CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context - Pietro Goglio
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CERES application: Field case studies to estimate N2O emissions from cropping systems within the LCA context Pietro Goglio
Goals, scope and methodology Developing a method for cropping systems GHG emission estimation compatible with LCA Testing the evaluation method with data coming from the field Identifying possible improvements and evaluating agricultural systems and techniques more suitable for biomass production
Modelling strategy Bibliographic review Are there previous No attempts to model this crop? No Yes Is the crop similar to other previously Yes modelled? Inclusion of crop parameters in CERES Soil and soil growth module denitrification Bayesian modules calibration (CERES-EGC)
Modelling strategy Bibliographic review Are there previous No attempts to model this crop? No Yes Is the crop similar to other previously Yes modelled? Inclusion of crop parameters in CERES Soil and soil growth module denitrification Bayesian modules calibration (CERES-EGC)
Modelling strategy Crop category Crop concerned Adaptation strategy Previously modelled with Winter wheat, Appropriate module will CERES Sunflower, be utilized Corn, Rapeseed, Barley Winter cereals not modelled Durum wheat, CERES wheat with CERES Triticale, Oat Leguminous crop Faba beans, CERES pea will adapted (Fabaceae) not modelled Clover, with CERES Common Vetch Other crop not modelled Linseed CERES with parameters with CERES Other crops present in the taken from literature cover crop mixture
CERES Modifications CERES PEA •growth, •light interception, •phenological stages •Temperature sensitivity •Cutting simulation •Root to shoot ratio •Temperature sensitivity Clover Clover/Oat mixture
CERES Modifications CERES PEA •growth, •growth, •light interception, •light interception, •grain filling •phenological stages •daylight parameters •phenological stages •Temperature sensitivity •Temperature sensitivity •Cutting simulation •Root to shoot ratio •Root to shoot ratio •Temperature Faba bean sensitivity Clover Clover/Oat mixture
CERES Modifications CERES PEA •growth, •growth, •light interception, •light interception, •grain filling •phenological stages •daylight parameters •phenological stages •Temperature sensitivity •Temperature sensitivity •Cutting simulation •Root to shoot ratio •Root to shoot ratio •Temperature Faba bean sensitivity Clover •growth, •light interception Clover/Oat •phenological Common vetch mixture stages •Temperature sensitivity
CERES Modifications Crop failure •Introduction of reseeding date in CERES- Maize •Introduction of an end of simulation variable in CERES-Colza End of simulation •Introduction of a theoretical yield variable in CERES-PEA (Fababeans) Theoretical Faba bean biomass yield
CERES results with real data maize triticale oat faba bean rapeseed 50%GHG cropping system: aiming at halving GHG Rotation:FB-Rs- CC+LCC-WW- CC+LCC-Ba-CC+LCC- Ma-XT-CC winter wheat white mustard barley buckwheat PHEP cropping system: productivity and high environmental performance Rotation:FB-WW-Rs- WW-BM or WM-Ba
CERES results with real data Soil NH4+ prediction
CERES results with real data Soil NO3- prediction
CERES results with real data Soil moisture prediction
CERES results with real data NH4 NO3 Soil N2O moisture bias 13.77 kg N -6.74 kg N 0.01 m3 m-3 -0.89 g N2O- ha-1 ha-1 N ha-1 d-1 RMSEP 3.69 kg N ha- 9.89 kg N ha- 0.06 m3 m-3 5.35 g N2O- 1 1 N ha-1 d-1 EF 0.01 -0.38 0.62 0.07 Spearman correlation test r 0.851* -0.030 0.817* 0.156 * Spearman correlation exact test * 50%GHG PHEP Values Barley WW Triticale Barley WW Bias (g N2O-N ha-1 d-1) -1.84 -0.18 0.18 -1.57 0.59 RMSEP (g N2O-N ha-1 d-1) 7.42 1.36 0.14 7.29 0.66
CERES and IPCC emission factors results Crop Trial Croppi N applied with CERES-EGC IPCC N2O-N ng fertiliser N2O-N emissions (g ha-1 system (kg N ha-1) emissions y-1) (g ha-1 y-1) Winter ICC PHEP 90a 1604 2410 Wheat Barley ICC PHEP 60a 526 1542 Barley ICC 50%GH 80a 320 1755 G Faba beans ICC PHEP 0 1081 507 Faba beans ICC 50%GH 0 1267 444 G Durum CIMAS HI 92b +52c 1258 2131 Wheat Durum CIMAS LI 46b+26c 1240 1424 Wheat Faba beans CIMAS HI 0 771 478 Faba beans CIMAS LI 0 784 463
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs DM (Mg ha-1) year ----- Above ground biomass Yield
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs DM (Mg ha-1) year ----- Above ground biomass Yield
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
CERES results in Agricultural LCAs
Cropping system issues •Long term simulation (more than 3-4 years) •Unpreviewed farming practices •Crop change in the middle of the season (reseeding) •Not well established farming practices, often difficult to model •Different species belonging to different botanical families (Fabaceae, Poaceae, Asteraceae, Poligonaceae, Brassicaceae) •Different phenological development •Variation in soil-plant interaction •Presence of cover crops or minor crops less studied •Cropping system trials have often different targets from the research which cannot be changed
CERES strengths: •Code availability •Many crops modelled •Good prediction for: • N2O emissions, both in intensity and timing •soil moisture •Soil NH4+ content •cereal yield •Tested previously in a wide range of sites in Europe with different climatic conditions •Highly tested for French conditions
CERES drawbacks: •The code often complex •Code not similar for all the crops •Rigid structure based on crops •Rigid formalism due to FORTRAN •Limited GUI •No graphical results directly available •Unsatisfactory prediction of soil NO3- •No good prediction of soil moisture during thawing periods •High N2O emissions often not well predicted in terms of intensity, presence of residual emissions after peaks not confirmed by field measurements (probably due to a lack in precision in soil nitrate availability on topsoil)
Perspectives: •The integration of other crops •Improving prediction with high N2O fluxes •Integration of other farming practices (e.g. cuttings) within the model •Model simplification procedures •Definition of procedures to follow to integrate model results as LCA input in cropping system LCA
Thanks for your attention Acknowledgements: A special thanks goes to Prof. Gabrielle, Dr Roche and Prof. Ney I would like also to acknowledge Prof. Doré, Prof. Bonari, Prof. Mazzoncini, Dr. Colnenne, Dr Ragaglini, Dr. Laville, Dr. Bosco, Dr. Di Bene, Mrs Decuq, Mr Grandeau and Mr Gueudet
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