2021 Chenango County Tentative budget

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2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
2021 Chenango County
           Tentative budget
Preliminary Board review Copy   October 28, 2020
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
• Have a balanced budget using reasonable revenue and expense
  expectations.
   • Projecting 2021 revenue is problematic ( NYS aid and sales tax).
       • 2021 NYS aid budgeted at about 90% of 2019.
       • 2021 sales tax budgeted at 93% of 2019 actual.
• Other than in exigent circumstances adhere to the tax cap.
   • We have met this precept for all ten year of the Tax Cap
     Legislation
• Maintain a NY State Comptroller’s rating of “not in fiscal stress.”
   • We have met this precept for all eight years of its calculation.
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
• Remain Debt free
   • With the potential exception of partial financing for the CCOB
      and landfill Cell 5 Projects
   • The CCOB project, and several others, are now on hold
• Maintain a minimum of $ 15,000,000 general fund surplus ( i.e. not
  otherwise earmarked).
   • The surplus balance at 12/31/19 was $ 24,000,000. Some of this
      money will be used to offset potential 2020 and 2021 deficits (
      perhaps as much as $5 - $7 million).
• The application of General Fund surplus applied to the following
  years’ budget should not exceed $ 1,500,000 ( >2% of the General
  and Social Services budgets).
   • We meet this precept as our application is now at $ 1,340,000.
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
•   Under the tax cap of 1.79% - for the tenth straight year - of
    $469,000 by about $12,000. Meeting the CAP will allow for
    state reimbursement of “Raise the Age” costs.
•   The average tax rate increases by $.24/$1,000 of assessed value
    or 1.79% from 2020 (about $25 annually per average residence).
    Individual town rates will vary depending on equalization rates
    and assessed value totals.
•   The 2021 budget includes over $ 800,000+ of additional local
    cost for newly adopted NYS mandated programs for: Lead
    testing ($ 120,000); early voting ($ 80,000); Probation
    Supervision ( $ 80,000); Cashless Bail ( $ 60,000); Added DA
    expenses ( $ 185,000); and the county’s assumption of AIM
    funding to local municipalities ($ 320,000). These new
    mandates drove our 2020 spending up by about 8/10ths of one
    percent and will continue to do so in 2021.
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
•    The PAVE NY and Winter Recovery Programs require NYS Legislative
     extension. Without that approval we will have about $ 700,000 less of
     repaving funds available in 2021. Also any 2021 aid reduction here or in the
     CHIPS program will reduce the number of road miles we can repave; we are
     on a 7 year cycle.
•   Traffic Diversion Program and Bed Tax revenues will help reduce property taxes
    by more than $ 100,000.
•   Taxable values are flat at $1.86 billion.
•   The County remains debt free.
•   Maintains a NY Comptroller's rating of "not in fiscal stress”.
•   The collapse in interest rates on invested funds will reduce our revenue by about
    $ -1,000,000.00
•   We are now operating school based Mental Health Satellites in the Afton,
    Bainbridge-Guilford, Greene, Norwich, Otselic Valley and Oxford School
    Districts.
•   Our self-funded health plan has a 2021 cost increase of just 2.0%. Since 2013
    benefit cost (less salary escrow) have increased about 2% per year. Due to stock
    market conditions at 3/31/20 NYSERS rates for 2021 are up 15%.
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
•   All 2020 programs are continued in 2021.
•   Spending is down $400,000 or .4% from 2020’s total of $95.5 million
    and only 10.2% in total from 2013 ($86.7 million ) or about 1.25% per
    year.
•   Budgeted revenues continue to be at robust levels and are very
    unpredictable (eg. In 2021 we will lose about $ 245,000 of sales tax
    receipts to fund “distressed hospitals”)
•   Lessens the application of 2020 General Fund Surplus toward reducing
    the 2021 budget by $10,000 to $1,340,000. This is the tenth consecutive
    reduction from the $3,683,000 applied to balance the 2011 budget. We
    are in compliance with our goal of applying less than 2% of our
    General and Social Services budget (less Medicaid) to reduce the
    following year’s tax levy. 2% equals about $ 1,460,000
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
• We are fully aligned with our 6 financial precepts.
• About one third of our local real property tax levy of $26.9
  million goes to support Medicaid.

