E-commerce in Europe 2020 - How the pandemic is changing e-commerce in Europe - PostNord
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Contents Foreword: The crisis shows the importance of sustainable business practices ............................................................................................................ 3 Overview: The European e-commerce market .................................................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Outlook: E-commerce breaks records, but don’t forget sustainability....................................................................................................................................... 7 E-commerce in Europe: 293 million consumers have shopped online in the past year .................................................................................. 8 E-commerce in Europe: Top product categories among European online shoppers ...................................................................................... 10 COVID-19: COVID-19 has driven e-commerce in Europe ........................................................................................................................................................................ 12 International retailing: China, the UK and the US top the list for cross-border online shopping ...................................................... 14 Eastern and Western Europe: E-commerce has matured in Western Europe and is growing in Eastern Europe........... 16 Marketplaces: Amazon and Zalando: two dominant marketplaces in Europe ........................................................................................................... 18 Deliveries: Consumers accept longer delivery times during the pandemic ................................................................................................................ 20 Mobile e-commerce: Europeans have become used to mobile e-commerce ......................................................................................................... 24 Payment methods: More payment solutions result in better business .............................................................................................................................. 25 Detailed results .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 50 PostNord – an e-commerce partner ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 57 Countries under the spotlight Spotlight on: UK...................................................................................................... 26 Spotlight on: Belgium ............................................................................... 38 Spotlight on: Germany................................................................................... 28 Spotlight on: Poland .................................................................................. 40 Spotlight on: France ......................................................................................... 30 Spotlight on: Sweden ................................................................................ 42 Spotlight on: Spain ............................................................................................. 32 Spotlight on: Denmark ............................................................................ 44 Spotlight on: Italy ................................................................................................. 34 Spotlight on: Norway ................................................................................. 46 Spotlight on: The Netherlands ........................................................... 36 Spotlight on: Finland .................................................................................. 48 About this report This is of significance, since internet use varies among the different European The Oxford COVID-19 Government Re- sponse Tracker is the source of the dates countries. on which countries imposed lockdowns, PostNord has studied the European To calculate how many consumers unless stated otherwise. e-commerce market in the E-commerce from each market shop online, we used E-commerce is defined as the pur- in Europe report since 2014. The report is Eurostat’s population statistics for 2019 chase of physical products online. This based on interviews with a total of about as a basis. To calculate the average pur- means that services (e.g. travel, hotel and 12,800 consumers in Belgium, Denmark, chase in EUR we used the exchange rate tickets), as well as downloads (e.g. music, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, the Neth- from May 2020. The report describes a movies and apps), are not included. erlands, Norway, Poland, Spain, Sweden drop in GDP between the last quarter PostNord also publishes the E-barom- and the UK. When the report refers to of 2019 and the first quarter of 2020 for eter survey in Sweden. It is based on a Europe, it is referring to these countries several European countries. The source different methodology, for which reason unless stated otherwise. of these figures is Eurostat. it is not fully comparable with this report. The interviews were conducted with representative nationwide samples of private individuals aged 15–79 years. The NUMBER OF RESPONDENTS IN EACH COUNTRY number of respondents varies slightly between countries, but in most cases has 1,200 1,136 1,128 1,026 1,053 1,069 1,065 1,070 1,083 1,053 been around 1,000. 1,037 1,052 1,026 1,000 The interviews were conducted by the 800 research company Nepa. Since the sur- vey was conducted online, the responses 600 Netherlands were recalculated based on the percent- Denmark Germany Belgium 400 Sweden Norway Finland Poland France age of the population in each country Spain Italy 200 that used the internet in 2019. This UK percentage was calculated by Eurostat. 0 2 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Foreword The crisis shows the importance of sustainable business practices S o far, 2020 has been in a class of its own. Essentially everyone has “In our code of conduct for been impacted by the coronavirus pandemic in some way, although suppliers, we require already vulnerable groups have been hit hardest. reasonable wages and The pandemic has also revealed just how vulnerable society is, and in working conditions for all this context I would like to mention PostNord’s sustainability efforts. employees, as well as a We have been working to reduce our climate and good, safe working environmental footprint for years. At the same time, we have also worked to increase social and economic sustainability. environment.” PostNord Sweden recently achieved a gold level rating from to, from and within the Nordic region, and as an e-retailer you the independent sustainability ratings provider EcoVadis, which are welcome to ask us about anything, from the markets in the we consider to be a sign that we are on the right track. But we Nordic countries to distribution solutions. want to become even better, and if we are to succeed, we must If you engage in e-commerce outside the Nordic region, you continue working with our customers and suppliers. can also turn to our global logistics company Direct Link, which In our code of conduct for suppliers, we require reasonable offers flexible distribution services to help e-retailers all over the wages and working conditions for all employees, as well as a world to become established in new markets. good, safe working environment. In this way, we want to help I hope this report will provide many new insights into people to achieve a better life and be more protected in a crisis. e-commerce in Europe. Finally, a few words about why we are publishing this report. Annemarie Gardshol We at PostNord want to be the obvious choice for e-commerce President and Group CEO of PostNord E-commerce in Europe 2020 3
