COMING BACK FROM COVID: A PLAN TO REBUILD NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO - northerncollege.ca - Northern College
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A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario COMING BACK FROM COVID: A PLAN TO REBUILD NORTHEASTERN ONTARIO northerncollege.ca 1
Coming Back from COVID-19 Authors: Mitchell Davidson Executive Director, StrategyCorp Institute of Public Policy and Economy Stacy Hushion Manager, StrategyCorp Contributors: Ashmeet Siali Associate, StrategyCorp Ian Smith Vice President, StrategyCorp The StrategyCorp Institute of Public Policy and Economy provides thought leadership on important public policy issues facing Canadians and their governments across the country by combining policy expertise with key political insights. Northern College commissioned the StrategyCorp Institute of Public Policy and Economy to evaluate opportunities for Northern College to assist Northern Ontario’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. For questions specifically regarding this document, please contact Northern College at communications@northern.on.ca. For questions about StrategyCorp’s services, please contact the authors listed above. @2021 StrategyCorp Inc., All Rights Reserved Published in Timmins ON, October 2021 2
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario CONTENTS 4 . Introduction 6 . The 2008/2009 Recession 8 . COVID-19 and Northern Ontario 10 . An Evolving Mining Sector and the Skills Gap 14 . Why Northern College? 18 . Bringing Innovation to Kirkland Lake 21 . Realizing the Kirkland Lake Innovation Hub 22 . Conclusion 3
Coming Back from COVID-19 INTRODUCTION The COVID-19 pandemic has been more than just a health crisis. As the virus has continued to interfere in the day to day lives of Ontarians, it has interfered in their economy as well. The prolonged nature of the pandemic, and thus prolonged economic consequences, has been unique. Finally, as vaccination rates increase and health measures can be carefully repealed, we are faced with the question of how to economically recover from the pandemic. This question cannot be answered at a macro level. It must be asked of each individual region in Ontario to consider their unique experiences during the pandemic and, more importantly, their unique opportunities coming out of the pandemic. When that question is asked about Northern Ontario, policymakers and politicians must consider the particular economic situation of the North. Not only does the North have a unique economic profile, with lower levels of manufacturing or professional services employment1 and more natural resource employment, but it also faces unique aftereffects from the 2008-09 recession. Since the recession, the North has struggled to grow, be it in jobs or population. This stunted growth is not a result of a lack of opportunity, or even a lack of open jobs, but rather a consistent stream of young and working-age people heading to Southern Ontario. To ensure Northern Ontario, and specifically Northeastern Ontario, can recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, governments must act. They must allow these areas that are struggling with population growth to seize the opportunity to embrace new work-from-home residents and to capitalize on resource rich areas that, once unlocked, will attract population, investment, and jobs. To encourage a private sector investment and reverse recent negative trends, the provincial government must do more than monitor the situation closely. It must invest in the Northeastern Ontario region, and it can do so through the largest educational institution in the area, Northern College. By using Northern College as a hub to attract industry, promote resource development, and entice students and future employees, Northeastern Ontario can tackle the challenge of economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic head on. Through this paper, we will explore the unique challenges faced by Northeastern Ontario both resulting from the current COVID-19 pandemic, leftover from the 2008/09 recession, and due to shifting trends in local industries and workforce development. Next, we will outline a once in a generation opportunity at Northern College – the Kirkland Lake Innovation Hub and Centre of Excellence (KL iHub) – that will lead to job creation in the region, help reverse negative population trends, and ultimately kickstart the economic recovery in Northeastern Ontario. 4
Coming Back from COVID-19 The 2008/2009 Recession Every region of Ontario was impacted seven are in Northern Ontario, including by the 2008/09 recession, but not both Cochrane and Timiskaming in the every region recovered at an even rate. Northeast.2 Unfortunately, population loss Northern Ontario, depending on the is nothing new in Northeastern Ontario. metric, has never truly recovered from In 1986, Northeastern Ontario accounted the demographic and economic impacts of for more than 6.2% of the province’s total the recession even while other regions of population. By 2016, that number had the province increased their employment dropped to just over 4%.3 rates or grew their population. While the 2008/09 recession cannot be Of the eleven census divisions that blamed for all of the North’s population lost 2% or more of their working age loss, it did accelerate the pre-existing out- population between 2011 and 2016, migration trends of the region. Jobs lost during the recession never returned, and consequently people, especially working Net Population Change age individuals, left the region. During a Between 2011-2016 30-year period, total employment in the Timiskaming District declined from nearly POPULATION 16,500 positions in 1986 to just over CENSUS DIVISION REDUCTION 14,000 positions in 2016.4 Even more Huron -8.5% dire, future population projections for the District from Ontario’s Ministry of Finance Prince Edwatd -8.1% project that over the next 20 years, the Sudbury -7.3% area will continue to lose people in almost every age category, except those aged Rainy River -5.3% 65 and over. Ultimately, Timiskaming District’s population is expected to Algoma -4% decline from roughly 32,500 to 28,900 Cochrane -3.5% people over this time-period, while the percentage of elderly people increases Timiskaming -3.3% from 22.6% to 31.6%.5 Lambton -3.3% The problem is not unique to Timiskaming. Chatham-Kent -2.8% Across the North, areas like Sault Ste. Marie, North Bay, Timmins, Thunder Bay, Parry Sound -2% Greater Sudbury, and areas too small Manitoulin -2% to be counted as Census Metropolitan Areas, all experienced negative job 1 Lafleur, S. (2017). Uneven Recovery: Much of Ontario still hasn’t fully recovered from the 2008 recession. Retrieved from https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/uneven-recovery-much-of-ontario-still-hasnt- fully-recovered-from-the-2008-recession.pdf, p24. 2 Davidson, Mitchell (2021). Small Towns, Big Opportunities: Unlocking Growth in Ontario’s Rural and Northern Communities. Retrieved from https://www.orea.com/~/media/Files/Downloads/OREA_WhitePaper_Small- Towns-Big-Opportunities, 11. 3 Moazzami, B. (2019). Northern Projections: Timiskaming District. Retrieved from https://www.northernpolicy. ca/upload/documents/publications/reports-new/timiskaming-19.12.17.pdf 4 Ibid. 5 Ibid. 6
