the west side of Kingsport (covering 3.87% of the state). During the month of July, abundant rainfall in West Tennessee cleared an area of Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions that stretched from northern Shelby County up to Obion County. This represents a general improvement in the coverage of Abnormally Dry conditions which reached a peak coverage of 13.73% of the state in the July 6 release of the U.S. Drought Monitor. 9
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Soil Moisture: At the end of July, the USDA reported that topsoil moisture was 3% very short, 20% short, 73% adequate, and 4% surplus across Tennessee. Subsoil moisture was reported as 2% very short, 19% short, 76% adequate, and 3% surplus across the state. Maps from the NASA SPoRT Land Information System show low soil moisture levels in much of East Tennessee, northern portions of Middle Tennessee, and in the Mississippi River counties of West Tennessee. The only areas with high percentiles (surplus) of soil moisture were in southwest Middle Tennessee, along the western bend of the Tennessee River, and in the southeast corner of the state. Most of the state also recorded a drying trend in soil moisture, with exceptions on the Cumberland Plateau and in some parts of the western Tennessee River Valley. 10
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Streamflow: Streamflow averaged over July shows the area of abnormally dry conditions in the northern Tennessee Valley of East Tennessee with below normal streamflow for the month. The Harpeth River at Bellevue in Davidson County also averaged below normal streamflow, since it was downstream of the drier than normal conditions of central Williamson County and southern Davidson County. Although this area recorded heavy rains at the end of the month, this was not enough to bring the average streamflow for the month into the normal range. Otherwise streamflow was normal to above normal. With most gauges showing above normal flow along the East Tennessee mountains and in the southwest region of the state where most locations recorded above normal rainfall. 11
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Miscellaneous: Crop Conditions from USDA: During the first half of July, winter wheat harvests were completed in Tennessee, with good yields reported and 83% of the crop in good or excellent condition. For the second half of the month in West and Middle Tennessee armyworms were producing negative impacts on pastures, late planted wheat, soy beans, turf, and gardens. Many tomato producers in West Tennessee were harvesting tomatoes two to three weeks early due to insect pressures, after slow progress due to cool and wet weather in the beginning of the month. Dry weather was a major concern for agriculture across East Tennessee this month, with stress showing up in crops and cattle. Some cattle were being sold early due to short hay supplies and other producers are already feeding hay due to dry pastures. Across the state, hay and roughage supplies were rated as 2% very short, 9% short, 72% adequate, and 17% surplus at the end of the month. Fire Danger: The Interagency Fire Center outlook for August shows that all of Tennessee along with surrounding regions will have below normal potential for significant wildland fires. 12
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Story of the Month: The main stories of July were the smoke and air quality issues and the heat wave that impacted the state during the second half of the month. Air quality alerts were issued for the major metro areas across the state and smoky/hazy conditions were reported for several days. This smoke and haze came largely from the large fires impacting the western US and Canada, as the jet stream pushed plumes of smoke from the West and Canada down into the Eastern US. This combined with high pressure in the region that allowed that smoke to push down closer to the ground, impacting surface air quality in Tennessee in the later parts of July. 13
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary 14
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary As the jet stream shifted, moving the smoky conditions farther north, it also allowed for high heat and humidity to move into Tennessee for the last week of July. Heat advisories were issued across the state, with West Tennessee having the longest lasting heat wave, with at least one county under a heat advisory July 24-27 and July 29-31. Their heat wave peaked on July 31, with heat index values pushing up over 105°F for many locations, the ASOS station at Millington Regional Airport in northern Shelby County reported a peak heat index value of 121°F (combining temperatures in the mid-90s with a dew point temperature that reached 80°F)! 15
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary 16
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Storm Reports: *Storm Reports are based on filtered NOAA Storm Prediction Center data or local NWS storm reports. Future quality control checks may change the official record of severe events, please see spc.noaa.gov for any updates. There were seven days in July with severe weather reports, with no tornadoes, 35 reports of severe wind damage, and no reports of hail 1-inch or larger in diameter. The majority of severe storm reports came on July 31, with 26 of the 35 reports of severe wind damage occurring on this one day. July 8: Wind: Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) 2E POWERLINES DOWN ALONG THE 300 BLOCK OF 4:05 -- MADISON 35.72 -88.93 ADAIR ASHPORT ROAD. (MEG) July 10: Wind: Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) TREE DOWN ON EAST ROAD IN 5:50 -- FRIENDSHIP CROCKETT 35.91 -89.24 FRIENDSHIP. (MEG) 17
