Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte

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Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
Connecting to
 industry insights
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook
2021
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Contents

Contents

Introduction                                             3
Glossary                                                 4
Deloitte Access Economics: Global Perspectives           6
Deloitte Access Economics: Domestic Environment          15
In Focus: Climate-Related Financial Disclosures          23
In Focus: Health and Safety Assurance and Contractors    26
In Focus: Decarbonising Sea and Road Freight             28
In Focus: Digital Twins and Asset Management             32
New Zealand Freight Task                                 35
Port Performance                                         44
Port Comparative Performance                             54
Port Summaries                                           58
Our Infrastructure & Capital Projects Offering           72

                                                              2
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Introduction

Introduction

The Deloitte New Zealand Ports and Freight                   We are pleased to release this Yearbook as part of
Yearbook presents a concise snapshot of                      Deloitte’s Infrastructure & Capital Projects (ICP)
macroeconomic and domestic drivers of New                    integrated market offering.
Zealand port and freight activity. This Yearbook
                                                             Our domestic and global network of ICP
includes insight into the global and domestic
                                                             professionals allows us to bring together deep skills,
environment, a series of ‘in focus’ pieces, and
                                                             providing integrated solutions to all segments of the
updates from our domestic ports and freight
                                                             infrastructure sector and across the asset lifecycle.
analysis. We welcome your feedback and look
forward to future discussion and engagement.                 Our ICP services help clients to:

The Yearbook has been prepared with contribution             • Select investments and provide project delivery
from Deloitte’s specialist economic advisory team,             confidence;
Deloitte Access Economics, who have provided
                                                             • Effectively plan, manage and control a project’s
global and domestic economic insights. The ‘in
                                                               cost and delivery schedule;
focus’ pieces have been provided by our Consulting
and Risk Advisory service lines.                             • Better manage and optimise existing assets; and

Our Consulting service line provides a perspective           • Introduce digital transformation opportunities
on the applications of ‘digital twins’ in asset                across the asset lifecycle.
creation and management. Risk Advisory provides
two case studies this year; the first on the task force
on climate-related financial disclosures, and the
second on health and safety and contractor
management for businesses.

The Yearbook also presents recent data on the New
Zealand freight task alongside operational and
financial performance data for New Zealand’s major
ports. This data is further presented via an
interactive dashboard.

                                                                                                                      3
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Glossary

Glossary

Brexit                                United Kingdom’s exit from the European Union   ONE     Ocean Network Express
CHN                                   China                                           OPEC    Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
EBIT                                  Earnings Before Interest and Tax                PCBU    Person Conducting a Business or Undertaking
FIGS                                  Freight Information Gathering System            PMI     Producer Manufacturing Index
GDP                                   Gross Domestic Product                          PPP     Public Private Partnership
GFC                                   Global Financial Crisis                         RBNZ    Reserve Bank of New Zealand
GT                                    Gross Tonnes                                    RORO    Roll-on Roll-off
H&S                                   Health and safety                               TEU     Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit
HFO                                   Heavy Fuel Oil                                  TCFD    Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures
HSFO                                  High sulphur fuel oil                           TWI     Trade Weighted Index
ICP                                   Infrastructure & Capital Projects               ULSFO   Ultra Low Sulphur Fuel Oil
IMF                                   International Monetary Fund                     USA     United States of America
IMO                                   International Maritime Organisation             WEO     World Economic Outlook
IoT                                   Internet of Things                              YoY     Year on year
LSFO                                  Low Sulphur fuel oil
NFDS                                  National Freight Demand Study
NPAT                                  Net Profit after Tax

                                                                                                                                                    4
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Glossary

Glossary

 TRADE ROUTES                                                                        PORTS
 AS-ME                                Asia to Middle East Trade Route                AKL     Ports of Auckland
 AS-Med                               Asian to Mediterranean Trade Route             BLU     Southport (Bluff)
 AS-NA                                Asia to North America Trade Route              EST     Eastland Port
 AS-NE                                Asia to Northern Europe Trade Route            LYT     Lyttelton Port of Christchurch
 AS-SA                                Asia to South America Trade Route              MLB     Port Marlborough
 AUS-FE                               Australia to Far East Trade Route              NPE     Napier Port
 NA-SA                                North America to South America Trade Route     NPL     Port Taranaki
 NE-NA                                Northern Europe to North America Trade Route   NSN     Port Nelson
 NE-SA                                Northern Europe to South America Trade Route   NTH     Northport
                                                                                     POE     Port Otago
                                                                                     TIU     PrimePort Timaru
                                                                                     TRG     Port of Tauranga
                                                                                     WLG     CentrePort (Wellington)

                                                                                                                              5
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
Deloitte Access Economics
Global Perspectives

                            6
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives
Global economy
Growth globally in 2020 ground to a standstill                      China was the initial epicentre of the COVID-19       A record level of both fiscal and monetary policy   Sizeable levels of policy stimulus are expected to
due to the impact of COVID-19. Many countries                       outbreak but a tight lockdown and subsequent          stimulus has cushioned many economies from a        remain until economic recoveries are well
experienced recessions as economic activity shut                    restrictions have seen the Chinese economy            more severe fallout from the pandemic.              entrenched, with many policymakers wary of
down and the global economy is expected to                          bounce-back relatively quickly. The Chinese           Government support packages were rolled out         doing anything to cut down the green shoots of a
have contracted by 3.5% YoY over 2020.                              economy grew 2.3% over 2020, one of the few           over the past 12 months, boosting economic          recovery.
However, this GDP result was better than initially                  major economies to avoid a nasty recession.           confidence. In New Zealand, a total of over
feared due to the strong rebound seen in many                                                                                                                                 This expansive policy stance is expected to see
                                                                    Growth is expected to pick up further in 2021, to     $15bn has been spent on wage subsidies and
countries over the latter half of last year.                                                                                                                                  inflation rise in many countries as economic
                                                                    a pace of almost 8% YoY, putting China back on a      small business loans.
                                                                                                                                                                              activity picks up again. However, the IMF is
                                                                    growth path close to that forecast pre-COVID.
Massive levels of fiscal and monetary policy                                                                              The commencement of vaccination programmes          forecasting that the global economy will be 6%
support have cushioned the impact from the virus                    Western countries are expected to fare worse          in many developed economies is also providing a     smaller in 2025 than it was predicting prior to the
and helped prop up growth. But the strength of                      over 2021, with ongoing lockdowns in some form        boost to confidence, although it will be some       virus outbreak.
the economic recovery remains reliant on effective                  continuing until vaccination programmes are           time until populations are fully vaccinated.
vaccination programmes and minimising further                                                                                                                                 The scar the pandemic leaves on global output
                                                                    rolled out to the majority of populations.
outbreaks. The IMF is currently forecasting the                                                                           Central banks added to already highly               will take quite a long time to heal, despite
global economy to expand 5.5% YoY over 2021 and                                                                           expansionary monetary policy settings.              growth returning toward ‘normal’ levels.
then 4.2% in 2022.                                                                                                        Wholesale and retail interest rates fell to new
                                                                                                                          record lows in many countries in response.

