The Sustainable Cities and the point of No return of our Repositories - Dr.Arch./Ashraf Heagzy - ALDAR's Sustainability committee chairman .
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The Sustainable Cities and the point of No return of our Repositories . Dr.Arch./Ashraf Heagzy – ALDAR’s Sustainability committee chairman .
London, Paris, Tokyo, New York. If civilization needed an icon, “the city” would be it. Half of humanity now lives in urban areas, a figure heading for 75 percent in coming decades.
In 1900, only 13% of the world's population lived in cities. By 2050, that number will have risen to 75%. We are adding the equivalent of seven New Yorks to the planet every year. If there was ever a time to focus on the smart growth of our urban areas, that time is now. Urban areas with at least one million inhabitants in 2006. 3% of the world's population lived in cities in 1800, rising to 47% at the end of the twentieth century. As populations grow at a fast clip, they are placing greater demands on the city infrastructures that deliver vital services such as transportation, healthcare, education and public safety. Adding to the strain are ever-changing public demands for better education, greener programmes, accessible government, affordable housing and more options for senior citizens.
Just as cities provide a place for humans to live , so they destroy ecosystems and become unfit habitats for the human spirit World is facing a natural resources crisis worse than financial crunch •Few of us know exactly how our lifestyles affect our surroundings. The truth is, everything you do that uses energy generated from burning fossil fuels causes carbon dioxide to be released into the atmosphere. This raises temperatures, sparking off an unpredictable chain of potentially disastrous reactions. Globally, we're currently producing twice as much CO2 as nature can absorb and unless we make dramatic changes to the way we live, very soon the climate change process will develop its own momentum and become unstoppable. CO2 emissions are not going to simply stop by itself • Two planets need by 2030 at this rate, warns report • Humans using 30% more resources than sustainable
Building Construction industry worldwide account for : 40% of Co2 Emission.(Global Climatic Crisis) 40% of energy consumption ( environmental pollution). 20% of fresh water Consumption (The New OIL of its future Importance in the Region) 30% of Raw material usage (earth’s Resources depletion) In North America, buildings and urban infrastructure account for 40 % of material consumption and a third of energy use. High-income cities have an ecological footprint— the dispersed area of land and water required to supply their needs and assimilate their wastes—that is several hundred times larger than their political areas.
This is unfamiliar ground. Since World War II, politicians and planners have shaped cities with no regard for resource use or ecological concerns. Today’s land-grabbing, auto-dominated, fuel-inefficient metropolises have evolved into parasitic black holes, sucking in excessive megatons of energy and materials from all over the globe and spewing out volumes of (often toxic) waste
Earth is Shrinking year 2050 2005 2030 1987 1.44 Hectares of land per 1950 2.02 1.69 1900 2.60 Capita 5.15 7.91 Cities may well confront a triple specter of climate change, scarcity of energy and resources, and broken supply lines. Even the generally conservative U.S. National Intelligence Council (NIC) recently predicted that global demand for energy, food and water could easily outstrip supplies over the next decade or so, triggering trade-disrupting international conflicts. Plant in state of emergency ,NOW : Does anyone care???
As land and water become scarce, competition for these vital resources intensifies within societies, particularly between the wealthy and those who are poor and dispossessed. The shrinkage of life-supporting resources per person that comes with population growth is threatening to drop the living standards of millions of people below the survival level, leading to potentially unmanageable social tensions Access to land is a prime source of social tension. Expanding world population has cut the grainland per person in half, from 0.23 hectares in 1950 to 0.10 hectares in 2007. One tenth of a hectare is half of a building lot in an affluent U.S. suburb. This ongoing shrinkage of grainland per person makes it difficult for the world’s farmers to feed the 70 million people added to world population each year. The shrinkage in cropland per person not only threatens livelihoods; in largely subsistence societies, it threatens survival itself. Tensions within communities begin to build as landholdings shrink below that needed for survival.
In New York city ,the consumption of electricity, natural gas, fuel oil and steam needed to operate buildings generates 79 percent of the city's total Co2 emissions . Buildings in cities often represent a city's worst culprits in contributing to overall consumption ,for Example Abu Dhabi Electricity consumption in 1966 was 3Megawatt ,but in 2004 is 7165 Megawatt!!!! For water desalination ,the capacity in Abu Dhabi was 4 million galloons /day in 1970 , and increased to 650 million gallons /day in 2004.
Point of No Return All this must change. Climate science indicates that to have even a chance of avoiding a catastrophic increase in mean global temperature, the worldwide economy must be largely decarbonized by 2050. The NIC argues that the U.S. should actually complete its transition by 2025. Such goals pose an unprecedented challenge to urban authorities at all levels.
