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BREXIT BRIEF BRIEF BREXIT Brexit Brief Issue 62: 16 April 2019 Introduction The Brief seeks to provide up-to-date information on the progress and content of the UK-EU negotiations, and bring together relevant statements and policy positions from key players in Ireland, the UK and EU. The Brief is part of a wider communications programme covering the work of the IIEA’s UK Project Group – including commentaries, speeches, texts and event reports – which are highlighted on the Institute’s website. (www.iiea.com) Section One: State of Play not live up to this obligation, Brexit will take place on 1 June 2019. Extension of Article 50 Period The Conclusions reiterated that “there can be no reopening On 10 April 2019, the European Council agreed to grant of the Withdrawal Agreement.” It was also stated that the United Kingdom a flexible extension of the Article 50 an extension could not be used to start negotiations on period until 31 October 2019. the future relationship. The Political Declaration on the Framework for the Future Relationship, however, could be The European Council conclusions commit to grant the reconsidered should the position of the UK evolve. UK Prime Minister’s request for an extension to allow time for the ratification of the Withdrawal Agreement by President Tusk commented on the outcome of the the UK Parliament. The extension will last “only as long Council as necessary and, in any event, not longer than 31 October 2019.” The ‘flexible’ extension allows the withdrawal to take Following the European Council meeting, President Tusk place on the first day of the month following ratification by commented on the outcomes of the Summit. He discussed both parties. the extension and said that “during this time, the course of action will be entirely in the UK’s hands.” He said The Conclusions also stated that if the UK has not ratified that if the UK ratified the Withdrawal Agreement, the the Withdrawal Agreement by 23-26 May, 2019, they must extension would be terminated, and that the UK “can also hold elections to the European Parliament. If the UK does reconsider the whole Brexit strategy” which might “lead BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019 to changes in the Political Declaration, but not in the Taoiseach Varadkar comment Withdrawal Agreement”. He also noted that the UK still The Taoiseach appealed to the UK to use the Brexit extension has the possibility of revoking Article 50. He concluded by granted at the EU leaders summit on Wednesday to ratify urging the UK to continue its “sincere cooperation as a full the Withdrawal Agreement governing its departure from Member State […] as a close friend and trusted ally in the the European Union, arguing that “negotiations on other future” and not to “waste this time.” issues such as the future relationship between the UK and the EU, a free trade agreement and a security partnership Prime Minister May addressed a Press Conference following the Council meeting; should have been the subject of months of negotiations at this stage but those negotiations couldn’t start because of Following the meeting, Prime Minister Theresa May gave the absence of a Withdrawal Agreement”. a press conference in which she outlined the scope of the extension, in particular saying that if the UK Parliament Prime Minister May reported to the House of Commons, passed the deal in the first three weeks of May it would 11 April 2019 not have to take part in European Parliament elections and The Prime Minister reported to the House of Commons would leave the EU on 1 June 2019. She concluded by on the outcome of the special European Council meeting remarking on the frustration in the UK surrounding the in Brussels on 10 April. She outlined the sequence of events need for an extension, commenting: “I sincerely regret the leading to the extension being granted, highlighting that fact that I have not yet been able to persuade Parliament she “requested that any extension should be terminable”, to approve a deal which would allow the UK to leave in order to ensure that the UK need not take part in in a smooth and orderly way.” She said that talks would European Parliament elections. She emphasised again that continue to take place between the Government and the the date of departure from the EU remained “a decision Opposition Party to find a way forward. for the House.” She highlighted other conclusions from the meeting, including the scope for revisions to the Political President Macron comment Declaration: President Macron, who had resisted the proposal of a Crucially, Mr Speaker, any agreement on the future longer extension, also commented on the outcome of the relationship may involve a number of additions and Summit. He emphasised that it was essential that “nothing clarifications to the Political Declaration. So I am jeopardises the European project” and expressed anxiety pleased that at this Council, all 27 Member States that the subject of Brexit might block the “European responded to my update on the ongoing cross-party