From Net Zero ambition to Total strategy - September 2020 - Total.com
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Safety, Total’s core value Cornerstone of operational efficiency & sustainability Coping with the Covid-19 health crisis Total Recordable Injury Rate for Total and peers* Per million man-hours 1.5 Our employees 1. 1.0 05 Our customers Contractors 0.8 Our operations Group Staff 0. 0.5 73 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H20 Our communities One fatality in 2020 * Peers: BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 2
Global trends underpinning evolution of energy markets Natural Gas • Key in energy transition, available, affordable and complement to renewables • LNG driving growth • Will get greener with biogas and H2 Growing population in emerging countries aiming at higher living standards Electricity leading to growing energy demand • Growing demand further increased by despite energy efficiency gains Net Zero policies • Renewables will decarbonize power generation Oil Objective of Climate neutrality • Acceleration of innovation to substitute for the planet oil use • Oil demand plateau 2030+ then decline with impact on long-term prices Carbon Sinks • Required to achieve Net Zero 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 5
Our Ambition : Getting to Net Zero Total shares the ambition to get to Net Zero by 2050 together with society for its global business (Scope 1+2+3) 3 major steps to get Total to Net Zero Net Zero on Operations by 2050 or sooner 1 (Scope 1+2) 2 Net Zero in Europe by 2050 or sooner (Scope 1+2+3) 60% or more Net Carbon Intensity reduction 3 by 2050 (Scope 1+2+3) 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 4
Transforming Total into a broad energy company Natural Gas • Grow LNG (#2 player) and develop biogas / clean H2 • Promote natural gas for power and mobility Electricity • Accelerate investments in low carbon electricity primarily from renewables • Integrate along the electricity value chain (production, storage, trading, supply) Oil • Focus investments on low cost oil and biofuels • Adapt refining capacity and sales to demand in Europe Carbon Sinks • Invest in carbon sinks (NBS and CCUS) Total becoming Total EnergieS creating long-term value for shareholders 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 6
Growing energy production Mboe/d PJ/d 4 ~120 Electrons TWh Biogas 20 3 Gas 2 10 Biofuel 1 Oil 2019 2030 LNG and Electricity driving Profitable Growth 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 7
Reducing emissions New Commitments on Scope 3 emissions of our customers, in absolute value Scope 3 emissions* MtCO2e 400 Emerging world Europe 200 -30% Europe 2015 2030 Europe: -30% by 2030 on the way to Net Zero by 2050 Worldwide : 2030 lower than 2015 * From energy products used by our customers 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 8
Growing sales while adapting to demand Energy sold to our customers PJ/y 12,000 % in sales Electrons 15% Biogas, H2 5% 50% 40% Natural Gas Biofuels 55% 35% Oil products 2019 2030 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 9
Aligning investments to become a broad energy company Capital investments % Oil & Gas LNG Bio-businesses Renewables & Electricity 2015-20 2021-25 2026-30 Renewables & Electricity (B$/y) 1.5 >2 >3 % of Group Capex 10% > 15% > 20% 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 10
Increasing cash flow with double digit profitability CFFO* B$ 40 20 Oil & Gas LNG Renewables & Electricity 2H19-1H20 2025 2025 Brent ($/b) 51 50** 60** ROE > 10% at 50 $/b by 2025 * From businesses ** Same refining margin vs. 2H19-1H20 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 11
Competitive advantages to become a broad energy company Building on legacy expertise to grow in Renewables and Electricity Customer proximity Global reach / global brand Trading expertise in oil, gas and electricity Integration Gas to Power Offshore expertise Project management Worldwide footprint Oil & Gas cash flow 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 12
One Tech: integrating all technical expertise to support transformation Concentrating all Bringing expertise to Group’s technical support new energy expertise growth One Tech In place by Fostering innovation Summer 2021 and cross fertilization > 3,300 Engineers in a central organization 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 13
Increasing energy in gases, electrons and liquids
Gases