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario growth from 2008 to 2016, meaning they whole returned to pre-recession levels of had fewer jobs in 2016 than they did employment by 2011, whereas Northern before the recession occurred. Ontario had not returned to pre-recession employment levels by 2014.8 In fact, that This is in stark contrast to Southern trend would continue, with the Ontario Ontario’s economic recovery. While Chamber of Commerce recently reporting single Northern Census Metropolitan Northern Ontario to have been the only Area sat below the provincial average major region to experience a net loss in employment rate during this period, in both population and jobs in Ontario regions in the South flourished.6 Between between 2003 and 2018.9 It is critical 2008 and 2019, the greater Toronto and to note that these negative trends were Ottawa regions together created 87% of continuing in a majority of Northern all net new jobs in Ontario, representing Ontario communities when the 2020 a near monopoly on new job growth.7 pandemic occurred. Essentially, Northern Ontario was already at a disadvantage As seen in the attached chart, both before COVID-19 hit. When policy makers Northern Ontario and the province of approach questions about Ontario’s Ontario more broadly suffered significant economic recovery and how to distribute employment losses during the 2008/09 resources, they must recognize that recession. However, the province as a Southern Ontario already had a head start. Total Employment, Ontario and Northern Ontario, 2001-2014 NORTHERN ONTARIO ONTARIO EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT 7,000,000 380,000 6,800,000 370,000 6,600,000 360,000 6,400,000 350,000 6,200,000 340,000 6,000,000 330,000 5,800,000 320,000 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 Data source: Statistics Canada 6 Ibid., 26. 7 Speer et al. (2019). To fight regional economic disparity, Ontario needs Opportunity Zones. Retrieved from https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-to-fight-regional-economic-disparity-ontario-needs- opportunity-zones/ 8 Thompson, J. (2015). Northern Ontario employment hasn’t recovered from recession. Retrieved from https:// www.tbnewswatch.com/local-news/northern-ontario-employment-hasnt-recovered-from-recession-402721 9 Ontario Chamber of Commerce. (2019). The Great Mosaic: Reviving Ontario’s Regional Economies. Retrieved from http://occ.ca/wp-content/uploads/The-Great-Mosaic-Reviving-Ontarios-Regional-Economies.pdf 7
Coming Back from COVID-19 COVID-19 AND NORTHERN ONTARIO A significant amount of the 2008/09 job in accommodation, food services, and losses can be attributed to the hollowing retail were hardest hit, while industries in out of the manufacturing industry in the resource sector emerged unscathed, Northern Ontario.10 These jobs proved with no job losses or net new job creation energy and labour intensive and were between February and May 2020.13 not geographically tied to the region. Despite the resilience of the resource Once mandates were lost or plants were sector, the North saw its unemployment shut down, cheaper jurisdictions could rate rise from 5.1% in January 2020 be pursued for expansion or reopening, to 9.3% by May. The participation rate leaving Northern Ontario out of the dropped by 5.6% and some 18,900 equation. However, Northern Ontario people found themselves out of work.14 does have one specific geographic advantage: its proximity to natural Though certainly worrisome, this story resources. About seven percent of was not necessarily different from what all employment in the North falls into the rest of Ontario was experiencing. The resource economy categories such as divergence would appear in the recovery forestry, fishing, mining, quarrying, and from the pandemic. According to the oil and gas, which are both geographic Ontario Chamber of Commerce’s 2021 dependent and not necessarily Ontario Economic Report, employment dependent on broader economic trends.11 growth in every region of Southern This resource dependent aspect of the Ontario was at least double the growth in local economy proved to be pivotal when Northeastern Ontario during the pandemic COVID-19 made its way to the province, recovery period.15 Making matters worse, ultimately helping ensure the pandemic Northeastern Ontario’s expected 0.1% did not decimate the local economy further. population growth was the lowest out of all regions, including non-GTA regions Across Ontario, the economy was hit like London that was set to experience hard, especially at the immediate onset of 1.2% growth, Kitchener-Waterloo-Barrie the pandemic. Real GDP growth for 2020 which is on pace for 1.6% growth, or even came in at -5.6%, meaning the economy the Muskoka/Kawarthas area which is shrunk substantially.12 In Northern projected to grow by nearly 1.0% in 2021.16 Ontario, the results were similar. Jobs 10 Thompson, J. (2015). Northern Ontario employment hasn’t recovered from recession. Retrieved from https:// www.tbnewswatch.com/local-news/northern-ontario-employment-hasnt-recovered-from-recession-402721 11 Lafleur, S. (2017). Uneven Recovery: Much of Ontario still hasn’t fully recovered from the 2008 recession. Retrieved from https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/uneven-recovery-much-of-ontario-still-hasnt- fully-recovered-from-the-2008-recession.pdf, 24. 12 Timmins Today. (2021). Report shows impact of COVID-19 on small businesses. Retrieved from https:// www.timminstoday.com/coronavirus-covid-19-local-news/report-shows-impact-of-covid-19-on-small- businesses-3304476 13 Financial Accountability Office of Ontario (2020). Ontario’s Regional Labour Markets During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Retrieved from: https://www.fao-on.org/en/Blog/Publications/labour-market-06-2020#Region-NOn 14 Ibid. 15 Ontario Chamber of Commerce. (2021). Ontario Economic Report. Retrieved from https://occ.ca/wp-content/ uploads/2021-Ontario-Economic-Report.pdf, 30. 16 Ibid. 8
