Evaluation Findings 2018-21 - Global Environment Facility

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Evaluation Findings 2018-21 - Global Environment Facility
Independent Evaluation Office
  of the Global Environment Facility

                        Evaluation
                          Findings

2018–21

                                       April 2021
Contents

                                                                                                                                          1 Introduction  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 1
                                                                                                                                          2 Performance, sustainability, and scale-up of GEF interventions .  . 5
                                                                                                                                          3 Focal area impacts .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 13
                                                                                                                                          4 GEF modalities .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 25
                                                                                                                                          5 GEF support to countries .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 43
                                                                                                                                          6 GEF support to innovation .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 59
 © 2021 Global Environment Facility Independent Evaluation Office
 1818 H Street, NW, Washington, DC 20433
 Internet: www.gefieo.org/; email: gefevaluation@thegef.org
                                                                                                                                          7 The GEF’s engagement with the private sector .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 69
 Reproduction permitted provided source is acknowledged. Please cite the work as follows: Global Environment Facility Independent
 Evaluation Office (GEF IEO), Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights, Evaluation Report No. 145, Washington, DC: GEF IEO, 2021.

 The findings, interpretations, and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the
                                                                                                                                          8 The institutional framework of the GEF: policies and systems  .  . 79
                                                                                                                                          9 The GEF’s comparative advantage in building a greener future  . 95
 GEF Council or the governments it represents.

 This report was presented at the first GEF‑8 replenishment meeting, April 2021.

 All dollar amounts are U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated.

 ISBN: 978-1-64233-031-1
                                                                                                                                          Annex: OPS7 approach paper .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 103
 Task Team Leader and Chief Evaluator: Geeta Batra
 GEF IEO Director: Juha Uitto
 Editing and design: Nita Congress

02                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  i
Acknowledgments
                                                                                                              1
                                                                                                              Introduction

 T                                                                                                            T
              he material presented in this highlights     IEO TEAM                                                   his report is a first presentation by the     Continued poverty and worsening inequality
              report is drawn from draft and final eval-                                                              Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) of        around the world are themselves closely linked
              uation reports prepared by staff and         Director: Juha Uitto                                       the Global Environment Facility (GEF) of      with the environmental crises and therefore are
     consultants of the Independent Evaluation Office      Chief Evaluator and Deputy Director: Geeta Batra   the main findings of the evaluations that under-      of direct relevance to the GEF’s mandate. In this
     (IEO) of the Global Environment Facility (GEF).       Senior Evaluator: Carlo Carugi                     pin the Seventh Comprehensive Evaluation of the       context, OPS7 aims to contribute to how the GEF
     This report could not have been prepared with-        Senior Evaluator: Neeraj Negi                      GEF (OPS7), prepared to inform negotiations for       can most effectively support countries in moving
     out the timely and invaluable assistance of the       Senior Evaluator: Anna Viggh                       the eighth replenishment of the GEF. The present      toward a green future.
     IEO task team leaders and staff in providing doc-     Evaluator: Anupam Anand                            report includes key findings from completed and
     umentation and verifying information. The IEO         Evaluator: Jeneen Garcia                           ongoing IEO evaluations. The full OPS7 report will    Consistent with previous overall performance
     would also like to acknowledge the time and con-      Evaluator: Gabriel Sidman                          be made available for the second replenishment        studies (OPSs) and the GEF Instrument, the aim
     tributions of the GEF Agencies, the GEF Scientific    Evaluator: Kate Steingraber                        meeting in September 2021.                            of OPS7 is to assess the extent to which the GEF
     and Technical Advisory Panel, the GEF Secretar-       Evaluator: Kseniya Temnenko                                                                              is achieving its objectives as established by the
     iat, the operational and country focal points, the    Evaluation Analyst: Sara El Choufi                 The GEF-8 replenishment takes place at a time         GEF Instrument, in reviews by the GEF Assem-
     GEF Council, and civil society.                       Evaluation Analyst: Molly Watts                    when the world is facing multiple challenges. Cli-    bly, and as developed and adopted by the GEF
                                                           Evaluation Analyst: Peixuan Zhou                   mate change impacts are already felt in terms of      Council in operational policies and programs for
                                                           Senior Officer: Juan Portillo                      increasing weather anomalies, and awareness           GEF-financed activities, with a view to identifying
                                                           Information Analyst: Francisco Grahammer           of the risks is at an all-time high—while effec-      areas for potential improvement going forward.
                                                           Research Analyst: Malac Kabir                      tive solutions to address climate change are still    The Council-approved approach paper for OPS7 is
                                                           Administrative Professional: Evelyn Chihuguyu      needed. At the same time, ecosystem destruc-          included in the annex to this report.
                                                           Administrative Professional: Manuella Koukoui      tion, deforestation, and biodiversity loss continue
                                                           Chief Editor: Nita Congress                        unabated; and there is a pollution and waste crisis   In all, 34 evaluations have been conducted over
                                                                                                              that receives much less attention but has severe      the OPS7 period: 20 are completed (box 1.1), and
                                                                                                              effects on the environment and human health.          14 are ongoing (box 1.2). This report presents
                                                                                                              Overuse of natural resources and environmen-          key findings from all of the completed evalua-
                                                                                                              tal degradation have direct bearing on people’s       tions that have been presented to the GEF Council
                                                                                                              well-being and food security, as both terrestrial     and preliminary findings from most of the ongo-
                                                                                                              and marine ecosystems are stressed.                   ing evaluations.1 The status of each individual

                                                                                                              The COVID-19 pandemic that has defined 2020–21
                                                                                                              is primarily seen as a health crisis with seri-       1
                                                                                                                                                                      Not all of these evaluations are delineated separately in
                                                                                                                                                                    the following pages. Notably, evidence from the Evaluation
                                                                                                              ous social and economic impacts, but it is driven     of Health Co-Benefits of GEF Interventions in Chemicals
                                                                                                              by the overuse and abuse of the natural envi-         and Waste and An Evaluative Approach to Assessing GEF’s
                                                                                                                                                                    Additionality is drawn upon, but the details of these evalua-
                                                                                                              ronment—demonstrating how ecosystem health            tions are not summarized here. We also draw on the findings
                                                                                                              and human health are inextricably intertwined.        of the special report Lessons for COVID-19 from GEF IEO
                                                                                                                                                                    Evaluations.

ii                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1
2                                                                    Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights     1: Acknowledgments                                                                                          3