Resilient LNG demand growth Medium-term LNG supply & demand Mt/y Strong +10%/y 2015-19 growth supported by coal-to-gas switch 500 Demand growth Sanction delayed +7% growth in 1H20 vs. 1H19 +5 to 7%/y despite Covid-19 To be sanctioned Under construction Project sanction delays due to crisis will tighten supply… … benefiting Total’s projects Existing supply already sanctioned, with 300 start-ups by 2025 2019 2020 2025 Source: IHS, Total analysis 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 16
Prominent position across the integrated LNG value chain LNG global portfolio Yamal LNG 50 Mt/y Snøhvit LNG Arctic LNG 2* LNG sales by 2025 Rotterdam Cove Point LNG Skikda ECA LNG Arzew ELNG Cameron LNG + T4 Sohar LNG Freeport LNG Sabine Pass LNG Qatargas Qalhat LNG & Oman LNG Adnoc LNG Oman Yemen LNG Nigeria LNG Singapore + T7* Angola LNG Papua LNG Equity production Mozambique LNG* Ichthys LNG Long-term supply Long-term sales Gladstone LNG >10 Mt/y Regasification terminals LNG production in operation or planned growth Bunkering hub 2025 vs. 2020 * In construction Subject to FID Trading and Regasification and Development Equity production shipping supply of gas of new markets Size and integration key to capture value 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 17
Flagship LNG projects fueling 2025 growth < 3.5 $/Mbtu cost delivered to Asia Russia - Arctic LNG2 Nigeria LNG Train 7 Mozambique LNG Total 21.6%* - First LNG end-2023 Total 15% - First LNG 2023 Total 26.5% - First LNG 2024 Leveraging Yamal LNG success Low cost expansion World-class gas resource Low upstream costs, > 7 Bboe(100%) Large, low cost gas resources Giant high-quality upstream resources, > 60 Tcf 100% 19.8 Mt/y LNG plant Leveraging Nigeria LNG to add 12.9 Mt/y capacity 7.6 Mt/y to existing 22 Mt/y 30% lower cost vs. Yamal LNG due Leveraging scale to lower costs to efficient GBS** design and Capex ~700 $/t LNG plant < 850 $/t synergies with Yamal LNG 38% progress*** despite Covid-19 EPC contracts awarded in May 20 Project financing in place TANZANIA Golfinho / Atum Offshore Area 1 ~650 M$/y ~150 M$/y ~1 B$/y ~700 M$/y Prosperidade CFFO# CFFO# CFFO# CFFO Palma at 50 $/b at 50 $/b At at 60 50 $/b $/b 2025+ 2025+ 2025+ 2025+ Orca Mozambique LNG MOZAMBIQUE Tubarão * Direct + Indirect ** Gravity-based structure Mocímboa ** End August 2020 da Praia Tubarão Tigre # CFFO project view in Group share 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 18
A rich portfolio to feed low cost LNG growth post-2025 LNG production Mt/y Russia giant Mozambique giant Arctic resources Area 1 resources 40 20 US brownfield trains Papua LNG (Cameron, ECA) 2020 2025 2030 Large resource base providing options to deliver production growth by 2030 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 19
Growing integrated LNG positions 2nd largest worldwide player LNG sales Supply by source Mt/y % 100% Supply from ~x2 3rd party Spot 60 50% Supply from equity JVs 30 Equity JV sales to 3rd party 2020 2025 2030 2020 2025 Creating value from scale and arbitrage 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 20
Europe: developing a customer portfolio to pull LNG value chain 2025 Customers CCGT (~5 GW) ~2 Mt consumed Midstream Supply Regasification capacities LNG Portfolio 11 Mt/y out of 20 Mt/y 11 Mt/y out of 45 Mt/y Marketing (4 M gas customers) ~9 Mt sold 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 21
Integrated LNG delivering cash flow growth Creating value from scale and arbitrage CFFO B$ 60 $/b 4 50 $/b 40 $/b 2 2019 2025 Brent ($/b) 64 50 NBP ($/Mbtu) 4.9 5 JKM ($/Mbtu) 5.5 5.5 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 22
Relentlessly reducing methane emissions < 0.1% Intensity* of Upstream methane emissions operated Gas Mt CO2e assets -45% 2 2010 2015 2019 2025 Near Zero emissions * Volume CH 4 / volume of net gas export 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 23
Green Gas: decarbonizing natural gas with Biogas and H2 Biomethane Clean hydrogen Production TWh/y 6 4 2 Blending natural gas with clean H2 for CCGT Producing clean H2 for industries and processes 2025 2030 Supplying clean H2 for buses, trains, private fleets… trucks in the future Supplying > 10% of our CCGTs in Europe by 2030 La Mède biorefinery green H2 project showcase 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 24
Electrons
Low carbon electricity: growing and integrating along the chain 2025 Production CCGT ~5 GW* Trading ~20 TWh net Supply & Aggregation 2025 Customers Marketing 9 M customers ~80 TWh Renewables Storage 35 GW* ~30 TWh net Grid balancing * Gross capacity 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 26
