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Global Economics & Markets Research
Email: GlobalEcoMktResearch@uobgroup.com
URL: www.uob.com.sg/research

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021         US equities suffered steep losses on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow posting their worst
                                  session since October, as the speculative buying frenzy in heavily shorted stocks kept market
                                  participants on edge. US Treasury yields remained lower overall on Wednesday, after the Federal
                                  Reserve left interest rates unchanged and kept its bond-buying program intact, as widely expected,
Quek Ser Leang
Quek.SerLeang@uobgroup.com        noting that the economic recovery has slowed in recent months. The US dollar edged higher against
                                  the major currencies – the US dollar index (DXY) rose 0.48% to 90.61 on Wednesday, following a 0.24%
Lee Sue Ann                       decline the previous session. The DXY jumped to 90.87 during the session, the highest since 18 Jan
Lee.SueAnn@uobgroup.com           before pulling back its gains.

                                  Attention will now shift to a deluge of data releases later this evening. Headlining today's release will be
                                  the US 4Q20 GDP, which is expected at +4.1% q/q SAAR with a range of forecasts between 1.5% and
                                  6.8%, from +33.4% surge in 3Q20. Other reports of note today include US' advance December goods
                                  trade balance and the weekly initial jobless claims, which are seen improving to 875K, from 900K in the
                                  prior week.

                                  EUR/USD came off -0.4% to about 1.21 near the lowest level since 18 Jan, after a report indicating that
                                  European Central Bank officials believed markets were largely ruling out further interest rate cuts.
                                  GBP/USD fell -0.4% to 1.3687 on Wednesday, while USD/JPY rose 0.5% to 104.16 as the yen stayed
                                  on the defensive throughout the session. AUD/USD dropped 1.1% to 0.7663 after dropped as much as
                                  1.3% during the session to touch the lowest since 4 Jan. NZD/USD retreated -1.0% to 0.7165 and
                                  declined as much as 1.2% during Wednesday's session.

                                  Asian currencies were mixed yesterday. Gainers which appreciated against the greenback included the
                                  KRW (+0.19%), TWD (+0.13%), IDR (+0.11%) and MYR (+0.04%), while losses were seen in SGD (-
                                  0.32%), CNY (-0.29%) and VND (-0.04%). Accounting for the movements, the Asian Dollar Index fell
                                  0.27%. The SGD NEER is currently trading at -0.28% from the mid-point. We expect the SGD NEER to
                                  trade between -0.6% and 0% around its midpoint which implies USD/SGD range of 1.3251 - 1.3331.
                                  The Asian docket is relatively sparse for today. Market-watchers will likely eye closely on Philippines’
                                  4Q20 GDP data, where market consensus is pencilling it at -8.0% y/y (+6.0% q/q sa).

                                  Recent publications:
                                  27 Jan 21: Australia: Upside Surprise In 4Q CPI
                                  27 Jan 21: Singapore Budget 2021 Preview: Charting The Path To Recovery
                                  26 Jan 21: US: Janet Yellen Wins Senate Approval To Become US Treasury Secretary
                                  26 Jan 21: Singapore: Setting An Optimistic Tone In 2021 With A Surge In Dec Manufacturing
                                  Momentum
                                  26 Jan 21: South Korea: 4Q GDP Showed Private Consumption Under Renewed Pressure From
                                  Coronavirus Resurgence