                                                                                                                 of focus is GEF support in promoting environ-         A P P RO AC H A N D M E T H O D S
    BOX 1.1 Completed evaluations (2018–21)                BOX 1.2 Ongoing evaluations (2018–21)                 mental outcomes and sustainability in countries,
                                                                                                                                                                       Key evaluation parameters—such as relevance,
                                                                                                                 captured in the strategic country cluster evalua-
    1.	 Evaluation of Health Co-Benefits of GEF            1.	 Evaluation of GEF Engagement with Micro,
                                                                                                                                                                       impact, performance, and the catalytic role of the
        Interventions in Chemicals and Waste                   Small, and Medium Enterprises                     tions of least developed countries, Africa’s Sahel
                                                                                                                                                                       GEF—that were investigated in earlier OPSs are
    2.	 Lessons for COVID-19 from GEF IEO                  2.	 Evaluation of Institutional Policies and          and Sudan-Guinea Savanna biomes, and small
        Evaluations                                            Engagement at the GEF                                                                                   now a part of the regular work program of the
                                                                                                                 island developing states; and GEF performance in
                                                                                                                                                                       IEO and addressed in all component OPS7 eval-
    3.	 Evaluation of GEF Support in Fragile and           3.	 Evaluation of GEF Support to High GEF Recip-      fragile states. The GEF’s role in supporting coun-
        Conflict-Affected Situations                           ient Countries                                                                                          uations. Every component evaluation adopts a
                                                                                                                 tries through various mechanisms such as the
    4.	 Least Developed Countries Strategic Country        4.	 Comparative Advantage and Governance of                                                                 mixed-methods approach utilizing quantitative
                                                                                                                 Small Grants Programme, the medium-size proj-
        Cluster Evaluation                                     the GEF                                                                                                 and qualitative data sources as appropriate. These
                                                                                                                 ect modality, and the Country Support Program
    5.	 Strategic Country Cluster Evaluation: Sahel        5.	 A Formative Evaluation of the GEF Integrated                                                            methods include desk research, portfolio analy-
                                                                                                                 are addressed. The GEF realizes that to achieve
        and Sudan-Guinea Savanna Biomes                        Approach to Address the Drivers of Environ-                                                             sis, surveys, interviews, and geospatial analyses.
                                                               mental Degradation                                results at scale requires strong partnerships, par-
    6.	 Strategic Country Cluster Evaluation: Small                                                                                                                    Since OPS6, the IEO has also explored the factors
        Island Developing States                           6.	 Results-Based Management and Portal and           ticularly with the private sector. The GEF’s role
                                                                                                                                                                       affecting the sustainability of GEF interventions
                                                               Results Architecture                              in supporting micro, small, and medium enter-
    7.	 Evaluation of GEF Interventions in Interna-                                                                                                                    and focused on the innovation and additionality of
        tional Waters: Freshwater and Fisheries            7.	 Evaluation of GEF Support to Sustainable Forest   prises as well as early-stage start-ups—which
                                                               Management and REDD+                                                                                    the GEF.
    8.	 Evaluation of GEF Interventions in the Artis-                                                            together constitute most of the private sector in
        anal and Small-Scale Gold Mining Sector            8.	 Climate Change Resilience Mainstreaming           GEF client countries—is assessed.
                                                                                                                                                                       OPS7 will draw on evaluation evidence accumu-
    9.	 Review of the GEF Terminal Evaluation Vali-        9.	 Evaluation of the GEF Wildlife Program
                                                                                                                                                                       lated by the IEO during the period 2018–21. It will
        dation Process                                                                                           In addition to the above, this report includes an
                                                           10.	 Evaluation of the Nongrant Instrument                                                                  also draw on completed evaluations undertaken
    10.	 Evaluation of the GEF-UNIDO Global                                                                      assessment of institutional issues, including the
                                                           11.	 Agency Self-Evaluation Systems                                                                         by other independent evaluation offices of GEF
         Cleantech Innovation Programme                                                                          implementation of GEF policies related to gender;
                                                           12.	 Innovation in the GEF                                                                                  Agencies during the OPS7 period.
    11.	 Evaluation of GEF Support to Scaling Up                                                                 safeguards, engagement with stakeholders, civil
         Impact                                            13.	 Evaluation of GEF Enabling Activities            society, the private sector, and indigenous peo-
                                                                                                                                                                       In light of the travel restrictions imposed by the
    12.	 Evaluation of the GEF Country Support             14.	 Program Evaluation of the Special Climate        ples; as well as institutional processes, including
         Program                                                Change Fund                                                                                            global pandemic, OPS7 and some of the ongo-
                                                                                                                 results-based management and knowledge
    13.	 Third Joint GEF-UNDP Evaluation of the                                                                                                                        ing evaluations significantly draw on on-line
                                                                                                                 management.
         Small Grants Programme                                                                                                                                        data gathering efforts, geospatial analysis, and
    14.	 Evaluation of the Role of Medium-Size Proj-     evaluation (completed or ongoing) is provided                                                                 data collected during previous field missions.
                                                                                                                 Focal area studies on climate change, biodi-
         ects in the GEF partnership                                                                                                                                   Thirty-two missions were carried out for the
                                                         throughout the report, and the findings are clearly     versity, international waters, and chemicals
    15.	 Evaluation of GEF Support to Mainstreaming      labeled as either “key” or “preliminary.” All find-                                                           evaluations included in OPS7. The IEO has also
         Biodiversity                                                                                            and waste are ongoing. Evaluations on the GEF
                                                         ings presented in this report, regardless of status,                                                          worked closely with local consultants to assist
                                                                                                                 high-recipient countries, resilience, and the
    16.	 Evaluation of Knowledge Management in the
                                                         have been discussed with GEF management.                                                                      with field work. The overall aim is to distill evi-
         GEF                                                                                                     enabling activity modality, are similarly ongo-
                                                                                                                                                                       dence from a variety of sources to provide insights
    17.	 Value for Money Analysis of GEF Interventions                                                           ing, as is an update on the GEF wildlife program.
         in Support of Sustainable Forest Management                                                                                                                   into the role the GEF has played—and could
                                                                                                                 Some preliminary findings from these are noted
    18.	 An Evaluative Approach to Assessing GEF’s
                                                         OPS7 THEMES AND                                         here; the full findings, conclusions, and recom-
                                                                                                                                                                       potentially play—within governments and in GEF
         Additionality                                   EMPHASES                                                mendations will be included in the September
                                                                                                                                                                       Agencies in supporting the environmental agenda.
    19.	 Program Evaluation of the Least Developed       OPS7 is assessing the GEF’s progress on imple-          2021 OPS7 report.
         Countries Fund
                                                         mentation and achievement of the GEF 2020
    20.	 Annual Performance Report 2020: GEF Sup-
                                                         Strategy against the objectives of greater integra-
         port to Sustainable Transport
                                                         tion, innovation, scaling up, and achieving impacts
                                                         with greater efficiency. A significant thematic area
2
Performance, sustainability,
and scale-up of GEF
interventions

T
        his section presents an analysis of the                        the extent to which a completed project achieved
        performance and sustainability of Global                       the outcomes expected at implementation com-
        Environment Facility (GEF) projects                            pletion. Cumulatively, 80 percent of all the rated
based on terminal evaluations. Postcompletion                          projects, which account for 78 percent of GEF
evaluation reports based on field verifications—                       grants, are rated in the satisfactory range for out-
conducted at least two years or more after project                     comes. Seventy-nine percent of the projects of
completion—were reviewed for 62 completed                              the Seventh Comprehensive Evaluation of the GEF
projects. We also include findings and lessons                         (OPS7) cohort were rated in the satisfactory range
from an evaluation on the GEF’s experience in                          for outcomes, which is similar to the results for
scaling up impacts, which is an important ele-                         the OPS6 cohort. Analysis based on the replen-
ment of the GEF Strategy and a mechanism for                           ishment period of project approval shows that,
achieving broader adoption.                                            to date, 88 percent of completed projects from
                                                                       the GEF‑5 replenishment period are in the sat-
                                                                       isfactory range; note, however, that a significant
O U TC O M E S A N D                                                   number of the projects from this period are still
S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y AT                                          under implementation (figure 2.1).
COMPLETION
                                                                       Project sustainability ratings have improved
Eighty percent of GEF projects have satisfac-
                                                                       over time. The sustainability rating estimates the
tory outcomes. The outcome rating assesses
                                                                       extent to which a project’s outcomes are durable

FIGURE 2.1 Percentage of projects with outcomes rated in the satisfactory range by replenishment
period

  74%           80%            78%            78%            82%              88%           79%          79%          80%

 Pilot         GEF-1          GEF-2          GEF-3          GEF-4            GEF-5      OPS6 cohort OPS7 cohort All projects
(n = 76)      (n = 112)      (n = 296)      (n = 476)      (n = 568)        (n = 153)     (n = 581)    (n = 499)   (n = 1,351)

SOURCE: APR2020 data set.
NOTE: Data for GEF‑5 and the OPS7 cohort are incomplete. Complete data for OPS7 will be available in June 2021.

