Consolidation continues at pace-mega-mergers on the horizon - White & Case LLP
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Consolidation continues at pace—mega-mergers on the horizon Financial Institutions M&A: Sector trends H1 2019 | Outlook for H2 2019 Banks 3 highlights of bank M&A: Bank consolidation: The numbers speak for themselves—100 regional and domestics deals across Europe in the past 12 months Re-shaping balance sheets: Non-core disposals and active NPL management retain prime importance Fintech outlay: Banks deploy multi-channel investment strategies to compete for customers, defend territories and accommodate regulation
Consolidation continues at pace—mega-mergers on the horizon The wait is over. Whispers of mega-deals have matured into agenda items for boards of many larger European banks. Overview CURRENT WE ARE SEEING Embracing the digital revolution: MARKET –– High appetite for digital banking, fraud prevention and Brexit contingency plan implementation: compliance monitoring technologies Upward, significant –– Necessitating movement of businesses and –– Re-entry into the payments arena (e.g., RBS’s NatWest financial assets out of the UK Tyl, Bankia’s strategic partnership with Sipay, etc.) –– PreferredEU27 re-location hotspots include Dublin, –– Multi-channel investment strategy, including direct Frankfurt, Berlin and Amsterdam equity investments, venture funds, JVs/partnerships with fintechs, incubators/start-up support and Banks consolidating at pace: innovation consortia with competitors –– Primarily regional and domestic consolidation –– Mostlystakeholder-supported, though some KEY DRIVERS state-encouraged (particularly in Russia) –– Geographic Regional bank consolidation promising: hotspots include the Balkans, CEE, the Nordics, Germany and Italy –– Tobring together of complementary strengths to achieve scale and brand differentiation Non-state-aided and state-aided banks focusing on core geographical markets/businesses: –– Attractive synergies, growth targets and, ultimately, –– Non-core stakeholder returns disposal programmes continue –– Wide Fierce competition from: range of strategic, financial sponsor and ultra high-net-worth/family office buyers –– Fintechs disrupting the lending landscape, previously dominated by established banks Balance sheet overhauls continue: –– Financial sponsors fuelling the fintech fire by providing –– NPL disposals, particularly across Italy, Spain, lending dry powder Ireland and the UK –– ‘Shadow bank’ lending—non-bank financial –– Italy remains the most active NPL market (facilitated intermediation has grown to c. US$184 trillion, by the Garanzia sulla Cartolarizzazione delle accounting for 50 percent of global financial assets Sofferenze state guarantee scheme) –– Financial Mounting pressure on profitability from: sponsors dominate the buyer universe (including Cerberus, Loan Star and AnaCap) –– Poor trading results—clients resorting to ‘wait and see’ in the wake of President Trump’s ongoing trade Fintechs coming of age: wars, economic growth concerns across Europe and –– Fintechsexpanding repertoire of bank product/ unknown Brexit impact service offerings (e.g., Tandem’s credit card and –– Skittish equity capital markets, though debt capital fixed saver account offerings, Monzo’s business markets show signs of buoyancy (e.g., The Co- account offering, etc.) operative Banks successful issue of £200 million fixed –– Digitalbanks expanding into new geographical rate reset callable subordinated tier 2 notes due 2029) territories (e.g., N26’s expansion into Brazil) –– Continuing low interest-rate environment –– Digitalbanks swelling lending firepower through –– Increasingoperating costs (e.g., AML, anti-fraud and successful funding rounds (e.g., N26’s US$300 IT system robustness monitoring and remediation) million Series D round, Starling Bank’s £75 million Series C round, OakNorth’s US$440 million Series –– Fromactivist shareholders, attracted by ‘cheap’ D round, etc.) European assets on account of Brexit and fears concerning the Western European economy Availability of potential buyers for non-core businesses and NPLs (e.g., local and foreign strategic, private equity and ultra high-net-worth individuals)
