One WASH Sukuk Concept note, May 2019 - International Federation of Red Cross and ...
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1. Introduction Islamic Finance together with the Humanitarian and Development Sector The problem provides a shared foundation for social and economic justice that can contribute to shared prosperity through the principles of inclusive participation and risk sharing, and achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The Islamic Development Bank (IsDB) and the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent National Societies (IFRC) have signed an MOU to work 2.3 billion together to develop a new and innovative approach between development People still lack even a basic finance, humanitarian aid and private capital to support the Red Cross Red sanitation service Crescent WASH programes and contribute towards achieving the SDGs. As a priority the IsDB and the IFRC are working towards the ambitious objective of contributing to the reduction of Cholera related deaths by 90% in the most 844 million affected OIC Member Countries, over the next 10 years. This objective also People still lack a basic contributes to SDG’s 3 and 6 and aligns with the Global Task Force for Cholera drinking water service Control (GTFCC) ‘Cholera Roadmap’. The funds required for delivering on SDG 6 and 3 and the roadmap will require innovative and transformative forms of financing beyond traditional humanitarian aid or development finance responses. 159 million People still collect drinking To achieve this vision, IsDB and IFRC are creating an end-to-end partnership water from unprotected that shall enable them to leverage and create an incremental value of sources traditional resources to deliver the integrated ONE WASH programs on the ground. Primarily, the model is an alternate to traditional grant financing and seeks to raise up to USD150Million globally for One WASH from blended financing sources, presenting an investment model that would position both organizations ahead of the innovative financing curve and remedy the overall perspectives that humanitarian and development organizations have as it relates to resource mobilisation approaches. The impact Economic Environmental Humanitarian Lack of adequate sanitation Greater risks of epidemics 289,000 children die and water supply costs and political crises every year from diarrhoeal $260 billion every year in diseases caused by poor economic losses WASH One WASH objective #ENDCHOLERA related deaths by 90% in the most affected OIC member countries, by 2030 p.2
2. One WASH Programme The Red Cross Red Crescent’s Global Water and Sanitation Initiative (GWSI) pro- motes a common but adaptable approach amongst National Red Cross Red Crescent Societies to establish large-scale, long-term sustainable water and WASH and Cholera sanitation programmes. It aims to continue its efforts in scaling up equitable, sustainable and affordable access to water and sanitation services for all and thus contributing towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Every 10 seconds, someone Having reached over 16 million people between 2005 and plan to reach a min- is infected with cholera imum of 30 million by 2030. Over the past ten years, the IFRC and its members have significantly scaled-up There are 95,000 prevent- delivery of longer-term water and sanitation programmes, providing equitable, able deaths from cholera affordable and sustainable solutions to help improve the health and quality of every year life of vulnerable communities. GWSI supports the design and implementation of a common integrated ap- Bringing WASH and public proach, anchored on participatory and sustainable interventions. It aims to im- health together to prove access to safe water and adequate sanitation, as well as supporting the fight cholera application of good hygiene practices and community water management. All GWSI projects meet the following criteria: • promote equity: target vulnerable communities with significantly low water and sanitation coverage IFRC Global Water • sustainable technology: use appropriate, affordable and sustainable tech- and Sanitation nology options Footprint • projects at scale: promote large, longer-term projects to achieve economies of scale and lower the cost-per-person 36 million • community engagement: leverage community participation and invest in People reached with WASH health and hygiene promotion infrastructure and services since 2005 • impact: support greater, more measurable impact and clearly defined impact indicators • gender: take gender issues in the planning and implementation process Sustainable Development • alignment and integration: align with government water and sanitation pol- icies, ensure integration between WASH and Public Health components Goals contribution • environment: ensure that technical options are environmentally sound. Recognising the continued threat, incidence and severity of cholera in over 40 countries worldwide (many of which are already benefiting from GWSI pro- gramming) and the fact that RC/RC regularly and often recurrently responds to cholera outbreaks in the same countries and ‘hotspots’ every year or so, the decision to use GWSI as a platform for further cholera reduction or elimination was taken in 2017. This led to the formation of One WASH as a GWSI based in- itiative to address cholera in ‘at risk’ countries combining WASH programming with Public Health components. This also aligns with The Global Task Force for Cholera Control (GTFCC hosted by WHO) launch of the Cholera Roadmap which was developed and launched in 2017 with IFRC participation and has been adopted formally by many key humanitarian actors and donors with a target to reduce cholera mortality by 90% by 2030, this by a combination of investment in WASH and public health interventions especially in recognised cholera ‘hotspots’. p.3
