Business Process Management: Vision 2030 - Time to think on 2020 and beyond - Exaatto Group

 
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Business Process Management: Vision 2030 - Time to think on 2020 and beyond - Exaatto Group
Business Process Management:
Vision 2030 – Time to think on
2020 and beyond
Vision 2020 meets reality, and passes the baton for futuristic visions to 2030. How
businesses balance and meld fantastic futuristic co-exists with tried-tested, and how
business process management world will need to evolve and adapt, explored.

Anupam Jain
Business Process Management: Vision 2030 - Time to think on 2020 and beyond - Exaatto Group
2020 is here! Having lived through the last decade, going through countless

presentations, speeches and articles talking about “Vision 2020 Document”,

I must say that arrival of 2020 is both underwhelming and overwhelming.

Underwhelming in terms of what has been achieved from what were set out

as lofty goals, and overwhelming in the magnitude of change that has come

through, popularly termed as “Disruption”, for want of a better word, and to

appear in tune with time.

However, once we start peeling the layers, there’s a different reality that stares

back at us. That reality can be expressed simply as “Change is the only constant”.

Indeed, humans, their needs, wants, desires keep on changing ceaselessly.

Technology, Society, Governance change accordingly (Sometimes happily,

sometimes being dragged kicking and wailing), and the evolution continues.

What was cutting edge yesterday, is normal today, and will be outdated tomorrow.

This simple fact is what has defined businesses, and will continue to do so. All

businesses have parts that need to be “RUN”, parts that can be “TRANSFORM”

for better outcomes, and parts that must be “BUILT” for newer expectations.

And as businesses evolve, so will their processes, and so would have to the

Business Process Management (BPM) providers.
Vision 2030                                                                  Page 2
‘Digital’ world is changing how companies think Sample these:
       about the meaning of Run, Transform and Build         • In North America, about 95% of ATM swipes use
       At the risk of oversimplification, the very core of      COBOL code, (a language devised in 1960s!).
       the ‘Digital’, is all machines being connected to        What’s more, Reuters in 2017, calculated the
       each other through web connectivity, delivering a        existence of 220 billion lines of COBOL code in
       seamless experience, with output being receivable        production then, and handling about $3 trillion
       on mobile devices. Sometimes these outputs are           worth of transactions everyday
       outcomes as well. And a lot of what was physical
       earlier is now simply stored in virtual form of 0s • According to Computerworld, in 2012, Bank
       and 1s (Think about a physical bank account              of New York Mellon’s IT group had to tend
       passbook of yester-decades, and now the ability          to 112,500 different COBOL programs, an
       to pull up account statements on any connected           estimated 343 million lines of code!
       device!).
                                                             • Commonwealth Bank of Australia replaced
       While this is wonderful, it has also thrown a            its core COBOL platform in 2012, the project
       tremendous challenge of assessing and upgrading          taking 5 years to complete with a price tag of
       the technology that allows this to be done. The          ~$750 million
       problem is the vast amount of code written already,
       and powering our daily lives, before ‘Digital’ burst Try as anyone might, the code written in previous
       on the scene. It is around us everywhere, critical to decades cannot be simply re-written, and certainly
       our everyday lives, and can cost a huge amount of not in an instant. Therefore, much as anyone
       money, time and effort to re-engineer!                would hate, there’s need to RUN, some parts of
                                                             business on existing technology. Parts of that can

                     Connected devices, mobile(s) in particular, are fuelling digital

           Internet Penetration
           Users
                                                                                     Mobile App Usage Growth
                                                                                     Sessions                                                      54%

                                 Active Internet
                                 Users                       90%                       A – Lifestyle
                                                                                       B – Games
                                                                                       C – Personalisation
                                                                                       D – Photography                   20% 20%
                                                                                                                                     33%
                                                                                                                                            43%

                   Total Population
                                                                                       E – Sports
                     7.676 Billion
                                        57%                 Access Internet              A      B      C      D     E

                                                            through Mobile
                                                                                                                          F      G     H      I     J
                                                                                                      -8%    -8%   -8%
                                                                                                                          F – News, Magazines
                                                                                               -16%
                                                                                                                          G – Utilities, Productivity
                                                                                                                          H – Business, Finance
                                                                                                                          I – Music, Media, Entertainment
                                                                                        -40%                              J – Shopping