Overview European e-commerce market UK SWEDEN 48.6 7.5 million consumers million consumers shop online shop online 95% 96% Percentage of the Percentage of the population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) that shops online that shops online EUR 1,020 EUR 1,012 Estimated average spend Estimated average spend per person per year per person per year BELGIUM DENMARK 7.5 Percentages and values refer to the entire population aged between 15 and 79 years. 4.0 million consumers million consumers shop online Question: Approximately how often do shop online you buy goods online? 84% Comprises all respondents minus those who responded “Never,” “Unsure,” 88% Percentage of the or “Don’t know.” Percentage of the population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) The figures on the map refer to those that shops online that shops online who have shopped online in the past year. EUR 571 The same methods have been used in previous reports, with the exception of the calculation of internet EUR 850 Estimated average spend Estimated average spend per person per year penetration. per person per year NETHERLANDS POLAND GERMANY NORWAY 13.1 25.4 61.2 3.9 million consumers million consumers million consumers million consumers shop online shop online shop online shop online 95% 83% 92% 94% Percentage of the Percentage of the Percentage of the Percentage of the population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) that shops online that shops online that shops online that shops online EUR 929 EUR 456 EUR 947 EUR 635 Estimated average spend Estimated average spend Estimated average spend Estimated average spend per person per year per person per year per person per year per person per year ITALY SPAIN FRANCE FINLAND 39.3 33.4 45.4 4.1 million consumers million consumers million consumers million consumers shop online shop online shop online shop online 82% 90% 89% 95% Percentage of the Percentage of the Percentage of the Percentage of the population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) population (15–79 years) that shops online that shops online that shops online that shops online EUR 674 EUR 921 EUR 752 EUR 788 Estimated average spend Estimated average spend Estimated average spend Estimated average spend per person per year per person per year per person per year per person per year 4 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Germany and the UK are Europe’s strongest e-commerce markets European e-commerce is becoming proportion of people who shop online has such as older people, have started to increasingly mature, particularly as evi- increased during the year, but at a more shop online more often, with the coronavi- denced by the nearly 15 percent increase modest pace – only a percentage point or rus pandemic as a major factor. in average sales per person and year in so. This trend is likely because many Eu- Germany and the UK are the stron- the countries surveyed in 2020, com- ropean countries have a digitally mature gest e-commerce markets in Europe. In pared with 2019. More and more coun- population. Germany, 61 million consumers state that tries are now approaching the top tier, However, changes have occurred in they have shopped online in the past with online spending per person and year 2020, which may become apparent in the year, and the figure in the UK is 49 million. of almost EUR 1,000. 2021 survey. In particular, it seems that Spain, Italy and France are also significant The survey also shows that the previously reluctant consumer groups, e-commerce markets. Number of e-commerce consumers and average online spend per year Basis: Have shopped online 1,200% Sweden UK Germany 1,000 Spain France Denmark Netherlands 800 Finland Italy Average purchase online per year (EUR) Belgium 600 Norway Poland 400 200 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Number of e-commerce consumers in millions E-commerce in Europe 2020 5
Overview E-commerce trends in Europe and the Growth 2019 in the different regions of the world Source: eMarketer, 2020 world in 2019 Globally, e-commerce sales totaled USD 3.535 Asia-Pacific region 25% trillion in 2019. This corresponds to about 14 per- cent of total retail sales worldwide (USD 25.038 trillion). Europe’s share of global e-commerce was estimated at USD 349 billion in 2019, which Middle East & Africa 21% corresponds to about 10 percent. Global e-commerce is estimated to have grown by 21 percent in 20191. The Asia-Pacific region increased most (25 percent), followed by Latin America 21% the Middle East and Africa (21 percent). In Europe, e-commerce grew by 10.2 percent in Western Europe and 14.5 percent in Eastern Europe. This Central and Eastern Europe 19% means that Europe’s share of global e-commerce sales is declining. The e-commerce market in many European countries, especially in Western Europe, is relatively mature, which explains the North America 15% lower growth. Growth in 2020 will likely be significantly higher – especially in mature markets that have had the capacity to scale up their e-commerce in Western Europe 10% conjunction with increased demand during the coronavirus pandemic. 1 Source: E-markets The world 21% 6 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Outlook E-commerce breaks records, but don’t forget sustainability Carl-Fredrik Teder, retail analyst at PostNord, and Olof Källgren, e-commerce expert at Direct Link, give five predictions from E-commerce in Europe 2020. Carl-Fredrik Teder. Olof Källgren. 