talks by agreeing that - “the European Council is Renaissance”: prepared to reconsider the Political Declaration “We have decided to extend until October 31st. on the future relationship in accordance with the Why? To ensure that when the next European positions and principles stated in its guidelines and Commission takes office, we will have dealt with statements.” it. What is essential: that nothing jeopardises the Prime Minister’s Letter to President Tusk, 5 April 2019 European project. We have a European Renaissance to lead, I believe very deeply and I do not want the The decision to extend Article 50 was taken following subject of Brexit to block us on this point. During these 34 months we managed to stay together. This the Prime Minister’s letter on 5 April 2019, requesting an union is important.” extension until 30 June 2019, and proposing that if the Withdrawal Agreement were to be ratified before this date, the extension could be terminated earlier. She emphasised As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019 that “the Government will want to agree a timetable for Conservative – Labour Party Negotiations Underway ratification that allows the United Kingdom to withdraw Speaking in the House of Commons on 2 April, the Prime from the European Union before 23 May 2019 and therefore Minister, following further negative votes in the House, cancel the European Parliament elections, but will continue announced that she was offering to “sit down with the to make responsible preparations to hold the elections should Leader of the Opposition and to try to agree a plan.” She this not prove possible.” warned, however, that any new plan for Brexit would need to agree the current Withdrawal Agreement, and focus Developments in UK Parliament instead on the future relationship with the EU. On 1 April, in a series of indicative votes, the House of Commons failed to agree on an alternative to the Prime The two leaders met on the following day, 3 April, with Minister’s Brexit deal. The House voted down six separate an exchange of basic positions but no breakthrough. The proposals ranging from a full Customs Union to possible Prime Minister stated the familiar Government approach Revocation of Article 50. Ken Clarke’s proposal to keep the while Jeremy Corbyn set out the party’s views on a customs UK in a Customs Union was defeated by 276 votes to 273. union. It was agreed that the parties would nominate When Nick Boles’ proposal of a Norway-style deal was voted negotiating teams who would get down to the detailed down by 282 to 261, he announced his resignation from the work. The Tory team is headed by Minister for the Cabinet Tory party. A proposal for a second referendum lost by 292 Office, David Lidington, with Sir Keir Starmer, Shadow votes to 280. Brexit Secretary, leading for Labour. On 4 April, the House of Commons voted by a majority The negotiating teams have been meeting on a regular of one – 313 to 312 – to approve a draft Bill, proposed by basis but initial reports indicated a lack of progress. The the Labour Party MP Yvette Cooper. The European Union Labour team point to a reluctance on the other side to (Withdrawal) (No.5) Bill was designed to force the Prime make any significant changes to the established position. Minister to ask the European Union for an extension to the Labour wants to see a willingness to abandon red lines in Article 50 process and gave Parliament the power to decide order to reach a deal and, in particular, to see movement on the length of this delay. The Bill was sent to the House of the issue of a customs union. David Lidington has insisted Lords for urgent consideration. A number of amendments that there is “more that unites than divides” the two sides were adopted by the Lords which returned the text to the and argues that “we share the objective of ensuring we Commons where it was passed by a significant majority and deliver the benefits of a customs union […] we want to given Royal Assent on 8 April. keep our product standards aligned […] the key difference is we believe it is important that the UK has control of its The Government then introduced a Motion under the own trade policy.” Technical discussions are continuing provisions of the new Act which was passed by the House of through high level working groups on services, consumer Commons by 420 votes to 110. This stated that “this House and workers’ rights, security and environmental protection, agrees for the purposes of section 1 of the European Union involving senior ministers and their Labour shadows. (Withdrawal) Act 2019 to the Prime Minister seeking an extension of the period specified in Article 50(3) of the Treaty Serious issues for Labour remain on three key questions: on European Union to a period ending on 30 June 2019.” whether a new Tory leader would honour anything agreed at the current talks; whether parliamentary votes might be held to deal with any impasse; and, the controversy surrounding a second referendum. For both sides there is As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019 concern about