Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy? - Istituto Affari Internazionali

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Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis:
© 2020 IAI

                                          What Options for Italian Foreign Policy?

                                          by Marco Davì
ISSN 2532-6570

                                          Triggered by the 2012 collapse of the              supporters.
                                          Malian state, when the threat posed by
                                          an alliance of separatist and Islamist             From its origins, the Sahel crisis has
                                          militants to the country’s territorial             progressively morphed into a complex
                                          integrity prompted a French military               multidimensional emergency. It is
                                          intervention, insecurity and conflict              primarily characterized by the interplay
                                          have continued to spread across the                of     manipulated      intercommunal
                                          Sahel, crucially amplified by instability          tensions    over    resources,    socio-
                                          spill-overs from Libya and underpinned             economic exclusion and political
                                          by inherent fragility drivers.1                    marginalization, along with the erosion
                                                                                             of mutual trust between security
                                          Chronically porous borders enabled                 providers and local communities
                                          al-Qaeda-linked groups and the                     resulting     from     poorly-executed
                                          Islamic State in the Greater Sahara                counterterrorism     responses.    With
                                          (ISGS) to exploit local fragilities and            the deteriorating humanitarian and
                                          undermine socio-political systems                  security situation increasingly posing
IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020

                                          across the region, with radical ideology           a threat, European powers have been
                                          catalysing pre-existing grievances,                searching for comprehensive strategic
                                          generational divides and distrust in               responses to the combined challenge
                                          central governments and their Western              of jihadist violence, transnational
                                                                                             criminal networks and migration.
                                          1
                                            Notably, weak governance and state legitimacy,
                                          limited human development, vulnerability to
                                          climate change, ineffective community conflict
                                          resolution mechanisms.

                                          Marco Davì is a conflict and security consultant with the World Bank. A peacebuilding and
                                          stabilization expert, he was deployed as a Security Sector Reform Officer in Burkina Faso
                                          (UN Peacebuilding Fund Immediate Response Project), in the United Nations Organization
                                          Stabilization Mission in the DR Congo (MONUSCO) and in the United Nations Operation in
                                          Cote d’Ivoire (UNOCI). The views expressed in this article are personal and do not reflect
                                          official policy of the World Bank Group or of the United Nations.

                                      1
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy?

                                          Despite a limited footprint in Africa,2            Conflict dynamics have progressively
                                          Italy has also recently strengthened its           revealed the interconnected strategic
                                          engagements in the Sahel, including                objectives pursued by armed groups
                                          the 2019 high-profile visits of Prime              in Burkina Faso: target the presence
                                          Minister Giuseppe Conte to Niger and               of state institutions; trigger, catalyse
                                          Chad; that of former Defence Minister              and      exacerbate     intercommunal
© 2020 IAI

                                          Elisabetta Trenta in Niger; and the visit          tensions; polarize national politics; and
                                          by Deputy Foreign Affairs Minister                 weaken the legitimacy of the central
                                          Emanuela Del Re in Niger, Mali and                 government, including by eroding trust
                                          Burkina Faso.                                      in security forces and their handling of
                                                                                             the crisis.
                                          Against this backdrop, Burkina Faso3 has
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                                          experienced a continuous worsening                 In the politically delicate context
                                          of its domestic security environment.              stemming from the 2014 popular
                                          The country, until 2015 relatively                 uprising that ended the 27-year-
                                          untouched by regional developments,                old regime led by President Blaise
                                          has turned into a major Sahelian crisis            Compaoré and the failed 2015 coup, the
                                          hotspot and a link of insecurity to the            government’s militarized response to
                                          wider area of the Gulf of Guinea. A rapid          the crisis has achieved limited results.
                                          progression of kinetic events across its           It has been specifically challenged by
                                          territory, including multiple attacks              chronic capacity deficits to confront an
                                          in the capital, resulted in over 2,000             asymmetric threat with considerable
                                          casualties as of 2019.4 Violent attacks            operational resilience and by the lack of
                                          by militants linked to al-Qaeda (Ansar             a national security vision.
                                          Dine, Ansarul Islam) and the ISGS,
                                          initially concentrated in Burkina Faso’s           More worryingly, the military’s human
                                          Sahel region bordering Mali and Niger,             rights abuses have alienated local
                                          have steadily spread to other parts of             communities5 and played into the
                                          the country, targeting army bases,                 jihadist narrative, facilitating ideological
                                          police and gendarmerie posts, the local            penetration        and        opportunistic
IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020