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario Though the job loss figures are similar in the Northeast, the positive signs of economic recovery – including the return of employment and a growth in population – are not immediate trends the Northeast will experience by default. In fact, when comparing the first quarter of 2020 to 2021, a full year into the pandemic, Northern Ontario has seen a 3.4% decline in total employment.17 By comparison, Eastern and Southwestern Ontario were experiencing a net increase in employment during this time.18 Even with a relaxation of public health measures as vaccination rates increase, the damage done in Northern Ontario appears to be much more permanent than in the rest of Ontario. 17 Government of Ontario. (2021). Ontario Employment Reports: January to March 2021. Retrieved from https://www.ontario.ca/document/ontario-employment-reports/january-march-2021#:~:text=Participation%20 rates%20by%20Ontario%20region&text=The%20overall%20participation%20rate%20for,to%2065.0%25%20 in%20the%20GTA%20 18 Ibid. 9
Coming Back from COVID-19 An Evolving Mining Sector and the Skills Gap Understanding the economic context of new exploration activity in the region, of Northern Ontario as it stands today along with rising gold prices, signal that also requires close investigation of how economic development and growth is on the natural resource economy – and the horizon.20 Hiring projections estimate specifically mining – is transforming. The that 51,600 to 65,800 workers will be overall economic outlook for Canada’s needed in mines across Ontario, with mining industry continues to improve 13,350 required in Timiskaming and slowly but surely after an extended Cochrane alone.21 slowdown between 2012 to 2016. In Ontario, employment in the minerals The labour need is even more acute sector continues to grow year over year, given the recent discovery of new with 16,230 Ontarians currently working elements in the Northeastern region, in mines as of July 2021.19 which have contributed to the mining resurgence. Critical minerals are The Cochrane and Timiskaming Districts increasingly in demand worldwide, are home to two of Ontario’s oldest in large part because of the rapid mining towns, Timmins and Kirkland advancement of “clean tech” spurred Lake, with the latter infamously known as by the global effort to address climate a gold mining town. A recent resurgence change. The projected growth in the sales 19 Mining Industry Human Resources Council. (July 2021). Labour Market Dashboard. Retrieved from https:// mihr.ca/labour-market-information/interactive-labour-market-dashboard/ 20 Far Northeast Training Board. (2013). Cochrane and Timiskaming Mining Hiring Requirements Forecasts. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/RIS-timiskaming_008_print.pdf, 8. 21 Ibid., 10, 24. 10
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario of electric vehicles (EVs) – projected mechanics, geologists and geologists in to make up 50% of all vehicles sold by training – in the years ahead.25 2040 – is often held up as the prime example as to why critical minerals are But the good news story of economic and in such high demand, chiefly because employment growth in the mining sector EV batteries require stable sources is accompanied with a major challenge: of graphite, lithium, nickel, cobalt and finding people to fill the jobs. The situation other critical minerals.22 Critical minerals is all the more challenging as the baby present a real opportunity for Ontario boomer generation teeters on the edge of to become “the supplier of choice” retirement.26 domestically and internationally as demand continues to explode. Approximately one-half of all mining workers in Ontario In Kirkland Lake, the two leading are over the age of 45, with mining employers anticipate significant one-third between the ages long-term labour force needs as they of 55 and 65.27 expand operations. Following the discovery of nickel-cobalt sulphide at A 2017 FNETB mining sector its Crawford mine, Canada Nickel is employment and hiring forecast report planning to develop nickel reserves in anticipates a 14% expansion in workforce the Cochrane region, which will supply requirements along with a 30% workforce needed materials for EV production. As retirement forecast in Northeastern part of its 50-year commitment to the Ontario by 2027, resulting in an overall region, Canada Nickel estimates that it 44% shortfall in available workers.28 In will require up to 600 new employees Kirkland Lake alone, 1,932 mining jobs at the height of construction, up to 600 are going to need to be filled due to employees to ramp up production and retirements, and another 887 jobs will between 1,200 and 1,400 employees open up due to expansion over the next when the mine is at peak production.23 10 to 15 years.29 To be sure, this is not Nearly 80% of these jobs will be in a new or unique problem to the mining operations, such as supervisors and industry. Employers across the board are coordinators, maintenance professionals, facing worrying gaps in their workforce engineers, geologists, mechanics, as the share of retirements is not being electricians, equipment operators, drill offset by young people entering the labour and blast and surveyors.24 market. In Ontario and elsewhere, the underpopulation of qualified working age Kirkland Lake Gold also has a critical need individuals is reaching chronic levels. for skilled workers – licensed electricians, 22 Ministry of Northern Development, Mines, Natural Resources and Forestry. (2021). Presentation to the Battery Supply Chain Roundtable: Critical Minerals Framework and the Battery Supply Chain, 3. 23 Canada Nickle Preliminary Job Estimates. 24 Ibid. 25 Kelly, Lindsay. (2021). Attracting workers to mining remains a challenge, say recruiters. Retrieved from https://www.sudbury.com/local-news/attracting-workers-to-mining-remains-a-challenge-say- recruiters-3862726 26 Mining Industry Human Resources Council. (2019). Canada Mining Labour Market 10-Year Outlook 2020. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/MIHR_National_Report_web2.pdf, 4. 27 Mining Industry Human Resources Council. (2009). Ontario Labour Market Demand Projections. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Ontario_labour_market_report_MiHR.pdf, 22. 28 Far Northeast Training Board. Mining Sector Employment and Hiring Forecast 2017-2027. Retrieved from https://fnetb.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/FNETB-Mining-Forescast-April-5.pdf, 2. 29 Far Northeast Training Board. (2020). Making Sense of Labour Market Information: Part 2 – Kirkland Lake Labour Market Demand. Retrieved from https://fnetb.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Part-2-K.-Lake- Labour-Market-Demand.pdf 11