One WASH Reaching 5 million people in Getting a return on Phase 1 in the next 5 years investment – every $1 spent expanding to 10 million or gives a return of $4.30 in more by 2030. developmental impact. Improving population productivity, reducing drudgery, restoring dignity (especially for women and children). Why Innovative Finance? Globally there has been remarkable economic and social progress in the past two decades. This pros¬perity, however, is unevenly distributed and the next tranche of gains are threatened by persistent development challenges exacer- bated by prolonged crisis, climate change and rising inequality. The relative im- portance of drivers of economic growth and prosper¬ity has evolved over time, and, for a growing number of countries, innovation in its many dimensions is emerging as a leading factor. Governments’ ability to strategically mobilize various sources of financing for social purposes remains underutilized even though many around the world are dealing with fiscal crises and rolling back many essential services. Coupled with the increasing reality of declining ODA, UN estimates suggest that developing countries will need more than $2.5 trillion a year to fill the SDG financing gap. Compare this to private capital sources alone amounting to more than $200 Trillion and it is clear that the vast majority of funds to achieve the SDGs must come from non-government sources. Much has been written about the urgent need for new sources and forms of finance for development as a complement to ongoing public financing efforts. True enough, of recent times, we are finding the emergence of several new financing models, growing both in terms of their market size, their operations and the way they serve those in developing countries, as a new alternative. This is one such model ushering in a new form of development that seeks to unlock private capital and help further leverage public funding to mobilize var- ious new sources of investment, while at the same time realigning interests of various partners and creating new investment opportunities. While the model is focused on achieving WASH targets, it is designed to be scalable for any form of public policy, social services and development goals. p.4
3. One WASH fund The centre piece of the ONE WASH partnership is the ONE WASH Fund (“the Fund”). The Fund shall be financial and governance vehicle pooling resources and overseeing the implementation of the ONE WASH program. Traditional Type of Donations The Fund shall be primarily capitalized with donor’s/funder’s commitments, fol- lowing two types of modalities captured in the Donor Contribution Agreement: Donors, and Outcome Funder . For the IFRC Internal Donors (Partner National Societies), a separate project agreement could be signed. As the Fund is not fully capitalized upfront WASH Impact Sukuk (“The Sukuk”) Donor will be issued in amount of up to US$150 million with the objective to secure the complete pre-funding of the WASH program. The Sukuk shall be issued in select international capital markets. The Islamic Solidarity Fund for Development (ISFD) will provide a partial guar- antee facility mechanism (The ISFD Guarantee) to enable and facilitate the issu- ance of the Sukuk. The Sukuk will pay an expected return on a yearly basis. The Implementing Agency Fund will have a lifespan of [10-12] years and the Sukuk will be redeemable by the Fund starting [from year 8] as the Fund receives released donations from the Outcome Funders. IsDB will act as a trustee for the fund, providing the relevant trustee servic- At risk communities es vis-à-vis the donors, including financial management, operational oversight and progress reporting. IFRC will carry out the primary operational activities by delivering the WASH program. New Type of Donations Fund Diagram Donors Outcome ISFD Guarantee Donor Commitments Buyers One WASH Fund IsDB Financer Implementing Agency pays back the Financer Trustee and Sukuk Manager IFRC At risk communities WASH Projects Implementation p.5
