Ham Trends Provided by: National Pork Board
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Ham Trends Provided by: National Pork Board
Contents Ham definitions Ham nutritional profile In-home ham consumption In-home ham intake development indices Ham sales at retail Away-from-home ham consumption 2
Ham definitions
Ham defined Hind leg of a hog Types: Wholes, halves, portions, boneless, bone-in, semi-boneless skinless shankless, spiral sliced, steak/slices, country hams, canned Formats: Fresh, cured, cured-and-smoked, ready-to-eat (fully cooked hams, canned and prosciutto), luncheon and deli ham Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 4
Ham label designations Ham contains no added water is at least 20.5% protein Ham with Natural Juices contains at least 18.5% protein Ham - Water Added contains at least 17% protein, with 10% added solution Ham and Water Product may contain any amount of water but the label must state the percent of “added ingredients” 5
Butt end, half or portion Upper, meatier part of whole leg Butt portion has some center slices removed for sale separately as ham steaks or center cut ham slices. The half includes this meat. Semi-boneless Ham Half Ham Portion Ham Source: www.fsis.usda.gov; www.cooksham.com 6
Spiral sliced Bone-in ham that is pre-sliced Honey Baked Ham had exclusive patent on spiral slicing process (expired in 1981) Source: Business Courier, June, 2001; www.cooksham.com 7
Skinless, shankless Skin and shank removed Leg bone and hip bone remain Source: www.fsis.usda.gov; www.cooksham.com 8
Curing solutions Addition of salt, sodium nitrate, nitrites and sometimes sugars, seasonings, phosphates and ascorbates For preservation, color development and flavor enhancement Nitrate and nitrites contribute to cured flavor and reddish-pink color of cured pork Nitrite and salt inhibit bacteria growth Can be added by injection by needle or tumbling/massaging/soaked Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 9
Dry curing Country hams and prosciutto Fresh meat is rubbed with a dry-cure mixture of salt and other ingredients Process draws out moisture and results in more concentrated ham flavor Aged from a few weeks to more than a year, six months is common Can be injected with curing solutions or placed in curing solutions but they may not be smoked Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 10
Wet curing or brine cure Brine curing is most popular way of producing hams Wet cure whereby fresh meat is injected with a curing solution before cooking Smoke flavoring (liquid smoke) may also be injected Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 11
Smoking and smoke flavoring After curing, some hams are smoked Process where hams are hung in a smokehouse and allowed to absorb smoke from smoldering fires Gives added flavor and color, slows development of rancidity Flavor depends upon what wood is used Source: www.fsis.usda.gov, Albuquerque Journal, December, 2001 12
Ham nutritional profile
Nutritional Profile Ham is a lean protein 3.4-ounce serving of roasted extra-lean ham 145 calories 5.5 grams fat 21 grams of protein 53 milligrams cholesterol Significant amount of thiamin (vitamin B-1) and vitamin B-12 Low and reduced sodium products available Ham steaks 94 % lean 14 Source: www.cooksham.com
In-home ham consumption
24% of individuals consume entree ham at least one time in an average two week period S IZ E O F M A R K E T H a m (E xc l L u n c h m e a t) % o f In d ivid u a ls C o n s u m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 76 24 C onsum e D o N ot C onsum e P e rc e n t o f In d ivid u a ls C o n su m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s b y Y e a r Y r. E n d in g F e b . 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 H a m (E x cl L u n c h m ea t) 1 9 .3 2 0 .9 1 9 .5 1 7 .0 1 8 .8 1 9 .2 1 7 .8 2 2 .0 2 4.1 2 4 .0 A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. Page 5 16