Patrick Sarch Partner, London Co-head of Financial Institutions Global Industry Group The quest to become the pan-European champion is formally underway. Deutsche Bank’s, UniCredit’s and ING’s rumoured courtship of Commerzbank is only one example of transformational deals to come. Our M&A forecast TRENDS TO WATCH European banking industry in restructuring mode: –– Attemptsto repair domestic financial High levels of M&A activity as system vulnerabilities—possibility of contenders vie for the crown of mega-consolidation deals pan-European champion. Regional –– Finding palatable and realistic solutions for Europe’s NPL conundrum (e.g., legislative reform and domestic bank consolidation to facilitate NPL management) to continue as market participants –– Flexing digital banking muscle attempt to fortify positions in BigTech encroaching into the ‘traditional’ banking fragmented markets. Banks with arena (e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, Apple, etc.) more robust balance sheets are Impact of M&A on IT system robustness (e.g., still able to tap into the capital Lloyds’s January 2019 IT outage resulted in markets and deploy resources hundreds of thousands of unprocessed payments towards strategic expansion and and risk of customers being repeatedly charged for a single purchase) fintech investment. Attorney Advertising
Banks—Publicly reported deals & situations The Bank of England and the UK Financial Conduct Authority have signed a deal with the European Banking Authority to share information and co-operate should Corporate the UK crash out of the EU with no deal in place (March 2019) reorganisations Market highlight: Brexit: Lloyds Banking Group (Germany) Financial services Citigroup (Germany) Securing German banking licence businesses have moved Establishment of new Frankfurt for new Berlin-based subsidiary broker-dealer hub (March 2019) c. £800 billion in staff, (January 2019) operations and other NatWest (Netherlands) Non-Brexit: assets to the EU27 since Transfer of £6 billion of assets and £7 billion of liabilities to Dutch hub La Banque Postale (France) the Brexit referendum* (February 2019) Absorption of CNP Assurances (June 2019) Bank of America (Ireland) £400 million on the Abanca Corporación Bancaria establishment of Dublin as HQ & Abanca Holding Financiero of European banking operations (Spain) (February 2019) Merger (June 2019) Barclays (Ireland) Unicredit (Italy) Transfer of £190 billion of assets Carve-out of FinecoBank to Irish division (January 2019) (May 2019) Deal highlight: Bank Leumi (Isreal) Société Générale (Spain) Disposal of Bank Leumi Romania Disposal of Self Trade Bank White & Case advised (April 2019) (February 2019) Disposals of Diamond Bank PLC on Diamond Bank (UK) Société Générale (Moldova) non-core assets the disposal of its UK Disposal of Diamond Bank (UK) Disposal of 67.85% of banking subsidiary, Plc (April 2019) Mobiasbanca (February 2019) Diamond Bank (UK) Plc Bausparkasse Schwäbisch Hall ABN AMRO (Netherlands, UK (Germany) and Germany) Non-state-aided/backed banks: Disposal of 45% of Českomoravská Disposal of Escrow and stavební spořitelna (April 2019) Settlement business Deutsche Bank (Portugal) (February 2019) Disposal of Portuguese private Sberbank of Russia (Russia) and commercial client business Disposal of DenizBank (April 2019) State-aided/backed banks: (June 2019) BFF Luxembourg Bankia (Spain, Turkey) DNB and Kommunal (Luxembourg) Disposal of 51% of Caja Granada Landspensjonskasse gjensidig Disposal of 12.9% of Banca Vida de Seguros y Reaseguros and forsikringsselskap (Norway) Farmafactoring (April 2019) Cajamurcia Vida y Pensiones de Disposals of 19.8% and 10% Seguros y Reaseguros (April 2019) Crédit Agricole (Saudi Arabia) of Oslo Børs, respectively Disposal of 4.9% of Banque Saudi Piraeus Bank (June 2019) Fransi (March 2019) (Greece, Bulgaria) Nordea Bank and DNB Disposal of Piraeus Bank Bulgaria Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Ziraat (Estonia) (April 2019) Bankası (Turkey) Disposal of 60% of Luminor Bank Disposal of Ziraat Finansal Piraeus Bank (Greece, Albania) (May 2019) Kiralama (March 2019) Disposal of 98.83% of Tirana Bank Société Générale (Slovenia) (March 2019) Deutsche Bank (Poland) Disposal of SKB Banka d.d. Disposal of Polish private and Caixa Geral de Depósitos Ljubljana, SKB Leasing and SKB commercial banking business (Portugal) Leasing Select (May 2019) (February 2019) Disposal of stake in Inapa (January 2019) * Source: Financial Times (January 2019) 2
Deal highlight: Eurobank Bulgaria (Bulgaria) Cerberus Capital Management Disposal of €350 million of (Ireland) White & Case corporate loans to EOS Matrix Consortium acquisition with NPL/financial advised Intrum, a (April 2019) Everyday Finance of €800 million asset Stockholm-listed credit of NPLs from AIB (April 2019) GetBack (Poland) management management company Disposal of PLN 400 million Hoist Finance (Poland) backed by Nordic of NPLs to Hoist Finance Acquisition of PLN 400 million Capital, in connection (February 2019) of NPLs from GetBack with its €330 million State-aided/backed banks (February 2019) acquisition and hive- disposals: Cerberus Capital Management down of Piraeus Bank’s Piraeus Bank (Greece) (Spain) debt recovery business Acquisition of €230 million Disposal of €507 million of NPEs of NPLs from Unicaja Banco unit, transfer of more to Davidson Kempner Capital (January 2019) than 1,200 employees to Management (June 2019) AnaCap Financial Partners the newly independent Piraeus Bank (Greece) (Spain) recovery business Disposal of debt recovery Acquisition of €100 million business unit and securitisation of and €28 billion NPL of NPLs from Unicaja Banco €28 billion of NPLs (June 2019) securitisation (January 2019) UK Asset Resolution (UK) Apollo Global Management Disposal of £4.9 billion of NPLs Deal highlight: (Greece) issued by Northern Rock to Citi Consortium acquisition with White & Case advised and PIMCO (April 2019) International Finance Corporation Credito Fondiario and AIB (Ireland) of €1 billion of NPLs, €56 million Fire on their acquisition Disposal of €800 million of NPLs of real estate loans and certain to Everyday Finance (April 2019) repossessed Greek real of a €698 million NPL Banca Monte dei Paschi di estate assets from Alpha Bank portfolio from Banca Siena (Italy) (January 2019) Monte dei Paschi di Disposal of €698 million of NPLs Debt restructuring specialist Siena and MPS Leasing to Credito Fondiario and Fire interest: & Factoring (January 2019) Intrum (Greece) Unicaja Banco (Spain) Acquisition of Piraeus Bank’s Deal highlight: Disposal of €230 million and debt recovery business €100 million of NPLs to Cerberus unit and management of White & Case advised Capital Management and AnaCap €28 billion securitised NPL Alpha Bank on its sale Financial Partners, respectively portfolio (June 2019) of €1 billion of NPLs, (January 2019) Credito Fondiario (Italy) €56 million of real Alpha Bank (Greece) Consortium acquisition with Fire estate loans and certain Disposal of €1 billion of NPLs, of €698 million of NPLs from repossessed Greek €56 million of real estate loans Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena real estate assets to a and certain repossessed Greek (January 2019) consortium of funds real estate assets to Apollo Availability of third-party Global Management and managed by affiliates International Finance Corporation service providers: of Apollo Global (January 2019) MBCredit Solutions (Italy) Management and States go the extra mile for Acquisition of €51 million of NPLs International Finance state-aided banks: from UniCredit (April 2019) Corporation UK Asset Resolution issued EOS Matrix (Bulgaria) guarantees to borrowers under Acquisition of €350 million of loans sold to Citi and PIMCO corporate loans from Eurobank