1 role in developing e-com- e-commerce markets. “The report shows merce in several Europe- Last year, sustainability a strong link Pandemic driving an countries. Already in became a hot topic of e-commerce the late 1990s, the com- discussion in relation between concern The effect of the pandem- pany had established a to Black Friday with a over the virus and ic on European coun- presence in Germany, call for a backlash, to be the proportion of tries has varied, and the which today has one named White Monday. consumers who report shows a strong of the most mature Christmas shopping has shopped online link between concern e-commerce markets also become a subject more often.” over the virus and the in Europe. The strong for discussion. E-retailers proportion of consumers growth of e-commerce in across Europe should Italian and Spanish con- who shopped online more Italy and Spain in recent take into account the sumers also frequently often. However, since we years can also be attribut- continued importance make cross-border pur- only interviewed consum- ed in part to Amazon of sustainability issues chases, where purchas- ers for this report, we have entering these countries for a growing number of es from China clearly no actual data concern- in 2010 and 2011. Howev- consumers. dominate. ing the magnitude of the er, Amazon is beginning increase in e-commerce to experience compe- in each country. However, tition in Europe from 4 5 PostNord’s Swedish market participants such Popularity of Demands for quick E-barometer survey shows as Alibaba. In 2019, the cross-border online delivery vary that Swedish e-commerce first physical AliExpress shopping varies Expectations regarding grew by 49 percent store in Europe opened The popularity of mak- the maximum length during the second quarter in Madrid. At this point, as ing online purchases time it may take for an of 2020 compared with Amazon is establishing from sites abroad varies online purchase to arrive the previous year. This a presence in Sweden, it greatly from country vary greatly. Consumers figure even exceeds the will encounter a far more to country. Belgian in Poland, the Nether- 44 percent growth rate mature market than it is consumers make more lands and Germany place in the US. Given that the used to. online purchases abroad significantly higher de- shutdown in Sweden was than any other Euro- mands on quick deliver- far less extensive than in peans. More than half ies than online shoppers many other European 3 the population makes in most other European countries, we may expect Sustainability remains cross-border purchases countries. In part, expec- growth in other countries important at least once a quarter. tations in various mar- to be at least as high. Although the coronavirus It is worth noting that kets may be infrastruc- pandemic dominates this many Belgians regularly ture-related, but certain report, we must keep in shop from sites in the strong e-retailers, such as 2 mind that sustainability Netherlands, which is by Amazon, have driven the Amazon is facing continues to be an im- far the most popular for- trend and raised consum- competition portant issue, especially eign country from which er expectations for quick Amazon has played a key for consumers in mature to make purchases. delivery. E-commerce in Europe 2020 7
E-commerce in Europe 293 million consumers have shopped online in the past year European e-commerce has grown that this trend will become more notice- reaching 220 million. This trend is likely during the year, especially in the spring, able in next year’s report. Other advances due to the growth of cross-border when entire countries shut down because also came about during the year. Internet e-commerce companies and the efforts of the coronavirus pandemic and pres- infrastructure continues to be expand- made to promote the European retail sure on e-commerce rose sharply. Given ed, and the higher bandwidth in the 5G market, such as the EU Digital Single the number of respondents in the report network will further facilitate e-commerce Market project2. who state that they shopped online more using mobile phones and tablets. Total e-commerce in the countries often during the pandemic, many coun- In the countries surveyed, 293 million surveyed amounts to EUR 269 billion, an tries seem to have made major strides consumers have shopped online this increase of 12 percent over last year. As toward digitalization. year, compared with 286 million last year. in previous years, Germany remains the However, the effect of the pandemic on- Furthermore, the proportion of Euro- largest e-commerce market, followed by ly related to a small part of the measure- pean consumers who made cross-border the UK. The third largest is France, closely ment period in this survey, and it is likely online purchases increased somewhat, followed by Spain and Italy. 2 https://ec.europa.eu/digital-single-market/en/policies/shaping-digital-single-market 293 million consumers in Europe shop online 269 EUR billion – the total that European consumers estimate that they spent online in the past year 220 million European consumers make online purchases from abroad 8 E-commerce in Europe 2020
UK NETHERLANDS 52.4 12.8 BELGIUM 5.0 € How much do POLAND 13.9 you estimate you have spent on goods online in the past year? GERMANY 62.8 ITALY 32.4 Number of EUR billion that European consumers have spent online over the past year Basis: Have shopped online FRANCE 38.3 SPAIN 34.1 NORDIC REGION 17.8 E-commerce E-commerce in in Europe Europe 2020 2019 9
E-commerce in Europe Top product categories among European online shoppers (million consumers) 40 40 35 33 30 29 26 25 25 21 22 22 21 20 20 20 16 16 15 15 13 13 11 10 8 9 8 8 6 5 6 5 4 3 2 0 UK Belgium Netherlands Italy Poland Spain Germany France Nordic region Clothing and footwear Home electronics Books/audiobooks 40 35 30 25 19 20 19 20 18 15 16 15 16 15 14 12 11 10 11 10 9 10 8 8 7 7 5 4 4 4 4 5 2 2 2 0 UK Belgium Netherlands Italy Poland Spain Germany France Nordic region Cosmetics, skin and hair care Home furnishings Sports and leisure products 40 35 30 25 22 20 15 12 13 11 10 10 11 13 11 12 10 9 8 8 8 9 6 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 0 UK Belgium Netherlands Italy Poland Spain Germany France Nordic region Children’s items Toys Food 40 35 30 25 20 19 15 13 13 11 10 9 8 8 9 9 8 8 6 7 7 6 7 7 5 3 4 3 4 1 1 1 2 2 2 0 UK Belgium Netherlands Italy Poland Spain Germany France Nordic region Movies Car accessories Dietary supplements and similar Number of consumers in millions who have shopped online in each category over the past year. Question: What types of products have you bought online in the past year? Basis: Have shopped online. More extensive information about the Nordics can be found in the detailed results at the end of the report. 10 E-commerce in Europe 2020
International retailing Finland 4.0 Sweden 5.9 France UK 32.4 32.6 Belgium 6.2 Netherlands 9.9 Italy 32.1 Germany 45.9 Norway 3.4 Poland Denmark Spain 18.0 3.4 220 26.2 million people made cross-border online purchases Number of consumers in millions in each country who made cross-border online purchases Basis: Entire population, aged 15–79 years E-commerce in Europe 2020 11