                                                   Active Internet                           Active Mobile
Total Population     7.676 Billion                 Users             4.388 Billion           Internet Users                     3.986 Billion
                                                                                             Annual Mobile
Annual Growth        +1.1%                         Annual Growth     +9.1%                   App Usage Growth                   +8.0%

Source: Hootsuite (Digital 2019); Flurry Analytics

       Vision 2030                                                                                                                                Page 3
be enhanced, extended and modified to enhance
    functionality. This is the TRANSFORM part. Competition then comes with more attractive
    And it’d be shame to not take advantage of new propositions and this forces the incumbent to
    technology to BUILD new processes.                    make choice between sweating the existing
                                                          technology, augment it or build a new replacement.
    Run AND Transform AND Build businesses                This isn’t an easy decision to make, because it
    This concept of businesses not being monolithic, involves time, effort, money and considerable risk
    living, evolving and ageing is the key to of disturbance to existing systems and processes.
    understanding the shift in business processes This has only become more difficult, as the existing
    and business process management. Technology systems have become increasingly integral to
    (somewhat expansively used here to cover existing landscape, making their clean pull-out
    telecom, and computing) in some capacity has and replacement almost impossible.
    been designed as a part of most product/service
    offerings. These decisions are also tied down by The case of TSB Bank serves as a poignant
    profitability calculations. Once frozen, technology example. In April 2018, TSB, a UK based retail
    cost is locked down, and enterprise then tries and commercial bank, rushed the upgradation of
    to extract as much usage out of it as possible. its digital banking platform leading to massive
    Typical of technology life-cycle, at a certain point, problems as it received around 100000 complaints
    what was cutting-edge, becomes an also-ran, within a month and over 12500 customers left the
    and then archaic. However, the product/service bank within three months. The crisis expanded
    delivered/supported by it is still being offered. In with losses amounting to almost £330 million,
    the meanwhile, the existing systems are upgraded, resulting in the firing of its CEO, Paul Pester. As of
    enhanced, interfaced, and integrated more with Nov 2019, the bank is still reeling from crisis with
    the overall enterprise technology systems.            the closure of bank branches, job cuts and losses

                                    Love-Hate with Legacy systems

            Enhancements                                                                     Interfaces

              Upgrades                                                                      Interconnects

      Widespread                     Entrenched                     Expensive                 Time-Consuming
Just about everywhere in      Interfaced, connected with      Expensive to re-platform,   Prolonged time required for
world, legacy systems are        lots of other systems,      especially when competing       writing, testing code,
  present – ATMs, PoS         creating risk of disturbance     for funds against new           increases risk and
   machines, Treasury          to other existing systems              initiatives          uncertainty in the system
                                     and processes

    Vision 2030                                                                                         Page 4
Challenge of running a business today!

                                                                                    Faster

      Juggling efficiency, effectiveness
                                                                                    Longer
     and experience running on treadmill

mounting up to £370 million and potentially more better, and some are trying to change the game
in the form of regulatory fines.                     altogether (Many start-ups fit in this category).
                                                     And enterprises don’t get the luxury of shutting
Juggling three balls, while running on a treadmill down everything, rebuild from scratch, and come
in open-air, on a windy day, trying to run faster back to compete. They must compete with what
and longer than others (some younger and fitter)! they have, what they can jury-rig, and what they
As if the above was not enough, enterprises, can devise.
especially the publically listed ones are also under
constant pressure to deliver shareholder value, Moral of the story:
often being evaluated every quarter. The focus • RUN what you MUST
on short term doesn’t align itself well with the • TRANSFORM what you CAN
investment needed to keep technology updated • BUILD what you WANT
(As the technology lifecycle is measured in years).

The three balls being juggled are Run, Transform,BPM needs to partner in RUN and TRANSFORM
Build parts of the business. And almost all      and BUILD
enterprises are juggling them, while competing   In line with BPM buyer enterprises, BPM providers
in the marketplace, alongside incumbents and     as well need to change their strategy. The days of
                                                 running large-scale offshore centers doing mostly
start-ups, trying to deliver shareholder value and
remaining relevant to and loved by customers.    transactional kind of work, with limited technology,
                                                 transformation infusion can no longer generate fat
As if this was not enough, these enterprises are and lucrative margins. Here are a few examples to
also competing against others in the market. highlight the point
Some competitors are worse, some similar, some

Vision 2030                                                                                     Page 5
Enterprise Strategy 2030!

