2021 Chenango County Tentative budget
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• Have a balanced budget using reasonable revenue and expense expectations. • Projecting 2021 revenue is problematic ( NYS aid and sales tax). • 2021 NYS aid budgeted at about 90% of 2019. • 2021 sales tax budgeted at 93% of 2019 actual. • Other than in exigent circumstances adhere to the tax cap. • We have met this precept for all ten year of the Tax Cap Legislation • Maintain a NY State Comptroller’s rating of “not in fiscal stress.” • We have met this precept for all eight years of its calculation.
• Remain Debt free • With the potential exception of partial financing for the CCOB and landfill Cell 5 Projects • The CCOB project, and several others, are now on hold • Maintain a minimum of $ 15,000,000 general fund surplus ( i.e. not otherwise earmarked). • The surplus balance at 12/31/19 was $ 24,000,000. Some of this money will be used to offset potential 2020 and 2021 deficits ( perhaps as much as $5 - $7 million). • The application of General Fund surplus applied to the following years’ budget should not exceed $ 1,500,000 ( >2% of the General and Social Services budgets). • We meet this precept as our application is now at $ 1,340,000.
• Under the tax cap of 1.79% - for the tenth straight year - of $469,000 by about $12,000. Meeting the CAP will allow for state reimbursement of “Raise the Age” costs. • The average tax rate increases by $.24/$1,000 of assessed value or 1.79% from 2020 (about $25 annually per average residence). Individual town rates will vary depending on equalization rates and assessed value totals. • The 2021 budget includes over $ 800,000+ of additional local cost for newly adopted NYS mandated programs for: Lead testing ($ 120,000); early voting ($ 80,000); Probation Supervision ( $ 80,000); Cashless Bail ( $ 60,000); Added DA expenses ( $ 185,000); and the county’s assumption of AIM funding to local municipalities ($ 320,000). These new mandates drove our 2020 spending up by about 8/10ths of one percent and will continue to do so in 2021.
• The PAVE NY and Winter Recovery Programs require NYS Legislative extension. Without that approval we will have about $ 700,000 less of repaving funds available in 2021. Also any 2021 aid reduction here or in the CHIPS program will reduce the number of road miles we can repave; we are on a 7 year cycle. • Traffic Diversion Program and Bed Tax revenues will help reduce property taxes by more than $ 100,000. • Taxable values are flat at $1.86 billion. • The County remains debt free. • Maintains a NY Comptroller's rating of "not in fiscal stress”. • The collapse in interest rates on invested funds will reduce our revenue by about $ -1,000,000.00 • We are now operating school based Mental Health Satellites in the Afton, Bainbridge-Guilford, Greene, Norwich, Otselic Valley and Oxford School Districts. • Our self-funded health plan has a 2021 cost increase of just 2.0%. Since 2013 benefit cost (less salary escrow) have increased about 2% per year. Due to stock market conditions at 3/31/20 NYSERS rates for 2021 are up 15%.
• All 2020 programs are continued in 2021. • Spending is down $400,000 or .4% from 2020’s total of $95.5 million and only 10.2% in total from 2013 ($86.7 million ) or about 1.25% per year. • Budgeted revenues continue to be at robust levels and are very unpredictable (eg. In 2021 we will lose about $ 245,000 of sales tax receipts to fund “distressed hospitals”) • Lessens the application of 2020 General Fund Surplus toward reducing the 2021 budget by $10,000 to $1,340,000. This is the tenth consecutive reduction from the $3,683,000 applied to balance the 2011 budget. We are in compliance with our goal of applying less than 2% of our General and Social Services budget (less Medicaid) to reduce the following year’s tax levy. 2% equals about $ 1,460,000
• We are fully aligned with our 6 financial precepts. • About one third of our local real property tax levy of $26.9 million goes to support Medicaid. Notes : A) Subject to Board of Supervisor’s action / revision B) Subject to adjustment until public filing on 11/16/20
How the County Tax Levy is distributed CHENANGO COUNTY 2021 Based on Average Tentative County Rate PROPERTY TAX RATE For every 1,000 Dollars in Taxable Full Value DISTRIBUTION Economic Assistance $ 6.48 Public Safety $ 2.67 Education County Roads & Transportation $ 2.60 3.15% Economic Health $ 1.02 Development 0.36% Culture & General Government $ 0.71 Recreation 0.36% General Government Education $ 0.45 Social Service 4.89% Programs 44.96% Home & Community Services $ 0.38 Home & Community Services Economic Development $ 0.05 2.67% Culture & Recreation $ 0.05 County Roads Health & 7.07% Transportation Public Safety 18.01% 18.54% AVERAGE COUNTY RATE PER THOUSAND $ 14.42