the pace of the talks, with the Tories hoping Section Two: The Evolving Debate for an agreement before the end of May that could would avoid taking part in the scheduled European elections. Irish Government Preparations Campaign The Labour Party Leader has been warned by the party’s The Government’s Brexit Communications Programme MEPs, led by Richard Corbett, and other key figures that has continued with the statement that “addressing the the party risks losing the support of many anti-Brexit challenges of a no deal Brexit takes place at a number of voters, notably younger pro-EU voters, if it does not make levels and requires responses at the EU level, responses clear its backing for a second referendum. by Government, responses by citizens, and responses by businesses and affected sectors.” A series of eleven sectoral Taoiseach Consults on Brexit information and advice papers have been published in recent weeks. The Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, undertook a programme of intensive activity in preparation for the special European Business Concerns Council meeting with a number of key figures. On 2 April he flew to Paris to meet President Macron at the Elysee The AIB Brexit Sentiment Index, conducted by IPSOS Palace, where the President spoke of the “seriousness and MRBI has found that nearly half of businesses in Ireland determination” with which he would tackle the Brussels say the threat of Brexit is having a negative impact on their meeting. Two days later he welcomed Chancellor Merkel business. The research found that just two-thirds of firms to Dublin where she met a group of people from Northern in Ireland have begun planning for Brexit. 46% of all firms Ireland and the border region to hear their reflections on are aware of a negative impact as the result of the possibility the impact of a no-deal Brexit on their livelihoods and of Brexit taking place, with 53% of small firms with plans communities. The Chancellor said that Germany will stand for investment in their business saying that they were with Ireland “every step of the way.” reviewing, postponing or cancelling these plans. The Irish Exporters’ Association has indicated that small businesses On 8 April, the Chief EU Brexit Negotiator, Michel have not taken the necessary steps to prepare for Brexit Barnier, visited Dublin for detailed conversations on the because they are “time poor” believing that a deal will be Council debate on the UK request for extension. Barnier done which will buy them more time. commented that the backstop “is the only solution to maintain the status quo on the island of Ireland.” UK Staff Stand Down On 9 April, the Taoiseach spoke by phone to Prime Minister Following the Article 50 extension, the UK government Theresa May, repeating his openness to an extension. He has stood down an ‘army’ of 6,000 civil servants who has also spoke to the Prime Ministers of the Netherlands, been tasked with preparing for a no-deal Brexit. Their Luxembourg and Malta. Speaking to Dáil Éireann on 9 deployment had involved an estimated cost of £1.5 billion. April, in advance of the special European Council meeting The civil servants who had been seconded from several the Taoiseach said that “from Ireland’s perspective, three government departments and organisations will return to things are crucial: any decision must be based on a coherent their normal occupations but there is no clarity about the and realisable plan; any extension must not be used to try position of as many as 4,500 new recruits. Overall, more to re-open the Withdrawal Agreement; and the talks in than 16,000 civil servants have been working on Brexit. London must focus on the shape of the future relationship.” As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019 Public Opinion in UK HM Government Prime Minister’s Letter to President Donald Tusk, 5 April 2019. www.gov.uk/government/ Opinion polls in the UK show a major decline in support publications/prime-ministers-letter-to-president-tusk-5- for the Conservative Party over the past few weeks and a april-2019 significant rise in support for anti-EU parties. The Tories have fallen by 6% to 29% support with Labour up to Government of Ireland Statement by Taoiseach Leo 36% and Ukip up to 11%. Prospects for the European Varadkar in advance of the Special European Council Parliament election, if it takes place in the UK indicate 29% (Art.50) www.merrionstreet.ie/News-Room/News/ for Labour; 26 % for the pro-Remain parties; a combined Statement_by_Taoiseach_Leo_Varadkar_in_advance_of_ 25% for Ukip and the Brexit Party; and only 17% for the the_Special_European_Council-Art_50 Conservatives. President Donald Tusk Invitation Letter to the members Section Three: Background Material and Further of the European Council (Art.50) ahead of their special Reading meeting on 10 April 2019. www.consilium.europa.eu/ en/press/press-releases/2019/04/09/invitation-letter-by- Background Material president-donald-tusk-to-the-members-of-the-european- HM Government Prime Minister’s Statement to the council House of Commons, 11 April 