Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte

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Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
Industry Insight
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook
2019
Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Contents

Contents

Introduction                                             3

Glossary                                                 4

Global Perspectives                                      6

In Focus                                                 17

Beyond Supply Chains                                     22

Domestic Environment                                     30

New Zealand Freight Task                                 33

Port Performance                                         42

Port Summaries                                           54

Our Infrastructure & Capital Projects Offering           67

                                                              2
Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Introduction

Introduction

 The Deloitte New Zealand Ports and               We are pleased to release this
 Freight Yearbook presents a concise              Yearbook as part of Deloitte’s recently
 snapshot of macroeconomic and                    established Infrastructure & Capital
 domestic drivers of New Zealand port             Projects (ICP) integrated market
 and freight activity. Additionally, we           offering.
 include insight pieces on key trends in
 the shipping industry. We welcome                Our domestic and global network of
 your feedback and look forward to                ICP professionals, allow us to bring
 future discussion and engagement.                together deep skills to address all
                                                  aspects of infrastructure development
 The Yearbook has again been                      and operation.
 prepared with contribution from
 Deloitte’s specialist economic advisory          Our ICP services help clients to:
 team, Deloitte Access Economics, who             develop investment confidence;
 have provided global and domestic                effectively plan, manage and control a
 economic insights. We also welcome               project’s cost and schedule; and better
 input from our Consulting service line           manage and optimise existing assets
 on the role of ports in the digital              (often through digital transformations
 supply network and how this role will            that increase a client’s capability to
 shape the implementation of digital              control and operate their
 technologies.                                    infrastructure).

 This years ‘In Focus’ pieces include the
 impact of the new Marpol Annex 6 low
 sulphur fuel regulations, the piloting of
 hydrogen production and refuelling
 facilities, and smart containers.

 The Yearbook also presents recent
 data on the New Zealand freight task
 alongside operational and financial
 performance data for New Zealand’s
 major ports.

                                                                                            3
Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Glossary

Glossary

Brexit                      United Kingdom’s Exit from the European Union    NZTA    New Zealand Transport Agency
CCFI                        China Containerised Freight Index                OCR     Official Cash Rate
CNG                         Compressed Natural Gas                           OECD    Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
EBIT                        Earnings Before Interest and Tax                 ONE     Ocean Network Express
EIA                         Energy Information Administration                PPP     Public Private Partnership
FEU                         Forty-foot Equivalent Unit                       RBNZ    Reserve Bank of New Zealand
FIGS                        Freight Information Gathering System             RCD     Remote Container Device
FTA                         Free Trade Agreement                             RCM     Remote Container Management
GDP                         Gross Domestic Product                           RORO    Roll-on Roll-off
GFC                         Global Financial Crisis                          T&L     Transport and Logistics
GT                          Gross Tonnes                                     TEU     Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit
HFO                         Heavy Fuel Oil                                   TPP     Trans Pacific Partnership
ICP                         Infrastructure & Capital Projects                TWI     Trade Weighted Index
IMF                         International Monetary Fund                      ULSFO   Ultra Low Sulphur Fuel Oil
IMO                         International Maritime Organisation              USMCA   United States-Mexico-Canada Free Trade Agreement
IoT                         Internet of Things                               WTO     World Trade Organisation
LNG                         Liquefied Natural Gas
LPG                         Liquefied Petroleum Gas
MoT                         Ministry of Transport
NFDS                        National Freight Demands Study
NPAT                        Net Profit after Tax
NZIER                       New Zealand Institute of Economic Research Inc

                                                                                                                                              4
Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Glossary

Glossary

 COUNTRIES                                                                 PORTS
BRA                         Brazil                                         AKL     Ports of Auckland
CHN                         China                                          BLU     Southport (Bluff)
DEU                         Germany                                        EST     Eastland Port
IDN                         Indonesia                                      LYT     Lyttelton Port of Christchurch
IND                         India                                          MLB     Port Marlborough
JPN                         Japan                                          NPE     Napier Port
KOR                         South Korea                                    NPL     Port Taranaki
MYS                         Malaysia                                       NSN     Port Nelson
SAU                         Saudi Arabia                                   NTH     Northport
THA                         Thailand                                       POE     Port of Otago
TWN                         Taiwan                                         TIU     PrimePort Timaru
USA                         United States of America                       TRG     Port of Tauranga
VNM                         Vietnam                                        WLG     CentrePort (Wellington)
 TRADE ROUTES
AS-ME                       Asia to Middle East Trade Route
AS-Med                      Asian to Mediterranean Trade Route
AS-NA                       Asia to North America Trade Route
AS-NE                       Asia to Northern Europe Trade Route
AS-SA                       Asia to South America Trade Route
AUS-FE                      Australia to Far East Trade Route
NA-SA                       North America to South America Trade Route
NE-NA                       Northern Europe to North America Trade Route
NE-SA                       Northern Europe to South America Trade Route

                                                                                                                    5
Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
Global Perspectives

                      6
Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives – Deloitte Access Economics

Global economy                                   Steady economic growth and a strong            China’s ongoing trade dispute with the US       The current period can be categorised as
                                                 labour market in the United States (US)        is of particular importance with a current      one of higher risk aversion compared to
The global economy has softened after
                                                 saw the Federal Reserve increase the           halt on tariff increases in place.              previous years. Rising trade tensions and
weaker performance in some economies
                                                 federal funds rate by a total of 100 basis     Representatives from both parties are           deeper-than-expected contractions in
in the second half of 2018. The
                                                 points over the course of 2018 to a            aiming to close a deal by late April.           developing economies such as Turkey and
International Monetary Fund’s (IMF)
                                                 current range of 2.25-2.5%. Guidance           Failure to resolve this dispute would have      Argentina have led investors to lower
World Economic Outlook (January 2019)
                                                 suggests it will remain around this level in   a wide-ranging negative impact on global        their exposure to riskier assets.
estimates global gross domestic product
                                                 2019 with US GDP growth projected to be        economies.
(GDP) growth has remained at 3.7% in                                                                                                            It is clear that the pending outcome of
                                                 lower than in previous years at 2.0%.
2018, in line with 2017 growth.                                                                 Decreases in global growth projections for      trade disputes will have a determining
                                                 China is facing a slowdown in GDP growth       2019 are primarily attributed to the            impact on growth in 2019. The signing of
The global outlook is for a slight slow-
                                                 due in part to financial regulatory            economic slowdown in China combined             the US-Mexico-Canada free trade
down in growth for 2019 and 2020, to
                                                 tightening and escalating trade tensions.      with unresolved trade tensions globally.        agreement (USMCA), and the US-China
3.5% and 3.6% respectively. This is lower
                                                 GDP growth is projected to be 6.2% in          Further concerns surround the stability of      90-day halt on tariff increases at the end
than current levels but still higher than
                                                 2019, following the downward trend of          Italy’s fiscal policy, where sovereign yields   of 2018 represented meaningful steps
the average 3.3% rate achieved in the
                                                 recent years.                                  remain high. Other negative shocks to           towards de-escalating trade tensions.
years following the 2008 Global Financial
                                                                                                global growth forecasts include new auto        However, global uncertainty surrounding
Crisis (GFC).
                                                                                                fuel emission standards in Germany and          the Brexit deal and negotiations between
                                                                                                weakening financial market sentiment.           the US and China remain. If these trade
                                                                                                                                                disputes can be resolved in a co-operative
  Real GDP growth (annual change)                                                               The United Kingdom’s (UK) negotiations
                                                                                                                                                and timely manner growth outcomes may
                                                                                                with the European Union over its pending
     20                                                                                                                                         exceed baseline projections.
                                                                                                exit (Brexit) remain ongoing. This casts
                                                                              Forecast