                                          public administration and civilians.               exploitation of local grievances. Inter-
                                                                                             communal violence and the contentious
                                                                                             role of self-defence groups, now
                                                                                             promoted by the government to exercise
                                          2
                                                                                             basic security functions, increasingly
                                            Rome has 22 embassies in Africa, against the
                                          44 of France and the 39 of Germany.
                                                                                             threaten social and national cohesion,
                                          3
                                            One of the least-developed countries,            fuelling youth radicalization. Finally,
                                          ranking 182nd out of 189 in the 2019 Human         the progressive loss of control over
                                          Development Index.                                 national territory enables armed groups
                                          4
                                            José    Luengo-Cabrera,      “Burkina   Faso:    to control and distribute resources,
                                          Reported Fatalities”, Twitter post, 14 January
                                          2020,      https://twitter.com/j_luengocabrera/    demonstrating strength.
                                          status/1217215487974760448; Armed Conflict
                                          Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), Political
                                                                                             5
                                          Violence Skyrockets in the Sahel According           Human Rights Watch, Burkina Faso: Atrocities
                                          to Latest ACLED Data, 28 March 2019, https://      by Armed Islamists, Security Forces, 22 March
                                          acleddata.com/?p=14444.                            2019, https://www.hrw.org/node/328438.

                                      2
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy?

                                          Against    this   backdrop,    conflict             Conflict transformation problematizes
                                          diagnostics increasingly emphasize                  the status quo and calls for a
                                          an insurgency dimension in the                      renegotiation of the social contract,
                                          region, suggesting the need for a                   no easy task. In addition, the path
                                          paradigm shift beyond aggressive                    dependency inherent to current
                                          counterterrorism        that      risks             repressive   strategies,     undermines
© 2020 IAI

                                          undermining the social contract.                    commitments to conduct complex
                                          Given the complexity of the crisis, the             analyses required to adapt the military’s
                                          current Burkinabé security response                 operational posture. Finally, significant
                                          is facing considerable operational and              resource constraints limit the scope of
                                          strategic challenges, both in terms                 a strategic pivot towards population-
                                          of countering threats effectively and               centric security and conflict-sensitive
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                                          delivering population-centric security              development, due to dependency on
                                          to reduce risks of conflict extension.              external donors’ political agendas.
                                          This deficit specifically jeopardizes
                                          government-led and internationally-                 Nevertheless, Burkina Faso should
                                          supported       humanitarian       and              balance immediate security responses
                                          development efforts to reduce fragility             with a comprehensive peacebuilding
                                          and support the restoration of state                strategy,    under     strong   national
                                          presence (Programme d’urgence Sahel,                leadership to defuse the jihadist
                                          EU-UN-World Bank Prevention and                     rhetoric of neo-colonial interference.
                                          Peacebuilding Assessment).6                         In addition, reforms to improve
                                                                                              security sector accountability and
                                          Crucially, what is needed is not “less              rebuild trust with the population should
                                          security and more development”,                     be accelerated, by placing security
                                          but a radically different approach                  sector reform (SSR) at the core of a
                                          that places human security at                       national HDP strategy that prioritizes
                                          the core of peacebuilding and                       a restoration of public administration
                                          conflict     transformation   strategies            presence to improve the welfare of local
                                          to comprehensively tackle drivers                   populations.
IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020

