Ireland Strategic Investment Fund - H1 2021 Update Incorporating Economic Impact Report FY 2020 - Ireland ...

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Ireland Strategic Investment Fund - H1 2021 Update Incorporating Economic Impact Report FY 2020 - Ireland ...
Ireland Strategic Investment Fund
                                        H1 2021 Update
          Incorporating Economic Impact Report FY 2020

                                           Published
                                    7 September 2021
Ireland Strategic Investment Fund - H1 2021 Update Incorporating Economic Impact Report FY 2020 - Ireland ...
Contents   1. H1 2021 ISIF Performance Update

           2. FY 2020 Economic Impact Report

           3. Additional Information
H1 2021 ISIF Performance
                  Update
Key Points

               Strong ISIF Portfolio investment return of +5.2% H1 2021, over €450m in investment gains. Over €2.2bn
 1             since inception (Dec 2014).

            Irish Portfolio €1.4 billion value added and Global Portfolio over €800 million value added since inception
 2
            (Dec 2014).

            ISIF made 10 investments in H1 2021 bringing total ISIF commitments to €5.2 billion across 151 investments.
 3          ISIF investment has catalysed a further €8.9 billion of co-investment commitments since inception - a multiple
            of 1.7x the amount invested by ISIF.

            Over 48,855 jobs supported and over €1.2 billion Gross Value Added to the Irish economy through ISIF capital
 4          (to end 2020).

  Note: All financials as at 30 June 2021 are preliminary and unaudited
ISIF Overview
     as at end June 2021

                                                       Disc                                               Irish Portfolio
                                     folio                 ret
                                    t                         i                                             €3.6bn
                                  or

                                                                   on
                              P

                                                                     ary
                          ted
                     Direc

                                                                         Portfolio
                                             ISIF
                                         €14.3bn
               5.1bn

                                                                        €9
              €

                                                                          .2
                                                                                               €5.7 bn
                                                                            b
                                                                    n
                                                                                                         Global Portfolio
                                                                                     €4.8 bn
                                                     €3.4 bn                                                €5.6bn
                         €2.2 bn
                                                                                               €3.3 bn
                                                                                     €2.7 bn
                                                     €2.2 bn
                         €1.4 bn

Note: All financials as at 30 June 2021 are preliminary and unaudited
ISIF performance overview - end June 2021

                                           Irish Portfolio €1.4 billion of value added since inception (Dec 2014) Return of +7.0%
                                           H1 2021, +9.1% p.a. since inception

                                           Global Portfolio over €800 million of value added since inception (Dec 2014) Return
                                           of +4.0% H1 2021, +2.2% p.a. since inception

                                           ISIF Portfolio over €2.2 billion of value added since inception (Dec 2014) Return of
                     +                     +5.2% H1 2021, +4.1% p.a. since inception

                                        ISIF made 10 investments in H1 2021 bringing total ISIF commitments to €5.2 billion
                                        across 151 investments. ISIF investment has catalysed a further €8.9 billion of co-
                                        investment commitments since inception - a multiple of 1.7x the amount invested by ISIF.

Note: All financials as at 30 June 2021 are preliminary and unaudited
Over €200m committed during H1 2021
Investments include

      €13M            €15M           €20M                €42M                   €3M              €3M

                      €15M           €16M               €25M                    €50M

                        Aviation   Technology   SME Lending     Growth Equity          Venture
ISIF Capital Unlocks Additional Co-Investment
                                                                            Total Investment Committed in Ireland €billion

€15

€10                                                                                                                                                €8.9 bn
                                                                                                                                       €8.6 bn
                                                                                                                             €8.4 bn
                                                                                                           €7.5 bn

                                                                                           €5.7 bn
 €5                                                                     €4.8 bn
                                             €3.4 bn
                                                                                                                                        €5.0 bn    €5.2 bn
                                                                                                                             €4.6 bn
                €2.2 bn                                                                                    €4.1 bn
                                                                                           €3.3 bn
                                                                        €2.7 bn
                                             €2.2 bn
                €1.4 bn
 €0
                  2014                         2015                      2016              2017            2018               2019     2020         2021

                                                                                                                                                  To 30 June
                                                                                                                                                    2021
                                                                         ISIF

                                                                         Third Party Co-Investors

Note: All Financials as at 30 June 2021 are preliminary and unaudited
FY 2020 Economic Impact Report
FY 2020 Economic Impact Metrics
Reflects detailed survey data for FY 2020. Given the quantum of surveys of investees, underlying investees of indirect investments, and
the comprehensive analysis completed, finalisation and publication of this economic impact data lags 6 months.

