FX Insights - United Overseas Bank

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Global Economics & Markets Research
Email: GlobalEcoMktResearch@uobgroup.com
URL: www.uob.com.sg/research

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021           US equities were mixed again on Wednesday, following a volatile trading session, with the S&P 500
                                  slipping off its record-high while the Dow ended higher. Tech stocks turned villain, leading the losses to
                                  drag the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq lower. US Treasuries fell, sending yields higher although the increase
                                  was very measured as FOMC Chair Jerome Powell said the economy is entering a period of quicker
Quek Ser Leang
Quek.SerLeang@uobgroup.com        expansion and he assured markets that the Fed will likely taper "well before" considering raising rates.
                                  The US dollar was broadly weaker against the major currencies (with the exception of the Swiss franc)
Lee Sue Ann                       for the second straight session. The US Dollar index (DXY) ended 0.18% lower at 91.690 (from the
Lee.SueAnn@uobgroup.com           previous close of 91.852).

                                  EUR made further inroads against the dollar with the EUR/USD trading to an intraday high of 1.1987,
                                  before ending the NY session near the high at 1.1980 (from 1.1948). GBP/USD also closed higher at
                                  1.3779 (from 1.3750). JPY appreciated against the dollar as the USD/JPY pair ended the day below
                                  the 109 handle, at 108.93 (from 109.06). AUD and NZD led the gains against the dollar among the G10
                                  FX majors as the AUD/USD closed markedly higher at 0.7728 (from previous close of 0.7641) while the
                                  NZD/USD also settled higher at 0.7141 (from 0.7053 previously).

                                  The US Dollar was noticeably weaker against various Asian currencies the risk-on environment returned.
                                  Specifically, both the onshore CNY and offshore CNH made strong gains against the USD. As such,
                                  USD/CNY fell hard from 6.5450 to 6.53, while USD/CNH also pulled back from the high 6.54s to 6.53
                                  as well. It was a similar story for USD/KRW which tumbled from 1,127 to 1,116. In South East Asia,
                                  USD/MYR also fell in sympathy from 4.1350 to 4.1265 while USD/IDR held firm at 14,600. In particular,
                                  USD/SGD pulled back below 1.34 to 1.3360 after the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) offered a
                                  rather strong assessment of Singapore’s growth outlook going forward. Overall, the Asia Dollar Index
                                  (ADXY) rose from 107.60 to 107.90. The ADXY may well recover the 108 headline level today as the
                                  USD stays on the defensive.

                                  For today, the G7 data calendar resumes its focus on the US docket especially advance retail sales,
                                  initial jobless claims and housing data while the US corporate earnings reporting season will continue
                                  to focus on the few major US banks reporting today. Central bank speakers will focus mainly on the
                                  Fed Reserve with 2021 FOMC voters Bostic and Daly, and non-voter Mester. Over in Asia, India is
                                  scheduled to report its trade figures for the month of March, whereby trade deficit is expected to widen
                                  further.

                                  Recent publications:
                                  14 Apr 21: Singapore: MAS Keeps Monetary Policy Unchanged; 1Q21 Advance GDP Was Better-Than-
                                  Expected
                                  13 Apr 21: Indonesia: Government Unveiled Further Stimulus To Hasten The Economic Recovery
                                  13 Apr 21: China: Another Month Of Robust Trade Data In March
                                  13 Apr 21: China: Strong Credit Growth Continued In March, 1Q21 New Loans At Fresh Record High
                                  12 Apr 21: Strong US-China Recovery: What's In It For Indonesia?

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
1|P a g e
USD/SGD: 1.3360
            24-HOUR VIEW
  USD could edge below the overnight low of 1.3350; next major support at 1.3330 is likely out of reach.
  While we expected USD to weaken yesterday, we were of the view that “a sustained decline below 1.3380 is unlikely”. However, USD not
  only easily cracked 1.3380 but also the next support at 1.3360 (low of 1.3350 during NY hours). The rapid decline appears to be overdone
  but it is too soon to expect a recovery. From here. USD could edge below 1.3350 but the next major support at 1.3330 is likely out of
  reach. Resistance is at 1.3375 but only a move above 1.3390 would indicate that the downward pressure has eased.