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
1|P a g e
USD/SGD: 1.3300
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Outlook for USD is positive but it remains to be seen if it can maintain a foothold above 1.3335.
 Our expectation for USD to “test the strong support at 1.3220” was incorrect as it soared to an overnight high of 1.3315 before closing on
 a firm note at 1.3293 (+0.34%). While the risk is tilted to the upside, 1.3320 is a strong resistance and this level is followed closely by
 another major level at 1.3335. Overall, the USD outlook for today is positive but it remains to be seen if it can maintain a foothold above
 1.3335. Support is at 1.3285 followed by 1.3260.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Upward momentum is showing tentative signs of improving again; daily closing above 1.3335 would indicate start of recovery
 towards 1.3370, possibly 1.3405.
 We noted yesterday that “the build-up in shorter-term momentum has fizzled out and the prospect for USD to move above 1.3335 has
 diminished”. However, USD rebounded strongly as it rose to an overnight high of 1.3315. Upward momentum is showing tentative signs of
 improving again and if there is a daily closing above 1.3335, it would indicate the start of a recovery towards 1.3370, possibly 1.3405. At
 this stage, the prospect for a recovery is not that high but it would increase as long as USD does not move below 1.3240 within these few
 days.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Bias is clearly on the downside but the pace of any decline in USD/SGD is likely to be slow and the 2018 low of 1.3008 is unlikely to come
 into the picture. (dated 04 Dec 2020, 1.3375) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                  Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
               Support                           Resistance
                                                                          Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.3260                        R1: 1.3335
                                                                         1.3246   1.3315   1.3240    1.3293   +0.34%   +0.31%   +0.08%     +0.62%
              S2: 1.3240                        R2: 1.3375

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
2|P a g e
EUR/USD: 1.2105
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Risk for EUR is on the downside but the solid support at 1.2050 may not be easy to crack.
 Our expectation for the “rebound in EUR to extend” was incorrect as it plummeted to 1.2056 before snapping back up to end the day at
 1.2108 (-0.43%). Despite the bounce, the bias remains on the downside even though 1.2050 is a solid support and may not be easy to
 crack. On the upside, a break of 1.2155 would indicate that the current downside risk has dissipated (minor resistance is at 1.2135).

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk is shifting to the downside but EUR has to close below 1.2050 before a sustained decline can be expected.
 We have held the same view since last Friday (22 Jan, spot at 1.2165) where we expect EUR to “trade between 1.2080 and 1.2250 for a
 period of time”. Since then, EUR has traded mostly sideways but it dropped sharply to 1.2056 yesterday. Shorter-term downward
 momentum is improving and the risk is shifting to the downside. That said, EUR has to close below 1.2050 before a sustained decline can
 be expected. The odds for such a move are quite high unless EUR moves above 1.2180 within these few days. Looking ahead, the next
 support below 1.2050 is at 1.2000.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 The next up-leg in EUR/USD has started. Premature to expect a move to 1.2555 but an advance to 1.2300 would not be surprising. (dated
 04 Dec 2020, 1.2065) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
               Support                         Resistance
                                                                       Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.2050                       R1: 1.2155
                                                                       1.2167   1.2169   1.2056    1.2108   -0.43%   +0.03%    -0.79%    -0.86%
              S2: 1.2000                       R2: 1.2180

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
3|P a g e
GBP/USD: 1.3665
         24-HOUR VIEW
 GBP is likely to weaken further to 1.3615.
 We highlighted yesterday that GBP “could move above the resistance at 1.3760”. GBP subsequently rose to 1.3759 before dropping
 sharply to 1.3659 during NY hours. GBP extended its decline this morning and further weakness towards 1.3615 appears likely (there is
 a relatively strong support at 1.3635). Resistance is at 1.3700 followed by 1.3730.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Bias is tilted to the downside but any weakness is viewed as part of 1.3580/1.3760 range for now.
 We highlighted yesterday that “while upward momentum has improved somewhat, GBP has to close above the major resistance at 1.3800
 before a sustained advance can be expected”. We added, “the prospect for a break of 1.3800 is not high for now but would remain intact
 as long as GBP does not move below 1.3630 within these few days”. GBP dropped to a low of 1.3659 during NY hours and while 1.3630
 is still intact, the build-up in momentum has fizzled out. From here, the bias is tilted to the downside but any weakness is viewed as part of
 a 1.3580/1.3760 range for now. Looking ahead, if GBP closes below 1.3580, it would indicate the start of a deeper and more sustained
 pull-back.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 GBP/USD could strengthen but barring a sudden surge in momentum, any advance is likely limited to 1.3700. (dated 04 Dec 2020, 1.3420)
 Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                   Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
               Support                           Resistance
                                                                           Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.3615                         R1: 1.3730
                                                                          1.3739   1.3759   1.3659    1.3692   -0.31%   +0.23%   +1.17%     +0.22%
              S2: 1.3580                         R2: 1.3760

