Flutter Flies High SHARES - BizPlus

 
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Flutter Flies High SHARES - BizPlus
SH AR E S

 Flutter Flies High
   Flutter Entertainment, which started out as Paddy Power, now has almost the same
                     market cap as CRH. Chris Sparks explains why

L
         ockdowns in Ireland and the                                                      2015 merger of Paddy Power with
         UK in the spring didn’t seem                                                     Betfair. The company entered the US
         good for Flutter Entertainment                                                   market in 2018 by buying into FanDuel,
         plc, the owner of the Paddy                                                      and the PaddyPower Betfair moniker
Power betting business. Bookie shops                                                      was swapped for Flutter in 2019.
were shuttered and live sport                                                               The Stars Group, a Canadian
disappeared from screens. Sure enough,                                                                   company, became the
like almost every other blue                                                                                          parent of
chip stock, the                                                                                                        PokerStars
share price                                                                                                           and Full Tilt
cratered 40% in                                                                                        Poker in 2014, paying
the month leading up to St                                                                           $4.9bn for a seat at the top
Patrick’s Day.                                                                               table. PokerStars is almost as old as
   Since then though, Flutter has been                                                    the internet, starting out in 2001. TSG
on a roll. From the mid-March low to                                                      bulked up in 2018 with the $4.7bn
the end of October, share price                                                           acquisition of Sky Betting & Gaming
appreciation was 140%. The company                                                        (SBG), and between the poker and
that started out with a few Dublin                                                        SBG, The Stars Group reported an
bookies banding together is now                                                           operating profit of $260m on revenue
Ireland’s second largest public company                                                   of $2,530m in 2019. Net profit was just
by market capitalisation, just behind                                                     $63m.
building materials colossus CRH.                                                            TSG’s interest payment on
   On the price/earnings metric, the                                                      borrowings last year was $300m, as
Flutter valuation doesn’t make sense.                                                     TSG had bought its online gambling
The company booked a net profit of                                                        market share with debt of $4.9bn.
£110m in 2019, which on the recent                                                        TSG’s December 2019 balance sheet
market cap of c.£20.7bn means a                                                           showed liabilities of $6.7bn and assets
trailing p/e of 118. In addition, this year                                               of $11.3bn, of which $9.9bn were
Flutter was so tight for cash that it paid                                                goodwill or intangibles. Including those
the final dividend with shares rather                                                     notional assets, net worth was
than cash, and had a dilutive rights                                                      estimated at $4.5bn.
issue.

                                                                                          T
   Even on a free cashflow basis, Flutter                                                         he Flutter/TSG combination gave
is expensive, with the share currently                                                            TSG shareholders a 45.4% stake
trading on a multiple of x44 times the                                                            in the enlarged company. At
free cashflow figure last year. However,                                                  recent share price levels for Flutter, that
investors look forward, not backwards,                                                    means TSG’s end-2019 stretched
and Flutter’s 2020 numbers will look a                                                    balance sheet has been swapped for
lot different from the outcome last year.                                                 something much more tangible,
                                              After the TSG merger, Flutter’s
   The key corporate development for                                                      currently worth £9.4bn ($12.2bn).
                                              betting operation in Australia
Flutter this year was approval by UK          improved operating profit by 50%            Flutter shareholders have also seen a
regulators in March for Flutter’s                                                         big lift in the value of their equity, but
takeover of The Stars Group (TSG), the        for new revenue sources, some US            not to the same extent.
Canadian company that also leveraged          states are gradually embracing the            With the addition of Sky Bet,
its way to becoming an online betting         gambling demon, and Flutter                 PaddyPower Betfair grew its UK
company of scale. That deal brought           shareholders are hoping that over time      sportsbook by half. The UK’s
Flutter into the booming online poker         the trickle will turn into a flood.         Competition & Market Authority stated
sector, and strengthened its market             Investors also like the story of market   the two brands would have a combined
position in the UK and Australia.             concentration. Though Flutter has its       market share of 30-40%, but waved the
   TSG also had something to offer in         corporate base in Ireland and sizeable      deal through anyway, taking the view
the US betting market, where Flutter          operations in Dublin, the company           that rivals such as bet365, Ladbrokes
has been putting down roots. Desperate        acquired more of a British hue after the    Coral, and William Hill would provide

 44   B USI NES S PLUS    NOV E M BE R /D ECE M BER 2 02 0
Flutter Flies High SHARES - BizPlus
COVER STORIES

November/December
      2020

                           26 Scurri                                            38 SME State Aids
                           Rory O’Connor’s Wexford business helps               Enterprise Ireland has deep pockets for
                           e-retailers optimise deliveries. Investors have      progressive SMEs. The agency has announced
                           had to be patient but the founder says profits       grants of over €500,000 in state aid for these
                           are in sight                                         firms this year
Cover Pic Andres Poveda

                                                                 Elan 26
 DEPARTMENTS
 4   Editor’s Note
 6   Business Beat
42   Books
46   Funds
48   Business News
                            44 Flutter Entertainment                             22 Google

52   Media & Marketing
                            Investors in what used to be Paddy Power             The US Justice Department is finally calling

70   Motoring
                            have more than doubled their money since             out tech giant Google for its anti-competitive
                            the spring lockdown. Market concentration            practices — EU regulators have been doing
72   Health Check
                            is one reason                                        so for years

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