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  USD is under pressure but the solid support at 1.3330 may not be easy to break.
  We have expected USD to weaken since early last week (see annotations in the chart below). USD subsequently dropped to 1.3378 before
  trading sideways for several days. In our latest narrative from Monday (12 Apr, spot at 1.3410), we highlighted “there is still a slim chance
  for USD to move below 1.3360”. We added, “only a break of 1.3445 (‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that the downside risk has
  dissipated”. USD did not break the ‘strong resistance’ level but cracked 1.3360 as it dropped to an overnight low of 1.3350. Further USD
  weakness appears likely but the solid support at 1.3330 may not be easy to break. Overall, USD is expected to stay under pressure unless
  it can move above 1.3415 (‘strong resistance’ level previously at 1.3445).

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  USD/SGD is likely to strengthen in the second quarter of 2021. Resistance is as at 1.3560 followed by 1.3620. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.3410)
  Read more

            LEVELS
                                                                                    Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                            Resistance
                                                                           Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.3350                          R1: 1.3390
                                                                           1.3406   1.3409   1.3350    1.3359   -0.46%   -0.38%    -0.64%    +1.12%
              S2: 1.3330                          R2: 1.3415

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
2|P a g e
EUR/USD: 1.1980
            24-HOUR VIEW
  Conditions remain overbought but risk is still on the upside even though EUR is expected to face solid resistance at 1.2010.
  We expected EUR to strengthen yesterday but we noted that “overbought conditions suggest that a sustained rise above 1.1985 is
  unlikely”. Our view was not wrong as EUR rose to 1.1987 during NY hours before trading sideways for the rest of the session. While
  conditions remain overbought, the risk is still on the upside. That said, any further advance in EUR is expected to face solid resistance at
  1.2010. On the downside, a break of 1.1945 (minor support is at 1.1960) would indicate that the current upward pressure has eased.

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  Overbought shorter-term conditions could slow the pace of advance but a break of 1.2010 would shift focus to 1.2065.
  There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (14 Apr, spot at 1.1950). As highlighted, “improved momentum is likely to lead to
  further EUR strength and the next major resistance is at 1.2010”. Overbought shorter-term conditions could slow the pace of advance but
  a break of 1.2010 would not be surprising. The next resistance is at 1.2065. On the downside, a breach of 1.1915 (‘strong support’ level
  was at 1.1875 yesterday) would indicate that the EUR strength that started earlier last week (see annotations in the chart below) has run
  its course.

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  Bias for EUR/USD is on the downside but any weakness is expected to encounter solid support at 1.1740. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.1970)
  Read more

            LEVELS
                                                                                    Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                            Resistance
                                                                           Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.1945                          R1: 1.2010
                                                                           1.1946   1.1987   1.1945    1.1978   +0.27%   +0.91%   +0.22%     -1.92%
              S2: 1.1915                          R2: 1.2065

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
3|P a g e
GBP/USD: 1.3780
            24-HOUR VIEW
  GBP is likely to trade between 1.3740 and 1.3810.
  Yesterday, we noted that GBP “could edge upwards but the major resistance at 1.3810 is unlikely to come under threat”. Instead of edging
  upward, GBP popped to 1.3809, dropped quickly to 1.3751 before rebounding to trade sideways for the rest of the session. Upward
  momentum has not improved and for today, GBP is likely to trade between 1.3740 and 1.3810.

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  GBP has to close above 1.3810 before a sustained advance can be expected.
  On Monday (12 Apr, spot at 1.3705), we held the view that GBP is “likely to trade between 1.3670 and 1.3810”. GBP rose to 1.3809
  yesterday (14 Apr) before easing off. While shorter-term momentum has not improved by much, a break of 1.3810 is not ruled out. That
  said, GBP has to close above 1.3810 before a sustained advance can be expected (next resistance is at 1.3850). At this stage, the prospect
  for such a move is not high but it would remain intact as long as GBP does not move below 1.3715 within these few days.