Renewables: strengthening the Group business model and adding long-term value Predictable cash flow Capital light model with long term upside > 10% ü Guaranteed PPA, CfD 1 Development ü Corporate PPA 5-6% opportunities 2 Leverage (70/30) ü Upsides • Tail value beyond PPA 3 Farm Down (~50%) • Green H2 production • Aggregation & Trading 4 O&M, Integration ü Balancing Group cash flow risk profile Typical project IRR TOTAL Equity IRR 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 27 31
Building on 2020 dynamic to raise the bar +10 GW in 2020 with equity return > 10% Gross renewable capacity GW 35 GW 40 30 Spain Yet to find 20 France Wind Solar 10 Qatar Seagreen In development India In construction In operation* Already in 2025 portfolio Capturing profitable opportunities with low entry cost * As of July 2020 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 28
Growing low carbon electricity production Electricity net production TWh/y kboe/d 120 500 50 TWh 60 250 2020 2025 2030 Gas fired power plants Renewables Building a world leader in renewables: 35 GW* in 2025, +10 GW/y beyond 2025 * Gross capacity 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 29
Global footprint for building a unique renewables portfolio Europe 15,000 MW Middle East US 2,000 MW 3,000 MW China 3,000 MW Rest of Asia 2,000 MW Africa India 1,000 MW 6,000 MW South America 3,000 MW Presence by 2025 New regions rebalancing Group geopolitical profile 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 30
Pioneer in floating offshore wind technology Up to 1,500 MW Up to 400 MW > 2,000 MW UK UK South Korea Seagreen Erebus Bada One of the largest UK First floating offshore Scaling up in offshore wind projects wind floating offshore wind 51% Total / 49% SSE 80% stake 50% Total/50% Macquarie 3.7 B$ project Semi-sub technology ~70% gearing Lease secured Collecting wind data 70% covered by PPA Target FID 2024 (100 MW) Target FID 2023 (500 MW) Building on E&P expertise and supply chain Develop floating offshore wind efficient technologies (TLP*, semi-sub, keel…) Market benefiting from strong policy support * Tension Leg Platform 2020 Strategy and Outlook | | 31
Visibility on Renewables & Power value creation Production NOI TWh net 50 TWh B$ 1 B$ 11 TWh 0.2 B$ 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 CFFO Capital employed B$ B$ > 1.5 B$ 15 B$ 6 B$ 0.1 B$ 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2020 Strategy and Outlook | | 32
Liquids: value over volume
Oil markets: low investments to trigger price rebound Upstream investments* B$/y Underinvestment ~ 700 Fewer FID in 2020 ~ 400 ~ 300 4-5%/y decline rate Uncertain shale oil dynamic 2014 2017-19 2020 Annual capacity of sanctioned projects** Mb/d Reduced supply 1.9 0.25 Supportive for oil price medium-term rebound 2017-19 2020 (YTD) Sources: WoodMackenzie ** O&G, including shale, excluding exploration ** Oil fields > 50 Mb, excluding shale 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 34
Integrating along the oil value chain Mb/d 2 Biofuels 1 2019 2025 2030 Liquid production Refining capacity Oil product sales Adapt refining capacity and sales to demand in Europe Growing biofuels 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 35
Constantly highgrading portfolio to increase resilience 30% Upstream portfolio change over 2015-20 Group cash breakeven* Upstream production costs** 120 > 100 $/b 10 90 5 $/boe 60 5 30 < 25 $/b 2014 2016 2018 2020-25 2014 2016 2018 2020-25 Capex efficiency and resilient Downstream Permanent focus on cost * Pre-dividend organic ** ASC 932 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 36
Middle East and North Africa low cost oil underpinning Group resilience at 40 $/b #1 IOC oil producer in MENA** > 650 < 3.5 ~10% kboe/d $/boe 2020 ROACE production* 2020+ Opex at 35 $/b in 2020 Libya Iraq Qatar Waha, 16.3% Halfaya, 22.5% Al-Shaheen, 30%, op. El Sharara 12-15% ~40% of Group oil resources World-class low cost assets Low sensitivity to oil prices UAE Algeria ADNOC onshore, 10% Sonatrach Partnership ADNOC offshore: El Merk/Ourhoud/Hassi Berkine 12.25% 20% Umm Shaïf/Nasr, 5% Lower Zakum * ~75% oil ** Middle East and North Africa 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 37
Building material position in low cost Brazil pre-salt deep offshore ~1.5 B$ >150 ~4.5 CFFO kboe/d $/boe ~1 Bboe pre-salt resources in 2025 production Opex ASC932 at 50 $/b in 2025 2021+ Developing giant low-breakeven Rio de Janeiro São Paulo Mero and Iara fields BRAZIL C-M-541, 30%* Op. Mero, 20% Lapa, first IOC operator in pre-salt Iara, 22.5% Lapa, 35%, op. High profile exploration portfolio • C-M-541 block, 2 wells planned Entered biofuel growing market through Marketing & Services Producing Under development Pre-FID Exploration opportunities * Subject to closing of ongoing 10% farm-out 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 38