Non-state-aided/backed banks to ensure they are not ‘taken Bulgaria (April 2019) disposals: advantage of’ (April 2019) Transworld Systems Danske Bank (Estonia) Acquiring debt servicing (Luxembourg) Disposal of €410 million of capability/capacity: Acquisition of Altisource Portfolio Estonian private loans to AS LHV Solutions’ financial services unit Group (June 2019) Banca IFIS (Italy) (March 2019) Acquisition of FBS (January 2019) UniCredit (Italy) Disposal of €51 million of NPLs to Financial sponsor interest: MBCredit Solutions (April 2019) Davidson Kempner Capital Management (Greece) Acquisition of €507 million of NPEs from Piraeus Bank (June 2019) 3
Eastern German savings banks’ support for a ‘super-state bank’ championed by the German Savings Banks Association** Market consolidation Deal highlight: Eurobank Ergasias (Bulgaria) Union Bank (Albania) Acquisition of Piraeus Bank Acquisition of Banka White & Case advised Bulgaria (May 2019) Ndërkombëtare Tregtare Diamond Bank PLC on (March 2019) Expobank (Russia) the English law aspects Acquisition of controlling stake of OneSavings Bank & Charter in connection with the Kurskprombank (May 2019) Court (UK) merger between Access Merger (March 2019) OTP Bank (Slovenia) Bank PLC and Diamond Acquisition of SKB Banka d.d. Komercijalna Banka (Balkans) Bank PLC to create Ljubljana (May 2019) Consortium acquisition with Balfin Africa’s largest bank by Group of 98.83% of Tirana Bank ForteBank (Kazakhstan) number of customers Acquisition of Bank Kassa Nova (March 2019) (May 2019) Nordea (Norway) Deal highlight: Acquisition of Gjensidige Bank Abu Dhabi Commercial, Union (March 2019) National Bank & Al Hilal Bank White & Case advised (Abu Dhabi) Hrvatska poštanska banka & Piraeus Bank on the sale Merger (May 2019) Jadranska banka (Croatia) of Piraeus Bank Bulgaria Merger (February 2019) Commercial Bank of Africa & to Eurobank Ergasias NIC Bank (Kenya) Monobank & BRAban (Norway) Merger (May 2019) Merger (February 2019) Government-driven: Butterfield Bank BPER Banca (Italy) National Bank Trust & (Channel Islands) Acquisition of 49% of Banco Avtovazbank (Russia) Acquisition of ABN AMRO di Sardegna and Unipol Banca Merger (March 2019) (Channel Islands) (April 2019) (February 2019) Alfa Bank & Baltiyskiy Bank Barwa Bank & International VTB Bank (Russia) (Russia) Bank of Qatar (Qatar) Acquisition of 96.3% Merger (February 2019) Merger (April 2019) of Vozrozhdenie Bank (February 2019) Otkritie Bank & B&N Bank First Bank (Romania) (Russia) Acquisition of Bank Leumi AIK Banka (Slovenia) Merger (January 2019) Romania (April 2019) Acquisition of majority of Gorenjska Banka (February 2019) Regional/Domestic OTP Bank (Albania) consolidation: Acquisition of 88.89% of OTP Bank (Moldova) Banka Société Générale Albania Acquisition of 67.85% of Československá obchodní (April 2019) Mobiasbanca (February 2019) banka (Czech Republic) Acquisition of remaining 45% Intesa Sanpaolo & Banca Idea Bank & Getin Noble Bank of Českomoravská stavební Apulia (Italy) (Poland) spořitelna (June 2019) Merger (March 2019) Merger (January 2019) Bankinter (Spain) Regional/domestic DSK Bank (Bulgaria) Acquisition of Evo Banco Spanish consolidation (continued): Acquisition of 99.74% of banking operations (June 2019) Société Générale Expressbank Saudi British Bank & Alawwai (January 2019) Bank Millennium (Poland) Bank (Saudi Arabia) Acquisition of Euro Bank Merger (March 2019) GS Banque & Banca Arner (May 2019) (Switzerland) Access Bank & Diamond Bank Merger (January 2019) KCB Group & National Bank of (Nigeria) Kenya (Kenya) Merger (March 2019) Aareal Bank (Germany) Merger (May 2019) Acquisition of Düsseldorfer Achmea Bank (Netherlands) Hypothekenbank (January 2019) OTP Bank (Montenegro) Acquisition of part of the Acquisition of 90.56% of Société banking operations of ASR Bank Générale banka Montenegro (March 2019) (May 2019) ** Source: SNP (February 2019) 4
