Full Year Results for the year ended 31 December 2019 28 February 2020 - Rightmove Plc
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Agenda 1. FY 2019 Highlights Peter Brooks-Johnson, CEO 2. Financials Robyn Perriss, FD 3. Housing market update Peter Brooks-Johnson, CEO 4. Strategic update Peter Brooks-Johnson, CEO 5. Outlook 6. Appendix 2
Highlights Revenue: Profit: EPS: Dividend: +8% +8% +10% +11% Revenue up to £289.3m Underlying operating profit1 Underlying basic EPS2 Total dividend of 7.2p (2018: £267.8m) increased to £219.7m increased to 20.2p (2018: 6.5p) per ordinary share. (2018: £203.3m) (2018:18.3p) Final dividend increased by 0.4p to 4.4p (2018: 4.0p) Cash returned: Advertisers3: Site traffic4: ARPA3: £148.8m 19,809 12.13bn £1,088 Free cash flow returned Membership as at 31 December Time in minutes down 1% Per month, up £83 to shareholders through 2019 down 3% year on year year on year (2018: 12.28bn) (2018: £1,005) dividends and buybacks (2018: 20,454) (2018: £168.5m) 1. Before share-based payments and NI on share-based incentives 2. Before share-based payments, NI on share-based incentives and no related adjustment for tax 4 3. For Agency and New Homes customers 4 4. Source: Google Analytics
Strategic Highlights Innovating Innovating Innovating in property advertising for agent efficiency for future growth • Auto Featured Property • Launch of a new version of our • Two further iterations of Tenant launched in May Best Price Guide in June Passport experiment • Next generation digital • New algorithm powered • Acquisition of Van Mildert, a marketing solution ‘Rightmove intelligent tool ‘Opportunity tenant referencing company in Active Extension’ launched in Manager’ launched in November September June • Launch in September of • New Optimiser 2020 package mortgage tools with Nationwide launched in November Building Society • New intelligent product ‘Sold by Me’ launched in November 5
Revenue Revenue Revenue Bridge 289.3 300 267.8 243.3 250 220.0 £ millions 200 £ millions 150 100 50 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 Number of customers 7 7 Source: Rightmove
Membership and ARPA 1 Membership Membership numbers down 3% 22 20,121 20,427 20,454 19,809 • Agency branches down 6% since the start of 20 18 the year to 16,347 16 14 • New Homes developments up 11% to 3,462 Thousands 12 10 8 • We continue to be the only place to see 6 virtually the whole UK property market with 4 2 900,000 properties 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 ARPA 1 £83 Continued ARPA growth2 £83 £1,100 £ per branch/development per year 12,000 £80 £1,088 £1,005 +8% £1,080 +9% £1,088 10,000 £922 +10% £1,060 £842 LTM ARPA 8,000 £1,040 £1,020 6,000 £1,000 4,000 £980 2,000 £960 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 8 8 Source: Rightmove 1: For Agency and New Homes customers 2. Last 12 Months
Cost, profit and margin Costs1 Underlying operating profit1 Margin: 75.5% 75.8% 75.9% 75.9% 80 250 69.6 70 219.7 64.5 58.9 203.3 60 200 53.8 184.4 166.2 £ millions £ millions 50 150 40 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 9 Source: Rightmove 9 1. Before share-based payments and NI on share-based incentives
Income statement Year ended Year ended Growth YOY 31 December 2019 31 December 2018 £m £m Revenue 289.3 267.8 Operating costs (69.6) (64.5) Underlying operating profit 219.7 203.3 8% Underlying operating profit margin 75.9% 75.9% Share-based payments (4.9) (4.3) NI on share-based incentives (1.1) (0.4) Operating profit 213.7 198.6 8% Net financial expense (0.1) (0.3) Profit before tax 213.6 198.3 Income tax expense (40.5) (37.8) Profit for the year 173.1 160.5 8% 10 10 Source: Rightmove
Summary balance sheet As at As at 31 December 2019 31 December 2018 £m £m Property, plant and equipment 12.8 15.2 Intangible assets 21.9 2.9 Deferred tax assets 2.7 2.8 Total non-current assets 37.4 20.9 Trade and other receivables 24.0 22.5 Contract assets 0.4 0.4 Cash and money market deposits 36.3 19.9 Total current assets 60.7 42.8 Trade and other payables (19.5) (18.1) Contract liabilities (2.1) (2.1) Lease liabilities (12.2) (13.0) Income tax payable (18.9) (16.8) Deferred tax liabilities (0.9) - Provisions (3.2) (1.1) Total liabilities (56.8) (51.1) Net assets 41.3 12.6 11 11 Source: Rightmove