                                        Jobs Supported by ISIF capital: 48,855                                                                                                         •       During 2020, total jobs supported in the portfolio
                                                                                                                                                                                               (direct and indirect) has increased largely driven by
                                        YoY: +9,889 jobs                                                                                                                                       investments made under the PSRF strategy mandate

                                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                                                                                                       •       The year-on-year decline in GVA within the portfolio
                                        Gross Value Add (GVA): €1.277 billion                                                                                                                  has largely been driven by the addition of PSRF
                                                                                                                                                                                               stabilisation investments, many of which experience
                                        YoY: (€285) million                                                                                                                                    significant downward pressures on performance due
                                                                                                                                                                                               to COVID-19.

                                                                                                                                                                                               The portfolio has delivered a modest increase in
                                                                                                                                                                                       •
                                        Turnover: €3.5                                                   billion                                                                               turnover year-on-year, partially driven by the addition
                                                                                                                                                                                               of PSRF investments, and also as a result of some
                                        YoY: +€0.5 billion                                                                                                                                     downward COVID-19 pressures.

1 Gross Value Added (GVA) is the enterprise or sector level measure of goods or services produced which, when aggregated across all enterprises and adjusted for taxes and subsidies, equals Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
FY 2020 Economic Impact Metrics
Reflects detailed survey data for FY 2020. Given the quantum of surveys of investees, underlying investees of indirect investments,
and the comprehensive analysis completed, finalisation and publication of this economic impact data lags 6 months.

    • Increase in employment within the Dublin region                  Employment by Region: 60% Dublin / 40% ex-Dublin
        largely driven by the addition of stabilisation
        investments under PSRF.
                                                                       YoY: Increase to Dublin region

    •   The wage bill has remained relatively flat year-on-              Wage Bill: €1.3 billion
        year reflecting some minor falls in average salaries
        as well as modest growth in direct jobs.                         YoY: +€66 million

        Year-on-year, exports have declined from 28% to
    •                                                                     Exports: €824 million
        23% of turnover. PSRF investments record minimal
        exports and, therefore, do not have a material impact
        on this figure.                                                   YoY: (€10) million
Regional economic impact of investments
Geographically balanced, broadly in line with the regional economic activity*

                                                                                            3%        2%     6%
                                                                                             Jobs ISIF     GVA
                                                                                                  Capital
                               3%             6%    7%                                            Deployed
                                Jobs       ISIF     GVA
                                         Capital
                                         Deployed

                                                                                        60% 60%             40%
                                                                                         Jobs ISIF Capital GVA
                                                                                               Deployed

                              16% 18% 22%
                                Jobs      ISIF      GVA
                                        Capital
                                        Deployed
                                                                                18%    13%            27%
                                                                                Jobs   ISIF Capital   GVA
        *CSO Regional Split of GVA (2016)
                                                                                       Deployed
        Dublin 45% Leinster 19% Munster 24%
        Connacht 7% Ulster 5%
Employment supported by ISIF across the portfolio since inception
                                               48,855
                                                      Underlying Portfolio
                                                      + 2,935
                                                                             During 2020, the number of jobs
                                      38,967
                                                      PSRF Stabilisation     supported in the portfolio increased.
                                                      + 16,354               This was largely driven by the addition
                             32,068                                          of stabilisation investments made
                    30,786
                                                                             under the PSRF strategy mandate.

                                                      H1 2020                Changes in job numbers within the
           21,930                                     = 29,566               underlying portfolio reflect a number
                                                                             of exits, as well as a reduction in
 17,940                                                                      construction jobs - a direct
                                                                             consequence of lockdowns enforced
                                                                             during the COVID-19 pandemic.

 2015     2016      2017     2018     2019     2020
Additional Information
ISIF Overview

 During 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic created significant challenges for businesses in Ireland, and caused unemployment, global disruption
 and uncertainty.