 Regional GDP losses relative to pre-COVID outbreak                                                                       Global growth - actual and projections
 (current projected 2022 level relative to pre-COVID (January 2020 WEO)                                                  6.0
 forecast, percent difference)
                                                                                                                         5.0
  0.0                                                                                                                    4.0
 -1.0
                                                                                                                         3.0
 -2.0
                                                                                                                         2.0
 -3.0
                                                                                                                         1.0
 -4.0
 -5.0                                                                                                                    0.0

 -6.0                                                                                                                   -1.0
 -7.0                                                                                                                   -2.0
 -8.0                                                                                                                   -3.0
 -9.0                                                                                                                   -4.0
         Em. Asia LAC           SSA      MECA      EMDE World Em. Eur.            AE      China United                  -5.0
         ex. CHN                                                                                States                                 2019                    2020             2021                   2022

        AE=advanced economies; Em. Asia ex. CHN = emerging and developing Asia excluding                                Source: World Economic Outlook October 2019
        China; Em.Eur. = emerging and developing Europe; EMDE = emerging market and
        developing economies; LAC = Latin America and the Caribbean’ MECA = Middle East and
        Central Asia; SSA = sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives
Global trade
In the wake of COVID-19, the IMF estimates that                     In the lead-up to the pandemic, increasingly         Over the year to December, New Zealand                The outlook for other New Zealand food exports
global trade volumes declined by almost 10% YoY.                    protectionist sentiment had seen a rising focus      imports dropped significantly on the back of          remains more subdued, with ongoing lockdowns
                                                                    on buying local goods. Supporting local              lower vehicle and fuel imports. However, car          in other countries limiting demand for New
However, as the global economy recovers, trade
                                                                    businesses also remained important through the       imports have shown signs of picking up at the         Zealand meat.
volumes are expected to rebound 8% over 2021,
                                                                    COVID-19 recovery efforts. The recent change in      end of 2020 and are expected to recover back
and continue to expand by 6% over 2022, based on                                                                                                                               For New Zealand exporters, a strengthening New
                                                                    government in the USA has yet to provide a           toward more historical average levels. In
IMF WEO forecasts. This is likely to be dominated                                                                                                                              Zealand dollar may see a dampening in demand
                                                                    marked change in the increasingly protectionist      November, New Zealand’s annual goods trade
by the merchandise trade. The services trade is                                                                                                                                from offshore and a reduction in NZD incomes
                                                                    policies, with the Biden Administration tightening   surplus hit the highest level in almost 30 years.
expected to remain more muted, with border                                                                                                                                     over the year ahead. With the New Zealand
                                                                    rules to encourage the federal government to
closures expected to persist for some time.                                                                              Dairy exports from New Zealand to China fell          economy looking in a strong position vis-à-vis
                                                                    buy domestic, rather than imported, goods and
                                                                                                                         back at the end of 2020. However, recent dairy        many other countries where COVID-19 outbreaks
The decline in merchandise trade over 2020                          services.
                                                                                                                         auctions suggest that demand for New Zealand          continue, the New Zealand TWI is expected to
ended up being less severe than initially
                                                                    In the UK, Brexit has seen extra requirements at     dairy products in China is rebounding and dairy       remain high over the year ahead.
estimated. However, supply chains remain
                                                                    ports introduced, causing delays and increasing      prices have gained substantially over the last
impacted by the pandemic fallout. Shipping costs
                                                                    costs. These increased costs are likely to be        three months.
have skyrocketed and pressure is not expected to
                                                                    passed on to consumers in the UK.
ease in the near term.

  World Trade Volume - Actual and Projections                                                                                        Global activity indicators and trade volumes
                                                                                                                                     10.0                                                                                 120.0
     15%                            Imports: Advanced Economies
                                    Imports: Emerging Market and Developing Economies                                                 5.0                                                                                 100.0
     10%                            Exports: Advanced Economies
                                    Exports: Emerging Market and Developing Economies                                                 0.0                                                                                 80.0

      5%                                                                                                                             -5.0                                                                                 60.0

                                                                                                                                    -10.0                                                                                 40.0
                                                                                                                                                       Industrial production
      0%
                                                                                                                                    -15.0                                                                                 20.0
                                                                                                                                                       Manufacturing PMI: New orders
     -5%                                                                                                                            -20.0                                                                                 0.0

                                                                                                                                             2019m11
                                                                                                                                             2019m10

                                                                                                                                             2019m12

                                                                                                                                             2020m10
                                                                                                                                             2020m11
                                                                                                                                             2020m12
                                                                                                                                              2019m1
                                                                                                                                              2019m2
                                                                                                                                              2019m3
                                                                                                                                              2019m4
                                                                                                                                              2019m5
                                                                                                                                              2019m6
                                                                                                                                              2019m7
                                                                                                                                              2019m8
                                                                                                                                              2019m9

                                                                                                                                              2020m1
                                                                                                                                              2020m2
                                                                                                                                              2020m3
                                                                                                                                              2020m4
                                                                                                                                              2020m5
                                                                                                                                              2020m6
                                                                                                                                              2020m7
                                                                                                                                              2020m8
                                                                                                                                              2020m9
    -10%
                       2018                         2019                         2020                     2021

 Source: IMF World Economic Outlook October 2020

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Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives

Container shipping                                            Container rates                                       Costly containers
Last year was marked by an acute shortage of                  While demand for shipping is estimated to have                                                                                                             10K
                                                                                                                                           Cost to ship a 40-foot container from Shanghai to Los Angeles
containers, in the wake of COVID-19. Trade                    fallen by about 11% in the wake of the                                                                                                                     9K
                                                                                                                                           Cost from Shanghai to Rotterdam
reduced significantly in the first half of 2020 and           pandemic, a rapid supply-side contraction of
containers were stranded in ports all over the                about 13% kept margins firm. Since June,                                                                                                                   8K
world. This meant that there were significant                 container rates have tripled on some major                                                                                                                 7K
shortages of available containers when trade                  routes.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6K
picked back up again later in the year. As a
                                                              Heading into 2020, the focus was largely on
result, container prices escalated to as much as                                                                                                                                                                         5K
                                                              increased operational costs due to compliance
six times pre-pandemic, hitting record highs.                                                                                                                                                                            4K
                                                              with new clean fuel regulations and concerns
There are early signs that this shortage is
                                                              about a squeeze in margins. However, this was                                                                                                              3K
starting to ease, and container prices are
                                                              more than offset by the rise in shipping rates in
expected to soften somewhat over 2021.                                                                                                                                                                                   2K
                                                              recent months. This means many companies
The recovery over the second half of 2020 was                 come out of 2020 in a better financial position                                                                                                            1K
much stronger than anticipated. Despite the                   than in 2019.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0K
volatile year, container volumes increased 1.7%                                                                   2011        2012        2013           2014   2015      2016       2017        2018      2019   2020
                                                              There was a noted increase in digital quoting
YoY in 2020. In addition, lower volumes of flights
                                                              and booking for shipping over 2020, with an         Source: Drewry World Container Index
have provided further support as some items,
                                                              increased focus on dynamic pricing. This is
that used to be carried by air, shifted to sea
                                                              expected to be one of the major trends for 2021.
freight.

More containers are currently being built to help
ease the supply shortages, but they will take
time to come on stream.

Trade reduced significantly in the first half of 2020 and containers were stranded in
ports all over the world. This meant that there were significant shortages of available
containers when trade picked back up again later in the year. As a result, container
prices escalated to as much as six times pre-pandemic, hitting record highs.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               9
Connecting to industry insights - New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook - Deloitte
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives
Container freight trends
Concerns over a collapse in global freight in the
wake of the pandemic were blown out of the
water in the second half of 2020. Unsurprisingly,
the first half of the year saw a large decline in
trade volumes and long delays due to increased
health and safety requirements. As businesses
returned to some level of normalcy, and
consumer confidence increased, shipping
demand rose dramatically.

In addition, consumers responded to the
pandemic with a strong shift to shopping online.
This has seen online retail surge higher, taking
the share prices of companies such as Amazon to
new records. It is unlikely that this trend will fully
reverse. The virus has essentially sped up the
adoption of many existing online technologies.