                                  RUN                           TRANSFORM                            BUILD
                           What you MUST                       What you CAN                     What you WANT

•   Document management outsourcing work,                 service providers were picked in each of the 4, with
    pioneered by the likes of Xerox has been              a view of picking a representative sample. The 4
    steadily losing margins                               buckets (some providers overlapping in multiple
•   Almost all big global contact center outsourcing      of them) are: a) Document Management Service
    players are witnessing constant pressure on           Providers, b) Contact Center Service Providers, c)
    growth and profit margins                             Horizontal Processes Services Providers, and d)
•   In fact, Synnex, recently announced spinning-         Vertical-specific Processes (Banking, Insurance
    off Concentrix as a separate entity, and the          etc) Providers. The exercise points towards a
    market largely cheered the move!                      general trend of below-par performance from
                                                          the first 2 categories, while the the last posts
BPM providers have the advantage of working               the most impressive performance. While the
micro, but also able to look at macro picture. In other   first 2 categories are largely comprised of Run
words, they work with individual units amongst            and/or Transform BPM solutions, the other 2
enterprises, but collectively across all their clients,   have a different ratio of Run and Transform BPM
have the big picture view of what’s unfolding in          solutions, in addition to offering some Build BPM
the industry. The BPM industry came into being            solutions as well.
primarily to support Run part of the enterprise,
tasked with taking out costs, and delivering        Enterprise decisions on whether a product/
                                                    technology is in the RUN or TRANSFORM or BUILD
efficiency to the business. As it evolved, it started
assisting in Transform part of the business. And    bucket, decides their strategy on associated
now it stands on the cusp of deciding whether and   business processes and therefore will need to be
how to help Build businesses.                       mirrored by BPM provider(s). Looked collectively
                                                    as an industry, it is clear that there is demand
It is always a good idea to see how a theoretical for Run, Transform and Build assistance from
world construct fares in the real world. Over a business process management standpoint.
long-term time period (relatively), equity price
performance can be a good indicator of how One-trick solution days are passé for BPM
an enterprise’s current performance and future providers too!
potential. Accordingly, BPM service provider world BPM originated with cost take-out as the primary
was viewed from 4 lenses (according to the services objective. It then slowly kept following the ‘Hindu
offered, detailed below). Five representative rate of growth’ mantra, under various creative
Vision 2030                                                                                            Page 6
What do the last 3 years’ equity price performance tell us?

                          Document Management                                      Contact Center
                            Services Providers                                    Services Providers

                                                    27.95%                                                       142.71%

                              -9.03%                                                     34.96%

                    -36.21%                                                            18.73%

      -65.91%                                                          -11.70%

 -81.19%                                                     -69.72%

                                                                                            REPRESENTATIVE; NON-EXHAUSTIVE

                     Horizontal Processes                                            Vertical-specific
                        (F&A, HR etc)                                              Processes (Banking,
                      Services Providers                                         Insurance etc) Providers

                                                   84.09%                                                         143.43%

                                                71.65%                                                84.09%

                                       44.64%                                                    54.98%

          -36.21%                                                 -36.21%

-65.90%                                                      -65.91%

                                                                                                REPRESENTATIVE; NON-EXHAUSTIVE

          Vision 2030                                                                                            Page 7
Evolution of BPM

     2010s                                                        2030s

   Efficiency                      Efficiency                 Effectiveness                Experience

names, in some combination of lift, shift and fix.      The new-age solutions encompassing machine
The next step was taken after some providers            learning, APIs are opening doors to bring the older
bought platforms to provide better solutions (Such      solutions in the digital age. Additionally, it is also
as mortgages, insurance etc). The next half-step        allowing a window for BPM providers to be able
was infusing of analytics in the BPM ecosystem to       to craft custom solutions that allow them to use
make the system more efficient and effective. All       their deep industry and process expertise and
this while, the buyers’ systems were still more or      experience.
less how they were for quite some time, patches
and lifecycle upgrades notwithstanding. And then        It is time that all of the above solutions are thought
the next half step of Robotic Process Automation.       of as building-blocks, that can be used either alone
And this is where the shared bucket of run and          or in combination(s) depending upon the scenario
transform solutions end.                                at hand.

