2021 Electric Vehicle Strategy - June 2021 - westernpower.co.uk - Western Power Distribution
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Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 westernpower.co.uk 2021 Electric Vehicle Strategy June 2021 1 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 Contents 1 Introduction........................................................................... 3 6 Plans to support Electric Vehicle Charging...................... 27 1.1 About the document..................................................... 3 6.1 WPD’S approach......................................................... 27 1.2 High Level Government Objectives for 6.2 Releasing existing network capacity........................... 27 Cars and Light Vans...................................................... 3 6.3 Motorway Services and Major Road Filling Stations.. 27 1.3 High Level Plans for HGVs............................................ 5 6.4 New Homes................................................................. 28 1.4 Original Equipment Manufacturers plans 6.5 Existing Homes........................................................... 28 for light BEVs................................................................. 7 6.6 On Street Charging..................................................... 29 1.5 WPDs approach to facilitate EV charging..................... 8 6.7 Depot Based Fleet Users............................................ 29 1.6 Flexibility and Charging................................................. 8 6.8 Workplace and Off Street Charging............................ 29 1.7 Existing Charge Points and Capacity............................ 8 6.9 Vehicle to X (V2H = vehicle to home & V2G = vehicle to grid).............................................. 30 2 Forecasting and Data........................................................... 9 6.10 Smart Charging........................................................... 31 2.1 Forecasting for the ED1 business plan (2015-2023)..... 9 6.11 EV clustering............................................................... 31 2.2 Developing Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES).......................................................... 9 7 Smart Solutions and Flexibility.......................................... 32 2.3 Electric Vehicle Growth Factors.................................. 11 7.1 WPD’s approach......................................................... 32 2.4 Investment allocated within ED1................................. 12 7.2 Domestic Flexibility..................................................... 32 2.5 Forecasting local growth and pinpointing upgrades... 12 7.3 Commercial Flexibility................................................. 32 2.6 Forecasting ED2 and informing specific ED1 plans.... 12 7.4 Whole System Flexibility............................................. 32 3 Planning and Capacity Availability.................................... 13 8 Projects to demonstrate EV connections......................... 33 3.1 WPDs expectation of EV charger installations............ 13 8.1 Developing a balanced portfolio of projects............... 33 3.2 Estimating Connection Cost and Timescales............. 14 8.2 Completed Projects.................................................... 33 3.3 Simplifying the application processes........................ 15 8.2.1 CABLED (2009)................................................ 33 3.4 Making use of existing local capacity......................... 15 8.2.2 V2G Taxi (2011)................................................ 33 3.5 Planning and Design Changes.................................... 16 8.2.3 Electric Boulevards (2014)............................... 33 3.6 Mitigation of local network constraints....................... 16 8.2.4 Smart Charging and Vehicle 3.7 Technical Changes related to Electric Vehicles........... 17 Telematics (2015)............................................. 34 3.7.1 Thermal Capacity............................................. 17 8.2.5 EV Emissions (2016)......................................... 34 3.7.2 Earthing............................................................ 17 8.2.6 Alternative Connections for 3.7.3 Power Quality................................................... 17 EV Charging (2017).......................................... 34 8.2.7 Electric Nation (2019)....................................... 34 4 Providing information to Customers................................. 18 8.2.8 IET Code of Practice Ed 4 (2019)..................... 34 4.1 Guidance and Advice Documents published.............. 18 8.2.9 LV Connect and Manage (2019)....................... 35 4.2 Guidance and Advice Documents planned................ 19 8.2.10 LCT Detection.................................................. 35 4.3 Capacity Indication for customers.............................. 19 8.2.11 Superfast Electricity – feasibility of 4.4 Connections Surgeries................................................ 19 three phase services (2019)............................. 35 8.3 Current Projects.......................................................... 36 5 Stakeholder Engagement.................................................. 20 8.3.1 Reinforcement Planning - Forecasting 5.1 WPDs Approach to Stakeholder Engagement............ 20 and Planning Interface Tool (2020)................... 36 5.2 Business Plan Strategic Stakeholder Engagement..... 20 8.3.2 Smart Homes – EVs and Storage (2020)......... 36 5.3 Strategic Engagement with local authorities............... 20 8.3.3 Self-Assessment.............................................. 36 5.4 Local Engagement with local authorities.................... 20 8.3.4 Hub Charging Solutions................................... 36 5.5 Engagement with EV Charge Point Operators............ 21 8.3.5 Electric Nation – Powered Up.......................... 36 5.6 Engagement for Fuel Station Operators..................... 21 8.3.6 Take Charge..................................................... 37 5.7 Engagement for housing design................................. 22 8.3.7 Dynamic Charging of Vehicles......................... 37 5.8 Engagement with Vehicle Manufacturers 8.3.8 DC Share.......................................................... 37 and Transport Operators............................................. 23 8.3.9 Prime EV.......................................................... 37 5.9 Engagement with Depot Based Fleet Operators........ 23 8.4 Future Projects............................................................ 38 5.10 Engagement with UK Government............................. 24 8.4.1 EV Filling Stations............................................ 38 5.11 Engagement with Welsh Government......................... 24 8.4.2 On Street Charging Solutions.......................... 38 5.12 Engagement with Go Ultra Low Cities (GULC)........... 24 5.13 Engagement with Local Enterprise 9. Targeted Commitments in 2021......................................... 39 Partnerships (LEPs)..................................................... 25 9.1 Realising benefits........................................................ 39 5.14 Stakeholder Engagement Completed in 2020............ 25 9.2 2021 – Eco Home Monitoring..................................... 