HOW STUDENT LOAN SERVICERS CAN CONTAIN PANDEMIC RISK - Davin Chow Vivian Merker Ege Gürdeniz - Oliver Wyman

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HOW STUDENT
LOAN SERVICERS
CAN CONTAIN
PANDEMIC RISK
Davin Chow
Vivian Merker
Ege Gürdeniz
How student loan servicers can contain pandemic risk

            The historic $2.2 trillion Coronavirus Aid, Relief
            and Economic Security (CARES) Act provides                                SEC. 3513. TEMPORARY RELIEF
            federal student loan borrowers complete payment                           FOR FEDERAL STUDENT LOAN
            deferment relief through September 30, 2020, during                       BORROWERS.
            which all principal, interest, and fee payments will be
                                                                                      (a) IN GENERAL.—The Secretary
            halted. The relief applies to student loans owned by
                                                                                      shall suspend all payments due
            the Department of Education, which represent
                                                                                      for loans made under part D
            $1.5 trillion and 43 million borrowers.1
                                                                                      and part B (that are held by the
            Responding effectively to the CARES Act in the                            Department of Education) of title
            midst of the novel coronavirus pandemic is a multi-                       IV of the Higher Education Act of
            dimensional and cross-enterprise challenge to                             1965 (20 U.S.C. 1087a et seq.; 1071
            servicers of student loans, a challenge that touches                      et seq.) through September 30,
            different parts and aspects of the organization.                          2020
            Successfully implementing the requirements of
                                                                                      (b) NO ACCRUAL OF INTEREST.—
            the Act and emerging from this crisis will require
                                                                                      Notwithstanding any other
            a coordinated set of actions across the business,
                                                                                      provision of the Higher Education
            operations, human resources, information security
                                                                                      Act of 1965 (20 U.S.C. 1001 et
            and finance teams.
                                                                                      seq.), interest shall not accrue on
            In addition to the immediate steps that should be                         a loan described under subsection
            taken to implement the forbearance program, loan                          (a) for which was suspended for
            servicers should prepare for the following potential                      the period of the suspension …
            risks that will impact operations, information
            security, customer support, human resources, and
            financial planning.

            OPERATIONS
            Enhance and expand quality assurance protocols
            Deploying a vast program like the CARES Act in such a short timeframe is a high-risk undertaking
            prone to errors even under normal circumstances. The task, however, is made more challenging
            due to the fact that institutions have to implement the requirements of the Act even as they face
            other COVID-19-related challenges and pressures (such as managing with a remote workforce).

            Unchecked, errors could lead to qualifying borrowers being erroneously billed or accruing
            interest during the forbearance period, which could have legal, reputational, and financial
            repercussions for loan servicers while creating stress for borrowers.

            1 Source: National Student Loan Data System (NSLDS). As of Q1 2020. Federal student loans that were issued by private
              lenders pre-2010 under the Federal Family Education (FFEL) Program are not covered except for those that have since been
              transferred to the ownership of the government (e.g., through a crisis era program)

© Oliver Wyman                                                                                                                           2
How student loan servicers can contain pandemic risk

            Firms should recognize this increased risk and expand and enhance their quality assurance
            procedures accordingly. Increase randomized sampling rates for audit and review as much as is
            practical, utilizing idle or underutilized resources from elsewhere in the enterprise. Where errors
            and patterns of errors are found, undertake a swift root-cause analysis and make changes to
            processes, procedures, or technology.

            INFORMATION SECURITY
            AND CYBER RISK
            Get ahead of fraudsters
            Bad actors often see tough times such as these as an opportunity to take advantage of
            vulnerable customers. On March 20 — in the earlier days of self-isolation and work-from-home
            mandates in the US — the FBI had already issued an alert, saying they are seeing a rise in
            fraudulent pandemic-related schemes. Such ploys are expected to continue and increase as the
            effects of the pandemic continue.

            In the context of the CARES Act, fraudsters might carry out phishing attacks impersonating loan
            servicers and tricking borrowers into paying a fee in exchange for assistance securing loan relief.
            Criminals can also attack and steal personal information through similar schemes.

