9999-146 Avenue SE 160 acres RESIDENTIAL development land - CALGARY, ALBERTA - LoopNet
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SOUTH SHEPARD ASP DEVELOPMENT LAND LIST PRICE: $34,500,000 THE OPPORTUNITY Jones Lang LaSalle Real Estate Services, Inc. (“JLL”), through its Calgary office, is pleased to announce that it has listed for sale approximately 160 acres of residential development land, located in southeast Calgary. Located within the planned community of Hotchkiss, the subject property, as set forth in the South Shepard Area Structure Plan (the “ASP”), is to be developed into a future residential subdivision consistent in form and density with many of its currently built-out neighbours (e.g. Mahogany, Auburn Bay, and Copperfield). As one of Calgary’s dominant growth corridors, the southeast sector is largely built-out, with the remaining development capacity largely in the control of only a handful of developers. Adjacent to the Property two of Calgary’s premier developers (e.g. Hopewell Residential and Melcor Developments Ltd.) have already received development approval from The City of Calgary. Site servicing is expected to commence in the spring of 2020. A JLL Box Account has been set up to provide additional property and planning details. INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS • The ASP is in place and it secures the Property’s future as a residential development parcel; • The Growth Management Overlay has been lifted by The City to allow development of the adjacent lands by both Hopewell and Melcor, with Hopewell front-ending the majority of the infrastructure for the area; • The southeast sector is forecasted by The City of Calgary to secure 28% of residential demand (2018-2022); • With the majority of lands in the southeast already controlled by some of Calgary’s premiere developers, there are almost no other options available to acquire land for large scale residential development. • The land has been in continual agricultural use, has not had any industrial use since initial registration, and there are no known environmental liabilities. PROPERTY SUMMAR Y PROPERTY SITE LEGAL Land-Use COMMUNITY TOPOGRAPHY ADDRESS AREA Description Designation 9999 - 146 Ave SE 159.41 Acres 4;29;22;36;NE S-FUD Hotchkiss Generally Flat 2
SOUTH SHEPARD ASP DEVELOPMENT LAND LIST PRICE: $34,500,000 LOCATION HIGHLIGHTS The Property is located just to the east of Stoney Trail SE and north of Highway 22X. Being so close to the regional transportation network makes this Property well situated to access downtown, the airport and key regional facilities like the South Calgary Hospital, the Recreation Centre (Brookfield Residential YMCA at Seton) and the public library. In addition, the southeast sector is supported by many of Canada’s premiere grocers and retailers. 9999-146 Ave SE 25 MINS to 9 MINS to 29 MINS to Calgary Calgary, Alberta Downtown Calgary South Trail Crossing International Airport Wide variety of retail 13 MINS to Rapid transit access to Easy access to Stoney in close proximately Seton Seton and Auburn Bay Trail & Alberta 22X 4
2 AND SOUTH TRAIL CROSSING 100 Street SE IDGE SUBJECT PROPERTY 146 Avenue SE NEW BRIGHTON MCKENZIE TOWNE 104 Street SE COPPERFIELD 201 MCKENZIE TOWNE MAHOGANY MAHOGANY AUBURN BAY SETON Seton South Health Campus APARRAL Brookfield Residential YMCA at Seton SETON Seton Library Brookfield Residential YMCA at Seton Seton Library
SOUTH SHEPARD ASP DEVELOPMENT LAND LIST PRICE: $34,500,000 PLANNING OV E RVIEW SOUTH SHEPARD AREA STRUCTURE PLAN (ASP) • As the subject Property is located within this planning area, this 2013 approved plan is the Statutory policy plan that sets out the form of development to occur on all lands within the planning area, including the subject Property • The ASP directs that the form of development anticipated for the subject property is a typical “neighborhood area” con- sisting primarily of a mix of single family and low density multi-family development PLAN AREA ATTRIBUTES Source: City of Calgary, South Shepard Area Structure Plan 6
9999 - 146 AVENUE SE, CALGARY, ALBERTA OWNERSHIP PROFILE The Property is currently located beside parcels being developed by Hopewell Residential and Melcor. Hopewell Residential Residential 9
SOUTH SHEPARD ASP DEVELOPMENT LAND LIST PRICE: $34,500,000 LAND USE DESIGNATION • The Property is currently in the holding district of S-FUD (Special Purpose – Future Urban District) • This will require a change in the future in order to accommodate the range of residential uses contemplated within ASP • Any land use application will require a supporting Outline Plan that in turn will detail exactly how the subject Property and its adjoining lands are to be serviced – including what off- site municipal services must be constructed to accommo- date any development GROWTH MANAGEMENT OVERLAY • The City of Calgary, in 2018, removed the Growth Management Overlay for the adjacent lands (ie. South Shepard Bylaw 38P2017) • As a result, development of the lands to the west, which are owned by Hopewell Residential and development of the lands to the south, which are owned Melcor, can proceed • The City subsequently approved an Outline Plan and Land Use redesignation so to allow development of these lands to proceed • City administration was directed by City Council to explore the phasing out of the GMO. A report is due back to the Prior- ities and Finance Committee in 2020. Source: City of Calgary, South Shepard Area Structure Plan 38P2017 10