     15                                                                                         further uncertainty over global markets.        However, the current outlook is tilted to
                                                                                                The final terms of the deal regarding           the downside. Both the UK and Europe,
     10                                                                                         trade, migration and financial access to        and the US and China, face a difficult
                                                                                                the single market are eagerly awaited as        negotiation process with the concern that
      5                                                                                         failure to secure a favourable deal would       trade negotiation breakdowns will lead to
%

                                                                                                harm the UK labour market and economy.          an increase in tariff barriers. It is
      -
                                                                                                                                                expected that all global trading partners
                                                                                                Increased euro-scepticism is also on the
                                                                                                                                                would suffer as a result. In this case,
     (5)                                                                                        rise in other parts of Europe which may
                                                                                                                                                global growth rates may fall short of
                                                                                                affect future European parliamentary
    (10)                                                                                                                                        projections, which are already on a
                         Australia             China                  India                     election outcomes. Combined with an
                                                                                                                                                downward trend.
                         New Zealand           United States          World                     impending Brexit, this threatens to disrupt
                         Euro area                                                              the region’s economic environment.
 Source: IMF world economic outlook
                                                                                                                                                                                         7
Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives – Deloitte Access Economics

Global trade                                     Broadly speaking, New Zealand’s trade           New Zealand’s ‘Trade for All’ agenda        Of particular note is New Zealand’s
                                                 policy consists of multilateral negotiations,   includes a number of key principles that    support of multi-lateral negotiations and a
Global trade activity continues to grow,
                                                 Bilateral and Regional Trade Agreements         inform the future direction of trade with   focus on the Asia-Pacific region.
yet at a lower rate than seen in previous
                                                 (BRTAs) and unilateral action to reduce         New Zealand.
years. IMF forecasts show that world
                                                 New Zealand’s import tariffs. The first two
trade volumes grew by 4.0% in 2018.
                                                 aspects of trade policy mentioned have an
This growth was at a more moderate pace
                                                 external focus, while the latter aspect has
than earlier 2018 estimates, with 2019
                                                 a domestic focus.                                Free Trade Agreements in force
and 2020 forecasts predicting trade
                                                                                                     ASEAN-Australia New Zealand Free Trade Area (AANZFTA)
expansion will remain at 4.0% in the             New Zealand has been a strong advocate
                                                                                                      New Zealand-China Free Trade Agreement
coming years.                                    of free trade and at the forefront of
                                                                                                      Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership (P4)
                                                 negotiating bilateral and multilateral free
The flat lining of trade growth is in part                                                            New Zealand and Thailand Closer Economic Partnership
                                                 trade agreements. The relatively small
due to the heightened tension between                                                                 New Zealand and Singapore Closer Economic Partnership
                                                 and geographically dispersed population
major trading partners, and the                                                                       Australia and New Zealand Closer Economic Relations (CER)
                                                 of New Zealand and distance to markets
uncertainty surrounding the outcome of                                                                New Zealand-Korea Free Trade Agreement
                                                 means trade is critical to delivering the
these negotiations. The US and China are
                                                 high quality and diverse nature of goods             Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP)
yet to reach a deal on their trade dispute,
                                                 that New Zealanders produce and                      New Zealand and Malaysia Free Trade Agreement - signed but not yet in force
and the UK appears far from finalising the
                                                 consume, at affordable prices. It is                 New Zealand and Hong Kong, China Closer Economic Partnership
terms of its impending exit from the
                                                 estimated that over 600,000 jobs are in
European Union.
                                                 direct export sectors with the majority of       Free Trade Agreements - Concluded but not in force
Actual trade growth figures will depend on       these jobs located in the New Zealand               Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)
the outcome of the unresolved trade              regions.                                            New Zealand - Gulf Cooperation Council Free Trade Agreement
disputes mentioned above. While current                                                              Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement (ACTA)
                                                 A key objective of the New Zealand
forecasts do not represent a reduction in                                                             PACER Plus
                                                 Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade
global growth, risks to heavily weighted to
                                                 (MFAT) is for Free Trade Agreements
the down-side. This is reflected in the                                                           Free Trade Agreements Under Negotiation
                                                 (FTAs) to cover 90% of goods exports by             New Zealand - EU Free Trade Agreement
weakening financial markets sentiment
                                                 2030.                                               India FTA
currently observed globally.
                                                 Currently New Zealand has trade                      RBK FTA
New Zealand’s trade policy is important
                                                 agreements with 16 World Trade                       Trade in Services Agreement (TiSA)
for the Port sector as it has the capacity
                                                 Organisation (WTO) members. This                     New Zealand - China Free Trade Agreement Upgrade
to affect imports and exports moving
                                                 evolution is the continuation of a move              New Zealand - Pacific Alliance Free Trade Agreement
around New Zealand.
                                                 away from trading with European powers               Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP)
                                                 to more regional trade.

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Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

Container shipping                               Long-haul mainlane trades are critical to
                                                 the overall health of the shipping
The shipping industry plays a pivotal role
                                                 industry. These mainlane trades face a
within the global economy that has been
                                                 difficult year with trade tensions between
shaped since the 1960’s by the two mega
                                                 the US, China and Europe on top of
trends of globalisation and
                                                 saturation of containerised goods in
containerisation.
                                                 Western markets.
The shipping industry is constantly
                                                 Intra-Asia growth for the first 11 months
evolving, striving for increased efficiency
                                                 of 2018 was the slowest recorded in the
through innovation with new larger ships
                                                 last decade at 3.8%.
specialised for each trade (especially
containers) and adopting emerging                Freight rates on intra-Asia trades were
technologies to boost efficiency and             steady throughout 2017-2018 but it is
improve environmental outcomes.                  worth considering what will happen to
                                                 rates should extra-Asian trades weaken.
The global container shipping outlook is
largely negative. Demand risks remain in         European containerised imports are stuck
the form of trade protectionism and              - with low demand growth of no more
slower than expected economic growth.            than 2% for the foreseeable future
Rising fuel costs and incoming sulphur           particularly if consumer behaviour does
regulations also stand to place more             not change from that observed in the last
pressure on shipping lines.                      four years.
Healthy but slower volume growth is              Higher growth rates are forecast for
forecast through 2019. Freight rates will        African and South American trades, but
remain steady with supply and demand             this will mainly be in volume rather than
balanced by a dip in the number of new           freight rates.
ships scheduled for delivery during the
                                                 Unless the costs of steaming from the
year.
                                                 International Maritime Organisation’s
Capacity deployment is becoming more             (IMO) 2020 sulphur cap are passed on
efficient due to consolidation in the            through the whole supply chain, profit
industry. This is key to a sustainable           margins in the container shipping industry
balance and freight rates that support           will be reduced, a failure to recover the
profitability.                                   costs may even result in bankruptcies.