One of the key areas that is expected to see                                   Containerised trade on major East-West trade routes, 2014-2020 (Million 20-foot equivalent units and annual percentage change)
further growth is food cargo, particularly
                                                                                                  Trans-Pacific                                    Asia-Europe                                 Transatlantic
refrigerated goods. With a growing population
                                                                                     Eastbound     Westbound                       Eastbound       Westbound                      Eastbound     Westbound
and increasing food production, this is expected
to remain a key growth area in years ahead.                                                                                         Northern        East Asia-                  North America-   Northern
                                                                                 East Asia-North North America-                    Europe and       Northern      Total Asia-     Northern      Europe and
                                                                                                                  Trans-Pacific                                                                                Transatlantic
Traditionally, the Asia-North America trade route                                   America         East Asia                     Mediterranean    Europe and      Europe        Europe and    Mediterranean
                                                                       Year                                                        to East Asia   Mediterranean                 Mediterranean -North America
sees the majority of Twenty-foot Equivalent Units
(TEU) shipped East bound, from Asia to North                           2014            16.2            7              23.2             6.3            15.5           21.8            2.8            3.9            6.7
America. The recent increase in trade barriers                         2015            17.4           6.9             24.3             6.4             15            21.3            2.7            4.1            6.8
                                                                       2016            18.2           7.3             25.5             6.8            15.3           22.1            2.7            4.3             7
between the USA and China has started to shift
                                                                       2017            19.4           7.3             26.7             7.1            16.4           23.4             3             4.6            7.5
this dominance however, with some
                                                                       2018            20.8           7.4             28.2              7             17.3           24.3            3.1            4.9             8
manufacturing moving toward South-East Asia.
                                                                       2019             20            6.8             26.8             7.2            17.5           24.7            2.9            4.9            7.9
                                                                       2020            18.1            7              25.1             6.9            16.1            23             2.8            4.7            7.4

                                                                    Source: UNCTAD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           10
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives
Alliances
The industry remains highly concentrated
amongst three alliances. The global containership
                                                                    Top 20 container lines
supply is dominated (~80%) by:                                                       5.0
•    2M Alliance (Maersk and MSC),                                                   4.5
                                                                                     4.0
•    the Ocean Alliance (CMA CGM, COSCO and                                          3.5

                                                                       Million TEU
     Evergreen); and                                                                 3.0
•    THE Alliance (ONE, Hapag-Lloyd and Yang                                         2.5
     Ming).                                                                          2.0
                                                                                     1.5
These alliances carry influence among                                                1.0
competitors globally, and also own many of the                                       0.5
ultra-large container vessels. These big ships have                                    -

                                                                                           A.P. Moller-Maersk Group

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Wan Hai Lines Ltd

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Antong Holdings
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      IRISL Group
                                                                                                                      Mediterranean Shipping Company

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                X-Press Feeders
                                                                                                                                                       China COSCO

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Pacific International Lines

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Shandong International

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  TS Lines
                                                                                                                                                                     CMA CGM Group

                                                                                                                                                                                     Hapag-Lloyd

                                                                                                                                                                                                   Ocean Network Express

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Yang Ming Marine Transport

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ZIM Integrated Shipping Services

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             SM Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Korea Marine Transport Company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Evergreen Marine Corporation

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Hyundai Merchant Marine

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Zhonggu Logistics Corporation
the ability to create scale economies.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Transportation
The alliances also enabled companies to carefully

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Corporation
manage capacity through the pandemic and
essentially allowed the industry to hit ‘reset’ on

                                                                                                                                   S.A.
shrinking profit margins. Having such strong
conglomerates has allowed shipping companies to
leverage their market position in negotiations and
quickly modify shipping frequency to manage the
fallout from lower shipping demand in the height
of the pandemic.                                                    Source: Alphaliner

Despite the strong turnaround in the sector’s fate
over the past year, there were still some casualties
who couldn’t survive the downturn. Pacific
International Limited hit financial strife, with talk of
several takeover offers from various bidders.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives
Ship size
For the past 50 years, container ship sizes have
been on an ever-upward trajectory. That is until
the pandemic hit and fleet owners started to
appreciate the relative nimbleness of smaller
ships. In addition, smaller goods that were
traditionally transported by plane are increasingly
being shipped due to fewer flight options.

In 2020, the first of twelve 24,000 TEU
containerships ordered by HMM was launched.
However, the fallout from COVID-19 may signal an
end to the continuous pursuit of scale.

There has been a shift to more intra-
regional shipping movements, and this has been
accompanied by demand for smaller vessels as
more manufacturing moves to South-East Asia to
avoid US tariffs on Chinese-made goods. These
smaller regional ports are not as well set-up for
the larger vessels that have been favoured up
until now. We may have seen peak ship size for
the time being.

Concerns over supply chain resilience are also
prompting manufacturing firms to consider more
regionalised supply chains. Higher degrees of
automation are helping enable this as it reduces
the labour cost advantages, which have typically
driven off-shoring decisions in the past.

                                                                    12
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives
Bunker fuel                                                            ICE Europe Brent Crude Electronic Energy Future
One of the most significant determinants of                                   140
container line profitability is fuel prices, which
tanked in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Oil                              120
then rebounded as hopes of a robust economic
                                                                              100
recovery took hold, with oil rallying to $60/barrel
in February 2021 – the highest level seen since                               80

                                                                     $(NZD)
January 2020. This was supported by supply cuts
from the Opec+ producers and a reduction in                                   60
investment from oil suppliers. The increasing
focus on green energy alternatives is likely to keep
                                                                              40
a lid on just how far oil prices might rise in coming
                                                                              20
years, however.
                                                                               0
Of particular interest in recent months has been
the widening spread between high and low
sulphur fuels. High sulphur fuel prices dropped
dramatically after the introduction of IMO 2020,
but as the spread between HSFO and LSFO has
widened, HSFO prices have stabilised. The spread
is also encouraging more companies to consider
installing scrubbers as an alternative to using the
                                                                    Of particular interest in recent months has been the widening spread
more expensive LSFO.                                                between high and low sulphur fuels. High sulphur fuel prices
Low sulphur surcharges were scraped toward the
end of 2020 in response to pressure from the
                                                                    dropped dramatically after the introduction of IMO 2020, but as the
industry as oil prices remained low. However, the                   spread between HSFO and LSFO has widened, HSFO prices have
recent rise in oil prices is expected to see very low
sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) charges reinstated. As                     stabilised. The spread is also encouraging more companies to
prices rise, there is an expectation that LSFO
surcharges will be implemented. Heavy fuel oil                      consider installing scrubbers as an alternative to using the more
(HFO) is only allowed to be used by ships with
scrubbers installed, but the margin between the
                                                                    expensive LSFO.
two oils has widened in recent months in favour
of HFO.

                                                                                                                                           13
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Global Perspectives

Global perspectives
International ports                                                  Top 20 ports
The Port of Shanghai experienced a significant hit
in the early stages of the pandemic, with trade                                   50
from China declining rapidly. However, Shanghai                                   45
and other Chinese ports were generally quick to
                                                                                  40
re-open, with strict quarantine protocols in place.
Activity in at the Port of Shanghai has now                                       35
recovered back to pre-COVID levels.