Exploration focusing on low development cost Budget capped at 1 B$/y WoodMac most admired High Impact and low cost explorer* Nearby facilities Suriname – Block 58 Central North Sea – Nearby Exploration Canje 10 0m Glengorm Culzean N OR Orinduik Maka Central UK WAY Elgin- Sapakara West 10 GUYANA Kwaskwasi Franklin 0m Keskesi Kanuku B58 Isabella New discoveries New discoveries Upcoming drillings Producing fields Exploration blocks Operated blocks 0 40Km 0 25Km Other discoveries SURINAM Non-Operated blocks 3 major discoveries in 2020 2019-20 discoveries > 400 Mboe Positive dynamic in Exploration contributing to future growth * Total : Most-admired Explorer according to WoodMackenzie 2020 Survey 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 39
Large portfolio of profitable low cost oil projects Countercycle 2020 FIDs Mero 3 – Brazil Total 20% - First oil 2024 > 15% ~16 $/boe • • Production 150 kb/d (100%) Giant reserves IRR at 50 $/b avg. technical Ekofisk cost* • Technical costs 20% IRR at 50 $/b • Carbon intensity 23 kgCO2/boe Dunga Ph. 3 Anchor Al Shaheen 2 Lake Albert Project – Uganda Ballymore Total 56.6%, Op. – First oil 2024 North Platte Ikike A6 Preowei • Production 230 kb/d (100%) Suriname Tilenga & Kingfisher Owowo • Large reserves > 1 Bboe • Technical costs < 20 $/b Block 20/21 Mero 2 • 15% IRR at 50 $/b Mero 3 • Carbon intensity 23 kgCO2/boe Mero 4 Iara 3 2019 Lapa 3 Angola short cycle tie-backs 2020 Total ~30% - Relaunching drilling 2021+ (FEED, under study) • Production 150 kb/d (100%) Ensuring consistency for Capex allocation • Flexible Capex, quick pay-out with Total Climate ambition • > 20% IRR at 50 $/b * ASC 932 • Carbon intensity < 15 kgCO2/boe 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 40
Net zero by 2050 or sooner across Total’s worldwide operations Scope 1 & 2 emissions from operated oil and gas facilities All sites mobilized Mt/y – CO2e on carbon footprint reduction 50 46 41.5 < 40 40 Acquisitions Developing strong internal & start-ups from 2015 low-carbon culture 25 All levers activated: efficiency, operating philosophy, process optimization or upgrade 0 0 2015 2019 2025 > 500 emission reduction initiatives Carbon sinks bottom-up across all sites (NBS, CCS) -25 -25 2015 2019 2050 or sooner Objective: 5 to 10 Mt/y sink capacity by 2030 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 41
Becoming a leader in renewable diesel Capturing synergies with existing assets Renewable diesel production Mt/y Converting Developing on Co-processing existing assets existing platforms 5.0 La Mède: 500 kt/y 300 kt/y in Europe, Evaluating 500 kt/y starting-up over project on Daesan Zero oil platform, 2022-24 integrated platform 400 kt/y bio-refinery in South Korea in Grandpuits, Evaluating project start-up 2024 in Port Arthur refinery in US 2.5 600-750 $/t Capex ~500 $/t Capex ~750 $/t Capex Low Capex vs. greenfield development (> 1,000 $/t) 2020 2025 2030 Designing assets to allow feedstock flexibility CFFO 2019-20 : 350 $/t 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 42
Decreasing Scope 3 emissions of our customers by adapting energy sales to market evolution
Actively shaping demand Adapting to customers, shifting sales to gas and electricity • Promote renewables and gases Power • Develop storage solutions generation • No more fuel oil sold to power generation from 2025 • EVs • CNG, LNG, biogas and H2 Mobility • Biofuels • SAF for the future • Promote natural gas use for domestic boilers (vs. heating Heating oil) and steam production (vs. heavy fuel) • Foster energy efficiency 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 44
Growing biofuels in our sales mix Biofuel sales kboe/d 300 ü Largest biofuel retailer in Rest of Europe the world ü Actively promoting E85 in France 150 Europe ü Expanding biofuels retail in Brazil 2019 2025 2030 Biofuels representing 10 to 15% of fuel sales by 2030 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 45
Gases for mobility LNG bunker fuel Natural Gas Hydrogen for marine transportation for road transportation for road transportation Building global supply chain for > 500 NGV stations in the US1 26 hydrogen stations in Germany LNG bunker fuel Expanding NGV. By 2025: (> 25% of the H2 MOBILITY Long-term chartering of network in 2020) • 450 NGV stations in Europe 2 LNG-propelled VLCCs with ≥ 50% biomethane Private hydrogen refueling Supply agreements with leading stations for bus fleets in Benelux • > 600 NGV stations in Asia and France shipping companies (India, Pakistan) Targeting > 10% market share Developing H2 truck-stations Targeting 1 Mt/y sales by 2025 in Europe by 2025 1 Through Group’s participation in Clean Energy 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 46
