Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
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Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) and E. Andrews, T. Berg, J. F. Burkhart, A. M. Fjæraa, C. Forster, A. Herber, S. Hoch, Ø. Hov, D. Kowal, C. Lunder, T. Mefford, W. W. McMillan, J. A. Ogren, S. Oltmans, S. Sharma, M. Shiobara, D. Simpson, S. Solberg, N. Spichtinger, K. Stebel, R. Stone, J. Ström, R. Treffeisen, K. Tørseth, K. Virkkunen, C. Wehrli, and K. E. Yttri
Some current science problems regarding Arctic air pollution Aerosol radiative forcing Aerosol direct radiative forcing is different from any other place • large solar zenith angles • pronounced haze layers • high surface albedo (snow, ice, stratus cloud decks) lead to multiple scattering/reflection between haze layers and the surface and enhance the relevance of light absorption Aerosol indirect radiative forcing could be positive in the Arctic • no solar radiation in winter • Arctic clouds so thin that they are greybodies in the longwave, making them susceptible to aerosol effects in the longwave (thermal radiation) Thus, positive forcing, opposed to the shortwave effects
Some current science problems regarding Arctic air pollution Albedo effects Black carbon important light absorber in the atmosphere, but also when deposited on the ground, as it reduces the albedo of snow/ice surfaces. The efficacy of this effect is about twice as large as that of CO2, thus leading to pronounced effects on the surface temperatures and sea ice melting.
Some current science problems regarding Arctic air pollution Uncertain sources of Arctic air pollution One study (Koch and Hansen, 2005) suggests South Asia as the main source of Black Carbon, another (Stohl, 2006) rejects this hypothesis – quite heavily debated just recently in a workshop on Arctic climate forcing. Stohl (2006) suggests a ”new” source of Black Carbon to be dominant in summer: biomass burning (esp. boreal forest fires) Pyro-convection can inject aerosols into the high-latitude stratosphere
Some current science problems regarding Arctic air pollution Ozone depletion events In springtime, ozone can disappear almost completely at surface stations ”Bromine clouds” responsible, but unclear where the bromine originates
Satellites and models have problems in the Arctic Satellites • No data from geostationary satellites • No light in winter – no observations in the shortwave • Large solar zenith angles in summer – still problems • High albedo of snow and ice – aerosol optical depth unreliable Models • Highly stable atmosphere – thin layers that cannot be resolved • Many global models use a latitude/longitude grid – singularity at the pole, which may lead to incorrect transport in large parts of the Arctic
Stohl (2006): J. Geophys. Res. 111, D11306, doi:10.1029/2005JD006888. December, the darkest month - lowest 100 m Inte rcon of the atmosphere tine ntal tran s port
Time spent continuously north of 70°N - Lowest 100 m of the troposphere July January Note the different scales!!!
Stohl (2006): Characteristics of atmospheric transport into the Arctic troposphere. J. Geophys. Res. 111, D11306, doi:10.1029/2005JD006888. Average age of air north of 80°N
Continental BC contributions in dependence of time from a FLEXPART tracer model simulation – no chemistry, no removal, only transport using BC emission inventory from T. Bond Lower troposphere Total column
Continental BC contributions in dependence of time BC inventories from T. Bond and D. Lavoue (boreal fires) Lower troposphere Total column
Pan-Arctic enhancements of light absorbing aerosol concentrations due to North American boreal forest fires during summer 2004 Stohl et al. (2006): JGR, 111, D22214, doi:10.1029/2006JD007216. • 2004 was the most severe burning season in Alaska Pyro-Cb • Strong fires also in western Damoah et al. (2006): Canada Atmos. Chem. Phys. 6, 173-185. • > 5 million hectare burned
FLEXPART Tracer Simulation: Total CO column 90°N Alert 80°N Barrow
Comparison model / satellite image 5. July 2004 FLEXPART Total Column MODIS satellite image Alert Barrow
Barrow, Alaska • Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) measurements (symbols) and FLEXPART CO column (line) ”normal” value • EBC measurements Source analysis (black line) and FLEXPART CO tracer at the surface (colors give the ”age” since emission)
Barrow, Alaska Source analysis using a FLEXPART backward calculation Emission sensitivity Barrow
Summit, Greenland • Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) measurements (symbols) and FLEXPART ”normal” value CO column (line) • EBC measurements (black line) and FLEXPART CO tracer at the surface (colors give the ”age” since emission)
Zeppelin, Spitsbergen • CO and EBC measurements from May til September ◀ CO ▶ Anomaly
Zeppelin, Spitsbergen • Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD)- measurements ”normal” (symbols) and value FLEXPART CO column (line) ◀ CO anomaly ▶ ◀ fog, rain ▶ • EBC measurements (black line) and FLEXPART CO tracer at the surface (colors give the ”age” since emission)
Effects on the albedo of snow Albedo at Summit, Greenland Snow drift Fresh snow
Arctic smoke – record high air pollution levels in the European Arctic due to agricultural fires in Eastern Europe Stohl et al. (2006): Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss. 6, 9655–9722. Fire detections in April/May 2006
Record warmth in the European Arctic Temperature at Ny Ålesund, Spitsbergen in April and May 2006 Warmth ”dismantles” the polar dome and creates effective pathway into the Arctic!
Transport of fire emissions into the European Arctic
Extreme pollution Picture courtesy: Ann-Christine Engvall
Extreme pollution At Zeppelin, new records were set for practically all measured compounds Ozone, aerosol optical depth (both measured for about 15 years!) Carbon monoxide, particulate matter, etc. Ozone formation was highly efficient!
Extreme pollution At Iceland, a new ozone record was set, 15 ppb higher than any previously measured value
Polluted snow at Holtedahlfonna observed by John Burkhart Snowmobile track ← Polluted snow Ion chromatographic analysis of snow samples confirms BB source.
POLARCAT Polar Study using Aircraft, Remote Sensing, Surface Measurements and Models, of Climate, Chemistry, Aerosols, and Transport http://www.nilu.no/polarcat Contact me: AST@NILU.NO
How? When? Where? Major Campaigns 1. March/April 2007: 2 aircraft based in Longyearbyen, Svalbard 2. February-May 2008: Approximately 5 aircraft, based at various locations throughout the Arctic, plus a ship cruise from North America to the Norwegian Sea 3. June-August 2008: Up to 10 aircraft based in Canada, Russia, Europe, Greenland, etc.; measurements with a railway carriage along the Transsiberian railroad Surface stations Zeppelin, Barrow, Summit, etc.: long-term monitoring, plus intensive campaigns Some of the POLARCAT Satellite data Retrievals will be made inplatforms near-real.... time for flight planning, and for post-mission analyses; algorithm validation and improvement Models A variety of chemistry-climate, chemistry-transport, and pure transport models will be used
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