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  Risk for GBP/USD is tilted to the downside but any corrective pullback is expected to encounter solid support at 1.3530. (dated 19 Mar
  2021, 1.3945) Read more

            LEVELS
                                                                                  Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                           Resistance
                                                                          Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.3740                         R1: 1.3810
                                                                         1.3752   1.3809   1.3751    1.3776   +0.17%   +0.27%    -1.39%    +0.83%
              S2: 1.3715                         R2: 1.3850

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
4|P a g e
AUD/USD: 0.7730
            24-HOUR VIEW
  Rapid rise in AUD could extend but major resistance at 0.7785 is likely out of reach.
  The strong surge in AUD to 0.7738 came as a surprise (we expected AUD to strengthen but we were of the view that a break of 0.7675
  is unlikely). The sharp and rapid rise is clearly overbought but robust momentum suggests that AUD could strengthen further. However,
  the major resistance at 0.7785 is likely out of reach (0.7760 is already quite a strong level). Support is at 0.7700 followed by 0.7680.

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  Risk is for a higher AUD towards 0.7785.
  We noted yesterday that “shorter-term momentum is beginning to improve” and we held the view that AUD “has to close above 0.7700
  before a move to 0.7745 can be expected”. We did not anticipate the sudden upward acceleration as AUD surged to 0.7738 during NY
  hours. The rapid improvement in momentum is likely to lead to further AUD strength towards 0.7785. Overall, the risk is for a higher AUD
  and only a break of 0.7645 (‘strong support’ level) would indicate that our view is wrong.

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  Outlook for AUD/USD is tilted to the downside but any weakness is unlikely to challenge the September 2020 peak at 0.7413. (dated 19
  Mar 2021, 0.7810) Read More

            LEVELS
                                                                              Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                         Resistance
                                                                      Open     High     Low      Close     1D       1W       1M         YTD
              S1: 0.7680                       R1: 0.7760
                                                                     0.7644   0.7738   0.7635    0.7723   +1.03%   +1.46%   -0.44%     +0.40%
              S2: 0.7645                       R2: 0.7785

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
5|P a g e
NZD/USD: 0.7145
            24-HOUR VIEW
  NZD is likely to strengthen further even though major resistance at 0.7200 is unlikely to come into the picture for now.
  While our expectation for NZD to strengthen was correct, our view that 0.7100 “is unlikely to come into the picture” was not as NZD
  rocketed to 0.7150 during NY hours. In view of the solid momentum, NZD is likely to strengthen further even though the rather overbought
  conditions indicate that the major resistance at 0.7200 is unlikely to come into the picture for now (minor resistance is at 0.7170). On the
  downside, 0.7090 is expected to be strong enough to hold any pullback (minor support is at 0.7120).

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  Rapid improvement in momentum is likely to lead to further NZD strength towards 0.7200.
  We highlighted yesterday that “shorter-term momentum is showing sign of improving but only a clear break of 0.7100 would indicate that
  NZD is ready to move higher on a sustained basis”. We did not anticipate the manner by which NZD blast past 0.7100 and rocketed to
  0.7150. Rapid improvement in momentum is likely to lead to further NZD strength towards 0.7200. The current positive outlook for NZD is
  deemed intact as long as it does not move below 0.7065 (‘strong support’ level).

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  NZD/USD is likely to trade with a downward bias but the 55-week exponential moving average is unlikely to come into the picture (dated
  19 Mar 2021, 0.7240) Read more

            LEVELS
                                                                                Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                          Resistance
                                                                        Open     High      Low     Close      1D       1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 0.7090                        R1: 0.7170
                                                                       0.7055   0.7150    0.7048   0.7140   +1.18%   +1.80%   -0.52%     -0.57%
              S2: 0.7065                        R2: 0.7200

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
6|P a g e
USD/JPY: 108.85
            24-HOUR VIEW
  Room for USD to edge lower but major support at 108.40 is likely out of reach for today.
  Our expectations for USD to “weaken further” did not materialize as it traded in a surprisingly quiet manner between 108.74 and 109.09.
  Downward momentum has clearly waned but there is still room for USD to edge lower. That said, the major support at 108.40 is likely out
  of reach for today. Resistance is at 109.10 followed by 109.30.

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  Pullback in USD could extend to 108.40, with lower odds for extension to 108.00.
  No change in view from yesterday, see reproduced update below.