Notes :   A) Subject to Board of Supervisor’s action / revision
          B) Subject to adjustment until public filing on 11/16/20
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
How the County Tax Levy is distributed           CHENANGO COUNTY 2021
 Based on Average Tentative County Rate           PROPERTY TAX RATE
 For every 1,000 Dollars in Taxable Full Value    DISTRIBUTION

Economic Assistance                 $      6.48

Public Safety                       $      2.67
                                                                                       Education
County Roads & Transportation       $      2.60                                         3.15%
                                                                                        Economic
Health                              $      1.02                                        Development
                                                                                         0.36%
                                                                     Culture &
General Government                  $      0.71                      Recreation
                                                                      0.36%              General
                                                                                        Government
Education                           $      0.45    Social Service                         4.89%
                                                     Programs
                                                      44.96%
Home & Community Services           $      0.38                                              Home &
                                                                                            Community
                                                                                             Services
Economic Development                $      0.05                                               2.67%

Culture & Recreation                $      0.05     County Roads                             Health
                                                          &                                  7.07%
                                                    Transportation          Public Safety
                                                       18.01%                 18.54%

AVERAGE COUNTY RATE PER THOUSAND    $    14.42
2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
Federal Aid   Applied Surplus
                      12.34%          2.22%                     Real Property
                                                                   Taxes                 CHENANGO COUNTY 2021
                                                                  30.03%
State Aid                                                                                TENTATIVE BUDGET
 16.26%
                                                                                         REVENUES

                                                                                         CHENANGO COUNTY
                                                                                             REVENUE
                                                                                            COMPARISON
                                                                        Sales Tax
                                                                         15.83%
            Departmental                            Other Tax Related
              Income                                      Items                          Applied Surplus
                                                                           Federal Aid
              20.53%                                     2.79%                               2.26%
                                                                             11.70%                                    Real Property Taxes
                                                                                                                             29.37%
                                                    State Aid
                                                     16.59%

    CHENANGO COUNTY 2020
    ADOPTED BUDGET
    REVENUES
                                                                                                                               Sales Tax
                                                                                                                                16.40%

                                                                Departmental                               Other Tax Related
                                                                  Income                                         Items
                                                                  20.94%                                        2.74%
Transportation            Culture And                       Economic
                   21.07%                  Recreation                       Assistance
                                             0.16%                           27.50%                        CHENANGO COUNTY
                                                                                                           2021 TENTATIVE BUDGET
                                                                                                           APPROPRIATIONS
                                                                                          Education
                                                                                           1.51%

                                                                                                             CHENANGO COUNTY
Public Safety                                                                                                  APPROPRIATION
  13.54%
                                                                                     Fringe Benefits            COMPARISON
                                                                                         12.50%
   Home And                                                  General
 Community Svces                 Health                     Government
    3.76%                        12.36%                       7.62%
                                                                         Transportation                Culture And
                                                                            20.80%                      Recreation           Economic Assistance
                                                                                                          0.16%                   28.23%

                                                                                                                                           Education
 CHENANGO COUNTY                                                                                                                            1.50%

 2020 ADOPTED BUDGET
 APPROPRIATIONS
                                                        Public Safety
                                                          13.36%

                                                                                                                                     Fringe Benefits
                                                                                                                                         12.01%
                                                           Home And
                                                         Community Svces
                                                            3.85%                         Health        General Government
                                                                                          12.37%              7.70%
TOTAL TAXABLE SALES % CHANGE
YEAR OVER YEAR COMPARISON OF TAXABLE SALES
http://wwe1.osc.state.ny.us/localgov/nys-local-government-interactive-data.htm
Chenango County compounded annual increase in expenses from 2013 - 2021 is 1.25% per year.
System Components

  • Utilizes existing data ( AUD)

  • Objective

  • Transparent

  • Early Warning

  • Real Value over time
• Year-end Fund Balance ( 50 % )

• Operating Deficits ( 10 % )

• Cash Positions ( 20% )

• Short Term Debt ( 10 % )