39 5.15 Stakeholder Engagement Plans for 2021................... 26 9.3 2021 – Design capacity assumptions......................... 39 9.4 2021 – Public charging hub infrastructure.................. 39 2 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 1 Introduction 1.1 About the document This document sets out how Western Power Distribution will ensure the network exists so that drivers of electric vehicles are able to charge their vehicles in the manner convenient to them. It describes research, development and deployment activities carried out by WPD during the current and previous electricity distribution price control periods. It also explains the rationale behind current innovation projects and business initiatives. Further, it describes future activities including the transition of early-stage solutions into business as usual (BAU) practice. This document also documents WPDs vision for electric vehicle recharging solutions for a range of customer types. It provides detail on the roadmap to achieve this vision. Following the ENA/Ofgem Stakeholder Engagement events held in London and Glasgow during February 2019, WPD responded to Ofgem’s request to produce the first Electric Vehicle Charging Strategy document in March 2019, the 2019 document formed the basis for WPDs updated Electric Vehicle Charging Strategy for 2020. The 2021 version of WPDs Electric Vehicle Strategy document outlines the time-bound commitments and plans that WPD intend to address during 2021 to address the needs and issues of EV stakeholders. WPDs plans and preparations for each specific customer group are listed in Section 4 of this document and draw upon the stakeholder engagement that WPD has undertaken. In Section 6 of the document, WPD detail the time-bound short term commitments to accelerate readiness for the increasing uptake of EVs within the UK. 1.2 High Level Government Objectives for Cars and Light Vans Data taken from SMMT website clearly Thousands of cars registered for the first time - GB shows that the UK population is getting behind the UKs governments 1,600 Petrol de-carbonisation of transport, with the uptake of Electric Vehicles (EVs) 1,200 accelerating, the market share of Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) in March 2020 was 2.7%, one year on, and the market 800 Diesel share in March 2021 has more than doubled to 6.9% of all new vehicle sales. 400 This doubling of sales could well have been Alternative fuel brought about by a greater range of BEV vehicles for customers to choose from, the 0 increasing amounts of EV charge points now 2011 2014 2017 2020 available, or the government’s 0% Benefit In Kind for the tax year 2020/2021, or a combination of all those factors. Proportion of vehicles registered for the first time - GB The trend of BEV ownership trend is increasing, 9% as a company WPD noticed a big increase in applications for EV charger installations at the new registration period came into effect in 01 March 21. 6% Ultra Low Emission Vehicles (ULEVs) 3% Both graphs shown opposite are taken from DfT 0% Vehicle Licensing Statistics: Annual 2020. 2011 2014 2017 2020 3 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 1 Introduction 1.2 High Level Government Objectives for Cars and Light Vans The increasing trend of BEV ownership is being matched by Having said that there are still areas within the UK where EV the increasing number of EV charge points in the UK, in March charger locations are scarce. From Figure 5 shown below it can 2020 Zap Map reported there were 11,293 public charge points be seen that BEVs are now the majority in alternatively powered available, in March 2021 Zap Map reported there were 22,492 vehicles compared to the Plug in hybrid vehicles. This graph is installed across the UK. taken from the DfT Vehicle Licensing Statistics: Annual 2020. Kingdom, January 2020 to December 2020 Thousands of ULEVs registered for the first time - UK TESLA MODEL 3 22.3 BMW 3 SERIES 9.4 KIA NIRO 6.5 2.1 JAGUAR I-PACE 8.3 NISSAN LEAF 8.2 MERCEDES A CLASS 6.6 RENAULT ZOE 6.4 AUDI E-TRON 5.9 Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) MG ZS 5.6 Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) VOLKSWAGEN ID3 4.8 BMW I3 4.4 HYUNDAI KONA 4.2 VOLKSWAGEN GOLF 2.7 1.4 MITSUBISHI OUTLANDER 3.7 HYUNDAI IONIQ 2.7 0.9 VOLVO XC40 3.5 MINI COOPER 3.4 PORSCHE TAYCAN 3.1 MERCEDES EQC CLASS 3.1 VAUXHALL CORSA 2.9 Back in 2011 the Government set out its “The Carbon Plan” which In November 2020 the Government announced that “it will end the laid out the UK’s objectives to reduce carbon emissions, with an sale of all new conventional petrol, diesel cars and vans by 2030 80% reduction achieved by 20501. This reduction of CO2 levels and by 2035 all new cars and vans be fully zero emission from would be achieved through the decarbonisation of heating and the tail pipe”. transport and the actions UK PLC need to take to support this transition of vehicle power from fossil fuel sources to electricity. Alongside the UK government legislation the other drivers that are accelerating the adoption of EVs are in April 2019 the The Government set a target published in Driving the Future in European Parliament adopted regulation (EU) 2019/631 which 20152 to “ensure almost every car and van is a zero emission has introduced CO2 emission performance standards for new vehicle by 2050”3. In July 2018 the government published the passenger cars and for new vans for 2025 and 2030, these Road to Zero Strategy which set an aspiration for “at least 50%, regulations start applying in January 2020 and has replaced and and as many as 70%, of new car sales and up to 40% of new repealed the former regulations for cars and vans. This legislation light van sales being ultra-low emission by 2030”2. brings an “Excess emission premium for manufacturers failing to meet their emissions target of €95 for every gram/km of The requirements of all the previous legislation were further excess emissions per vehicle within the original equipment strengthened with targets to improve air quality and reduce manufacturers (OEM) portfolio”. This driver is forcing OEMs Nitrogen Dioxide levels by the then Prime Minister Theresa May, to introduce vehicles which lower their complete portfolio of who on 12 June 2019 announced the UK will eradicate its net vehicles below the 95gm/km threshold. contribution to climate change by 2050. This decision would amend the Climate Change Act 2008, which had committed to an Most mainstream car manufacturers now offer electric models, 80% decrease of greenhouse gases froma 1990 baseline, by 2050. at present in 2021 there are 124 models, according to the These targets will all support the transition to electric vehicles. April 2021 EV Database UK, of full battery electric vehicles available to buy or lease in the UK. The choice of electric vans is more limited compared to electric cars, currently there are about 33 models, according to Parkers Electric Van Guide in April 2021, of BEV vans, but both the numbers are increasing. 1 Page 3 of The Carbon Plan 2011: Delivering our low carbon future. HM Government. 2 Page 2 of Road to Zero 2018: Next steps towards cleaner road transport and delivering our industrial strategy 4 westernpower.co.uk 3 Page 4 of Driving the Future Today 2013: A strategy for ultra-low emission vehicles in the UK.