And, almost 30% of individuals consume ham lunchmeat regularly at least one time in an average two week period. S IZ E O F M A R K E T H a m L u n c h m e a t (P o rk B a s e d ) % o f In d iv id u a ls C o n s u m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 72 28 C onsum e D o N ot C onsum e P e rc e n t o f In d ivid u a ls C o n s u m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s b y Y e a r Y r. E n d in g F e b . 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 H a m L u n c h m e a t (P o rk B a s e d ) 3 5 .7 3 8 .8 3 7 .5 3 8 .0 3 7 .5 3 6 .9 3 8 .1 3 2 .4 2 6 .8 2 8 .4 A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. Page 5 17
Ham entrée consumption has rebounded from 2004. T R E N D IN P E R C A P IT A C O N S U M P T IO N H am (E xcl Lunchm eat) An n u al E atin g s P er C a p ita 12.89 12.42 11.17 10.31 10.07 9.10 9.29 8.48 8.02 7.46 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 A ll data is for year ending F ebruary. P age 6 18
Ham consumed most at dinner meal; lunchmeat at midday Ham entrees - % of Eatings In-Hom e Dinner 41 In-Hom e Lunch 38 In-Hom e Breakfast 12 Carried From Hom e 8 Ham lunchmeat - % of Eatings In-Hom e Snack 1 In-Hom e Lunch 53 Carried From Hom e 20 In-Hom e Dinner 19 In-Hom e Breakfast 7 In-Hom e Snack 2 Two Years Ending February 2007 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 19
Entrée ham consumption skews to holiday months W E E K P A R T V S . S E A S O N A L IT Y P R O F IL E H a m (E x c l L u n c h m e a t) % o f E a tin g s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 69 29 31 27 22 22 S p rin g Sum m er F all (S O N ) W in te r (D J F ) W e e k en d (S - W e e kd ay (M AM ) (J JA) S) (M -F ) In d e x to S a m p le In d s : E a tin g s 10 8 88 88 1 16 10 8 97 A ll d ata is fo r ye ar en d in g F e bru a ry. Page 8 20
Ham lunchmeat consumption skews to spring/summer; weekday meals W E E K P A R T V S . S E A S O N A L IT Y P R O F IL E H a m L u n c h m e a t (P o rk B a s e d ) % o f E a tin g s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 74 30 24 26 23 23 S p rin g Sum m er F a ll (S O N ) W in te r (D J F ) W e e k e n d (S - W eekday (M A M ) (J J A ) S) (M -F ) In d e x to S a m p le In d s : E a tin g s 92 120 96 92 91 104 A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. Page 8 21
s5 Vegetables served most often with ham entrees % of In-Home Ham Entree Meals Which Include Vegetables 49.9 Potatoes 37.5 Eggs/Omelettes 16.0 Bread 15.2 Salads 12.9 Fruit 12.6 Corn 13.0 Buns/Rolls 11.3 Green Beans 12.6 Macaroni & Cheese 6.4 Rice (Plain) 4.6 Peas 5.8 Cheese 3.9 Mixed/Combo 4.0 Cakes 3.7 Biscuits 3.4 Pies 3.3 Baked Beans/Pork & Beans 3.2 Cookies 3.0 Corn Bread/Muffins 2.5 Stuffing 2.4 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 2006 22
Slide 22 s5 NOT UPDATED schafers, 3/27/2007
55% as ingredient ; 43% eaten as an entrée U S A G E P R O F IL E H a m (E xcl L u n ch m e a t) H o w U se d ? % o f E a tin g s 2006/2007 55 2 43 B a s e D is h In g re d ie n t Ad d itive C o o k in g Aid A ll data is for year ending F ebruary. P age 10 23
Most ham entrees prepared in oven or on the stove top A P P L IA N C E B Y P R E P A R A T IO N M E T H O D H a m (E x c l L u n c h m e a t) % o f E a tin g s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 T o p A p p lia n c e /P re p a ra tio n M e th o d s N o A p p l/N o P re p M e th o d /N r 40 M ic ro w a v e 11 O v e n : B a k e d /R o a s te d 9 S to v e T o p : F rie d /P a n B ro ile d 8 Summary S to v e T o p : W a rm e d /H e a te d 7 No Appliance (leftover): 40% N o A p p l: C h ille d /F ro z e n 5 Stove Top: 19% O v e n : W a rm e d /H e a te d 5 Oven: 14% S to v e T o p : B o ild /S te w e d /S im m r 4 Microwave: 11% N o A p p l: U n c o o k e d /R a w 3 A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. Page 11 24