Coming Back from COVID-19 Three factors make the mining labour part because these groups tend to live in market inherently tight, the first being larger metropolitan areas, far away from geography. Of Ontario’s 43 mines, 90% the mines of Timmins and Kirkland Lake. are located in Northern Ontario, and Women and Indigenous populations have employers struggle to find new workers also not been fully realized as a critical from outside the region willing to relocate labour resource in the mining sector, or spend long stretches of time up North. though the sector is making headway. While employers in Timiskaming and elsewhere in Northern Ontario have The third recruitment hurdle is potentially resorted to using commuter workforces, the most significant and worrisome: the this is not a long-term or sustainable skills gap. A Mining Industry Human solution. Nor does it support regional Resources Council survey of Canadian economic growth as these transient mining industry employers found that workers are not putting their wages the biggest obstacle facing employers back into the local economy in the in meeting their workforce requirements same way they would be if they settled over the next five years was finding permanently in the area. Related to the skilled workers, along with upgrading geographical challenge is the struggle the skills of supervisors and managers.31 to tap into new and expanding labour The production and extraction phases of pools. Certain demographic groups mining are particularly labour-intensive are grossly underrepresented in the and with new mines expected in mining industry, including youth, visible Timiskaming and Cochrane, positions will minorities, and immigrants.30 This is in be difficult to fill. Skilled workers are even 30 Mining Industry Human Resources Council. (2009). Ontario Labour Market Demand Projections. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Ontario_labour_market_report_MiHR.pdf, 8; Mining Industry Human Resources Council. (2019). Canada Mining Labour Market 10-Year Outlook 2020. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/MIHR_National_Report_web2.pdf, 5. 31 Mining Industry Human Resources Council. (2019). Canada Mining Labour Market 10-Year Outlook 2020. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/MIHR_National_Report_web2.pdf, 5. 12
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario more in demand, including tradespeople, people in the region and attract new heavy equipment operators, and truck people to make Northeastern Ontario drivers – the catch is that while these their permanent home by providing are among the specific positions highest the skills training needed to build a in demand, they are also the ones sustainable and meaningful career. with transferrable skills, meaning stiff competition with other industries.32 Research shows that lower-and middle- income families prefer education options Even beyond the mining industry, the skill that are closer to home. When local levels of the workforce in Northeastern post-secondary options do not exist, they Ontario were already below other are more likely to choose not to attend regions and below the estimated current a post-secondary institution whatsoever requirement of 70.2% of all jobs requiring than to relocate in pursuit of higher a specialized skill. education.35 That means students need to be within an acceptable commuting By 2031, the number of jobs distance to a campus, which noted that require specialized researcher in the field Marc Frenette has proven to be approximately an 80 training and specific skills kilometre radius from home to school.36 is expected to rise to Therefore, it is unsurprising that the youth approximately 80%.33 being lost to Southern Ontario happen to be pursuing post-secondary educations, Statistically speaking, those without partly because they can afford to but post-secondary credentials will be also because the local options are not more likely to be unemployed and more as widely available. If there is no access likely to avoid participating in the labour to a local post-secondary option, the market.34 The underpopulation of working wealthy and most educated can and will age people coupled will the skills gap pursue those options elsewhere. Those presents a worrisome outlook. The jobs who do not have the financial flexibility that are available will be without people that affords will choose no education at and the people that are in the region, all.37 For this reason, local career-focused both elderly and unskilled, will be without institutions like Northern College are jobs. Both are unsustainable as people critical to addressing these concerning will look elsewhere to gain skills or work labour trends by ensuring there is a clear and companies will move elsewhere to “talent pipeline” to seamlessly transition gain workers. The only way to truly new graduates into the local workforce enable the economic recovery in and keep them in the North. This is Northeastern Ontario is to fill the especially true when one considers that skills or population gap. Ideally both ‘nearby’ institutions in Sudbury, North can be done at the same time and Bay, and Thunder Bay are anywhere utilizing the college system is the key. from 240 km to 880 km away from either Colleges can help keep working aged Timmins or Kirkland Lake. 32 Far Northeast Training Board. (2013). Cochrane and Timiskaming Mining Hiring Requirements Forecasts. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/RIS-timiskaming_008_print.pdf, 32. 33 https://www.northernpolicy.ca/upload/documents/publications/reports-new/timiskaming-19.12.17.pdf p27. 34 Ibid., 28. 35 Statistics Canada, “Distance as a postsecondary access issue,” December 1, 2018 36 Frenette, M. (2004). Access to College and University: Does Distance Matter? Retrieved from https:// www.researchgate.net/publication/23546088_Access_to_College_and_University_Does_Distance_ Matter,427-443. 37 https://www.orea.com/~/media/Files/Downloads/OREA_WhitePaper_Small-Towns-Big-Opportunities, p10. 13