                                          of violence and fragility. Pursuing
                                          such a paradigm shift across the                    Critical improvements in Burkina
                                          humanitarian-development-peace                      Faso’s     operational     effectiveness
                                          (HDP)     nexus     obviously   remains             and human security outcomes are
                                          politically challenging.                            contingent on sustained progress of
                                                                                              SSR measures embarked upon by the
                                                                                              first democratically-elected civilian
                                                                                              government      since    independence.
                                          6
                                            Burkina Faso Government, Programme                While SSR efforts aim to improve
                                          d’urgence pour le Sahel au Burkina Faso (PUS-       civilian control of the armed forces,
                                          BF): le Conseil d’orientation stratégique (COS) a
                                          tenu sa deuxième session, 30 September 2019,        accountability,    effectiveness    and
                                          https://www.sig.bf/?p=19034; Christian Lara         governance, the uneasy relationship
                                          and Gabriel Delsol, Sustaining Peace in Burkina     between the government and the
                                          Faso: Responding to an Emerging Crisis, New
                                          York, International Peace Institute, May 2020,
                                                                                              military, given the history of military
                                          https://www.ipinst.org/?p=28555.                    coups and the worsening security

                                      3
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy?

                                          emergency, have complicated                an    signalled the inception of a strategic
                                          already delicate reform trajectory.              shift, including enhanced security
                                                                                           cooperation     between     G5   Sahel
                                          These reforms, however, are not                  countries and France, European
                                          only     important      for   democratic         support mobilization, strengthening
                                          consolidation, but key to address the            the Alliance Sahel development aid and
© 2020 IAI

                                          spread of violent extremism. Civil-              advancing the Partnership for Stability
                                          military relations, accountability and           and Security in the Sahel (P3S).
                                          oversight of the security sector remain
                                          top priorities to execute responsible            This changing strategic landscape,
                                          counterterrorism interventions and               along with a phase-out of US military
                                          deliver inclusive security. In particular,       assistance in the region, is ushering
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                                          rebuilding mutual trust between                  in opportunities for Italian foreign
                                          security forces and the population is            policy to shape international support
                                          critical to effectively counter a hybrid         in the Sahel, building on its ongoing
                                          threat through collaborative early-              engagements in the area, and
                                          warning and improve human security,              particularly in Libya and Niger.
                                          thus strengthening state legitimacy.
                                                                                           Italy already contributes to multilateral
                                          National-level efforts can only succeed          security efforts9 through the UN
                                          if ongoing regional initiatives are              Multidimensional Integrated Stabiliza-
                                          strategically aligned. Since 2013,               tion Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) (7
                                          international intervention in the region         elements),10 EUCAP Niger (2), EUCAP
                                          expanded from the French Serval                  Sahel (4), the EUTM in Mali (12), and
                                          operation in Mali, to the Sahel-wide             the Spain-led GAR-SI Sahel project.11
                                          Barkhane operation, and the G5 Sahel             Between 2017 and 2019, Italy also
                                          countries Joint Force (Burkina Faso,
                                          Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger).
                                                                                           State, 13 January 2020, https://www.diplomatie.
                                          In addition, bilateral and multilateral          gouv.fr/en/french-foreign-policy/security-
                                          capacity development initiatives have            disarmament-and-non-proliferation/news/
IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020

                                          also been deployed by the EU.7                   news-about-defence-and-security/article/g5-
                                                                                           sahel-pau-summit-statement-by-the-heads-of-
                                                                                           state-13-jan-2020.
                                          Despite such density of security actors,         9
                                                                                              Italian     Ministry       of     Defence        website:
                                          failure to adequately address deep               Operazioni Internazionali in corso, http://www.
                                          fragility drivers risks undermining              difesa.it/OperazioniMilitari/op_intern_corso/
                                                                                           Pagine/Operazioni_int.aspx.
                                          progress toward the ultimate objective           10
                                                                                               Versus Germany’s 346 and Romania’s 218
                                          of peace and security. In this regard,           troops. See UN Department of Peace Operations,
                                          the France-G5 Sahel Pau Summit8                  Troop and Police Contributors: Contributions
                                                                                           by Country and Mission, April 2020, https://
                                                                                           peacekeeping.un.org/sites/default/files/03_
                                          7
                                            European Union Training Mission in Mali,       country_and_mission_23_0.pdf.
                                          (EUTM Mali), European Union Training Mission     11
                                                                                               Rapid      Action      Groups-Monitoring                and
                                          in Niger (EUTM Niger), European Union            Intervention in the Sahel. See European
                                          Capacity Building Mission in the Sahel (EUCAP    Commission website: EUTF- (GAR-SI SAHEL),
                                          Sahel).                                          ht t p s://e c .e u rop a .e u /t r u s t f u nd for a f r ic a /
                                          8
                                            French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, G5 Sahel   region/sahel-lake-chad/regional/gar-si-sahel-
                                          – Pau Summit – Statement by the Heads of         groupes-daction-rapides-surveillance-et_en.