• Fixed Costs ( 10 % )
                                **Weighted score based on points
Local Government /
Fiscal Year Ending in    Class     School District      County               Stress Designation              Region           Current Year   1 Year Prior   2 Years Prior   Environmental Score
      2019              County     Chenango           Chenango             No Designation              Southern Tier              0.0           0.0             0.0               26.7
       2019             County        Broome            Broome                 No Designation             Southern Tier           0.0           51.3            54.6               33.3
       2019             County       Chemung           Chemung                 No Designation             Southern Tier           0.0           25.8            19.6               20.0
       2019             County       Delaware          Delaware                No Designation             Southern Tier           3.3            0.0            0.0                33.3
       2019             County        Otsego            Otsego                 No Designation             Southern Tier           0.0           22.5            0.0                33.3
       2019             County        Schuyler          Schuyler               No Designation             Southern Tier       Not Filed          0.0            0.0
       2019             County        Steuben           Steuben                No Designation             Southern Tier           0.0            0.0            0.0                20.0
       2019             County         Tioga             Tioga                 No Designation             Southern Tier           3.3            3.3            3.3                26.7
       2019             County       Tompkins          Tompkins                No Designation             Southern Tier           0.0            0.0            0.0                16.7
       2019             County        Allegany          Allegany               No Designation           Western New York          0.0            0.0            0.0                33.3
       2019             County      Cattaraugus       Cattaraugus              No Designation           Western New York          0.0            0.0            3.3                26.7
       2019             County         Essex             Essex                 No Designation            North Country            0.0            0.0            0.0                33.3
       2019             County        Greene            Greene                 No Designation            Capital District         0.0            0.0            0.0                36.7
       2019             County       Jefferson         Jefferson               No Designation            North Country            0.0            0.0            9.6                23.3
       2019             County        Ontario           Ontario                No Designation             Finger Lakes            0.0            0.0            0.0                 6.7
       2019             County        Putnam            Putnam                 No Designation          Mid-Hudson Region          0.0            0.0            3.3                30.0
       2019             County       Rensselaer        Rensselaer              No Designation            Capital District         0.0            0.0            12.9               23.3
       2019             County      Schenectady       Schenectady              No Designation            Capital District         0.0            0.0            0.0                33.3
       2019             County       Schoharie         Schoharie               No Designation            Mohawk Valley            0.0            0.0            0.0                43.3
       2019             County        Wayne             Wayne                  No Designation             Finger Lakes            0.0            0.0            3.3                10.0
       2019             County         Yates             Yates                 No Designation             Finger Lakes            0.0            0.0            0.0                23.3
       2019             County         Fulton            Fulton                No Designation            Mohawk Valley            3.3            6.7            10.0               30.0
       2019             County        Genesee          Genesee                 No Designation             Finger Lakes            3.3            3.3            3.3                13.3
       2019             County       Hamilton          Hamilton                No Designation            Mohawk Valley            3.3            3.3            3.3                36.7
       2019             County       Herkimer          Herkimer                No Designation            Mohawk Valley            3.3            0.0            0.0                26.7
       2019             County         Lewis             Lewis                 No Designation            North Country            3.3            3.3            6.7                 3.3
       2019             County       Livingston        Livingston              No Designation             Finger Lakes            3.3            3.3            3.3                23.3
       2019             County        Warren            Warren                 No Designation            Capital District         3.3            0.0            0.0                23.3
       2019             County       Wyoming           Wyoming                 No Designation             Finger Lakes            3.3            3.3            3.3                20.0
       2019             County        Monroe            Monroe            Susceptible Fiscal Stress       Finger Lakes            51.3          64.2            69.2               16.7
       2019             County        Nassau            Nassau            Susceptible Fiscal Stress        Long Island            54.6          72.1            68.8               13.3
       2019             County        Suffolk           Suffolk            Significant Fiscal Stress       Long Island            73.3          76.7            76.7               23.3
       2019             County      Westchester       Westchester          Significant Fiscal Stress   Mid-Hudson Region          66.3          69.6            69.6               26.7
                                                           New York State Comptrollers Office – Abbreviated Listing – September 2020
Financial
Indicators                                Fiscal Stress Financial Indicators                                                 2017             2018             2019

    1        Assigned and Unassigned Fund Balance as a Percentage (%) of Gross Expenditures
                                                                                                                              0.0              0.0              0.0
    2
             Total Fund Balance as a Percentage (%) of Gross Expenditures                                                     0.0              0.0              0.0

    3        Operating Deficits                                                                                               0.0              0.0              0.0
             Cash Ratio - Cash and Investments as a Percentage (%) of Current Liabilities                                     0.0              0.0              0.0
    4
    5        Cash as a Percentage (%) of Monthly Gross Expenditures                                                           0.0              0.0              0.0
    6        Short-Term Cash-Flow Debt Issuance as a Percentage (%) of Total Revenues                                         0.0              0.0              0.0
    7        Short-Term Cash-Flow Debt Issuance Trend                                                                         0.0              0.0              0.0
    8        Personal Service and Employee Benefits as a Percentage (%) of Total Revenues (3 year avg)                        0.0              0.0              0.0

             Debt Service as a Percentage (%) of Total Revenues (3 year avg)                                                  0.0              0.0              0.0
    9
                                                                                                         Total Points*        0.0              0.0              0.0
                                                                                                  Score Classification   No Designation   No Designation   No Designation
Score
                                                       Value
         Fiscal Stress Environmental Indicators                               2019
1   Change in Population                              -4.11%                  6.67
2   Percent of Households with Public Assistance
                                                      18.25%                    0

3   Percent of Population Under 18 & Over 65          40.70%                    0
4   Percent Change in Home Value                       7.06%                  6.67
5   Median Household Income                           $50,595                   0
6   Unemployment Rate                                  5.70%                    0
7   Reliance on State and Federal Aid                 23.06%                  13.33
                                                         Total Points*        26.7