The shared bucket of transform and build solutions      Different horses for different courses.
is really coming into its own in last 3 years or so.    While it is correct to say and assume that there
While historically, it included a collection of small   is demand for RUN, TRANSFORM and BUILD
bolt-on applications and platform offerings, the        solutions, it is also foolhardy to believe that
real boost was from RPA. The power of RPA lay in        focusing on just one stream is what will make for
the fact that it was a tool, and not a solution, and    a sustainable competitive strategy for any BPM
so offered many different ways of using it across       provider.
applications. Analytics, which started as more
of process diagnostics also evolved into a more         •   Focus on RUN business alone, and there will
powerful tool that helped make existing processes           be gains on top line, but declining profitability
and solutions more effective.                               over medium to long term
                                                        •   Focus on TRANSFORM business alone, and

Vision 2030                                                                                            Page 8
Why BPM 2030 strategy needs to be multi-pronged?

             RUN                                  TRANSFORM                                       BUILD

• Gains on topline (Short-term)           • Gains on profitability                    • Gains on topline

• Declining profitability                 • Loss of revenue growth                    • Severe pressure on revenue
  (Medium to long term)                     (Short-term)                                and profitability (Short-term)
                                          • Demand for investment                     • Significant demand for
                                            resources (Short to medium                  investment resources
                                            term)                                       (Continuous)

       there will be gains on profitability, at the cost  advantage is to balance all three parts. RUN
       of short-term revenue growth and demand for        business to generate revenue flow, allowing
       investment resources                               funding for future investment, TRANSFORM to
   •   Focus on BUILD business alone, and there will      help build medium-term stability in revenue and
       be severe pressure on short-term revenue and       profitability, and BUILD to create future competitive
       profitability, along with a significant demand     differentiation. While the three buckets’ proportion
       for investment resources                           would remain relatively stable over a period of
                                                          time, what needs to evaluated at regular intervals,
   The way to succeed in this time for BPM providers is what is in these buckets, what needs to be added
   as well is to juggle the three parts of their clients’ and what needs to be taken out.
   businesses. Help in cost take-outs in RUN, assist
   in TRANSFORM by augmenting and infusing Just another bit of theory, without any evidences?
   technology (including but not limited to platforms, Not really, as we already see evidences of this
   analytics and RPA), and helping BUILD parts of already playing out. There are now multiple
   new businesses (for either incumbents or start- examples of how balance is both extremely
   ups) by setting up processes.                          important, as well as difficult to achieve! Consider
                                                          these:
   The only way for a sustainable competitive

   Vision 2030                                                                                             Page 9
•   Conduent – Conduent’s history traces its roots       erstwhile strength that turned into a weakness.
    through Xerox to ACS. A detailed look through        And there’s truth in that. Once the organisation
    its offerings and client feedback paints a picture   is up and running, and has perfected formulae
    of the company overly reliant on RUN bucket,         for hiring, training, and delivering, they become
    with some dabbles in TRANSFORM bucket. For           extremely prone to inertia, and start losing the
    that model to succeed, revenue and headcount         ability to be agile. It of course, takes a lot more
    correlation need to be broken. Otherwise, the        effort to turn around an aircraft carrier, when
    margins keep slipping, the investment pool           compared to a speed-boat!
    keeps drying up, and the company keeps
    falling back from its peers. Almost exactly, theAnd this creates does open up windows for smaller
    Conduent story till date!                       players to experiment with TRANSFORM and
                                                    BUILD buckets. Smaller (relatively) BPM providers
• DXC – Spun off from HPE, and merged with are able to experiment with smaller teams on
    CSC, to again create this largely RUN bucket newer solution areas, and scale what works, have
    business. Along the way, both HP and CSC had been able to achieve stronger growth.
    made a number of acquisitions. However, today,
    sampling through its offerings, client feedback Do I care as a buyer?
    and data again points a picture of business Of course, yes. This means that the days of using a
    services as largely RUN, with some sprinkling canned list of providers to short-list and work with
    of TRANSFORM. Expectedly, the performance are gone. It also means, that most quadrant based
    hasn’t been anything to write about             assessments start being less and less useful,
                                                    as they are trying to force-fit a multi-dimensional
• Concentrix – Starting life as Daksh, then being analysis in a 2X2 grid, which does not convey the
    acquired by IBM, before being sold off to true picture.
    Synnex, who after acquiring Convergys last year
    and merging with Concentrix, finally decided It also means that the choice of a good BPM
    to spin it off, possibly admitting the margin partner, not only depends on the industry and
    dilutive effect Concentix on the larger Synnex geography that you are operating in, but also what
    Group. Again, largely a legacy contact center part of the business are you seeking assistance in.
    operations business that’s been averaging just A good provider for Run part of the business, may
    a middling performance!                         be a poor choice for Build part of the business and
                                                    so forth.
Is there a pattern here?
Of course, there is! Innovations from decades Let me explain this with an example from the
back, is not the innovation today. One could argue banking world, for what would a buyer want to
that ACS, HP, CSC, Daksh were in the pioneering consider.
class of outsourcing. And became huge megaliths
by perfecting that formula. However, they failed • RUN – The considerations on this are going
to keep pace with changing times, and are now          to be rather straightforward, including BPM
lagging behind some of their other competitors.        provider’s experience with the deployed core
They’ve failed to move beyond RUN to TRANSFORM         banking solution, experience with lines of
and BUILD buckets, and the results of that are now     business (such as mortgage etc), experience
showing in their current performances.                 and expertise of deploying automation tools
                                                       and track record of delivering productivity
To be sure, it can also be argued, that it is their    benefits at competitive commercials