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 1 Introduction 1.3 High Level Plans for HGVs As the majority of HGVs purchased in the UK are made in the EU, the recent introduction of Regulation (EU) 2019/1242 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 20th June 2019 setting CO2 emission performance standards for new heavy-duty vehicles and amending Regulations (EC) No 595/2009 and (EU) 2018/956 of the European Parliament and of the Council and Council Directive 96/53/EC will impact the UK, therefore the UK needs to be proactive and start addressing this issue now. Ideally while Project Rapid is still in the design stage so that the Failure to meet these targets then the OEM will be hit with a fine requisite infrastructure e.g. underground circuits are being installed 60 times higher than for cars. on a dig once till 2050 basis. This work would dovetail neatly with the UKs global ambition to be a world leader in reducing CO2 The Chairman of the European Automobile Manufacturers emissions by 2050. Association (ACEA) has stated that to meet the 2025 and 2030 CO2 emission target in the truck segment, Europe and the UK This regulation requires CO2 emissions from heavy-duty vehicles need to install a massive charging infrastructure. such as trucks and buses to be reduced by 30%, by 2030, with an intermediate reduction target of 15%, by 2025, in addition by It is forecast that 17,000 publically accessible DC rapid chargers 2025, manufacturers will be required to ensure that at least a 2% specifically installed for trucks by 2025 and 90,000 by 2035, these market share of the sales of new HGV vehicles is made up of numbers do not include depot charging infrastructure which would zero-and-low-emission vehicles, to counteract steadily increasing be of the order of 20,000 and 200,000 respectively. ACEA are road traffic emissions, of which around one quarter is accountable expecting 200,000 battery electric trucks on European roads to heavy-duty vehicles. by 2030. Public and destination charging points (EU27 + UK) Currently available Needed by 2025 Needed by 2030 DC 500kW are not equipped to deliver lower-power at night or overnight parking is not possible *** These should allow upgrades to megawatt charging (MCS,>500kW) as soon as standard definition is available To meet these targets set on the HGV OEMs the CharIN Organisation have produced the Mega Watt Charging System (MCS) which is a charging connector developed for large battery electric vehicles. There will be a single conductive plug capable of 1500V and 3000A DC which would be located on the left side of the vehicle at hip height. It will be capable to provide bi-directional supplies. In September 2020 the MCS group carried out their first prototype testing at NERL’s facilities evaluating the fit, ergonomics, ease of connection and thermal performance of the connectors and inlets. It is likely this connection arrangement will extend to light electric aircraft and marine applications as they become available. 5 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 1 Introduction 1.3 High Level Plans for HGVs In order to enable long‐haul operations, high‐power National Trunk Road Network Heavy and High Routes charging stations with at least 350kW – but focussing on Motorway All purpose megawatt charging (MCS) Highways Agency Trunk Road S/cw D/cw above 500kW – needs to Non-Highways Agency A-Road D/cw be rolled‐out. Non-Highways Agency A-Road S/cw Non-Highways Agency B-Road The technical specifications Heavy Load Route of MCS are currently being EDINBURGH High Load Route defined but it needs to be Glasgow 12 Axles - 14 Axles - highlighted that the operation Berwick-upon-Tweed Classification Gross Trailer Weight Gross Trailer Weight of long‐haul battery electric A+ 406.04T 480.60T 98 A6 A1 A 325.12T 360.68T B 280.42T 315.98T trucks will require this level C 269.24T 304.80T A6 D 264.16T 299.72T 97 Alnwick E 259.08T 294.64T of high‐power charging. A6 8 A1 M25 F 223.52T 300,000kg on 12 Axles 259.08T A1068 Morpeth High Load Grid Routes:18' or 20' vehicle running height. A6 The revised Alternative Fuels 96 HR33 A1 A6 Dumfries 189 8 A Newcastle A74(M) Full details of the classification vehicle's configurations are 079 A19 Tynemouth Cairnryan upon Tyne A6 A7 A696 Infrastructure Directive (AFID) A74 A60 71 A69 Corbridge A69 A1 A184 South Shields available from the Highways Agency. Routes on this map Stranraer Hexham HR172 Larne 44 A689 86 A6 95 Gateshead A194(M) should not be taken as permission to move. The correct Carlisle A69 A6 notification process must still be followed 65 43 Washington Sunderland A689 64 should require at least one 42 63 92 A6 abnormal.loads@highways.gsi.gov.uk A68 A6 A6 90 91 A1 95 A6 A5 62 82 M6 Durham A1 Peterlee 81 A689 HR75 A1 90 86 high‐power charging station 61 08 A6 A6 A5 A1(M) 6 A59 94 Hartlepool HR56 BELFAST 1 41 A1 A19 77 A66 Penrith 40 89 60 A66 Workington HR170 A689 A6 A66 A6 8 A595 A66 Stockton- A5091 on-Tees 6 Keswick with a minimum of four HR32i A508 A6 88 59 Whitehaven Brough A6 Middlesbrough 0 80 kilometres Darlington 58 A174 A67 A66 A174 A595 A66 HR32c A591 39 HR32b A592 57 A171 A66(M) A66 56 0 50 miles charging points every A685 A19 Scotch A6 38 A167 Corner 72 A1 83 A1 71 A6 5 A68 A6 136 Route information is considered to be in A169 93 A5 HR148 A684 37 HR6 A684 100km by 2025, and at least A592 A684 A19 A5084 A595 M6 Scarborough development, last reviewed 1/7/2007 A1 A16 A170 68 A1 7 A683 A6 108 Thirsk 36 A5092 A65 Warrenpoint A5093 A590 HR6a A1039 A595 one site every 50km by Douglas A6 A168 A1 49 7 08 65 Barrow- A1 A687 A5 35 9 in- A1(M) Furness 83 48 A64 14 34 A6 A61 A6 To view this map with ‘Active Layers’ view in Adobe Acrobat A168 5 Lancaster 05 2030 on the Trans European A166 A6 York 37 Reader version 6 or later. 47 A65 A59 A5 9 A12 58 33 Harrogate A6A6 HiR20 61 58 4 A165 A629 Skipton HR131 Wetherby 88 A164 A6 A61 A61 A5 Fleetwood 34 A60 A6 A659 A659 To download the latest version of Adobe Acrobat Transport Network (TEN‐T) A6 82 68 A56 35 A1 M6 A64 HiR41 A58 A60 A10 Leeds 9 Keighley A19 A5 45 please click on the link below A586 6 A650 4 A1(M) A163 A58 A585 A6 A19 HR77 A103 Blackpool 44 3 M55 32 Burnley 47 48 HR13 Selby Kingston A162 A164 4 1 Bradford 14 4 A1033 3 46 HiR 18c 10 Preston M65 03 8 9 A63 A6 A58 31a M621 2 5 A63 38 upon Hull A6 3 1 A6 A63 M1 HR58 core network. 