                                      4
Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy?

                                          entered into bilateral agreements                          development support to defence
                                          with Burkina Faso, Niger and Chad,                         forces (such as the battlefield evidence
                                          contributing to the work of the G5 Sahel                   analysis assistance Italy is already
                                          coalition. A provider of development                       delivering in Burkina Faso), dovetailing
                                          aid in the region, Italian bilateral ODA to                with ongoing efforts by Nordic partners
                                          Burkina Faso stands at over 4.9 million                    to improve confidence between local
© 2020 IAI

                                          euro in 2018,12 against the 82 million US                  communities and the state. In this
                                          dollars of France.13                                       regard, by linking its participation in the
                                                                                                     French-led Takuba Special Operations
                                          With scope for deeper engagement                           Task Force in Liptako-Gourma14 to the
                                          and building upon established local                        development and delivery of ambitious
                                          partnerships and the experience from its                   comprehensive peacebuilding actions,
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                                          military assistance to Niger, Italy could                  Italy could strategically influence the
                                          contribute to articulate an innovative                     direction of European security and
                                          regional strategy that works across                        development assistance.
                                          the security and development nexus,
                                          promoting coherence between bilateral,                     As    noted,    innovative      long-term
                                          EU and multilateral interventions.                         response strategies need to include
                                          Starting with Burkina Faso, given                          comprehensive             peacebuilding
                                          its sources of resilience, including                       approaches     addressing      the    root
                                          traditional peaceful interethnic relations                 causes of insecurity and violence,
                                          and strong civil society, Italy could pilot                while promoting conflict-sensitive
                                          support to a decisive strategic response                   development focused on inclusive
                                          along the following engagement options.                    and accountable governance. With
                                                                                                     Africa increasingly essential for “glocal
                                          Firstly, as part of the bilateral political                jihadists”,15 a systemic prevention
                                          dialogue, Italy could advocate for and                     approach across the HDP nexus
                                          support implementation of prevention                       remains crucial to lower the resonance
                                          and peacebuilding strategies, focused                      of radicalization messaging and limit
                                          on governance and human rights,                            exploitation of local tensions. With a
IAI COMMENTARIES 20 | 38 - MAY 2020

                                          particularly critical in the lead-up                       renewed engagement in the region,
                                          to the November 2020 presidential                          Italy has the potential to support a
                                          elections.    Secondly,     Italy   could                  much-needed paradigm shift in the
                                          endeavour       to   strengthen     policy                 global response to the crisis, addressing
                                          coherence of multilateral and regional                     complex insecurity roots in Burkina
                                          initiatives to improve security/military                   Faso and in the Sahel through a human
                                          accountability,     including     capacity                 security approach.
                                          12
                                             Italian Development Cooperation Agency,                                                   20 May 2020
                                          Open Aid: Burkina Faso, http://openaid.aics.gov.
                                          it/en/recipient-country/BF?year=2018.
                                                                                                     14
                                          13
                                             “Coopération pour le développement: le                     A high threat density region across Mali,
                                          Burkina a reçu 828 milliards FCFA en 2018”,                Burkina Faso, and Niger.
                                                                                                     15
                                          in L’Economiste du Faso, 30 December 2019,                    See for instance Jean-Luc Marret, “Al-Qaeda
                                          https://www.leconomistedufaso.bf/2019/12/30/               in Islamic Maghreb: A ‘Glocal’ Organization”,
                                          c o op e r at ion-p ou r-le - d e v e lopp e m e nt-le -   in Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, Vol. 31, No. 6
                                          burkina-a-recu-828-milliards-fcfa-en-2018.                 (2008), p. 541-552.

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Burkina Faso and the Sahel Crisis: What Options for Italian Foreign Policy?

                                          Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI)
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