Ham Entree consumption skews to… In-Home - Based on Index to Total Sample >120 – 2006/2007 HH Income: Under $10k, not $60K-$69K HH Size: Not 1 member Age of Female Head: 55+ Employ. Of Fem. Head: All averages Occupation of HH Head: Out of the Work Force Race: Black, not Asian Census Regions: Mid Atlantic… not New England, E.N. Central, Pacific Empty Nesters, Single Active Seniors, and Married Life Cycle Segments: Active Seniors…not Affluent Trad. Families Age/Sex of Eater: Adults 55+ … not kids
Ham Lunchmeat consumption skews to... In-Home - Based on Index to Total Sample >120 – 2006/2007 HH Income: All income breaks are average HH Size: Not 1 member households, remainder are average Age of Female Head: Not
Entrée consumption skews to South Central R E G IO N A L P R O F IL E H a m (E x c l L u n c h m e a t) % o f E a tin g s In d e x e d to S a m p le 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 146 128 112 110 100 93 71 75 63 N ew M id A tla n tic E a s t N o rth W e s t N o rth S o u th E a s t S o u th W e s t S o u th M o u n ta in P a c ific E n g la n d C e n tra l C e n tra l A tla n tic C e n tra l C e n tra l % o f S a m p le 3 .9 % 1 5 .1 % 1 6 .3 % 9 .2 % 1 8 .7 % 6 .8 % 9 .7 % 7 .7 % 1 2 .7 % % o f E a tin g s : 2 .8 1 5 .1 1 5 .2 1 0 .3 2 0 .5 9 .9 1 2 .5 5 .7 8 .0 N O T E : A n in d e x o f 8 0 - 1 2 0 is c o n s id e r e d a v e r a g e A ll d a t a is f o r y e a r e n d in g F e b r u a r y . Page 15 27
Ham lunchmeat consumption skews to Mid-Atlantic and West North Central REGIONAL PROFILE Ham Lunchmeat (Pork Based) % of Eatings Indexed to Sam ple 2006/2007 115 113 109 108 99 103 92 74 66 New M id Atlantic East North W est North South East South W est South M ountain Pacific England Central Central Atlantic Central Central % of Sam ple 3.9% 15.1% 16.3% 9.2% 18.7% 6.8% 9.7% 7.7% 12.7% % of Eatings: 2.5 17.5 16.1 10.4 19.2 7.4 10.5 7.1 9.4 NO TE: An index of 80-120 is considered average All data is for year ending February. Page 15 28
Ham is the number one sandwich Percent of In-Home Lunches That Include Sandwiches 8 7 Ham 6 5 Poultry 4 3 Salad* 2 1 0 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 *Includes: Ham Salad, Chicken Salad, Egg Salad, Tuna Salad etc. Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 2006 29
In-home ham intake development indices
Intake development indices An econometric analysis conducted by Texas A&M University provided insight on consumption of meats over a six year period, among individuals 18 years and older Results showed the likelihood of consumption, measured as “intake development indices” 31
Intake development indices “Intake development” represents the relationship between intake (in grams over a 2- week period) and individuals (both eaters and non-eaters) Above average development is when the share of intake is greater than the share of individuals (index >100) and translates to a percent advantage For example smoked ham development is 12% higher with “at most high school” than the average across education levels 32
Intake development demographic differences Smoked Canned Canned ham and smoked Education Ham Ham At Most High School 112 132 ham development is Some College 93 82 highest with “at most high At least Undergraduate Degree 92 73 school” Smoked Canned Canned ham intake is Income Ham Ham highest at lower incomes Less Than $10,000 74 177 Smoked ham intake is Between $10,000 and $20,000 92 177 highest at mid-income Between $20,000 and $30,000 104 76 levels Between $30,000 and $40,000 97 82 Ham intake is highest for Between $40,000 and $50,000 112 83 Between $50,000 and $60,000 114 101 individuals over 50 Between $60,000 and $70,000 104 66 Between $70,000 and $100,000 111 89 Intake Development Indices: Between $100,000 and $150,000 81 34 = High Development = Low Development Greater than $150,000 65 51 Source: Texas A&M Econometric Analysis 2003 33