Vision 2030                                                                                         Page 10
Buyer considerations for Run, Transform and Build (Banking example)

                               Technology                             Domain                              People
                                Expertise                            Expertise                           Expertise

                 •   Experience with installed core   •   Experience with lines of          •   Track record of delivering
                     banking systems and other            business (such as mortgage            productivity benefits at
                     deployed applications                etc)                                  competitive commercials

                 •   Experience and expertise of
                     deploying automation tools
  RUN

                 •   Expertise of developing point    •   Experience with lines of          •   Experience of developing and
                     solutions on the existing            business                              deploying analytics and
                     technology base                                                            machine learning tools and
                                                      •   Suite of context-specific plug        ability to bring them for wider
                                                          and play tools that can enhance       access (using APIs, for
                                                          functionality                         instance)
TRANSFORM

                 •   Expertise in bringing context-   •   Experience with lines of          •   Experience in setting up green-
                     specific technology-infused          business                              field business processes
                     solutions (such as Customer
                     Lifetime Value engine)           •   Experience working with current
                                                          and upcoming technology
  BUILD                                                   (including Fintechs)

                                                       capitalisation, it may be Tesla. And while all three
   • TRANSFORM – On this, the considerations are “correct”, none of the three indicators capture
      would include BPM provider’s expertise of the complete picture.
      developing point solutions on the existing
      technology base, suite of plug and play tools It is a similar story when it comes to evaluating the
      that can enhance functionality, experience BPM service providers’ landscape. Rankings of any
      of deploying analytics and machine learning kind (Listing, Quadrants) simply can’t do justice to
      tools and ability to bring them for wider access the evolving situation. While employee numbers
      (using APIs, for instance)                       may make one the largest, focus on strengths
                                                       may be making another the most profitable, while
   • BUILD – In this bucket, considerations would the technology and skills portfolio may be making
      include BPM provider’s expertise in bringing a third one as the company to look out for in the
      technology-infused solutions (such as future.
      Customer Lifetime Value engine), experience
      working with current and upcoming technology A new yardstick to find out the ideal BPM partner
      (including Fintechs) and experience in setting In a multi-axial world, one-axis simple rankings are
      up green-field business processes                not only meaningless but may also be harmful. As
                                                       BPM providers evolve to provide services across
   Who’s the greatest? Toyota, Mercedes or Tesla?      a range of Run, Transform and Build functions, so
   This is a trick question because it depends on must the analysis.
   what’s the parameter to judge. Revenue, it’d be
   Toyota, Profit Margin, it’d be Mercedes and Market What this also means is that the old established