                                                                    Million TEU
                                                                                  30
Singapore’s Tuas mega-port is due to have some                                    25
berths start operating from as early as 2021 and is
                                                                                  20
set to be fully completed in 2040. It is expected to
be the world’s largest single port, with a capacity                               15
of 65mn TEU per year.                                                             10
Ports in Europe generally experienced a very                                      5
strong rebound over 2020. Antwerp had a record
                                                                                  -

                                                                                       Shanghai

                                                                                                                                                                Qingdao

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Hamburg
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jebel Ali
                                                                                                                                Shenzhen

                                                                                                                                                                          Hong Kong

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Laem Chabang
                                                                                                  SIngapore

                                                                                                                                           Guangzhou

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Port Klang
                                                                                                                                                                                        Tianjin

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Antwerp

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Xiamen

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Kaohsiung

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Tanjung Pelepas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Dalian
                                                                                                                                                       Busan

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Rotterdam

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Los Angeles
                                                                                                              Ningbo-Zhoushan
throughput in 2020, despite COVID-19, with most
volumes going through in the second half of last
year.

In the USA, Californian ports are struggling with a
lack of skilled workers in the face of very high
demand. The rollout of vaccinations to critical                                                                                            2014                2015                   2016                    2017                 2018              2019
port workers should help alleviate some
                                                                    Source: Lloyd's List
productivity pressure after Los Angeles and Long
Beach have both been hit by multiple virus
outbreaks.

The aftermath of COVID-19 has seen large
amounts of inbound containers sitting on some
ports, while other regions are struggling to get
containers to load goods.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           14
Deloitte Access Economics
Domestic Environment

                            15
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Domestic Environment

Domestic environment
2020 – the year that everything changed
COVID-19 had a profound impact on our economy and raised complexities for the ports and freight industry.
The key influences below explain the uniqueness of the COVID-19 impacts and subsequent economic recession.

 Dual global supply and                                          Interconnectedness of the                            Government’s willingness                                        Closure of borders between and
 demand shock                                                    global economy                                       to spend                                                        within countries
 Historically, global downturns have been caused                 Over the past decade, the global economy has         One of the key policy responses that supported                  COVID-19 has curtailed overseas travel into New
 by either a demand or supply shock. It is very                  become more interconnected than ever.                New Zealand’s economy during the past few                       Zealand as countries try to protect their citizens
 unusual for both to occur at the same time.                                                                          global downturns has been the swift action of the               against the outbreak. An important element of
                                                                 Over the past two decades, New Zealand has           Reserve Bank.                                                   New Zealand’s growth over the past decade has
 The COVID-19 situation is different in that it has              developed much closer trade links with China. In                                                                     been the steady inflow of migrants. This driver of
 severely impacted demand through lost jobs and                  2003, trade with China was about 5% of New           The Reserve Bank cut the Official Cash Rate to                  growth is now under pressure. The figure below
 income, but has simultaneously reduced supply                   Zealand’s total trade, compared to 20% in 2019.      record lows. This left New Zealand with little in               highlights the significant drop-off in net
 due to forced business closures and disrupted                                                                        the way of monetary stimulus heading into the                   migration for New Zealand compared to previous
 supply chains. This has increased the cost of                   The interconnectedness of the global economy         crisis. As a result, fiscal policy did the heavy lifting        quarters. An extended border closure could
 doing business during a period when demand is                   has resulted in longer and more disaggregated        in terms of response to the crisis. The $50 billion             negativity impact economic activity because of a
 softening.                                                      supply chains. The transformation of supply          COVID-19 Recovery Budget highlighted                            fall in the growth of the country’s labour force.
                                                                 chains has taken place in an environment of          Government’s willingness to spend.
                                                                 falling trade barriers and an implicit willingness
                                                                 to accept increasing interdependence and the           35,000                         Population increase by type
                                                                 associated risks.
                                                                                                                        30,000
                                                                 The outbreak of COVID-19 has highlighted the           25,000
                                                                 risks around these stretched global supply chains.
                                                                 Manufacturing activity has slowed and low              20,000
                                                                 demand in key regions has flow-on impacts to           15,000
                                                                 both New Zealand’s imports and exports.
                                                                                                                        10,000

                                                                                                                          5,000

                                                                                                                              0
                                                                                                                                  Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 Q3-2019 Q4-2019 Q1-2020 Q2-2020

                                                                                                                                                            Natural increase                       Net migration

                                                                                                                      Source: Statistics New Zealand

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            16
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Domestic Environment

Domestic environment

Yet, New Zealand enters 2021                               close to the historical average of 120. This        20%                GDP forecasts – pre and post COVID-19 forecasts
very well-placed                                           shows that households are optimistic about the
                                                           future. Consumer spending experienced a             15%
No country has had a perfect response to                   significant bounce back, largely helped by some
COVID-19, but New Zealand can hold its head                extraordinary fiscal spending measures.             10%
high. The cost was an initial ‘hard’ lockdown
(with less restrictive subsequent lockdowns) and           The Producer Manufacturing Index (PMI) is an         5%
an associated large hit to the economy. New                early indicator of economic activity. A PMI
Zealand spent the first half of 2020 in a                  reading above 50 points indicates                    0%
recession. The quarter-to-quarter drop Q2 was -            manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50
12.2%, which dwarfed the previous low point of             indicates it is contracting. The PMI dropped to      -5%
-2.4% in Q4 of 1991.                                       26.1 in April 2020. This was lower than the low
                                                           of 36.1 experienced during the Global Financial    -10%
While there was a greater upfront cost to the              Crisis. New Zealand’s PMI has rebounded and is
economy, the success of lockdowns in                       now back at levels just above 50.                  -15%
suppressing the virus has helped facilitate a
rapid economic recovery. The speed of rebound              Better-than-feared job outcomes have eased
has also been unprecedented, with growth                   the pain for the economy, although the end of                                 RBNZ pre-covid forecast                      Consensus forecast
surging by 13.8% in Q3 from Q2. New Zealand                the Wage Subsidy could change this outcome in
                                                                                                              Source: RBNZ, Deloitte Access Economics based on information from commercial banks
enters 2021 very well-placed, with a consensus             2021. Yet, the domestic economy is now
view is that New Zealand is expected to see                operating at close to normal levels with the
growth of 15.3% in Q2 2021.                                ongoing pain in the economy mostly linked to
                                                           those industries most affected by closed                     160        ANZ business and consumer confidence                                    80
Business confidence is now back at August 2017             international borders. Uncertainty remains high,             140                                                                                60
levels, higher than pre-COVID levels. Business             and a range of outcomes remain possible, but
confidence is now positive, which shows the                New Zealand’s economy has proved to be more                  120                                                                                40
general business environment is steadily                   resilient than initially anticipated.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Index
                                                                                                                        100

                                                                                                                Index
improving.                                                                                                                                                                                                 20

Consumer confidence followed a similar                                                                                   80                                                                                0
trajectory to business confidence and has
increased from 100 points in July 2020 to 114                                                                            60                                                                                -20
points in January 2020. This indicator is now
                                                                                                                         40                                                                                -40

                                                                                                                         20                                                                                -60

                                                                                                                          0                                                                                -80
                                                                                                                           2002   2004     2006    2008     2010     2012   2014    2016     2018   2020
                                                                                                                                         Consumer Confidence (LHS)            Business Confidence (RHS)
                                                                                                              Source: ANZ, Deloitte Access Economics

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         17
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Domestic Environment