  We have held a negative view in USD for more than a week now (see annotations in the chart below). In our latest narrative from Monday
  (12 Apr, spot at 109.65), we highlighted that “downside risk in USD is still intact but chance for a sustained decline below 109.00 is not
  high”. In other words, we did not quite anticipate the sudden sharp decline yesterday and the ease by which USD cracked 109.00 earlier.
  The vastly improved momentum indicates that the pullback that started earlier last week could extend to 108.40, with lower odds for
  extension to 108.00. Overall, USD is deemed to be under pressure as long as 109.60 is not breached (‘strong resistance’ level was at
  110.35 yesterday).

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  Strong rally in USD/JPY has more room to run; break of trend-line at 110.00 would not be surprising but the February 2020 peak near
  112.20 is likely out of reach within 2Q2021. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 109.00) Read more

            LEVELS
                                                                             Ranges 14 Apr 21                       Percentage change
               Support                       Resistance
                                                                    Open       High       Low      Close     1D       1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 108.40                     R1: 109.30
                                                                   109.04     109.09     108.74   108.91   -0.13%   -0.85%    -0.08%    +5.49%
              S2: 108.00                     R2: 109.60

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
7|P a g e
USD/CNH: 6.5320
            24-HOUR VIEW
  Room for weakness in USD to test 6.5180 first before stabilizing.
  While we expected USD to weaken yesterday, we were of the view that “6.5300 is unlikely to come into the picture”. The subsequent
  weakness in USD exceeded our expectation as USD dropped to 6.5255. Downward momentum appears to have slowed somewhat but
  there is room for the weakness in USD to test 6.5180 first before stabilizing. Resistance is at 6.5400 followed by 6.5450.

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  Rapid improvement in momentum is expected to lead to further USD weakness but 6.5000 may not come into the picture so soon.
  Yesterday, we noted that USD “is under mild downward pressure and a daily closing below 6.5400 could lead to weakness towards 6.5300”.
  We did not anticipate the subsequent sharp decline as USD dropped to 6.5255 before closing at 6.5317. The rapid improvement in
  downward momentum is expected to lead to further USD weakness even though 6.5000 may not come into the picture so soon. Overall,
  the current downward pressure in USD is deemed intact as long as it does not move above 6.5530 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 6.5630
  yesterday).

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  Recovery in USD/CNH has plenty of room, both price and time-wise to extend further even though major resistance at 6.6700 could be
  but of reach within the second quarter of 2021. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 6.4980) Read more

            LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                          Resistance
                                                                        Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 6.5180                        R1: 6.5450
                                                                        6.5425   6.5478   6.5255    6.5317   -0.15%   -0.27%    +0.53%    +0.46%
              S2: 6.5000                        R2: 6.5530

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
8|P a g e
EUR/SGD: 1.6005
            24-HOUR VIEW
  Chance for EUR to test 1.6035 first before easing.
  We highlighted yesterday that “the rapid rise appears to be overdone but there is room for the advance to test 1.6035 first before easing”.
  Our expectation did not materialize as EUR rose to 1.6026. Upward momentum has not improved by much but there is still chance for
  EUR to test 1.6035 first before easing. Support is at 1.5985 followed by 1.5960.

            1-3 WEEKS VIEW
  Momentum has improved further; EUR could strengthen towards 1.6035, possibly 1.6060.
  No change in view from yesterday, see reproduced update below.

  We have expected EUR to move higher since last Wednesday (07 Apr, spot at 1.5890; see annotations in the chart below). In our latest
  narrative from Monday (12 Apr, spot at 1.5965), we indicated that “upward momentum has improved slightly but any further EUR strength
  is likely limited to a test of 1.6000”. While our view for a stronger EUR is correct, we did not anticipate the ease by which EUR surged past
  1.6000 (overnight high of 1.6026). Upward momentum has improved further and EUR could strengthen towards 1.6035, possibly as high
  as 1.6060. On the downside, a break of 1.5930 (‘strong support’ level previously at 1.5900) would indicate that the current upward pressure
  has eased.