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Industry Insight New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

Container freight trends                         The majority of Twenty-foot Equivalent
                                                                                                    Global freight task
                                                 Units (TEU) shipped on the Asia-North
Since 2000 the proportion of total global                                                                         60,000                                                                                   18.0%
                                                 America trade route are East bound,
freight that is containerised has steadily
                                                 heading from Asia to North America. This                                                                                                                  16.0%
increased and as of 2017 containerised                                                                            50,000
                                                 is consistent with China’s status as the                                                                                                                  14.0%
goods make up 15.7% of total freight
                                                 World’s dominant exporter. The West
(billion tonne-miles).                                                                                            40,000                                                                                   12.0%

                                                                                            Billion tonne-miles
                                                 bound trade between Asia and Northern
The importance of Asia (especially China)        Europe reinforces this notion.                                                                                                                            10.0%
                                                                                                                  30,000
is exemplified by its participation in the                                                                                                                                                                 8.0%
top four container trade routes.                                                                                  20,000                                                                                   6.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           4.0%
                                                                                                                  10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                           2.0%
                                                                                                                       -                                                                                     -
                                                                                                                           2001    2003      2005     2007     2009    2011     2013        2015     2017
                                                                                                                           Container         Other Dry        Oil/Gas/Chemicals            Container Share (RHS)
                                                                                                  Source: The Shipbuilders Association of Japan

                                                                                                     Top trade routes
                                                                                                                  30

                                                                                                                  25

                                                                                            Million TEU           20

                                                                                                                  15

                                                                                                                  10

                                                                                                                   5

                                                                                                                   -       AS-NA     AS-NE      AS-Med       AS-ME     NE-NA       AS-SA        NE-SA      NA-SA
                                                                                                                                   West Bound      East Bound        North Bound     South Bound
                                                                                                  Source: Worldshipping
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

Consolidation                                    The three largest alliances are:
                                                                                                   Top 20 container lines
The top seven container shipping lines           •   2M Alliance: The two largest lines,                     5.0
control nearly 70% of global container               Maersk (who acquired Hamburg Sud in                     4.5
ship capacity in a market where                      2017) and MSC formed the 2M                             4.0
economies of scale are considered vital.             alliance, later adding Hyundai who will                 3.5

                                                                                               Million TEU
The continued quest for scale has seen               be departing in April 2020 (38% share                   3.0
the largest shipping lines form three                of global containership capacity).                      2.5
                                                                                                             2.0
major alliances.
                                                 •   Ocean Alliance: CMA CGM (who                            1.5
These three alliances collectively control           acquired APL/NOL), COSCO (who                           1.0
80% of global containership capacity,                merged with CSCL), Evergreen and                        0.5
90% of Trans-Pacific trade and 96% of                OOCL, unravelling several preceding                       -

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     KMTC
                                                                                                                                                    Hapag-Lloyd

                                                                                                                                                                                                      HMM

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      SITC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    QASC
                                                                                                                                          CMA CGM

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Wan Hai
                                                                                                                   Maersk

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            IRISL
                                                                                                                                  COSCO

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            X-Press
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Zim
                                                                                                                            MSC

                                                                                                                                                                  ONE

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             SM
                                                                                                                                                                                    Yang Ming

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Arkas
                                                                                                                                                                                                PIL

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Zhonggu
                                                                                                                                                                        Evergreen
Asia-Europe Trade.                                   pacts (28% share of global capacity).

The benefits of alliances are many and           •   THE Alliance: Hapag-Lloyd, having
include the ability to capture scale without         merged with UASC, formed an alliance
the need to commit significant amounts of            with Yang Ming, Ocean Network                                           2M           Ocean                    Alliance                     Independent            Chartered                Orderbook
                                                                                                  Source: Alphaliner
capital or adding additional capacity to a           Express (ONE) and MOL (15% of
market which is already oversupplied.                global capacity).
Alliances can also improve utilisation of
                                                 The three largest Japanese lines have
vessels and increase the frequency of
                                                 recently entered into a joint venture,
services available to shippers.
                                                 commencing operations in April 2018. The
Concerns about shipping alliances include        three lines, NYK Group, MOL and K Line,
barriers to entry on East-West trade             operate as ONE and remain part of THE
routes and the possibility of alliances          Alliance.
being used as vehicles for collusion
                                                 In further M&A activity, COSCO completed
between carriers. The immense
                                                 a US$6.3 billion takeover of OOCL in July
bargaining power in relation to ports and
                                                 2018. COSCO are now the world’s third
terminals that alliances lend to carriers
                                                 largest container line with over 430
serves to depress rates for port services
                                                 vessels and 2.5 million TEU in capacity.
and allow carriers to exert increased
pressure on ports for additional public
infrastructure.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   11
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

Excess capacity                                  Evergreen will receive ten ships during
                                                 the year including six G-class 20,388 TEU
Prior to the GFC shipbuilding activity
                                                 vessels.
exceeded demand as shipping lines all
pursued the same growth strategy –               Among other carriers Hapag – Lloyd, ZIM
larger, more efficient new-generation            and Wan Hai have no ships scheduled for
ships. The order book peaked at an all-          delivery in 2019.
time record of 170 million Gross Tonnes
                                                 Maersk, CMA CGM, ONE and Yang Ming
(GT) in 2007 (pre-GFC).
                                                 each have order books of between 30,000
More than 1.3 million TEU was delivered          and 80,000 TEU in 2019.
in 2018 compared with 1.2 million in
                                                 The medium term order book remains
2017. This was coupled with a further
                                                 strong with some three million TEU to be
reduction in scrapping, resulting in an
                                                 delivered by 2021. Despite over capacity,
increase in the total fleet of 5.7% to more
                                                 shipping lines continue to invest in new
than 22.3 million TEU up from 21 million
                                                 larger ships.
TEU in November 2017.
                                                 The order book is notable for the
This supply growth was not matched by
                                                 prominence of mid-size and smaller
demand resulting in more than 628,000
                                                 carriers who are quickly adding capacity in
TEU sitting idle at the end of the year, an
                                                 the hope of leap-frogging the competition.
increase of 212,000 TEU on the same
                                                 HMM, for example, has ordered an
time in 2017.
                                                 additional 338,000 TEU comprising 12
In January 2019 the idle container ship          23,000 TEU vessels and eight 14,000 TEU
fleet stood at 561,187 TEU a fall from the       ships. The larger vessels are targeted for
more than 628,000 in December 2018.              delivery from Q2 2020 while the smaller
                                                 vessels will enter service from Q2 2021.
Of capacity to be delivered during the
current year, MSC leads the way with             Drewery Maritime Research remains
334,550 TEU scheduled, including eight           critical of the continued ordering of ultra-
23,000 TEU vessels.                              large ships, having identified capacity
                                                 management and continued consolidation
COSCO is also scheduled to take delivery
                                                 as the two key requirements for sustained
of 180,970 TEU in the first half of the year
                                                 liner profitability.
including six 19-21,000 TEU vessels.

                                                                                                12
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

Scrapping                                        While the scrapping of ships remained low
                                                 during 2018, an increase in scrapping
As new ships are delivered into a market
                                                 may well be on the horizon. The primary
with continued over capacity, scrapping
                                                 driver of an up tick in scrapping rates is
will typically increase. For example in
                                                 likely to be the IMO’s 0.5% sulphur cap
2016 an all time record of over 670,000
                                                 on fuel from 1 January 2020. Older, less
TEU was scrapped.
                                                 fuel efficient vessels will need to either
Initial forecasts were for scrapping in          use Ultra Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (ULSFO)
2017 to be even higher, however                  or install scrubbers in order to continue
increased demand coupled with lower              using heavy fuel oil (HFO).
scrap prices resulted in lower than
                                                 The cost of adding scrubbers to older and
expected volumes; only 427,250 TEU was
                                                 smaller vessels may meet or exceed the
ultimately scrapped. This trend continued
                                                 actual asset value of the ship while these
in 2018 where scrapping dropped to a
                                                 same vessels, being less fuel efficient,
seven year low of 111,200 TEU.
                                                 could be overly expensive to operate
In recent years the obsolescence of              using ULSFO. If the Sulphur cap renders
Panamax ships, due to the expansion of           the use of these vessels uneconomic then
the Panama Canal drove much of the               their potential to be scrapped increases
scrapping activity, however the increased        greatly.
value of these ships in 2018 halted this
process.