Ice, Snow & Clouds NASA reported in The Greenland melt stretch to the 2006 that the 2 adds about 200 of an Horizon on inch to the Annual miles thick ice Greenland ice pack 0.12 inch rise in on May 18th,2007. sheet covering the global sea level, Greenland 4 times Greenland is should the entire ice France size & seeing a faster sheet disappear –it inhabited by 60.000 melt rate. would cause an people,81% ice estimate 23-Foot rise covered. in Global Sea Level GREEN LAND IS MELTING
Point of No Return Over the previous 15 years ,Winter temperatures have risen 9 Degrees F, on Ice Cap, While Spring & Autumn temperatures increased by about 5 degrees. The Glacier has been in retreat, shedding ice as it shrinks , rate doubled by 2002-2003,a very large volume of ice moving towards the Ocean.
Point of No Return Fishing Boats sail past icebergs on MAY 16th,2007 , because winter is no longer cold enough to freeze it solid . An Iceberg floats May 15,2007 ,Glaciers around the world has been in retreats, it is scary,,,,,,,
Point of No Return Fires set by ranchers clearing forest for land burn is defrosting Part of the Amazon ,Releasing Carbon Dioxide and removing trees that would absorb the Green House Gas. Sea Level rise scenarios are based largely on projections of melting land-based glaciers and ice sheets, scientist are trying to figure out what might happen in the next few decades.
Point of No Return Warming temperature are expected to spread diseases more Quickly, AFRICA, is likely to see more frequent outbreaks of malaria ,since the Refugee camps (Mozambique) make it easier for mosquitoes to transmit malaria due to its densely packed. Australia is suffering its longest drought on record, one that has shriveled up reservoirs like these outside Perth since 1999.
Point of No Return Bleached Coral : Warming Seas Cause Bleaching ,in 2005 Half the coral around the U.S. Virgin Islands died after sea temperature exceeded the norm for 3 months, Experts fear that half of all coral around the world could be wiped out by 2030. 118 countries has been powered largely by coal fired power plants. Coal Power plants ,along with vehicles ,are major resources of carbon dioxide.
The 15 Endangered Cities.
VENICE -ITALY TOKYO - JAPAN WENGEN-SWITZERLAND NORTH WEST TERRITORIES LONDON-ENGLAND MANHATTAN-NEW YORK HALONG BAY -VIETNMA - CANADA THE NETHERLANDS KENAI FJORDS NATIONAL PARK-ALASKA. MT.KILIMANJARO -TANZANIA GREAT BARRIER REEF- AUSTRALIA THE EVERGLADES-FLORIDA DALIAN - CHINA SOUTH GEORGIA ISLAND FUNAFUTI-TUVALU
Seem over the top? Perhaps. But our rethinking of cities must match the challenge. Scientists are deeply worried; you & I should be, too. If we can’t save our cities, we won’t save ourselves. THE CHALANGE
“Cities are crying out to happen."
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT = SUSTAINABLE CITY The term sustainable development goes beyond the boundaries of science , business development and trade to include human development, values, and differences in cultures. SCIENCE BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT TRADE "Sustainable community development is the ability to make development choices which respect the relationship between the three "E's"-economy, ecology, and equity . •Economy - Economic activity should serve the common good, be self-renewing, and build local assets and self-reliance. •Ecology - Human are part of nature, nature has limits, and communities are responsible for protecting and building natural assets. •Equity - The opportunity for full participation in all activities, benefits, and decision- making of a society."
The notion of sustainable urban form has its roots in the Garden City movement at the turn of the century. The garden cities of the 1900s and the ecological cities of the 1970s were proposed as alternatives to the pathology of modern urban form. The city must be made more vital, humane, efficient, beautiful, self-sufficient, and natural through a return to a more compact form, its impact on the environment must be decreased. These themes have re-emerged in the sustainable cities of the 1990s, advanced on behalf of future generations and planetary ecology .
Cities have become the focal points as major consumers and distributors of goods and services. However, many cities tend to be large consumers of goods and services, while draining resources out of external regions that they depend on. As a result of increasing consumption of resources, and growing dependencies on trade, the ecological impact of cities extends beyond their geographic locations. It has been recognized that the concept of sustainable development is an evolving, debatable term.
The City of Garbage Manshyiat Naser slum, commonly known as the City of Garbage, is located on the outskirts of Cairo. The inhabitants of Manshyiat Naser live on collecting and sorting out trash which is brought to the city by cart or truck. Their main work is to dig through a variety of garbage to retrieve what they can sell, recycle or use. It is estimated that about 80% is recycled and resold while organic waste is either processed into cattle food or burnt for fuel.
SUSTINABLE CITIES : TIME TO MAKE PEACE WITH THE PLANET.
In China 2 Billion square meters (21 billion sq. ft) of new buildings space is added every year , making china the largest consumer of cement ,Steel ,brick and many other building materials . Installing just energy efficient lighting could save 1.5 billion barrels of oil a year , or the Annual output of 350 medium – sized power stations.