Developing top tier positions in Electric mobility value chain Committing over 1 B$ in the next 10 years Investing in battery manufacturing Positioning on EV charging segments 2020 JV with PSA in Europe 15,000 operated charging points end-2019 • Phased project with pilot in SAFT factory B2B/B2G: successes in large European cities: starting in 2020 London, Amsterdam, Brussels • 500 M$ equity injection over 10 years Fast Charging Points: one super-fast charging station (150 kW+) every 150 km in Europe by 2022 • Leveraging cutting-edge R&D from Group 48 GWh capacity (1 M EVs) in 2030 Targeting 150,000 charging points by 2025 > 10% equity IRR > 10% equity IRR 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 47
Ambition for our global Scope 1+2+3 Emissions reduction, Net Carbon Intensity of energy products sold to our customers a cross industry effort Base 100 in 2015 Realized Ambition vs. 2015 -6% -60% CO2 > -15% -35% or more 100 100 90 Airline companies 22 tCO2 * 80 70 60 Plane Airports manufacturer 22 tCO2 2 tCO2 22 tCO2 50 40 Engine 30 30 manufacturer 22 tCO2 2015 2019 2030 2040 2050 Scope 1 Scope 3 Total vs. Majors: the best track record since 2015 * Emissions from jet fuel for 1,000 km journey 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 48
Meeting our customers demand : growing sales while reducing emissions Energy sold to our customers Scope 3 emissions* PJ/y MtCO2e 12,000 15% Electrons 400 Biogas, H2 5% Emerging world 40% 50% Natural Gas 200 -30% Biofuels Europe 55% 35% Oil products 2019 2030 2015 2030 Commitment for Europe: -30% by 2030 on the way to Net Zero by 2050 Worldwide : 2030 lower than 2015 * From energy products used by our customers 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 49
Resilience & Growth underpinning investment case
Be excellent on what we control Cash breakeven < 25 $/b in 2020 HSE Delivery Costs Cash 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 51
Capital investment: discipline and flexibility Capital investment* B$ Renewables & Electricity 13-16 • Growing share with > 15% of < 14 Group Capex over 2021-25 < 12 • Confirming floor > 2 B$/y 2021 • Facing uncertainty • Preserving flexibility with > 30% not committed 2020 re vised 2021 2022-25 Brent ($/b) 40? 50-60 * Capital investment = Organic Capex + acquisitions – disposals 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 52
Cost reduction: accelerating and increasing efforts in all segments Opex savings vs. 2019 base Exercising Leveraging contracts favorable flexibility market 2 B$ 1 B$ Optimizing Digital operations & logistics Feb. 2020 guidance Freezing recruitments Streamlining 2020 2023 Excl. new HQ staff energies & digital On track to deliver 1 B$ savings in 2020 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 53
Upstream production: value over volume LNG projects driving 2021+ profitable growth Production kboe/d ~2%/y Pre-FID Quotas* impact in 2020: Projects already 100 kboe/d 3 launched +40% LNG production growth over 2020-25 2 Base Low 3%/y decline thanks to ~50% of long plateau with no decline (LNG, Middle East…) 1 2019 2022 2025 Weathering the storm Profitable project start-ups • Quotas Short-cycle reactivation • Portfolio flexibility * OPEC+ quotas and curtailments 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 54
Delivering cash flow growth Debt adjusted cash flow (DACF) B$ ROE >10% @ 50$/b 60 $/b +5 B$ 50 $/b 25 at 50 $/b 40 $/b 51 $/b 40 $/b 10 2H19-1H20 2021** 2025* * Same European Refining margin than realized 2H19-1H20 (30 $/t) ** Brent 40 $/b – NBP 4.5 $/Mbtu - HH 2.5 $/Mbtu – European Refining margin 35 $/t 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 55
Clear priorities for cash flow allocation 1 2 3 4 Capital Balance Share Dividend investment sheet buyback 13-16 B$ over 2022-25 Gearing < 20% Flexible at Supported higher oil prices at 40 $/b Renewables & Power Grade A credit rating when gearing < 20% > 2 B$ 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 56
UN Global Actively engaged in ESG Compact LEAD Company Environment / Climate Social Governance New by-laws: Board Overcoming Covid-19 with Getting to Net Zero ambition overseeing Social and solidarity. No layoffs. Environmental stakes Lead Independent Director Transparency Safety as a value. directly engaged with New biodiversity policy Mobilizing for Zero fatality shareholders Aligning advocacy with Promoting gender equality CEO compensation climate ambition & international diversity linked to Climate ambition 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 57