            Servicers should take rapid action to equip customers with the information they need to avoid
            scams. Consider creating a page listing potential scams customers might encounter, highlighting
            common characteristics of scams (for example, “As your servicer, we will never charge you a
            fee for any assistance related to the CARES Act”), and set up a hotline or mailbox for customers
            where they can report scams. Existing controls against unauthorized account access (such as
            strong customer authentication, including multi-factor authentication) should be reviewed and
            strengthened if appropriate.

            In addition to protecting customers against scams, servicers need to take steps to protect
            themselves against heightened cyber risk and information loss. For Oliver Wyman’s views on how
            cyber risk is growing in the pandemic era and what institutions should be doing, visit our latest
            publication on the topic here.

© Oliver Wyman                                                                                                    3
How student loan servicers can contain pandemic risk

            CUSTOMER SUPPORT
            AND SUCCESS
            Prepare for the end of forbearance and potential payment shocks
            The CARES Act grants deferment of all payments through September 30, 2020. However, it is
            not certain that borrowers will have financially recovered after this period. As a result, when
            borrowers exit the forbearance period, even though interest has not accrued during the relief
            period, they may suffer a payment shock if their cash flows are still recovering, and they are
            catching up on various other financial obligations.

            Servicers should try to anticipate this effect through analysis and proactive outreach to and
            check-ins with borrowers during the forbearance period in anticipation of its end. As part of their
            communications, servicers should follow a standard set of procedures and ensure they treat all
            customers compliantly and consistently.

            HUMAN RESOURCES AND REMOTE
            WORKFORCE MANAGEMENT
            Ramp up remote onboarding of customer-support professionals
            Millions of borrowers will be seeking support and answers to questions in this rapidly evolving
            environment. To manage this tsunami effectively, servicers are likely to need to hire and ramp up
            customer support professionals remotely.

            This may create not only logistical challenges (for example, shipping telephony equipment to
            new hires), but also workflow challenges (such as needing to create a new workflow so that less
            experienced teams can be deployed effectively).

            During the forbearance period, servicers should not only aim to address inbound requests
            from borrowers, but also determine a strategy for proactively reaching out to borrowers to
            help them through this crisis and prepare for the end of the forbearance period. The outbound
            communications efforts will also put additional pressure on customer-support professional
            onboarding and training.

© Oliver Wyman                                                                                                    4
How student loan servicers can contain pandemic risk

            FINANCIAL PLANNING AND ANALYSIS
            Plan for different scenarios and outcomes
            The outcomes of the COVID-19 pandemic are uncertain, especially as to how long social-
            distancing and stay-at-home mandates remain in place, which will have a significant impact
            on employment and borrower ability to pay. Servicers should plan for multiple scenarios —
            including different durations of forbearance — so they are prepared financially and operationally.
            For Oliver Wyman’s thinking on scenarios, visit our latest materials the topic here.

            The situation is bound to have both revenue and cost impacts, particularly as the pandemic
            spreads and its effects are prolonged. Institutions should conduct a driver-based revenue and
            cost analysis and evaluate how the income statement might evolve under different scenarios
            and plan accordingly.

            Given its scope, servicers of covered federal student loans will be most directly impacted by
            the CARES Act and have to address the related challenges. However, these challenges will also
            apply — in varying degrees — to servicers of other types of student loans (such as private loans
            and Federal Family Education Loans), as well as private originators. Such institutions should
            consider the challenges we have pointed out and take appropriate action. These servicers and
            originators will also have their own unique challenges and considerations, such as offering
            other types of relief programs to borrowers in hardship and fielding requests and inquiries from
            customers frustrated that their loans are not covered under the Act.

            CONCLUSION
            In this time of great uncertainty, the CARES Act will have an impact on the student lending and
            servicing industry. Getting through this difficult period and providing support to customers —
            while still managing the financial fallout — will require institutions to go above and beyond the call
            of duty and to take swift and systematic action. The steps taken by student loan servicers in the
            next few weeks will determine how they emerge from the crisis — financially and reputationally.

            Oliver Wyman stands ready to continue to support clients as they navigate this difficult
            situation. We are monitoring the COVID-19 events in real time and have compiled resources
            to help our clients and the industries they serve. Please visit and continue to monitor
            the Responding To Coronavirus Hub for latest materials and updates.

© Oliver Wyman                                                                                                       5
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Oliver Wyman – A Marsh & McLennan Company                                                                                www.oliverwyman.com
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