Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings

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Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
Calgary Transit                     SPC on Transportation and Transit
Ridership, Revenue
and Route Ahead                     July 22, 2020
Update                              ISC: Unrestricted

                     Presentation                              V04      1
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
Presentation Outline

• Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on Calgary Transit’s
  ridership and projected response to Alberta’s relaunch
• Customer usage and attitudes survey findings
• Revenue impacts
• Strategies to mitigate impacts

                             Presentation                  V04   2
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
Ridership: Pandemic Impact

            Presentation     V04   3
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
   will have restrictions in response to COVID-19 outbreaks in this stage.
                       Ridership: Anticipated Response to Relaunch

                                                                 Potential partial opening of K-    K-12 & post sec. schools
                                                                  12 & post sec. schools              open
                                  Summer schools to open, K-    Partial physical distancing        Physical distancing removed
                                   12 dip. exams                 Businesses open partially          Businesses open fully
          Schools online only    Physical distancing           Some workforce starts              Increase in workforce
          Physical distancing    Businesses open partially      commuting to work using             commuting to work using
          Businesses closed      Workforce telecommuting        transit                             transit

*New Normal – Post Stage 3 is outside of provincial reopening plan.
Figure 3 - Ridership and Re-Launch Forecast Aligned with Provincial Re-Launch Stages
                                                             Presentation                                           V04             4
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
Ridership: Customer Survey Response

Customer Usage and Attitudes survey (primarily 2020 May 28-June 7)
• 52 per cent of recent or current transit riders will use transit the same as
  before and 33 per cent will use it less than before the pandemic started.
• Respondents who had used Calgary Transit since the lockdown
  restrictions came in place are consistently more comfortable using
  Calgary Transit than respondents who have not.
• Survey suggests the most effective combination of measures are:
    • Mandatory use of face masks for customers;
    • Asking customers not to board a bus or train if they have flu-like
        symptoms; and
    • Disinfecting high touch surfaces inside of the vehicles throughout
        the day.

                                 Presentation                         V04        5
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
Revenues: Pandemic Impact

• Calgary Transit was collecting 12% of normal cash revenue
  and 7% of normal monthly pass revenue in May 2020.
• Post-secondary institutions all opted out of their Upass
  agreements for spring/summer sessions, and most have
  indicated they will be opting out for fall session.
• Reserved parking demand disappeared
• The total projected revenue gap resulting from all sources
  of revenue that are lower than budget is approximately
  $105 million by year end 2020.

                         Presentation                          V04   6
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
Strategies to Mitigate Impacts: 2020-2021

•   Service adjustments
•   On Demand Community Shuttle Service
•   Principles for means-based fare engagement
•   New revenue streams
•   Accelerated roadmap for My Fare
•   Mobility as a Service

                              Presentation           V04   7
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
Service Adjustments: Significant Savings

                      2020 January – March (One Calgary + Adjustments)

                          2020 April (15% reduction – monitored
                                        impacts)

Considerations:
                      2020 May 25 (30% reduction – in effect
• Ongoing relaunch
                              through August 31)
• Alberta Education
  direction
  regarding schools
  Post-secondary        2020 August 31 (September – December)
  schools will be
  predominantly
  online

                                Presentation                      V04    8
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
On Demand Community Shuttle Service

• Committee requested Administration review routes deleted May 25
• West Calgary offers opportunity due to low ridership during pandemic

                               Presentation                      V04     9
Calgary Transit Ridership, Revenue and Route Ahead Update - SPC on Transportation and Transit July 22, 2020 ISC: Unrestricted - Meetings
On Demand Community Shuttle Service

• There are challenges introducing this service amid the pandemic:
    • Forecasting the service level required (for example, Jr. High and
       High School children and peak period service levels)
    • Introducing a new service line after staff/resource reductions
    • Communicating with stakeholders and customers (best practices
       from previous Transit Service Reviews cannot be implemented)
• Persistent challenge is addressing the change to customers who are
  accustomed to fixed-route transit

