ECONOMIC TRENDS - Cork Chamber
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ECONOMIC TRENDS QUARTER 2 2021 Keeping Cork Connected The past year has highlighted the resilience of Cork’s While digital connectivity is paramount for the technology business community, and the ability of organisations sector, which continues to dominate many of the new IDA both large and small to pivot and reinvent the way announcements in Cork, the established manufacturing they deliver their products and services. Staying sector, including the indigenous agri-food sector, has been connected to our international networks has become facing challenges in physical connectivity when it comes more important than ever, to ensure that we do not to supply chain. Due to the perfect storm of the global fall victim to being ‘out of sight and out of mind’. pandemic and Brexit fallout, companies have experienced significant transport delays and increased costs when With travel curtailed, business development, sales and moving products internationally. While it is hoped that some marketing have become a completely virtual and online of these issues will resolve themselves as businesses become contest. Being seen and heard in this new virtual world is more familiar with the customs implications of Brexit, and challenging, in particular for those selling Cork and Ireland as the airline sector begins to open up again, organisations as a potential investment location. Nonetheless, in the first such as the Port of Cork and their shipping partners are 6 months of 2021, 11 IDA clients have announced new working hard to improve connectivity out of Cork. projects (including 8 expansions of existing Irish operations) which include close to 400 direct jobs for Cork, as well as In the last year alone, we have seen a significant increase in additional jobs that will be forthcoming from over 700 roles sea transport options for companies in the region with the announced as part of multi-region expansions which include introduction of new direct freight and haulage routes, and Cork. These companies are growing their footprint in the the expansion of existing routes, from Cork direct to the USA Cork region in multiple sectors and disciplines, including (ICL), Zeebrugge (CLdN), Roscoff (Brittany Ferries), Antwerp wireless communications technology; life sciences; data (Grimaldi Group) and Southampton (Unifeeder). security and analytics; software engineering; thermal process validation and monitoring; AI; financial services; supply chain technology. Sponsored by CorkChamber.ie
QUARTER 2 2021 Enhancing the public realm to create locations for communities to engage and maximise SURVEY RESULTS facilities on the river. Niall Kenny AB Sales In the latest Cork Chamber Economic Trends Survey, Cork Chamber reports on the business outlook for the third quarter of 2021 and the year ahead, and member experiences of the most recent business quarter, Q2 2021. The survey reports on business experiences, the Insurance for business, specifically public liability overall operating landscape and the business priorities ahead of Budget and Tour Agent insurance is 2022. While evolving in the final weeks due to the emerging news and very difficult to get in Ireland. rising case numbers of the Covid Delta variant and the subsequent This is very worrying. announcement postponing the reopening of indoor hospitality, this Máire Ní Mhurchú, had been a period of relative stability with considerable progress in Activity Days Ireland Ltd the delivery and uptake of vaccines. The survey itself was conducted over the final two weeks of June, with the government announcement coming in the very final days of the survey period. BUDGET 2022 The framework integrates planning about policy impacts TOP 3 BUDGET PRIORITY AREAS on wellbeing, taking a long term perspective on people, places and generations. The LSF complements rather 1. Infrastructural investment, and housing stimulus than replaces traditional economic tools such as GDP and (JOINTLY NUMBER ONE) aims to enhance, support and underpin comprehensive 2. Pandemic business recovery supports and robust policy development. In the latest trends survey, we asked members whether you would support 3. Education and skills investment the introduction of a similar framework for Ireland through a commitment to this in Budget 2022. Closely followed by health investment, employment measures and tax reform. Other priorities from a number of respondents included action to address the climate YES 91% crisis and the importance of measures to tackle Ireland’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and a call for the significant increase of public investment to deliver social NO 9% and affordable housing. The requirement to address CAT, CGT