Intake development demographic differences Smoked Canned Ham intake is highest for Age Ham Ham individuals over 50 18 TO24 78 48 25 TO 29 86 84 Ham, and overall pork 30 TO 39 83 73 intake development, is 40 TO 49 95 83 greater in males 50 TO 59 105 125 60 TO 64 123 111 65 AND UP 127 150 Smoked Canned Gender Ham Ham Male 121 106 Female 82 95 Intake Development Indices: = High Development = Low Development Source: Texas A&M Econometric Analysis 2003 34
Intake development demographic differences Hispanic intake strong for Ethnicity Smoked Ham Canned Ham canned hams Hispanic 58 121 Canned hams have high Non Hispanic 102 99 development among Smoked Canned Race Ham Ham African Americans and low White 103 84 development with Black 101 305 Caucasians and Orientals Oriental 29 65 Smoked ham intake is Other 34 67 above average in rural Smoked Canned areas Urbanization Ham Ham SMSA 94 101 NONSMSA 117 97 Intake Development Indices: = High Development = Low Development Source: Texas A&M Econometric Analysis 2003 35
Ham sales at retail
Ham dollar sales are back up after a slight decline in 2006 This was driven by increased tonnage (+1.2%) and a slight increase in price Ham Dollar Sales - % Change 2005 2006 2007 2.0% 2.0% -0.9% 2005 vs. 2004 2006 vs. 2005 2007 vs. 2006 Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 vs. prior years 37
In 2007, entrée hams continued to generate the greatest sales Total Ham $ Sales Entrée Hams $ Sales RFG All Other Quarter Dinners 4% 7% 1% Ham 2007 % Share Steaks Whole Note: Within Entrée 14% Entrée 17% hams, whole hams Hams Halves have lost share (-2 81% Within Entrée Hams 57% Portion share points versus last 19% year) to more convenient halves, portions and quarters Total Ham Pounds Sold Entrée Ham Pounds Sold All Other Quarter RFG Ham 4% 4%
Most ham segments show good growth Entrée hams sales (dollars and pounds) are up after a slight decrease in 2006 Ham steak sales continue to grow Refrigerated ham-based dinners (RFG dinners), although a small segment, are showing continued growth Two Year Trend - % Change 2006 (2006 vs. 2005) 2007 (2007 vs. 2006) 506% $ Sales Pounds Sold 165% 143% 123% 6% 1% 1% 1% 2% 7% -2% -1% -7% -3% -1% -6% Entrée Ham RFG All Other(3) Ham(1) Steaks Dinners(2) Entrée Ham RFG All Other(3) Note: (1) Entrée Ham = whole hams, portions, halves and quarters Ham(1) Steaks Dinners(2) (2) RFG Dinners = refrigerated ham-based prepared dinners- exceptionally strong growth due to very low base (3) All Other = cubes, ends and pieces, fat and bones, hocks, skins, etc. 39 Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007
Within entrée hams, spiral cuts show continued strength While spiral cuts have experienced strong growth over the past several years, non-spiral hams still represent largest share of sales Calendar Year 2007 Two Year Trend - % $ Sales Change Non- Spiral Hams Share of Spiral 65% 11% $ Sales 35% 6% 5% -1% Non- Share of Spiral -5% -6% Spiral Hams Pounds Sold 69% 31% Spiral Non-Spiral 2006 vs. 2005 2007 vs. 2006 2 year growth Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007. Note: This represents share of spiral cuts WITHIN entrée hams. 40
Bone-in hams represent largest share of volume… …yet boneless hams are more profitable Calendar Year 2007 Boneless “profit per Sem i-BL pound” Advantage 6% Share of Boneless Bone-in $ Sales 27% 67% 106% Sem i-BL 9% Share of Boneless Bone-in 20% Pounds Sold 71% Vs. Bone-In Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 Source:NPB Composite Database 41
Ham sales are strongest during the holiday months Index of Ham $ Sales vs. Average Month in 2007 327 208 174 Average Month Index = 100 77 67 66 58 54 47 45 45 46 Jan Feb Mar Apr (Easter) May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Thanksgiving) (Christmas) Note: An index over 100 means the month is out performing vs. the average month. An index below 100 means the month is under-performing. For example: January ham sales are 33% less than the average month and April sales are 108% more than the average month. Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 42