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
4|P a g e
AUD/USD: 0.7635
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Further AUD weakness is likely but oversold conditions suggest 0.7560 is likely out of reach for now.
 Our expectation for AUD “to edge above 0.7785” was wrong as it plummeted to 0.7644 before extending its decline this morning. Strong
 downward momentum is likely to lead to further AUD weakness even though the quickly oversold conditions suggest the next support at
 0.7560 is likely out of reach for now (0.7595 is already quite a strong level). Resistance is at 0.7670 followed by 0.7700.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk shifted quickly to the downside; AUD is likely to trade with a downward bias towards 0.7560.
 We noted yesterday that “shorter-term momentum is beginning to improve but AUD has to close above 0.7820 before a sustained advance
 can be expected”. However, AUD dropped sharply during NY hours and extended its decline this morning. Risk has shifted quickly to the
 downside and AUD is likely trade with a downward bias towards 0.7560. On the upside, a break of 0.7730 would indicate the downside risk
 has dissipated. On a shorter-term note, 0.7700 is already a strong level.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 AUD/USD is likely to strengthen further but it is left to be seen if it can maintain a foothold above the next major resistance at 0.7900. (dated
 04 Jan 2020, 0.7700) Read More.

         LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 27 Jan 21                      Percentage change
               Support                          Resistance
                                                                        Open      High      Low     Close      1D       1W       1M         YTD
              S1: 0.7595                        R1: 0.7700
                                                                        0.7750   0.7764    0.7644   0.7664   -1.09%   -1.08%   +0.81%      -0.38%
              S2: 0.7560                        R2: 0.7730

 2

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
5|P a g e
NZD/USD: 0.7140
         24-HOUR VIEW
 NZD is likely to weaken but oversold conditions suggest a sustained decline below 0.7100 is unlikely.
 Our expectation for NZD to “advance further” was incorrect as it plummeted to 0.7147 during NY hours before extending its decline this
 morning. While strong downward momentum suggests further NZD weakness, the sharp and rapid drop is severely oversold and a
 sustained decline below the major support at 0.7100 appears unlikely. On the upside, 0.7190 is expected to be strong enough to cap any
 short-term recovery (minor resistance is at 0.7165).

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk for NZD has shifted to the downside; break of solid support at 0.7100 would open up the way for a move to 0.7060.
 After NZD moved above the 0.7240 resistance, we highlighted yesterday that “the current outlook for NZD is deemed slightly positive as
 long as 0.7170 is not breached”. The sudden and sharp drop during NY hours came as a surprise as NZD plunged to 0.7147 before
 extending its decline this morning. The risk has shifted to the downside towards 0.7100. A break of this solid support would open up the
 way for a move to 0.7060. Overall, NZD is expected to remain under pressure unless it can move above 0.7220. On a shorter-term note,
 0.7190 is already a strong resistance.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Further NZD/USD strength is not ruled out but the pace of any advance is likely to be slower and the 2018 high of 0.7437 is not expected
 to come into the picture (0.7250 is already a strong resistance level). (dated 04 Dec 2020, 0.7060) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                             Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
               Support                        Resistance
                                                                     Open     High     Low      Close     1D       1W       1M         YTD
              S1: 0.7100                     R1: 0.7190
                                                                    0.7243   0.7245   0.7147    0.7159   -1.11%   -0.15%   +0.51%     -0.31%
              S2: 0.7060                     R2: 0.7220

