Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)

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Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Andreas Stohl
      Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)

                                   and

E. Andrews, T. Berg, J. F. Burkhart, A. M. Fjæraa, C. Forster, A. Herber, S.
     Hoch, Ø. Hov, D. Kowal, C. Lunder, T. Mefford, W. W. McMillan, J. A.
     Ogren, S. Oltmans, S. Sharma, M. Shiobara, D. Simpson, S. Solberg,
        N. Spichtinger, K. Stebel, R. Stone, J. Ström, R. Treffeisen, K.
               Tørseth, K. Virkkunen, C. Wehrli, and K. E. Yttri
Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Some current science problems
regarding Arctic air pollution
Aerosol radiative forcing

Aerosol direct radiative forcing is different from any other place
•      large solar zenith angles
•      pronounced haze layers
•      high surface albedo (snow, ice, stratus cloud decks)
lead to multiple scattering/reflection between haze layers and
the surface and enhance the relevance of light absorption
Aerosol indirect radiative forcing could be positive in the Arctic
•     no solar radiation in winter
•     Arctic clouds so thin that they are greybodies in the
      longwave, making them susceptible to aerosol effects in
      the longwave (thermal radiation)
Thus, positive forcing, opposed to the shortwave effects
Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Some current science problems
regarding Arctic air pollution
Albedo effects

Black carbon important light absorber in the atmosphere, but
also when deposited on the ground, as it reduces the albedo of
snow/ice surfaces.

The efficacy of this effect is about twice as large as that of CO2,
thus leading to pronounced effects on the surface temperatures
and sea ice melting.
Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Some current science problems
regarding Arctic air pollution
Uncertain sources of Arctic air pollution

One study (Koch and Hansen, 2005) suggests South Asia as
the main source of Black Carbon, another (Stohl, 2006) rejects
this hypothesis – quite heavily debated just recently in a
workshop on Arctic climate forcing.

Stohl (2006) suggests a ”new” source of Black Carbon to be
dominant in summer: biomass burning (esp. boreal forest fires)

Pyro-convection can inject aerosols into the high-latitude
stratosphere
Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Some current science problems
regarding Arctic air pollution
Ozone depletion events

In springtime, ozone can disappear almost completely at
surface stations

”Bromine clouds” responsible, but unclear where the bromine
originates
Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Satellites and models have
       problems in the Arctic
Satellites

• No data from geostationary satellites
• No light in winter – no observations in the shortwave
• Large solar zenith angles in summer – still problems
• High albedo of snow and ice – aerosol optical depth
        unreliable
Models

• Highly stable atmosphere – thin layers that cannot be
       resolved
• Many global models use a latitude/longitude grid – singularity
       at the pole, which may lead to incorrect transport in large
       parts of the Arctic
Andreas Stohl Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
IASOA observatories
Stohl (2006): J. Geophys. Res. 111, D11306, doi:10.1029/2005JD006888.

                                                         December,
                                                         the darkest month

                                                         - lowest 100 m
        Inte
              rcon                                       of the atmosphere
                     tine
                          ntal
                                 tran
                                      s   port
Time spent continuously north of 70°N - Lowest 100 m of the
troposphere
           July                             January

                               Note the different scales!!!
Stohl (2006): Characteristics of atmospheric transport into the Arctic troposphere.
J. Geophys. Res. 111, D11306, doi:10.1029/2005JD006888.

                   Average age of air north of 80°N
Continental BC contributions in dependence of time from a
FLEXPART tracer model simulation
– no chemistry, no removal, only transport using BC
emission inventory from T. Bond
     Lower troposphere                   Total column
Continental BC contributions in dependence of time

BC inventories from T. Bond and D. Lavoue (boreal fires)

    Lower troposphere                   Total column
Pan-Arctic enhancements of light absorbing aerosol concentrations
   due to North American boreal forest fires during summer 2004
Stohl et al. (2006): JGR, 111, D22214,
doi:10.1029/2006JD007216.                •   2004 was the most severe burning
                                             season in Alaska
Pyro-Cb                                  •   Strong fires also in western
Damoah et al. (2006):
                                             Canada
Atmos. Chem. Phys. 6, 173-185.
                                         •   > 5 million hectare burned
FLEXPART Tracer Simulation:
      Total CO column