31 3 42 7 43 44 M62 A63 A1 A656 A677 6 M606 A6 A584 Blackburn 27 HR107 04 A1246 46 A162 A6 HR202 37 HiR46 30 26 28 A103 9 1 29 45 HR14 30 3 A1 5 42 HR200R 9 41 3 A56 Goole 4 41 1a 29 2 Halifax 31 32 32a A64 A4 36 HR214 5 61 HR215 9 28 25 33 34 A5 35 A66 40 7 40 A162 M62 A6 A581 8 Southport A5 A58 24 A1077 75 HR200 6 65 Wakefield A15 23 Rochdale M62 2 A160 HR16 39 A1 A614 M6 A6 A64 1 Immingham 39 M61 A19 22 A570 A6 Bury M66 2 Huddersfield 6 A61 38 Bolton 21 A6 38 Scunthorpe HR144A180 Grimsby HR177A58 HiR53 5 1 A18 36 27 2 5 20 Barnsley A6 Skelmersdale M181 HR18 38 6 A627(M) Cleethorpes 19 Doncaster 2 A565 A4 5 3 A63 9 A614 5 9 A663 4 A5 4 18 37 4 37 4 3 17 19 A6 M180 M58 HiR54 5 32 20 DUBLIN Wigan Manchester 26 St 25HR3 A635 Maghull A1 1 16 29 15 M60 M1 HR3 7 1 A5036 8 A61 M602 HR201 A57 36 36 A46 A161 Crosby Helens 2423 12 A616 3 At least one charging point per 0 Liverpool 59 HiR48 A628 6 80 30 2 HR69 23 35a A16 11 A1 A6 A1 A5 HR104 HR178 5 03 Amlwch A565 A580 9 24 1 3 35 A1(M) Rotherham M18 HR17 A6 M57 3 1 M60 Wallasey HR36A58 22 8 102 A15 7 A50 A572 9 10 21a 11 6 25 M67 34 1 A631 M62 Sheffield 1 A631 HR35 27 25 8 5 34 HR67 7 4 1 A57 2a 2 6 Warrington A5013 32 Stockport 1 A631 HR174 21 33 HR226 3 HR1 32 Llandudno Birkenhead 3 HR79 5 A6 20 6 Widnes A5 Dun Laoghaire A41 20 31 A6 Holyhead Benllech Colwyn 8 7 6 A5 7 HiR22 A157 4 station has to be accessible 9 57 Rhyl M56 10 4 A1 HR2 25 A1 A54 10 A61 6 A1 Conwy HR30 11 Bay Runcorn A6 87 A6 A15 A4 A6 00 A5 8 M53 HR19 23 A156 A556 1 A49 19 16 1 12 53 11 Llangefni Menai 5 Beaumaris 5 A5 A515 A1 6 A1 21 M56 A5 59 A55 A550 A1 54 9 30 A6 33 Bridge A Abergele 6 A5 A55 A41 A537 A15 A55 Holywell A5 40 10 14 HR2a M6 Chesterfield 9 A57 8 A6 41 A55 11 A61 0 Rhosneigr A1 A548 15 A632 6 A5 A5 0 Bangor A34 A5 02 A619 75 2 A1133 M1 Lincoln 6 8 A54 A60 Llanfair QueensferryChester A5117 A53 A4080 A470 Denbigh 12 A54 for coaches. HR118 HR20 A5 18 A5 Talhaiarn 4 A6 29 A158 A5 Bethesda 44 A55 A5 A61 HR152 A525 A6 15 1 HR209 A53 32 A4 16 A46 A5 A155 Llanrwst 43 Mold HiR13b 17 A6 A15 08 Caernarfon A41 A483 A5 A530 6 Ruthin 34 A16 A38 Newark- 7 A 94 A5 A501 A617 A541 A52 A49 A4 A483 2 28 53 on-Trent A5 4 07 A1 01 A534 40 1 34 A5020 A6 Stoke- A5 A17 A60 A487 A5 A5 23 85 98 Pentrefoelas Nantwich HiR 18a A60 14 16 2 A4 Betws- on-Trent A6 27 A5 A6 A6 10 Wrexham Nottingham 97 A500 A531 11 y-Coed A500 A542 A52 Blaenau 30 HR205 A46 A1 A5 Corwen A5 HR114 A517 A5 29 Ffestiniog A499 1 A5 A1121 A5 HiR40r A6 Nefyn Llan 25 Newcastle- A38 26 Porthmadog 15 A5 2 A6514 A153 A149 Ffestiniog under-Lyme A52 HiR40 A17 A50 7 Llangollen A49 212 5 Derby Grantham A515 A52 A52 A16 From a UK perspective on the A4 A49 Criccieth 95 Stone 25 48 HR53 Trawsfynydd Y A5 A4 M6 A1 99 5 A5111 A52 A1 Pwllheli A49 Uttoxeter HR151 A6 HR41 52 A4 A149 A1 Bala A519 HR218 A1 5 Harlech 18 A50 24a A453 7 49 Abersoch Oswestry A5 A60 48 A470 24 A1 4 A60 A496 A49 A483 A151 HR228 14 A44 A5 HR135 A6 A6006 A1 3 95 Burton A49 23a Stafford 28 06 A5 A5 A4 51 A151 7 Loughborough King’s A1078 2 A140 upon TrentA514 A1 1 routes HGVs use in the UK M1 Lynn A10 Dolgellau A518 HiR 23 13a A46 67 A1062 65 A512 A6 Llanfyllin A5 13 A38 A1 A483 A1101 A10 A34 49 A4 A470 5 7 A47 Norwich Barmouth A5195 A60 6 1 A449 A1073 A5 A4 49 A458 A5 A5 A42 A6 A1 11 06 Mallwyd A HR101 Cannock A1064 A487 58 A5 A1 A47 93 A519 22 Welshpool 7 6 12 0 HR142 A46 Wisbech Great A470 Lichfield A4 5 11 Shrewsbury 4 A47 HR71 Telford 3 A449 11a T8 11 T7 T6 Leicester Peterborough A1 Swaffham Yarmouth then the UK DfT map showing A4 M54 A5 M42 12 88 T5 A1122 Machynlleth Llanfair 64 2 1 T4 21a Stamford 2 A4 A447 Tamworth 1 10a 9 A49 Brownhills 12 A47 A12 Caereinion A47 A6 A1 A48 M6 Toll 10 7 21 46 A444 A11 A1139 A47 Tywyn Wolverhampton HR229 A6003 A493 Wigston A4 A4 Walsall A10 10 A605 90 A6 0 3 43 Hinckley A10 9 A43 T3 75 A4 4 A13 A48 A1 58 A45 8 7 HR119 A38 T2 17 4 A4 M6 9 Nuneaton 2 Lowestoft 58 Dudley A4123 T1 HR10805 41 the heavy and high routes, HR10 A4 1 A427 16 1 6 5 4a 8 A446 A1 BirminghamM5 A426 89 Newtown 2 M69 A427 A6 A1(M) 7 A470 A4123 A48 7 4 M6 A5 Stourbridge Market 43 A145 A14 3 A1 88 15 A6 5 20 Harborough 06 A446 A4 3 Aberystwyth A44 Llanidloes A449 6 A4304 Thetford A1066 4 A6 A1 2 M6 M1 Kettering A4 A4 A1 11 M42 A452 5 HR100 42 6 A142 10 Coventry 1 A14 1 Llangurig A456 A4 Kidderminster 5 19 A45 14 HR76 A14 41 A4120 52 A11 A1088 Rugby A14 A1 A1 shown opposite, would be A411 4 4 Rosslare M42 A112 A5 7 A134 A6 A4113 A4 3 A1 48 2 A45 A43 19 A508 Huntingdon A143 A483 4a 1 3 18 Harbour Lledrod Knighton A46 A4 42 9 3a Llanrhystud Bromsgrove M45 A45 2 14 16 Royal A1 A456 17 1 A44 Wellingborough A14 0 Rhayader Bury A485 Leamington A4 M40 A41 A1 A4110 77 A14 5 A14 A140 A4 88 A49 A4 43 5 Redditch A435 Spa A4 28 A1 Newmarket St Edmunds A4 A41 Aberaeron 112 33 Warwick A425 A14 Llandrindod Wells 15 14 A428 70 A4 A449 A45 New Quay Northampton 14 120 A10 a good starting position for A1 M5 13 A6 A44 Leominster 4 94 Tregaron 16 30 13 A44 Worcester Cambridge A1 A5 81 A42 A44 6 15a A45 A48 2 8 12 A42 A423 A4 A44 Bedford 43 12 15 A11 2 A1 2 Synod Inn Stratford- 11 11 A46 03 A11 A4 Builth 7 A14 2 A6 A134 A509 A41 A1 A487 3 A4 A4 upon-Avon A48 98 17 53 Lampeter Wells M40 11 8 A422 1 2 A603 A1307 A36 A4 A4103 A42 A11 80 A421 92 Ipswich A486 65 10 41 Cardigan A43 A10 A5 A4 A44 05 8 8 A475 where the initial BEV HGV A5 HR102 08 Pumsaint Llanwrtyd A43 Evesham A5 A6 00 9 A1071 9 A3400 Wells 11 A42 A4 Banbury 14 A4 Hereford A1 A6 A43 05 A14 A413 A421 A5 Goodwick Newcastle 82 A4104 8 70 A1 A487 1 HR230 A42 Milton 13 A12 A48 4 A46 07 85 34 A1 Emlyn Llandovery 2 HR227 A5 10 A10 017 Keynes A4 Fishguard Talgarth A44 M1 Felixstowe 31 2 9 A4 61 Brecon A465 A1 0 A3 A47 Crymych 49 A41 A421 9 A5 A487 Cynwyl M50 3 12 07 M11 A1124 A49 A449 A40 A4 HR39 HR143 Harwich chargers should be installed. Llangadog M5 A5 05 37 A120 9 A1 421 A435 10 A5 Elfed Sennybridge 8 8 A40 St David's Luton Bishop’s A4 78 3 A466 Llandeilo 4 A3 10 A4260 A4215 Ross-on-Wye Stevenage Stortford A4 A133 0 HR82 A120 69 A13 Carmarthen A40 Cheltenham A4 A47 A40 4 95 11 A40 11 A4 A40 HR78 7 A60 A120 8 Colchester 7 Crickhowell A40 A43 6 24 Dunstable 2 A120 Haverfordwest St Clears A40 10a 18 9 A1(M) A1 A34 A4 10 A483 A417 Narberth Gloucester 11a 33 Abergavenny A41 A4 A48 Brynamman Hertford 1 A1 A40 A13 A40 HiR23a Aylesbury 6 14 30 06 7 Merthyr HR136 Clacton-on-Sea 6 136 6 5 A484 A465 9 HR134 A4 09 4075 Ammanford A4 A407 Monmouth A48 A1 A4 Hemel St Albans 5 060 Tydfil 6 Milford A477 A A435 A4066 A417 A4 12 Oxford A474 Ebbw Hempstead 4 A414 A476 A40 A4 18 Haven 29 Pembroke Kidwelly Vale Hatfield A361 8 HiR51 HiR50 M10 A4 49 13 8a 3 Harlow 7 Pendine A40 A4 7 A414 A46 8 Dock A465 Chelmsford 4 A4 2 A4 0 1 A10 A41 A4 16 59 HR10a 15 8 Llanelli A46 8 A466 Cirencester A41 48 Aberdare 21 A4 13 A3 7 6a 21a 22 7 A4139 Usk A4 20 6 HR51 A419 9 13 