Transforming Total into a broad energy company Growing profitably while decreasing emissions Growing energy production from LNG and Renewables • Capitalizing on competitive advantages to thrive profitably in Renewables & Electricity • High-quality low-cost hydrocarbon assets and strong discipline on spend Committed to reduce absolute Scope 3 emissions by 2030 • Clear Climate ambition and targets • Adapting sales mix to demand evolution Dividend supported at 40 $/b • Low breakeven < 25 $/b • Robust balance sheet Total EnergieS : compelling investment case supporting stock rerating 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 58 1
Disclaimer This document may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities However, in certain instances, transactions such as restructuring costs or asset disposals, which are not Litigation Reform Act of 1995, notably with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, business considered to be representative of the normal course of business, may be qualified as special items activities and industrial strategy of TOTAL. This document may also contain statements regarding the although they may have occurred within prior years or are likely to occur again within the coming years. perspectives, objectives and goals of the Group, including with respect to climate change and carbon neutrality (net zero emissions). An ambition expresses an outcome desired by the Group, it being specified (ii) Inventory valuation effect The adjusted results of the Refining & Chemicals and Marketing & Services segments are presented that the means to be deployed do not depend solely on TOTAL. These forward-looking statements may according to the replacement cost method. This method is used to assess the segments’ performance and generally be identified by the use of the future or conditional tense or forward-looking words such as “envisions”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “considers”, “plans”, “expects”, “thinks”, “targets”, “aims” facilitate the comparability of the segments’ performance with those of its competitors. or similar terminology. Such forward-looking statements included in this document are based on economic In the replacement cost method, which approximates the LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) method, the variation of data, estimates and assumptions prepared in a given economic, competitive and regulatory environment inventory values in the statement of income is, depending on the nature of the inventory, determined using and considered to be reasonable by the Group as of the date of this document. either the month-end price differentials between one period and another or the average prices of the period rather than the historical value. The inventory valuation effect is the difference between the results These forward-looking statements are not historical data and should not be interpreted as assurances that the perspectives, objectives or goals announced will be achieved. They may prove to be inaccurate in the according to the FIFO (First-In, First-Out) and the replacement cost. future, and may evolve or be modified with a significant difference between the actual results and those (iii) Effect of changes in fair value initially estimated, due to the uncertainties notably related to the economic, financial, competitive and The effect of changes in fair value presented as an adjustment item reflects for some transactions regulatory environment, or due to the occurrence of risk factors, such as, notably, the price fluctuations in differences between internal measures of performance used by TOTAL’s management and the accounting crude oil and natural gas, the evolution of the demand and price of petroleum products, the changes in for these transactions under IFRS. production results and reserves estimates, the ability to achieve cost reductions and operating efficiencies without unduly disrupting business operations, changes in laws and regulations including those related to IFRS requires that trading inventories be recorded at their fair value using period-end spot prices. In order to the environment and climate, currency fluctuations, as well as economic and political developments, best reflect the management of economic exposure through derivative transactions, internal indicators changes in market conditions, loss of market share and changes in consumer preferences including those used to measure performance include valuations of trading inventories based on forward prices. due to epidemics such as