COVID-19 Strong correlation between coronavirus anxiety and e-commerce sales Basis: Have shopped online 100 90 Spain Italy 80 70 France Belgium UK Experiencing anxiety over the coronavirus Finland 60 Netherlands Sweden Poland 50 Germany Norway 40 Denmark 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 Have shopped online more often due to the coronavirus COVID-19 driver of e-commerce in Europe In this year’s survey, e-commerce consum- a strict lockdown but nevertheless saw a ers answered questions about how COVID-19 significant increase in e-commerce and was had affected them personally, and whether home to relatively many worried respon- the pandemic had caused them to change dents. Meanwhile, Norway and Denmark – their e-commerce habits. The trend is clear. In which imposed lockdowns – saw only a small countries where many people said they were increase in e-commerce, and respondents worried about the pandemic, the proportion expressed a lower level of anxiety. of respondents stating that they shopped on- Another aspect that may affect e-commerce line more than usual was also greatest. This in the future is that several countries that were trend coincides with the magnitude of dis- previously among the least digitalized in Eu- ease outbreak, topped by hard-hit countries rope – such as Spain and Italy – now top the list such as Italy, Spain and Belgium. in number of people doing more online shop- But it is linked not only to the virus out- ping due to the pandemic. It is likely that many break itself, but rather to how consumers people in these countries changed their habits personally view the current situation. One in response to the social distancing measures example is Sweden, which did not impose imposed and have embraced e-commerce. 12 E-commerce in Europe 2020
COVID-19 Increased e-commerce due to coronavirus pandemic Percentage of respondents who shopped online more often due to the coronavirus pandemic Basis: Have shopped online 50% 45% 44% 41% 40% 37% 35% 33% 33% 30% 30% 29% 27% 26% 25% 25% 22% 20% 19% 15% 10% 5% 0% Spain Belgium Italy Netherlands Poland UK Germany France Sweden Finland Norway Denmark E-commerce in Europe 2020 13
International retailing 2 3 1 80 Countries from which 70 Europeans have shopped online The diagram shows how many Europeans have shopped online China, the UK and the 60 from each country. Basis: Have made cross-border online purchases. 2014 2020 US top the list for cross- 50 border online shopping From which Regarding cross-border online shopping, China was 40 countries most popular in the survey once again. The UK came have you bought in second place, followed by the US in third. products online? 30 20 10 0 CHINA UK USA GERMANY NORDIC REGION FRANCE NETHERLANDS REST OF EUROPE SPAIN JAPAN ITALY REST OF ASIA CANADA INDIA AUSTRALIA ICELAND RUSSIA REST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA COUNTRIES IN SOUTH AMERICA COUNTRIES IN AFRICA 14 E-commerce in Europe 2019
International retailing Percentage of shoppers who bought groceries online during the coronavirus pandemic who did not do so previously Basis: Have shopped online 35% 30% 30% 25% 22% 20% 20% 20% 15% 14% 14% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 5% 0% Spain France UK Italy Sweden Denmark Finland Poland Netherlands Germany Belgium Norway Coronavirus pandemic drives online grocery shopping The coronavirus pandemic has affected the world in many ways, and e-commerce is no ex- ception. As described previously, many consum- ers have done more online shopping since the outbreak of the virus. They also shop for different types of products. The product categories that respondents state that they bought online most because of the pan- demic include fashion, groceries and pharmacy goods. While online shopping for fashion has always been very popular, groceries and phar- macy goods are two notable newcomers. Food in particular has very high sales figures in certain countries. In Spain, as many as 30 percent say they shopped online for groceries because of the pandemic, followed by France (22 percent), the UK (20 percent), and Italy (20 percent). The com- mon denominator for these countries is that they were hit relatively hard by the pandemic. Online shopping for basic goods and essential products, such as groceries and pharmacy prod- ucts, has increased in the hardest hit countries, while consumers in less hard-hit countries have shopped online for other types of goods, such as fashion. E-commerce in Europe 2019 15
Eastern and Western Europe E-commerce has matured in Western Europe and is still growing in Eastern Europe Europe is a continent with significant variation, es- Commission’s Digital Economy and Society Index (DESI), pecially between north and south, as well as east and which measures the degree of digitalization in various west. In the latter case, there is a historical background. countries. Meanwhile, there are significant differences In Western Europe, large-scale expansion of the internet among the Eastern European countries. For example, the was already underway in the early 1990s. But in the poor- Baltic states clearly rank above the EU average with re- er Eastern European countries, which belonged to the spect to digitalization. The Czech Republic is roughly on a Soviet bloc until the early 1990s, this expansion generally par with the average, while most other Eastern European took longer. As a result, there is a lower degree of digitali- countries occupy a lower tier. zation, along with less e-commerce. To close the gap, the One of the largest e-commerce markets in the area Eastern European e-commerce market has had a higher that is usually considered Eastern Europe is Poland. An- growth rate in recent years. other potential difference between West and East emerg- Western Europe is characterized by developed digital es here: people are more interested in shopping locally, behaviors and relatively mature e-commerce markets, and especially in their own language. In Poland, the Alle- where values such as sustainable deliveries and origin gro marketplace has withstood the pressure from foreign marking have become increasingly important in recent e-commerce giants and holds a dominant position in the years. Eastern Europe is growing more quickly, but market. As many as 90 percent of Polish e-commerce started from a lower level. Countries in the east gen- consumers in the survey state that they shopped at Alle- erally have lower, but rising, rankings in the European gro at some point during the year. “Western Europe is characterized by developed digital behaviors and relatively mature e-commerce markets, where values such as sustainable deliveries and origin marking have become more important in recent years.” 16 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Eastern and Western Europe “Eastern Europe is growing more quickly, but started from a lower level. Countries in the east generally have lower, but rising, rankings in the European Commission’s Digital Economy and Society Index (DESI), which measures the degree of digitalization in various countries.” Proportion that shopped online from a marketplace during the year Wish, Zalando, Amazon, Ebay, Etzy, Alibaba/Aliexpress, JD.com and Allegro Basis: Have shopped online 100% 97% 97% 95% 95% 94% 90% 89% 80% 76% 71% 69% 70% 68% 61% 60% 56% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% UK Italy Spain Germany Poland France Belgium Netherlands Norway Denmark Finland Sweden E-commerce in Europe 2020 17