4. Wash Impact Sukuk What is the value proposition? The Fund will seek to mobilize resources, principally on For the donor commercial basis from the international capital markets. The instrument allows for greater leverage of donor fi- The mechanism for Sukuk issuance is described in this sec- nancing by crowding in private capital and enabling impact tion. at scale which would not be possible in a normal donor fi- nancing cycle. While there remain questions on the merits 1. Donors capitalize the fund with a mix of upfront and of blended finance for donors based on existing evidence, outcome based commitments. it also clearly indicates that if anything, there is a case for why this needs to happen but with fair caution and dili- 2. ISFD provide a partial financial guarantee covering some gence. This instrument makes fair consideration of the of the risks involved in the implementation of the WASH points such as helping invest in the riskiest parts of the program. capital structure of the investment in the poorest coun- tries (LICs), where the private sector is unlikely to invest 3. The Fund, issues Sukuk backed by the Fund’s assets (i.e on its own. And ensuring that initial donor contributions Donors commitments and ISFD Guarantee). These Sukuk are used for project preparation and robust research to pay a periodic return. enable project development. 4. Social Investors acquire Sukuk and the proceeds are For the outcome buyer paid to the ONE WASH Fund The instrument provides an opportunity for government donors, philanthropists and philanthropic foundations 5. The Fund makes disbursements to IFRC which imple- to ensure 100% returns on the social impact intended ments the projects. through their philanthropic capital with zero risk since commitments made are realised only on the outcomes 6. In case, some outcomes are fully or partially missed and achieved. hence some donor payments are forfeited, the Fund will first use its reserve capital. As a second line of defense, in It seeks to balance the current practice that while philan- case of a shortfall of funds of the Fund to meet its commit- thropic individuals make 5%-20% returns on their invest- ments, ISFD will avail its guarantee facility. ment capital, they get a minus 100% returns of their grant making. 7. Outputs and outcomes are assessed by an independent body on behalf of ONE WASH Fund or on behalf of the out- For the investor come buyers, according to a pre-agreed schedule. This model offers a risk and return match to the investor where they do not absorb any project risk but only credit 8. Outcome buyers make disbursements to the Fund fol- risk of philanthropic capital commitments. It is particularly lowing output/outcomes delivery. attractive for a mixed class of investors who seek not only a financial return but also social impact for their invest- 9. Fund repays Sukuk holders. ment. Structure Diagram There is still a significant way to go before we arrive at the goal of a mature, liquid market that allows investors of all types to select investment opportunities based on a ro- bust data set showing the risk, return and impact of each ISFD Guarantee opportunity and allowing them to dial up or down all three Donors Facility elements independently to align with their investment or impact goals. 6 2 1 8 7 One WASH 5 IFRC Fund (WASH operations) 3 9 4 Sukuk Holders p.6
5. Operations One WASH Projects following established best practice in Developmental and Sustainable WASH Programming will follow the Operational Norms as follows, however with some country specific considerations according to context. Time periods mentioned are indicative: • Initial consultation with Government and other actors and stakeholders and in agreement with them identify target areas for One WASH Programming in any given country. This based upon secondary data in the first instance. Once target areas identified that are considered ‘at high risk’ from cholera/AWD or are recognised as cholera/AWD ‘hot spots’. Secondary data will not only provide data on incidence severity and occurrence of cholera/AWD but also on WASH coverage and access to Primary Health Care. (2-3 months) • Needs assessments undertaken in selected target areas to identify poten- tial required investment and refine detailed project plan of action, time scale and budget. At this time other surveys may be undertaken (e.g. environmental impact study; ‘willingness to pay’ survey; KAP survey; stakeholder analysis). An in-depth base line should be carried out if required. (2-3 months) • Final detailed proposal and budget approved by all stakeholders and pro- ject inception date agreed upon. (1 month) • Project inceptions/set-up varying according to context. During this period staff, volunteers and project team established and first ‘software’ teams mo- bilised and become active. Local office, logistics and procurement established. (6 months) • Primary Project Implementation Period (during which regular finance and narrative reporting undertaken (every 6 months); Mid-term review; end-line re- view. Regular steering group and stakeholder meetings undertaken. Combined ‘software’ and ‘hardware – infrastructure works’ delivered and the Operation, Maintenance and management structures and capacities. Quality assurance mechanisms. (3 to 5 years) • Project wind-up and final handover and plans for post-implementation M & E framework agreed upon. At a later point full ‘Look-Back’ Study. (2-3 years) Stakeholders will always be encouraged to join field missions, reviews and eval- uations. Training opportunities generated by the project will not be restricted to the target population or Red Cross and Red Crescent staff but other stake- holders especially Government counterparts. p.7