                                                                                              13
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

Ship size                                        The current order book emphasises the
                                                 pursuit of scale with orders for ultra-large
The first container ship was introduced in
                                                 container vessels continuing to be added.
1956. The Ideal X carried 58 containers.
                                                 MSC is expected to begin taking delivery
Within eight years the Associated
                                                 of ultra-large ships with capacities of
Steamship company had introduced ships
                                                 22,000 – 23,000 TEU from August 2019
with a capacity of nearly 1,000 TEU. Since
                                                 onwards. CMA CGM will also receive nine
then the capacity of container ships has
                                                 ships in the 22,500 TEU class from
continued to increase at a rapid rate. The
                                                 December 2019. There are also rumours
largest ships currently in service are now
                                                 that OOCL, recently acquired by COSCO,
almost 400 metres in length and have a
                                                 has ordered six ships at 23,000 TEU each.
capacity of more than 21,000 TEU.
                                                 Bunker price plays an important role in
The continuous pursuit of economies of
                                                 the economies of scale achieved by larger
scale is the rationale behind the ever
                                                 ships. The largest savings are due to the
increasing size of container ships. Larger
                                                 reduced cost of fuel per container
vessels provide cost efficiencies in fuel,
                                                 shipped. The implementation of Marpol 6
crew and greenhouse gas emissions per
                                                 is scheduled for 1 January 2020, the
container. However, there is a question as
                                                 consequences of which remain to be seen
to how long this trend of increasing ship
                                                 but are sure to impact realised economies
size can continue. For a start the world’s
                                                 of scale. It is notable that nine new CMA
shipping lanes may simply not be wide or
                                                 CGM ships are to be powered by Liquefied
deep enough to handle vessels
                                                 Natural Gas (LNG).
significantly larger than those already
under construction. Additionally, returns
to scale decline with size, with the
attractiveness of increasing vessel size
from 20,000 to 30,000 TEU being
significantly less than from 10,000 to
20,000 TEU.

                                                                                                14
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

        Global perspectives

       Bunker Price                                         The Low Sulphur Fuel Oil required from     Container Rates                                          Financial Performance
                                                            January 2020 is forecast to be priced at
       One of the most significant determinants                                                        Stagnating container rates have proved a                 High fuel prices and low shipping rates
                                                            up to US$650 per tonne.
       of container line profitability is fuel prices.                                                 drag on shipping line profitability                      means that financial conditions remain
                                                                                                       especially when coupled with rising fuel                 challenging for the shipping industry with
       The price of bunker fuel has risen
                                                                                                       costs.                                                   these factors reducing profitability.
       significantly over the last few years.
                                                                                                       The Chinese Containerised Freight Index                  Ocean Network Express (ONE) reported a
       In 2015 the average price of a tonne of
                                                                                                       (CCFI) has fallen from more than 1,400                   total net loss of US$491 million in its first
       bunker in Rotterdam, New York and
                                                                                                       to 820 at present. The chart below clearly               nine months of operation and is forecast
       Shanghai was US$170, by 2017 this had
                                                                                                       shows the steep fall in container rates and              to lose a total of US$594 million by the
       increased to between US$300 and
                                                                                                       a more recent levelling off.                             end of its first year.
       US$350 per tonne with prices towards the
       end of 2018 exceeding US$420.                                                                   Oversupply and muted demand growth                       Hyundai Merchant Marine also reported a
                                                                                                       combine to keep rates low with the                       loss of US$720 million for 2018. This
                                                                                                       situation showing no sign of resolving                   follows a net loss of over US$1 billion in
                                                                                                       itself in the near term.                                 2017.

                                                                                                                                                                ONE and HMM are not alone with a
                                                                                                                                                                number of other lines experiencing similar
                                                                                                                                                                losses.

     Bunker Price                                                                                      Containerised Freight Index
                600                                                                                       1,600
                                                                                                          1,400
                500
                                                                                                          1,200
                400
US$ per tonne

                                                                                                          1,000
                300                                                                                          800
                                                                                                             600
                200
                                                                                                             400
                100
                                                                                                             200
                 -                                                                                             -
                 Dec-15   Apr-16   Aug-16   Dec-16   Apr-17 Aug-17 Dec-17   Apr-18   Aug-18   Dec-18           Sep-11          Sep-12      Sep-13    Sep-14      Sep-15       Sep-16      Sep-17   Sep-18
                                                           Bunker Fuel                                                                              Chinese Containerised Freight Index
   Source: Eikon, Deloitte analy sis                                                                   Source: Eikon, Deloitte analy sis

                                                                                                                                                                                                            15
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

International ports                                                                                                                     As in previous years, Chinese ports saw                                                                                     The global container port and terminal         This is accelerating demand for terminal
                                                                                                                                        increases in throughput with an average                                                                                     industry is nevertheless under pressure        automation. At the same time, shipping
The international ports sector appears to
                                                                                                                                        increase of 3.3%. The continued strength                                                                                    from two interrelated factors. First, larger   lines or shippers may desire ports to
be in good health. Global throughput
                                                                                                                                        in the US economy saw North American                                                                                        shipping alliances are creating more           lower prices. Global consultancy Drewery
growth remains positive.
                                                                                                                                        port throughput grow by 1.15%, and                                                                                          complex and formidable counterparties.         has warned that demands for lower
Throughput growth, a key port measure,                                                                                                  Europe by 3.9%.                                                                                                                                                            terminal handling charges may put future
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Second, to cater for even-larger
was particularly marked across the top 20                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          port investment at risk, and so the ability
                                                                                                                                        The figure below presents the 20 largest                                                                                    containerships, ports are required to
ports, averaging 4.1% for the period from                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          to handle larger ships. The scale, cost and
                                                                                                                                        ports globally by TEU. Notably ten of                                                                                       invest heavily in providing more capacity
2011 to 2014, then easing to 1.2% from                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             risk of port expansion is rising.
                                                                                                                                        these are Chinese ports and a total of 15                                                                                   and new technology, driving up capital
2014 to 2016. According to Alphaliner, in
                                                                                                                                        are from Asia, three from Europe, one                                                                                       expenditure requirements and operating         The consolidation occurring in the
2017 global container throughput grew
                                                                                                                                        from North America and one from the                                                                                         costs. This is true not just for major ports   shipping industry is also having an effect
7.7%, before again easing to 0.7% in
                                                                                                                                        Middle East.                                                                                                                on the main trade routes which are             on ports. As the alliances adjust their
2018.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    required to service ultra-large container      trade routes to optimise utilisation and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ships (14,000 TEU and over with future         efficiencies, ports gain or lose services. In
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    order books of 23,000 TEU), but also           Asia for example the Port of Singapore
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ports on secondary routes who are faced        will attract 34 weekly calls up from 29 at
     Top 20 ports                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   with a cascade of larger vessels from          present. However, Port Klang in Malaysia
               45                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   main routes that have been replaced by         will have port calls fall from 11 to five and
               40
               35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ultra-large ships.                             Hong Kong Port will have only seven and
 Million TEU

               30                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  three calls on the Northern European and
               25                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   The capital expenditure required to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Mediterranean services respectively, down
               20                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   service these larger ships is evident in the
               15                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  from ten and five at present.
               10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    fact that between 2000 and 2016 nearly
                5                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   US$69 billion was committed across 292
                -                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   port projects.
                                                                                                                                                                   Antwerp

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Laem Chabang
                                                                                                                  Tianjin

                                                                                                                                                                             Xiamen
                                           Shenzhen

                                                                                Guangzhou

                                                                                                                                                                                      Kaohsiung
                                                                                                        Qingdao

                                                                                                                                                                                                           Los Angeles
                                                      Ningbo-Zhoushan
                               SIngapore