Ham feature activity mirrors key sales periods Index of # of Ham Features vs. Average Month in 2007 330 244 175 Average Month Index = 100 87 70 64 52 61 42 46 50 32 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Easter Thanksgiving Christmas Source: Leemis Promo Data ad activity analysis across 169 Grocery Accounts/Market combinations; calendar year 2007 43
Holiday sales are driven by entrée hams* Index of Entrée Ham $ Sales vs. Average Month in 2007 376 234 189 Average Month Index = 100 72 61 56 38 42 46 34 34 34 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec *Entrée Hams = wholes, quarters, portions and halves Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 44
However, seasonality has less impact on ham steaks… …making them a great year-round meal option Index of Ham Steaks $ Sales vs. Average Month in 2007 Average Month Index = 100 108 110 111 106 98 100 99 101 96 96 89 88 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 45
Away-from-home ham consumption
Trends in Operators Menuing Ham Overall, Category Incidence Rising # Ham Items/Operator Menuing (Category Incidence is % Operators Menuing): ▲ Chains: Casual, Fast Casual, QSR ▲Chains: Casual, Fast Casual, QSR Indep: Cut Edge ▼Family Dining Chains, Cut Edge ▼ Family Dining Chains Category Incidence Ham Items/Operator Ham, All Menu Parts 2007 2004 2001 2007 2004 2001 Market Sectors % % % # # # Casual Chains 44 42 37 2.3 2.1 2.2 Fast Casual Chains 53 53 47 4.6 4.0 3.2 Family Dining Chains 73 74 71 7.5 7.9 7.8 QSR Chains 49 48 40 5.2 4.6 4.8 Cutting Edge Independents 43 39 34 1.9 1.9 2.0 Casual Independents 50 50 na** 2.7 2.6 na** Midscale Independents 58 60 na** 6.5 6.4 na** QSR Independents 43 na** na** 5.5 na** na** Non Commercial 74 74 na** 3.2 3.6 na** ** No earlier data available 47 MenuMine, Foodservice Research Institute
Ham menuing is increasing 19% of pork menu mentions are ham Ham menu mentions increased 21% from 2000 to 2005 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. CREST 2005 48
Ham entrees served most at breakfast meal Distribution of Ham Entrée Servings YE Dec 2007 PM Snack 2% +% PCYA* Supper 18% -5% PCYA Morning Meal Lunch Supper PM Snack Lunch 17% Morning Meal 15% PCYA 63% 9% PCYA 49 Source: The NPD Group / CREST *Low Sample = Cannot Trend
Ham sandwiches served most at lunch meal Distribution of Ham Sandwich Servings YE Dec 2007 PM Snack Morning Meal 7%+% PCYA* 7% +% PCYA* Morning Meal Lunch Supper 26% Supper -5% PCYA PM Snack Lunch 60% 0% PCYA 50 Source: The NPD Group / CREST *Low Sample = Cannot Trend
Ham entrée served equally at chains and independents Distribution of Ham Entree Servings YE Dec 2007 Major Chains 42% Independents 17% PCYA 46% 1% PCYA Major Chains Small Chains Independents Small Chains 12% 4% PCYA 51 Source: The NPD Group / CREST
Half of ham sandwiches served at chains Independents 30% -5% PCYA Major Chains 53% 5% PCYA Major Chains Small Chains Independents Small Chains 17% 7% PCYA Source: The NPD Group, Inc. CREST 2005 52
. Ham - Product Profiles Demographic and Regional Indices* - Yr. Ending Nov. '07 Demographics Census Regions Index Index Dist. Yr Ago Index Dist. Yr Ago Index Gender East 16% 87 87 Male 57% 119 117 Central 25% 117 112 Female 43% 82 84 South 37% 99 102 West 22% 94 95 Age of Eater
. Ham Sandwich - Product Profiles Demographic and Regional Indices* - Yr. Ending Nov. '07 Demographics Census Regions Index Index Dist. Yr Ago Index Dist. Yr Ago Index Gender East 19% 100 104 Male 51% 106 105 Central 26% 114 119 Female 49% 94 95 South 35% 103 98 West 19% 81 82 Age of Eater
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