   Vision 2030                                                                                                    Page 11
ways of ‘Analysing’ BPM industry players is now             processes, are in fact, the connect between the
outliving its utility. Most analyst firms look at service   world that technology would want to be, and the
providers through their fixed-view prisms, such             real world that exists, with all its nuances, quirks
as offshoring leverage, or technology solutions             and imperfections. Additionally, hitherto till now
or automation revenue. In reality, this means that          BPM-untouched areas would open up, as service
most of such analyses are able to focus on one              delivery starts incorporating digital, and needs
static view, but are quite inadequate to paint the          BPM support to deliver the outcomes.
complete picture. Add to this, the legacy data
burden (Akin to driving forward by looking through   And this gap between both worlds, the digital-could-
the rear view most of the time) and it is easy to seebe, and the real-as-is is most reliably and effectively
why most analyses do a good job of explaining        bridged by BPM providers. BPM providers will have
events post-facto, but are completely at sea, when   to graduate to a tiered strategy of ready-to-be-
it comes to making forward-looking projections.      tailored solutions for each client situation ranging
                                                     from solutions that help establish business
All this sums up the need to find a new lens to look processes to go with pioneering offerings and/
at BPM industry and individual providers.            or technology, to those that augment established
                                                     technology to make it more efficient and effective
A new method to look at BPM providers is to analyse to those that provide low operating cost solutions
them along axes of Run, Transform and Build for end-of-life technology.
independently. Each of the three axes be further
looked through lenses of Industry, Technology And the analyst world would move away from all-
and People. Indicators for existing achievements, encompassing numbers, cover-all matrices and
and future strategic roadmap guiding through the over-simplified lists, to more detailed, nuanced
process.                                             coverage. Critically looking at trends coming
                                                     through the broader world to predict market
Vision 2030!                                         evolution, articulate buyers’ needs and carefully
As enterprises and BPM providers kick-start 2020, look through BPM providers’ repertoire, track
it’s also the time for them to start thinking about record and strategy to curate a set of useful
how the world would be in 2030, how their buyers decision-enabling information.
would be evolving, and how can they help them
achieve their objectives.

It is inevitable that the cutting-edge technology of
today, will become an also-ran in couple of years,
and possibly a drag, couple after that. Yet both
enterprises and BPM providers would want to
remain alive, and relevant.

So, enterprises will realise the importance of
‘technology’ in the digital world, and that technology
also goes through its life-cycle of being imperfect,
kinky, but promising at start, to being expensive,
clunky, difficult to run and maintain but vital to
operations in later years, business processes
don’t necessarily go through that cycle. Business

Vision 2030                                                                                             Page 12
Concluding Thoughts

A decade is a long time indeed. In 2010, the world was just starting to find its feet after
the 2008 crisis. And some parts took years more to do that. 2010 saw iPhone in its
3G avatar, Google launching its first Nexus-branded Android device, 3G networks just
starting to see roll-outs, AWS (Amazon Web Services) revenue breaching the $500M
mark, Microsoft venturing into cloud with launch of Azure, and Uber starting to become
more than an idea.

Business Process Services, largely meant outsourcing and offshoring, a euphemism
for a solution designed to reduce back-office costs, and create an inexpensive way of
running customer call-centers halfway across the globe.

But, during the past 10 years, computing power, storage and data bandwidth improved
by leaps and bounds and became affordable and accessible. First it changed the way
people consumed computing, storage and bandwidth. And then, computing, storage and
bandwidth changed the way people experience the world.

And as 2010s ended, Business Process Services, had evolved into BPM. BPM allowed
buyers to not only improve the efficiency and effectiveness of their operations, but also
improve the experience offered by these.

BPM started as a peripheral device, at an arm’s length to an enterprise, and ended the
decade with being an important piece of the puzzle that allows an enterprise to deliver
value to its customers, shareholders, and employees. It today stands at the edge of a new
decade and an opportunity to help enable fuller harnessing of the power and opportunity
of ‘Digital’ by enterprises.

The coming decade promises to be an exciting journey!

Anupam Jain is the Managing Principal of Exaatto Group
Vision 2030                                                                         Page 13
Exaatto Group is a boutique global research, advisory and consulting firm focused on Business Pro-
cess Management (BPM). It seeks to help BPM ecosystem (buyers, service providers, and facilitators)
make better decisions, through its work. Its unique approach and focus on ‘digital’ and ‘industry’,
helps it understand issues in microscopic detail, build the larger picture in telescopic expanse and
bring meaningful, forward-looking and actionable insights.

        www.exaattogroup.com                                   contact@exaattogroup.com

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