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) TREE DOWN KEY CORNER IN BROWNSILLE. 6:03 -- BROWNSVILLE HAYWOOD 35.59 -89.25 (MEG) 6:11 -- DYER GIBSON 36.07 -88.99 SEVERAL TREE LIMBS DOWN (MEG) 1 NE TREE DOWN NORTHEAST OF GADSDEN 6:15 -- CROCKETT 35.79 -88.97 GADSDEN (MEG) July 11: Wind: Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) POWER OUTAGES REPORTED IN OAK RIDGE BY 5 NNE LOCAL MEDIA ASSOCIATED WITH A 0:50 -- OAK ANDERSON 36.02 -84.25 THUNDERSTORM. WIND GUST OF 30 MPH RIDGE OBSERVED AT KOQT. TIME ESTIMATED. (MRX) 18
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary July 13: Wind: Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN IN THE 3 NE 17:19 -- MACON 36.59 -86.2 HAWKINS RD AND TRAMMEL CREEK RD AREA WESTMORELAND (OHX) July 26: Wind: Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) DAMAGE TO HOME SIDING... OUTBUILDING DESTROYED... A/C UNIT PUSHED OFF 2 WSW 20:25 -- DAVIDSON 36.23 -86.66 FOUNDATION. MICROBURST SIGNATURE... BUT LAKEWOOD 40 MPH MAX FROM RADAR. DAMAGE CONCENTRATED ON HUDSON ROAD. (OHX) 19
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary July 30: Wind: Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) 1 WSW TREE DOWN ON POWER LINES AT 1518 21:35 -- LAWRENCE 35.43 -87.32 SUMMERTOWN TURNPIKE (OHX) July 31: Wind: Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) MULTIPLE TREES ON POWERLINES. TIME 0:12 -- SPRINGFIELD ROBERTSON 36.5 -86.88 ESTIMATED FROM RADAR (OHX) A FEW TREES DOWN IN THE 10 SSE 0:32 -- MONTGOMERY 36.43 -87.28 SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CLARKSVILLE COUNTY. (OHX) 3 WSW TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ALONG 0:40 -- CHEATHAM 36.26 -87.11 ASHLAND CITY HWY 49. (OHX) TREES ON POWERLINES. TIME 0:40 -- WHITE HOUSE ROBERTSON 36.46 -86.67 ESTIMATED FROM RADAR (OHX) 4 NW BELLE SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN BELLS BEND AT 1:30 -- DAVIDSON 36.15 -86.91 MEADE 3964-4001 OLD HICKORY BLVD (OHX) 20
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) FROM EM...NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE 2:12 -- OAK HILL DAVIDSON 36.08 -86.79 COUNTY. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR. (OHX) TREES DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES. 2:20 -- DOVER STEWART 36.48 -87.84 TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (OHX) 4 NW TREE ON POWER LINES ON RAMBO 2:43 -- DYER 36.08 -89.43 DYERSBURG ROAD. (MEG) NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE 2:48 -- BLUE GOOSE HENDERSON 35.7 -88.58 ENTIRE COUNTY. (MEG) LARGE BRANCHES DOWN NEAR 2:50 -- 1 E GATES LAUDERDALE 35.84 -89.39 LAWRENCE ROAD (MEG) 3:10 -- BURNS DICKSON 36.05 -87.31 TREE DOWN IN BURNS. (OHX) NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES WERE KNOCKED DOWN IN THE 1W 3:15 -- GIBSON 35.82 -88.92 HUMBOLDT AREA. WIND DAMAGE ALSO HUMBOLDT OCCURRED IN THE BRAZIL AREA AND THE GIBSON WELLS AREA. (MEG) 3:20 -- BON AQUA HICKMAN 35.95 -87.33 TREE DOWN ACROSS MILL RD. (OHX) TSPOTTER REPORT OF A TREE DOWN AT 1 E EAST 3:39 -- DAVIDSON 36.17 -86.74 THE ENTRANCE OF SHELBY PARK ON NASHVILLE 19TH. (OHX) TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 70 1 WSW CEDAR BETWEEN THE MIDDLE FORK OF THE 3:41 -- CARROLL 35.81 -88.62 GROVE FORKED DEER RIVER AND FRY ACCESS ROAD. (MEG) TREES DOWN ALONG FITZROY CIRCLE 3:45 -- SPRING HILL MAURY 35.74 -86.92 AND STEWART CAMPBELL POINT (OHX) TREE DOWN ACROSS HWY 70 SOUTH OF 3:45 -- SPRING CREEK MADISON 35.77 -88.68 SPRING CREEK (MEG) NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE 3:48 -- BLUE GOOSE HENDERSON 35.7 -88.58 ENTIRE COUNTY. (MEG) 4 WSW TREE FELL ON A HOUSE. POWER IS OUT 3:53 -- WILLIAMSON 35.72 -86.72 EAGLEVILLE IN THE AREA. (OHX) TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ON 4:11 -- 2 NW REAGAN HENDERSON 35.54 -88.37 DYERS CHAPEL ROAD. (MEG) 1 SSW LARGE TREE DOWN ON BELMONT 4:37 -- BEDFORD 35.48 -86.45 SHELBYVILLE AVENUE (OHX) ***CORRECTED FOR TIME*** DISPTACH REPORT OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN 4:42 -- LINDEN PERRY 35.61 -87.84 LINDEN AND LOBELVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR. (OHX) SEVERAL TREES DOWN WITHIN THE CITY OF FAYETTEVILLE... INCLUDING A TREE 4:58 -- FAYETTEVILLE LINCOLN 35.15 -86.57 DOWN ON A TRUCK. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (HUN) REPORT OF LARGE TREE DOWN 4:58 -- MANCHESTER COFFEE 35.47 -86.08 BLOCKING ALVIN COCKER ROAD. (OHX) 21
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary Time Speed Location County Lat Lon Comments (UTC) (mph) COUPLE OF TREES DOWN ALONG 5:21 -- 1 N SEWANEE FRANKLIN 35.22 -85.92 ROARKS COVE ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (HUN) 1 SE 2 TREES DOWN NEAR BALLPLAY ROAD. 6:40 -- MONROE 35.51 -84.34 MADISONVILLE (MRX) 22
July 2021 Tennessee State Climate Summary CPC Outlooks for the Next Month: The NOAA Climate Prediction Center Outlooks for August indicate that West Tennessee has slightly better chances of observing below normal temperatures for the month, while the rest of the state has equal chances of below normal, above normal, or near normal temperatures. All of Tennessee is shown with slightly better chances of observing above normal precipitation for August. 23
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