Cash bridge and dividend Full year 2019 • £148.8m (2018: £168.5m) returned to shareholders in the year • 16.3m (2018: 25.0m) shares bought back at an average price of £5.45 and £millions cancelled • Closing cash and money market deposits of £36.3m (2018: £19.9m) • Final dividend increased by 0.4p to 4.4p bringing the full year dividend to 7.2p (2018: 6.5p) up 11% Cash EBITDA Working Tax Capex Acquisition Share Dividends Lease Other Cash Dec 2018 before capital payments of buybacks payments incl net Dec 2019 IFRS 2 Van Mildert (incl costs) interest 12 Source: Rightmove
3. Housing market update Peter Brooks-Johnson, CEO 13
The UK housing market is resilient, but the leading indicators were slow in H2 Housing Transactions 2006-2019 (UK)1 1,800 1,600 Transaction (thousands) 1,670 1,613 1,400 1,200 1,235 1,230 1,220 1,219 1,191 1,174 1,000 1,073 800 933 900 886 885 600 858 400 200 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 New Sales Listings Compared to 20182 • The number of housing transactions in 2019 was only 1.4% 100% lower than 2018 95% • Notable slow down in new listings in Q3 reduced the amount of available stock by 10% at the end of the year compared to 90% 2018 85% • Reduction in available stock yet to be apparent in transaction 80% numbers, but limited choice may hamper transaction numbers in early 2020 if it does not reverse Source: 1. HMRC 2. Rightmove (adjusted for working days) 14
Increasing time to sell led to a cash flow impact in H1 2019 for low stock branches • Buyer hesitancy increased time to sell notably at the Estate Agency membership compared to 2017 end of 2018 and into 2019 160% 140% • Anecdotal evidence that time to complete also Proportion of 2017 increased 120% 100% • Low-stock branches more vulnerable to cash flow 80% impact of increased transactions times 60% • Slow down in Agency leavers in second half of 2019 40% Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Leaver Rate Joiner Rate Branch distribution by sales stock 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 81-90 91-100 100+ Branch stock level December 2018 December 2019 15 Source: Rightmove
New Homes development flow was consistent in the second half of 2019 New Homes development numbers indexed to 2017 250% New listings/site sold Developers brought forward rates balanced in H2 2019 200% listings in late 2018/early 2019 to Proportion of 2017 leading to small growth in combat sales rate decline developments listed 150% 100% 50% 0% Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Site Sold Rate New Development Listing Rate Developments numbers in second half of 2019 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 July August September October November December 16 Source: Rightmove
Early 2020 market Consumer demand January 2020 vs January 2019 encouraging, but demand outstripping supply • Respite from uncertainty leading to significant increase in activity post election: • Record traffic in January, over 150m visits in a month for the first time with consumers spending nearly 1.2bn minutes on Rightmove • Demand up on a year ago in most regions • New property listing numbers are slower to recover: • New listings in January 2020 at the same level as January 2019, February looking more positive • Fewer and smaller price reductions than last two years 17 Source: Rightmove
Early 2020 market encouraging, but some agents will be impacted by H2 2019 overhang • Commission rates slightly increased and the • Market fundamentals remain positive: overall Agency revenue pool is at least stable • Employment rates remain at record high • Sales agreed up over 12% on January 2019 • Mortgage interest rates remain low • Sale fall through rate at its lowest since 2014 • Certainty, for now January sales agreed (indexed to 2014) 105% 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 • Looking forward, slower H2 2019 will impact some agents in early 2020: • Some smaller agents will continue to struggle with lack of cash flow from the slower activity • Slower listings market has an impact on hybrid agents 18 Source: Rightmove
4. Strategic update Peter Brooks-Johnson, CEO 19
Making home moving easier in the UK Our aim is to create a simpler and more efficient property marketplace Buyers Sellers Agents Renters Developers Landlords SIMPLICITY The place consumers turn to first Unrivalled exposure, leads and and engage with most products for our customers The three pillars of our strategy: • The place consumers ‘turn to first’ and engage with most • Offer unrivalled exposure, leads and products for our customers • Innovate to create a better marketplace 20