Coming Back from COVID-19 Why Northern College? Northern College is a leader in modern, • Leading collaborative and experiential employment-centric education and learning opportunities that bring applied research, serving over 65 together students and local and communities in the Cochrane and regional industry leaders to create Timiskaming districts in Northeastern talent pipelines connecting employers Ontario across four campuses: Timmins, with prospective employees; Kirkland Lake, Moosonee and, lastly, Haileybury, home of the esteemed • Celebrated by the CQAAP for its best Haileybury School of Mines, founded practices in programming quality in 1912. At present, Northern offers 75 assurance; and full-time, part-time, certificate, diploma, advanced diploma, graduate certificate, • Close partnerships with industry and community partners, including and apprenticeship programs with an established relationships with major annual enrolment of over 3,000 students. mining employers Canada Nickel and Northern’s signature programs – Kirkland Lake Gold as well as smaller electrical engineering technician, mining businesses such as Story Environmental engineering technician, practical nursing, and Blue Heron Environmental. veterinary technician, and welding engineering technology programs – attract learners locally, province-wide, and internationally and support a range of industries in the catchment region. Northern College has provided training in mining development for over 50 years KEY ACCOMPLISHMENTS through the Haileybury School of Mines. We INCLUDE: are proud of our contribution to this vibrant • Pioneering the mining engineering sector of the economy and are pleased to technician distance learning program, see potential for expansion in environmental the gold standard for mine training reclamation and water management. The that is now being used in other provinces; Haileybury School of Mines is internationally recognized and with the growth in mining • Offering the only program in Ontario exploration in the region, it is a natural fit to train licensed drinking water and wastewater systems operators in line to broaden the scope into environmental with the rigorous provincial standards; issues related to mining. This expansion • Innovative approaches to program supports the entire region that Northern delivery models to meet evolving College serves in Northeastern Ontario. expectations for access to training and education and maximize flexibility Mayor Carman Kidd, City of Timiskaming Shores and accessibility for students; 14
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario Building on these strengths, Northern is supported by the College and its College has a track record of producing students.41 The Kirkland Lake Campus work-ready and skilled graduates (KL Campus), in particular, has been who are finding success after leaving a significant economic driver for the the classroom, shops and labs. Key Town and surrounding area. A recent performance data from 2019 shows study found that this one campus alone that more than 86% of graduates contributed $17.8 billion to the regional obtained employment within six months economy and supported 235 jobs in the of graduation, which is higher than the area.42 The impact of KL Campus alumni provincial average.38 Northern’s student is even more impressive: former students outcomes continue to move in the right employed in the regional workforce add direction, a clear demonstration of the $12.3 million to the regional economy each College’s commitment to excellence and year. The return on investment for the KL pushing the envelope in programming, Campus is clear: for every $1 of public facilities and the student experience. money spent, the College and its students generate $7.70 of economic impact.43 Northern is also key economic driver in the region. It is an important employer in Northern College is committed to the Cochrane and Timiskaming districts, driving economic growth in the North by employing 508 staff and faculty, 93% of training the skilled workforce needed to whom live locally. However, its greatest sustain and lead it. Significant work is impact is in the training and education it underway to ensure new and expanded provides for students to be able to land program offerings reflective of industry jobs in the local economy. 72% of students requirements, employment trends, and stay on to work in the region after finishing workforce modernization along with the in their studies and now call it their evolving needs of its potential students. permanent home.39 The enhanced skills In recent years, this effort has resulted in and abilities of Northern graduates bolster identification of future in-demand career the output of local employers, leading areas, the development of eight new to higher regional income and a more programs, dozens of micro-credential robust economy. Regional employers are programs, the expansion of trades clearly happy: in 2019, the college had an programming, and the development of employer satisfaction rate of 100%.40 enhanced computer science options. Northern’s alumni also directly contribute Recently the College launched its to regional economic prosperity, January Jump Start continuous enrolment generating nearly $86 million in added program, which gives students the income in Cochrane and Timiskaming. opportunity to begin their program of study By way of comparison, the College’s when it works best for them versus the contribution is nearly as large as the traditional model of an annual academic entire wholesale trade industry in the calendar. Projects like the January Jump region. The economic value of Northern Start reflect what Northern is hearing further extends to supporting jobs and from students: a desire for training and job creation – one out of every 33 jobs education that is accessible, flexible, and 38 Colleges Ontario. (2021). 2019-20 Key Performance Indicators. Retrieved from https://cdn.agilitycms.com/ colleges-ontario/documents-library/document-files/CO_KPI_2021_20210510151033_0.pdf 39 Northern College. (2018). Analysis of the Economic Impact and Return on Investment of Education: The Economic Value of Northern College Applied Arts and Technology, 3. 40 Northern College. (2019). Northern College Exceeds Student Expectations in Latest KPI Data. Retrieved from http://www.northernc.on.ca/northern-exceeds-student-expectations-kpi/ 41 Northern College. (2018). Analysis of the Economic Impact and Return on Investment of Education: The Economic Value of Northern College Applied Arts and Technology, 4. 42 Northern College. (2018). The Economic Value of Northern College – Kirkland Lake Campus. 43 Ibid. 15