Marketplaces Amazon and Zalando: two dominant marketplaces in Europe Europe has generally lagged slightly three groups, based on whether shoppers behind the US in growth of online mar- prefer Amazon, Zalando, or both. There ketplaces. This is not so strange since is an Amazon-dominant group (UK), a the original – Amazon – is a US-based Zalando-dominant group (the Nether- phenomenon that now dominates Amer- lands, Nordic countries and Belgium), and ican e-commerce. Amazon established a a marketplace-dominant group (Spain, presence in key European markets early Germany, France and Italy). on, but its success in Europe has varied. It is also clear that Zalando generally At the same time, German Zalando has has a more even presence in the sur- grown to become a European market- veyed countries than Amazon. In most place for fashion, sports and beauty, and countries, 30–45 percent of respondents now has a presence in many countries. state that they shopped online at Zalando Survey respondents specified the (with the exception of the UK). For Ama- marketplaces where they shopped online, zon, the corresponding figure is 80–90 which reveals an interesting pattern. The percent in a few (large) countries, but con- surveyed countries can be divided into siderably lower in other countries. On which of the following e-commerce sites have you shopped in the past year (Amazon and/or Zalando)? Amazon vs. Zalando in Europe Basis: Have shopped online 100 Italy 90 Spain UK Germany France 80 70 60 50 Percentage that shopped online at Amazon Belgium 40 30 Denmark Netherlands Finland 20 Norway Poland 10 Sweden 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Percentage that shopped online at Zalando 18 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Marketplaces 36.2 6.5 Turnover 2019 (USD billion) Amazon in Europe Zalando Source: Annual report for each company Fashion is a challenge for Amazon The two marketplaces Amazon and European consumption is also not entirely Zalando’s model may possibly have Zalando both have a strong position in comparable with US consumption. Zalando highlighted weaknesses in the strategy Europe. In terms of turnover, Amazon is takes a different approach than Amazon by that has made Amazon so dominant in significantly larger than Zalando, which focusing on the premium market, while fre- US e-commerce. Zalando’s success fac- mainly focuses on fashion. Yet, Zalando has quently collaborating with strong brands. tors – an inspiring website with high-qual- made an impressive inroad, considering For example, the Nike brand left Amazon at ity images and design, combined with its competition from a global platform with the beginning of the year, but continues to large-scale and efficient logistics – could such strong economic muscles. sell its collections on Zalando. conceivably gain a foothold in oth- But fashion is Amazon’s weak spot. Here, Nike is in the company of other er industries where customers value Forbes describes 3 how Amazon has premium brands, and in recent years even inspiration, such as interior design or also been weak in fashion in the US, purely luxury brands – which are usually beauty. Should more industries move in where it has had a hard time holding its highly restrictive concerning with whom the same direction, Amazon may face a own against the European competition. they choose to partner. growing challenge. 30% 28% 28% Market shares for Amazon and Zalando Estimates by HUI Research based on public data available. May also include cross-border purchases from each marketplace. Amazon’s share of online commerce Zalando’s share of online commerce 20% 15% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 4% 0.5% 0% Germany Netherlands UK Italy Spain France Poland Belgium Denmark Finland Norway Sweden 3 https://www.forbes.com/sites/victoriapavlova/2019/02/09/the-amazon-effect-how-amazon-is-disrupting-european-e-commerce/#15b4ef55e7bc E-commerce in Europe 2020 19
Deliveries Consumers accept longer delivery times during the pandemic Many factors affect delivery times with previous years, demands are lower, E-commerce consumer expectations for goods purchased online. Some are probably since e-commerce and delivery of delivery time Basis: Have shopped online bulky and more difficult to transport times in many countries came under than others. Some goods are kept in heavy pressure because of the corona- stock, others are not. Some goods are virus pandemic, a reason which many When you buy a product online, what subject to regulations that the carrier consumers can understand. are your expectations as must observe. At the same time, willingness to pay to delivery time? What Today, consumers in most Europe- for extra-fast deliveries is lukewarm is the maximum number of days it may take to an countries have high expectations throughout Europe, probably because have your product regarding delivery time. A large group fast and inexpensive deliveries have be- delivered? in all countries surveyed feels that the come standard as e-commerce has ma- maximum delivery time should be about tured, and large companies with good three days, with some being reluctant to logistics, such as Amazon and Zalando, 1–2 3–5 6+ Don’t wait more than two days. But compared have entered the markets. days days days know 71% 66% 62% 57% 29% 22% 19% 11% 13% 12% 11% 13% 4% 4% 3% 2% UK Belgium Netherlands Italy 75% 67% 61% 60% 28% 25% 21% 16% 14% 10% 9% 5% 3% 3% 2% 1% Poland Spain Germany France 68% 67% 64% 61% 30% 28% 16% 18% 11% 11% 5% 6% 4% 4% 2% 3% Sweden Denmark Norway Finland 20 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Deliveries When you order a product online, how do you prefer to have it delivered? Preferred methods of delivery Basis: Have shopped online Home delivery in daytime 64% 45% 51% 70% 35% 38% 41% 25% 4% 38% 6% 7% Delivered to my mailbox/multi- occupancy mailbox 11% 23% 17% 9% 4% 12% 36% 42% 39% 0% 52% 14% by the mail carrier Collect the product myself from a 2% 10% 12% 4% 6% 6% 2% 19% 37% 24% 14% 33% distribution point Home delivery in evening 11% 8% 14% 6% 7% 29% 8% 5% 4% 11% 6% 4% Collect the product myself from a parcel 1% 1% 0% 3% 38% 2% 5% 2% 2% 20% 1% 35% machine Delivery to workplace 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 5% 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% Pick up at the online store’s physical store 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 0% 13% 2% UK Belgium Netherlands Italy Poland Spain Germany France Sweden Denmark Norway Finland E-commerce in Europe 2020 21