                                                   Score Classification   No Designation
FYE 12/31
                                3.00%
                                                                                                2.39%
                                                                                        2.38%
                                2.50%
                                                                              1.84%
                                                                                                        1.79%
             Inflation Factor

                                2.00%   1.66%
                                                1.56%

                                1.50%
                                                                                                                FYE 12/31
                                                        0.73%    0.68%
                                1.00%

                                0.50%

                                0.00%
                                        2014    2015    2016     2017         2018       2019    2020   2021
                                                                Fiscal Year Beginning

As Defined in law, the allowable levy growth factor is the lesser of one plus the inflation factor or one and two-one-
hundredths. For periods where the inflation factor is less then 2 percent, the allowable levy growth factor is equal to one
plus the inflation factor.
14.42

                                                                                                               14.19

                                                                                                 13.90
Tax Rate Per Thousand

                                                                                    13.62
                                                                          13.46
                                                           13.40

                                                   13.17
                                           13.04

                                12.84

                        12.54
                                                                                  Annual Compounded Growth Rate = 1.6%
                                        Tax Cap
                                        Imposed
                                                                                  Rate change between .13 and .29 per year
                                                                                  Per 1,000 of assessed value

                        2012     2013    2014       2015   2016            2017      2018         2019         2020           2021
                                                                   Year
25

           24

           23

           22

           21
Millions

           20

           19

           18

           17

           16

           15
                2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016    2017   2018   2019   2020    2021
                                                   Years                        Proj.   Est.
90

88

86

84

82

80                                                                         EXPENSE
                                                                           REVENUE

78

76

74

72

70
     2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019
68

                    66

                    64

                    62
Percent Exhausted

                    60

                    58

                    56

                    54

                    52

                    50
                         2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020   2021
$6,000,000

$5,000,000

$4,000,000

$3,000,000

$2,000,000

$1,000,000

       $0
             2012   2013    2014         2015     2016          2017          2018          2019    2020   2021

                           Applied Fund Balance   Appropriation Of Surplus During The Fiscal Year
Mandated programs require a county to strictly adhere to rules set by the state, which
define the scope, eligibility, frequency and level of service, amount of benefits, etc. The
State also controls the levels of funding participation for these mandated programs Counties
have virtually no ability to control the cost of these state dictated mandates.

  According to NYSAC, over the next several years the State will implement state tax rebate
check programs and tax breaks for select special interest groups and industrial sectors, not
including STAR, that will exceed $3 billion on an annual basis – none of which will actually
reduce any homeowner’s or small businesses’ property tax bills. New York State has required
county taxpayers to finance with local property taxes dozens of state mandated programs
that, for the most part, other states do not finance through property taxes. We believe that
one of the best ways to improve New York’s economic climate and competitiveness is to not
just to slow the rate of growth in property taxes, but to actually lower them from today’s
levels. We believe that aligning the cost of the state’s mandated programs with the State
Government, that defines and controls them, will result in an historic and sustainable
reduction in county property taxes and create a more appropriate and equitable distribution
of program costs.

Combined, the following ten mandated programs make up 81.52% of the tentative County
tax levy for 2021 compared to 81.57% in 2020.
0.00%
                                                                                              5.00%
                                                                                                          10.00%
                                                                                                                   15.00%
                                                                                                                            20.00%
                                                                                                                                     25.00%
                                                                                                                                               30.00%
                                                                                                                                                        35.00%
                                                                                                                                                                 40.00%
                                                                                                                                              MEDICAID, 34.33%

                                                                                            NEEDY FAMILIES , 2.66%

                                                                                            SAFETY NET, 2.18%

                                                                                             CHILD WELFARE, 3.09%

                                                                                           INGIDENT COST, 1.90%

                                      Department of Social Services - 48.30%
                                                                                                PRESCHOOL, 4.14%

Tax Levy
                                                                                           PROBATION, 1.74%

                                                                                                        CORRECTIONAL FACILITY, 7.45%

Percentage of Tax Levy for 2020
2020 Cost of Mandated programs
                                                                                                                       RETIREMENT COST, 14.64%

                                                                                                      COLLEGE CHARGEBACK, 5.64%

                                                                                         ELECTIONS, 0.29%
22,274,280
27,325,633

    81.52%
                                                                                         DISTRICT ATTORNEY, 0.68%

                                                                                         PUBLIC HEALTH, 0.44%

                                                                                         CASHLESS BAIL, 0.22%
                                                                                                                                                                          EXISTING STATE MANDATES

                                                                                          AIM FUNDING, 1.19%
                                  Per new legislation in 2019 and 2020 - 3.75%

                                                                                          DISTRESS HOSPITALS, 0.93%
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