                                                                                                                                 5
6                                                                                           Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights    2: Performance, sustainability, and scale-up of GEF interventions                                                                         7

 and the project is likely to achieve its expected                         to be assessed at least a few years after imple-            TABLE 2.1 Sustainability ratings at implementation completion versus postcompletion
 long-term impact. Cumulatively, 62 percent of the                         mentation completion to assess actual project                                                                            Observed sustainability at postcompletion evaluation
 completed projects are rated in the likely range                          sustainability. Independent postcompletion eval-                                                                 Sustainable range         Unsustainable range                  Total
 for sustainability (figure 2.2). Sixty-four percent of                    uation reports—based on field verifications                                                                        %             No.            %           No.            %             No.
 the completed projects of the OPS7 cohort were                            conducted at least two years or more after proj-                                   Likely to be sustainable        60                37         15            9            74             46
                                                                                                                                           Projected
 rated in the likely range for sustainability, which                       ect completion—were reviewed for 62 completed                sustainability at   Unlikely to be sustainable        11                 7         10            6            21             13
 is similar to the 63 percent for the OPS6 cohort.                         projects. These verifications were conducted                 implementation                       Not rated         3                 2          2            1             5                 3
 Replenishment period–based analysis gives a                               through December 2019. The results of this                     completion
                                                                                                                                                                                  Total       74                46         26           16           100             62
 clearer picture. It shows that projects that were                         review show that projects that were projected as
                                                                                                                                       SOURCE: GEF IEO APR2020 data set; review of postcompletion evaluations.
 approved in GEF‑4 and GEF‑5 have higher sus-                              likely to be sustainable did in fact generally sus-
 tainability ratings than those approved in the                            tain during the postcompletion period (table 2.1).
 preceding periods. This indicates an improvement                          For the vast majority of projects analyzed, risks
                                                                                                                                       TABLE 2.2 Change in sustainability outlook of completed projects
 over time in the likelihood of sustainability for                         to the sustainability outlook at closure remain
 completed projects.                                                       the same or improve from the point of imple-                                                        Change in likelihood of sustainability at postcompletion versus completion
                                                                           mentation completion to the postcompletion                                                          Higher               Same                 Lower       Unable to assess            Total
                                                                           assessment (table 2.2). These results were also                                                   %       No.       %        No.          %         No.     %       No.          %            No.
    P O S TC O M P L E T I O N                                             confirmed in the strategic country cluster evalua-             Projected
                                                                                                                                                            Likely range    13          8      37          23        13          8     11        7         74            46
    S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y                                             tions reported on in section 5.                              sustainability   Unlikely range       5         3      11           7         2          1      3        2         21            13
                                                                                                                                          at project          Not rated       0         0       3           2         0          0      2        1          5                3
    Projects that are assessed as likely to be sus-                                                                                      completion
                                                                           Country context, quality of implementation,                                             Total    18        11       52          32        15          9     16      10          100           62
    tainable at implementation completion are
                                                                           and quality of execution affect likelihood of               SOURCE: GEF IEO APR2020 data set; review of postcompletion evaluations.
    observed to be actually sustainable during the
                                                                           sustainability. This finding from the postcom-
    postcompletion period. At project completion,
                                                                           pletion review confirms the OPS6 finding and
    assessment of sustainability is based on a future
                                                                           is consistent with findings from the strategic
    outlook of sustainability, as sufficient time has not                                                                              complementary legal and regulatory measures,                        Greater incidence of broader adoption processes
                                                                           country cluster evaluations. The review found
    elapsed to provide evidence. The long-term con-                                                                                    financial support for follow-up, and sustained                      is reported at postcompletion than at implemen-
                                                                           factors such as stakeholder and/or beneficiary
    tinuation of project benefits and progress need                                                                                    efforts by the executing agency to be import-                       tation completion. Figure 2.3 compares reported
                                                                           buy-in, political support including adoption of
                                                                                                                                       ant determinants of sustainability. The review                      incidence of broader adoption processes in post-
                                                                                                                                       also found a statistically significant correlation                  completion evaluation reports and in terminal
                                                                                                                                       between materialized cofinancing and the qual-                      evaluations. The comparison shows that incidence
FIGURE 2.2 Percentage of projects with sustainability of outcomes rated in the likely range by                                         ity of monitoring and evaluation (M&E) design                       of broader adoption processes such as sustaining,
replenishment period
                                                                                                                                       (which is a proxy for project design) and the like-                 mainstreaming, and market change was higher at
                                                                                                                                       lihood of sustainability ratings. A comparison by                   postcompletion than at implementation comple-
                                                                                                                                       region shows that projects in Africa have an over-                  tion. The mechanism of scaling-up and the factors
                                                                                                                                       all lower likelihood of sustainability than projects                affecting scaling-up are presented later in this
      47%           60%            60%            59%            67%              67%              63%         64%          62%
                                                                                                                                       in other regions. These sustainability ratings in                   section.
                                                                                                                                       Africa show nominal—but not statistically signif-
                                                                                                                                       icant—improvement across the replenishment                          Increase in broader adoption is reported in a
                                                                                                                                       periods. Improvement in the sustainability ratings                  greater number of project activities at post-
     Pilot         GEF-1          GEF-2          GEF-3          GEF-4            GEF-5         OPS6 cohort OPS7 cohort All projects
    (n = 70)      (n = 105)      (n = 279)      (n = 458)      (n = 536)        (n = 140)        (n = 545)   (n = 462)   (n = 1,593)   of projects in Asia and of global projects is more                  completion. The review showed a statistically
                                                                                                                                       pronounced and statistically significant.                           significant increase in the percentages of projects
    SOURCE: APR2020 data set.
    NOTE: Data for GEF‑5 and the OPS7 cohort are incomplete. Complete data for OPS7 will be available in June 2021.                                                                                        for which activities related to the broader adoption
8                                                                                            Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights       2: Performance, sustainability, and scale-up of GEF interventions                                                                                     9

 FIGURE 2.3 Incidence of broader adoption processes in projects at implementation completion and                                           FIGURE 2.4 Projects with implementation/execution quality rated in the satisfactory range by GEF
 postcompletion: percentage of projects                                                                                                    replenishment period

                          74%                                                                                            Postcompletion                                               Implementation       Execution
         Sustaining***
                          42%                                                      Completion

                          53%
    Mainstreaming**
                          34%
                                                                                                                                                  73%            77%             80%             80%              82%              89%              80%              80%               81%
        Replication       45%
                                                                                                                                           55%             74%            75%              77%             85%              93%               79%              84%               81%
                          35%

          Upscaling       29%
                          16%
                                                                                                                                              Pilot         GEF-1           GEF-2            GEF-3           GEF-4            GEF-5          OPS6 cohort OPS7 cohort All projects
                          37%                                                                                                              (n = 60, 62)   (n = 58, 61)   (n = 198, 202)   (n = 453, 447)   (n = 543, 530)   (n = 150, 141)    (n = 547, 547)   (n = 483, 456)   (n = 1,467, 1,448)
    Market change**
                          16%
                                                                                                                                           SOURCE: APR2020 data set.
    SOURCE: Review of postcompletion evaluations.                                                                                          NOTE: Data for GEF‑5 and the OPS7 cohort are incomplete. Complete data for OPS7 will be available in June 2021.
    NOTE: n = 62. Confidence levels: ** = 95 percent; *** = 99 percent.