A405 HR95 0 23 A41 Pontypool High M25 25 24 27 Tenby 1 26 47 46 45 A1 Pembroke Rhondda 7 6 Brentwood A12 A13 A4135 19 5 Neath A449 6 A1 M11 8 HR52 44 Wycombe M1 Billericay A4 Cwmbran A4042 5 HR103 Enfield HR80b 0 43 A329 18 M25 5 42 07 Chepstow 33 M40 HR8a A355 Rayleigh A4 4 A1 A1023 A4061 17 Swansea Watford 38 Swansea A48 HR146 A4 A419 Beaconsfield 41 14 4063 28 074 A M48 A3 28 M25 9 HR50a 2 6 A42 4 M48 M5 Edgware A4 41 A4118 Caerphilly A 2 4 Port 40 26 25 3 A40 Ilford A127 HR225 24 2 HR50b Maesteg Pontypridd A470 A468 1 Hendon 29 03 39 27 23a 23 23 A417 A4 1 Basildon A4 A41 Talbot 130 A404 A308(M) 38 28 21 55 HR139 Dagenham M25 HR80a 16 22 73 M4 M4 6 Swindon 1a 1 Southend-on-Sea A48 Port-Eynon A4 30 29 Newport Newport 20 A4 Maidenhead Slough HR93 36 16 16 M49 32 A13 A48(M) HR139b A4 32 29a A4 A4130 07 17 M4 LONDON 37 15 35 M4 Avonmouth 2 M4 4 9b A1089 HR27a 30 34 33 A48 19 17 10 A4 7 1 6 HR210 18a M4 A3 15 HR10b A346 36 1 18 8 4 3 2 1 Bridgend 18 A404(M) 5 4 A34 Tilbury A42 9 A4 Sheerness CARDIFF Reading A4 4a A4 14 M4 A282 Porthcawl 8 19 2 M32 A46 A420 HR97 A3 A3113 28 32 3 30 GravesendA2 A4 14 M4 13 13 A30 A2 2 HR212 Herne Margate HR50c 12 20 10 A316 A3 Penarth A4 A4 A4 A4 Staines 1 A282 A2 1 A249 Bay 42 11 8 Bristol 12 M3 A20 3 Whitstable HiR16b 2 2 8 A4 Newbury Esher HR224 A34 M3 M25 A22 A3 Barry A3 22 11 Croydon A299 Ramsgate A32 M20 A227 HiR 16 Chatham 6 Bath A225 HR34 70 A320 38 HR156 4 4 A350 3 A291 21 A3 3 5 A2 A28 Camberley 1 Weston-super-Mare A3 A3 A32 A39 Woking M2 A2 A340 A3 3 A361 M25 2 6 7 90 A3 A36 39 4 Canterbury 7 10 3 4 M26 5 6 67 A36 9 2a A23 7 HR24b A3 8 A34 Basingstoke 4a 5 Maidstone A257 A251 A342 0 6 A3 Farnborough M25 7 A25 8 A36 61 7 Sevenoaks 2 A37 A2 43 A3 8 6 A2 A25 A256 5 8 A25 Aldershot 0 A3 A3 A362 6 Tonbridge A345 A287 9 A338 Guildford A21 8 22 Andover M20 A3 71 HR46 A2 A3 HiR25d Reigate A2 A39 7 Warminster 60 58 A217 A25 74 A361 A303 A3 A2 A23 A24 A22 8 A31 HR24a M23 HR59 9 28 A260 A229 43 A3123 A2 A39 A3 9a 9 Ashford 10 A3 23 A36 A303 M3 A2 A287 39 1 61 A3 A39 0 Dover A36 A3 A28 9 A399 A38 50 A3 10 A325 A39 A264 A20 38 8 12 13 1 11 3 Bridgwater Crawley 11a A3 A262 A2 59 A3 A2 A3 A3 10a A2070 Folkestone 7 A396 24 72 58 A30 A3 11 A267 A2 A3 Salisbury 68 6 61 9 59 A31 A2 71 HR60 A3 Winchester 57 A2 10 A28 A30 A372 0 11 A2 A3 A21 Taunton A338 A3 A3 0 A286 09 72 3 61 25 A27 A3 A272 A272 65 A21 78 A3 A30 54 12 Eastleigh Petersfield A23 A2 A28 A36 59 A39 A3 A37 9 A3 4 A2 26 A35 13 A2 8 A32 14 Calais A350 A30 4 Southampton A27 3 M27 2 3 5 A2 A259 A27 A283 81 A303 Yeovil A3 1 5 88 A2 8 6 27 57 1 A3 7 A2 A3 A3 Horndean 1 2 2 A3030 M271 A3(M) A27 12 A3 8 M27 5 Lewes 4 M5 A31 A3 86 A28 A27 3 Havant A24 A27 A259 A27 A28 9 A30 A27 A27 Hastings A22 10 11 4 A3 28 A2 A37 5 3 A3 7 A26 77 5 A337 A27 A396 A3 Fareham 26 2 A37 A3 12 A352 A307 3 56 HR65 A3 A3 07 2 Ringwood Chichester A25 A32 50 A3 8 A3072 M275 9 HiR45 06 Bri A388 A35 Honiton A35 Gosport HR126 6 54 HR99 gh W A3 Lit Okehampton A3 Eastbourne ort 07 A30 Bognor Boulogne tleh to Portsmouth New 9 Poole hin n 48 Regis am A30 A35 Ryde g hav 29 A3 pto A375 Bere Regis en A3052 n 30 A35 Ch A3054 Launceston Exeter Dorchester ris Bo 31 A352 Newport tc urn A395 A386 A3 hu A3 A354 76 A379 51 em rc 9 HR173 A3 A3 A3 3 h A35 A3 02 82 ou 05 0 5 A388 th A30 80 A38 A3 Weymouth 9 A3 A37 89 A38 6 A390 Torquay A38 Bodmin A39 Liskeard A392 Plymouth HR88 Paignton A391 A385 A387 A38 A3058 A31 22 075 HR43 A3 90 A379 81 A39 A3 A3 Redruth 9 A379 A3 A39 8 3 07 A3 A3 07 4 A30 A3071 Penzance 94 A3 A30 A3083 An Executive Agency of the Reproduced by permission of Ordnance Survey on behalf of HMSO. © Crown copyright and database right 2010. All rights reserved. Ordnance Survey Licence number 100030649. Dieppe Media Services Birmingham b100124 UK High and Heavy Loads Map 6 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 1 Introduction 1.4 Original Equipment Manufacturers plans for light BEVs As BEVs become more main stream the number of vehicles that a consumer is able to choose from will increase dramatically, currently the BEV market is covered by 124 models which early adopters are buying. But this is all changing as BEVs enter a new phase, current After a number of years of slow growth, the number of EV models production forecasts are showing that most carmakers are produced across the UK and EU is about to increase significantly embracing electrification and are leaving behind the fossil fuel this will then give the consumer greater choice and will see the ‘technology neutrality’ approach, this is being brought about by uptake of BEVs increase. the legislation cutting vehicle emissions to 95gms/km of CO2 over the OEMs complete portfolio, the reduction of emissions has had The graph shown below shows the how the range of BEVs that the effect of focusing the OEMs on scaling up their electric car have been available from 2012 to the range of new models of EV volumes instead. which will become available by 20254. Total number of available EV models on the market in Europe 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Volkswagon Group PSA Toyota Daimler BMW FCA Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Volvo/Geely Hyundai-Kia Jaguar Land Rover Ford Honda Tesla Mazda Suzuki Suzuki 7 westernpower.co.uk 4 Page 5 Electric Surge: Carmakers Plans across Europe 2019 to 2025 European Federation for Transport and Environment AISBL
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 1 Introduction 1.5 WPDs approach to facilitate EV charging 1.6 Flexibility and Charging As an electricity system operator WPDs approach is to WPD expect that flexibility will provide a key role ensure that a suitable network exists for all charging in delivering EV charging. This is likely to provide requirements in all situations. This has many factors solutions for many customer types, from domestic as charging requirements vary dependent on the type users to fleet users who return their vehicles to a of vehicle and the owner’s access to either their own depot overnight. or public charging infrastructure. Only about 60% of car users have access to an off-street parking location As Smart Meters become more prevalent across the UK domestic which is likely to be suitable for charging5. users will be able to take advantage of time of use tariffs that WPD expect electricity suppliers to offer. In one sense the actual charging infrastructure is of less concern So that customers with home charging they will be able to use to WPD than the ability of WPD to provide the adequate and managed charging to charge their vehicle at times when price safe