 Catching           Catching On-Demand
 scheduled          service:
 service:           - Pre-book trip using
 - Consult             App, including for
    schedule           transfer from CTrain
 - Walk to bus      - Walk to bus stop
    stop            - Wait (for less time) at
 - Wait at stop        stop

                                   Presentation                  V04      10
On Demand Community Shuttle Service

• Weighing opportunity and challenges
• Working toward possible mid-October launch, informed by same
  triggers for other service adjustments
• Affected routes include 94, 164, 439 and 454
• More information to follow in late August/September

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Principles for Means-Based Fare Engagement

• Council directed Administration to include a review of seniors
  and youth pass pricing
• Prior to making recommendations, Administration will be
  engaging key stakeholder groups.
• Due to the impacts of the pandemic on meetings, Administration
  is requesting a deferral to allow for engagement to take place in
  Q3-Q4 2020, leading to recommendations in 2021.
• Guiding principles in Attachment 1 are a basis for the
  engagement discussions.

                             Presentation                       V04   12
New Revenue Streams

Exploring new revenue streams to help close the revenue gap:
• Naming Rights contract opportunity
• Third-party kiosks at transit stations
• Fare payment incorporated into special event tickets

                             Presentation                      V04   13
My Fare: accelerating roadmap

       2020
                      •   Upass (if post-secondary
                          administration resources are
                          available)
       2021           •   Fair Entry Low Income Transit
                          Pass
                      •   Seniors fare products
                      •   Special event fare products
       2022           •   App integration and multi-
                          modal payment

           Presentation                           V04     14
Mobility as a Service in Calgary

•   Pursuing opportunities identified in Future of Transportation in Calgary
    report
•   Leverage investments in emerging modes of travel to build ridership on
    Calgary Transit

                               Presentation                         V04    15
Recommendations

That the SPC on Transportation and Transit recommend that Council:

1. Approve Administration’s request to defer the review of seniors and
youth pass pricing to no later than Q3 2021 to allow for stakeholder
engagement using the guiding principles outlined in Attachment 1; and

2. Request Administration to report back to the SPC on Transportation
and Transit no later than Q3 2020 with the Route Ahead Project
Prioritization.

                              Presentation                        V04    16
Calgary Transit                     SPC on Transportation and Transit
Ridership, Revenue
and Route Ahead                     July 22, 2020
Update                              ISC: Unrestricted

                     Presentation                              V04      17
Principles for Means-Based Fare Engagement
1. Maintain the Fair Entry Low Income Transit Pass program
2. Equity focused on income-based subsidies (customer’s ability to pay)
3. Review Youth Pass pricing
4. Evaluate integration with My Fare
5. Recognize revenue tradeoffs (discounts to individual groups mean
   additional costs to other groups or increased tax support to maintain
   transit service)
6. Benchmark fares and fare policies of other agencies
7. Include feedback from stakeholders, including:
      • Social Wellbeing Advisory Committee
      • Age-Friendly Steering Committee
      • Older Adult Advisory Table
      • Calgary Transit Customer Advisory Group

                               Presentation                       V04      18
Beyond 2020

Supporting Calgary’s economic recovery with sustainable transportation:

• Capital investments to support reliable service delivery

• Sustaining MAX and CTrain network

• Green Line

• Electric Bus pilot

• Regional transit evolution

More to follow in Route Ahead Project Prioritization in September

                                Presentation                        V04   19
On Demand Phased Approach
             • Other agencies have converted existing fixed-route service
               using a phased approach, including:

                  • Sundays only

                  • Saturday-Sunday (weekends)

                  • Weekday evenings and weekends

                  • All days of the week

             • A phased approach will be considered as part of the West
               Calgary implementation opportunity

22/07/2020                         Presentation                      V04    20
Ridership recovery: peer review

Source: International Association of Public Transport/Union Internationale des Transports Publics

                                          Presentation                                       V04    21
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