                                                                                                                                           Executing agencies are responsible for execu-                                M O N I TO R I N G A N D
    of technology dissemination, governance arrange-                           based on an assessment of the performance of                tion of project activities on the ground under                               E VA LU AT I O N
    ments (including development of legal and policy                           the GEF Agency. It reflects the extent to which the         the supervision of the GEF Agency. This involves
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        There is an improving trend in the quality
    measures), and management approaches (includ-                              GEF Agency has performed its role satisfactorily            activities such as execution of project design, pro-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        of M&E design and its implementation (fig-
    ing development of management plans and                                    in project identification and preparation, start-up,        curement, stakeholder consultations, and project
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        ure 2.5). Project monitoring involves the design
    strategies) at postcompletion (table 2.3).                                 supervision, application of GEF policies and pro-           monitoring. Project execution is assessed to be
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        and implementation of an M&E plan to track
                                                                               cedures, and project M&E. It also reflects the              in the satisfactory range for 80 percent of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        implementation progress and results. GEF Agen-
                                                                               extent to which the GEF Agency took timely cor-             projects of the OPS7 cohort. Cumulatively, proj-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        cies include an M&E plan in the project design
    I M P L E M E N TAT I O N A N D                                            rective actions when gaps in project design and             ect execution is assessed to be satisfactory for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        and implement this plan during project imple-
    EXECUTION                                                                  implementation were found. Figure 2.4 presents              81 percent of projects (figure 2.4). Overall, based
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        mentation. An M&E plan is expected to specify
                                                                               trends across the replenishment periods during              on the replenishment period in which projects are
    Of the completed projects of the OPS7 cohort,                                                                                                                                                                       indicators to track processes and results, respon-
                                                                               which projects were approved. Improvement in                approved, there is an improving trend in the exe-
    84 percent were rated in the satisfactory range                                                                                                                                                                     sibilities, frequency of data collection, reporting
                                                                               implementation ratings is noted for the GEF‑4 and           cution rating.
    for implementation and 80 percent for execu-
                                                                               GEF‑5 replenishment periods.
    tion. The quality of the implementation rating is
                                                                                                                                           FIGURE 2.5 Projects with M&E design/implementation rated in the satisfactory range by GEF
                                                                                                                                           replenishment period
                                                                                                                                                                             M&E design        M&E implementation

    TABLE 2.3 Broader adoption processes and the elements adopted: percentage of projects
                                          Sustaining         Mainstreaming           Replication        Upscaling      Market change
                                          PC        C         PC           C        PC          C       PC      C        PC            C
                                                                                                                                                  41%            66%             64%             60%              67%              80%              62%              67%               65%
     Technology dissemination            27   **
                                                     8  **
                                                               5           5        27   *
                                                                                              11 *  *
                                                                                                        11      3       31    **
                                                                                                                                   11**
                                                                                                                                           35%             40%            58%              63%             73%              87%               62%              77%               66%
     Governance arrangements             39**      18**       44***       16***      3          2       10     10       16             6
     Management approaches               40***     15***       5           6        11        10        10      5         3            0
                                                                                                                                              Pilot         GEF-1           GEF-2            GEF-3           GEF-4            GEF-5          OPS6 cohort OPS7 cohort All projects
     Institutional capacities            39        31         16           8        23        13        13      3       11             3   (n = 66, 41)   (n = 87, 71)   (n = 264, 233)   (n = 470, 451)   (n = 565, 549)   (n = 154, 150)    (n = 570, 546)   (n = 495, 482)   (n = 1,611, 1,498)

    SOURCE: Review of postcompletion evaluations.                                                                                          SOURCE: APR2020 data set.
    NOTE: n = 62. C = project completion; PC = postcompletion. Confidence levels: * = 90 percent; ** = 95 percent; *** = 99 percent.       NOTE: Data for GEF‑5 and the OPS7 cohort are incomplete. Complete data for OPS7 will be available in June 2021.
10                                                                                     Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights    2: Performance, sustainability, and scale-up of GEF interventions                                             11

 procedures, and budget for monitoring activi-                          materialized; for 16 percent, less than half of the       environmental benefits, such as within a specific        develop a sense of ownership for the intervention,
 ties. Where required, an M&E plan may need to be                       promised cofinancing materializes. The OPS7               market or other system. Scaling-up takes place           and those that make the benefits of adopting the
 updated/modified during implementation. Qual-                          cohort performance is broadly in the same range           through the following mechanisms:                        intervention clear and salient.
 ity of M&E design and implementation are rated to                      as the average—although for a higher percent-
 reflect the extent to which an M&E plan was well                       age of its projects, less than half of the promised       ■ Replication refers to implementing the same            For the relevant stakeholders to implement
 designed and well implemented. Sixty-six per-                          cofinancing materialized.                                   intervention multiple times, thereby increasing        interventions that generate impact, supporting
 cent of the projects were rated in the satisfactory                                                                                the number of stakeholders and/or covering             institutions must sustain the enabling conditions
 range for quality of M&E design. Sixty-five per-                                                                                   larger areas, usually by leveraging finance,           for implementation. All successful cases received
 cent of the projects were rated in the satisfactory                    S CA L E - U P                                              knowledge, and/or policy.                              some form of support for longer than one project
 range for M&E implementation. Overall, there is                                                                                  ■ Mainstreaming involves integrating an                  cycle, mainly from their respective governments.
 an improving trend.                                                                                                                intervention within an institution’s regular           This evaluation and other research has found that,
                                                                        Evaluation of GEF Support to
                                                                                                                                    operations, usually through a policy or law.           in general, sustained support of 10–20 years is
                                                                        Scaling Up Impact
                                                                                                                                    While mainstreaming typically occurs within a          necessary for scaling-up to take place.
     COFINANCING                                                        STATUS: Presented to Council                                specific national or local government agency,
                                                                        REPORT: https://www.gefieo.org/evaluations/scaling                                                                 Three factors emerged as important in ensur-
                                                                                                                                    it may also occur simultaneously through
 The average materialized cofinancing is 125 per-                                                                                                                                          ing long-term support for scaling-up processes.
                                                                                                                                    multiple government agencies or in other
 cent of the amount promised at project start;                          This evaluation draws on previous GEF experience                                                                   These are (1) becoming a political priority,
                                                                                                                                    institutions, such as donors, civil society orga-
 in 66 percent of projects, at least 90 percent of                      in scaling-up to better understand the processes                                                                   (2) gaining the support of political and economic
                                                                                                                                    nizations, or private companies.
 the promised cofinancing materialized. Data on                         through which scale-up occurs and the conditions                                                                   influencers, and (3) working through existing
 materialized cofinancing are available for 1,430                       under which it is effectively achieved.                   ■ Linking is the implementation of multi-
                                                                                                                                                                                           long-term structures. All of these factors may be
 projects (table 2.4). The data show that, on aver-                                                                                 ple types of interventions that, by design, all
                                                                                                                                                                                           influenced by a program’s appropriate choices
 age, the realized financing is higher than the                         Scaling-up is an increase in the magnitude of               contribute to the same impact at the scale
                                                                                                                                                                                           of people and institutions to work with, and
 promised amount. In 66 percent of the projects,                        global environmental benefits and/or expansion of           of a system defined by environmental, eco-
                                                                                                                                                                                           through participatory processes and knowledge
 at least 90 percent of the promised cofinancing                        geographical and sectoral areas covered by global           nomic, or administrative boundaries. Among
                                                                                                                                                                                           dissemination.
                                                                                                                                    the systems mentioned were landscape, sea-
                                                                                                                                    scape, ecoregion, value chain, and national            For scaling-up processes to be sustained,
     TABLE 2.4 Cofinancing materialized                                                                                             government.                                            supporting institutions have to learn from sys-
                                            Cofinancing     Cofinancing                          < 90%              > 50%                                                                  tematic feedback that will allow them to adapt
                                             promised       materialized   Materialization   materialization    materialization
                                                                                                                                                                                           the scaling-up process to changing contexts and
         Period/cohort             n           per $ of GEF grant ($)          ratio                     % of projects            KEY FINDINGS
                                                                                                                                                                                           make it more cost-effective. Systematic learning
      Pilot                         59            6.80          6.54            0.96                67                   16
                                                                                                                                  Key factors influencing the scaling-up pro-              mechanisms usually took the form of knowledge
      GEF-1                         93            2.86          2.34            0.82                55                   17
                                                                                                                                  cess cluster around three key actions: adoption          exchange networks and regular multistakeholder
      GEF-2                       253             4.91          5.83            1.19                71                   11
                                                                                                                                  of the intervention, sustained support for scal-         meetings.
      GEF-3                       408             4.59          5.59            1.21                67                   16
                                                                                                                                  ing activities, and learning for adaptability and
      GEF-4                       492             6.53         10.02            1.54                64                   19
                                                                                                                                  cost-effectiveness.
      GEF-5                       120             5.96          5.86            0.98                68                   19                                                                MAIN CONCLUSIONS
      GEF-6                            5          8.94          9.27            1.04                80                    0
                                                                                                                                  For impact to be scaled up, the relevant
                                                                                                                                                                                           ■ The GEF’s focus on scaling is more explicit
      OPS6 cohort                 476             5.82          7.78            1.34                65                   16       stakeholders must first want to implement inter-
                                                                                                                                                                                             than in many other international development
      OPS7 cohort                 427             6.91          8.66            1.25                60                   23       ventions that generate impact. Factors that
                                                                                                                                                                                             institutions. But like other institutions, the
      All projects              1,430             5.18          6.49            1.25                66                   16       contribute to stakeholder willingness to adopt
                                                                                                                                                                                             GEF’s vision for scaling-up is not consistently
     SOURCE: APR 2020 data set.                                                                                                   interventions cluster into two types: those that
     NOTE: n = projects for which full data are reported.
3
12                                                                                                  Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights

                                                                                                                                              Focal area impacts
                   clear in operational guidance across its                             ■ The GEF’s own comparative advantage lies in
                   portfolio.                                                             supporting pilots that demonstrate positive
     ■ The GEF uses multiple modes—replication,                                           benefits and establishing enabling condi-
       mainstreaming, and linking—to scale up inter-                                      tions for scale-up (figure 2.6). These strengths
       ventions that generate global environmental                                        attract support from other actors that then
       benefits, drawing on the comparative advan-                                        provide funding for full scale-up.
       tages of GEF partners.                                                           ■ The extent of GEF support to scale-up and

                                                                                                                                              T
                                                                                          the rate at which outcomes are scaled vary by                his section delves deeper into a single         interventions and identified good practices and
                                                                                          focal area, but typically take place over more               theme in each focal area and Sustainable        challenges.
                                                                                          than five years and generate higher outcomes                 Forest Management (SFM), presenting
     FIGURE 2.6 GEF comparative advantage in scaling
                                                                                          per GEF dollar per year during the scaling-up       examples of impacts of Global Environment Facil-         The GEF has been instrumental in supporting
                     GEF grants are used                                                  stage. Indicators used between the pilot and        ity (GEF) interventions. In biodiversity, the focus is   national policy reform and planning frameworks
                     to show evidence of
                           benefits                                                       scale-up stages were not always consistent,         on biodiversity mainstreaming, in climate change         that promote biodiversity considerations across
                                             GEF niche                                    limiting the ability to track progress.             we present an analysis of the GEF’s interven-            sectors and territories. The GEF’s biodiversity
                                            in scale-up
 Scale of impact

                                              process                                                                                         tions in the transport sector; in the chemicals and      mainstreaming portfolio has played a significant
                                                                         Scaling-up     ■ The GEF has contributed to postproject con-
                                                                                                                                              waste focal area, we present the findings of the         role in supporting implementation of the global
                                                           Pilot for                      tinuation of scaled-up activities by catalyzing
                                                          scaling-up                                                                                                                                   Convention on Biological Diversity and its mem-
                                                                                          sustainable financing sources and strength-         artisanal and small-scale gold mining (ASGM)
                                     Pilot in specific
                                         context                  GEF Agencies play                                                           program; and in international waters, we discuss         ber countries. GEF-supported projects include
                                                                   different roles in
                                                                                          ening institutional capacities. Political and
                   Pilot for proof
                                                                                                                                              the GEF’s interventions in the fisheries sector.         components and activities to address threats to
                     of concept                                        scaling-up         economic changes pose risks to long-term
                                                                                                                                              In SFM, we present the findings from a value for         biodiversity and/or mitigate adverse effects on
                                                 Time                                     sustainability of scaling-up activities.
                                                                                                                                              money analysis of GEF interventions in SFM. The          biodiversity of global importance. Projects adopt
                                                                                                                                              evolution and adaptation of the respective strat-        diverse approaches such as the extension of
                                                                                                                                              egies over time and key portfolio findings will be       landscape management practices, agroforestry,
                                                                                                                                              presented in the OPS7 report in September 2021.          and sustainable production systems, and bio-
                                                                                                                                              The focal area studies were carried out over a           logical connectivity linking vulnerable forests to
                                                                                                                                              two-year period; consequently, the analysis is           protected areas. Implementation strategies are
                                                                                                                                              based on data available at the time.                     integrative and multitiered. The GEF’s theory of
                                                                                                                                                                                                       change for mainstreaming biodiversity provides a
                                                                                                                                                                                                       sound conceptual basis for their design and evalu-
                                                                                                                                              BIODIVERSITY                                             ation. The current monitoring and evaluation (M&E)
                                                                                                                                                                                                       framework for GEF biodiversity projects does not
                                                                                                                                                                                                       appear to focus sufficiently on quantitative mea-
                                                                                                                                              Evaluation of GEF Support to
                                                                                                                                                                                                       sures and outcomes and impacts, or on capturing
                                                                                                                                              Mainstreaming Biodiversity
                                                                                                                                                                                                       socioeconomic co-benefits which are important
                                                                                                                                              STATUS: Presented to Council                             since mainstreaming projects often entail balanc-
                                                                                                                                              REPORT: https://www.gefieo.org/evaluations/              ing trade-offs between socioeconomic benefits and
                                                                                                                                              biodiversity-mainstreaming-2018                          environmental impacts.

                                                                                                                                              This evaluation assessed the relevance, perfor-          Most of the GEF projects in this portfolio have
                                                                                                                                              mance, effectiveness, results, and additionality         successfully elevated biodiversity conservation
                                                                                                                                              of GEF-supported biodiversity mainstreaming              to targeted sectors, institutions, policies, and

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            13
14                                                                  Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights     3: Focal area impacts                                                                                         15