Covid-19. Additionally, certain financial information is based on estimates TOTAL, in its trading activities, enters into storage contracts, whose future effects are recorded at fair value particularly in the assessment of the recoverable value of assets and potential impairments of assets in Group’s internal economic performance. IFRS precludes recognition of this fair value effect. relating thereto. Furthermore, TOTAL enters into derivative instruments to risk manage certain operational contracts or Neither TOTAL nor any of its subsidiaries assumes any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking assets. Under IFRS, these derivatives are recorded at fair value while the underlying operational transactions information or statement, objectives or trends contained in this document whether as a result of new are recorded as they occur. Internal indicators defer the fair value on derivatives to match with the information, future events or otherwise. Further information on factors, risks and uncertainties that could transaction occurrence. affect the Group’s business, financial condition, including its operating income and cash flow, reputation or outlook is provided in the most recent version of the Universal Registration Document which is filed by the The adjusted results (adjusted operating income, adjusted net operating income, adjusted net income) are Company with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers and the annual report on Form 20-F/A filed with the defined as replacement cost results, adjusted for special items, excluding the effect of changes in fair value. United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Euro amounts presented herein represent dollar amounts converted at the average euro-dollar (€-$) Financial information by business segment is reported in accordance with the internal reporting system and exchange rate for the applicable period and are not the result of financial statements prepared in euros. shows internal segment information that is used to manage and measure the performance of TOTAL. In This document also contains extra-financial performance indicators, including a carbon intensity indicator addition to IFRS measures, certain alternative performance indicators are presented, such as performance indicators excluding the adjustment items described below (adjusted operating income, adjusted net for energy products used by Total customers, that measures the average greenhouse gas emissions of operating income, adjusted net income), return on equity (ROE), return on average capital employed those products, from their production to their end use, per unit of energy. This indicator covers the direct GHG emissions of production and processing facilities (scope 1) and their indirect emissions associated with (ROACE), gearing ratio and operating cash flow before working capital changes. These indicators are meant to facilitate the analysis of the financial performance of TOTAL and the comparison of income between periods. energy purchase (Scope 2), as well as the emissions associated with the use of products by the customers of the Group (Scope 3) which Total does not control (for the definitions of scopes 1, 2 and 3, refer to Total’s They allow investors to track the measures used internally to manage and measure the performance of the Group. Universal Registration Document). These adjustment items include: Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to separately disclose proved, probable and possible reserves that a company has determined in accordance (i) Special items with SEC rules. We may use certain terms in this presentation, such as “potential reserves” or “resources”, that Due to their unusual nature or particular significance, certain transactions qualified as "special items" are the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to excluded from the business segment figures. In general, special items relate to transactions that are consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F/A, File N° 1-10888, available from us at 2, place Jean Millier – significant, infrequent or unusual. Arche Nord Coupole/Regnault – 92078 Paris-La Défense Cedex, France, or at our website total.com. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or on the SEC’s website sec.gov. 2020 Strategy and Outlook | 59
For more information, please visit total.com TOTAL SE Investor Relations 10 Upper Bank Street, Canary Wharf London E14 5BF United Kingdom Share capital: 6,632,810,062.50 euros 542 051 180 RCS Nanterre Reception: +33 (0)1 47 44 45 46 total.com Investor Relations: +44 (0)207 719 7962
You can also read