Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? - Istituto Affari Internazionali
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Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: © 2020 IAI What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? by Marco Davì ISSN 2532-6570 Triggered by the 2012 collapse of the supporters. Malian state, when the threat posed by an alliance of separatist and Islamist From its origins, the Sahel crisis has militants to the country’s territorial progressively morphed into a complex integrity prompted a French military multidimensional emergency. It is intervention, insecurity and conflict primarily characterized by the interplay have continued to spread across the of manipulated intercommunal Sahel, crucially amplified by instability tensions over resources, socio- spill-overs from Libya and underpinned economic exclusion and political by inherent fragility drivers.1 marginalization, along with the erosion of mutual trust between security Chronically porous borders enabled providers and local communities al-Qaeda-linked groups and the resulting from poorly-executed Islamic State in the Greater Sahara counterterrorism responses. With (ISGS) to exploit local fragilities and the deteriorating humanitarian and undermine socio-political systems security situation increasingly posing IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020 across the region, with radical ideology a threat, European powers have been catalysing pre-existing grievances, searching for comprehensive strategic generational divides and distrust in responses to the combined challenge central governments and their Western of jihadist violence, transnational criminal networks and migration. 1 Notably, weak governance and state legitimacy, limited human development, vulnerability to climate change, ineffective community conflict resolution mechanisms. Marco Davì is a conflict and security consultant with the World Bank. A peacebuilding and stabilization expert, he was deployed as a Security Sector Reform Officer in Burkina Faso (UN Peacebuilding Fund Immediate Response Project), in the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the DR Congo (MONUSCO) and in the United Nations Operation in Cote d’Ivoire (UNOCI). The views expressed in this article are personal and do not reflect official policy of the World Bank Group or of the United Nations. 1
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? Despite a limited footprint in Africa,2 Conflict dynamics have progressively Italy has also recently strengthened its revealed the interconnected strategic engagements in the Sahel, including objectives pursued by armed groups the 2019 high-profile visits of Prime in Burkina Faso: target the presence Minister Giuseppe Conte to Niger and of state institutions; trigger, catalyse Chad; that of former Defence Minister and exacerbate intercommunal © 2020 IAI Elisabetta Trenta in Niger; and the visit tensions; polarize national politics; and by Deputy Foreign Affairs Minister weaken the legitimacy of the central Emanuela Del Re in Niger, Mali and government, including by eroding trust Burkina Faso. in security forces and their handling of the crisis. Against this backdrop, Burkina Faso3 has ISSN 2532-6570 experienced a continuous worsening In the politically delicate context of its domestic security environment. stemming from the 2014 popular The country, until 2015 relatively uprising that ended the 27-year- untouched by regional developments, old regime led by President Blaise has turned into a major Sahelian crisis Compaoré and the failed 2015 coup, the hotspot and a link of insecurity to the government’s militarized response to wider area of the Gulf of Guinea. A rapid the crisis has achieved limited results. progression of kinetic events across its It has been specifically challenged by territory, including multiple attacks chronic capacity deficits to confront an in the capital, resulted in over 2,000 asymmetric threat with considerable casualties as of 2019.4 Violent attacks operational resilience and by the lack of by militants linked to al-Qaeda (Ansar a national security vision. Dine, Ansarul Islam) and the ISGS, initially concentrated in Burkina Faso’s More worryingly, the military’s human Sahel region bordering Mali and Niger, rights abuses have alienated local have steadily spread to other parts of communities5 and played into the the country, targeting army bases, jihadist narrative, facilitating ideological police and gendarmerie posts, the local penetration and opportunistic IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020 public administration and civilians. exploitation of local grievances. Inter- communal violence and the contentious role of self-defence groups, now promoted by the government to exercise 2 basic security functions, increasingly Rome has 22 embassies in Africa, against the 44 of France and the 39 of Germany. threaten social and national cohesion, 3 One of the least-developed countries, fuelling youth radicalization. Finally, ranking 182nd out of 189 in the 2019 Human the progressive loss of control over Development Index. national territory enables armed groups 4 José Luengo-Cabrera, “Burkina Faso: to control and distribute resources, Reported Fatalities”, Twitter post, 14 January 2020, https://twitter.com/j_luengocabrera/ demonstrating strength. status/1217215487974760448; Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), Political 5 Violence Skyrockets in the Sahel According Human Rights Watch, Burkina Faso: Atrocities to Latest ACLED Data, 28 March 2019, https:// by Armed Islamists, Security Forces, 22 March acleddata.com/?p=14444. 2019, https://www.hrw.org/node/328438. 2