electricity connection which serves it. WPDs plans will vary signals show it to be beneficial for the wider electricity network. depending on the application and where the EV chargers are being installed, this strategy document details various different options. Fleet users with depots are most likely to make use of overnight charging to recharge their vehicles for the next working day. The principle is simple, the charging infrastructure requires higher volumes of energy and it is WPDs job to provide the conduit for WPD expect a depot charging facility to require a larger electricity this energy. supply similar to a factory. This could cause a possible constraint on some parts of the WPD network at peak times if connected WPD predict that the majority of the larger local transformers conventionally. However, it is expected the opportunity to make will be able to accommodate one 35kWh charge for cars and use of flexible connection solutions to allow charging at off-peak vans every five days for each of the customers connected to times without network reinforcement will be used by majority it. This provides a charged range of around 125 miles in many of businesses. EVs and it is likely that this will support the demands of home connected EV charging. This could make connections quicker and cheaper for business customers. WPD also expect that the backbone 33kV network and primary transformers will be able to accommodate this level of charge point activity. According to the Centre for Ageing Better, 21% of all homes in the 1.7 Existing Charge Points and Capacity UK were built before 1919, 38% were built before 1946, and only 7% after 2000, making the UK housing stock the oldest in the EU.6 WPD already have experience of installing charge points on the network to support the early adopters WPD focuses into the specific cables and distribution transformers of Electric Vehicles. The table below shows the which supply local streets and the LV service cables which feed individual properties, there is more chance of the earlier built number and capacity of chargers as reported to network becoming constrained. For example houses built during Ofgem as part of the annual RRP returns. the early through to the late 1900’s era are most likely to have looped LV service cables shared with their immediate neighbours. The numbers of Fast Chargers are relatively high due to the reporting split used by Ofgem. Most of the newer domestic Attaching an EV charger to a looped LV service cable is not chargers are 32 Amp units and therefore are reported in the recommended, WPDs default position is to remove looped Fast Charge category. LV service cables prior to an EV charger being installed. WPD identified this as an issue and are already installing larger LV mains The current number of EV car charger points installed in WPD and LV service cables assets for new build estates and have are shown below: identified areas where the proactive uprating of local distribution transformer and cable networks are appropriate. It can be seen that having a notification service which records all LCT devices as Description Number Capacity and when they are connected in a DNO area is essential as this straight away highlights to the DNO where chargers, heat pumps Slow Charge 5160 18736.25kVA etc. are being installed and the DNO can be proactive in dealing (up to 16 Amps) with the issues that arise, rather than being reactive when the Fast Charge equipment fails due to overloading. 22305 181964.302kVA (over 16 Amps) It should be a priority to get the notification system working 0 2,000 30,000 nationally to ensure the journey to net zero is a smooth one for all parties. (Total number as at March 2021) 5 Article “Five ways to solve UK’s electric car charging conundrum” published in the Financial Times on 27/12/17. 6 Page 1 More than 1m over 55s living in hazardous homes Home Care Insight study finds. Access/Intelligence/Studies by Sarah Clarke 09/05/2019 8 westernpower.co.uk https://www.homecareinsight.co.uk/more-than-1-million-over-55s-living-in-hazardous-homes-study-finds/
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 2 Forecasting and data 2.1 Forecasting for the ED1 business plan (2015-2023) In WPDs ED1 business plans use was made of national forecasts to tailor scenarios for WPD networks. WPD worked with the Centre for Sustainable Energy (CSE) to deliver the “Who’s on our wires” report. This added socio economic factors to the national growth forecasts for all Low Carbon Technologies. For example, the numbers of electric vehicles are strongly predicted to grow in areas where the social demographic suits early adoption. This means that it is highly likely that Low Carbon Technologies The current population of EVs within the four WPD licence (LCTs) will be clustered closely together leading to a compound areas is matching the ED1 business plans – with EV adoption effect on specific parts of the network. increasing at the current rate, it is expected some 217,000 chargers to be connected to the network by 2023. This work led to WPD targeting the uprating of assets when other works take place over about 7% of the network, in locations However, to meet the requirements of the Government’s 2035 where WPD could be confident of load growth. deadline for the cessation of Hybrid ICE cars and vans, this will see an extremely high, 70% uptake level of EV adoption, this is given in the governments Road to Zero 2018 document, and then this rate could see up to 3,199,371 EVs by the end of 20307. 2.2 Developing Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) Since 2016 WPD have been producing Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) at a licence area level which predict the likely impact of EVs along with other new technologies. The scenarios use a bottom up approach to provide future energy scenarios, at Electricity Supply Area (ESA) level, for the potential growth of distributed generation, electricity demand growth and electricity storage. These are then used to identify future constraints on the distribution network and develop strategic investment options to economically resolve those constraints, when triggered. The analysis undertaken for each technology in the DFES involves the following four stages: A baseline assessment Resource assessment Technology baselines are calculated from WPD’s Locational data from a wide range of data network connection database. This information is then sources and GIS analysis is used to understand reconciled with other market intelligence and external the geographical distribution, local