Domestic environment
COVID-19 impacts on the ports sector                                                            Demand disruption: COVID-19                                                           to the fall in imports include fuel, crude oil and
                                                                                                impact on trade flows                                                                 aircrafts and parts. Top trading partners with
Ports are a critical part of New Zealand’s transport infrastructure, not only for import and                                                                                          less imports relative to pre-COVID levels include
export goods, but also for the distribution of freight within the country. In general, COVID-   COVID-19 disrupted the expected growth pattern of                                     EU, USA and Japan.
19 disrupted the ports sector in the following ways:                                            New Zealand’s trade flows in 2020. The Trade
                                                                                                                                                                                 •    Export values in 2020, relative to the previous
                                                                                                Balance in April 2020 showed net traded goods of
                                                                                                                                                                                      period in 2019, were more resilient. The
                                                                                                $1.3 billion. Historically, New Zealand has far higher
               Internal operational disruption                                                                                                                                        percentage change in April and May were
                                                                                                values of imported goods over exported goods,                                         negative, followed by a stronger rebound up to
               Disruption of port operations due to:                                            making that the highest Trade Balance recorded                                        August. Key commodities contributing to the
                                                                                                since 1960. The current Trade Balance still sits at a                                 increase in exports included respiratory
               •    Limited operational resources
                                                                                                surplus of $17m. Imports and exports faced                                            equipment, forestry products and fruit.
               •    Increase in procedures and regulations                                      uncertainty in 2020 and the COVID-19 impact can be                                    However, more recent data shows exports are
                                                                                                seen in a comparison of 2019 and 2020.                                                experiencing negative growth. The relative
                                                                                                                                                                                      softness of exports could be a result of the
               External operational disruption                                                  •      Import values in 2020, relative to the previous                                resurgence of COVID-19 in key international
                                                                                                       period in 2019, were negative for most of the                                  markets influencing demand for exports.
               Disruption of port operations due to:                                                   year, with a rebound in December. This impact
               •    Increased supply chain volatility                                                  was driven by weak global economic conditions
                                                                                                       and lockdowns, slowing consumption and supply
               •    Limited external operational resource                                              chain disruptions. Key commodities contributing

               Demand disruption                                                                                                                          COVID-19 impacts on trade flows
                                                                                                                                                              (2020 relative to 2019)
               Decline of port activity due to:

                                                                                                       % change from previous period
                                                                                                                                       10%
               •    Disruption of cargo flow
                                                                                                                                        5%
               •    Disruption of industrial activity                                                                                   0%
                                                                                                                                       -5%
Source: Deloitte Global
                                                                                                                                       -10%

The biggest disruption for the ports sector in New Zealand was demand disruption.
                                                                                                                                       -15%
Industrial disputes in Australia also disrupted the shipping activity for New Zealand ports.                                           -20%
COVID-19 also disrupted international trade flows with a flow-on effect on cargo flows                                                 -25%
across ports in New Zealand.                                                                                                           -30%
                                                                                                                                              Jan   Feb   Mar     Apr     May   Jun     Jul    Aug     Sep     Oct     Nov     Dec

                                                                                                                                                                Exports                           Imports

                                                                                                    Source: Statistics New Zealand, Deloitte Access Economics

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     18
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Domestic Environment

       Domestic environment
        Demand disruption: COVID-19 impact on cargo flows across selected ports – 2020 relative to 2019
        The charts below present how import and export values have been impacted between Q1 and Q3 in 2020, relative to 2019, across selected ports in
        New Zealand. For most ports, the COVID-19 impact was felt most in Q2, but the impact remained strong in Q3 2020 due to weak global economic
        conditions and supply chain disruptions.

                                                                  Auckland                                                    Tauranga                                         Christchurch (Lyttelton)
                                         8000                                                                                                                   9000
                                                                                             12%
                                                       5%                                            8000
                                                                              -7%                                                                               7000
                                         6000                                                                      8%                 5%                 -5%
                                                                                                     6000
                                                                                                                                                                5000
                                         4000
Value of imports/exports (NZD million)

                                                                                                     4000
                                                      -6%                                    -12%                                                               3000
                                                                             -12%
                                         2000                                                        2000                                                                    21%             -2%              -9%
                                                                                                                  -9%                -22%               -10%    1000
                                                                                                                                                                            -15%             -9%              -17%
                                           0                                                            0
                                                Q1 19 Q1 20         Q2 19 Q2 20       Q3 19 Q3 20           Q1 19 Q1 20        Q2 19 Q2 20        Q3 19 Q3 20   -1000 Q1 19Q1 20      Q2 19Q2 20         Q3 19Q3 20
                                                        Imports               Exports                               Imports               Exports                             Imports                 Exports

                                                                  Whangarei                                                                                                              Nelson
                                                                                                                          Napier                                1600
                                         1400         -40%                                           1400
                                                                                                                                                                1400
                                         1200                                                        1200
                                                                                                                                                                1200
                                         1000                                                        1000
                                                                                                                  -1%                                           1000
                                                                                                                                     -12%
                                         800                                                         800                                                 6%
                                                                                                                                                                 800
                                                                                            -25%
                                         600          22%                                            600
                                                                             -5%                                                                                 600
                                         400                                                         400                                                         400
                                         200                                                 -61%    200                                                                                       -54%                   19%
                                                                             -73%                                                                                200          -2%
                                                                                                                  12%                 9%                 9%
                                           0                                                                                                                                 -79%              -30%                    3%
                                                                                                       0                                                           0
                                                Q1 19 Q1 20         Q2 19 Q2 20        Q3 19 Q3 20          Q1 19 Q1 20        Q2 19 Q2 20        Q3 19 Q3 20          Q1 19 Q1 20       Q2 19 Q2 20        Q3 19 Q3 20
                                                        Imports                Exports                              Imports               Exports                              Imports              Exports

                        Source: Statistics New Zealand, Deloitte Access Economics

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        19
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Domestic Environment

Domestic environment
Demand disruption: COVID-19 impact on total throughput – 2020 relative to 2019
This chart presents total throughput data for up to Q4 2020 for nine ports involved in handling international containers. The total throughput data
shows that the impact on TEU flows due to COVID-19, was relatively small, with the exception of the Ports of Auckland. Overall, port activity across
New Zealand in the rolling 12-months to the end of December 2020 declined by 6% to the previous year. During 2019, the nine ports handled
throughput of 3.24 million TEU, compared to 3.05 million in 2020. For the year ending December 2020, the biggest decline in container (TEU)
volumes was foodstuffs (-18%), followed by wood products and other (-15%).

 Container
  3.800    trade: rolling annual container load and discharge (TEUs)                                                                                                                                                              3.80
               1      2      3      4      5      6      7      8    9       10     11    12      13     14   15     16     17    18      19     20     21     22     23   24     25     26    27      28     29     30      31

                                                                                                                                                                                       0.05m   0.05m        3.24m
  3.300                                                                                                                                                             0.08m 0.09m                                                   3.30
                                                                                                                                               0.09m   0.09m
                                                                                                                          0.11m   0.12m                                                                              3.05m
                                                                                                       0.19m 0.18m
  2.800                                                                           0.27m   0.26m                                                                                                                                   2.80
                                                             0.45m   0.42m
  2.300                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2.30
                                        0.79m
                                                 0.67m
  1.800                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1.80

  1.300            1.21m   1.18m                                                                                                                                                                                                  1.30

  0.800                                                                                                                                                                                                                           0.80

  0.300                                                                                                                                                                                                                           0.30

 -0.200             Port of             Ports of             Lyttelton        Port of Napier           Port Otago         Port Nelson            Centreport           Primeport           Southport                 Total         (0.20)
                   Tauranga             Auckland                                                                                                                       Timaru

                                                                                  2019                                                                  2020
 Source: FIGS, Deloitte Access Economics

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           20
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Domestic Environment