            1-3 MONTHS VIEW
  EUR/SGD could trade sideways, roughly between the two major levels of 1.5855 and 1.6350. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.6030) Read more

            LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                          Resistance
                                                                        Open      High      Low     Close      1D       1W        1M       YTD
              S1: 1.5960                        R1: 1.6035
                                                                       1.6022    1.6026    1.5964   1.6005   -0.11%   +0.53%    -0.42%    -0.79%
              S2: 1.5930                        R2: 1.6060

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
9|P a g e
GBP/SGD: 1.8415
           24-HOUR VIEW
   GBP is likely to trade sideways between 1.8370 and 1.8445.
   Yesterday, we highlighted that “the underlying tone has weakened somewhat but while GBP could dip below 1.8370; it is unlikely to break
   the major support at 1.8340”. Our expectation did not materialize as GBP traded between 1.8381 and 1.8453. Momentum indicators are
   mostly neutral and for today, GBP is likely to trade sideways between 1.8370 and 1.8445.

           1-3 WEEKS VIEW
   GBP has moved into a consolidation phase and is likely to trade between 1.8340 and 1.8550 for now.
   No change in view from yesterday, see reproduced update below.

   There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (13 Apr, spot at 1.8420). As highlighted, GBP has moved into a consolidation phase
   and is likely to trade between 1.8340 and 1.8550 for now.

           1-3 MONTHS VIEW
   Overbought rally has room to extend but it is left to be seen if GBP/SGD can maintain a foothold above the 2018 peak of 1.8815. Next
   resistance is at 1.9000. (dated 19 Mar 2020, 1.8700) Read more

           LEVELS
                                                                                  Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
                Support                          Resistance
                                                                          Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.8370                        R1: 1.8445
                                                                         1.8437   1.8453   1.8381    1.8405   -0.17%   -0.08%    -1.69%    +1.90%
               S2: 1.8340                        R2: 1.8550

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
10 | P a g e
AUD/SGD: 1.0320
           24-HOUR VIEW
   Sharp rally has scope to extend but overbought conditions could limit any advance to 1.0350.
   The swift and sharp rally in AUD to 1.0329 came as a surprise (we were expecting AUD to consolidate). The rally has scope to extend
   but overbought conditions indicate that any advance could be limited to 1.0350. Support is at 1.0295 followed by 1.0275.

           1-3 WEEKS VIEW
   AUD is expected to trade with an upward bias but 1.0385 may not come into the picture so soon.
   We highlighted yesterday that “a break of 1.0270 would indicate that the current mild downward pressure has eased”. We did not anticipate
   the sudden surge that sent AUD to 1.0329. The rapid improvement in momentum indicates that AUD could strengthen further even though
   the major resistance at 1.0385 may not come into the picture so soon. Overall, AUD is expected to trade with an upward bias as long as it
   does not move below the ‘strong support’ at 1.0250.

           1-3 MONTHS VIEW
   AUD/SGD could strengthen but lackluster momentum suggests odds for a sustained rise above the 2018 peak of 1.0630 are not high.
   (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.0490) Read more

           LEVELS
                                                                                   Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
                Support                          Resistance
                                                                          Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.0275                        R1: 1.0350
                                                                          1.0243   1.0329   1.0217    1.0321   +0.74%   +1.07%    -1.16%    +0.81%
               S2: 1.0250                        R2: 1.0385

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
11 | P a g e
JPY/SGD: 1.2275
           24-HOUR VIEW
   JPY is likely to trade sideways between 1.2250 and 1.2300.
   Our expectation for JPY to “move above 1.2315” was incorrect as it dropped to 1.2243 before recovering slightly (high has been 1.2307).
   Indicators are mostly flat and for today, JPY is likely to trade sideways between 1.2250 and 1.2300.

          1-3 WEEKS VIEW
   Upward momentum has improved; a break of 1.2315 would shift the focus to 1.2350.
   No change in view from yesterday, see reproduced update below.

   On Monday (12 Apr, spot at 1.2255), we highlighted that JPY “is expected to trade with an upside bias towards 1.2315”. We added, “at this
   stage, the prospect for a sustained advance above this level is not high”. We did not quite anticipate the strong rise in JPY to an overnight
   high of 1.2299. Upward momentum has improved and a break of 1.2315 would shift the focus to 1.2350. Overall, only a break of 1.2230
   (‘strong support’ level previously at 1.2200) would indicate that the upside risk has dissipated.