Bank of America (Spain) Emirates NBD Bank (UAE, Turkey) Strategic Acquisition of 7.789% of Liberbank (May 2019) Acquisition of DenizBank (April 2019) M&A—signs of cross-border deals returning Please refer to the ‘Fintech’ report in this series. Fintech investment Deal highlight: Blackstone Insight Venture Partners Wide investor Acquisition of 60% of Luminor Participation in successful universe White & Case advised Bank (May 2019) US$300 million Series D funding SoftBank Vision Fund round for N26 (January 2019) Merian Global Investors on its US$800 million Participation in successful Ultra high-net-worth/Family equity investment £75 million Series C funding round offices/Private investment in Greensill, which for Starling Bank (February 2019) groups: specialises in alternative SoftBank Vision Fund Sanjeev Gupta’s GFG Alliance supply chain funding to Participation in successful Acquisition of Diamond Bank (UK) corporates, the largest US$440 million Series D Plc (April 2019) European fintech funding round for OakNorth Hikmat Ismayilov investment to date (February 2019) Acquisition of 99.64% of AFB Warburg Pincus Bank of Azerbaijan (February 2019) Acquisition of Self Trade Bank Venture capital/Private equity: Balfin Group (February 2019) Consortium acquisition with SoftBank Vision Fund Duet Group Komercijalna Banka of 98.83% of US$800 million equity investment Acquisition of ABLV Bank Tirana Bank (January 2019) in Greensill Bank (May 2019) Luxembourg (January 2019) 5
The Financial Stability Board cited Alibaba, Apple, Amazon and Tencent as being able to exploit their troves of data and massive customer bases to quickly Fierce expand banking offerings*** competition Shadow banking grew for the sixth consecutive year to account for almost 50 percent of total global financial assets**** Deal highlight: Starling Bank Bynk Successful £75 million Series Successful €48 million Seed White & Case advised C funding round, led by Merian funding round, led by LMK SoftBank Vision Fund Global Investors (February 2019) Industri (February 2019) on its participation in OakNorth Viola Black the successful US$440 Successful US$440 million Series Launch of account and prepaid million Series D funding D funding round, led by SoftBank cards (January 2019) round for OakNorth, Vision Fund (February 2019) New entrants: a unicorn UK bank Monzo Orange for SMEs providing Beta testing of business account CEE digital payment and banking business and property offering (February 2019) JV with Wirecard (May 2019) loans Tandem T-Mobile Launch of credit card and T-Mobile Money checking account fixed saver account offerings ‘Challenger’ banks/lenders: JV with BankMobile (April 2019) (January 2019) Marcus Raisin First signs—survival of the Launch of new UK savings Acquisition of MHB-Bank fittest: products in partnership with Saga (March 2019) (June 2019) Tesco Bank Chetwood Financial Withdrawal from UK mortgage Greensill Grant of UK banking licence market (May 2019) Successful US$800 million (January 2019) early-stage funding round, by Fintech: First signs—survival of the SoftBank Vision Fund (May 2019) Amaiz fittest: Masthaven Launch of banking app for UK Tesco Bank Minority equity investment by ‘solopreneurs’ (June 2019) Withdrawal from UK mortgage Värde Partners (April 2019) Pixpay market (May 2019) Klarna Bank Successful €3.1 million Venture Successful US$93 million funding round led by Global late-stage funding round, with Founders Capital (May 2019) participation from Sequoia Capital, Revolut Permira, Otiva and Northzone Launch of Group Vaults savings (April 2019) product (May 2019) N26 iwoca Expansion into Brazilian Successful £150 million Series D banking market and successful funding round (led by Augmentum US$300 million Series D Fintech) and £7 million equity funding round (led by Insight investment from Augmentum Venture Partners and GIC) Fintech (January–February 2019) (January–February 2019) *** Source: Bloomberg (February 2019) **** Source: SNP (February 2019) 6