         90°N
                          Alert

         80°N
Barrow
Comparison model / satellite image
                        5. July 2004
FLEXPART Total Column                  MODIS satellite image
                             Alert

Barrow
Barrow, Alaska
•   Aerosol Optical
    Depth (AOD)
    measurements
    (symbols) and
    FLEXPART CO column
    (line)
                  ”normal” value

•   EBC measurements               Source analysis
    (black line) and
    FLEXPART CO tracer
    at the surface
    (colors give the
    ”age” since
    emission)
Barrow, Alaska
Source analysis
using a FLEXPART backward calculation

                 Emission sensitivity

                         Barrow
Summit, Greenland

•   Aerosol Optical
    Depth (AOD)
    measurements
    (symbols) and
    FLEXPART         ”normal” value
    CO column (line)

•   EBC measurements
    (black line) and
    FLEXPART CO tracer
    at the surface
    (colors give the
    ”age” since
    emission)
Zeppelin,
    Spitsbergen

•   CO and EBC
    measurements from May
    til September

                            ◀ CO ▶
                             Anomaly
Zeppelin,
    Spitsbergen
•   Aerosol Optical
    Depth (AOD)-
    measurements
                         ”normal”
    (symbols) and
                         value
    FLEXPART CO column
    (line)

                                    ◀ CO anomaly ▶
                                         ◀ fog, rain ▶

•   EBC measurements
    (black line) and
    FLEXPART CO tracer
    at the surface
    (colors give the
    ”age” since
    emission)
Effects on the albedo of snow
     Albedo at Summit, Greenland

                    Snow drift
                              Fresh snow
Arctic smoke – record high air pollution levels in
 the European Arctic due to agricultural fires in
                Eastern Europe
  Stohl et al. (2006): Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss. 6, 9655–9722.

                             Fire detections in April/May 2006
Record warmth in the European
           Arctic

                    Temperature at
                    Ny Ålesund,
                    Spitsbergen in
                    April and May
                    2006

                    Warmth
                    ”dismantles” the
                    polar dome and
                    creates effective
                    pathway into the
                    Arctic!
Transport of fire emissions into
      the European Arctic
Extreme pollution

     Picture courtesy: Ann-Christine Engvall
Extreme pollution
At Zeppelin, new records were set for practically all measured
compounds

Ozone, aerosol optical depth (both measured for about 15
years!)

Carbon monoxide,
particulate matter, etc.

Ozone formation
was highly efficient!
Extreme pollution
At Iceland, a new ozone record was set, 15 ppb higher than
any previously measured value
Polluted snow at Holtedahlfonna
  observed by John Burkhart

         Snowmobile track
       ←

 Polluted

  snow

                            Ion chromatographic analysis of
                            snow samples confirms BB source.
POLARCAT
        Polar Study using Aircraft, Remote Sensing, Surface
                  Measurements and Models, of
            Climate, Chemistry, Aerosols, and Transport
http://www.nilu.no/polarcat

Contact me: AST@NILU.NO
How? When? Where?
Major Campaigns
       1. March/April 2007: 2 aircraft based in Longyearbyen, Svalbard
       2. February-May 2008: Approximately 5 aircraft, based at various
          locations throughout the Arctic, plus a ship cruise from
          North America to the Norwegian Sea
       3. June-August 2008: Up to 10 aircraft based in Canada, Russia,
          Europe, Greenland, etc.; measurements with a railway carriage
          along the Transsiberian railroad
Surface stations
         Zeppelin, Barrow, Summit, etc.: long-term monitoring, plus intensive
         campaigns                 Some of the
                                   POLARCAT
Satellite data
         Retrievals will be made inplatforms
                                     near-real....
                                               time for flight planning, and
         for post-mission analyses; algorithm validation and improvement
Models
         A variety of chemistry-climate, chemistry-transport, and pure
         transport models will be used
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