attributes, databases. In addition, further desktop research is constraints and potential for technologies to undertaken to address inconsistencies. develop within the licence area and each ESA. A pipeline assessment A scenario projection to 2032 For technologies with significant lead times WPD’s The scenarios are based on National Grid’s network connection agreement database is reconciled Future Energy Scenarios (FES) and interpreted for with the BEIS planning database and market research specific local resources, constraints and market is undertaken. This allows an assessment of which conditions. Analysis of current market reports commercial projects in the pipeline may go ahead and the findings from a local consultation event and in what timescale. Domestic scale and demand is combined with interviews from developers, technologies do not have an individual pipeline, but investors and other stakeholders. local council economic plans are reviewed to derive volumes and locations. 9 westernpower.co.uk westernpower.co.uk 7 Page 9 of Road to Zero 2018: Next steps towards cleaner road transport and delivering our industrial strategy.
What are the Future Energy Scenarios? Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 Our Future Energy Scenarios (FES) outline four different, credible pathways for the future of energy over the next 30 years. Each 2scenario Forecasting considers howand data much energy we might need and where it could come from. 2.2 Developing Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) This year we have a new scenario framework, considering the impact of societal In the latest report WPD have aligned the four scenarios with National Grid’s 2020 FES, which has the following four scenarios: change as well as the speed of decarbonisation. HIGH LEADING THE WAY CONSUMER TRANSFORMATION LEVEL OF SOCIETAL CHANGE SYSTEM TRANSFORMATION NET ZERO BY 2050 STEADY PROGRESSION LOW SLOW SPEED OF DECARBONISATION FAST COVID-19 impact COVID-19 will impact many aspects of the future of energy. However the uncertainty and lack of evidence of this impact at the time of analysis means it has not been included in FES 2020. The impact of COVID-19 will be discussed with stakeholders in the second half of 2020 and will form part of FES 2021. 10 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 2 Forecasting and data 2.3 Electric Vehicle Growth Factors From a consumer perspective, the key hurdle will be price. Lower running costs are not yet balancing out the up-front costs, even with the current purchase subsidy, unless drivers have a high mileage, such as use for fleet applications. There is limited evidence relating to the actual whole life savings or resale value. Increased investment and competition is needed between manufacturers to drive down costs. National and local legislation will be key drivers of future electric vehicle growth in the licence area. The UK government has announced a ban on new petrol and diesel sales in 2035. An increasing number of towns and cities across the UK plan to introduce restrictions and bans on vehicles in a bid to reduce pollution levels. Currently there are some twenty eight locations in the UK where there will be vehicle clean air zones, driving charges and vehicle bans. These are: Aberdeen Low emission zone and ban on some vehicles; Local authorities required by the national government Bath Clean air zone for commercial vehicles is live; to produce a local action plan: Birmingham Clean air zone will go live from 01/06/21; • Bolton Borough Council Bradford Clean air zone expected in October 21 • Bury Borough Council Brighton Ban for all passenger vehicles in 2023; • Fareham Borough Council Bristol Clean air zone is expected to go live from 29/10/21; • Gateshead Borough Council Cambridge Clean air zone under consideration; • Guildford Borough Council Cardiff Daily charge for drivers who don’t live in • Middlesbrough Borough Council Cardiff and a clean air zone for vehicles date • North Tyneside Council to be confirmed; • Rochford Borough Council Derby Traffic management measures or a clean air zone • Rotherham Borough Council date to be confirmed; • Rushmoor Borough Council Dundee Low emission zone and ban on some vehicles • Salford Borough Council in 2020; • Stockport Borough Council Edinburgh Two tier low emission zone and ban on some vehicles in 2020; • Surrey Heath Borough Council Glasgow Low emission zone already in place that is • Tameside Borough Council extended to cars in 2022; • Trafford Borough Council Leeds Clean air zone for HGVs, buses, coaches and taxis in July 2020; Despite the current barriers, the FES 2020 presents a much Leicester Clean air zone expected in summer of 2021; higher growth projection for electric vehicles than FES 2018, London Ultra low emission zone expansion from 25/10/21; reflecting the UK government’s proposed ban on new hybrid Manchester Clean air zone expected in spring 2022; diesel and petrol vehicles in 20358. Newcastle Clean air zone for HGVs, buses, coaches and The two highest scenarios in FES 2020 (Leading the Way and taxis in July 2021; Customer Transformation) show a similar growth profile, with Oxford Zero emissions zone planned for summer 2021; the UK electric car fleet reaching around 15 million units by Portsmouth Clean air zone expected in November 2021; 2032 rising to over 38 million by 2038. Reading Potential clean air zone or low emission zone To provide a wider profile for network analysis in this study at a date to be confirmed; WPD have amended the Leading the Way scenario to show a Saint Albans Clean air zone under consideration; more explosive growth profile which sees growth accelerating Sefton Clean air zone under consideration; ahead of the FES 2020 and then levelling by 2050. Sheffield Clean air zone are on hold; WPD would also assume that EV uptake in the licence area Slough Potential clean air zone or low emission zone stays ahead of the national average uptake of EVs in the at a date to be confirmed; short and medium term but will return to national average Southampton Have a Clean air zone running already by the end of the scenario period. This assumption reflects free of charge; key factors driving early adoption such as; affluence levels, Warrington Clean air zone under consideration; off-street parking and second car ownership along with emission reduction initiatives in and around urban centres. Wokingham Clean air zone under consideration; York Clean air zone for buses in 2021. 11 westernpower.co.uk 8 Page 5 Uptake of Ultra Low Emission Vehicles in the UK 2015.