Coming Back from COVID-19 adaptable. Along with the January Jump campus that combines emergency services Start program, the College has embarked programming with an operational fire on other initiatives to support enhanced station and emergency medical services accessibility and attract students, ambulance base working on site. Students including innovative delivery methods put their learning to the test in the latest for training and education outside of the in simulator training, and they get to traditional course-and-classroom format experience the interdisciplinary cooperation and allowing students to spread their required of emergency service providers in training over a longer period of time. In real-life situations. This technology-focused 2019, Northern College also launched collaborative approach is breaking new its Arrive and Thrive initiative, which ground in the field of experiential learning involves proactive technology outreach in Ontario and has been accompanied by to learners to help students get off to a notable rise in enrolment in the College’s a great start in the academic year and health and emergency services programs address challenges and barriers before by 24%, an important achievement given they even arise. Now in its third year, this the growing demands on emergency approach has led to improved retention in medical systems and increased pressure programs and positive student outcomes. on already strained emergency services resources in Northern Ontario.45 These innovative shifts in approach are working. In 2020 and 2021, despite NORTHERN INNOVATION the COVID-19 pandemic, Northern HUB (IHUB) AT THE experienced record enrolment – a 50% TIMMINS CAMPUS increase since October 2019 – in its renowned mining programs.44 Further, Northern College is also nearing domestic enrolment was up overall by completion of its Innovation Hub at the 7%, while few other colleges experienced Timmins campus, a multi-disciplinary any net growth this year. facility designed to support mining- enabling companies innovate, test, and Northern is investing its own dollars as commercialize new products and services part of its ongoing effort to align student and scale up their operations. The IHub needs and market demands. Two of its encompasses over 23,000 square feet recent programming and infrastructure of newly renovated space, offering labs, projects highlight the path-breaking ways shops, classrooms, collaborative research in which the College is bringing together pods and an entrepreneurial incubator. regional employers and businesses with Specialized labours will support projects students to solve real world challenges in advanced manufacturing, prototyping through design, innovation and training: and testing, alternative energy, virtual reality, resource exploration technology, NORTHERN COLLEGE’S and the facility will continue to host INTEGRATED EMERGENCY the existing welding shop and mining SERVICES COMPLEX (IESC) simulation lab. Northern has invested over $2 million in the iHub, which will In fall 2018, Northern College unveiled support the expansion and modernization its Integrated Emergency Services of the College’s signature programs Complex (IESC), a 40,000 square foot, and ensure the current and prospective state-of-the-art facility at the Timmins students have access to the training they 44 Northern College. (2021). Annual Report for Northern College 2021-2021. Retrieved from https://www. northernc.on.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/Northern-College-Annual-Report-2020-21.pdf, 12. 45 Northern Ontario Service Deliverers Association. (2010). Emergency Medical Service (EMS) Concerns in Northern Ontario. Retrieved from https://www.msdsb.net/images/ADMIN/docs/local_reports/NOSDA-EMS- Position-Paper-Aug-2010.pdf, 5-7. 16
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario need to remain competitive in the North. Almost half of the Indigenous population Bringing industry directly to students is a of working age has some post-secondary win for both – students see a clear pathway education or qualification, compared from hands-on learning to jobs with local with two-thirds of the non-Indigenous employers, and industry partners benefits population.46 Fostering strong and mutually from access to the College’s student beneficial relationships between Indigenous workforce, faculty expertise and state-of- communities and local mining employers the-art equipment and facilities. is essential, given the close proximity of mining operations and Indigenous Northern is also committed to working communities as well as the significant with its industry and community partners representation of Indigenous people in to train and develop the local labour the mining workforce compared to other force, including underrepresented and sectors of the regional economy.47 Working underutilized populations, to better meet together, Northern College and Kirkland future workforce challenges head-on and Lake Gold plan to develop a unique boost regional economic development. program that offers job readiness training To this end, Northern College recently and employability skills development announced a formal partnership with alongside specific job training to encourage Kirkland Lake Gold to work together more indigenous people to work in and on recruitment, applied research, benefit from the local mining sector. curriculum development and employment collaborations, including student, faculty, and alumni exchanges. A similar agreement is forthcoming with Canada Nickel. Mining development in the Abitibi region At the core of Northern’s partnership with is growing exponentially. The demand on Kirkland Lake Gold is talent recruitment our systems and supports continues to and the alignment of programming and grow. With this growth comes the need to training with industry needs. Collaborative expand supports within the region. Northern activities range from career fairs and hiring campaigns, field trips to mines, College’s support of the mining industry and speakers’ series, to applied research is poised to expand the environmental and experiential learning opportunities for areas we need to address, such as water students, including internships and co-op and land reclamation, wildlife monitoring placements at Kirkland Lake Gold. The objective is to show students the mining and rehabilitation. Northern College’s employment opportunities that exist just development in this area can reach to steps from where they are completing the James Bay region and encompass their training – and that students don’t northern environmental concerns, which need to travel to Southern Ontario to find good paying, skilled jobs that can will become more urgent. The College is transition into meaningful careers. uniquely positioned and I support the efforts the College is making for environmental Of note, the partnership will also focus sustainability for this region. on Indigenous engagement and training, which is critically important in light of the Mayor George Pirie, City of Timmins historically low participation of Indigenous peoples in post-secondary education. 46 Ontario Chamber of Commerce. (2017). Talent in Transition: Addressing the Skills March in Ontario. Retrieved from https://occ.ca/wp-content/uploads/Talent-in-Transition.pdf, 17. 47 Mining Industry Human Resources Council. (2019). Canada Mining Labour Market 10-Year Outlook 2020. Retrieved from https://mihr.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/MIHR_National_Report_web2.pdf, 24. 17