9999 - 146 AVENUE SE, CALGARY, ALBERTA ADJACENT DEVELOPMENT • While the Growth Management Overlay is still in place for the subject Property, development of the adjacent land is pro- ceeding • City Council report C2018-0881, provide the developers approval to commence development immediately • It is anticipated that development will commence spring of 2020 HOPEWELL RESIDENTIAL:PROPOSED OUTLINE PLAN OUTLINE PLAN MELCOR DEVELOPMENTS: OUTLINE PLAN SUBJECT PROPERTY 11
SOUTH SHEPARD ASP DEVELOPMENT LAND LIST PRICE: $34,500,000 SERVICING OVERVIEW The table below is from The City of Calgary’s “ Suburban Residential Growth 2019-2023 report. Source: City of Calgary, Suburban Residential Growth 2019-2023 12
9999 - 146 AVENUE SE, CALGARY, ALBERTA SERVICING OVERVIEW Map 15: Southeast sector vacant residential land supply by servicing status as of October 2017 The infrastructure shown on this map illustrates the requirements to service the entire Area Structure Plan. t EAST I R Legend GLENMORE TR SE W O Sector Boundary B Serviced (all leading City infrastructure in place) RIVERBEND (Fire, Transportation, Water, Sanitary, Storm Sewer) SECTION 23 Partially Serviced SOUTH FOOTHILLS (some leading infrastructure in place, but not all five) Needs Fire Needs Transportation 24 ST SE Needs Water Resources CITY LIMITS (water, sanitary or storm) Unserviced (no leading infrastructure in place) SHEPARD BARLOW T R SE INDUSTRIAL Subject To ASP Approval CP (Will Include Residential And RA Non Residential Uses) ILW AY Future Water Feedermain ! Future Storm Trunk DEER 114 AV SE FO D SE OT Future Sanitary Trunk TR SE EAST SHEPARD INDUSTRIAL ! Future Sanitary Lift Station DOUGLASDALE/ # Future Pressure Reduction GLENStation 52 ST SE " Future Reservoir B 68 ST SE STONEY TR SE O LANDFILL SOUTH SHEPARD ASP W ! Future Pump Station R I VE R SITE Future Skeletal Road Future Arterial Street Future Flyover " E ³ 13 0 AV SE L! Future Partial Interchange BO L! W ¬ Future Full Interchange BO TT " E Emergency Response Station O NEW M BRIGHTON TR Transportation Utility Corridor SE SOUTH F MCKENZIE MCKENZIE IS LAKE TOWNE COPPERFIELD H 52 C R ST S E E K E E TR S RNE F LO IS O R QU MA AUBURN BAY ARQUIS OF LORNE TR SE MAHOGANY CITY LIMITS BO W SE N BV RIV O SET ER RANGEVIEW CRANSTON ASP REMAINDER " E L! SETON T TR S E " E FO O ¬ ¬ 212 AV SE ER DE MA CL Pine Creek EO Wastewater IT S L IM D Treatment TY TR Plant I C SE W RIVER BO CITY LIMITS Source: City of Calgary, Suburban Residential Growth 2019-2023 Sector data findings and forecasts | Part 3 3-33 13
SOUTH SHEPARD ASP DEVELOPMENT LAND LIST PRICE: $34,500,000 SERVICING OVERVIEW NEW SUBURBAN AREAS GROWTH FORECASTS 2019-2023 Source: City of Calgary, Suburban Residential Growth 2019-2023 14
9999 - 146 AVENUE SE, CALGARY, ALBERTA MARKET DEMAND SUPPLY The Calgary Economic Region is estimated to grow by an average of 18,740 people per year. This represents an average annual growth rate of 1.2 per cent per year to 2022. Southeast sector summary: 2013‐2017 POPULATION The CER held a population of 1,563,000 in 2017 and is projected to increase by 93,700 people to 1,656,700 by 2022. Calgary’s This compares population forecasttoforthe previous 2022 fiveaccounting is 1,322,800 year, for 80 per cent of the region’s population, adding 76,700 people. where the Southeast sector attracted: Total population Figure 9: Total Population for Calgary (2008-2022) For Calgary (2008-2022) 33% 32% 1,350,000 of the total suburban of the suburban 1,322,800 31% population growth, of multi-residential units. 1,300,000 total units. for 34,606 people. 33% 1,250,000 1,246,337 of single/semi units. Forecast Population 1,200,000 Actual 1,150,000 1,100,000 11,146 units 5,915 units 5,231 units 1,050,000 1,000,000 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 Southeast sector forecasts: 2018-2022 Year Current estimates are that, Cityover theCivic of Calgary: next five Census, years Source: City of Calgary: Civic Census, Planning & Development, Calgary & Region Economic Outlook 2017-2026 Source: Planning & Development, SOUTHEAST SECTORCalgary SUMMARY: 2018-2022 & Region Economic Outlook 2017-2022 new suburban Current areas estimates are that,will overattract: the next five years the sector will attract: 27% 28% 28% of the total suburban of the total new of all the new population growth, housing units. multi-residential units for 18,479 people. 28% of new single/semi units 6,910 units 4,710 units 2,200 units 15