                                                                                                                                                      Port Klang
                    Shanghai

                                                                                            Hong Kong

                                                                                                                                         Rotterdam
                                                                        Busan

                                                                                                                            Jebel Ali

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Dalian

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Hamburg
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Tanjung Pelepas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Larger ships are segmenting container
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    terminals into those that can handle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    larger ships versus those that are unable
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    to. These ships make fewer visits,
                                                                                 2014                   2015                2016                     2017                2018                                                                                       creating higher peak workflows, while
    Source: Annual Reports, Deloitte Analysis                                                                                                                                                                                                                       demanding faster handling, and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    accelerating terminal obsolescence.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             16
In Focus

           17
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | In Focus

In Focus – Low Sulphur Fuel

Low sulphur fuel                                •   The implementation of scrubbers          Refiners also have a role to play in this       MSC’s current fleet comprises 523 vessels
                                                    allows ships to continue to burn         situation. At their current utilisation rate,   with a capacity of 3.3 million TEU. MSC is
The International Maritime Organisation
                                                    cheaper high-sulphur bunker fuel,        they would not be able to produce the           also installing scrubbers on its 23,000 TEU
(IMO) will enforce a new regulation,
                                                    specifically HFO, and comply with the    required volumes of gas oil. If they go one     new builds scheduled for delivery in 2019
Marpol Annex 6, pertaining to sulphur
                                                    new regulations;                         way and shipping companies the other            and 2020.
levels in fuel, taking effect on the 1st of
                                                                                             (i.e. shift to higher production of ULSFO
January 2020. In essence, the regulation        •   Scrubbers require a large amount of                                                      Hapag-Lloyd is converting its Ultra Large
                                                                                             and MSG with shipping companies
requires a decrease from the presently              capital expenditure but also have an                                                     Container Ship SAJIR to operate on LNG.
                                                                                             installing scrubbers, allowing them to
accepted global sulphur cap on fuel                 estimated high rate of return (20-                                                       When complete this vessel will be the
                                                                                             continue to operate using HFO) it would
content of 3.5% to a substantially lower            50%). However scrubbers may not be                                                       largest ship to operate on LNG, although
                                                                                             adversely affect margins. For this reason,
0.5%. This regulation has come about as             a viable option for companies who                                                        it will be eclipsed by CMA CGM’s 23,000
                                                                                             refiners are hesitant to make the plunge
the product of heightening environmental            cannot access sufficient financing;                                                      TEU vessels in 2020 and 2021.
                                                                                             of investing heavily in infrastructure or
concerns, specifically those resulting from
                                                •   If refiners move their production mix    varying their product mix until they know       CMA CGM has placed two 16,020 TEU
harmful emissions released by ships.
                                                    to being heavily focussed on Ultra Low   what shippers are doing.                        vessels into service retrofitted with
This regulation leaves both shipping                Sulphur Fuel (ULSFO) or low-sulphur                                                      scrubbers. These are the largest vessels
                                                                                             Holistically, the imposed changes will
companies and refiners in a peculiar                marine gas oil (MSG), to meet the                                                        to have scrubbers installed.
                                                                                             drive up expenses and consequently lower
position – having multiple options, but no          increase in demand, an uplift in price
                                                                                             profitability margins throughout the
silver bullet – resulting from a mismatch           of HFO will likely occur, through
                                                                                             industry. According to the OECD, it will
of supply and demand, and uncertainty in            decreased supply, negating the
                                                                                             cost approximately $5-$30 billion to the
where the curve will shift for different            intended benefits of purchasing a
                                                                                             container shipping industry alone.
products post the implementation. From              cheaper fuel and utilising scrubbers;
the perspective of shippers, they can:                                                       Cost wise the spread between HFO and
                                                •   The underproduction of ULSFO and
                                                                                             ULSFO is estimated to be approximately
•   Install exhaust gas cleaning systems            MSG in comparison with HFO (70% of
                                                                                             US$250 per tonne. The installation of
    (scrubbers) on their ships;                     the current market), combined with
                                                                                             scrubbers will cost US$6-10 million per
                                                    the increased demand from shipping
•   Buy compliant fuels at a higher cost;                                                    vessel.
                                                    companies attempting to comply with
    or
                                                    standards, could cause the already       Shipping lines have already commenced
•   Ships can run on the cleaner LNG as a           higher prices to increase further; and   the transformation of their fleets in order
    fuel source.                                                                             to comply with the emissions regulations.
                                                •   Finally, the ability of shipping
All three options come with their own               companies to run on cleaner LNG          MSC has secured a US$429 million loan
benefits and associated challenges or               depends heavily on the availability of   which will be used to finance the
risks. Some of which include:                       LNG and bunkering infrastructure, the    installation of scrubbers on 86 of its
                                                    later of which is relatively             container ships.
                                                    underdeveloped.
                                                                                                                                                                                        18
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | In Focus

In Focus – Hydrogen production and refueling

Auckland’s first hydrogen                       Hydrogen is seen as a potential solution
production and refuelling                       to the port’s energy requirements, as it
facility                                        can be produced and stored on site, which
                                                allows for rapid refuelling and provides
In previous Yearbooks “Greenification”
                                                greater range than batteries.
and the “Circular Economy” have been
highlighted as key challenges and               The purpose built facility will produce
opportunities for port operations, with the     hydrogen from tap water. The process will
continuous push for more environmentally        use electrolysis to split water molecules
sustainable solutions encouraging the           into hydrogen and oxygen, the latter of
consideration of new approaches.                which is released into the air with the
                                                hydrogen stored for later use. Vehicles
With 40% of emissions in Auckland
                                                will then be able to refuel in a manner
currently attributable to the transport
                                                similar to existing Compressed Natural
system, harnessing alternative
                                                Gas (CNG) and Liquefied Petroleum Gas
technologies could play a key role in
                                                (LPG) refuelling procedures. The project
meeting lower emission targets. Amongst
                                                partners will provide technical support as
the proposed solutions is the use of
                                                well as purchasing hydrogen fuel cell
hydrogen as a fuel source, where the only
                                                vehicles for the project.
by-product is water.
                                                Auckland Council is behind the project and
The Ports of Auckland, which plays a
                                                Stephen Town (CEO) states “We’re proud
pivotal role in the national logistics
                                                to collaborate with the Ports of Auckland,
network, has a goal to be a zero emission                                                    If this is successful with passenger trains    “This could be part of the answer for our
                                                Auckland Transport and KiwiRail on this
port by 2040. To meet this target it                                                         there is no reason that this could not be     fleet of buses and harbour ferries. The
                                                innovative hydrogen project, which is a
requires a renewable and sustainable                                                         developed into hydrogen powered freight       idea of a vehicle which only produces
                                                first for New Zealand”.
energy source for its heavy vehicle fleet,                                                   trains.                                       water as a by-product is very exciting”.
which are difficult to power with batteries.    KiwiRail’s acting CEO Todd Moyle says
                                                                                             Auckland Transport Chief Executive,           The project is currently in the planning
                                                “Joining forces with Ports of Auckland in
The Port has now committed to building                                                       Shane Ellison says Auckland Transport is      phase, and Ports of Auckland is about to
                                                this project will allow us to explore how
Auckland’s first hydrogen production and                                                     committed to clean technology and is very     start stakeholder engagement before
                                                KiwiRail could use this new technology as
refuelling facility. The company and its                                                     interested in the possibilities of hydrogen   applying for resource consent in 2019.
                                                we deliver stronger connections for New
project partners Auckland Council,                                                           power.
                                                Zealand”.
KiwiRail and Auckland Transport, will
invest in hydrogen fuel cell vehicles           Mr Moyle also noted that two hydrogen
including port equipment, buses and cars        powered trains with a range of 1,000km
as part of the project.                         per tank recently have begun operating
                                                commercial services in Germany.                                                                                                    19
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | In Focus