Market highlight: Société Générale (Digital banking) UK challenger banks Hybrid cloud strategy JV between Incumbents have clawed barely Boursorama and IBM (April 2019) strike back any market share from RBS (Digital consumer against the the Big 4, which still ‘challengers’ banking) control 75 percent of Launch of Bó (April 2019) the current account market***** Deutsche Bank/Cerberus Barclays/Sherbourne Nordea/Cevian Capital Encouraging governance Wielding 5.5% equity stake to Wielding 2.3% equity stake changes including Chairman demand board clear-out and to oust incumbent chairman Rise of the Paul Achleitner’s early retirement non-executive director position (February 2019) activist investor (May 2019) (January–March 2019) Swedbank/Alecta & AP1 Metro Bank/Hound Partners Dismissal of Birgitte Bonnesen Wielding 5.05% equity stake to as CEO amidst AML scandal recover from RWA accounting (April 2019) scandal (February 2019) ***** Source: The Times (March 2019) 7
Patrick Sarch Jan Jensen Darragh Byrne Partner, London Partner, Stockholm Partner, Stockholm/Frankfurt Co-head of Financial Institutions EMEA Private Equity Group EMEA M&A Group Global Industry Group T +46 8 506 32 375 T +49 69 29994 1433 T +44 20 7532 2286 E jan.jensen@whitecase.com E darragh.byrne@whitecase.com E patrick.sarch@whitecase.com Martin Järvengren Dr. Lutz Krämer Prof. Dr. Roger Kiem Partner, Stockholm Partner, Frankfurt Partner, Frankfurt EMEA M&A Group EMEA M&A Group Co-head of Financial Institutions T +46 8 506 32 371 T +49 69 29994 1132 M&A Group E martin.jarvengren@whitecase.com E lutz.kraemer@whitecase.com T +49 69 29994 0 E roger.kiem@whitecase.com Henrik Wireklint Dr. Jost Kotthoff Partner, Stockholm Partner, Frankfurt Ashley Ballard EMEA M&A Group EMEA Intellectual Property Group Partner, London T +46 8 506 32 331 T +49 69 29994 1275 EMEA M&A Group E henrik.wireklint@whitecase.com E jkotthoff@whitecase.com T +44 20 7532 2128 E aballard@whitecase.com Stuart Willey Franck De Vita Partner, London Partner, Paris Guy Potel EMEA Financial Regulatory Group EMEA Private Equity Group Partner, London T +44 20 7532 1508 T +33 1 55 04 15 75 EMEA M&A Group E swilley@whitecase.com E fdevita@whitecase.com T +44 20 7532 1969 E guy.potel@whitecase.com Jonathan Rogers Hugues Mathez Partner, London Partner, Paris Hyder Jumabhoy EMEA Financial Regulatory Group EMEA M&A Group Partner, London T +44 20 7532 2163 T +33 1 55 04 15 10 EMEA M&A Group E jonathan.rogers@whitecase.com E hmathez@whitecase.com T +44 20 7532 2268 E hyder.jumabhoy@whitecase.com Pratin Vallabhaneni Partner, Washington DC Daniel Turgel US Bank Advisory Group Partner, London T +1 202 626 3596 EMEA M&A Group E pratin.vallabhaneni@whitecase.com T +44 20 7532 2402 E daniel.turgel@whitecase.com Howard Wettan Partner, Silicon Valley Emmie Jones US M&A Group (Sourcing & Technology) Partner, London T +1 650 213 0354 EMEA Private Equity Group E howard.wettan@whitecase.com T +44 20 7532 1727 E emmie.jones@whitecase.com We do not accept any liability in relation to this Report or its distribution by any person. This Report has been prepared exclusively using information in the public domain. We have not independently verified the information relied on for the purposes of or contained in this Report. Accordingly, no representation or warranty or undertaking (express or implied) is made, and no responsibility or liability is accepted by us as to the authenticity, origin, validity, accuracy or completeness of, or any errors in or omissions from, any information or statement contained in this Report or in or from any accompanying or subsequent material or presentation. We are neither giving nor purporting to give any assurance as to the likelihood of any transaction. Furthermore, this Report does not, and is not intended to, constitute an offer or invitation to any person to purchase any securities of any nature whatsoever. This Report is provided on a non-reliance basis and is not intended to be exhaustive or to constitute legal advice or any nature whatsoever. We do not accept any responsibility, express or implied, for updating this Report. 8
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