 territories with globally significant biodiversity.   factors that are directly related to the project’s       population, affluence, and urban sprawl. Devel-         and development was slower than expected. With
 A smaller number of projects and national part-       implementation performance—efficiency, timely            oping and transitional economies, where most            time, fuel cell technologies matured and became
 ners are successfully accelerating biodiversity       output delivery, monitoring, and adaptive man-           of these changes are taking place, need to              more cost-effective. Building on the foundations
 mainstreaming across sectors, institutions, and       agement—and to those external to the immediate           update their transport infrastructure to meet           laid by GEF projects, China is now commercializ-
 territories. There are fewer cases of accelerated     project context—national capacities and institu-         this demand. The GEF has cumulatively provided          ing these technologies with—and without—GEF
 mainstreaming, by which mainstreaming pro-            tional commitment, governance cycles, political          $501 million, along with $8.4 billion in partner        support. The GEF support to electric/hybrid tech-
 cesses gain in scale and momentum and begin to        and policy context. The implementation of several        cofinancing, through 80 projects to support sus-        nologies helped these technologies develop
 affect systemic levels. The acceleration of main-     mainstreaming projects in the three countries            tainable transport in its recipient countries. The      faster. In China, these have found considerable
 streaming to a broader range and scale involves       analyzed—India, South Africa and Colombia—was            GEF Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) con-            traction among manufacturers and city govern-
 incremental processes that build over time and        negatively affected by late approvals and start-up,      ducted an evaluation to assess the extent to which      ments. Learning from these experiences—and
 exceed most projects’ lifespan. External factors      recruitment delays, and low partner capabilities         the GEF support for sustainable transport is well       to tap into emerging opportunities—the GEF is
 that fall outside most projects’ influence—such       and responsiveness.                                      targeted and effective. The evaluation covers 80        focusing on frontier technologies, especially on
 as national partners’ capacity and commitment,                                                                 sustainable transport projects that were approved       providing support for the electrification of trans-
 governance cycles and political context, resource     The GEF biodiversity mainstreaming portfolio has         from GEF-2 to GEF-6 period, including 33 com-           port. The GEF is now supporting large-scale
 availability, and competing sector priorities—        contributed to legal, environmental, regulatory,         pleted projects approved from GEF-2 to GEF-4.           adoption of these technologies and linking the
 affect mainstreaming. As a result, many projects      governance, and socioeconomic additionalities                                                                    electrification of transport with the renewable
 may require continuity into successive cycles to      going beyond incremental cost benefits. These            Most GEF sustainable transport projects address         energy grid to reduce the carbon footprint. The
 accelerate mainstreaming processes that enable        include innovative approaches based on multi-            aspects related to urban and transport planning.        Global Program to Support the Shift to Electric
 expected outcomes. Practices such as silvo-pas-       stakeholder partnerships that link grassroots            GEF-supported integrated land use and trans-            Mobility, with over $50 million in GEF funding and
 toralism promoted by GEF-supported biodiversity       organizations to regional research institutions,         port planning activities facilitated transit-oriented   $650 million in cofinancing, is a major GEF-7 ini-
 mainstreaming projects are being significantly        advocacy platforms, and national environmental           development in cities such as Mexico City and           tiative to achieve these outcomes.
 upscaled for biodiversity conservation.               authorities. Landscape management practices are          Changsha, China. However, in Dushanbe, Tajiki-
                                                       validated on the ground and elevated to influence        stan, and Tianjin, China, these efforts were less       GEF support has been instrumental in the devel-
 While the challenges are primarily determined         national policy and legislative-regulatory reforms.      successful. This was because these projects were        opment of bus rapid transit (BRT) systems in
 by specific national or landscape contexts, suc-      Several projects have contributed to landmark bio-       either not aligned with the vision of local decision    several major cities. Of the 33 completed proj-
 cessful mainstreaming is ultimately influenced        diversity legislation; transformed core institutional/   makers or had not adequately addressed policy           ects, 17 focused on establishing and/or improving
 by the interaction of economic and environ-           sector practices; and resulted in measurable con-        and regulatory barriers. Experience from projects       the efficiency of BRT. GEF support to BRT systems
 mental interests, institutional monitoring and        servation impacts in forest cover, pasture, and          that include traffic demand management–related          and BRT-style upgrades has generally focused on
 enforcement capacities, and communications            other biodiversity indicators.                           activities shows that such activities are likely to     technical assistance and planning, such as the
 and outreach capabilities. Other positive fea-                                                                 be successful when they do not involve trade-offs       development of feasibility studies, origin-destina-
 tures that facilitate mainstreaming include                                                                    or make some groups worse off. Where trade-offs         tion surveys, and environmental impact studies
 preconditions such as well-developed policy and       C L I M AT E C H A N G E                                 are involved, commitment from political leader-         for BRT corridors. GEF funding has also been
 regulatory frameworks for biodiversity conserva-                                                               ship and broader public support are important.          used for capacity building; updating the legal,
 tion, recognized and capable scientific research      GEF Support to Sustainable                                                                                       policy, and regulatory framework; and knowl-
 institutions and expertise, and a favorable politi-                                                            The GEF has facilitated the transformation of           edge management. GEF financing helped lay the
                                                       Transport
 cal environment. Mainstreaming efforts are more                                                                markets for fuel cell and electric/hybrid–based         groundwork for BRT systems in several major
 successful when there are strong government           STATUS: Presented to Council                             mobility technologies. Early GEF experience             cities including Mexico City, Mexico; and Dar-
 champions who cut across organizational silos.        REPORT: https://www.gefieo.org/evaluations/apr-          in promoting fuel cell bus technologies in Bra-         es-Salaam, Tanzania. Dissemination activities
                                                       2019-trasportation                                       zil and China found that the technologies were          combined with demonstrations have facilitated
 The progress achieved in mainstreaming bio-                                                                    too expensive to be viable. They were introduced        replication in several other cities. For example,
                                                       Global demand for transportation is expected to
 diversity is directly influenced by intervening                                                                before they were ready for commercialization,           GEF support to the Lima Urban Transport project
                                                       increase substantially because of increases in
16                                                                   Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights    3: Focal area impacts                                                                                      17

 funded feasibility studies for implementation           Performance in meeting GHG abatement targets           C H E M I C A L S A N D WA S T E                     KEY FINDINGS
 and optimization of future BRT corridors in Peru,       is generally lower than expected at project start.
 which have since been implemented.                      For the 20 projects analyzed, the aggregate esti-                                                           During implementation, all three countries had
                                                                                                                Evaluation of GEF Interventions                      some success in reducing mercury use in their
                                                         mated GHG emissions abatement was 11.0 million
 GEF support for nonmotorized transport has
                                                                                                                in the Artisanal and Small-Scale                     project areas. The projects in Peru and the Phil-
                                                         tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (Mt CO2e), which
 generally been implemented satisfactorily, but
                                                                                                                Gold Mining Sector                                   ippines also saw some success in creating the
                                                         is lower than the 92.9 Mt CO2e expected at proj-
 tracking of environmental results is poor among         ect start. Eight projects (40 percent) met at least    STATUS: Presented to Council                         groundwork for miner formalization by creat-
 these projects. Twenty completed projects have          80 percent of their target. The average cost of        REPORT: https://www.gefieo.org/evaluations/gold      ing and supporting miners’ associations. In all
 promoted nonmotorized transport. The supported          GHG emissions abatement is $11.50, with a                                                                   countries, GEF projects achieved success in
 activities include construction and/or repair of        median of $12.70 per Mt CO2e.                                                                               encouraging governments to prioritize mercury
 bike lanes and walkways, spaces for bike park-                                                                 BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE                             use reductions in ASGM.
 ing, demonstration of the bike-share business           During implementation, sustainable transport
                                                                                                                The GEF began to implement projects to com-          Mercury use reductions were mostly sustained
 model, awareness campaigns, and preparation of          projects often face difficulties in procurement
                                                                                                                bat ASGM environmental issues as early as GEF‑2      or continued to drop since project completion.
 a nonmotorized transport plan. The GEF generally        and coordination. Sixty-eight percent of com-
                                                                                                                in 2002 with the Global Mercury Project, greatly     In Ecuador, mercury use continues on a down-
 avoids financing civil works. Although the incre-       pleted sustainable transport have satisfactory
                                                                                                                increasing awareness of growing mercury use          ward trend, although the replacement technology,
 mental environmental benefit rationale provided         ratings for quality of implementation, compared to
                                                                                                                in the sector. In GEF‑5, the GEF begin funding       cyanidation, is also a contaminant if not prop-
 for GEF funding for construction and repair of bike     82 percent for the overall GEF portfolio. Informa-
                                                                                                                the sector in earnest, with a series of projects     erly disposed of. Cyanide is also popular in the
 lanes and walkways was generally sound, the IEO         tion from terminal evaluations and respondents
                                                                                                                implemented by the United Nations Industrial         Philippines, where mercury use reductions were
 evaluation found some instances where the logic         indicates that sustainable transport projects
                                                                                                                Development Organization that piloted nonmer-        more sustainable in areas with more notable gov-
 was not clear. In most instances, these activities      require coordination among multiple agencies
                                                                                                                cury technologies for gold extraction. With the      ernment presence and stricter enforcement of
 were implemented effectively. However, tracking         and face procurement-related difficulties.
                                                                                                                formulation of the Minamata Convention on Mer-       mercury use. In West Africa, the installed pro-
 of environmental results is limited, and it is diffi-
                                                         M&E is generally weak in sustainable transport         cury in 2013, the GEF was included in the official   cessing plants were still in partial use, although
 cult to assess the extent to which these activities
                                                         projects. Fewer than half of completed sustain-        financial mechanism for the convention, leading      miners had returned to using mercury for some
 contributed to low-carbon transport.
                                                         able transport projects have satisfactory quality of   it to significantly ramp up ASGM funding. The GEF    processes when they lacked replacement supplies
 Overall performance of the sustainable transport        M&E design and M&E implementation, compared            designed the planetGOLD program in GEF‑6, a          or maintenance expertise for project-supported
 portfolio is in the same range as other GEF proj-       to 70 percent or higher for other climate change       nine-country program with a global “hub” project     machinery. Formalization had increased sub-
 ects. Sustainable transport projects in the large       mitigation projects and 67 percent for the GEF         to provide coordination, outreach, and knowl-        stantially in the Philippines and Peru since
 emerging economies are more likely to be rated          portfolio overall. Less than half the projects spec-   edge management. Additionally, many enabling         project completion, where it seems the projects—
 in the satisfactory range (92 percent) compared to      ify indicators to track GHG emissions abatement        activities fund Minamata initial assessments and     although not achieving miner formalization during
 other recipient countries (50 percent). The projects    and/or fuel savings. Designing a robust M&E plan       ASGM national action plans, helping countries        implementation—served as catalysts for future
 where outcomes were rated in the unsatisfactory         and specifying appropriate indicators for sustain-     meet their convention requirements. A follow-on      success. Additionally, all the case study countries
 range faced challenges such as high turnover of         able transport projects is a challenge because         GOLD+ program is being designed to include           have ratified the Minamata Convention, showing
 project personnel, poor coordination, challenges        GEF support is often concentrated in activities        another eight countries.                             their commitment to mercury reduction.
 in procurement, insufficient government commit-         focused on capacity development; update of legal,
                                                                                                                To better understand the sustainability and les-     The GOLD program represented a significant
 ment/ownership, and low capacity of executing           policy, and regulatory frameworks; and knowl-
                                                                                                                sons learned of completed ASGM projects and          scaling-up of GEF investment in ASGM, with
 agencies. In large emerging economies, procure-         edge management. Moreover, for legal, policy,
                                                                                                                the design of the planetGOLD program, the IEO        over $50 million in GEF Trust Fund funding and
 ment-related delays tended to be more common.           and regulatory contributions, impacts are difficult
                                                                                                                conducted case studies of GEF's interventions in     over $180 million in cofinancing; in comparison,
 The cofinancing ratio for sustainable transport         to track within the project time frame.
                                                                                                                Burkina Faso–Senegal, Ecuador-Peru, and the          the average GEF‑5 project accounted for only
 projects is $19 per dollar of GEF grant; this is
                                                                                                                Philippines.                                         about $1 million in GEF Trust Fund funding and
 higher than for other projects in the GEF portfolio.
18                                                                 Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights    3: Focal area impacts                                                                                          19

