Covid-19 Update Twelfth Meeting of the South-East Asia Region Immunization Technical Advisory Group (SEAR ITAG)
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Covid-19 Update Twelfth Meeting of the South-East Asia Region Immunization Technical Advisory Group (SEAR ITAG), 10 August 2021 Jos Vandelaer, WHE
COVID-19 cases reported in the last seven days per 100 000 population (from 30 July-5 August 2021) Cases reported in the last 7 days (per 100 000 population) 0.01 – 10.00 10.01 – 50.00 50.01 – 100.00 100.01 – 300.00 >300 Number of new cases in the last 7 days The designations employed and the presentation of these materials do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WHO concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted and dashed lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement
Cumulative COVID-19 Cases and Deaths, by Country (5 Aug 2021, 7 am IST) *Percent change in the number of newly confirmed cases/deaths in past seven days, compared to seven days prior. **Test numbers in Thailand and Nepal- only RT PCR; Bhutan testing data as of 1 Aug 2021; Thailand testing DMA= Day Moving Average; TPR=Test Positivity Rate data as of July 31, 2021
SEARO COVID-19 | Delta Has Spread Rapidly Within Countries
List of countries reporting Variants of Concern as of 25 July 2021 For all Variants of concern (VOC): Country Alpha Beta Gamma Delta • Evidence of Bangladesh ● ● - ● • Increased transmissibility • Possible increased risk of severity Bhutan ● ● ● • Vaccine efficacy/effectiveness retained against severe disease (except Gamma for India ● ● ●** ● which impact unclear) Indonesia ● ● - ● • No evidence • to cause different symptoms (e.g. Maldives ● - - ● conjunctivitis) • for lower respiratory tract preference Nepal ● - - ● • failed RT-PCR test (except ‘SGTF’ in Alpha Sri Lanka ● ● - ● variant) or impact on Ag RDTs Delta variant Thailand ● ● ●** ● • Delta variant is 55% more transmissible than Timor-Leste ●** - - ●** the Alpha variant and 97% more relative to non-VOC/VOI (as estimated) Myanmar ● - - ● • Expected that Delta will rapidly outcompete ** detection of VOCs only among travelers (e.g., imported cases detected at points of entry) other variants and become the dominant circulating lineage over the coming months “●” indicates that information for this variant was received by WHO from official sources. SGTF = ‘S’ Gene Target Failure implies undetectable S-gene target for some real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing methods
Public Health and Social Measures
SEARO COVID-19 PHSM is effective| in the context of VOCs: Lessons from recent surge • PHSM works even in the context of highly transmissible variants • PHSM needs to be escalated as soon as the situation deteriorates. • Ensure monitoring systems with indicators and criteria for timely PHSM calibration • Effective enforcement needed; then measures can be time-limited. • RCCE and social support - a critical elements for PHSM implementation Action points: • Review/optimize indicators/threshold for PHSM calibration • Continue supporting advocacy/RCCE for comprehensive PHSM
SEARO COVID-19 | New WHO guidance: Individualized public health measures • Countries may consider relaxing some measures for individuals meeting either of the following criteria: o completion of full vaccination with one of the WHO EUL vaccines or approved by a stringent regulatory authority (and at least two weeks after completion of vaccination) o SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by RT-PCR within the past 6 months and no longer infectious as per WHO’s Criteria for releasing COVID-19 patients from isolation. • Depending on the transmission level, below are some options: o waiving quarantine following close contact with a confirmed COVID-19 case o waiving testing and/or quarantine requirements in the context of international travel o allowing congregating in indoor private settings with other fully vaccinated or recovered individuals without masks/distancing. Countries with a low risk tolerance, especially with high level of transmission and low level of vaccination coverage, may choose not to implement individualized approach
SEARO COVID-19 | Risk-based approach to international travel • A risk-based approach to international travel should continue to be applied (taking into consideration risks of variants) • Proof of vaccination against COVID-19 should not be used as a condition for entry into or exit from a country. • Exemption from SARS-CoV-2 testing and/or quarantine requirements may be provided to travellers who: o are fully vaccinated at least two weeks prior to travelling, with COVID-19 vaccines listed by WHO for emergency use or approved by a stringent regulatory authority o have proof of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by RT-PCR received within the past 6 months and are no longer infectious. • Regardless of the above, any testing/quarantine measures should be guided by a risk assessment. o Countries with a low risk tolerance may prefer not to implement this individualized approach o Concerns about possible transmission of immune-escape variants. • National authorities may record proof of COVID-19 vaccination in the WHO-issued “yellow booklet”, under the section “other vaccinations” (or its digital format)
The Way Forward
→ → 8th Meeting of IHR Emergency Committee on COVID-19 • Continue to use evidence-informed PHSM based on monitoring of the epidemiologic situation and health system capacities • Mask use, physical distancing, hand hygiene, and improved ventilation of indoor spaces remains key • Contact tracing, quarantine and isolation, must continue • Implement a risk-management approach for mass gathering events • Achieve the WHO call to action to have at least 10% of all countries’ populations vaccinated by September 2021. • Enhance surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 and continue to report to WHO to enable rapid identification, tracking of variants • Improve access to and safe administration of WHO recommended therapeutics • Continue a risk-based approach to facilitate international travel and share information with WHO on use of travel measures and their public health rationale. • Do NOT require proof of vaccination against COVID-19 for international travel • Recognize all COVID-19 vaccines with WHO EUL in the context of international travel. • Address community engagement and communications gaps at nat’l/local levels
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