6. Outputs and Outcomes Summary: Note KPI’s are linked to Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6 and the Global Task Force for Cholera Control (GTFCC) ‘Cholera Roadmap’. By 2030, achieve universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all Proportion of population using safely managed drinking water and sanitation services Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 KPI#1: Proportion of men, 0% 0% 15% 40% 70% 80% women and children in the target population having access to and using safely managed drinking water and sanitation services. Baseline KPI#2: Similarly, having benefited from public Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 health interventions in 0% 15% 40% 70% 80% 100% cholera and AWD surveil- lance, awareness, oral rehydration, use of OCV, hygiene promotion and preparedness and re- sponse capacity for chol- Baseline era and AWD outbreaks. Reduction of cholera and AWD related morbidity and mortality. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 8 KPI#3: Reduction in chol- era and AWD outbreak In- X% 70% cidence, severity and scale in the target area within 3 years of One WASH pro- ject completion. (Baseline measured over a period of Baseline five years prior to project completion). KPI #4: Reduction in chol- era and AWD deaths (re- Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 8 corded and verified offi- cially) in the target area X% 90% less within three years of One WASH project completion (Baseline measured over a period of five years prior Baseline to project completion). p.8
7. Next Steps PHILANTHROPIC IMPACT INVESTOR ROADSHOW TARGET SUKUK EXECUTION AND Donors and outcome buyers. Closer engagement and dialogue. OFFERING Abu Dhabi, London, and Kuala Lumpur Commercial and capital markets 4th Quarter 2019 - 1st Quarter 2020 1st Half of 2019 2nd half 2019 8. Country Start up plans 2019-2021 One WASH Sukuk Proposed Country Project Start-ups 2019: Country Indicative Target Start Date Completion Concept Note Project Value Population Date Available Yemen 2,000,000 100,000 6/2019 6/2022 Yes Uganda 6,400,000 440,000 6/2019 6/2023 Yes Somalia 5,500,000 75,000 6/2019 12/2023 Yes Mozambique 6,500,000 150,000 6/2019 12/2023 Yes Totals 20,400,000 765,000 One WASH Sukuk Proposed Country Project Start-ups 2020: Country Indicative Target Start Date Completion Concept Note Project Value Population Date Available Iraq 1,000,000 50,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Djibouti 2,250,000 50,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Bangladesh 10,000,000 400,000 6/2020 6/2024 Yes Sudan 4,500,000 100,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Nigeria 5,000,000 110,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Cote D’Ivoire 9,400,000 450,000 6/2020 6/2024 Yes Cameroon 5,400,000 120,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Togo 2,250,000 50,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Guinea Bissau 5,850,000 130,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Jordan 4,000,000 150,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Syria 4,000,000 150,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Gambia 6,300,000 140,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Afghanistan 4,000,000 150,000 6/2020 6/2024 TBC Totals 63,950,000 2,050,000 p.9
One WASH Sukuk Proposed Country Project Start-ups 2021: Country Indicative Target Start Date Completion Concept Note Project Value Population Date Available Egypt 5,000,000 125,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Indonesia 3,000,000 200,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Senegal 5,400,000 120,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Mali 2,700,000 60,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Morocco 3,500,000 50,000 6/2021 6/2025 Yes Chad 6,000,000 123,000 6/2021 6/2025 Yes Pakistan 2,000,000 100,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Gabon 4,050,000 90,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Burkina Faso 4,500,000 100,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Niger 4,500,000 100,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Libya 4,000,000 150,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Algeria 4,000,000 150,000 6/2021 6/2025 TBC Totals 48,650,000 1,368,000 One WASH Sukuk Proposed Country Project Start-ups 2022: Country Indicative Target Start Date Completion Concept Note Project Value Population Date Available Kazakhstan 4,000,000 150,000 6/2022 6/2026 TBC Sierra Leone 3,150,000 70,000 6/2022 6/2026 Yes Azerbaijan 4,000,000 150,000 6/2022 6/2026 TBC Tajikistan 4,000,000 150,000 6/2022 6/2026 TBC Benin 3,600,000 80,000 6/2022 6/2026 TBC Mauritania 4,000,000 150,000 6/2022 6/2026 TBC Guinea 5,850,000 135,000 6/2022 6/2026 TBC Totals 28,600,000 885,000 Partners With support from p.10
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