Without becoming isolationist, such bioregions would produce much of their own food, fiber and water and recycle their waste. By being less reliant on imports, they would be partially insulated from climate vagaries, global resource shortages and distant military conflicts. And because inhabitants would depend on local ecosystems, they would have a powerful incentive (currently absent) to manage their resources more sustainably. The aggregate effect would be global sustainability.
China's Plastic Bag Ban Will Save 37 Million Barrels of Oil 30-8-2008 China has never been considered an environmental role model. Given a population of 1.3 billion, unprecedented carbon emissions and a slew of recent lead-toy scandals, many would say the country stands as a — if not the — prime example of environmental failure. Yet, in a bolt from the blue, it looks like the red has embraced green. Yesterday, China’s State Council put a nationwide ban on plastic bags. The cabinet has demanded all stores (from major supermarkets to small shops) go plastic bag-free after June 1. According to the Daily Mail, China uses more plastic bags than any other country. China squanders 37 million barrels of crude oil on plastic bag production every year. The nationwide ban will no doubt help correct China’s tarnished image, especially before the Beijing Olympic Games.
Smart City + Sustainable city = Eco City
SMART CITY :The use of Modern Technology in everyday Urban life. A smart City is a well performing in a forward-looking way in 6 characteristics, built on the “SMART” combination of endowments and activities of self –decisive ,independent and aware citizens. SMART ECONONMY SMART PEOPLE SMART GOVERNANCE SMART MOBILITY SMART ENVIROMENT SMART LIVING
SMART ECONONMY Ability to transform. Productivity . Innovative Spirit Flexibility of Labor market. Entrepreneurship . International Embeddings . Economic Image & Trademarks
SMART PEOPLE (Social and Human Capital ) Flexibility . Level of Qualification . Cosmopolitanism / Open mindedness. Affinity to life long learning . Creativity . Participation in public life . Social and ethnic plurality .
SMART Governance ( Participation ) Participation in decision - making. Public and Social Services . Transparent Governance. Political Strategies & perspectives .
SMART MOBILITY ( Transport / Information and Communication technology ) Local Accessibility Inter- national accessibility. Availability of ICT – Infrastructure . Sustainable , Innovative and safe transport systems .
SMART ENVIROMENT ( Natural Resources ) Attractive of Natural conditions . Pollution . Environmental protection . Sustainable resource management .
SMART LIVING ( Quality of life ) Individual safety . Housing Quality . Education Facilities . Social Cohesion . Health conditions . Cultural facilities . Touristic attractively .
Why Sustainable cities?
Benefits of sustainable City Improve health and mental well-being. Improve environmental quality, e.g. better air and water quality, local climate control and noise attenuation. Promote a sense of community. Help reduce crime, Fear of crime & anti social behavior. Crime in New York City has dropped 27% since 2001, Smarter cities fight crime by capturing data. Provide opportunity for exercise, sport, active recreation, spiritual well being and quiet contemplation. Improve health as a result of increased activity such as walking. Provide community resources for learning and training. Provide opportunities for community involvement. Provide a leisure focus and attraction for people of all ages from the existing and the growth communities.
Benefits of sustainable City Help establish local identity or sense of place. Contribute to sustainable drainage and flood mitigation. Provide the Opportunity to protect, recreate and rehabilitate landscapes and habitats damaged or lost by previous development or agricultural change. Help Maintain and Enhance Biodiversity. Contribute to the Protection, management and enhancement of historic and natural sites and areas. Improve and Sustain Land Value. Reduce Land management Cost. Provide an enhanced environmental backdrop that will assist in attracting business and inward investment.
Abu Dhabi Goes Green 10 years ago perhaps ,certain corners of the world may never heard of Abu Dhabi, but in more recent years , Abu Dhabi has emerged as the “One to Watch” Abu Dhabi plans ensure that the capital has a bright , long future ahead. As the first major hydrocarbon –producing economy to take such step , Abu Dhabi has established its leadership position by launching the MASDAR imitative , a global cooperative platform for the open engagement in the search for solutions to some of mankind's ‘s most pressing issues :Energy security, Climate change and the development of human expertise in sustainability.
In April 2006 ,Abu Dhabi took a bold and historic decision to embrace renewable and sustainable energy technologies •Masdar city – Abu Dhabi : as Pilot model uses the potential of renewable energy in the region & promoting the use of Energy derived from sources other than hydrocarbons, for reasons of efficiency, reduce pollution and greenhouse gas emissions and the scarcity of supply.
China envisions environmentally friendly 'eco-city' In three years, the island's black-faced spoonbills and other rare birds will share this migratory stop with 25,000 humans, the initial inhabitants of what developers call the world's first "eco-city.“ If Dongtan Eco-City opens on schedule, it will become a carbon-neutral urban showcase at about the same moment scientists foresee China surpassing the United States as the globe's leading emitter of greenhouse gases.
Simply, it is only “ ONE WORLD ” to live on it . Thank you for your attention.
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