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
6|P a g e
USD/JPY: 104.25
         24-HOUR VIEW
 USD could move above the month-to-date high near 104.40; a rise beyond 104.75 appears unlikely.
 The sudden and strong surge in USD came as a surprise. While the rapid rise appears to be running ahead of itself, USD could move
 above the month-to-date high near 104.40. For today, a rise beyond 104.75 is unlikely. Support is at 104.00 followed by 103.75.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk for USD has shifted to the upside; solid resistance at 104.75 may not yield so easily.
 We have held the same view since last Thursday (21 Jan, spot at 103.55) wherein “the bias for USD is tilted to the downside but any
 weakness is likely limited to a test of 103.00”. We highlighted that “a break of 104.20 would indicate the current mild downward pressure
 has eased”. We did anticipate the sudden surge in USD yesterday as it soared to 104.19 before extending its advance this morning. The
 rapid improvement in momentum has shifted the risk the upside towards 104.75. This is a rather solid resistance and may not yield so
 easily. The current positive outlook is deemed as intact as intact as long as USD does not move below 103.50. On a shorter-term note,
 103.75 is already a strong level.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 USD/JPY is in the early stages of a recovery phase that could extend to 106.00. (dated 12 Jan 2020, 104.25) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                            Ranges 27 Jan 21                       Percentage change
               Support                      Resistance
                                                                  Open       High        Low     Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 103.75                    R1: 104.40
                                                                  103.58    104.19      103.56   104.09   +0.47%   +0.55%    +0.59%    +0.82%
              S2: 103.50                    R2: 104.75

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
7|P a g e
USD/CNH: 6.4980
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Further USD strength would not be surprising but a sustained rise above 6.5200 is unlikely.
 Our expectation for USD to “edge lower” was incorrect as it staged a robust and rapid bounce to 6.5008. While further USD strength would
 not be surprising, the strong surge appears to be running ahead of itself and a sustained rise above 6.5200 is unlikely. On the downside,
 a break of 6.4850 would indicate the current upward pressure has eased.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Break of 6.5200 would suggest further USD strength towards 6.5360.
 About 2 weeks ago (15 Jan, spot at 6.4680), we indicated that “a clear break of 6.4900 could lead to a move to 6.5200”. While USD
 subsequently rose to 6.5075, it was unable to make any further headway on the upside. In our latest narrative from Tuesday (26 Jan, spot
 at 6.4870), we highlighted that “momentum has deteriorated further but only a break of 6.4450 would indicate that USD is not ready to
 move higher to 6.5200”. In that context, we did not anticipate the strong overnight surge in USD. From here, 6.5200 appears to be within
 reach and a break of this level would suggest further USD strength towards 6.5360. On the downside, the ‘strong support’ level has moved
 higher to 6.4650 from 6.4450.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 USD/CNH could dip below the ‘double-top’ target of 6.4960; oversold conditions suggest the next support at 6.3800 is likely out of reach
 within the first quarter of 2021. (dated 04 Dec 2020, 6.5550) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
               Support                          Resistance
                                                                         Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 6.4850                        R1: 6.5200
                                                                        6.4712   6.5008   6.4668    6.4985   +0.37%   +0.54%    -0.22%    -0.05%
              S2: 6.4650                        R2: 6.5360

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
8|P a g e
EUR/SGD: 1.6100
         24-HOUR VIEW
 EUR is likely consolidate and trade between 1.6060 and 1.6130.
 Yesterday, we expected EUR to “trade sideways within a 1.6080/1.6130 range”. However, EUR plunged to 1.6044 before snapping back
 up to end the day little changed at 1.6092 (-0.07%). The rapid decline appears to be overdone and further EUR weakness is unlikely. EUR
 is more likely to consolidate and trade between 1.6060 and 1.6130.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Outlook is mixed; EUR is likely to trade between 1.6020 and 1.6170.
 On Monday (25 Jan, spot at 1.6145), we highlighted that “risk has shifted slightly to the upside but any advance is viewed as part of a
 1.6050/1.6200 range”. EUR dropped below 1.6050 during NY hours but rebounded quickly from 1.6044. The ‘undecided’ price actions
 have resulted in a mixed outlook and EUR could trade between 1.6020 and 1.6170 for a period of time.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Bias is for a higher EUR/SGD but the August 2020 peak of 1.6315 is a solid resistance level and may not be easy to break. (dated 04
 Dec 2020, 1.6150) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                             Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
               Support                       Resistance
                                                                    Open      High      Low     Close     1D        1W        1M       YTD
              S1: 1.6060                     R1: 1.6130
                                                                    1.6112   1.6119    1.6044   1.6092   -0.07%   +0.37%    -0.69%    -0.25%
              S2: 1.6020                     R2: 1.6170

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
9|P a g e
GBP/SGD: 1.8195
          24-HOUR VIEW
 GBP is likely to trade sideways, expected to be between 1.8140 and 1.8240.
 We highlighted yesterday that GBP “has scope to test 1.8240 but a sustained rise above this level is unlikely”. GBP subsequently rose to
 1.8231 before easing off to close little changed at 1.8183 (-0.07%). Momentum indicators are mostly neutral and GBP is likely to trade
 sideways for today, expected to be between 1.8140 and 1.8240.