The place consumers ‘turn to first’ and engage with most Traffic1 • Continuing high engagement with 12.1 billion 14 1.8 minutes spent on Rightmove 12 1.6 • Over 1.6 billion visits in 2019, up 2% year on year 1.4 10 • Time spent per property listed increased 4%, Billions of Minutes 1.2 Billions of Visits 8 however fewer properties reduced total time by 1% 1 6 0.8 • Traffic to our research tools grew 7% with 4 0.6 consumers spending over 480 million minutes on 0.4 features such as sold prices 2 0.2 • 40.5 million leads sent to our customers, 2% more 0 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 per property listed, but 4% down on 2018 in total Time Visits Market Share of top 4 property portals2 100% 80% 60% 40% Comscore methodology change 20% 0% Rightmove Zoopla Primelocation OnTheMarket 21 Source: 1. Google Analytics & Rightmove 2. Comscore
Unrivalled exposure, leads and products for our customers • 38% of Agency branches now taking either the Enhanced or Enhanced package1 Optimiser package, up from 27% in December 2018 3,500 • Record revenue from digital marketing solutions for New 3,000 Homes developers gaining targeted access to our unique in- 2,500 market audience of home hunters 2,000 1,500 • Encouraging early sales of new Optimiser 2020 package 1,000 launched in November with nearly 200 sales in two months 500 at an average uplift of just under £300 0 2017 2018 2019 • 2020 product sales and pricing progressing according to plan Optimiser package1 Digital marketing solutions revenue2 3,500 9 £ millions 3,000 8 7 2,500 6 2,000 5 1,500 4 3 1,000 2 500 1 0 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 22 Source: Rightmove 1.Estate and rental agents 2.New Homes developers
Innovating for property advertising • Influencing potential sellers early in their journey is important to ensure agents are part of the potential seller’s “consideration phase” • Sellers tend to consider agents who successfully sell “properties like mine” • Sold By Me Automatically and dynamically targets sellers moving locally and out of area by showcasing an agent’s success on the most viewed page on Rightmove • Properties are automatically chosen to be closest to a seller’s home location where we know it and maximum price • Exclusively available to customers who take the new Optimiser 2020 package • Good consumer engagement with over 100,000 consumer interactions in January alone 23
Innovating for agent efficiency Opportunity Manager rolled out as part of Optimiser 2020 package • Nearly two thirds of home hunters sending a Rightmove lead have yet to select an agent to sell their current home • In a recent exercise 87% of agents missed an instruction opportunity in a lead1 • Opportunity Manager uncovers potential sellers within the pool of buyers an agent already knows just before they’re ready to consider instructing an agent • It helps agents prioritise and manage the contact with those prospects • Powered by a real time algorithm to intelligently spot buyers that are most likely to turn into potential home sellers in the agent’s area 24 1. Property Academy - mystery shopping for the Best Estate Agent Guide 2019, based on 4,300 sales calls
Opportunity Manager can be enhanced by several Rightmove products Rightmove Discover Local Valuation Alert Auto Featured Property Opportunity Manager 25
Innovating for future growth Help home movers Help property be “transaction Opportunity professionals be ready” more efficient 26
Helping tenants to be transaction ready Lettings process dogged by lack of visibility for tenant and agent, duplicate data entry, last minute reference failures and a lack of pace leading to wasted effort for tenant and agent Rightmove is in a unique position to create integration efficiencies for agent and landlord whilst generating revenue and commission for agents Journey Search View Reference Contract Move in Long term opportunity Capability Rightmove Passport Van Mildert Van Mildert Insurance Customer efficiency For Rightmove Revenue Growth Rightmove tenant proposition Initiatives Prototype to simplify and Referencing order Referencing speed Market leading landlord protection automate communication flow integration in improvements insurance. Rightmove experience in between agent and tenant progress under way digital marketing yet to be deployed 27
5. Outlook Peter Brooks-Johnson, CEO 28
Outlook • Continued ARPA growth driven by customers spending more on packages and pricing with 2020 pricing rollout according to plan • Customer numbers in the first half of 2020 likely to follow a similar trajectory to the second half of 2019 as a result of the slower listing market • More product innovation on track for delivery in 2020 • Confident in delivering the Board’s full year expectations 29 29
You can also read