2019. www.gov.uk/ government/speeches/pm-statement-on-european-council- HM Government Prime Minister’s meeting with 11-april-2019 President Macron: 9 April 2019. www.gov.uk/ governmrent/news/pm-meeting-with-president-macron- European Council Conclusions: Special meeting of the 9-april-2019 European Council (Art.50) 10 April 2019. www.consilium. europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2019/04/10/european- HM Government Prime Minister’s meeting with council-art-50-conclusions-10-april-2019 Chancellor Angela Merkel: 9 April 2019. www.gov.uk/ government/news/pm-meeting-with-chancellor-angela- European Council Decision taken in agreement with merkel-9-april-2019 the United Kingdom extending the period under Article 50(3) TEU www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press- HM Government Prime Minister Theresa May’s words releases/2019/04/10/20190410-european-council- on the current Brexit negotiations, 6 April 2019. www. decision-on-extension gov.uk/government/speeches/pms-words-on-brexit- negotiations-6-april-2019 President Donald Tusk Remarks after the special meeting of the European Council (Art.50) on 10 April 2019. www. HM Government Prime Minister’s statement on Brexit: consilium.europ.eu/en/press/press-releases/2019/04/10/ 2 April 2019. www.gov.uk/government/speeches/pm- remarks-by-president-donald-tusk-after-the-special- statement-on-brexit-2-april-2019 meeting-of-the-european-council-on-10-april-2019 BBC Brexit: UK and EU agree delay to 31 October. HM Government Prime Minister’s statement at BBC, 11 April 2019. www.bbc.com/news/uk- the European Council: 11 April 2019. www.gov.uk/ politics-47889404 government/speeches/pm-statement-at-the-european- council-11-april-2019 As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019 RTE Brexit extension agreed, Tusk warns ‘don’t Financial Times May inflames Tory civil war b opening waste this time’. RTE, 11 April 2019. www.rte.ie/ door to softer Brexit. FT, 3 April 2019. www.ft.com/ news/2019/0411/1041964-brexit_extension_agreed content/f42336c4-556b-11e9-91f9-b6515a54c5b1 The Guardian Macron enrages EU leaders after opposing Financial Times A long Brexit pause makes sense for long Brexit extension. Guardian, 11 April 2019. www. the EU and the UK. FT, 10 April 2019. www.ft.com/ theguardian.com/world/2019/apr/11/macron-enrages- content/7e26958e-5abf-11e9-939a-341f5ada9d40 eu-leaders-after-opposing-long-brexit-extension BBC Brexit: May to meet Corbyn to tackle deadlock. Financial Times Brexit pressures expose cracks in Franco- BBC, 3 April 2019. www.bbc.com/news/uk- German relationship. FT, 12 April 2019. www.ft.com/ politics-47796377 content/78f8f660-5c45-11e9-9dde-7aedca0a081a Peter Mandelson A customs union would not solve The Telegraph Theresa May has humiliated herself and the Brexit conundrum. Guardian, 1 April 2019. www. our nation by begging Brussels for more time on Brexit theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/apr/01/customs- – it will haunt her Telegraph, 11 April 2019. www. union-brexit-conundrum-no-deal-eu-peter-mandelson telegraph.co/uk/politics/2019/04/11/theresa-may-has- humiliated-nation-begging-brussels-time-brexit The Telegraph Alastair Campbell. The weak, incompetent Tories are catapulting Jeremy Corbyn to power. Telegraph, Philip Stephens Britain can now change its mind 3 April 2019. www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/04/03/ about Brexit. FT, 12 April 2019. www.ft.com/content/ weak-incompetent-tories-have-surrendered-fate-brexit- c68a235e-5ba5-11e9-939a-341f5ada9d40 jeremy The Guardian UK stands down 6,000 no-deal Brexit Financial Times Brexit alternatives again fall short as staff- after spending £1.5 billion. Guardian, 12 April tempers flare in parliament. FT, 2 April 2019. www.ft.com/ 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/11/uk- content/65b03d46-54c7-11e9-a3db-1fe89bedc16e stands-down-6000-no-deal-staff-after-spending-15bn BBC Brexit: MPs back delay bill by one vote. BBC, 4 The Observer Lidington insists deal with Labour over April 2019. www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47809717 Brexit is still a real prospect. Observer, 14 April 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/ap/14/lidington- Financial Times Parliament passes bill to force Theresa tories-labour-deal-more-unites-than-divides-us May to seek Brexit delay. FT, 4 April 2019. www.ft.com/ content/a4c5b54-5636-11e9-a3db-1fe89bedc16e Financial Times Cross party Brexit talks strengthen case for an extension. FT, 8 April 2019. www.ft.com/ Politico Brexit-distracted Tories lose voter trust on core content/4e252d4c-579e-11e9-a3db-1fe89bedc16e issues: poll, 10 April 2019. www.politico.eu/article/poll- brexit-distracted-tories-lose-vote-trust-on-core-issues The Guardian How cross-party Brexit talks left both sides frustrated. Guardian, 7 April 2019. www.theguardian. Financial Times Macron ponders his de Gaulle com/politics/2019/apr/07/how-cross-party-talks-left- moment with Brexit. FT 8 April 2019. www.ft.com/ both-sides-frustrated-labour-tories content/23d71a04-5916-11e9-9dde-7aedca0a081a