In Focus – Hydrogen production and refueling

Why Hydrogen?                                   Global Trends and Trials
With infrastructure in place, hydrogen has      •   Ports globally are involved in trialling
the potential to provide a flexible clean           hydrogen usage, including the Port of
energy source, which can be produced by             Los Angeles, Port of Long Beach, Port
electrolysis, using on or off-grid                  of Honolulu, Port of Valencia and Port
electricity.                                        of Rotterdam.
As long as the electricity utilised is from a   •   Global automotive manufacturers
renewable source, the hydrogen is                   (such as Toyota, Hyundai, Audi and
emissions free (over 80% of New                     Honda) have developed hydrogen
Zealand’s electricity is from renewable             powered vehicles.
generation).
                                                •   Worldwide there are over 200 public
There have been extensive trials overseas           hydrogen stations.
and hydrogen vehicles are currently in
                                                •   56 fuel cell buses trialled for six years
use in the UK, USA, Japan, Korea and
                                                    in Europe.
Europe. There are also a number of
hydrogen vehicles available commercially.       •   Norway and San Francisco are trialling
                                                    hydrogen ferries.
Trains that are powered by hydrogen
offer the benefits of electrification without   •   Hyundai is launching 1,000 hydrogen
the need for major infrastructure                   trucks in Switzerland, Norway and
investment.                                         Netherlands between 2019 and 2023.
Hydrogen is also fast to refuel and             •   Toyota has developed hydrogen
provides a greater range than batteries.            powered trucks which are currently
                                                    being trialled at Port of Los Angeles.
Hydrogen, as an energy source, isn’t
restricted to vehicles. Excess electricity      •   South Korea is planning to replace
can be converted into hydrogen, stored              36,000 CNG buses with hydrogen
and then converted back to electricity.             buses by 2030.

                                                •   Hydrogen passenger trains are in use
                                                    on German rail lines following
                                                    successful trials.

                                                                                                20
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | In Focus

In Focus – Smart containers

Smart Containers                                Maersk identifies five key customer            2.   Location Tracking – The true shelf    4.   Supply Chain Visibility – Customers
                                                benefits of RCM:                                    life of perishable goods can be            can confirm that their cargo was
Shippers have long desired the ability to
                                                                                                    determined while suppliers are also        kept at the exact settings requested
actively track and manage cargo.                1.       Relationship Care – By consistently
                                                                                                    able to keep a location record in          throughout the journey. This holds
Unfortunately, technological constraints                 meeting customer requirements for
                                                                                                    cases of theft or tampering.               all members of a supply chain
had, until recently, meant that this was                 the quality and timeliness of
                                                                                                                                               accountable.
not possible.                                            refrigerated cargo, shippers are      3.   Safeguard Quality – Around the
                                                         able to build and maintain strong          clock monitoring of power status,     5.   Peace of Mind – A supplier can be
Remote Container Management (RCM)
                                                         customer relationships.                    temperature, humidity and                  confident that their customer will
allows shippers to monitor the location,
                                                                                                    atmosphere.                                have no surprises when opening a
temperature, humidity and power status
                                                                                                                                               container at its destination.
of refrigerated containers easily and in
real time. This technology facilitates
improved global trade in perishable
goods. Maersk is at the forefront of this
technology. Each reefer container is fitted
with a Remote Container Device (RCD),
two antennas and a mobile signal.

By monitoring the condition of containers
in real time the shipper can be notified
immediately if problems occur, for
example loss of power leading to an
increase in temperature inside the
container. The shipper will then be able to
notify relevant parties able to resolve the
problem, potentially saving millions of
dollars in cargo that might otherwise have
been lost.

                                                                                                                                                                                21
Beyond Supply Chains
The port’s role in the Digital
Supply Network

                                 22
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Beyond Supply Chains

The rules of the game have changed

Ports as the Supply                             Improving the effectiveness of the            The result is an “always-on” ecosystem of      Digital as a change agent
Network choreographer                           network is where the value proposition        players that is dynamic, high-velocity and
                                                for the port lies.                            delivering a continuous flow of                The Supply Network concept incorporates
Ports are the hub of the Supply Network,                                                                                                     and extends digital connectivity into the
                                                                                              information.
operating at the intersect where supply         Supply chains have                                                                           physical world. It combines information
and demand meet for a diverse range of          evolved into networks                         This ecosystem enables a logistics
                                                                                                                                             from many different physical sources to
parties. They play a significant role in                                                      environment that is more accurate and
                                                The way goods and information are                                                            drive the physical act of manufacturing,
both the management and movement of                                                           efficient, ultimately driving greater
                                                exchanged has been redefined.                                                                distributing and performance.
material and information flows, and a                                                         transparency and better decision making
                                                Traditional, linear supply chains have
cluster of organisations are dependent on                                                     for all involved.                              This shift creates significant opportunities,
                                                transformed into dynamic, intelligent and
ports for network choreography and                                                                                                           and challenges, for a port.
movement cadence.
                                                integrated Supply Networks that are           This evolution creates new
                                                driven by information and computing           operating baselines                            Digital is now a driving force for the
On the supply side, the port authority          power. Typically siloed processes have
                                                                                              Digital Supply Networks create new             future, meaning a diverse set of solutions
provides land for rent, assets for terminal     been broken down and are enabled by a
                                                                                              operating baselines. With the ability to       and tactics can become key differentiators
operators, and services to ship owners          set of diverse and powerful technologies.
                                                                                              ascertain information in real time, many       to not only support but advance the port’s
and inbound logistics providers. Capacity,
                                                Digital Supply Networks represent the         of the latency challenges inherent in          role in the network.
efficiency, reliability and support are all
                                                evolution of supply chains; a result of the   linear supply chains can be mitigated.
key for these clients. On the demand side                                                                                                    But determining which technologies, what
                                                changing technology landscape and
manufacturers, distributors and outbound                                                      Inefficiencies in one step can avoid being     they will deliver, how to implement them,
                                                increasing connectivity between the
forwarders seek asset security, as well as                                                    cascaded into subsequent activities. The
                                                physical and the digital worlds.                                                             and the way in which they will support the
information traceability, time savings and                                                    network now has visibility into other
                                                                                                                                             port’s overall strategy remains the key to
more.                                           Where goods and information once moved        stakeholder’s processes, and can adjust
                                                                                                                                             success.
                                                step-by-step in a supply chain with a         their activities based on new found, real-
The role of the port therefore exceeds
                                                discrete progression, advances in             time information.
facilitating shipments, as they must
                                                automation, sensors, analytics and AI
simultaneously work in several directions.                                                    With more participants, needing more
                                                overcome this delayed action-reaction
Its competitive position is not only                                                          information, through increasingly
                                                process.
determined by internal operational                                                            interdependent channels, weak links in
effectiveness but by its links into the                                                       the network will hold all participants back.
wider Supply Network.                                                                         At the heart of this network, the port
                                                                                              must take the lead for everyone else
                                                                                              to thrive.