          1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 GBP is likely to edge higher to 1.8300; prospect for a sustained advance above this level is not high for now.
 No change in view from yesterday, see reproduced update below.

 We have held a slightly positive view in GBP for about 2 weeks now (see annotations in the chart below). In our latest update on Monday
 (25 Jan, spot at 1.8160), we indicated that “the prospect for GBP to advance further has improved but it still has to close above 1.8200
 before a move to 1.8300 can be expected”. GBP rose to 1.8203 yesterday before closing at 1.8197. Upward momentum has improved
 albeit, not by much. From here, GBP is likely to edge higher to 1.8300. At this stage, the prospect for a sustained advance above 1.8200
 is not high. Only a break of 1.8090 (‘strong support’ level previously at 1.8060) would indicate the current upward pressure has eased.

          1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 GBP/SGD could grind higher but is unlikely to challenge the major long-term resistance at 1.8300. (dated 04 Dec 2020, 1.7920) Read more

          LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
                Support                         Resistance
                                                                        Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.8140                      R1: 1.8240
                                                                        1.8193   1.8231   1.8170    1.8183   -0.07%   +0.55%    +1.08%    +0.68%
               S2: 1.8090                      R2: 1.8300

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
10 | P a g e
AUD/SGD: 1.0175
          24-HOUR VIEW
 Further AUD weakness is not ruled out but 1.0130 is likely out of reach.
 After trading in a relatively quiet manner for several days, the sudden and sharp plunge in AUD during NY hours came as a surprise.
 Further weakness is not ruled out but oversold conditions suggest 1.0130 is likely out of reach. Resistance is at 1.0200 followed by 1.0230.

          1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk has shifted to the downside; AUD is expected to trade with a downward bias to 1.0130.
 We noted yesterday that “while shorter-term momentum has improved somewhat, 1.0300 is a solid resistance and is unlikely to yield so
 easily”. We did not anticipate the sudden sharp sell-off that sent AUD to a low of 1.0166. The risk has shifted quickly to the downside and
 AUD is expected to trade with a downward bias to 1.0130. Further weakness to 1.0095 is not ruled out but at this stage, the odds for AUD
 to move to 1.0095 are not high. Overall, AUD is expected to remain under pressure unless it can move above 1.0255.

          1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 In order to maintain the build-up in momentum, AUD/SGD has to continue to march higher. Major levels on the upside are at 1.0500
 followed by 1.0630. (dated 06 Jan 2021, 1.0220) Read more

          LEVELS
                                                                                   Ranges 27 Jan 21                     Percentage change
                Support                          Resistance
                                                                          Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.0130                        R1: 1.0230
                                                                          1.0261   1.0278   1.0166    1.0180   -0.74%   -0.78%   +0.90%     +0.17%
               S2: 1.0095                        R2: 1.0255

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
11 | P a g e
JPY/SGD: 1.2760
          24-HOUR VIEW
 JPY could dip below 1.2740; a sustained decline below this level is unlikely.
 Yesterday, we indicated that JPY “could drift lower but is unlikely to threaten the major support at 1.2740”. JPY subsequently dropped to
 1.2747 before recovering. The underlying tone has weakened but while JPY could dip below 1.2740, a sustained decline below this level
 is unlikely. The next support at 1.2720 is not expected to come into the picture. Resistance is at 1.2780 followed by 1.2800.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Outlook is mixed; JPY could trade between 1.2740 and 1.2850 for a period of time.
 There is not much to add to our latest narrative from last Friday (22 Jan, spot at 1.2780). As highlighted, the outlook is mixed and JPY
 could trade between 1.2740 and 1.2840 for a period of time.