 $2–3 million in cofinancing. The program also         Guyana child project addresses ASGM-related            and Lake Albert. Regional and global projects         The overall main achievements of the GEF inter-
 signified a shift in strategy within the GEF. Early   deforestation by encouraging landscape man-            comprise 79 percent of the fisheries portfolio.       national waters fisheries portfolio as noted
 projects found a major issue in introducing non-      agement plans. None of the projects assist with        Of the four regions, Asia has the highest num-        in available terminal evaluations are (1) it is
 mercury technology to miners—since they were          long-term sediment monitoring or working with          ber of fisheries projects, while Africa has the       responding effectively to the challenge of over-
 mostly operating informally, they had little access   ASGM-related fishery or watershed manage-              largest GEF grant amount. Most fisheries proj-        exploitation of marine fishery resources, with
 to formal markets. This extended to financing.        ment issues directly. The program developed            ects (73 percent, equivalent to 72 percent of total   special focus on LMEs at the highest risk level
 Banks and other formal lenders shied away from        the planetGOLD criteria, which address environ-        GEF grant amount) are implemented by the World        when assessed for risk factors related to fish
 working with miners who often had no land ten-        mental and social safeguards, but issues such          Bank, UNDP and FAO.                                   and fisheries, pollution, ecosystem health, and
 ure or in some cases formal permission to mine.       as child labor and conflicts between ASG min-                                                                human development; (2) it is aligned with global
 Without financing, miners could not afford new,       ers and indigenous peoples are not focuses of the                                                            and regional agreements as well as national pri-
                                                                                                              KEY FINDINGS
 cleaner technologies that required upfront invest-    projects.                                                                                                    orities; (3) it has led to stress reduction on fishery
 ment. GOLD responded by investing heavily in                                                                                                                       resources and improved management of marine
                                                                                                              GEF international waters approaches to fisheries
 access to financing and markets, which makes                                                                                                                       habitats. Table 3.1 highlights examples of envi-
                                                                                                              seek to regulate how fishing is done and not to
 up the largest component of the program. At the       I N T E R N AT I O N A L WAT E R S                     merely limit the amount of various species that
                                                                                                                                                                    ronmental stresses reduced by GEF-supported
 country level, projects are training lenders to                                                                                                                    projects.
                                                                                                              can be caught. Different types of approaches have
 work with miners and designing sector-specific        Evaluation of GEF Interventions                        been identified in the fisheries portfolio over the
 financial mechanisms. The hub project is build-                                                                                                                    In the Pacific small island developing states
                                                       in International Waters:                               GEF‑1 to GEF‑7 period. In the early GEF phases,
 ing bridges with downstream actors in the supply                                                                                                                   (SIDS), GEF investment has helped 12 SIDS
                                                       Freshwater and Fisheries                               fisheries projects mainly focused on specific fish-
 chain, including private refiners, to purchase                                                                                                                     restructure national legislations to include obli-
                                                                                                              eries management interventions that target input
 responsibly produced gold from project sites.         STATUS: Presented to Council                                                                                 gations associated with becoming a party to the
                                                                                                              control (limit access to fish stocks) and techni-
                                                       REPORT: https://www.gefieo.org/evaluations/iw-                                                               Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Convention,
                                                       study-2020                                             cal measures (e.g., minimum mesh size for nets,
 The GOLD program’s components were widely                                                                                                                          which is the first major new international fisher-
                                                                                                              by-catch reduction devices). During GEF‑4, while
 seen as relevant and covering the most import-                                                                                                                     ies management arrangement established under
                                                                                                              GEF support to input control and technical mea-
 ant areas requiring attention in the sector.                                                                                                                       the United Nations Fish Stocks Agreement. The
                                                       BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE                               sures continued, fisheries management gradually
 Beyond financing, the program addresses formal-                                                                                                                    ongoing GEF investment is providing continuous
                                                                                                              shifted from focusing on ecosystem science to
 ization, introduction of nonmercury technology,       Improving marine and freshwater fisheries man-                                                               support to 14 Pacific SIDS to address substantial
                                                                                                              incorporating economic development and human
 and knowledge management and outreach. The            agement and promoting sustainable fishing                                                                    lags in implementing agreed regional and sub-
                                                                                                              behavior change. It has manifested as a widen-
 program aims to reduce over 350 tons of mercury,      practices has been one of the priorities in the                                                              regional arrangements (i.e., Nauru Agreement),
                                                                                                              ing scope of fisheries management interventions
 although only one-third of reductions will come       international waters focal area of the GEF since                                                             so that the countries can apply ecosystem-based
                                                                                                              that integrate participatory management, fisher
 directly from project implementation; the rest is     its first phase. This study is an in-depth analysis                                                          management measures in accordance with
                                                                                                              incentives and livelihood diversification into an
 intended to result from spreading knowledge to        covering all projects and programs that explicitly                                                           revised national laws and fisheries policies.
                                                                                                              ecosystem approach to fisheries management.
 nonproject sites in GOLD countries and non-GOLD       address marine and freshwater fisheries.
                                                                                                              Moving on to GEF‑5 and GEF‑6, more attention          To better facilitate results reporting, the GEF
 countries after project completion. It is unclear
                                                                                                              has been given to marine spatial planning, and        adopted a new results framework and set a cor-
 though how the GEF would monitor or attribute         The fisheries portfolio is dominated by invest-
                                                                                                              improved monitoring and surveillance practices.       porate-level target of bringing 20 percent of
 such reductions.                                      ments in large marine ecosystems (LMEs)
                                                                                                              The emerging interventions in promoting sus-          globally overexploited fisheries to more sustain-
                                                       (59 percent), with total funding of more than
 The focus on mercury reduction has led the pro-                                                              tainable value chains for marine commodities          able levels in GEF-6. In the ongoing fisheries
                                                       $411.8 million, followed by fisheries projects and
 gram to be highly relevant to the Minamata                                                                   indicate GEF’s efforts in engaging the private sec-   projects in GEF-6, 9 of 11 stand-alone projects,
                                                       programs in the areas beyond national jurisdic-
 Convention. However, it also means GEF ASGM                                                                  tor in fisheries management, which contribute         and four child projects under three programs,
                                                       tion (ABNJ) (12 percent). Investment in freshwater
 projects do not have a significant focus on other                                                            to sustainable resource utilization and equitable     together aim to bring 16 percent of overexploited
                                                       fisheries is the lowest (3 percent), with $21.2 mil-
 environmental issues related to ASGM. Only the                                                               social and economic development.                      fisheries to sustainable levels.
                                                       lion for 3 projects in Caspian Sea, Lake Edward
20                                                                                 Evaluation Findings 2018–21: Highlights      3: Focal area impacts                                                                                     21

