HURRICANE LANE - INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY - WaterISAC
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INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY August 22, 2018; 1930 EDT HURRICANE LANE – INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY ASSESSMENT The Department of Homeland Security (DHS)/National Protection and Programs Directorate/National Risk Management Center (NRMC) assesses low to medium impacts to infrastructure on the Hawaiian Islands because of high winds and potential storm surge from Hurricane Lane. Regional impacts may occur, but no national impacts are anticipated. As of August 22, 2018,1400 EDT (0800 HST), Hurricane Lane is a powerful Category 4 hurricane located approximately 445 miles south-southeast of Honolulu, HI and moving toward the west-northwest at approximately 8 miles per hour (mph). Hurricane Lane is anticipated to move very close to or over the main Hawaiian Islands from Thursday, August 23, through Saturday, August 25. Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the hurricane’s center, and tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). Hurricane Lane is forecasted to slightly weaken but remain a dangerous hurricane as it approaches the Hawaiian Islands. Hurricane Lane is expected to produce 10 to 15 inches of rain over the Hawaiian Islands, with localized amounts in excess of 20 inches. FIGURE 1—HURRICANE LANE TRACK AND FORECAST CONE: CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER (CPHC) ADVISORY 32A, 1400 EDT (0800 HST), AUGUST 22, 2018 The analysis within this document focuses on potential impacts resulting from wind damage and electrical power outages. If future forecasts for Hurricane Lane predict significant storm surge inundation, NRMC would anticipate higher levels of physical damage to facilities within inundation zones. As of August 22, 2018, 1400 EDT (0800 HST), the duration of impacts across sectors cannot be assessed with significant fidelity because of forecast uncertainty. NRMC will continue to monitor. 1
NRMC is not aware of any asset disruption within the affected area that would result in a national impact. Furthermore, NRMC has not identified any materials produced in Hawaii that are used in significant amounts by the rest of the United States. Since 2014, exports from Hawaii have accounted for no more than 0.1 percent of total U.S. exports annually according to the U.S. Census Bureau.i TABLE 1— COMMUNITY LIFELINES LOCAL / NATIONAL REGIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE LEVEL IMPACT: LOW MEDIUM HIGH IMPACT IMPACT LEVEL Some loss of coverage resulting from disruptions of electric power service and infrastructure damage (tower and antenna) from high winds is anticipated. Backup batteries and backup generator power Communications could be insufficient if power outage recovery times exceed fuel availability and resupply. Low physical impacts are expected to undersea cable landing stations as they are reinforced concrete structures and will likely resist wind damage. Electric Power: High winds could cause damage to overhead transmission and distribution assets. High winds may also cause damage to residential generation sources (such as solar panels on homes). Large-scale generation resources, such as petroleum generation, should not be affected. Fuel: Hawaii reports that there is at least a 7-day supply of fuel Energy available on each of the main islands. Hawaii Electric has a 30-day fuel supply available for generation. The two refineries on Oahu are reported to have a 7-day supply of crude oil and are shutting down as a precaution in advance of the storm. Barbers Point Harbor on the island of Oahu is the primary entry point for bulk shipments of crude and refined products. Water: Disruptions of electric power service could result in limited operations at water treatment facilities. If drinking water systems are unable to maintain sufficient pressure in the water Food, Water, distribution system, boil water notices will be issued to ensure the Shelter safety of the supply. Some locations could lose water availability if pumping and lift stations lack backup generation or run out of fuel. Food and Agriculture: Transportation disruptions may delay regular food distribution. Strong damaging winds and heavy rainfall could result in debris and flooding conditions on the roadways. Weather delays and cancellations across the island airports are expected to occur. Damage to facilities and aids to navigation could occur because of Transportation higher than normal wave action. U.S. Coast Guard will close ports once gale force winds are expected within 12 hours. Limited damage to port facilities and waterways is anticipated from this event. U.S. Coast Guard will determine when waterways will return to an operational status. Hospitals may lose power, but will use backup generators to provide power until the storm passes. Generators will require Health and Medical refueling if hospitals experience extended power outages. Minimal physical damage is anticipated. The Department of Health and i U.S. Census Bureau. (2018). State of Exports from Hawaii. https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/state/data/hi.html. Accessed August 22, 2018. NATIONAL PROTECTION AND PROGRAMS DIRECTORATE | NATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT CENTER 2
LOCAL / NATIONAL REGIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE LEVEL IMPACT: LOW MEDIUM HIGH IMPACT IMPACT LEVEL Human Services reports that hospitals have ordered extra medical supplies in anticipation of supply chain disruptions. Emergency Services: Operations are likely to be hindered by telecommunications network outages and transportation disruptions. If electric outages persist, fuel supplies may need to be replenished at Emergency Services facilities to continue operations. Safety and Security Dams: There is concern with the Ka Loko Dam and the Upper Helemano Dam for overtopping, as both assets are near capacity and may require releases of water. Downstream impacts to lifeline infrastructure are unlikely. Hazardous Waste No known infrastructure in the impacted area. TABLE 2—ADDITIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE SECTORS OF CONCERN LOCAL / NATIONAL REGIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE LEVEL IMPACT: LOW MEDIUM HIGH IMPACT IMPACT LEVEL Chemical facilities may experience disruptions because of wind Chemical damage and electric power outages. Expected damage to facilities is unknown at this time. Commercial Facilities may experience disruptions because of wind damage and Facilities electric power outages. Minimal physical damage anticipated. Local banking and ATM access could be disrupted in affected areas Financial Services because of power outages. Government Facilities may experience disruptions because of wind damage and Facilities electric power outages. Minimal physical damage anticipated. PDM18078 NATIONAL PROTECTION AND PROGRAMS DIRECTORATE | NATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT CENTER 3
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