rates for entrepreneurs was also raised, noting the differential in Ireland’s high rates compared to other EU countries. A flavour of members comments ahead of Budget 2022: ‘‘ SUPPORT FOR TARGETED AND TIME BOUND With the impact of covid19 and debt accrual for MEASURES TO STIMULATE THE CONSTRUCTION businesses closed by compulsory order of the OF MORE URBAN ACCOMMODATION government, the introduction of further fiscal responsibilities is onerous and will have a serious ‘‘ impact particularly in the recovery time frame. YES 95% Anne Marie McIlwraith, Just For Men, Manscaping Lounge NO 5% ‘‘ Housing, housing and housing - the rental market is currently impossible in Cork and surrounds. This is ‘‘ making it incredibly difficult to attract foreign talent. JP Kelly, Murphy Geospatial To be achieved through measures such as a VAT reduction on construction materials. ‘‘ Stimuli for commercial city center development to counteract the doughnut effect.” (*development In 2019, New Zealand Treasury introduced the Living where the city centre becomes empty, as businesses ‘‘ Standards Framework (LSF) to capture what matters for and people move to the outer edge of the city). New Zealanders’ wellbeing, now and into the future. Patrick Leader, Leaders Menswear
Of the 47% of responding businesses reporting current BUSINESS CONFIDENCE vacancies, 41% of these are reporting difficulty filling the open roles (i.e. remaining unfilled for greater than 3 months since the initial advertisement). These vacancies CONFIDENT 90% are primarily arising in IT, engineering and finance. NOT CONFIDENT 10% CONFIDENCE IN THE IRISH ECONOMY The latest figures report 90% of respondents indicating Very Confident business confidence. This is an increase on the previous Confident 4% quarter which showed 84% of businesses reporting confidence in Q1. A very encouraging trend and a 23% Not Confident significant improvement on the same quarter last year which saw confidence at 73%. 73% Q2 % TURNOVER AND NET PROFIT ESTIMATIONS Increased The latest findings show an increase in confidence levels in the Irish economy at 73%, up from 52% in the Stayed the same previous quarter. Decreased 44 TOP 3 30 34 36 30 THREATS TO BUSINESS GROWTH 26 1. COVID-19 % TURNOVER % NET PROFIT 2. Skills availability The latest survey shows that 65% of respondents expect 3. Cost competitiveness & Changing consumer an increase in turnover in the third quarter, with 52% behaviour / reduced orders (JOINTLY NUMBER THREE) anticipating an increase to net profits in the same period. As with previous quarters, Covid-19 ranks as the top EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK threat to business growth. Other areas mentioned by respondents include the threat of another lockdown EXPECTED CHANGES TO EMPLOYEE NUMBERS or a slowdown in the economic recovery, changing OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS travel restrictions and its impact on employees, and concerns over accessing seed over accessing seed finance for start-ups and scale-ups. INCREASE 54% RESPONDING BUSINESSES STAY THE SAME 41% Sole Trader DECREASE 5% Micro Enterprise (2–10) 10% 22% 11–50 26% 51–100 10% The previous Q1 2021 quarter reported 43% of respondents expecting an increase to employee number 101–200 7% over the 12 months ahead. 25% 101–200 NUMBER OF BUSINESSES WITH VACANCIES ADVERTISED CURRENTLY The responding businesses represent a broad range of sectors: Life Sciences & Manufacturing (12%), Agriculture, Food & Drinks (3%); ICT & Digital Economy YES 47% (8%), Tourism, Hospitality, Retail & Leisure (11%), Culture, Arts, Community & Media (6%), Built Environment (5%), NO 53% Education & Training (9%), Services (including Financial) (36%), Health (2%), Transport, Energy & Maritime (8%).
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Bank. customers. customers. beenbeen a lota worse. lot worse. permanent permanent tsb tsb is is permanent permanent tsb’stsb’s dedicated dedicated Business Business providing providing support support for businesses for businesses As aAsproud a proud supporter supporter of Cork of Cork Banking Banking Team Teamknows knowsthatthattalking talkingfaceface coming coming outout of COVID-19 of COVID-19 or Brexit or Brexit or or Chamber, Chamber, permanent permanent tsbtsb is delighted is delighted to face to face andandhavinghavingthose thosemeaningful meaningful indeed indeed businesses businesses looking looking to grow to grow to become to become newnew sponsor sponsor of the of the Cork Cork conversations, conversations, even even if virtually, if virtually, is what is what andand it isitthe is the personalised personalised approach approach Chamber, Chamber, Economic Economic Trends Trends Report. Report.
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