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 2 Forecasting and data 2.4 Investment allocated within ED1 2.6 Forecasting ED2 and informing specific ED1 plans Within WPDs ED1 submission there is £112m allocated for socialised reinforcement attributable WPDs DFES are being used to target flexible to LCTs. Of this over £58m was directly related to solutions where they offer better value than EV charging. conventional reinforcement. Load estimates will consider all demand growth but this will always include an element of EV growth. For higher voltage networks this educates and directs the reinforcement plans 2.5 Forecasting local growth and being considered in the next few years. For the local networks pinpointing upgrades the scenarios can help refine the LCT hotspots identified by the work carried out with CSE. In addition to the high level DFES work, WPD are working with EA technology to deliver a tool which will assess the impact on the local LV networks. The tool was originally developed as part of the Electric Nation project. In the project it was used to show where networks were becoming constrained as a result of local clusters of EVs. The tool will be developed to help highlight where proactive reinforcement can help prepare the local networks for LCT connections and specifically EV connections. WPD will use this tool to support the business plan submissions for network upgrades. 12 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 3 Planning and Capacity Availability 3.1 WPDs expectation of EV charger installations The size and type of charger varies with the application. Smaller size chargers might be expected to be seen in domestic situations where an overnight charge is likely. The smaller sized chargers may also form part of the street side car charging provision. Larger rapid chargers will be seen at public locations such as service stations and motorway service areas and car parks where a faster charge is required, they will also be seen at locations where of vehicles require a quick turnaround charge such as taxis ranks. Chargers of 7kW are likely to be accommodated on existing house services but larger charger installations will often require a three phase service or other upgrades. Assume that the battery electric vehicle has a 55kWh battery, which the on-board capabilities are limited to 11kW maximum AC charging, plus the car is capable of accepting a maximum 170kW DC rapid charge. Charge Point type and Likely installation Specific connection Network Likely charge time for power output location requirements considerations 0% to 100% None – connects via Slow up to 2.3kW Domestic household 13A plug/ None 25 hours 45 minutes socket Dedicated household In some cases limited local Slow 3.7kW Domestic or street side circuit or on street 16 hours reinforcement is required equivalent Likely upgrade to Dedicated household cut-out and/or LV service Fast 7kW Domestic or street side circuit or on street 8 hours cable and equivalent LV local mains Fast 22kW Requirement for three Street side or public Three phase dedicated (the car limits this to phase connection and 5 hours 30 minutes charging location supply point 11kW) likely local mains upgrade Requirement for three Three phase dedicated phase connection and Rapid 50kW Public charging location 53 minutes supply point likely local mains and transformer upgrade In most cases a new Rapid 150kW or multiple Supply point from Public charging location transformer will be 26 minutes rapid chargers dedicated transformer established Rapid AC chargers provide power at 43kW (three-phase, 63A) and use the Type 2 charging standard. Rapid AC units are typically able to charge an EV to 80% in 20-40 minutes depending the model’s battery capacity and starting state of charge. CHAdeMO CCS Type 2 Tesla Type 2 50kW DC 350kW 43kW AC 120kW DC 13 westernpower.co.uk
Electric Vehicle Strategy 2021 3 Planning and Capacity Availability 3.1 WPDs expectation of EV charger installations EV models that use CHAdeMO rapid charging include the Nissan Because of the longer charging times over fast units, slow public Leaf and Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV. CCS compatible models charge points are less common and tend to be limited to street include the BMW i3, Kia e-Niro, and Jaguar I-Pace. Tesla’s Model furniture that has a limited supply capacity. 3. Tesla Model S, and Model X are able to rapid charge via the Tesla Supercharger network using the Tesla Type 2 connector. Most slow charging units are rated at up to 3kW with some lamp-post chargers being rated at 6kW. Charging times vary The only model able to make maximum use of Rapid AC charging depending on the charging unit, the LV supply capacity to the is the Renault Zoe. Currently CHAdeMO is the only connector type charger unit and EV being charged, but a full charge on a 3kW which supports V2G, this is changing as CharIN, the organisation unit will typically take 6-12 hours. Most slow charging units are which created CCS, have now generated a time line for CCS to untethered, meaning that a cable is required to connect the EV be type tested for V2G. with the charge point. Slow charging is a method of charging electric vehicles, used by While slow charging can be carried out via a three-pin socket some owners to charge at home overnight. However, slow units using a standard 3-pin socket, because of the higher current aren’t necessarily restricted to home use, with workplace and demands of EVs and the longer amount of time spent charging, public points also able to be found. If a vehicle remains stationary it is strongly recommended that those who need to charge for a long period, such as at a Park & Ride or office car park, regularly at home or the workplace get a dedicated EV slow charging may provide the optimum solution. charging unit installed. 3-Pin Type 1 Type 2 Commando 3kW AC 3kW AC 7kW AC 3kW AC 3.2 Estimating Connection Cost and Timescales The cost and complexity of the electricity network required to support new chargers will vary with size. At a domestic level only minimal works will be required to accommodate chargers but for larger installations and hubs of multiple chargers new transformers and substations are likely. The cost and works timescale will vary with the complexity of the works as detailed below. Charge Point type and Likely installation Typical approximate Network and Third Approximate power output location connection lead-times Party considerations connection cost Slow up to 3kW Domestic Immediate None None Slow 3.7kW Domestic or street side Immediate in most cases Usually none Usually none Likely upgrade to service Fast 7kW Domestic or street side 4 to 8 weeks Usually none cable and local mains Street side or public Streetworks and Fast 22kW 8 to 12 weeks £3,500 to £12,000 charging location permissions Streetworks and Rapid 50kW Public charging location 8 to 12 weeks £3,500 to £12,000 permissions Streetworks, permissions Rapid 150kW or multiple Public charging location 16 weeks and cost of land for £70,000 to £120,000 rapid chargers transformer 14 westernpower.co.uk
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