     TABLE 3.1 Types of stresses reduced by GEF-supported fisheries projects                                                    Sustainable financing arrangements have been         freshwater fisheries projects in GEF‑6 and GEF‑7.
       Type of stress                                   Description of outcome achievements                                     explored with some success. Fisheries projects       GEF investments in freshwater lakes and rivers,
      Illegal fishing    Sierra Leone (GEF ID 3558, GEF-3): 16 arrests of illegal fishing were recorded due to increased        have supported suitable economic instruments         such as Lake Victoria and the Danube River, have
      activities         sea patrols using existing equipment. GEF project-funded anti–illegal, unreported, and unreg-          that can be used to generate financial support       included actions on improving freshwater fisher-
                         ulated fishing efforts were associated with increased yields for coastal communities; e.g., large      after project completion, including government       ies management and the conservation of aquatic
                         fishing communities such as Tombo reported a 42 percent increase in catch.
                                                                                                                                contribution through institutional budget, estab-    biodiversity.
                         Liberia (GEF ID 3558, GEF-3): Surveillance operations were enhanced through sea and aerial             lishing public-private partnerships, collecting
                         patrols and a satellite-based fishing vessel monitoring system. The indicator on the rate of illegal
                                                                                                                                user fees, establishing trust funds/endowment        Greater attention is needed to sustainable aqua-
                         fishing gradually dropped from 83 percent at baseline in 2009 to 30 percent in 2016.
                                                                                                                                funds, and issuing blue bonds.                       culture. Emphasis so far has been placed on the
                         Tanzania (GEF ID 2101, GEF-3): Communities’ participation in patrolling activities led to better                                                            improvement of wild fisheries management, the
                         tracking and reducing illegal fishing activities: 134 illegal activities were reported in the main-
                         land and 75 in Zanzibar.                                                                               Most of the ongoing fisheries projects have put      introduction of less damaging fishing practices
      By-catch           Global (GEF ID 884, GEF-2): Project reduced the number of juvenile commercial species, non-            in place conditions to sustain project benefits      and technologies, and protecting marine biodiver-
                         target fish and nonfish species caught by shrimp trawlers. With experimental by-catch rate             through engaging the private sector. For example,    sity in the most vulnerable ecosystems. While the
                         reduction of >40% (Iran, the Philippines) and up to 60% (Mexico), the stress reduction can be sub-
                         stantial, at least in the pilot areas.
                                                                                                                                the GEF-6 Coastal Fisheries Initiative Challenge     present approaches—based on the assumption
                                                                                                                                Fund project has been providing technical assis-     that wild fisheries can be managed sustainably—
                         The Philippines (GEF ID 3619, GEF-4): Trawl fishers who installed juvenile and trash fish–
                                                                                                                                tance to small-scale fisheries businesses to         are clearly having short-term positive impacts, a
                         excluder devices experienced an improvement in catch rates and in the quality of catches, which
                         attests to the positive environmental impacts of adopting more responsible trawling practices.         develop investable projects, covering Indonesia,     long-term vision and strategy would be benefi-
      Fishing capacity   Senegal (GEF ID 3314, GEF-3): With support from the GEF project, the co-management initia-             West Africa (Cabo Verde, Côte d’Ivoire, and Sen-     cial. Significant wild fisheries have collapsed or
                         tives that were used to create and allocate the right to manage targeted fisheries have been           egal), and Latin America (Ecuador and Peru). In      are in danger of collapsing due to overfishing and
                         successful in reducing overfishing at the four pilot sites.
                                                                                                                                the Seychelles, the world’s first sovereign blue     pollution. Overall, production from the world’s
                         Sudan and Egypt (GEF ID 3809, GEF-4): At project end, 600 fishers are using the specified mesh         bond was launched in 2018 with the support of the    wild fisheries has leveled out and may be start-
                         size and 500 fishers are observing closed season, equal to 200% and 250% of targets, respec-
                         tively. As a result, species with high commercial value, upon which the communities depend             GEF and the World Bank. The blue bond raised         ing to decline—in contrast to farmed fisheries and
                         economically, can now spawn in safe zones and young fish are protected from catch, allowing the        $15 million from international investors to sup-     mariculture, which are growing in importance and
                         stock to grow.
                                                                                                                                port sustainable fisheries. The supply chain         are technological in nature. To be more effective
      Other economic     Indonesia (GEF ID 3188, GEF-4): Reduced the area of uncontrolled sand mining and established
                                                                                                                                approach has been adopted in fisheries projects      within this context, the focal area could explore
      development        four seagrass sanctuaries.
      activities                                                                                                                to harness market support to develop sustainable     expanding its scope to include substantial support
                         China (GEF ID 3309, GEF-4): Piloted environmentally friendly activities (silvo-fishery) to reduce      value chains. Based on terminal evaluation find-     for enhancing the sustainability of aquaculture
                         impact on the wetlands brought by traditional aquaculture practices.
                                                                                                                                ings, the engagement with the private sector at      and in defining an overall long-term strategy to
     Source: Terminal evaluations.                                                                                              the local level is however limited in GEF-funded     ensure coherence in its approaches to fisheries.
                                                                                                                                fisheries projects.
 The GEF’s additionality in promoting sustainable                    in fisheries portfolio. GEF-funded fisheries proj-
                                                                                                                                Funding allocated to freshwater fisheries has
 fisheries is observed in its promoting trans-                       ects have covered 20 LMEs and the Pacific Ocean
                                                                                                                                been limited and the lowest in the fisheries port-
 boundary ecosystem-based governance in LMEs                         Warm Pool, and the support is expanding to cover
                                                                                                                                folio, and accounts for 3 percent of the total
 and ABNJ. This includes knowledge genera-                           more areas. In ABNJ, the GEF-funded Global Sus-
                                                                                                                                investments in fisheries. Two freshwater fish-
 tion, building institutional capacities for informed                tainable Fisheries Management and Biodiversity
                                                                                                                                eries projects in the Caspian Sea in GEF‑3 and
 decision making, and the involvement of a broad                     Conservation in the Areas Beyond National Juris-
                                                                                                                                GEF‑4 contributed to the implementation of the
 range of stakeholders. The fisheries portfolio is                   diction program has been working to improve
                                                                                                                                Tehran Convention. The freshwater fisheries proj-
 dominated by investments in the LMEs—applying                       public understanding of ecosystem threats and
                                                                                                                                ect in GEF‑5 has been working on integrated
 the transboundary diagnostic analysis–strategic                     services related to ABNJ and to strengthen global
                                                                                                                                fisheries and water resources management
 action program (TDA-SAP) methodology—which                          capacity for effective management in ABNJ.
                                                                                                                                in Lake Edward and Lake Albert. There are no
 accounts for 59 percent of the total GEF grants
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