                                                                                                                                                                                        23
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Beyond Supply Chains

Transformation of supply chains
Digital capabilities have transformed the traditional end-to-end supply chain into
dynamic and integrated networks. As choreographer, the port must take the lead

                        Traditional Supply Chain                                              Digital Supply Networks

                                                                                                   Synchronised
                                                                                                     Planning

                                                                                Dynamic                                 Connected
                                                                                Fulfilment                              Customer

                                                                                                      DIGITAL
  Develop          Plan        Source          Make         Deliver   Support                          CORE

                                                                                   Digital                               Smart
                                                                                Development                             Factory

                                                                                                     Intelligent
  Source: Deloitte University Press                                                                    Supply

                                                                                                                                    24
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Beyond Supply Chains

Staying true to the port’s core value proposition

Ports are beginning                            Two paths to productivity                      Many factors can erode value creation,        Remaining business led
the journey                                                                                   such as friction in trading relationships,
                                               As the hub of the Supply Network it is                                                       When looking to the future, it is important
                                                                                              lack of trust between network
Digital is high on the agenda for most         essential that ports are effective and                                                       to ensure that efforts remain business-led
                                                                                              participants, inaccurate information that
organisations, but many have challenges        productive. They must deliver value to                                                       and system enabled, and not the other
                                                                                              drives the need for just-in-case
preparing and adapting. While adoption         other network participants or risk being                                                     way around. Strategy, not technology,
                                                                                              investments, or unpredictable outcomes
can enable better, more informed               bypassed.                                                                                    ultimately drives success in a digital
                                                                                              caused by operational failures.
decisions to support the Supply Network,                                                                                                    world.
                                               New Zealand ports do not have the scale
knowing where to start can often prove                                                        Ultimately, the port exists to serve the
                                               of their global trading partners. On the                                                     Investments should therefore target
the greatest hurdle of all.                                                                   complex web of stakeholders,
                                               supply side our ports are physically and                                                     where the value proposition lies. In the
                                                                                              shareholders and regulators.
Ports are at the lower end of the digital      fiscally restrained, while on the demand                                                     New Zealand port context, this is by
maturity curve, playing catch up with          side they do not have an endless backlog       A successful outcome is therefore one that    leveraging insight to improve productivity
other transport and logistics leaders.         of ships waiting to berth.                     minimises friction and supports trust and     and reduce uncertainty for all involved.
The industry is taking steps toward                                                           effectiveness for all network participants.
                                               If neither capital investment nor capacity
digitalisation, but processes remain
                                               and demand can soak up throughput
manual and systems convoluted. In ports
                                               inefficiencies, local players must be smart
throughout the world there is a
                                               in their approach. Without physical scale
redundancy of transaction information,
                                               offering a path to productivity, New
handovers are error-prone, and
                                               Zealand ports can look to the smart
movements are plagued by inefficiencies.
                                               use of information.
New Zealand ports are enhancing
                                               In Digital Supply Networks, productivity
operations through technologies such as
                                               arises through insight. Organisations
automated straddles and stacking
                                               leverage data to make better decisions
optimisation software. This is great
                                               that optimise performance. This is about
progress and will drive substantial
                                               knowing what, where and when – and
operational improvements, but without a
                                               then acting on that information to
systemic approach to digitalisation the
                                               deliver value.
benefits will remain isolated.

To capture the full value of digital,          Dealing with certainty
investment should go beyond isolated           Many of the value drivers identified –
pockets to focus to a holistic, long-term      capacity, reliability, efficiency and
view of the port.                              traceability – can be boiled down to a
                                               common theme: the Supply Network
                                               wanting to grow value in an uncertain world.
                                                                                                                                                                                    25
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Beyond Supply Chains

Managing decision making via the digital twin

                                                                     Being smart with                            Internet of Things (IoT) sensors, which
                                                                     resources                                   we discussed in Deloitte’s 2018 Ports and
                                                                                                                 Freight Yearbook, are placed throughout
                                                                     Ports play in a resource intensive world.
                                                                                                                 the port’s infrastructure to generate
                                                                     Resource allocation decisions don’t come
                                                                                                                 insight into resource performance.
                                                                     lightly – large investments and long lead
                                                                     in times are needed to procure              The sensors take in all types of data:
                                                                     infrastructure within a constrained         water temperatures, tidal conditions, wind
                                                                     environment. Owning, managing and           direction and speed, loading and
                                                                     maintaining the resource base adds even     unloading operations, what berth space is
                                                                     more complexity. To ensure a productive     available and when. An algorithmic model
                                                                     operating environment, ports are            then parses the information and runs
                                                                     constantly seeking to increase              simulations to provide a granular view of
                                                                     transparency, decrease cost and improve     everything happening in the port.
                                                                     the reliability and availability of their
                                                                     resources.
                                                                                                                 Confidence in the face of
                                                                                                                 uncertainty
                                                                     Adding to this challenge, the port cannot
                                                                                                                 Companies with high-value resources and
                                                                     always rely on its partners. Trucks might
                                                                                                                 are processes reliant on a variety of
                                                                     not turn up, documents may be incorrect,
                                                                                                                 stakeholders can reap the greatest
                                                                     or weather might delay a ship’s arrival.
                                                                                                                 advantage from digital twins.
                                                                     Decisions cannot be made assuming all
                                                                     will stay constant.                         From scenario testing of weather on
                                                                                                                 operations, to evaluating the impact of
                                                                     What if there were a way to design and
                                                                                                                 various stacking layouts, to simulating
                                                                     test performance under different
                                                                                                                 thousands of response options for supply
                                                                     scenarios without the significant capital
                                                                                                                 chain disruptions, developing a digital
                                                                     outlay? Digital Supply Networks enable
                                                                                                                 twin can increase the reliability and
                                                                     ports to explore this uncertainty.
                                                                                                                 availability of the port’s assets, and drive
                                                                     The digital twin                            faster, more accurate decision making.

                                                                     Digital twins are virtual replicas that     Ultimately, digital twins enable greater
                                                                     simulate the port’s physical resources      confidence in the face of uncertainty.
                                                                     based on real-world, real-time
                                                                     information.

                                                                                                                                                            26
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Beyond Supply Chains

Trust and efficiency through blockchain

The importance of                               It establishes a digital baseline for
document management                             documentation, allowing exporters,
                                                forwarders, carriers, customs, ports and
Document management remains an
                                                importers to collaborate in near real-time
ongoing challenge in the industry. Moving
                                                through a single source of truth that is
goods requires a string of paperwork,
                                                secure and traceable.
processing, and lengthy verifications
across buyers, sellers, forwarders,             If we think of traditional supply chains as
customs and of course the port itself.          a cycle of transactions, blockchain at its
Significant resources are tied-up on            most basic is a mechanism to share
manual, error-prone documentation and           transactional information between parties.
bureaucracy – estimated at one fifth of         It acts as database that records,
the actual container transportation cost.       replicates and stores information on a
                                                network that is visible only to trusted
In addition to time and cost inefficiencies,
                                                parties who must validate the transaction
this friction erodes trust in the Supply
                                                before it is recorded. Each transaction, or
Network. Shipping involves many hand-
                                                ‘block’, is chronologically added to the
offs with little transparency into who is
                                                prior one, and so on.
doing what, when and where. Trust breaks
down further due a lack of accountability       Going beyond transactions
when goods arrive damaged, without the
                                                A key evolution for Supply Networks are
correct paperwork or worse, not at all.
                                                smart contracts. These extend
Ports are the centre point where cargo is
                                                blockchain’s utility from simple record
transferred across different transport
                                                keeping to automatically implementing
modes and logistics routes, meaning trust
                                                terms of multiparty agreements.
is fundamental to their value proposition.
                                                Smart contracts encode the business rules
Blockchain can aid the ever-present need
                                                and contract parameters to trigger the
for efficiency and trust.
                                                sequence of contractual actions.
Worthy of the hype?
                                                The result is a method by which parties
Blockchain attracts hype and scepticism in      can agree upon terms and trust that will
equal measure, but its application in           be executed automatically, with reduced
shipping is very real.                          risk of error or manipulation.

