Brazil Pandemic Panorama Health and economics Prevention Mesures Implementation's Political problems - Hypotheses.org
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Brazil Pandemic Panorama Health and economics Prevention Mesures Implementation’s Political problems
Cases and deaths – Favelas of Rio de Janeiro city Confirmed cases Deaths Source: Observatório das Favelas, Maré 2020
Brazil’s Response to the crisis • A « war budget » - Priority for health care (SUS) in a humanistic logistique • Income and employment support policies - Reaching informal workers • Liquidity policies - Keeping companies and bank afloat • Fiscal Policies -raising the debt to GNP ratio -transfers to states and municipalities
Pandemic: Humanitarian Logistics • Humanitarian Logistics (LH) is a set of plans and actions aimed at saving lives, displacing people and materials, promoting the flow of information and managing the acquisition, storage, transport and distribution of supplies to serve people affected by disasters , unpredictable events and / or complex situations. • Humanitarian Logistics has a different view of business logistics (LE), which has a predictable demand. In LH, the demand occurs in an unpredictable way, generated by random events, unreliable information systems, prioritizing care for victims, leaving aside the lowest cost item and emphasizing the urgency to attend in the shortest time (Matz M. 2020)). • Collaborative action is considered one of the great challenges of humanitarian logistics, given the constant risk situations and the diversity of ways in which stakeholders workLa logistique humanitaire (LH) est un ensemble de plans et d'actions visant à sauver des vies, à déplacer des personnes et des équipements, à promouvoir la circulation de l'information et à gérer l'acquisition, le stockage, le transport et la distribution de fournitures pour servir les personnes touchées par des catastrophes. , des événements imprévisibles et / ou des situations complexes.
Mesures de Prévention (OMS) • Social distancing «Be at home» • Wash your hands • Alcohol solutions 70% • Masks • Testing
Wears a protective at all mask on the street times In most cases Sometimes... Never / Rarely Fonte: http://materiais.opinionbox.c Date of data om/pesquisa-coronavirus collection
Wash your hands • 31,1 millions de Brésiliens (16%) n'ont pas accès au réseau d’approvisionement de l'eau • 74,2 millions (37%) vivent dans des zones sans collecte des eaux usées et • 5,8 millions n'ont pas de salle de bain à la maison (PNAD/IBGE) 2018 et Instituto Trata Brasil
social distancing index per state
Social distancing • 13,6 millions vivent dans des bidonvilles à forte densité de population (Inst. Locomotiva, 2020) • 70% dépendent du travail pour vivre (DataFavela, 2020) • 11,6 millions de Brésiliens (5,6% ) vivant dans des propriétés avec plus de 3 résidents par chambre, (IBGE)
OIT (mai/2020) Full or partial lockdown measures bear a significant impact on 1.6 billion informal workers, with women over-represented in the most hard-hit sectors. Dilemma faced by many informal economy workers “To die from hunger or from the virus” Starve to death is sure, I'll risk not contaminating myself
Income and employment support policies: emergency aid Payment of 100 euros per month (3 months) to 50 million Brazilians Difficulties: Download the application, the identity card, the CPF (Personal tax registration)
Queue to withdraw emergency aid at the Caixa Econômica Duque de Caxias, RJ. Macaé, RJ. Fonte: O Dia Fonte: G1
Income and employment support policies • Suspension or reduction of the working day: 7.3 million • 54.9% (3.95 million): total suspension -2 months. • 17.2% (1,239,084): 50% reduction in hours and wages • 13.4% (964,073): 25% decrease of salary • 12.2% (167,069): reduction of 70% and intermittent workers of 2.3% represent the total. • 34,736 million formal workers, including domestic workers. • In other words, 1 in 5 formal workers has already had their salary or contract suspended. (Ministry of Economy)
Aid to States and Municipalities (during vote at Congress) - 65 billion reais - Suspension of payment of state debts to the federal government and social security - Distribution of 60 billion reais in four months to mitigate the effects of the fall in tax revenue due to the impact on the economy of the social isolation measures necessary to cope with the disease.
Prevention’s Communication Delay Centered on the middle class: broadcast on TV channels and social networks Inappropriate language. Presentation of incomprehensible graphs and tables for a large part of the population. Ignorance of the reality of the “poor” citizen
Pandemic Politicization • Two health ministers went out • Speech and action’s conflict between the executive and states/municipalities • Humanitarian logic x economic logic
Speech Conflict Traductions : « Hysteria », « little flu », « it is going away », « I'm not a gravedigger », « and then? » « I'm going to have a barbecue »
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