SOUTH SHEPARD ASP DEVELOPMENT LAND LIST PRICE: $34,500,000 FORECAST ESTIMATE Forecast estimate TOTAL UNITS of totalunits 2018-2022, 2018-2022, CITY OFand City of Calgary CALGARY AND NEW new suburban SUBURBAN AREA areas Year 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018-2022 Yearly Average City-Wide Forecast (Total Units) (see Table 9) 4,400 4,100 5,900 8,000 9,600 32,000 6,400 Total Units - Forecast Estimates for Growth into New Suburban Communities Average Historical Average Forecast Share Sector Share 2018-2022 5 year 3 year 2 year % Units % Units % Units % Units % Units % Units Hectares Acres NORTH 28% 26% 25% 28% 1,030 26% 900 26% 1,290 24% 1,440 24% 1,630 25% 6,290 278 687 NORTHEAST 21% 26% 30% 22% 830 23% 780 23% 1,140 23% 1,380 24% 1,590 23% 5,720 226 558 EAST 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0% 10 0% 20 1% 60 1% 80 1% 170 9 22 SOUTHEAST 32% 26% 27% 28% 1,030 28% 970 29% 1,434 28% 1,660 27% 1,810 28% 6,904 300 741 SOUTH 15% 19% 14% 18% 670 18% 610 18% 870 19% 1,110 19% 1,260 18% 4,520 189 467 WEST 4% 4% 4% 4% 140 5% 190 4% 200 4% 240 5% 370 5% 1,140 80 198 NORTHWEST 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0 0 TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 3,700 100% 3,460 100% 4,954 100% 5,890 100% 6,740 100% 24,744 1,082 2,673 Average number of total units and land needs to new suburban communities each year = 4,949 216 535 SHARE of city total units 60% 58% 57% 84% 84% 84% 74% 70% 77% of city wide total units NORTH Half of Calgary 48% 52% 55% 50% 1,860 49% 1,690 49% 2,450 49% 2,880 49% 3,300 49% 12,180 513 1,267 SOUTH Half of Calgary 52% 48% 45% 50% 1,840 51% 1,770 51% 2,504 51% 3,010 51% 3,440 51% 12,564 569 1,406 North Half of Calgary = North, Northeast, East, Northwest Sectors South Half of Calgary = Southeast, South and West Sectors Total units and land areas is based on a variety of developer anticipated units and/or densities from actual approved planned land supply using Tentative Plan and Outline Plan build out capacities and estimates of housing capacities from community plans or area structure plans. These capacities are from actual build out of these areas for each sector and reflect the five year 2017-2021 blue growth bands in the SRG report Map 5. The last five year average of total units going into the new suburbs has ranged between 54 and 67 per cent. Forecast over the next five year period uses 68 per cent with consideration of historical trends and expected projections. Note: the totals and shares shown are not intended to be targets for the City of Calgary. They represent likely growth given existing assumptions and conditions. Numbers may not add up due to rounding. Source: City of Calgary: Planning & Development, Calgary & Region Economic Outlook 2017-2026 16
OFFERING PROCESS The Property is being offered for sale with a List Price of $34,500,000. Offers will be considered on a first come, first serve basis. All inquiries regarding the Property should be directed to: JLL CAPITAL MARKETS KEN WESTHAVER RYAN MURPHY jll.ca I 403-456-2233 JLL Capital Markets, Calgary JLL Capital Markets, Calgary Bankers Hall East Land Services & Development Senior Sales Associate Suite 3900, Senior Vice President (403) 456-5582 855 – 2nd Street SW (403) 456-2209 RyanJ.Murphy@am.jll.com Calgary, AB T2P 4J8 Ken.Westhaver@am.jll.com DISCLAIMER © 2019 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. Information set out herein (the “Information”) has not been verified by Jones Lang LaSalle Real Estate Services, Inc., Brokerage and any and all of its real estate agents/staff, and to all other divisions of the company (collectively “JLL”). JLL does not represent, warrant or guarantee the accuracy, correctness and complete ness of the Information. Given the limitations of the investigations, inquiries and verification that JLL have undertaken, the reliability of this Information must be treated with a suitable degree of caution and neither JLL or any of their affiliates accept any liability or responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein and no reliance should be placed on the information contained in this document. JLL does not accept or assume any responsibility or liability, direct or consequential, for the Information or the recipient’s reliance upon the Information. The recipient of the Information should take such steps as the recipient may deem necessary to verify the Information prior to placing any reliance upon the Information. The Information may change and any property described in the Information may be withdrawn from the market at any time without notice or obligation to the recipient from JLL.
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