Domestic environment
External operational disruption:                               Sea freight rates have increased significantly in                      Overseas ship visits at selected ports (2020 relative to 2019)
COVID-19 impact on ports                                       2020. Two contributing factors were the challenge
                                                               of limited container availability along with high
Another key impact of COVID-19 on the ports                                                                               Otago
                                                               volume of stock still needing to be moved. There is
sector is linked to external operational disruption
                                                               a risk that higher shipping costs could flow through
through supply chain volatility. The pandemic led to                                                                   Auckland
                                                               to consumer price inflation in 2021.
a decline in overseas ship visits and an
inconsistency in the number of arrival and                     There has also been disruption from late or delayed     Tauranga

departure ships. As illustrated in the top chart,              ships dropping sea cargo at the Ports of Auckland
                                                                                                                      Wellington
ports faced a decline in the number of arriving and            rather than carrying on to other New Zealand ports,
departing overseas ships across Q1 to Q3 2020.                 so they do not miss docking windows back in Asia.       Lyttelton

This led to a fall in the number of containers being
                                                                                                                         Napier
handled at New Zealand’s ports and a reduction in
the availability of empty containers. Container                                                                                -30%              -20%            -10%         0%            10%   20%   30%
handling for the Ports of Auckland and Tauranga,
who accounted for 63% of all container movements                                                                                                                        Q1   Q2        Q3
in 2019, were down in Q1 to Q3. Most other ports                                                                       Source: FIGS, Deloitte Access Economics
container handling was also down relative to 2019,
with only Wellington and Napier showing some                                                                                          Containers handled at selected ports (2020 relative to 2019)
improvement in Q3.

                                                                                                                          Otago

                                                                                                                       Auckland

 Sea freight rates have increased significantly in 2020.                                                               Tauranga
 Two contributing factors were the challenge of limited
                                                                                                                      Wellington
 container availability along with high volume of stock
                                                                                                                       Lyttelton
 still needing to be moved. There is a risk that higher
 shipping costs could flow through to consumer price                                                                     Napier

 inflation in 2021.                                                                                                            -30%              -20%            -10%             0%        10%   20%   30%

                                                                                                                                                                        Q1   Q2        Q3

                                                                                                                       Source: FIGS, Deloitte Access Economics

                                                                                                                                                                                                              21
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | Domestic Environment

Domestic environment
What comes next?                                        On the cost front, governments can now           programme is allocated towards road
                                                        borrow at record low interest rates to fund      infrastructure. This is still good news for the
We will still be dealing with COVID-19 in
                                                        new investment. On the benefits front,           ports sector, supporting freight supply chains
2021, but there are many reasons to believe
                                                        higher infrastructure spending will help to      and meeting growing demands of the freight
this year will be much better from an
                                                        soften the impact on jobs from winding back      sector. However, more infrastructure
economic viewpoint. We have seen the
                                                        the Wage Subsidy.                                stimulus in the ports sector is required to
economy rebound strongly and mass
                                                                                                         address capacity constraints.
distribution of COVID-19 vaccines will happen           Well targeted infrastructure investment can
this year. New Zealand’s ability to control the         be a powerful tool for driving economic          Other key focus areas for the ports sector to
outbreak of the virus and provide confidence            growth and raising employment in the short       focus on as we rebound from COVID-19
to business and consumers to spend remains              term. During the project lifecycle and           include changing consumer preferences,
critical to the rebound in economic activity.           particularly during the construction phases,     supply chain digitalisation and operational
                                                        infrastructure projects can have a significant   efficiencies to adapt to increasing costs.
The future remains uncertain, and a lot will
                                                        economic impact on job creation and use of
depend on the next few months and possible                                                               Finally, from a broader perspective,
                                                        raw materials.
prolonged negative effects for the port and                                                              developing and implementing new strategies
freight industry due to continued supply                The job-creating capacity of infrastructure      to boost investment and productivity that put
chain disruption, weak global economic                  investment is crucial in the current             us on a more prosperous economic growth
conditions and potentially softer exports.              environment. However, the impact of              path should be a major focus to further build
                                                        infrastructure in the long term is arguably      on our COVID-19 recovery.
The Government has already put in place
                                                        more important. Once built, infrastructure
initiatives to promote exports to support
                                                        can enable greater productivity and a more
recovery, for example the Trade Recovery
                                                        resilient economy in the face of unforeseen
Strategy and the Industry Transformation
                                                        events.
                                                                                                                 We have seen the economy rebound
Plans, with a key focus on exports.

Of the other options available to
                                                        The Shovel-Ready programme included a                    strongly and mass distribution of COVID-19
                                                        limited number of projects in the ports
governments to stimulate economies,
                                                        sector, totalling just over $100m in value.              vaccines will happen this year. New Zealand’s
infrastructure ranks highly.
                                                        A significant part of the total Shovel-Ready
                                                                                                                 ability to control the outbreak of the virus
                                                                                                                 and provide confidence to business and
                                                                                                                 consumers to spend remains critical to the
                                                                                                                 rebound in economic activity.

                                                                                                                                                                 22
In Focus: Risk Advisory
Climate-Related Financial Disclosures

                                        23
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | In Focus

Understanding climate-related financial disclosures

Task Force on Climate-related                            What/Who is the TCFD?                                The TCFD Framework
Financial Disclosures (TCFD)                             TCFD is an organisation established in December      The TCFD group published its first set of
TCFD climate-related reporting is becoming               2015 by the Financial Stability Board – an           recommendations in 2017, establishing a set of
increasingly relevant to a growing number of             international body that monitors the global          voluntary disclosures covering what they refer to
industries, including ports and freight. We all          financial system. Its goal was to develop a set of   as the core elements of recommended Climate-
have a role in not only managing the impact of           voluntary climate-related financial risk             Related Financial Disclosures. TCFD structured its
our operations on climate change, but also the           disclosures to be used by companies to inform        recommendations around four themes that
impact of climate change on our businesses – in          investors and other members of the public about      represent core elements of how organisations
particular, the extent to which that impact will         the risks they face related to climate change.       operate (outlined below).
relate to investment return and security.
                                                         The group encourages organisations to evaluate       The group encourages organisations to evaluate
This ‘in focus’ piece sets out a high-level              and disclose, as part of their annual financial      and disclose, as part of their annual financial
explanation of TCFD and, at this stage, what it          filing preparation and reporting processes, the      filing preparation and reporting processes, the
means for New Zealand’s ports and freight                climate-related risks and opportunities that are     climate-related risks and opportunities that are
industry.                                                most pertinent to their business activities. To      most pertinent to their business activities.
                                                         assist with this, they have identified what they
                                                         consider the main climate-related risks and
                                                         opportunities facing business.

          Source: Implementing the Recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures – June 2017