Federal Aid Applied Surplus 12.34% 2.22% Real Property Taxes CHENANGO COUNTY 2021 30.03% State Aid TENTATIVE BUDGET 16.26% REVENUES CHENANGO COUNTY REVENUE COMPARISON Sales Tax 15.83% Departmental Other Tax Related Income Items Applied Surplus Federal Aid 20.53% 2.79% 2.26% 11.70% Real Property Taxes 29.37% State Aid 16.59% CHENANGO COUNTY 2020 ADOPTED BUDGET REVENUES Sales Tax 16.40% Departmental Other Tax Related Income Items 20.94% 2.74%
Transportation Culture And Economic 21.07% Recreation Assistance 0.16% 27.50% CHENANGO COUNTY 2021 TENTATIVE BUDGET APPROPRIATIONS Education 1.51% CHENANGO COUNTY Public Safety APPROPRIATION 13.54% Fringe Benefits COMPARISON 12.50% Home And General Community Svces Health Government 3.76% 12.36% 7.62% Transportation Culture And 20.80% Recreation Economic Assistance 0.16% 28.23% Education CHENANGO COUNTY 1.50% 2020 ADOPTED BUDGET APPROPRIATIONS Public Safety 13.36% Fringe Benefits 12.01% Home And Community Svces 3.85% Health General Government 12.37% 7.70%
TOTAL TAXABLE SALES % CHANGE
YEAR OVER YEAR COMPARISON OF TAXABLE SALES
http://wwe1.osc.state.ny.us/localgov/nys-local-government-interactive-data.htm
Chenango County compounded annual increase in expenses from 2013 - 2021 is 1.25% per year.
System Components • Utilizes existing data ( AUD) • Objective • Transparent • Early Warning • Real Value over time
• Year-end Fund Balance ( 50 % ) • Operating Deficits ( 10 % ) • Cash Positions ( 20% ) • Short Term Debt ( 10 % ) • Fixed Costs ( 10 % ) **Weighted score based on points
Local Government / Fiscal Year Ending in Class School District County Stress Designation Region Current Year 1 Year Prior 2 Years Prior Environmental Score 2019 County Chenango Chenango No Designation Southern Tier 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.7 2019 County Broome Broome No Designation Southern Tier 0.0 51.3 54.6 33.3 2019 County Chemung Chemung No Designation Southern Tier 0.0 25.8 19.6 20.0 2019 County Delaware Delaware No Designation Southern Tier 3.3 0.0 0.0 33.3 2019 County Otsego Otsego No Designation Southern Tier 0.0 22.5 0.0 33.3 2019 County Schuyler Schuyler No Designation Southern Tier Not Filed 0.0 0.0 2019 County Steuben Steuben No Designation Southern Tier 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 2019 County Tioga Tioga No Designation Southern Tier 3.3 3.3 3.3 26.7 2019 County Tompkins Tompkins No Designation Southern Tier 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7 2019 County Allegany Allegany No Designation Western New York 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 2019 County Cattaraugus Cattaraugus No Designation Western New York 0.0 0.0 3.3 26.7 2019 County Essex Essex No Designation North Country 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 2019 County Greene Greene No Designation Capital District 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.7 2019 County Jefferson Jefferson No Designation North Country 0.0 0.0 9.6 23.3 2019 County Ontario Ontario No Designation Finger Lakes 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 2019 County Putnam Putnam No Designation Mid-Hudson Region 0.0 0.0 3.3 30.0 2019 County Rensselaer Rensselaer No Designation Capital District 0.0 0.0 12.9 23.3 2019 County Schenectady Schenectady No Designation Capital District 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 2019 County Schoharie Schoharie No Designation Mohawk Valley 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.3 2019 County Wayne Wayne No Designation Finger Lakes 0.0 0.0 3.3 10.0 2019 County Yates Yates No Designation Finger Lakes 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.3 2019 County Fulton Fulton No Designation Mohawk Valley 3.3 6.7 10.0 30.0 2019 County Genesee Genesee No Designation Finger Lakes 3.3 3.3 3.3 13.3 2019 County Hamilton Hamilton No Designation Mohawk Valley 3.3 3.3 3.3 36.7 2019 County Herkimer Herkimer No Designation Mohawk Valley 3.3 0.0 0.0 26.7 2019 County Lewis Lewis No Designation North Country 3.3 3.3 6.7 3.3 2019 County Livingston Livingston No Designation Finger Lakes 3.3 3.3 3.3 23.3 2019 County Warren Warren No Designation Capital District 3.3 0.0 0.0 23.3 2019 County Wyoming Wyoming No Designation Finger Lakes 3.3 3.3 3.3 20.0 2019 County Monroe Monroe Susceptible Fiscal Stress Finger Lakes 51.3 64.2 69.2 16.7 2019 County Nassau Nassau Susceptible Fiscal Stress Long Island 54.6 72.1 68.8 13.3 2019 County Suffolk Suffolk Significant Fiscal Stress Long Island 73.3 76.7 76.7 23.3 2019 County Westchester Westchester Significant Fiscal Stress Mid-Hudson Region 66.3 69.6 69.6 26.7 New York State Comptrollers Office – Abbreviated Listing – September 2020