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? Against this backdrop, conflict Conflict transformation problematizes diagnostics increasingly emphasize the status quo and calls for a an insurgency dimension in the renegotiation of the social contract, region, suggesting the need for a no easy task. In addition, the path paradigm shift beyond aggressive dependency inherent to current counterterrorism that risks repressive strategies, undermines © 2020 IAI undermining the social contract. commitments to conduct complex Given the complexity of the crisis, the analyses required to adapt the military’s current Burkinabé security response operational posture. Finally, significant is facing considerable operational and resource constraints limit the scope of strategic challenges, both in terms a strategic pivot towards population- of countering threats effectively and centric security and conflict-sensitive ISSN 2532-6570 delivering population-centric security development, due to dependency on to reduce risks of conflict extension. external donors’ political agendas. This deficit specifically jeopardizes government-led and internationally- Nevertheless, Burkina Faso should supported humanitarian and balance immediate security responses development efforts to reduce fragility with a comprehensive peacebuilding and support the restoration of state strategy, under strong national presence (Programme d’urgence Sahel, leadership to defuse the jihadist EU-UN-World Bank Prevention and rhetoric of neo-colonial interference. Peacebuilding Assessment).6 In addition, reforms to improve security sector accountability and Crucially, what is needed is not “less rebuild trust with the population should security and more development”, be accelerated, by placing security but a radically different approach sector reform (SSR) at the core of a that places human security at national HDP strategy that prioritizes the core of peacebuilding and a restoration of public administration conflict transformation strategies presence to improve the welfare of local to comprehensively tackle drivers populations. IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020 of violence and fragility. Pursuing such a paradigm shift across the Critical improvements in Burkina humanitarian-development-peace Faso’s operational effectiveness (HDP) nexus obviously remains and human security outcomes are politically challenging. contingent on sustained progress of SSR measures embarked upon by the first democratically-elected civilian government since independence. 6 Burkina Faso Government, Programme While SSR efforts aim to improve d’urgence pour le Sahel au Burkina Faso (PUS- civilian control of the armed forces, BF): le Conseil d’orientation stratégique (COS) a tenu sa deuxième session, 30 September 2019, accountability, effectiveness and https://www.sig.bf/?p=19034; Christian Lara governance, the uneasy relationship and Gabriel Delsol, Sustaining Peace in Burkina between the government and the Faso: Responding to an Emerging Crisis, New York, International Peace Institute, May 2020, military, given the history of military https://www.ipinst.org/?p=28555. coups and the worsening security 3
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? emergency, have complicated an signalled the inception of a strategic already delicate reform trajectory. shift, including enhanced security cooperation between G5 Sahel These reforms, however, are not countries and France, European only important for democratic support mobilization, strengthening consolidation, but key to address the the Alliance Sahel development aid and © 2020 IAI spread of violent extremism. Civil- advancing the Partnership for Stability military relations, accountability and and Security in the Sahel (P3S). oversight of the security sector remain top priorities to execute responsible This changing strategic landscape, counterterrorism interventions and along with a phase-out of US military deliver inclusive security. In particular, assistance in the region, is ushering ISSN 2532-6570 rebuilding mutual trust between in opportunities for Italian foreign security forces and the population is policy to shape international support critical to effectively counter a hybrid in the Sahel, building on its ongoing threat through collaborative early- engagements in the area, and warning and improve human security, particularly in Libya and Niger. thus strengthening state legitimacy. Italy already contributes to multilateral National-level efforts can only succeed security efforts9 through the UN if ongoing regional initiatives are Multidimensional Integrated Stabiliza- strategically aligned. Since 2013, tion Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) (7 international intervention in the region elements),10 EUCAP Niger (2), EUCAP expanded from the French Serval Sahel (4), the EUTM in Mali (12), and operation in Mali, to the Sahel-wide the Spain-led GAR-SI Sahel project.11 Barkhane operation, and the G5 Sahel Between 2017 and 2019, Italy also countries Joint Force (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger). State, 13 January 2020, https://www.diplomatie. In addition, bilateral and multilateral gouv.fr/en/french-foreign-policy/security- capacity development initiatives have disarmament-and-non-proliferation/news/ IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020 also been deployed by the EU.7 news-about-defence-and-security/article/g5- sahel-pau-summit-statement-by-the-heads-of- state-13-jan-2020. Despite such density of security actors, 9 Italian Ministry of Defence website: failure to adequately address deep Operazioni Internazionali in corso, http://www. fragility drivers risks undermining difesa.it/OperazioniMilitari/op_intern_corso/ Pagine/Operazioni_int.aspx. progress toward the ultimate objective 10 Versus Germany’s 346 and Romania’s 218 of peace and security. In this regard, troops. See UN Department of Peace Operations, the France-G5 Sahel Pau Summit8 Troop and Police Contributors: Contributions by Country and Mission, April 2020, https:// peacekeeping.un.org/sites/default/files/03_ 7 European Union Training Mission in Mali, country_and_mission_23_0.pdf. (EUTM Mali), European Union Training Mission 11 Rapid Action Groups-Monitoring and in Niger (EUTM Niger), European Union Intervention in the Sahel. See European Capacity Building Mission in the Sahel (EUCAP Commission website: EUTF- (GAR-SI SAHEL), Sahel). ht t p s://e c .e u rop a .e u /t r u s t f u nd for a f r ic a / 8 French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, G5 Sahel region/sahel-lake-chad/regional/gar-si-sahel- – Pau Summit – Statement by the Heads of groupes-daction-rapides-surveillance-et_en. 4