                                                                                                                                                                   24
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | In Focus

Understanding climate-related financial disclosures

TCFD and New Zealand                                     Transport-related industries
                                                                                                               The benefits
TCFD is gaining increasing prominence in New             TCFD is likely to become an increasingly key
                                                                                                               •   TCFD improves the long term strategic resilience of businesses by allowing them to
Zealand. On 15 September 2020, the Minister for          reporting requirement for New Zealand’s ports
                                                                                                                   comprehensively understand and manage climate-related scenarios and risks over
Climate Change, James Shaw, announced that               and freight industry.                                     extended periods of time.
New Zealand would be the first country in the
                                                         Port and freight operations, as key parts of New      •   Provides a good road map for evolving business to understand risks and opportunities in
world to mandate financial reporting on climate
                                                         Zealand’s transport infrastructure, will face             the lead up to a low carbon future.
risks by implementing a ‘comply-or-explain’
                                                         increasingly significant climate-related              •   Increased awareness of climate-related risks and opportunities resulting in better risk
regime, based on the TCFD framework. The
                                                         disruptions, from sea level rise, storm surges,           management and more informed strategic planning and decision making.
requirement will apply to publicly listed
                                                         increasingly severe and frequent weather events ,
companies and large insurers, banks and                                                                        •   Ensures that climate-related financial information disclosed is decision-useful for
                                                         leading to road outages, schedule disruptions,
investment managers. While the changes have                                                                        investors, lenders, insurers, etc.
                                                         biosecurity incursions and other logistical delays,
not yet become law, the Government has                                                                         •   Easier or better access to capital by increasing investor’s and lender’s confidence that
                                                         among other issues.
signalled that entities could be required to make                                                                  the company’s climate-related risks are appropriately assessed and managed.
disclosures from 2023.                                   Transport also accounts for around a fifth of New
                                                         Zealand’s greenhouse gas emissions and is a key
New Zealand has committed to achieve zero net
                                                         focus of decarbonisation efforts. Investors and
emissions by 2050. More sectors of the New
                                                         government will increasingly look to the sector to
Zealand economy will likely be required or
                                                         understand what action individual firms are
encouraged to consider climate-related
                                                         taking. Adoption of TCFD disclosures also comes
disclosures – either directly through mandatory
                                                         with a wide range of benefits.
climate-related financial disclosures, or indirectly
through commercial relationships with investors
or parent/client organisations undertaking TCFD,
voluntarily or not.

                                                                                                                                                                                                              25
In Focus: Risk Advisory
Health and Safety Assurance and Contractors

                                              26
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | In Focus

Health and safety assurance and contractors

H&S and the supply chain                                                                                     Where there is no contractual relationship, as is         Where to from here
                                                                                                             common amongst parties operating at port
The concept of shared worksites is common                                                                                                                              Before you ask your head of H&S how they are
                                                                                                             facilities, understanding how H&S is being
throughout the ports and freight industry. As we                                                                                                                       managing PCBU relationships, recognise that this
                                                                                                             managed with all the parties in the shared
have progressed with understanding and                                                                                                                                 type of management is not solely on one area or
                                                                                                             workspace is still important. Board and leadership
addressing the Health and Safety at Work Act                                                                                                                           person. Each area of the business that engages,
                                                                                                             require line of sight that H&S is being addressed,
2015, we are now seeing an increased focus on                                                                                                                          manages, and interacts with, third parties has
                                                                                                             and that the there is effective consultation,
ensuring that health and safety (H&S) risks are                                                                                                                        responsibilities and accountabilities to address H&S.
                                                                                                             cooperation and coordination with all the parties
appropriately addressed across multiple supply
                                                                                                             involved. Consider investigating how assurance and        Ask yourself the following questions:
chains and other third-party relationships.
                                                                                                             monitoring activities are being undertaken
                                                                                                                                                                       •   As a PCBU, do I feel comfortable that H&S is
The concept of PCBU (Person Conducting a                                                                     together to ensure everybody is operating safely.
                                                         Programme Review vs. H&S Third                                                                                    being appropriately addressed with our
Business or Undertaking) is very much a top line
                                                         Party Management Review                             We often undertake deep dives, which consist of               contractors, sub-contractors and other
item on board and executive leadership
                                                                                                             looking at an organisation’s own process design               relationship types, in shared workspaces?
agendas, with an increased focus on ensuring             We often get asked to review H&S management
                                                                                                             and implementation – and getting direct feedback
they meet their duties as officers under the Act.        programmes at a high level. While this still                                                                  •   Are we undertaking appropriate assurance and
                                                                                                             from the third parties. It is about having a clear line
Most notably, recent enforcement activity by             continues to be of value, we are now seeing                                                                       monitoring activities and reporting?
                                                                                                             of sight that:
WorkSafe demonstrates that understanding and             increased focus on understanding how H&S is being
                                                                                                                                                                       •   Are we engaging with our third parties in a
addressing the risk of multiple PCBUs in shared          addressed across an organisation’s third party      •   H&S risks are being addressed;
                                                                                                                                                                           meaningful way to demonstrate that we are
work areas is a key focus area and one that will         relationships. In particular, boards and
                                                                                                             •   There is monitoring and assurance activities              consulting, cooperating and coordinating?
not go away or should be treated lightly.                management are wanting assurance that there is
                                                                                                                 occurring; and
                                                         effective consultation, cooperation and                                                                       To answer these questions, consider undertaking a
                                                         coordination (‘the 3 Cs’) occurring across their    •   All parties are involved in consultation,             deep dive through the life cycle of your relationship
                                                         multiple PCBU relationships.                            cooperation and coordination of H&S activities.       with the third parties. The aim is to understand how
                                                                                                                                                                       you are working together to manage risk, learn off
                                                         What this means is understanding and receiving
                                                                                                                                                                       each other, and address issues.
                                                         the assurance that H&S risks are being addressed
                                                         from the request for proposal/tender,
                                                         procurement, contract award, project execution,
                                                         monitoring and assurance, and contract renewal
                                                         stages of contractor management.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           27
In Focus:
Decarbonising Sea and Road Freight

                                     28
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | In Focus

Decarbonising sea and road freight

Decarbonisation is a global imperative
Decarbonisation is a priority for governments, companies and
society at large which, in turn, are making commitments and
increasing efforts to close the gap to net-zero emissions. To
realise the ambition, progress needs to be made particularly
in the harder-to-abate industries – industries that have long
asset lifespans, high energy dependency, and complexity of
electrification – which represent 30% of global CO2 emissions.

In collaboration with Shell, Deloitte has developed two reports
sharing insights from leaders around the world in relation to a
pathway towards decarbonisation of shipping and
road transport – two hard-to-abate industries.

In this ‘in focus’ piece we highlight key findings from these
two reports.

   Climate change poses a significant threat to our planet and
   way of life and we are already seeing the effects of a
   rapidly warming planet, including mass loss of biodiversity,
   volatile weather related disasters, stress on food
   production and water scarcity. According to the
   Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we have until
   2030 to reduce carbon emissions to limit temperature
   increases below 2°C, in line with the Paris Agreement. To
   meet the ambitions of the Paris Agreement, CO2 emissions
   will need to fall to net zero by 2050.

                                                                  29
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | In Focus

 The shipping paradox                                                The first five solutions aim to unlock progress in the next two to    “The decarbonisation of shipping cannot be solved by one
                                                                     three years, and include:                                             organisation on its own. This research clearly shows that it will
 Shipping is the backbone of the global economy, accounting for                                                                            require close collaboration between various players in the shipping
 about 80% of the volume of global trade. Never more so than in      ➢    Scale-up in customer demand: Create scale in demand for          ecosystem and with other sectors. The insights in the research give us
 the recent months have we understood the importance of                   low or zero emissions shipping though chaterers’ and             a comprehensive perspective on the barriers, and the road map
 shipping to maintain the supply of essential goods. However, as          customers’ commitments that include long-term contracts          to unlock decarbonisation by identifying who needs to do what, and
 the industry’s development continues, it generates increasing            and green procurement criteria.                                  when to drive change.”
 carbon emissions.
                                                                     ➢    Global regulatory alignment: Level the playing field globally    Tarek Helmi, Partner, Deloitte Netherlands
 The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has set an                 with reduced uncertainty regarding regulations and
 ambition to reduce international shipping carbon emissions per           timeframes.
 transport work by at least 40% by 2030, and 70% by 2050, off a
 2008 baseline. These ambitions send a signal to the shipping        ➢    Cross-sector research and development: Intensify                     To learn more, download the All Hands on Deck report.
 industry that change is coming, and all parties involved need            partnerships to develop zero or low-emission fuels through
 to prepare.                                                              joint research and development.