Coming Back from COVID-19 BRINGING INNOVATION TO KIRKLAND LAKE Building on these formal partnerships management and support environmental with Kirkland Lake’s largest mining stewardship, leveraging applied research companies, Northern College is and development in the mining industry embarking on a transformative project to to address environmental challenges, drive innovation and support the creation including mining wastewater reclamation. of new knowledge centres, leading The new programming at the KL iHub practices and prototype development builds on the premise of micro-credentials through applied research: the Kirkland and employs them to ‘stackable’ Lake Innovation Hub and Centre for maximization to assure ongoing Excellence (KL iHub). The hub will credential recognition, which aligns with encompass a fully renovated and state- the province’s effort to transform post- of-the-art 15,000 square foot facility secondary education by supporting focusing on environmental reclamation people as they upskill, reskill, and rejoin related to water use in the mining the workforce, an effort made all the more industry, including prototyping net zero important after the devastating job losses carbon technology that can be employed of the pandemic. for off gas capture, environmental monitoring and protection, as well as With the proposed expansion in environmental restructuring post-mining. programming, the KL iHub will provide opportunities for students from all The project will also incorporate the backgrounds to develop new skills in use of biomass technology, the use high demand areas and build successful of renewable plant material as an careers. The programming on offer is energy source, which is an innovative directly targeted to meet the region’s and growing field in Northern Ontario. workforce development needs now Biomass technology will be a focus of and into the future as the mining sector applied research to understand how continues to expand in Northeastern it can be leveraged in environmental Ontario. Students will have an opportunity applications, and Northern is also to work directly with leading employers proposing a “living lab” on site that to explore and problem-solve key issues uses biomass technology directly facing the mining sector, while industry linked to the campus’ heating systems. will benefit from the focus on applied The College will also be launching a research and innovation. The KL Hub new program to support the training is levelling up experiential learning and of biomass technicians as well as spearheading the creation and expansion expanding its offering for environmental of new technologies as a pathway to job management training specific to mining creation and economic growth in the North. water and net zero off gas capture as well as environmental inspection. Up to 90% of learners on the KL campus This new programming will build on will be able to access the iHub and Indigenous stewardship principles of land participate in its experiential learning 18
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario opportunities. For example, business including co-delivery of Northern’s students at the KL campus can complete unique Environmental Technician projects on cost benefit analysis related program. Lambton has an established to environmental sustainability, as research expertise in the field of bio- demonstrated through projects at the industrial technologies and will be a key iHub. Northern College is also building development partner as Northern builds specific micro-credentials for applied applied research as a key focus of the KL research activities, so regardless of the iHub. Further, while Kirkland Lake Gold particular program in which students are and Canada Nickel, as the two leading enrolled, learned will get recognition for mining employers in the region, will the applied research skills they develop. certainly have a large role to play in the Northern College also applauds the development of the iHub, the College is government’s recent initiative to simplify also working with smaller businesses that the process for colleges to receive are peripheral to the larger mining sector consent to offer new degrees and is but share similar needs and challenges committed to exploring how the iHub could regarding environmental reclamation. continue to innovate its program offerings These include heavy duty equipment firms to produce even more graduates ready to requiring environmentally sustainable enter the provincial workforce.48 approaches to managing their fleets and support as they convert to battery- As part of the KL iHub, Northern College operated vehicles. Story Environmental is leveraging its existing partnerships and Blue Heron Environmental – already with other post-secondary institutions significant employers of Northern College and local industry partners while also graduates – are two additional regional looking at new opportunities for public businesses that can benefit from the new and private sector collaborations. programming at the KL iHub, particularly Northern College and Lambton College in the field of testing standards. have a long-standing partnership, 48 Government of Ontario. (2021). 2021 Burden Reduction Report: Fueling Future Growth by Modernizing Ontario’s Regulatory System. Retrieved from https://www.ontario.ca/page/2021-burden-reduction-report- fueling-future-growth-modernizing-ontarios-regulatory-system 19