           1-3 MONTHS VIEW
   JPY/SGD could breach the 2020 low of 1.2200; chance for decline to extend to the 2019 low of 1.2060 is not high. (dated 19 Mar 2021,
   1.2330) Read more

           LEVELS
                                                                                     Ranges 14 Apr 21                     Percentage change
                Support                            Resistance
                                                                            Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W        1M       YTD
               S1: 1.2250                          R1: 1.2315
                                                                            1.2296   1.2307   1.2243    1.2263   -0.27%   +0.46%    -0.58%    -4.13%
               S2: 1.2230                          R2: 1.2350

FX Insights
Thursday, 15 April 2021
12 | P a g e
UOB FX & Interest Rate Outlook
    FX Outlook         2Q21           3Q21           4Q21               1Q22        Rates Outlook                  2Q21             3Q21                 4Q21             1Q22

   EUR/USD              1.18          1.19           1.20                1.20              EU                     0.00%             0.00%            0.00%                0.00%
   GBP/USD              1.38          1.40           1.41                1.42              UK                     0.10%             0.10%            0.10%                0.10%
   AUD/USD              0.77          0.78           0.79                0.79              AU                     0.10%             0.10%            0.10%                0.10%
   NZD/USD              0.72          0.73           0.74                0.74              NZ                     0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%
   USD/JPY              109            108            107                107               JP                     -0.10%           -0.10%            -0.10%               -0.10%
   USD/SGD              1.35          1.33           1.32                1.32       SG (3M SOR)                   0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%
   USD/MYR              4.15          4.10           4.05                4.05              MY                     1.75%             1.75%            1.75%                1.75%
   USD/THB             31.10         31.20           31.50              31.50              TH                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.75%
   USD/CNY              6.55          6.50           6.40                6.40              CN                     3.85%             3.85%            3.85%                3.85%
   USD/IDR             14,600        14,700         14,800              14,800             ID                     3.50%             3.50%            3.50%                3.75%
   USD/PHP             48.50         48.20           48.00              48.00              PH                     2.00%             2.00%            2.00%                2.00%
   USD/INR             74.00         74.50           75.00              75.50              IN                     4.00%             4.00%            4.00%                4.00%
   USD/TWD             28.50         28.30           28.20              28.20              TW                     1.13%             1.13%            1.13%                1.13%
   USD/HKD              7.75          7.75           7.75                7.75              HK                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.50%
   USD/KRW             1,150         1,130           1,100              1,100              KR                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.50%
                                                                                           US                     0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%

  Last updated on 31 Mar 21: Potent Fiscal Forces To Fuel More USD Uncertainty
  Last Updated on 19 Mar 21: From Reflation Bliss To Inflation Woes

   Central Bank Meetings 2021
   Central Bank                                        Jan      Feb         Mar     Apr         May       Jun            Jul   Aug          Sep          Oct    Nov        Dec
   Federal Reserve (FOMC)                              27           -       17*      28              -    16*            28         -          22*        -         03         15*
   European Central Bank (ECB)                         21           -          11    22              -        06         22         -          09        28          -         16
   Bank of England (BOE)                                -       04#            18     -             06#       24          -    05#             23         -     04#            16
   Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)                      -       02             02    06             04        01         07        03          07        05         02         07
   Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)                   -       24^             -    14             26^       -          14        18^          -        06         24^         -
   Bank of Japan (BOJ)                                21**          -          19   27**             -        18      16**          -          22    28**            -     17**
   Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS)                -           -           -    14              -        -           -         -           -        tba         -          -
   Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)                          20           -          04     -             06        -          08         -          09         -         03          -
   Bank of Thailand (BOT)                               -       03             24     -             05        23          -        04          29         -         10         22
   Bank Indonesia (BI)                                 23       18             18    14             19        18         16        19          17        13         19         17
   Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)                    -       11             25     -             13        23          -        12          23         -         11         16
   Bank of Korea (BOK)                                 15       25              -    15             27         -         15        26           -        12         25          -
   Taiwan Central Bank (CBC)                            -           -      18         -              -        17          -         -          23         -          -         16
   Reserve Bank of India (RBI)                          -           5           -    07         -         -          -         -           -         -          -          -

  *Meetings associated with a Summary of Economic Projections.
  #
   Meetings associated with release of Monetary Policy Report.
  ^Meetings associated with release of Monetary Policy Statement.
  **Meetings associated with release of Outlook Report.

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Thursday, 15 April 2021
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