                                                                     ➢    Scale-up in controlled pilot projects: Increase R&D
                                                                          effectiveness by running end-to-end green pilot projects
 Unlocking solutions for shipping                                         involving customers, charterers, operators, owners and
 decarbonisation requires all hands on deck                               ports on specific routes and vessel types.

 Drawing from conversations with 80 senior shipping executives       ➢    Coordinated industry commitments: Increase the reach of
 representing 22 countries and virtually all sector segments,             existing initiatives – such as the Getting to Zero Coalition,
 “All Hands on Deck” summarises key findings to unlock                    the Clean Cargo Working Group and others –
 decarbonisation in shipping and aims to build on existing                by consolidating objectives and strengthening the
 industry initiatives, drive action and realise positive impact.          coordination of various concurrent workstreams.

 The research recognises the need for a novel decarbonisation        Subsequent phases of work will be required
 approach that is based on three principles: adopt an ecosystem      to accelerate and scale progress, with a common foundational
 perspective, think big, start small and scale fast, and focus on    operational efficiency solution that cuts through all the phases to
 behaviours and triggers.                                            reduce emissions of both existing and future vessels.

 Based on these three principles, the report highlights 12           Momentum is building, and there is a sense of optimism that it
 solutions, or recommendations for action, that emerged from         can be done. For example, technological advancement is
 research, interviews and workshops. These solutions                 making decarbonisation not only a reality but an attractive and
 streamline what some view as an insurmountable problem into         viable business proposition – see The Motorship | World’s
 several manageable sets of actions that address specific barriers   first tiltable rotor sails installed.
 and enable the industry to get net-zero emissions ships in the
 water by 2030.                                                      Those who take the lead are in a better position to influence
                                                                     the outcomes, but every operator and stakeholder in the
                                                                     industry has a role to play. As one CEO said, we need “all hands
                                                                     on deck.”

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New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | In Focus

 Decarbonising road freight
 Road freight is fundamental to the global economy as the
                                                                   Highlights from the report include:
 most flexible mode of transport, and the primary mechanism
 to bring goods to our stores and homes. It currently              •   The sector is facing several barriers to
 accounts for around 9% of global CO2 emissions, the                   decarbonisation, especially insufficient regulatory
 majority of which comes from medium and heavy freight                 incentives, lacking infrastructure, and limited demand
 trucks.                                                               from shippers.

 To achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement, the sector will      •   Road freight decarbonisation is close to an inflection
 need to realise an emission intensity reduction of over 80%           point due to increasing regulatory and market pressure
 in less than 30 years. More pressingly, the sector’s                  and will evolve faster than many expect.
 emission intensity should decline by around 30% before
 2030. On its current trajectory, the Paris targets will not       •   To converge on a viable low and zero-emission
 be met.                                                               technology, the sector needs to adopt a duty cycle
                                                                       perspective.
 This is a challenge, but also an opportunity for first movers
 to redefine the energy mix, claim market share, and               •   Through collaboration around a catalogue of 22
 introduce new products and business models.                           solutions, the sector will be able to reduce emissions
                                                                       now and accelerate a shift to low and zero-emission
 But the challenge is too large for any one organisation or            trucks.                                                  "Despite the decarbonisation barriers, road freight leaders
 even one stakeholder group to address alone. Only a joint,                                                                     believe that a zero-emission technology pathway is emerging
 collaborative effort will allow the sector to take advantage      •   The sector has defined a decarbonisation road map,       that includes both hydrogen and battery electric vehicles,
 of the changing paradigm and make progress quickly.                   which allows it to start deploying low and zero-         with both starting to enter the global fleet at scale in the
                                                                       emission trucks at scale by the late 2020s.              coming decade.“
 Deloitte, in collaboration with Shell, address this challenge
 through interviews with over 150 executives and experts           •   Achieving significant emissions reduction requires       Tarek Helmi, Partner, Deloitte Netherlands
 across 22 countries in the global road freight sector. Deloitte       a concerted global effort, with leading regions and
 and Shell identify 22 solutions to address the barriers to            companies sharing knowledge and supporting others to
 decarbonise road freight.                                             leapfrog ahead.

                                                                       To learn more, download the Decarbonised Road
                                                                       Freight report.

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In Focus: Consulting
Digital Twins and Asset Management

                                     32
New Zealand Ports and Freight Yearbook 2021 | In Focus

Digital twins and asset management

Addressing COVID-19 and beyond                                                                                                                          Simulate
                                                                                                          PHYSICAL                                                                       DIGITAL
COVID-19 has reshaped the world and driven changes in the way that                                         WORLD                                                                         WORLD
people live and work. This has created new challenges and
opportunities for businesses, which has coincided with, and in part
accelerated, the emergence of new technologies to address them.                                                                                                                                     Analyse
                                                                                                       Monitor
The impact on asset management has been particularly acute for
shipping companies and ports, as global supply chains struggle to cope
with unforeseen changes. Effective scenario modelling is essential to                                        PORT                                                                    DIGITAL TWIN
allow these organisations to better understand the impact these
fluctuations will have on their businesses, and to mitigate any adverse
effects.
Digital twin technology is a key component of Industry 4.0, which looks
to automate traditional industrial practices to help address these
                                                                                                                                               Learn, Predict and Pre-empt
challenges. Global research firm Gartner expects that by 2023, one-
third of mid-to-large-size companies that implemented IoT will have
                                                                                                                 Connected Vehicles & Cranes                                             Wireless Network
implemented at least one digital twin associated with a COVID-19
motivated use case.                                                                                              WDR Cameras                                                             Control Systems & AI

                                                                                                                 IoT Smart Sensors                                                       VR Interfacing

What is a ‘digital twin’?                                                                                        Connected Devices                                                       AR Assistance

A digital twin is a digital replica of a physical object or process. Digital
twins leverage real-time and historic data, empowering people to make
optimal adjustments for asset management given the current-state               We integrate the physical-digital-physical journey, empowering a             Analyse: Overlaying data on top of prototypes or simulations
landscape in real-time, as well as future-focused operational decisions.
                                                                               human to make the right decision from millions of possible                   provides visualisations that extend beyond conventional
Ports can capture masses of data from smart sensors, cameras and               scenarios with far more certainty.                                           dashboards to include 3D virtual/augmented reality and artificial
other IoT devices and, combined with virtual and augmented reality,                                                                                         intelligence enabled visualisations, along with real-time streaming
use this to create a real-time information flow. They can then better          Simulate: Leveraging IoT solutions and utilising the intake of data
                                                                                                                                                            to provide quick and accurate measurements on the actual
deploy forklifts or cranes, for example, to optimise the loading and           from sensors in real-time to enable the synthesis of dynamic
                                                                                                                                                            physical environment in its current state or potential future state.
unloading of cargo dependent on its type (e.g. containers or irregular         simulations or prototypes on new or existing products, processes
general cargo such as pipes, barrels, crates). This digital twin view can      or ecosystems. With advanced data storage capabilities and                   Learn, predict and pre-empt: Exercise machine learning on
also leverage artificial intelligence for storage of cargo, use of vehicles,   computational processing power, more complex algorithms can be               prototypes or simulations to proactively detect potential issues
and staff rostering. This allows ports to gain efficiencies that would be      assessed to uncover insights on aggregated data from disparate               and breakdowns, or predict potential gains from what-if scenarios.
difficult to achieve without automation, as well as generating other           sources.                                                                     Incorporate deep learning to have the digital twin learn from
benefits such as reducing risk, improving on site health and safety, and                                                                                    itself, similar systems, and domain experts to enhance the
even lowering carbon emissions.                                                                                                                             accuracy of the predicted, or pre-emptive outcomes.

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