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? entered into bilateral agreements development support to defence with Burkina Faso, Niger and Chad, forces (such as the battlefield evidence contributing to the work of the G5 Sahel analysis assistance Italy is already coalition. A provider of development delivering in Burkina Faso), dovetailing aid in the region, Italian bilateral ODA to with ongoing efforts by Nordic partners Burkina Faso stands at over 4.9 million to improve confidence between local © 2020 IAI euro in 2018,12 against the 82 million US communities and the state. In this dollars of France.13 regard, by linking its participation in the French-led Takuba Special Operations With scope for deeper engagement Task Force in Liptako-Gourma14 to the and building upon established local development and delivery of ambitious partnerships and the experience from its comprehensive peacebuilding actions, ISSN 2532-6570 military assistance to Niger, Italy could Italy could strategically influence the contribute to articulate an innovative direction of European security and regional strategy that works across development assistance. the security and development nexus, promoting coherence between bilateral, As noted, innovative long-term EU and multilateral interventions. response strategies need to include Starting with Burkina Faso, given comprehensive peacebuilding its sources of resilience, including approaches addressing the root traditional peaceful interethnic relations causes of insecurity and violence, and strong civil society, Italy could pilot while promoting conflict-sensitive support to a decisive strategic response development focused on inclusive along the following engagement options. and accountable governance. With Africa increasingly essential for “glocal Firstly, as part of the bilateral political jihadists”,15 a systemic prevention dialogue, Italy could advocate for and approach across the HDP nexus support implementation of prevention remains crucial to lower the resonance and peacebuilding strategies, focused of radicalization messaging and limit on governance and human rights, exploitation of local tensions. With a IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020 particularly critical in the lead-up renewed engagement in the region, to the November 2020 presidential Italy has the potential to support a elections. Secondly, Italy could much-needed paradigm shift in the endeavour to strengthen policy global response to the crisis, addressing coherence of multilateral and regional complex insecurity roots in Burkina initiatives to improve security/military Faso and in the Sahel through a human accountability, including capacity security approach. 12 Italian Development Cooperation Agency, 20 May 2020 Open Aid: Burkina Faso, http://openaid.aics.gov. it/en/recipient-country/BF?year=2018. 14 13 “Coopération pour le développement: le A high threat density region across Mali, Burkina a reçu 828 milliards FCFA en 2018”, Burkina Faso, and Niger. 15 in L’Economiste du Faso, 30 December 2019, See for instance Jean-Luc Marret, “Al-Qaeda https://www.leconomistedufaso.bf/2019/12/30/ in Islamic Maghreb: A ‘Glocal’ Organization”, c o op e r at ion-p ou r-le - d e v e lopp e m e nt-le - in Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, Vol. 31, No. 6 burkina-a-recu-828-milliards-fcfa-en-2018. (2008), p. 541-552. 5
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI) The Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI) is a private, independent non-profit think tank, founded in 1965 on the initiative of Altiero Spinelli. IAI seeks to promote awareness of international politics and to contribute to the advancement of European integration and © 2020 IAI multilateral cooperation. Its focus embraces topics of strategic relevance such as European integration, security and defence, international economics and global governance, energy, climate and Italian foreign policy; as well as the dynamics of cooperation and conflict in key geographical regions such as the Mediterranean and Middle East, Asia, Eurasia, Africa and the Americas. IAI publishes an English-language quarterly (The International Spectator), an online webzine (Affarinternazionali), three book series (Global Politics and Security, Quaderni IAI and IAI Research Studies) and some papers’ series related to IAI research projects (Documenti IAI, IAI Papers, etc.). ISSN 2532-6570 Via Angelo Brunetti, 9 - I-00186 Rome, Italy T +39 06 3224360 F + 39 06 3224363 iai@iai.it www.iai.it Latest IAI COMMENTARIES Director: Andrea Dessì (a.dessi@iai.it) 20 | 38 Marco Davì, Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? 20 | 37 Ehud Eiran, The New Israeli Government: Preliminary Implications and Long-Term Effects 20 | 36 Luca Franza, Power Shifts and the Risk of a “Crisis Within the Crisis”: COVID, Oil and the MENA Region IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020 20 | 35 Gregory Brew, COVID-19 and the Oil Price Crash: Twin Crises Impacting Saudi-Iran Relations 20 | 34 Irene Caratelli, European Identity and the Test of COVID-19 20 | 33 Riccardo Alcaro, COVID-19 Exposes Italy’s Vulnerability to US- China Antagonism 20 | 32 Federico Alagna, From Sophia to Irini: EU Mediterranean Policies and the Urgency of “Doing Something” 20 | 31 Karim Mezran, Importing Instability? How External Influences Nurture the War in Libya 20 | 30 Giulia Cimini, COVID-19 and Tunisian Democracy: High Risks Ahead 20 | 29 Jean-Pierre Darnis, A COVID-19 Moment for Technological Sovereignty in Europe? 6
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