                                                                                              27
New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Beyond Supply Chains

Trust and efficiency through blockchain

Parallels between                               Tracking focuses on capturing the state of
blockchain and DSNs                             the asset in real-time, or at                  Maersk Line, IBM and TradeLens             documents, sensor readings and a
                                                predetermined location or conditional                                                     whole host of other information.
The evolution of linear supply chains to                                                       Many view digitisation as the future of
                                                milestones.
Digital Supply Networks creates the right                                                      global trade; technology will break        The platform provides end-to-end
environment for decentralised, distributed      Traceability focuses on capturing the          down barriers and enable the easy and      visibility across shipping corridors, real
technologies such as blockchain.                history of the asset, often to pinpoint a      secure flow of information between all     time access to information that will
                                                flaw or fault, but also for auditability and   parties in the supply chain.               enrich port collaboration and enhance
The breakdown of traditional action-
                                                compliance purposes.                                                                      terminal planning. Furthermore,
reaction siloes mirrors the value creation                                                     To this end, Maersk, in tandem with
                                                                                                                                          TradeLens will enable better informed
this technology offers, as it enables           Provenance concerns transfer of custody,       IBM, has launched TradeLens – a
                                                                                                                                          risk assessments and information
information to move seamlessly across           where reassurance about counterfeiting,        blockchain based ecosystem that
                                                                                                                                          sharing.
the network. It places trust in the overall     point of origin, or lineage is required.       connects trade participants across the
process through transparency and shared                                                        supply chain. TradeLens is intended to     By using blockchain, TradeLens is able
                                                If blockchain’s traits offer a single source
accountability as goods move from A to B.                                                      solve the highly inefficient paper based   to address the fragmented nature of
                                                of truth, smart contracts extend the
                                                                                               processes that currently characterise      the supply chain. Blockchain is a
The benefits for shipping                       ability of blockchain to automate approval
                                                                                               global trade. The existing system sees     shared ledger where a network of
                                                workflows and customs clearings that are
Blockchain can ease the uncertainty of                                                         data trapped in organisational silos,      participants maintain a distributed and
                                                prone to lag and error – thus reducing
moving cargo across borders, helping to                                                        with varying perspectives on the state     permissioned ledger of documents,
                                                cost and time to settlement to drive
instill trust in the port’s activities among                                                   of a transaction and a clearance           events and approvals. The ledger is
                                                greater confidence across the network.
network participants.                                                                          process that is easily subject to          fully auditable as each change creates
                                                                                               fraudulent activity.                       a new immutable block. Only parties
Shippers have a range of assets in motion
                                                                                                                                          participating in a relevant consignment
at any given time. Knowing where these                                                         In contrast, TradeLens will bring
                                                                                                                                          have permissioned access and are able
assets came from, where they are, and                                                          together all parties from traders,
                                                                                                                                          to submit, edit or approve relevant
what refinements to each are made along                                                        freight forwarders and ocean carriers
                                                                                                                                          data. Information can only be changed
the way is critical to the effective running                                                   to ports and terminals, customs and
                                                                                                                                          if endorsed by all parties to the
of an organisation. As such, the                                                               other government authorities in a
                                                                                                                                          consignment.
application of a blockchain layer can help                                                     blockchain platform that provides a
in the management of asset tracking,                                                           secure permission and identify based       90+ companies involved in sea port
traceability and provenance.                                                                   framework.                                 logistics have joined the platform,
                                                                                                                                          including 20+ port or terminal
                                                                                               Supply chain information will be able
                                                                                                                                          operators.
                                                                                               to be shared seamlessly in real time.
                                                                                               This includes data on shipping
                                                                                               milestones, cargo details, trade

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New Zealand ports and freight yearbook 2019 | Beyond Supply Chains

Where to from here

Is the future really                            But there are a host of next big things out   Instead, take an iterative, targeted        Start small
upon us?                                        there, and just because you can invest        approach that addresses how to do the
                                                                                                                                          Consider ways to make the transition a
                                                doesn’t mean that you should. What’s          port’s core role, better. Digital isn’t
The rapid rise of digitalisation may seem                                                                                                 manageable and realistic one that
                                                needed is for the value proposition to be     achieved by throwing money at point
dizzying, but what were once considered                                                                                                   acknowledges the existing landscape
                                                made explicit and, wherever possible,         solutions, so focus on building key
fringe innovations are now largely proven,                                                                                                constraints. It’s not about big-bang
                                                quantifiable.                                 themes of value that together will
or even standard, capabilities for many.                                                                                                  transformation.
                                                                                              enable systemic gains.
Failing to build these tools can mean the       The building blocks                                                                       It often makes sense to start with smaller
Supply Network leaves the port behind.          for success                                   Think big                                   stakes, where the vision can be tested
For example, the digital twin is reliably       While many leaders understand the             When you do decide the time is right,       and refined with fewer consequences.
increasing asset uptime and availability,       changes being brought about by digital,       work with port stakeholders and             Selecting complementing projects at the
leading to positive impacts within the first    they may not be prepared to fully harness     network participants to identify a shared   ‘edge’ can provide greater latitude for
year. Typically unplanned downtime              the benefit from those changes. The how       vision where digital enables the port to    building digital capabilities, and can help
decreases and maintenance costs shrink          tends to be less clear.                       drive effectiveness and value for all.      to balance the risk and reward debate.
in a matter of months, labour costs are                                                       Quickly set ambition and chart a path to
                                                Often, the biggest challenge around                                                       Prioritise those areas that address the
reduced and additional benefits observed.                                                     success with a deliverables roadmap.
                                                digital is getting the basics right. This                                                 core value of the port and the needs of
In another example, blockchain is actively
                                                includes integrating old systems,             Linking value to offerings that are, or     the Supply Network.
being deployed within supply chains, in
                                                streamlining processes, and keeping           could be, used in the market is a key
various ways and at various levels. Its
                                                information secure. It’s important to take    next step. Understand where existing
                                                                                                                                          Act fast
benefits have been well documented
                                                stock of where you are. Know what             efforts can be enhanced, new ideas can      Don’t wait for perfect. Establishing a
across multiple industries, and Maersk's
                                                technologies are being used, by who, to       be brought to light, and explore the        competitive advantage requires a
TradeLens platform is a case in point.
                                                achieve what specific goals.                  potential of new technologies and           willingness to join the fray, but do so
Organisations can choose from many                                                            techniques.                                 quickly or the market will leapfrog you.
                                                Don’t treat the current IT landscape as a
successful, real-world use cases to learn
                                                constraint – while many cross-sector          As you imagine the digital path ahead       Recognise that initial investments may
and build a convincing case for
                                                organisations may not have cutting-edge       and build out your roadmap, consider        serve as learning opportunities rather
investment, then develop a model for
                                                core systems they are successfully            the impact new ambitions and                than be truly transformational. This is a
their own efforts. Examining how others
                                                undergoing the digital journey. Through       technologies may have on your current       journey. Small successes serve as building
have scaled these types of capabilities
                                                integration layers that act as an             and future organisation, people,            blocks and proof points, leading to a
into company-wide solutions can help
                                                intermediary, modern technology enables       processes and systems – only through        greater willingness to take on more as the
inform a target path for investment.
                                                functionality to be built around legacy       an end-to-end view of the operating         port moves up the maturity curve. As the
                                                systems. In other words, you don’t have       model will you ensure that efforts          port progresses and can demonstrate
                                                to reinvent the core to start the journey.    become systemic and not isolated.           success to its stakeholders, new ways of
                                                                                                                                          working that drive greater value will
                                                                                                                                          emerge.
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