As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019 European Commission Statement by President Juncker Government advice for companies buying goods from the on the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European UK Union at the European Parliament’s plenary session, Government advice for those in the construction & Brussels, 3 April 2019. www.europa.eu/rapid/press- building trade release_SPEECH-19-1970_en.htm Government advice for residents in Ireland with UK Driving Licences The Guardian Brexit: Corbyn told to back new EU Government advice for companies who may be storing referendum or lose millions of supporters. Guardian, 13 personal data in the UK or in a UK based cloud service April 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/13/ Government advice for those driving Irish-registered corbyn-told-back-eu-referendum-or-lose-millions-voters- vehicles in Northern Ireland and Great Britain brexit Government information and advice to consumers in relation to healthcare and medical products Politico Trump slams ‘brutal’ EU’s Brexit approach. Politico, 13 April 2019. www.politico.eu/article/donald- Government of Ireland Taoiseach speaks with UK Prime trump-slams-brutal-eu-brexit-approach Minister, Theresa May, 8 April 2019. www.gov.ie/en/ news/055597-taoiseach-speaks-with-uk-prime-minister- The Guardian Theresa May unplugged: new, laid back theresa-may-8-april-2019 PM speaks from the sofa. Guardian, 8 April 2019. www. Irish Times DUP preparing to contest European theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/08/theresa-may- elections. IT, 11 April 2019. www.irihtimes.com/ unplugged-new-laid-back-pm-speaks-from-the-sofa news/politics/dup-preparing-to-contest-european- Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) The elections-1.3856901 Impact of Brexit on EU Council Voting. PISM Bulletin Irish Times Leo Varadkar to meet Michel Barnier in April 2019. http://www.pism.pl/publications/bulletin/ Dublin ahead of EU leaders’ summit. IT, 8 April 2019. no-39-1285 www.rte.ie/news/2019/0408/1041274-barnier-visiting- Financial Times Britain and EU wrestle with Boris dublin Johnson question. FT, 10 April 2019. www.ft.com/ Irish Times Brexit: In a high-stakes game, nobody wants content/683d5212-5ad3-11e9-9dde-7aedca0a081a to take the blame for a no-deal crash. IT, 7 April 2019. Getting Ireland Brexit Ready: www.pcdbrexitmailbox@ www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/brexit-in-a-high- dfa.ie stakes-game-nobody-wants-to-take-the-blame-for-a-no- deal-crash-1.3852293 Series of Government Brexit Updates: Government advice for traders of animals and animal RTE Ireland will support UK request for short products extension- Coveney. RTE, 3 April 2019. www.rte.ie/ Government advice for traders of plants and plant news/world/2019/0403/1040317-brexit_euro_reax products Government advice for traders of food and food products Patrick Smyth No deal was avoided this week, but it has Government advice for companies with their own not gone away. IT, 12 April 2019/ www.irishtimes.com/ transport who may be bringing goods through Irish ports news/world/europe/no-deal-was-avoided-this-week-but- Government Information for people buying online from it-has-not-gone-away-1.3857703 the UK As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 062 | APRIL 2019 Elysee Meeting with Leo Varadkar, Prime Minister of Ireland, 2 April 2019. www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2019/04/02/ rencontre-avec-leo-varadkar-premier-ministre-irlande Fintan O’Toole: Brexit makes the Irish State look better than it is. IT, 2 April 2019. www.irishtimes.com/opinion/ fintan-o-toole-brexit-makes-the-irish-state-look-better-than- it-is-1.3845946 Irish Times UK immigration rules ‘deny’ NI-born Irish citizens access to EU rights. IT, 2 April 2019. www.irishtimes. com/news/ireland/irish-news/uk-immigration-rules-deny-ni- born-irish-citizens-access-to-eu-rights-1.3846117 Simon Carswell Small businesses too ‘time poor’ to prepare for Brexit – industry group. IT, 10 April 2019. www.irishtimes. com/news/ireland/irish-news/small-businesses-too-time- poor-to-prepare-for-brexit-industry-group-1.3850002 RTE Foster focuses on backstop concerns in Barnier meeting. RTE, 12 April 2019. www.rte.ie/news/ brexit/2019/0411/1042149-foster-barnier-meeting RTE Brexit threat having negative impact on Irish businesses –survey. RTE, 10 April 2019. www.rte.ie/ news/2019/0410/1041739-brexit-sentiment-index The Telegraph Sajid Javid’s plan for digital border to do away with Irish backstop blocked by Treasury. Telegraph, 13 April 2019. www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/04/12/revealed- sajid-javid-plan-digital-border-do-away-irish-backstop Brigid Laffan The UK is discovering it is a cold place outside the room. IT, 13 April 2019. www.irishtimes.com/ opinion/the-uk-is-discovering-it-is-a-cold-place-outside-the- room-1.3858595 Further Reading Van Middelaar, Luuk Alarums & Excursions. Agenda Publishing As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
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