Coming Back from COVID-19 technology that Northern College is planning to integrate into the KL iHub. Mining in northeastern Ontario has As the province looks towards long-term economic recovery from the COVID-19 always been a key economic driver. pandemic, ensuring that Ontario can meet With the new mining development and the unprecedented worldwide demand for long-term strategies for environmental responsibly produced materials is a clear sustainability associated with the path to economic development and job mining growth plans, expansion in creation in Northern Ontario that will help it recover from the COVID-19 pandemic environmental programming for Northern and from the lingering impacts of the College at the Kirkland Lake campus 2008/2009 recession. is a much needed growth plan. Water The programming and applied research management is critical to the north, opportunities offered at the iHub will and expanding existing program areas attract both domestic and international in water management, renewal and students. The existing Environmental sustainability, along with environmental Technician program, which provides training to become a licensed drinking monitoring capacity supports the water and/or wastewater systems entire region. Creating a hub for this operator, has drawn a significant number programming and applied research, of international students to the College, builds much needed capacity to support with international students making up our mining sector. between 50 and 75 percent of all program enrolments. Graduation rates for the Mayor Pat Kiely, Town of Kirkland Lake program surpass the provincial average, with 75% of all domestic students and 100% of international students successfully completing the program. Further, demand for the KL iHub’s new By building these close networks with biomass technician program is expected local businesses, the KL iHub can to be domestic and international in support the province’s economic growth scope. Biomass technology will service agenda and priorities for the North. the northern regions of Cochrane, as This includes the province’s focus on biomass is considered the most available critical minerals, and Northern is ready energy resource for many northern and willing to support the government communities. The application of biomass in making Ontario the top supplier of to environmental reclamation will also be critical minerals worldwide. Northern a driver for iHub utilization. College’s work in the field of battery electric vehicles is broadening the The KL iHub will continue the important scope of its mechanical and heavy-duty work Northern College is doing to support equipment programs, and demonstrating Indigenous education, employment, the expanded skill sets the College’s and empowerment in the region. The graduates will have to service the Ontario College plans to support applied research economy. Further, as part of its project to projects relating to wastewater needs develop nickel reserves in the Cochrane and challenges in nearby Indigenous region, Canada Nickel is committing to communities as well as in mining camps a zero-carbon footprint and this includes in the Northeast without access to the off gas capture and rerouting, which municipal water supply. can be adapted within the biomass 20
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario Realizing the Kirkland Lake Innovation Hub Northern College has made significant modernizing the existing facility, with headway on advancing the KL iHub. the remaining $475,000 supporting the Program development is well underway, purchase of state-of the-art equipment and the College is working with its for the biomass technology and water lab industry and business sector partners facilities to enhance the Hub’s innovative to identify opportunities for private research capacity. sector investment to support program development costs. As it stands today, Provincial investment would ensure that the College has an agreement in the KL Innovation Hub is completed, principle with Commerce Management and that Northern College can expand Group to share program development its programming to meet the ever- costs for the new Biomass Technician increasing workforce development needs program. Discussions are also underway in Northeastern Ontario. The KL iHub will regarding cost-sharing for the mining support regional employers in their efforts water reclamation program with local to push the envelope on innovation, mining companies. Over the next two improve environmental stewardship, and years, Northern is investing $3.2 million remain competitive in a race for skilled in the project and is expecting to break workers. All told, this project represents ground on the KL Innovation Hub in a significant opportunity for Northeastern 2022, with an opening date slated for the Ontario. Without investment from the first quarter of 2023. province, the Northeast will continue to fall behind the rest of the province. By making In addition to the existing College this investment, the province can help funds and anticipated private sector reverse negative population trends, grow contributions, Northern College is seeking good-paying local jobs, and create a local additional funding support in the amount infusion of funds to help lift Northeastern of $2.5 million from the Government of Ontario up and help it recover from the Ontario. Of that investment, $1.7 million economic impacts of the COVID-19 and would be allocated to renovating and 2008/2009 recessions once and for all. 21
Coming Back from COVID-19 CONCLUSION It is clear that Northeastern Ontario may not recover from the COVID-19 pandemic or be able to address the growing demand for skilled labour, notably in the mining sector but also across the board in the North. This is in part because it was already starting from a disadvantaged position because of the impacts of the 2008/09 recession. Knowing that, the provincial government will need to make investments in the region to promote the economic growth and recovery of the region or be left to pick up the financial costs associated with high unemployment. These investments cannot be solely focused on creating jobs or attracting new mandates because the lack of a skilled local population to draw from will leave these positions unfilled. Instead, the Ontario government must wisely invest in opportunities that can both grow the population and increase the skill level of the population. That is done by investing in world leading programs at post-secondary institutions with a local presence, which in Northeastern Ontario is only Northern college. These programs and the KL Innovation Hub will attract new residents, create opportunities for existing ones, and lead to job creation – three vital things needed for a strong economic recovery from COVID-19. 22
A Plan to Rebuild Northeastern Ontario 23
PROUD TO BE NORTHERN. PROUD TO BE NORTH. northern Northern College @mynorthernc northerncollege northerncollege.ca
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