Deliveries How important are the following Speed and freedom of choice most factors regarding delivery in your important for delivery decision to buy goods Fast delivery Option to choose when delivery will occur. from an online Being able to choose the place for delivery 70% store? Basis: Have shopped online 62% 61% 60% 57% 56% 52% 50% 50% 49% 50% 48% 49% 44% 43% 41% 40% 40% 40% 38% 39% 37% 37% 35% 35% 35% 30% 30% 26% 27% 25% 24% 22% 23% 22% 20% 20% 19% 19% 20% 18% 18% 10% 0% Netherlands Denmark Germany Belgium Sweden Norway Finland Poland France Spain Italy UK 22 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Deliveries Are you Pay for faster delivery willing to pay for Percentage who answered yes. faster delivery Basis: Have shopped online. (next day)? 2020 2019 70% 60% 50% 44% 43% 41% 40% 37% 36% 35% 35% 30% 31% 30% 29% 26% 26% 23% 24% 23% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 19% 16% 10% 0% Netherlands Denmark Germany Belgium Sweden Norway Finland Poland France Spain Italy UK Are you Pay extra for more willing to pay extra eco-friendly delivery for more eco-friendly Percentage who answered yes. delivery? Basis: Have shopped online. 70% 60% 50% 42% 40% 37% 36% 32% 31% 29% 30% 27% 26% 24% 23% 23% 22% 20% 10% 0% Netherlands Denmark Germany Belgium Sweden Norway Finland Poland France Spain Italy UK E-commerce in Europe 2020 23
Mobile e-commerce More and more people shop online using mobile phones in Europe Percentage who have responded “at least once” How often Basis: Have shopped online have you used your 2020 2019 mobile phone or tablet European average 2020: 75% European average 2019: 65% to shop online in the 90% * In 2019, only weighted figures were presented for the Nordic region last year? 83% 83% 80% 79% 78% 76% 77% 77% 75% 75% 72% 71% 70% 69% 66% 66% 66% 66% 67% 65% 65% 62% 61% 60% 60% 58% 54% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Netherlands Netherlands Denmark Germany Belgium Sweden Norway Finland Poland France Spain Italy UK Europeans have become accustomed to using their mobile phones to shop In just one year mobile e-commerce the underdeveloped digital infrastructure, has surged considerably. This year’s where it is easier to use a mobile phone survey shows that about three of four than fixed networks in some places, has e-commerce consumers have used their likely accelerated the trend. mobile phones to shop online. The survey Another factor may be that those covers the early months of the corona- groups who shop online differ in the differ- virus outbreak, and it is conceivable that ent countries. For example, in the UK, the the increase may be linked in part to the proportion of people who use their mobile general increase in e-commerce at that phones to shop online is relatively low, time. Another likely reason is that use of but this may be because a large part of mobile phones to shop online is no longer the population shops online – including a confined to young consumers. greater number of older people with more Shopping by mobile phone is common conservative habits. Meanwhile, in Italy, in all countries surveyed, but especially in younger people are more likely to shop Italy, Spain and Sweden. In Spain and Italy, online, as are digitally savvy people in cities. 24 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Payment method More payment solutions improve business As digitalization expands, so too have the number of payment options. Credit/debit cards and invoices remain popular in many countries, but there are now also digital payment solutions. One such solution is PayPal, which is one of the top three payment solutions in all countries surveyed. PayPal’s success is based on consumers using their own bank information to create a personal PayPal account, which is then linked to an existing e-mail account. By linking the service to the already widespread use of e-mail, Paypal quickly gained popularity among many consumers at an early stage. Today PayPal is one of the world’s largest financial technol- ogy companies, though it has recently begun to encounter competition. Banks and finance companies have partnered to create payment apps for mobile phones, which are becoming increasingly popular. These services go by different names in different countries (for example, Swish, Mobile Pay and Vipps), but are basically the same. At first, some of these services were mainly used to transfer money between private individuals. But in recent years, they have also become increasingly common for commercial payments. Which of the following methods do you prefer to use when paying for a product you have bought online? Most popular online payment methods Basis: Have shopped online Debit card or credit card 51% 54% 23% 37% 24% 51% 19% 57% 28% 55% 37% 29% Invoice 0% 3% 9% 1% 1% 1% 21% 1% 30% 4% 20% 20% Direct payment through my bank 1% 5% 12% 1% 27% 2% 6% 2% 13% 3% 6% 22% PayPal or similar 44% 23% 22% 54% 25% 41% 48% 34% 14% 16% 21% 23% Cash on Delivery 1% 2% 2% 3% 12% 3% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% Payment by installments 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% Mobile app (e.g. Swish, MobilePay, 0% 11% 21% 1% 8% 1% 2% 1% 10% 18% 11% 2% Vipps) Other/Don’t know 2% 1% 10% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% UK Belgium Netherlands Italy Poland Spain Germany France Sweden Denmark Norway Finland E-commerce in Europe 2020 25
“Online grocery shoppingin the UK has reached a turning point” TIM STEINER, OCADOS FOUNDER AND CEO UK: the world’s third largest e-commerce market The UK has long been a pioneer in e-commerce. e-commerce is the capability for same-day deliv- In terms of turnover, the country has the third ery, even within four hours, which many people largest e-commerce market in the world, topped find to be far more convenient than visiting phys- only by China and the US. Among British survey ical stores. In the spring of 2020, the UK became respondents, 95 percent state that they shopped the first country outside the US in which Amazon online, which is one of the highest rates in Eu- launched Amazon Shipping, the company’s own rope. One driver of strong consumer interest in delivery service. Average for Europe Key indicators compared with average for Europe Percentage who shopped online more often due to coronavirus 30% Average purchase per year (EUR) EUR 1,020 Percentage of e-commerce consumers abroad 63% Percentage of e-commerce consumers 95% Internet penetration 97% 26 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Spotlight on: UK 11% 11% Coronavirus situation 64% in the UK On March 23, the UK imposed a lockdown in re- Top three preferred delivery methods sponse to the COVID-19 outbreak – several days after How do you prefer to have your product delivered many other European countries. With the exception when you shop online? of grocery stores and pharmacies, all stores were Basis: Have shopped online closed. Despite the lateness of the lockdown, the UK Home delivery in daytime In mailbox Home delivery in evening has fared better economically than the EU average. The country’s GDP fell by 2 percent during the first quarter of 2020 compared with the fourth quarter of Top three international marketplaces 2019. One explanation is that the country’s mature From which of the following e-commerce sites have you shopped online in the past year? e-commerce enabled a rapid increase in capacity Basis: Have shopped online during the period, and almost one third of British consumers stated that they shop online more often 91% 63% 