CHP in a cold climate - What Russia's on-site power sector needs to succeed
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January - February 2015 CHP in a cold climate What Russia’s on-site power sector needs to succeed CHP’S FUTURE IN A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY MARKET n GAS TURBINE-BASED CHP SYSTEMS MARKET OUTLOOK n EFFICIENCY BENEFITS OF EXHAUST GAS CONDENSATION n STRATEGIES FOR BOILER AND HEAT EXCHANGER MAINTENANCE In Association With WORLD ALLIANCE FOR DECENTRALIZED ENERGY
Gas Turbines Business unusual Even in today’s changing energy landscape, it is tempting to believe that the future will be business as usual for manufacturers of gas turbines for CHP systems, given the substantial market growth predicted for the sector. However, there are still potential challenges on the horizon.Tildy Bayar investigates Over 48,000 gas turbines will be manufactured by 2028 Credit: MAN Diesel & Turbo G as turbine- smooth ride for gas turbine to near-continual uncertainty. based systems makers. We spoke with several Martin Westerhoff, technical lead the to fnd out how they see the journalist with MAN Diesel & industrial CHP global market, and how they Turbo, notes: ‘The market is, feld, and it is predicted plan to deal with a changing to a certain extent, driven by that over 48,000 industrial energy economy and the political visions. The political gas turbines, valued at potential for change in the and economic framework almost $620 billion, will CHP market. must be right to trigger new be manufactured by investments in CHP, which have 2028. Substantial market A changing market to compete with existing and growth is predicted as new brings changing risks depreciated capacities in the environmental regulations, While the benefts of CHP are market.’ increased energy effciency inarguable, it is still under- Jim Crouse, executive goals and changing represented in most countries’ vice-president of sales and national resources energy profles. One reason for marketing at Capstone encourage the uptake of this, policy risk, is a perpetual Turbine, adds: ‘One challenge gas-based CHP systems. concern, subjecting many in the US is that we don’t Nevertheless, the coming investors, project developers have a national energy policy years may not be an entirely and turbine manufacturers that truly drives CHP. Really 22 Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015 www.cospp.com
Gas Turbines it’s the states that are left to – very, very little,’ he says. ‘There based on its boundary But from a currency/fnancing implement – or not – policies was clearly a peak before conditions, namely the perspective [Russia] was that help either incentivise the fnancial crisis, but then, availability of plentiful low-cost already a challenging and through rebates or cash of course, there has been a gas and a very high need for diffcult place to get fnancing incentives, or regulations that signifcant drop in demand’. CHP for DH. When you put this and do CHP projects, and now help end users make buying However, Savic sees gas all together you would expect with the currency devaluation decisions around CHP.’ turbine-based CHP as a bright Russia to be leading – but this it’s become even more Regine Mowill, marketing spot in Europe’s gas power has not happened so far.’ challenging.’ director at OPRA Turbines, plant troubles. ‘What helps’, He cites a ‘lack of interest’, Crouse also raises an outlines some of the current he explains, ‘is those operators and the fact that ‘[Russians] interesting issue in relation market risks: ‘There are who have an additional have to pay for western to emerging markets. ‘Where obviously some geopolitical source of revenue due to heat equipment because they do labour is relatively inexpensive, risks in certain areas,’ she says produced, for example district not have advanced industrial our microturbines give up – for example, gas supply from heating [DH] applications. We gas turbine products of their some competitive advantage Russia and US sanctions there. see that these operators can own. This is a pity because [over engines] from a ‘In Europe we have uncertainty still operate to provide heat today they are burning gas lifecycle perspective,’ he says. on where the legislation will go, because they are getting in atmospheric boilers with ‘In the US or Europe where while in other regions there are revenues for that, even though effciencies of 10%–15% to technicians and engineers are currency risks and fuctuations possibly on the electricity side provide district heating. $100/hour, versus a market – in Southeast Asia recently, the they are struggling. Instead they could invest a where it’s dollars per hour, then Japanese currency has fallen, ‘The heat market did have little more money [in gas-fred the cost of changing the oil, and so have the Indonesian some problems on industrial and Malaysian currencies.’ generation because industrial Crouse adds: ‘As a demand has reduced,’ he US manufacturer, the adds. ‘However, those who strengthening of the US dollar have CHP duty do have an is challenging for us; we have authentic source of revenue. to watch very closely and see ‘China’s market, by all how it will impact our business accounts, is going strong, in the near-to-medium term.’ especially since the nation’s gas deal with Russia last year. National markets The deal will help the Chinese ‘The US is a bit fragmented gas turbine market,’ Savic says, and there are a lot of different ‘and in the last two to three utilities whose rates aren’t the years we have already seen a same, so it’s been challenging,’ signifcant rise in the number says Crouse. However, in of new projects for gas-fred Gas turbine-based systems lead the industrial CHP feld Credit: MAN Diesel & Turbo general his view of the US generation. I believe China in market is positive due to particular has a lot of industry trends such as low gas prices, cogneration and also district CHP plants], use their gas spark plugs or flters is relatively increasing utility rates, aging heating requirements, so it in a more environmentally low. The difference can range infrastructure and a national should be a signifcant CHP and economically effcient from several thousand dollars and local response to natural market.’ manner, use it in a much per year on a small cogen disasters. But Sasha Savic, ‘In the Middle East there better arrangement and system to a thousand dollars CEO of Swiss frm SS&A Power is an abundance of gas at make additional proft. There per year.’ This is an issue in Consultancy GmbH, injects low prices and this will be is however currently a lack of markets such as India, China a note of caution. ‘The US is the case for many years incentives.’ and Africa. on the verge of a booming ahead,’ he says. ‘In the stable Crouse adds that, ‘being [gas-fred power] market, but environment of the Gulf we see US-based, Capstone has Technical challenges how much of that is CHP is desalination and CHP for water the current [US] sanctions There are still some technical another story,’ he says. production, and because of [on Russia] to deal with; challenges involved in In Europe, ‘the CHP market such cogeneration needs most of the companies developing gas turbine-based seems to stagnate with few combined with low gas prices listed in the sanctions are gensets for use in CHP systems. new projects,’ MAN’s Westerhoff the Middle East market is our customers. Fortunately OPRA’s Mowill says: ‘In our says. Savic agrees: ‘In the last perfect for CHP.’ the sanctions were targeted power range, the important two to three years, there has ‘Russia is an interesting enough for specifc markets or thing is to think about heat as been virtually no [gas-fred market,’ he continues, adding technology applications that well as power, so the heat-to- power] market in Europe that it is ‘also ideal for CHP we haven’t been impacted. power ratio. This needs to ft the www.cospp.com Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015 23
Gas Turbines client’s needs; if it does, they modular package that can be than natural as gas turbine where these independent get high overall effciency and confgured to the customer’s fuel,’ says Westerhoff. providers are dominating a savings.’ Oil and gas customers, requirements. ‘It’s the same Among other challenges, little more and putting pressure she says,‘are not so concerned core turbine,’ she explains, Westerhoff notes that ‘CHP’s on costs for users.’ about overall effciency; they’re ‘with maybe different flters focus is not only on gas turbine This shift in maintenance more concerned with reliability and different fuel systems, effciency like for mechanical practice is happening ‘right and having power on-site, such and it might use a different drive applications. In general, now’, he says. ‘Because as sites where they need power combustor if people use low electrical power has a European markets are under for production and heat is less calorifc value fuels which higher importance for the pressure to reduce generation important.’ need a larger combustor. If the development; nevertheless costs, they’re looking into Savic believes that some customer needs low emissions the exhaust heat, mainly the all possible alternatives on technical problems remain for we have a low-emission exhaust gas temperature, the maintenance side. Gas gas-based CHP. ‘Every project combustor.’ should be at a certain turbines are probably the most will have its own challenges,’ One example of a fuel- minimum level for an effcient expensive technology when it he says, but ‘one or two fexible system is a CHP heat process in the waste heat comes to maintenance, so any situations need to be carefully plant in Turkey which runs on recovery system.’ effort that can reduce those examined.’ syngas. Another, a gypsum Crouse says Capstone is costs will be welcomed by the One such situation is the plasterboard manufacturer, currently working with the market.’ growing number of CHP currently has a CHP system US Department of Energy to desalination plants in the running on natural gas, but develop a more effcient, larger A coming challenge Middle East. ‘I see a bit of a Mowill says the customer’s microturbine. The so-called from gas engines? challenge in winter,’ he says, requirements included a 370 programme ‘will end up The traditional distribution ‘because desalination plants potential upgrade to a dual- with a 250 kW turbine as the of gas turbines for larger have to provide a more or fuel system if and when an frst phase, which will produce cogeneration/CHP projects less constant amount of affordable, nearby syngas 2%–3% more electrical and gas engines for smaller water. However, there is less supply becomes available. effciency than the current projects may be about to of a requirement to generate ‘Customers are always 200 kW product,’ he explains. change.The gas turbine versus electricity because nobody is looking for fexibility,’ says The second phase will aim gas engine question is ‘a hot using air conditioning. So now Crouse, adding that to produce a 370 kW turbine topic’ at the moment, says gas turbines have to produce Capstone’s microturbines with ‘on the order of 40%–42% Savic: ‘What we have seen enough exhaust energy to are tolerant of different fuel electrical effciency’. Crouse is recently is some development create enough steam for types and can run on ‘low- ‘optimistic’ that these products in gas engine technology. desalination plants and, on BTU fuel, from landfll up to will be commercialised within Wärtsilä, and GE with their the other hand, they have to propane or butane’. Examples the next four years. Jenbacher engines, have reduce their load. This can be are a Hawaiian resort and a Looking to the future, Savic realised they can compete quite a challenging situation Caribbean CHP plant, both expects ‘a race‘ in terms of both with turbine generation and while there are solutions, of which run on propane, as effciency and dollars-per-kW against the small to medium they have to be carefully well as ‘quite a few’ projects attractiveness. He believes that sized gas turbines.’ looked at to see that they are running on biogas, including a technology development in ‘The size of the project not too costly.’ Russian chicken farm. future will not focus on higher doesn’t matter; it is just about Another challenge involves MAN is also looking effciency – which, he says, ‘is the heat-to-power balance,’ changing fuel requirements, into fuel fexibility for future not going to bring that much. says OPRA’s Mowill. She making confgurability a key developments. ‘One market Gas turbines will probably explains: ‘Gas engines have concern. In response, Mowill tendency is to investigate the be developed more in terms higher electrical output but says OPRA has developed a possibility of using other gases of operational fexibility and tend to have lower-grade heat, better response to changing so if you want hot water and market conditions, and this quite a lot of power engines is where developers should are a better choice, but for focus.’ higher-grade heat or steam ‘On the other hand,’ he production or direct drying in adds, ‘the maintenance addition to power, gas turbines side of gas turbines will are better.’ also experience some shifts She continues that ‘the and changes. From being maintenance cost is higher undertaken largely by OEMs, for reciprocating engines. maintenance has shifted to They have a bigger footprint, The gas turbine market will be valued at independent service providers, higher emissions, lower overall $620 billion by 2028 especially in the Middle East effciency, higher losses, Credit: OPRA Turbines 24 Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015 www.cospp.com
Gas Turbines more vibrations, etc.’ And be more effcient. If high load- proceedings. The provisions success, he adds, is in projects she notes that time before change velocities or even therefore exclude possibility for that require black start capa- overhaul must be considered: operation in start/stop mode contribution from providers of bility/black grid restoration ‘Gas engines involve a lot are required, which is typical alternative solutions, including capability. ‘For these projects of constant maintenance, for electricity driven systems, engines offered by Wärtsilä.’ gas turbines are normally whereas our gas turbines engines are likely to be Risto Paldanius, vice- not suffcient to perform the have maintenance after benefcial. president Europe & Africa, task; you would need a diesel 40,000 hours (approximately ‘Available fuel quality is Wärtsilä Power Plants, said: generator to restore the island fve years), and one annual of course important; gas ‘We frmly believe that there is and then the grid. Gas engines inspection.’ turbines might, in principle, no suffcient reason to discard are similar to diesel engines so Another advantage of have some more fexibility. But the engine technology, they can start in that moment, gas turbines is fuel fexibility. most projects are still based especially since such solutions with no additional cost. Just Operators of waste-to-energy on natural gas, with which have already been proven in getting X number of gas applications ‘care about both gas turbines and engines practical large scale projects engines would be suffcient for whether we can run on the have no problem to operate. which have been successfully black start,’ he concludes. fuel and whether they need With engines the required gas operating for many years all According to Capstone’s fuel cleaning, because this admission pressure is lower, over the world.’ Crouse, ‘engines are going to can be very expensive,’ she which reduces infrastructure Wärtsilä’s internal modelling be here for quite some time. says. ‘If they can put their fuel costs for gas compression. So of CHP and district heating They won’t be replaced by into our turbine without fuel which technology to choose systems, Laitinen says, microturbines; there are niches cleaning, that’s an advantage. really needs to be decided on ‘constantly get the result that where we’re better and niches Municipal waste sites gasify a detailed case analysis.’ engine power plants by us – where they’re the better solu- things and generate lots of However, Wärtsilä smart power generation plants tion.’ He also doesn’t see other contaminants which can be communications manager – are 30% cheaper than the technologies such as fuel cells damaging for engines.’ Jussi Laitinen says: ‘Gas turbine option, and operational stepping up for CHP as there MAN’s Westerhoff adds that turbines are the business- costs are cheaper. Turbines are ‘still a lot of challenges with ‘gas turbine-based systems as-usual option, but we’re tend to cost from €1100/kW, the them’. provide more heat potential challenging the “big guys” in engine option from €600–700/ The importance of fexibility, at a higher temperature level this game and capturing many kW.’ Savic says, ‘depends on trends than engine-based systems projects as the size of engine SSA’s Savic says attempts in terms of distributed genera- and have their advantages for power plants has grown very to open up the CHP market tion. How quickly are we going projects where this is important, fast in the past few years. The to gas engines are ‘exactly to get to point where we rely e.g., steam production. An only problem is that often what we are seeing. From an less and less on remote power engine-based system, on tenders are tailored for turbines environmental regulations generation facilities and focus the other hand, can reach a only’ – something Wartsila is perspective, there isn’t any on some combination of local higher overall energy effciency working to change. In fact, the difference between a gas utility and household genera- level of up to 90% and is frm recently fled an appeal reciprocating engine and tion?’ But, he says, ‘this will less sensitive with regards to over a tender for a new unit at a gas rotating turbine,’ he potentially be a good storyline ambient temperatures. Poland’s Zeran CHP plant, with says. ‘Whichever is better for for gas engines.’ ‘The operational mode a capacity of 420–490 MWe the client, if there’s no nega- Crouse believes that micro- is also essential to decide and over 250 MWt. tive environmental impact, turbines can be competitive whether to choose an engine In its appeal, the frm should be considered.’ But, he with gas engines. ‘For us to or a turbine,’ he continues. ‘In said the tender’s provisions cautions, ‘this is very diffcult to grow,’ he says, ‘we’re looking heat-driven systems, which ‘state that only companies generalise – it depends on the to take market share away tend to operate on constant offering turbine technology specifc project requirements.’ from Cummins, Caterpillar, GE, loads, the turbine is likely to may participate in the And he adds that ‘every- MAN, MTU – engine competi- where you have large indus- tors.’ In terms of gas turbines, Microturbines are predicted to gain a 24% market share by 2028 Credit: Capstone Turbine trial-frame combined-cycle ‘as the market expands there’s projects, I simply cannot see plenty of room for growth for gas engines taking that share everyone. In the multi-billion of the market – it is economi- dollar market that is CHP, cally and in CAPEX/OPEX there’s lots of room for us to terms not favourable. However, grow without our competitors for peaking applications there being too impacted,’ he says. is a good opportunity for gas engines to take market share.’ This article is available Another area where gas on-line. Please visit engines could have some www.cospp.com 26 Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015 www.cospp.com
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