          1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 JPY/SGD could continue to trade sideways between the two major levels of 1.2670 and 1.3145. (dated 04 Dec 2020, 1.2830) Read more

          LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 27 Jan 2                     Percentage change
                Support                         Resistance
                                                                         Open     High     Low     Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.2740                       R1: 1.2800
                                                                        1.2781   1.2787   1.2747   1.2762   -0.16%   -0.22%    -0.51%    -0.23%
               S2: 1.2720                       R2: 1.2840

FX Insights
Thursday, 28 January 2021
12 | P a g e
UOB FX & Interest Rate Outlook
     FX Outlook         1Q21          2Q21           3Q21                4Q21         Rates Outlook                     1Q21             2Q21                 3Q21             4Q21

   EUR/USD              1.22           1.23           1.24               1.24                   EU                     0.00%             0.00%            0.00%                0.00%
   GBP/USD              1.35           1.35           1.36               1.36                   UK                     0.10%             0.10%            0.10%                0.10%
   AUD/USD              0.74           0.75           0.76               0.76                   AU                     0.10%             0.10%            0.10%                0.10%
   NZD/USD              0.71           0.72           0.73               0.73                   NZ                     0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%
   USD/JPY               104           103            102                102                    JP                     -0.10%           -0.10%            -0.10%               -0.10%
   USD/SGD              1.32           1.31           1.30               1.30         SG (3M SOR)                      0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%
   USD/MYR              4.03           4.00           3.95               3.95                   MY                     1.50%             1.50%            1.50%                1.50%
   USD/THB              30.00         30.30          30.50               30.50                  TH                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.50%
   USD/CNY              6.50           6.45           6.35               6.35                   CN                     3.85%             3.85%            3.85%                3.85%
   USD/IDR             14,300        14,350         14,400              14,400                  ID                     3.50%             3.50%            3.50%                3.50%
   USD/PHP              48.00         47.50          47.00               47.00                  PH                     2.00%             2.00%            2.00%                2.00%
   USD/INR              74.30         74.50          75.00               75.50                  IN                     3.75%             3.75%            3.75%                3.75%
   USD/TWD              28.50         28.20          28.00               28.00                  TW                     1.13%             1.13%            1.13%                1.13%
   USD/HKD              7.75           7.75           7.75               7.75                   HK                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.50%
   USD/KRW              1,080         1,060          1,050               1,050                  KR                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.50%
                                                                                                US                     0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%

  Last update on 04 Dec 20: Global Vaccine Reflation

   Central Bank Meetings 2021
   Central Bank                                        Jan         Feb      Mar           Apr        May       Jun            Jul   Aug          Sep          Oct    Nov        Dec
   Federal Reserve (FOMC)                               27          -           17*       28              -    16*            28         -          22*        -         03         15*
   European Central Bank (ECB)                          21          -           11        22              -        06         22         -          09        28          -         16
   Bank of England (BOE)                                 -         04#          18         -             06#       24          -    05#             23         -     04#            16
   Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)                       -         02           02        06             04        01         07        03          07        05         02         07
   Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)                    -         24^           -        14             26^       -          14        18^          -        06         24^         -
   Bank of Japan (BOJ)                                 21**         -           19    27**                -        18      16**          -          22    28**            -     17**
   Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS)                 -          -            -        tba             -        -           -         -           -        tba         -          -
   Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)                           20          -           04         -             06        -          08         -          09         -         03          -
   Bank of Thailand (BOT)                                -         03           24         -             05        23          -        04          29         -         10         22
   Bank Indonesia (BI)                                  23         20           19        14             19        18         16        19          17        13         19         17
   Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)                     -         11           25         -             13        23          -        12          23         -         11         16
   Bank of Korea (BOK)                                  15         25            -        15             27         -         15        26           -        12         25          -
   Taiwan Central Bank (CBC)                             -          -       18             -              -        17          -         -          23         -          -         16
   Reserve Bank of India (RBI)                           -     5            -         -              -         -          -         -           -         -          -          -

 *Meetings associated with a Summary of Economic Projections.
 #
  Meetings associated with release of Monetary Policy Report.
 ^Meetings associated with release of Monetary Policy Statement.
 **Meetings associated with release of Outlook Report.

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Thursday, 28 January 2021
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