11% as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. In concrete terms, this means that almost 20 million of the 50 million e-commerce consumers in the UK have be- gun to shop online more often. Amazon eBay Wish Marketplaces One strong driving force behind the UK’s mature Most commonly bought 65% e-commerce market is the early entry of the US products online e-commerce behemoths into the market. Amazon Percentage of e-commerce consumers began sales in the country under a local domain 55% 68% who have made purchases from each respective as early as the 1990s. Today, there are also several product category over the past year. strong domestic market participants, which, in light 45% of Brexit, seem to be gaining in popularity, including ASOS, Argos and Next. 35% 46% 45% 43% 39% European leader in online 25% grocery shopping 30% 15% In recent years, the UK has emerged as Europe’s 23% 22% brightest star in the online grocery shopping seg- 0% ment. Clearly, the coronavirus pandemic has pushed the trend even further. As many as 45 percent of Clothing and footwear Books and audiobooks Groceries Home electronics Cosmetics and skincare Home furnishings Movies Toys British consumers state that they have shopped for groceries online this year, representing a sharp increase compared with 31 percent last year. One contributing factor is likely that shopping for groceries online was already sufficiently well estab- lished so as to allow retailers to quickly scale up to meet the increased demand during lockdown. E-commerce in Europe 2020 27
“We don’t want to copy Amazon, because we wouldn’t have a chance. We stand out.” MICHAEL OTTO, CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD OF THE OTTO GROUP 1 Germany: still good growth potential for e-commerce Germany has a relatively mature and well- The marketplaces seem to gaining in strength developed e-commerce market. As many as in the country, and the domestic Otto Group was 92 percent of Germans in the survey state that among those that increased investments in they have shopped online. e-commerce in 2019. The major competitor is Given Germany’s strong purchasing power, and Amazon, and Otto has invested in a collaboration the fact that the country has the largest population with Google to develop voice assistant technology2 in Europe (83 million), there is still good growth for its e-commerce site that challenges Amazon’s potential for e-commerce. investment in voice-activated e-commerce. Average for Europe Key indicators compared with average for Europe Percentage who shopped online more often due to coronavirus 29% Average purchase per year (EUR) EUR 947 Percentage of e-commerce consumers abroad 69% Percentage of e-commerce consumers 92% Internet penetration 95% 28 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Spotlight on: Germany 8% 41% Coronavirus situation in Germany Germany’s GDP fell by 2.2 percent between the 36% fourth quarter of 2019 and first quarter of 2020. Economically, this indicates that so far, Germany has coped with the pandemic better than many other European countries. The government first imposed restrictions in the country on March 13, Top three preferred delivery methods followed by a nationwide lockdown on March 23, How do you prefer to have your product when many shops, malls and shopping centers were delivered when you shop online? closed.E-commerce benefited from these develop- Basis: Have shopped online Home delivery in daytime In mailbox Home delivery in evening ments, which is also reflected in the statistics. As many as 29 percent of consumers state that they shop online more often as a result of the pandemic. Top three international marketplaces From which of the following e-commerce sites have you shopped online in the past year? Basis: Have shopped online Marketplaces 88% 56% 31% Amazon launched a domain in Germany early on (just like in the UK). One estimate shows that the company currently has about 28 percent of the country’s total e-commerce, making Germany Amazon eBay Zalando Amazon’s largest market in Europe. Other estab- lished market participants include eBay and domestic Otto. In fashion, there are also strong domestic marketplaces, and 65 percent of German 65% consumers have shopped online in this segment in Most commonly bought the past year. The leader in fashion is Zalando, which products online accounts for eight percent of the country’s online 55% 65% Percentage of e-commerce consumers fashion retailing, and also has significant sales who have made purchases from each respective product category over the past year. to other European countries. 45% Potential for growth 35% 47% 46% in social media 42% 25% According to DESI, the European Commission’s 32% 32% Digital Economy and Society Index, German compa- 30% 30% nies could increase sales by increasing their expo- 15% sure on social media, as only 23 percent of German companies had a presence on social media in 2019. Because social media is becoming an increasingly 0% powerful driving force for e-commerce, both through Clothing and footwear Books and audiobooks Pharmacy products Home electronics Home furnishings Sports and leisure products Cosmetics and skincare Movies influencers and through direct shopping services (such as Instagram’s investment in e-commerce), the channel is likely to grow in Germany in the coming years. 1 To business insider 2 Otto.de, Pressrum, 2019 E-commerce in Europe 2020 29
“The two key markets of Germany and France continue to ‘pose a challenge’ for ASOS.” ASOS’ CEO NICK BEIGHTON France: Europe’s third largest e-commerce market France is the third largest e-commerce market in strong competition from global marketplaces and Europe, and as many as 89 percent of French people domestic e-retailers. in the survey state that they have shopped online. Competition rules and restrictions pose addi- France also has a relatively large group of consum- tional complications. Amazon was among those ers who state that they do not shop online, primarily affected by these rules and could only sell a limited the elderly. But this year, the proportion in the 65–74 range in France during the coronavirus pandemic. age group who shopped online increased, probably However, this is not unique to retailers; other online as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. companies have also struggled with restrictions In 2019, British fashion player ASOS stated that in France, such as Airbnb in tourism and Uber in France is a challenging market2, partly because of transportation. Average for Europe Key indicators compared with average for Europe Percentage who shopped online more often due to coronavirus 27% Average purchase per year (EUR) EUR 752 Percentage of e-commerce consumers abroad 64% Percentage of e-commerce consumers 89% Internet penetration 93% 30 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Spotlight on: France 19% 42% Coronavirus situation in France 25% France went into lockdown on March 17, and most stores had already closed on March 14. The