Financial Indicators Fiscal Stress Financial Indicators 2017 2018 2019 1 Assigned and Unassigned Fund Balance as a Percentage (%) of Gross Expenditures 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 Total Fund Balance as a Percentage (%) of Gross Expenditures 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 Operating Deficits 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash Ratio - Cash and Investments as a Percentage (%) of Current Liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 5 Cash as a Percentage (%) of Monthly Gross Expenditures 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 Short-Term Cash-Flow Debt Issuance as a Percentage (%) of Total Revenues 0.0 0.0 0.0 7 Short-Term Cash-Flow Debt Issuance Trend 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 Personal Service and Employee Benefits as a Percentage (%) of Total Revenues (3 year avg) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Debt Service as a Percentage (%) of Total Revenues (3 year avg) 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 Total Points* 0.0 0.0 0.0 Score Classification No Designation No Designation No Designation
Score Value Fiscal Stress Environmental Indicators 2019 1 Change in Population -4.11% 6.67 2 Percent of Households with Public Assistance 18.25% 0 3 Percent of Population Under 18 & Over 65 40.70% 0 4 Percent Change in Home Value 7.06% 6.67 5 Median Household Income $50,595 0 6 Unemployment Rate 5.70% 0 7 Reliance on State and Federal Aid 23.06% 13.33 Total Points* 26.7 Score Classification No Designation
FYE 12/31 3.00% 2.39% 2.38% 2.50% 1.84% 1.79% Inflation Factor 2.00% 1.66% 1.56% 1.50% FYE 12/31 0.73% 0.68% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Fiscal Year Beginning As Defined in law, the allowable levy growth factor is the lesser of one plus the inflation factor or one and two-one- hundredths. For periods where the inflation factor is less then 2 percent, the allowable levy growth factor is equal to one plus the inflation factor.
14.42 14.19 13.90 Tax Rate Per Thousand 13.62 13.46 13.40 13.17 13.04 12.84 12.54 Annual Compounded Growth Rate = 1.6% Tax Cap Imposed Rate change between .13 and .29 per year Per 1,000 of assessed value 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Year
25 24 23 22 21 Millions 20 19 18 17 16 15 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Years Proj. Est.
90 88 86 84 82 80 EXPENSE REVENUE 78 76 74 72 70 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
68 66 64 62 Percent Exhausted 60 58 56 54 52 50 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
$6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Applied Fund Balance Appropriation Of Surplus During The Fiscal Year
Mandated programs require a county to strictly adhere to rules set by the state, which define the scope, eligibility, frequency and level of service, amount of benefits, etc. The State also controls the levels of funding participation for these mandated programs Counties have virtually no ability to control the cost of these state dictated mandates. According to NYSAC, over the next several years the State will implement state tax rebate check programs and tax breaks for select special interest groups and industrial sectors, not including STAR, that will exceed $3 billion on an annual basis – none of which will actually reduce any homeowner’s or small businesses’ property tax bills. New York State has required county taxpayers to finance with local property taxes dozens of state mandated programs that, for the most part, other states do not finance through property taxes. We believe that one of the best ways to improve New York’s economic climate and competitiveness is to not just to slow the rate of growth in property taxes, but to actually lower them from today’s levels. We believe that aligning the cost of the state’s mandated programs with the State Government, that defines and controls them, will result in an historic and sustainable reduction in county property taxes and create a more appropriate and equitable distribution of program costs. Combined, the following ten mandated programs make up 81.52% of the tentative County tax levy for 2021 compared to 81.57% in 2020.
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% MEDICAID, 34.33% NEEDY FAMILIES , 2.66% SAFETY NET, 2.18% CHILD WELFARE, 3.09% INGIDENT COST, 1.90% Department of Social Services - 48.30% PRESCHOOL, 4.14% Tax Levy PROBATION, 1.74% CORRECTIONAL FACILITY, 7.45% Percentage of Tax Levy for 2020 2020 Cost of Mandated programs RETIREMENT COST, 14.64% COLLEGE CHARGEBACK, 5.64% ELECTIONS, 0.29% 22,274,280 27,325,633 81.52% DISTRICT ATTORNEY, 0.68% PUBLIC HEALTH, 0.44% CASHLESS BAIL, 0.22% EXISTING STATE MANDATES AIM FUNDING, 1.19% Per new legislation in 2019 and 2020 - 3.75% DISTRESS HOSPITALS, 0.93%
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