 In response to this, in May 2020 the Minister for Finance announced the establishment within ISIF of a €2 billion Pandemic Stabilisation and
 Recovery Fund (PSRF) to invest in medium and large-scale businesses in Ireland impacted by COVID-19.

 Accordingly, ISIF adjusted its strategy to give priority to commercial investment in line with its statutory mandate to address the needs and
 critical gaps emerging in the economy.

 The underlying approach of the PSRF has been to invest on a commercial basis to support the economy moving from an initial stabilisation
 phase to a later recovery phase, before ultimately reverting to the priority themes in ISIF’s strategy.

 Underpinning this approach has been the principle that ISIF could best support economic activity in Ireland by enabling otherwise viable
 medium and large businesses to sustain themselves in the near-term, and for these businesses to deliver additionality through their ability to
 persist and support employment over the medium term.

 During the course of 2020, a number of stabilisation investments were made under the revised PSRF strategy mandate, in addition to priority
 theme investments already concluded in line with ISIF’s existing strategy.

 The FY2020 Economic Impact data presented within this report therefore reflects the combination of priority theme and PSRF investments
 made by ISIF throughout 2020.
Assumptions, Methodology and Disclaimer

The NTMA adopts a conservative approach to all data and in many cases excludes data where ISIF does have an impact but where it is difficult to quantify.

Assumptions and Methodology
  1. The NTMA relies on the data collected from investees. While economic impact data is somewhat complicated, the NTMA has adopted a structured approach to the collection and analysis of the data.
  2. Underlying investees are either direct or indirect (i.e., through funds). The economic impact data is gathered through a semi-annual survey of the direct and indirect underlying investees. Economic impact of an
     underlying investee is only included once – i.e., where ISIF has more than one indirect investment in an underlying investee, the duplicate economic impact is removed from the analysis.
  3. In cases where ISIF finances a specific project in a large entity, the NTMA only captures the economic impact for the project and not any benefits it may bring to the wider corporate entity.
  4. The Fund does not include the economic impact from investments ISIF has exited.
  5. There is some time lag between the commitment to an investment and the achievement of economic impact. Typically, economic impact is generated when there is a draw-down on committed capital and this
     can be some time after a commitment to an investment.
  6. The NTMA completes a sense check of all survey data; however, the NTMA is reliant on the underlying investees to provide accurate data and is not in a position to verify the data submitted.
  7. Survey data provided in USD or GBP has been converted to EUR using a 12-month average FX rate sourced from Central Bank of Ireland.
  8. The regional distribution of capital invested is weighted based on the capital invested as at 31 December 2020 and based on the underlying investees detailing the location/regional activities of the underlying
     investee/project.
  9. The regional distribution of underlying investees’ employment and gross value added is based on data provided by the underlying investees detailing the number of jobs and earnings generated regionally.
10. The majority of underlying investees provided the relevant data as at 31 December 2020 directly. There are some exceptional cases where data was unavailable so the following assumptions were applied:
          In a very small number of construction projects, a Construction Industry Federation multiplier was applied to the capital expenditure to estimate the number of employees.
          In the case of projects and businesses where third party/contracted headcount was provided but a wage bill was not available, an average wage based on CSO average earnings was applied to the third
          party/contracted headcount.
          In a very small number of cases, assumptions were based on relevant industry data such as Teagasc, IWEA and Bord Bia.
 11. In line with industry standards, a conservative indirect employment multiplier is applied to direct jobs. The NTMA calculation of employment multipliers is based on CSO methodology.
12. Exports for some investees are based on an estimate percentage of turnover – i.e., a reasonable expectation of exports has been created based on underlying business activity.

          Disclaimer: The information in this presentation is issued by the National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA) for informational purposes. The NTMA makes no warranty, express or implied, nor assumes any liability or
        responsibility for the accuracy, correctness, completeness, availability, fitness for purpose or use of any information that is available in this presentation nor represents that its use would not infringe other proprietary rights.
            The information contained in this presentation speaks only as of the particular date or dates included in the accompanying slides. The NTMA undertakes no obligation to, and disclaims any duty to, update any of the
                                                                 information provided. The contents of this presentation should not be construed as legal, business or tax advice.
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