coun- try’s lockdown has also been one of the strictest in Top three preferred delivery methods Europe. Periodically, people were required to carry How do you prefer to have your product delivered a form stating their reason for being outside their when you shop online? homes. As a result of the shutdown, the country Basis: Have shopped online In mailbox Home delivery in daytime Distribution point experienced what may be the worst drop in GDP in Europe, 5.8 percent lower in the first quarter of 2020 compared with the fourth quarter of 2019. Despite an overall reduction in consumption, e-commerce Top three international marketplaces From which of the following e-commerce sites have seems to have benefited, as 27 percent of consum- you shopped online in the past year? ers state that they shopped online more often as a Basis: Have shopped online result of the pandemic. Marketplaces Marketplaces are popular in France and account 82% 28% 25% Amazon eBay Zalando for about half of the country’s e-commerce sales 3 . The most popular is Amazon, which launched a French domain back in 2000, followed by the domestic marketplace Cdiscount. In May 2020, the country’s leading supermarket group, Carrefour, also Most commonly bought 60% transitioned from being an online store to become a products online digital marketplace 4. Percentage of e-commerce consumers 50% who have made purchases from each respective product category over the past year. A few strong participants 40% 54% dominate the market 30% The French e-commerce market is dominated by a few strong market participants that continue 36% 34% 34% to expand and reach larger segments of the French 20% 32% population. DESI, the European Commission’s Digital 27% 25% Economy and Society Index, shows that less than 23% 10% fifteen percent of the country’s small and medi- um-sized retailers engaged in some form of e-com- merce, while 45 percent of the larger companies did 0% so. It is therefore conceivable that smaller e-retailers Clothing and footwear Home electronics Sports and leisure products Books and audiobooks Cosmetics and skincare Groceries Home furnishings Toys who focus on niche sales, have good e-commerce solutions and profile themselves well could reach a relatively underdeveloped market segment. 2 .se, March Omniekonomi 2020. 3 Statista, 2020. 4 Carrefour.com, May 2020. E-commerce in Europe 2020 31
AMAZON IS SPAIN’S MOST VISITED MARKETPLACE Spain: one of the fastest growing markets in Europe The Spanish e-commerce market is one of the stores abroad, especially Chinese stores. As many fastest growing in Europe, and according to the as 40 percent state that they shopped online from survey, 90 percent of the population shops online. that country in the past year, which is 11 percentage DESI, the European Commission’s Digital Economy points higher than the average for Europe. Both and Society Index, shows a lower percentage when Amazon and Asian competitor Alibaba appear to e.g. the oldest age group (65+) is included. However, have noted the growing interest in cross-border the percentage of consumers who shop online has online shopping. In 2019, Alibaba chose Spain as the increased in both surveys. test market for its first physical AliExpress store in Many Spaniards also make purchases in online Europe. Average for Europe Key indicators compared with average for Europe Percentage who shopped online more often due to coronavirus 44% Average purchase per year (EUR) EUR 921 Percentage of e-commerce consumers abroad 71% Percentage of e-commerce consumers 90% Internet penetration 92% 32 E-commerce in Europe 2020
Spotlight on: Spain 12% 38% 29% Top three preferred delivery methods How do you prefer to have your product delivered Coronavirus situation when you shop online? in Spain Basis: Have shopped online Home delivery in daytime Home delivery in evening In mailbox Spain was one of the first European countries to be hit hard by the pandemic, and the country went into lockdown as early as March 14. Since Spain is a Top three international marketplaces From which of the following e-commerce sites have growth market for e-commerce, the shutdown result- you shopped online in the past year? ed in a sharp increase in e-commerce. A total of 44 Basis: Have shopped online percent of Spanish consumers stated in the survey that they shopped online more often during the 90% 45% 39% coronavirus pandemic, which is the highest propor- tion among all countries surveyed. Online grocery shopping increased most. Amazon Alibaba eBay Marketplaces Amazon is Spain’s most visited e-commerce platform, even though the Spanish domain was not Most commonly bought launched until 2011. Also, in early 2020, Amazon 65% products online launched its Business Prime in the Spanish market. Percentage of e-commerce Alibaba’s marketplace AliExpress ranks second, and consumers who have made 55% purchases from each respective Spain is the only country in the survey to rank this 63% product category market participant so high. No domestic e-retailer is 59% over the past 45% included in the top three, although there are some year. popular domestic market participants, such as el- 49% corteingles.es. 35% 39% 25% 36% Leading edge of 34% social media 15% 29% 29% Social media are popular in Spain, among both consumers and businesses. According to DESI, the 0% European Commission’s Digital Economy and So- Clothing and footwear Home electronics Sports and leisure products Books and audiobooks Groceries Cosmetics and skincare Toys Home furnishings ciety Index, almost one third of companies have at least two social media accounts where they market their products and services. In 2019, more than 25 million people in Spain used social media 5. Domestic Tiente is extremely popular, as is Facebook. 5 IAB Spain, 2019. E-commerce in Europe 2020 33
GREAT POTENTIAL IN A RAPIDLY GROWING MARKET Italy: the percentage of the population who shop online is still low Although Italy has Europe’s fastest growing they have never used the internet. However, the mar- e-commerce market, the share of the population that ket is clearly growing, and many market participants shops online is still low. In all, 82 percent of Italians have are investing in the country. For example, Zalando shopped online, and the figure is even lower in DESI, opened a warehouse near Verona in the spring of the European Commission’s Digital Economy and So- 2020. Mobile coverage (4G) is also good, which means ciety Index. The main reason may be that a significant that internet access is available in places where IT infra- minority, representing twice the EU average, state that structure generally is not as well developed. Average for Europe Key indicators compared with average for Europe Percentage who shopped online more often due to coronavirus 37% Average purchase per year (EUR) EUR 674 Percentage of e-commerce consumers abroad 67% Percentage of e-commerce consumers 82% Internet penetration 83% 34 E-commerce in Europe 2020
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